Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
FIRST REGIONAL INVESTOR CONFERENCE OF THE CAPITAL MARKETS OF THE COUNTRIES OF SOUTHEAST
EUROPE
10.06.2008 TUESDAY
1. SHORT REVIEW OF EVENTS
The price of the petrol, which is speeding tow- among the young people, which are crucial for the realization of the tenders for energy will be run-
ards 80 denars a liter, is the news that hit the head- bringing positive changes in the society. Leaders ning late at least a year, although on many occasi-
lines of all today`s newspaper editions. After yes- and entrepreneurs aged up to 40 years will be tra- ons they were regarded as crucial for this county
terday`s decision of the Energy Regulatory Com- ined by the means of local, national and internatio- i.e. for its energy future, given the fact that our co-
mission, a liter of petrol MB-96 is now sold for nal projects in the Macedonian Economic Cham- untry has limited energy potential and increasing
78.50 denars, which is two denars more than two ber. demand for electricity, and the country spends a lot
weeks ago, while the diesel went up for one denar. The mobile operator Cosmofon, in its announ- of money on importing expensive electricity. Bear-
Regulatory Commission officials explain that the oil cement carried by the newspapers, rejects as un- ing in mind that the construction of the energy pro-
derivatives price increase has resulted from the in- grounded the announcements that this company jects will last several years, then postponing of the
crease of the crude oil price on the world markets will be closed in order to prevent creation of a mo- startup procedures should concern us.
and the exchange rate between the dollar and the nopoly in Macedonia, since with the takeover of The stock exchange analysis of the brokerage
denar. As forecasted by the world analysts, the oil OTE, Deutsche Telekom will own around 90 per- house Moj Broker published in Biznis newspaper
is expected to reach a price of 150 dollars a barrel cent of the mobile telephony market in Macedonia. puts forward the dilemma, in respect with yester-
as early as the beginning of July. The reason for such thing lies in the fact that the day`s fall of MBI-10 by 1.33%, whether the value of
Almost all newspapers carry out the story contract between the Greek government and De- the Macedonian companies will continue this
about the start of the construction of the first pur- utsche Telekom still hasn`t been ratified by the downward trend until august, when the govern-
chase and distribution center, in which the Croatian Greek Parliament. Officials from the Commission ment should be formed, or will continue falling in-
company Agrokor along with the Macedonian Go- for Protection of the Competition, on the other fluenced by the other factors that are shaking the
vernment will invest 15.5 million euros and the pro- hand, inform they still haven`t received any notifi- world economy. Nevertheless, the shares of Mak-
ject will be also financially supported by the Muni- cation from Deutsche Telekom, which will possibly petrol were the most traded on the Official Market
cipality of Strumica. Besides the Croatian market, give directions about the fate of the second mobile yesterday, followed by the shares of Fersped as
the agricultural products that are to be purchased operator in our country. Vecer also carries informa- runner ups and Toplifikacija at the third place. The
by Agrokor will be also placed in Austria, Slovenia, tion from the field of the telecommunications, an- shares of the Macedonian Telecom were the most
Hungary, Germany and other EU countries where nouncing distribution of dividend of 80 million eu- traded on the Regular Market.
this Croatian company holds supermarkets. Accor- ros. In accordance with the percentage it takes on The same newspapers gives the analysis over
ding to the announcements, the purchase and dis- the Macedonian Telekom, the Government will get the world capital markets conducted by the fund
tribution center will be officially opened at the begi- around 27 million euros. The situation on the fixed management company Moj Fond AD, saying that
nning of the following season. telephony in this country is a filed of interest of Vre- the main events on Wall Street last Friday were the
Among the hottest news in the print media is me too, informing that a real competition in this information for the oil price increase by 11 dollars
today`s startup and promotion of the association of sector will be felt no earlier than September, when and the greatest unemployment rate in USA in the
young entrepreneurs, which will function within the Ontel, the second fixed telephony operator, is to past 22 years, causing real panic and sell-outs,
Economic Chamber of Macedonia. Chamber offici- complete the expansion of its network; the same which has resulted with a fall of the main indices of
als announce that the association will enable conti- thing is also announced by Cabletel and Nexcom. over 3 percent.
nuous development of the leadership skills, social In the article titled Elections delay tenders for
responsibility and the entrepreneurship spirit hydro power plants, Utrinski Vesnik informs that
2. TOP NEWS - IMPORTANCE BY NUMBER OF PUBLICATIONS
1. ASSOCIATION OF YOUNG ENTREPRENEURS FORMED (****)
2. CROATIANS TO BUILD CENTER FOR PURCHASE OF VEGETABLE IN STRUMICA (**)
DNEVNIK GONE
p.7 COSMOFON: WE WILL NOT CEASE p.6 YOUNG ENTREPRENEURS IN ASSOCIATION
p.7 THE PETROL PRICE INCREASED TO 78, 5 DENARS p.6 INCREASED LIVING EXPENSES
p.9 ASSOCIATION OF YOUNG ENTREPRENEURS FORMED p.7 ABOUT 80 MILLION EUROS TO BE DISTRIBUTED
BIZNIS p.7 THE PETROL IS HEADED TOWARDS 80 DENARS PER LITER
p.1 MAY’S TURNOVER ON THE STOCK MARKET HALVES VREME
p.1 UNREGISTERED ACTIVITY – UNREGISTERED MONEY p.1 GAS STATIONS DRAW INFLATION
p.12 FALL OF THE THREE STOCK EXCHANGE INDEXES p.6 TELEPHONE COMPETITORS ARE OUTWITTING WITH PA-
p.12 MOST TRADED THE SHARES OF MAKPETROL SKOPJE CKETS
p.12 MBI REPORT 09.06.2008 p.7 GAS STATIONS DRAW INFLATION
p.13 SALES CONTINUE - INDICES IN RED p.7 LUKOIL WANTS TO EXPAND IN MACEDONIA
p.13 FREAKY FRIDAY CAME EARLY ON WALL STREET VEST
p.15 MAY’S TURNOVER ON THE STOCK MARKET HALVES p.2 ON.TEL TO ACCUSE WHOLESALE PRICES OF TELEKOM
p.16 NEW RECORD OIL PRICE – ABOVE 139 US DOLLARS p.3 PETROL GOES UP TWO DENARS
p.16 UNI DENAR DEPOSIT WITH AN ATTRACTIVE INTEREST NOVA MAKEDONIJA
RATE p.1 KOSMOFON: WE WILL NOT BE CLOSED
p.16 PETROL GOES UP TWO, DIESEL GOES UP HALF A DENAR p.8 THE PRICE OF THE OIL GOES UP, THE MAKPETROL SHARE
p.17 SMALL BUSINESSES - MAJOR ACHIEVEMENTS GOES DOWN
UTRINSKI VESNIK p.8 ALL THE WORKERS BACK TO WORK IN SILMAK
p.1 KOSMOFON DENIES TO BE CLOSED p.8 NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF YOUNG ENTREPRENEURS TO
p.1 ELECTIONS DELAY TENDERS FOR HYDRO POWER PLANTS BE FORMED
p.5 YOUNG ENTREPRENEURS TO FORM ASSOCIATION p.8 THE LIVING EXPENSES FOR MAY INCREASED
p.7 МBI 09.06.2008 p.9 PETROL GOES UP TWO, DIESEL GOES UP HALF A DENAR
p.7 CROATIANS TO BUILD CENTER FOR PURCHASE OF VEGE- p.9 THE CUSTOMS ADMINISTRATION WILL INVESTIGATE WHE-
TABLE IN STRUMICA THER CUSTOMS OFFICERS ARE INVOLVED IN THE SMUG-
p.7 PETROL TO GO UP FOR TWO AND DIESEL FOR HALF DE- GLING OF CIGARETTES
NAR SPIC
VECER p.7 VELES TO PROTEST AGAINST THE SMELTER
p.1 STRUMICA VEGETABLE ON THE MARKETS IN EU p.7 ANOTHER APPRECIATION OF THE FUELS
p.4 THE TIME OF CASINO THEORY ON THE STOCK EXCHANGE p.7 EXPENSIVE LIVING
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11.06.2008 WEDNESDAY
1. SHORT REVIEW OF EVENTS
- Sava invest, the new company for funds much for hotel as for petrol, in which Dnevnik ted increase of the oil’ price two years ago,
management, is top news in the economic rub- makes comparison of the petrol’s prices in our when in that time seemed illusory, the previous
rics of daily newspapers, according to the num- country to the ones in the other countries. The month warned that the oil price may increase to
ber of the articles. Sava invest DD Skopje obta- petrol’s expensiveness in Macedonia is right be- even two hundred dollars per barrel in the fol-
ined permission for establishing company for hind the one in Serbia. With the last rising of pri- lowing two years, writes today’s Biznis.
funds management by the securities Commissi- ces of oil derivates, one litter of unleaded petrol In the same newspaper you can read the
on, convey today’s issues of print media. Accor- in our country costs 1, 22 euro, and at the Ser- Agony of the Macedonian shareholders doesn’t
ding to the Securities Commission, the basic ca- bian gas stations is sold at price of 1, 24 euro. ends, stock market indices still in red. In the text
pital of the new company amounts 200.000 eu- The price of the same type of petrol in Croatia stands that also the yesterday’s drop on the Ma-
ro, and the founders are two legal entities, Po- amounts 1,22 euro, as costs in our country, and cedonian stock market indices was grave. MBI-
zavarovalnica Sava a.d. Ljubljana, Slovenia and cheaper is the unleaded petrol in Monte Negro, 10 closed at -1, 61% worth 5.431,98 points. This
DD for insurance Sava tabak - Skopje. The where cots 1, 18 euro, in Slovenia costs 1, 16 is the lowest level since 15.04.2008, thus the
company will establish and manage with three euro per litter , in Bulgaria 1, 14 euro and in Bos- lowest value in the past twelve months.
investment funds. nia and Herzegovina costs 1,08 euro. The citi- Dnevnik conveys that National Bank will ta-
The Securities Commission gave approval zens who are planning in the following two ke 16 percents of the ordinary shares in Stopan-
also to the clearing house Klirinski interbankars- weeks to travel on holiday in some of these co- ska banka- Bitola, which are in ownership of the
ki sistemi a.d. Skopje for issuance seventh emi- untries should set aside at least 100 euro only Agricultural combine Pelagonija, because the
ssion of shares in amount of 14.670.000 denars. for fuel. management of Pelagonija haven’t met the
IK banka DD Skopje obtained permission to sell On the same subject, which apparently mo- terms for becoming owner. The shares will be
1.051 of their shares through public offer. re frequently imposes as dominant, the newspa- offered on sale through stock market auctions
TTK Banka increased its wide range of pro- per Biznis writes that the oil on world’s stock on 17th November this year.
ducts with the introducing of product intended markets, yesterday, realized considerable drop Vecer announces that the shares of the
for child savings is one of the events that mar- of price after previously reached the historic re- pharmaceutical company Alkaloid, in amount of
ked the previous day. With the child savings cord of 139 dollars per barrel. Light American oil almost one million euro, yesterday were sold in
every client younger than eighteen years has on the stock market in New York dropped to the Stock Exchange in block-transaction.
the opportunity to have transactions account 134, 35 dollars per barrel while on London’s Most of the daily newspapers announced
and savings account, and there are also two stock market one barrel of Brent reached price that EVN modernized the network. The new
types of saving books, denars savings book and of 133, 91 dollar. According to the experts’ cal- high voltage switchers in the transformer Stru-
foreign currency savings book. TTK Banka in culations the oil price this summer most proba- mica 1, new 110 kilovolt transmission line near
the frames of its campaign donated the kids bly will reach price of 150 dollars per barrel, be- Kavadarci and revitalization of most of the trans-
from the SOS Detsko selo - Skopje with check cause of the fact that the drop of the market of- formers are the new investments of” EVN Make-
in amount of 85.000 denars. fer surpasses the weak demand. donija “in the distributive network.
After the yesterdays rising of the petrol pri- Goldman Sachs, most attractive bank in the
ces, Dnevnik made an interesting analyze: As energetic market and one of the first that predic-
N
ational Chamber of young entrepre- too, said at the beginning of its representa- thousand members in Europe and 12 thou-
neurs was founded last week on initia- tion Richard Heck, member of the organiza- sand members in Germany, which is the
tive of Macedonian Chamber of Co- tion since 2000. biggest in the frames of this membership.
mmerce and with cooperation of the interna- Conferences have been organized on four
tional young entrepreneur’s organization JCI. - I`m entrepreneur and leader of five subjects all over the world, and very soon
organizations. To be a volunteer in the junior there will be a conference in New Delhi, In-
The development of the branch office is international chamber requires much time. dia. The same conference represents a proj-
the base of every economy. The use of for- But I can that it’s worth the energy and the ect, so that, Serbia too will organize a confer-
eign experiences can contribute to strength- effort invested in this engagement. I worked ence.
en the companies` competition. JCI interna- on European conference last year, I was The mission is to develop leadership
Date 16.06.2008 number 27
DAILY STOCK EXCHANGE REVIEW OF PRINT MEDIA EVENTS
berzNIK
9
Those two denars are not meant to make a
difference in the price, but they are a subven- Insuring agricultural crops in case
tion for applying of the milk production rule- of badweather conditions
book, in order for the farmers to be able to
buy equipment, chemicals for disinfection - Macedonia has increased and quality products
and for production of more quality milk with which should be distributed on the European markets,
those money. wherewith it would maintain the realistic price. In order
to realize that, the farmers should form cooperatives
The first phase of the payment of two which would administer the production, said Minister
denar per liter for the milk should have ended of Agriculture Aco Spasenoski on the meeting with the
in May. In some cities, the dairymen submit- press last week.
ted the lists from where they bought the milk,
and that procedure is not finished in 70% of In our country, Spasenoski added, there is not a
the dairies and the manufacturers cannot tradition for the farmers to mutually register firms
take subventions of two denars. through which they will realize purchase and export,
even though the country covers 50% of the expenses.
- The dairies informed us that they are in
a phase of updating, so we appeal to them to According to him, it is expected that businessmen
submit the lists as soon as possible. If the from Albania will visit Macedonia next week for even-
Strumica region has a milk surplus and if the tual signing of agreements for purchase of the domestic production. Spasenoski pointed out the
trend of decreasing of the price continues, unsolved property-rights relations in the agriculture as a major problem and he mentioned that
then other dairymen, who would purchase the purpose of the subventions is to eliminate the illegal actions, especially in the cadastre.
the milk in that region, will come-Spasenoski
emphasized. He informed that the interest for insuring the agricultural production from in case of bad
weather conditions, especially in the regions of Negotino, Kavadarci and Kocani. – The proce-
This year – more fertile harvest dure for obtaining policy is simple. The farmer should report his production in the district unit and
to insure it in order for the country to return 30% of the value of the policy later, Spasenoski said.
Veljo Tantarov, President of Farmers’
Union, said that, apart from the problems The interest of the insurance companies for providing such services is also increasing.
which appear in the Strumica region, they Vardar Insurance, Insurance national policy and Eurolink are the companies in which the farm-
also discussed with the Minister about the ers can insure themselves from natural disasters. The state separated 70 million denars for this
forthcoming harvest which will cover over measure this year, and the deadline for applying is 30th of June.
130,000 hectares this summer.
amounts of wheat and barley are expected, ed in the distribution of the products. These
- The current condition with the cereals in because the rains are causing problems to several categories of unlicensed traders
the entire country is well and we hope that the farmers for a while now. would be avoided this way. The Farmers’
this year we will have a more fertile harvest Federation is at disposal with its resources,
than last year, which we evaluate as one of Noticing the problems about the distribu- through which it will organize certain train-
the worst in the past 15 years. We will have tion of agricultural products, the Farmers’ ings and it would help farmers in the registra-
good crop in some regions, especially in Federation of the Republic of Macedonia in- tion and in the reinvigoration from those agri-
Ovce Pole, but we are concerned by the fact formed the Ministry of Agriculture and asked cultural losses, stated Gjoko Danailov, Pre-
that the conditions with the crops are not so for a support in forming of agricultural coop- sident of the Farmers’ Federation of the Re-
good in Pelagonija, from where the biggest eratives, where they would directly be includ- public of Macedonia.
skills, to develop own responsibility, entre- today you will never be a leader of the devel- some of them – mister Heineken, well known
preneurship and fellowship, in order to come opment tomorrow. The second reason is the after the beer Heineken, but nobody knows
to positive change. Our motto is to be better- leadership. If you want to be leaders in our that he was a member of this organization,
better husbands and wives, and better man- organization JCI, you can make mistakes Mr. Kennedy, Chirac, Clinton, Coffe Anan.
agers. The founder of our organization, and you can pass this experience in your
Biedenberg didn`t imagine our progress enterprises. Other reasons are the societal You also have your leaders in Macedonia
today. In our version several additional responsibility and community`s projects, and you should be proud that you have such
issues in relation to the activity as citizens in through which we help our children to live in names as Mother Teresa, and Alexander
the society are involved. Our web-site indi- better tomorrow. And of course fellowship – the Great who were leaders in the past and
cates that we communicate through four when there are many people with the same will continue to be leaders in future, empha-
channels – entrepreneurship, leadership, mental opinion and the same ideas, you sized among the other Richard Heck.
management, and training. In order to know that you are wining. The last matter is
achieve that we are based on four matters – the international events and fun. Experts of JCI consider that Macedonia
business working and behavior, as second too has a suitable business climate, especial-
base personal development, training and We focus on development of good lead- ly with alleviating the company`s registration
leadership so that you can be a leader of ers, on broad network, personal develop- process, and conditions of forming new com-
your own organization despite that you are ment of skills in all areas, to be the best in the panies.
not a leader in the company that you work in, learning business of good techniques, oppor-
and joining JCI means that you become a tunity to meet people who work in the same The Macedonian National Chamber of
member on the international organization. field as you sharing at the same time the young entrepreneurs is based on the same
interests and becoming trainer as I am. model as in other countries too, where this
The last base is the projects of the com- organization is present. Financing the organ-
munity and the participation in it. The proj- What is the benefit? Despite the profes- ization is made by membership fee, sponsor-
ects present opportunities to learn, to devel- sional thing that you learn, you meet many ships and governmental assets when it’s
op as individual and as a group. people; have free training, free network and about social projects. In more than 100 coun-
Why to join? The first reason is the per- free knowledge sharing. In order to reassure tries in the world, the international JCI organ-
sonal development. If you stop learning that you are the next individual I will point out ization has over 250 thousand members.
10 berzNIK number 27
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Date 16.06.2008
T
he researches implemented by the because they are surviving a credit boom… on, which could mean deflation. That price in-
European Commission on the situation We revise four possibilities to see the dynam- flexibility comes to the forth right here. Some
in the ten new member- states in the ic of the currency policy. We have a flexible countries have bigger problems to afford the
European Union, show that all of them have currency or flexible prices and we have in- adaptation. Similar example is the current
different economic growth, but also that there flexible prices. So far, it was much spoken on account deficit reduction. For example, the
are differences in their real nearing to the whether the application of a flexible currency credit shock and its influence on the current
Union`s growth level. For the growth and im- is good. Actually, there is interaction between account. In this case, there is a period when
portance of the economic policy, underlining these two things. If the country has flexible
the question are there any limitations for the prices, the implications of a fixed currency
real convergence speed, spoke Istvan Se- are smaller. If the country has completely fle-
keli, director for research in the Directorate xible prices, theoretically, this regime be-
General for Economic and Financial Affairs in comes almost unimportant. At the same time,
the European Commission, on the recent if the country has inadaptable prices, which
conference organized by the National Bank do not only include the prices market, but the
of Macedonia. labour market as well, than important impli-
cations happen. The country can become
- The analyses show that the Baltic coun- more sensitive to certain shocks and chan-
tries` economies, although they have suf- ges. Those are the greatest challenges a co-
fered economic shocks, converge significant- untry faces when creating its policy. If a co-
ly after the fast healing. The Central Europe- untry ha s a flexible currency or completely
an countries started converging earlier, in flexible home prices, than they are equally
2001, and Bulgaria and Romania much late- distributed.
ly. At the same time, great deficit on the cur- We take the households as second
rent account was noted with the fast conver- example. There are three kinds of house-
gence - said Sekeli. holds. The ones are oriented toward liquidity,
i.e. spend as much as they earn, the second
- Nobody doesn`t really know where is ones are those who take credits, depending
the limit of the convergence. We are facing a on their collateral, and the third group house-
different situation than the one we have holds is composed of households that have
experienced in the past. For these countries, funds and do whatever they want with them.
we can say that on this income level, the Suddenly, the households have need for
working force quality is unusually high. It is credits, not of a same value as their collater-
clearly indicated with the modern technology. al, but they take higher amount, e.g. 10 %
Namely, it shows those countries can produ- more. It does not happen only here, it hap-
ce better and more quality products if they pens in other countries as well. It is a shock
have more educated cadres. The Baltic co- in a system, when every household exceeds
untries - Lithuania and Latvia are example of the limit it is able to pay, to cover it by the
that as they realize much faster develop- pawn. So, they have unlimited access to take
ment, especially in export. credits from the bank. Actually, they have
certain limitations, but if they are removed,
But, there are also other factors that are the households will be able to take higher
important for the macroeconomic develop- amounts, which they will not be able to cover
ment, i.e. that influence the potential growth, by the pawns. This way the country can not
like the institutional quality, acquiring educati- make progress, on the contrary, it returns in
on, etc. Firstly, institution`s quality, not only the previous phase. The liabilities increase.
the public, but the private as well is of a great
importance. The second factor is acquiring So, both processes appear to be almost
appropriate education. The third factor is fi- same. Therefore, when some problem or
nance convergence, which includes the ho- shock arises, the policy creators can not
me saving, foreign investments and private notice all the problems immediately. They
crediting. I would mention the governments` should revise all the aspects, the conditions
efficiency as the last factor. when they arose and so on. Even after that
appropriate policy can be created.
Finance integration
If we consider the last example, in phase
The finance integration and its influence two is the credit shock. It is especially difficult
on the finance convergence are of a great part, because the fixed currency can be ma-
importance for the West Balkans countries de only through reduction of the home inflati-
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Macedonia has been approaching to the more advanced transition economies with high tempo in the past few years. We have been
achieving positive and stabile growth rates for several years in a row, but we are still far from the Eurozone average. Namely, the produc-
tivity in the trade sector is growing with relatively lower rates in relation with our foreign partners, which was especially expressed by the
lack of large foreign companies and the loss of important foreign markets due to export of low quality products. These were movements
that caused inflation pressures and absence of real appreciation in each situation, as it was the case in the transition countries. This is the
conclusion from the international conference organized by the National Bank of the Republic of Macedonia (NBRM) entitled “The
Competitiveness of Southeast European countries and challenges.”
The Governor of NBRM, Petar Gosev, on this occasion announced that in the last decade, Macedonia was recording relatively low eco-
nomic growth rate of 2.7% in average, which also brings low dynamics in approaching to EU. The gross domestic product per capita is
25.7% of the Eurozone average although it marked increase in relation with the year of 1996 (23.6%).
- In other words, we have bee achieving positive and stabile growth rates, furthermore, we reached the highest growth rate in 2007 with
GDP of 5.1%. This process is backed by the realized foreign investments and the expedited credit expansion, which last year marked
growth of 39%. Since last year`s closing quarter, the home inflation rate has speeded up largely due to the global food and energy price
increase-said Gosev.
However, all these parameters related to the economic growth are part of the transformation not only of our country, but the transfor-
mation of the Central and Southeast European countries on their road to the EU accession, which, as the Governor highlighted, will leave
great mark in the history of mankind.
the prices in certain country are higher than each country reacts on certain shock. There Once more I would mention the problem of
the prices in other countries. What do not must be other problems as well, which give incorrect allocation of the means. Unless one
surprise us are that in many Balkans` coun- different results. big government knows hoe to rightfully allo-
tries and other countries, theoretically we Here are also the biggest policy challen- cate the means, then, the success will be dif-
can divide the both shocks and can see how ges. The economies develop fast, the opini- ficult to be achieved.
ons of the public and the policy makers might
differ, but when phase two comes, all the As second item, I will mention the incre-
problems a country faces in its economy ase of the crediting again, which signifies an
come to the forth. increase of the potentials. Every day the cre-
ators of the politics should not think what
Challenges could they have done, but they should give
Important thing in this is the efficiency of more attention from the following day to real-
the Government and the quality of the public ly pledge for the fulfilling of the previously set
financing, as well as the labor quality and the goals – to allocate the means they have real-
possibility of introducing innovations. In ized in areas where they will be used the
many countries, the financial system is being best. As third, one mentions the trust in the
dominated by foreign corporations and insti- foreign exchange savings. Until few years
tutions, which can borrow means under their ago, most of the domestic savings have been
conditions. There are other mechanisms, in foreign exchange currencies. It is not a
such as private transfers, not only in Western matter of making a comparison between the
Balkan but in other countries too. And, it is savings in domestic currency and in foreign
very important to mention that when the cap- exchange currency. The problem is in the
ital goes in, it only creates bigger productivi- way of doing that and who are the investors
ty. Meaning, everything depends on the fi- in these means. The savings in foreign ex-
nancial system and how efficiently it can deal change are as much useful as they are the
the means it owns. If means are not invested, savings in domestic currency. However, the
the overall process will be founded on the problem in most of the countries is that the
expectations from several investments in the smaller banks are actually in ownership of
future. This is based on some expectations bigger foreign banks.
from the crediting that, unless we have
means that are not being allocated according Priorities
to their quality, then we can not have suc-
cessful distribution of means and their pro- In terms of priorities and the goal they
jection where it is necessary. should define when creating the policy, the
growth potential should be improved and in-
When it is possible the households invest creased, no matter which segment of the go-
too, regardless of the fact for what kind of vernment we talk about. The government
investment it is all about. Every household should enable positive environment which
wants to achieve more, to invest – whether in will enable economic growth. There are also
their education or in other spheres of the live. other important activities of the government,
If there are not enough investments, there and if we look back again on what we have
will be no progress of the productivity, which said, than it can be concluded that all shocks
draws other consequences. Unless the sys- one economy can suffer, i.e. negative effects,
tem does not have, or its capacities are limit- can only return the country one step back.
ed, then it is hard that certain society will
achieve success. Key role of the government in providing
stabile financial basis is reducing the activi-
Some of the implications in this part are ties that slow down country`s development.
– big government does not mean that it is Satisfactory allocation, dispersion of the ca-
wrong thing, but it is a question how this gov- dres should be enabled.
ernment is efficient. Maybe the sintagma big
government should adjust to the sintagma of The financial integration is only in favour
government that is big enough to achieve of the EU countries, not only those who are
certain success. There are governments that already members, but I hope as well the ap-
are big by numbers, but they are not efficient
enough in implementation of the politics. continues on page 12
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Date 16.06.2008
continues from page 11 had such problem and still try to achieve the ucts, which is not a case at oils, chemical
EU average level. products, machines and transport equip-
plicant countries will benefit of that, so adop- ment. There is technologic advancement, off
tion of wrong policies should be avoided. The new member - states fit well in the course, but the structural differences remain.
trend that is notable in the EU countries. The
Certain weaknesses are also present market participation in the SEE countries` In many cases, in many countries it will
here, and the central among them is the effi- export is much lower, but when they will inte- have to be seen why occurs greater export of
ciency, the effectiveness of the government, grate in the Union, their complete EU integra- low-technology level products than high-
especially in the public sector. Another as- tion will be seen, so for this reason, this fac- technology level products for export.
pect would be the credit boom notable in ma- tor`s importance should be born in mind.
ny countries and it can be wrongly interpret- The trade balance and the balance of the
ed, because the situation is far more favou- Main factor which propels the competi- current account were mentioned many times
rable than it looks like. What can the govern- tion is the stable real currency. What we see so far. What we see is that the trade courses
ment do in order to deal with it? It is very in Macedonia is stabile currency, and the in these countries increase and are now on
important to establish a policy that would be same applies to the other SEE countries. much higher level than in 2000. But, at the
scientifically founded. It should reflect the But, also, what we see growing is the costs same time the balance has worsened, IMF
real situation. The government can not deci- per working force. There are clear differen- also mentioned this. We face this on a world
de upon, for example, certain rise by 25 %, ces among the new member - states. For ex- level as the oil and food prices movement.
see the real possibility for such rise. There is ample, this is also notable in Romania, They are risk factors and bring challenge for
an interaction between the development of Czech Republic, Hungary. But, still, there are the economic policy in this area. There are
the macro economy and the credit policy. Di- positive examples- Slovenia, Croatia, where great examples, like Montenegro compared
agnose is the most important. If we deter- it is adapted on the purchasing price parity. with the external deficits in the Region, but it
mine the reasons for certain shock wrongly, There is concern that the costs per working is thought that the deficit deepens over the
than the consequences can be great. The force will be the SEE countries problem in years. The same is valid for some of the EU
factors which are important for a country to the EU convergence process. On the other members. What is good for Macedonia is that
estimate its own capacity are almost same in side, there are clear improvements of the despite the worsening, it has much better
all countries. It is the reforms that should help institutional framework. There is a significant starting point than many other countries in
when adapting on those consequences. It improvement in Macedonia in the last ten the Region in this respect, and that can be
should be long- term goal. The growth is not years and the level of these transition indica- good for your integration process.
a linear process, it faces certain shocks and tors is now moving much closer to those
the faster they are overcame, the more suc- noted in the EU countries. At this moment, Foreign investments
cessful will be the country, the economy. the region`s advantage is that the main ele-
ment is that one of the strongest factors give There are interesting differences among
In many cases, there are certain external indication toward certain loss or lowering the the countries in the composition of the com-
shocks which can totally prevent the imple- price competitiveness, but the weak factors bined current and capital account. For exam-
mentation of certain policy. But, still, it must give a better image- there is better infrastruc- ple, SEE from Bulgaria to Macedonia, includ-
be realized that only one effective policy can ture and it supports the trade with the EU ing Croatia, have big stocks and services
bring progress. If this progress is moved, we markets. The geographic location, the close- deficit, and in Albania, Macedonia, Bosnia
will face certain problems in many segments. ness to the enlarged EU, than progress in the and Herzegovina the capital account is not
regional cooperation and integration and it is used, but the income transfers. Also, high
Main factor- stabile course clear that these countries are attractive for level of foreign direct investments is notable.
foreign direct investments. In some countries, like Croatia, which is mo-
The competitiveness in South - Eastern re advanced in the process of integration,
Europe is one of the most important issues Progress in the trade integration they are higher. Montenegro also, which at-
that should be solved in the process of EU in- tracts many foreign direct investments, and
tegration of these countries, pointed out Pe- It is evident that the SEE countries are Macedonia ism not that much attractive.
ter Mooslechner, director of Peter the Eco- coming closer to the EU level, which shows
nomic Analysis Section – Oesterreichische that there is clear increase in the stocks and The composition of the foreign direct
National bank, who explained the initial gap services export. Macedonia has therefore investments should be taken into considera-
at income on the Conference, the factors that good performances in that aspect too. Which tion here. In many of these countries the
are in its basis in the SEE countries and their factors are in the basis of these favourable services are very significant, especially in the
competitiveness in the Frames of Europe movements? It seems like mainly the increa- finance sector. As a conclusion the question-
and which direction does the region move to. sed participation in the interregional trade where does the region go - is asked. One
has its own significant part. We see that the important fact is that SEE has a significant
- According to the income levels it can be export participation with the prosperous EU value according to the cost and the price in
noticed that they are lower in the South- states is reduced, but that of the new EU relation to EU. EU is most important trade
Eastern European countries are lower than in member- states is increased. The increased partner of the SEE countries, but they have
the EU countries. Those amounts are differ- participation of the SEE region integration is low participation in the EU overall import,
ent indifferent countries. But I think that in the main locomotion of the export increase. If which indicates significant potential for
general, coming closer to the level which is we revise the kind of goods that are traded, growth. The trade with Central and Eastern
realized in the EU member - states is positi- we can realize that there is smaller concen- Europe and the five countries of this region
ve. So, it should be seen how much time will tration of chemical products and machines in shows strongest growth than the rest of the
pass until reconciliation is reached, i.e. low- the export, and that is one of the critical po- EU. The specialization of the low-technology
ering the lag in income amount. What would ints in the integration process. These are the and basic products faces great competition
happen if the income rises by 2 % at aver- two areas where more advanced products with the Asian countries, especially China.
age; how long will it take if these countries or are included, with higher quality. If we con- Obviously, technologic advancement is nec-
this group of countries reach rise by 5 %, 6 sider the comparative advantages of the SEE essary in order to achieve long-term compet-
%, etc? It will take time, which is seen from countries on the EU advanced market, it is itiveness.
the experience of Portugal and Greece, evident that there is progress in processing
which, at the time they integrated in the EU and the other processed stocks and prod- V.M.
Date 16.06.2008 number 27
DAILY STOCK EXCHANGE REVIEW OF PRINT MEDIA EVENTS
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12-13.06.2008 THURSDAY-FRIDAY
1. SHORT REVIEW OF EVENTS
The government and the telecom did not And, as Vecer and Biznis report, yes- Several of the today’s newspapers have
come to an agreement in the agreed, this is the terday most of the shares marked low liquidity on announced the news that the Tikvesh Winery is
conclusion that comes after the yesterday’s the- the Stock Exchange. The correction has caused registering a company in Great Britain under the
atric end of the Shareholding assembly of decrease of the stock exchange index MBI – 10 name Tikvesh wines international limited, with a
Telecom. The government is not satisfied with half for 0.83% and the yesterday’s trading day has goal to win this market. As founders of the new
dividend from the Macedonian telecom and ended with traded 78.5 millions of denars from all company are the Kavadari winery with a packet of
demands the total amount from the gain, convey of the market segments. Namely, in the last sev- 51% of the shares and the German company
the daily newspapers. it is a matter of a gain in the eral days, the investors were not asking about the Risse with 49%. The purpose of the joint compa-
work of the Macedonian telecom in 2007 and the selling price of the shares. It seems like the main ny is researching the Western European market,
accumulated gain from 2006. Yesterday, the rep- objective had been to be selling as fast as it is logistics and placement of the products of
resentatives from the government capital in the possible and at any cost. Such panic way of sell- Tikvesh, inform from the Winery.
Macedonian telecom have left the meeting of the ing resulted with the sale of the shares for lower Today, you can also read that the head office
Shareholding assembly dissatisfied from the sug- prices than the initial ones… However, yesterday, of OTE from Greece in whose ownership is the
gested dividend, due to which the Assembly was the interest of the investors was turned towards second mobile operator in the country, confirmed
interrupted. According to the suggestion from the denationalization bonds from the fifth emis- that Kosmofon is not closing down. According to
Magjar telecom, which was adopted in the last sion. With them, a turnover of 45 millions of the Greek newspapers Katimerini and
month from the Board of directors, for the two denars has been realized or almost 60% from the Elefterotipija, the president of OTE and Kosmote,
years half of the profits should be divided. But in total turnover on the market. Mr. Panagis Vurlumis, in the speech before the
this case, the government is entitled to 28 millions Nova Makedonija with Stock Exchange parliament has rejected the publications in some
of euros instead of the planned 60 millions… analysis too, according to which, the envisages media for the sale and for the closing down of
In the focus of today’s press is also the news that with the emerge of the investment funds, the Kosmofon, estimating them as irresponsible.
for the First regional conference for investors from courses of the Macedonian Stock Exchange for Vreme conveys the analysis of the World
the market of capital in Southeastern Europe, held securities will become active, did not came true. Bank, calling the countries from Western Balkan
yesterday in Zagreb. All of the eight stock This, as it stands in the text is basic impression to deepen the integration process in the European
exchanges from the region of Southeastern upon which almost every manager and analyst Union and the intracooperation, to decrease the
Europe are participating on the conference and included in this business agree. The explanation expenses for telecommunication services and to
they are presented with 24 regional companies. is that the political condition that created psy- solve the problem with the lack of electricity in
Organizing portfolio representation for the chosis with the citizens and the investors is the order to support their economic growth.
investors in the region is one of the activities main reason because of which the funds did not -The last decade, especially the last five
envisaged with the partnership memorandum, succeed to collect enough capital in order to years were extremely good for the countries of
signed by the stock exchanges in 2007. This rep- become movers on the Stock Exchange. Western Balkan. Now they should improve and
resentation has a goal of promoting the regional There are five fund management companies maintain their successes in decreasing the pover-
market and the companies. 150 institutional and three active open investment funds. There ty and to get closer towards EU, even and if the
investors were present on the conference where are also thirty private investment funds in the surroundings set new challenges – is stated in the
160 bilateral discussions between the investors country, from which most of them work with secu- report from the World Bank.
and the companies have been agreed upon. rities.
14.06.2008 SATURDAY
1. SHORT REVIEW OF EVENTS
The news for the condition of the domestic ment on the decision for the interest in the millions of euros, it will last 18 months and it has
market of the mobile telephony is the most com- National Bank, with which the interest being been initiated and carried out by Euro Chambers.
mon among the Saturday’s printed media. The charged by the National bank for the Lombard Utrinski Vesnik emphasizes the leaving of the
newspapers inform that the Commission at the credit instead of 7.5 percents will amount 8.5 per- third group of economic promoters of the country
Electronic communication agency has rejected cents. during this week. Their destinations are Germany,
the appeals of the T – Mobile and Kosmofon oper- According to the Stock Market analysis in France, Norway, Denmark, Sweden, Finland and
ators for the initial solutions for referent offers for Nova Makedonija, MBI – 10 continues to go down the Baltic countries, then follow Russia, Ukraine
interconnection, i.e. these two operators will and it has lost half percent more on last Thursday, and Kazakhstan, Bulgaria with Romania Israel,
charge 50 percents lower prices for VIP for the on the last trading day from the last week and it Jordan and Egypt, China, Hong Kong, Korea,
calls towards their network. The decision of the closed on 5 358.34 points. The turnover of the offi- Japan and India with Malaysia, Singapore and
Commission is final, and the operators are due to cial market in classic trading was 17.7 millions of Australia. Macedonia will have a total of 18 pro-
submit the amendment of the referent offer for denars. Bigger thickness of the traded shares in moters abroad that are going to help in attracting
approval to the Agency, in a deadline of 30 days one transaction on Thursday has been noted with foreign investments.
from the adoption of the second instance deci- Granit, Alkaloid, Komercijalna Banka and Utrinski announces that Silmak will become
sion, is stated in the announcement of AEK, from Makpetrol. Together, these shares have realized a operational with seven stoves for the production
where they explain that such decision has been turnover of eight millions of denars, which repre- of ferrosilicium. After the reactivation of Silmak in
reached in order for efficient competitiveness in sents almost half of the total turnover on the offi- the beginning of March this year, one started with
the area of public communication services in the cial market, and they also dragged MBI – 10 monthly production of around 4 000 tons of fer-
country to be promoted. down. rosilicium and now one gets near to 5 200 tons of
The National Bank wants to rein the increas- In Nova Makedonija you will read that the monthly production. For such production effect, all
ing trend of crediting, is the title of the article in Balkan chamber’s network will hunt down foreign of the 600 workers that had been on forced vaca-
Vecer, which informs that the banks and the sav- investments. Two thousand of companies from tion earlier have been engaged.
ings – banks in the country from the 1st of July will EU and from Western Balkan can point out the In today’s newspapers is the announcement
be obliged to separate additional deposit with the obstacles for attracting direct foreign investments that Usje and Silmak have bought the night elec-
National Bank, in case if the growth of the credits in the survey that will be implemented in the tricity i.e. the electricity from the night surpluses,
from the population goes over 40% at the end of frames of the “Partneri 2” project, with which the which were offered by MEPSO in the period from
the year. About the compulsory deposit, the investments in Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, 16th to 22nd of June. From this action, the trans-
National bank will pay interest from one percents Macedonia, Croatia, Montenegro and in Serbia mitting system operator will cash in 62 000 euros.
on annual level. The Council has adopted amend- will be promoted. The project costs at least 1.3
DNEVNIK OVERFLOWS
p.7 "VIP" TO PAY CHEAPER INTERCONNECTION p.6 BANKS EXAGGERATE WITH CREDITS
UTRINSKI VESNIK VEST
p.3 DEPOSIT OF THE BANKS TO NBM IF THE CREDITS p.3 SILMAK TURNS ON ALL THE SEVEN STOVES
INCREASE FOR OVER 40 PERCENTS NOVA MAKEDONIJA
p.4 “SILMAK” TO START TO WORK WITH SEVEN STOVES p.8 THE FUNDS ARE DEPOSITING IN KOMERCIJALNA, ALKA-
p.7 МБИ 12.06.2008 LOID AND IN GRANIT
p.7 APPEALS OF “T-MOBILE” AND” KOSMOFON” TO BE REJECT- p.8 DESULFURIZATOR UNTIL MONDAY TO BE SET OR TO STOP
ED THE REFINING IN “OKTA
p.7 THE THIRD GROUP OF ECONOMIC PROMOTERS TO SET p.8 BALKAN CHAMBER’S NETWORK TO HUNT FOREIGN
OFF INVESTMENTS
p.7 THE BLOCKADES BEFORE “OKTA” AT EASE UNTIL MONDAY p.8 AEK REJECTED THE APPEALS OF “T – MOBILE” AND “KOS-
VECER MOFON”
p.6 DEPOSIT FOR THE BANKS FOR MORE GRANTED LOANS SPIC
p.6 USJE AND SILMAK BOUGHT THE NIGHT POWER p.1 “OKTA” TO RELEASE MOUNTAIN AIR?
VREME p.6 “OKTA” TO RELEASE MOUNTAIN AIR?
p.4 “OKTA” GOT EXPULSION UNTIL MONDAY
p.6 THE SALE OF PETROLEUM DRIES UP, STATE BUDGET
Date 16.06.2008 number 27
DAILY STOCK EXCHANGE REVIEW OF PRINT MEDIA EVENTS
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09.06.-14.06.2008 MONDAY-SATURDAY
1. SHORT REVIEW IN THE WEEKLY MAGAZINES
GLOBUS Pg. 43 THREE NEW OPEN FUNDS WILL ENTER STOCK EXCHAN-
GE1
Pg.28 LIFE WITH GAS-MASKS Macedonian capital market received new institutional player. Insurance
This situation is not surprising by two reasons. The radioactive iron usu- company Sava Tabak together with Slovenian company Pozavarovalnica
ally comes from Kosovo, where generally the radiation has highly been Sava (Sava Re) from Ljubljana founded new company for investment funds
increased because of the war there and taking into consideration that management which name is Sava Invest.
Macedonia, despite the warnings from the International agency for atom
energy, still doesn’t have adequate warehouse for low and middle-radioac- Pg. 44 A WEEK IN THE SIGN OF TOPLIFIKACIJA!
tive waste, then radioactive lightning rods and old radioactive sources that The first week of June brought nothing spectacular concerning the
were used in the industry can often be found among old iron. turnover or the share prices. Realized have been transaction worth 113,6 mil-
lion denars, which is 13 million more compared to the week before. On the
official market the turnover was 20 million denars bigger and on the regular
KAPITAL market one million denar smaller.
Pg. 8 LUKOIL IS YET TO EXPAND THE BUSINESS IN MACEDONIA Pg. 46 STOPANSKA BANKA INCREASED THE INTERESTS OF DE-
The upcoming period the Russian oil company Lukoil will expand its ac- NAR CREDITS AND DEPOSITS
tivities in Macedonia, the company’s president, Vagit Alekperov, announced Stopanska banka increased the interest rates of denar credits and
on the meeting with Macedonian president, Branko Crvenkovski. deposits for 0,5 and 1%. Unchanged remain the interest rates of the credits
with property or deposit pledge.
Pg.8 GOVERNMENT AND AGROKOR START BUSINESS TOGETHER Pg. 46 EXPERT-LOANS FOR PROFESSIONALS FROM OHRIDSKA
IN STRUMICA BANKA
In Strumica these days started the preparations for the construction of Experts-loans of Ohridska banka are purposed for the professional
the first agro-stock exchange in the country. According to the announce- needs of legal and physical entities who deal with legal professions (lawyers,
ments, the purchase-distribution center in Strumica will officially be opened notaries, bailiffs), medical professions (doctors, dentists, vets), technical pro-
before the beginning of next production season. fessions (architects, civil engineers, appraisers, auditors, consultant, book-
keepers) and other profession (reporters, artist etc.).
Pg.11 KOSMOFON CONTINUES TO OPERATE, BUT IN WHAT WAY
The office of Kosmofon in Macedonia sent an announcement in which it Pg.82 BECUTAN TURNS 30
explains that it will not close, after the Greek paper Ta Nea published that the In the hotel Belvi lat week Macedonian pharmaceutical company alkaloid
company will close its branch in Macedonia so that it does not harm the inter- celebrated the 30th birthday of its most recognizable brand Becutan.
ests of Deutsche Telekom.
Pg. 42 ZK PELAGONIJA LEAVES STOPANSKA BANKA-BITOLA BY Pg.26 WITH THIS PACE, MACEDONIA WILL IN 2040 REACH THE
FORCE LEVEL OF CROATIA FROM 2007!
Governor of National Bank of Macedonia, Petar Gosev, passed decisi- The big support that Nikola Gruevski and VMRO-DPMNE received on
on by which the shares ZK Pelagonija owns in Stopanska banka-Bitola will the early parliamentary elections is mainly due to the successes the Gover-
be sold through public auction on Macedonian stock exchange. nment had on economic plan.
16 berzNIK number 27
DAILY STOCK EXCHANGE REVIEW OF PRINT MEDIA EVENTS
Date 16.06.2008
SECURITIES COMMISSION
KIBS - seventh share
Sava Invest-new company for funds management emission
Another company for funds management-Sava Invest AD Skopje on the capital market, The Securities Commission gave the
which got founding permit from the SC. Founders of Sava Invest AD Skopje are two legal per- Clearing house Klirinski Interbankarski sis-
sons-Pozavarovalnica Sava d.d. Ljubljana, Republic of Slovenia and the Joint-stock insurance temi AD Skopje permission to issue seventh
company Sava Tabak Skopje. The company’s capital is 200.000 Euros. It is planned the com- share emission. With this the KIBS received
pany to found and manage three open investment funds. Founding the new company for funds approval to issue 1.467 ordinary shares
management increases the competition in the investment operation on Macedonian securities worth 14.670.000 denars. The emission is
market. Sava Invest AD Skopje is the fifth company for funds management in the Republic of purposed for known buyers-the company’s
Macedonia. shareholders.
W E E K LY R E V I E W O F M A C E D O N I A N S T O C K E X C H A N G E
period 09.06. - 13.06.2008
Date 16.06.2008 number 27
DAILY STOCK EXCHANGE REVIEW OF PRINT MEDIA EVENTS
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