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International Civil Aviation Organization

Global Safety Analysis


ICAOs Safety Initiatives

Air Navigation Bureau


T/O - Henry Defalque

A More Strategic Approach


ICAO Safety Framework
ICAO and the UN Community Safety data Policy & Standardization
GASP Update Safety Annex

Safety Analysis

Evolving to a risk-based process Continuous Monitoring Approach Runway Safety

Safety Monitoring Implementation

3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

ICAO working with the UN Community


Involved in crisis mgt & redevelopment for many years In most cases, outside the UN framework for: strikes & disasters response, contingency routing schemes and assistance to States Now working hard on integrating into the larger UN community for crisis management and redevelopment:
E.g.:

Accepted as member of the WFP Logistics cluster

Japan tsunami: Joint Radiation Emergency Mgt Plan sub-group South-Sudan support (ANS) Libya crisis: involved in upcoming UN assessment mission
3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

Fatalities (2001-2010)
Scheduled Commercial Transport greater than 2 250kg only

Fatalities per Year


806

900 800
Number of Fatalities

767 645 524 670

700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Annual fatalities Five-year moving average

2007

2008

2009

2010
4

Source: iSTARS

Accidents (2001-2010)
Accidents and Fatal Accidents per Year
Scheduled Commercial Transport greater than 2250kg only
138

160 140
Number of Accidents
112 122

131 113

120 100 80 60 40 20 0

All Accidents

For the last 10 years, on the average, 1 out of 7 accidents is fatal Fatal Accidents
15 15 16 13 20

2001
Source: iSTARS

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010
5

Regional Accident Rates (2001-2010)


35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 APAC
Source: iSTARS
Per million departures

24.9 21.7

8.0 2.3 3.8 3.1 2.6 4.0 5.7

7.9 3.5 3.1 5.5

8.1

ESAF
2001-2005

EUR/NAT
2006-2010

MID

NACC

SAM

WACAF
6

ICAO Adaptive Moving Average

Accidents in Detail: Identifying the main killers


Accidents and related fatalities by Occurrence categories
Scheduled Commercial Transport 2005- 2010

*All accidents with a specified occurrence only

*
Mass Group greater than 2 250 kg

Current Global Aviation Safety Plan


A high-level policy document guiding efforts of the States, industry and international organizations Update scheduled for 2011 that will introduce safety management principles to create a strategic approach to implementation of global safety initiatives (GSI) Accomplished in parallel and in harmony with the update of the Global Aviation Safety Roadmap (GASR)

3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

Overview of Updated GASP


Objective

Strategic coordination of global safety activities Guide the prioritization and allocation of aviation safety resources Measureable achievement of global safety targets

GASP

3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

Strategic Approach
Goal

Reduce the risk of loss of human life through continuously enhancing aviation safety Safety targets will be defined according to risk criteria Continually measured for significant change Linked to global safety targets Specific metrics will monitor GSI effectiveness
3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

Safety Targets

Goal Safety Targets Global Safety Initiatives

Global Safety Initiatives

Proposed Safety Targets


General Target

Reduce the number of fatalities AND the global fatal accident rate resulting from aviation accidents worldwide irrespective of the volume of traffic

Supporting Safety Targets (risk-based)

Significantly reduce the rate of high-risk accidents and serious incidents including: Runway related events Loss of control in-flight Controlled flight into terrain
3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

Global Safety Initiatives (GSI)


Developed to enhance safety globally, by addressing safety issues specific to States GSI focus will follow a progressive implementation model building safety management practices on sound fundamental safety oversight systems GSI metrics will monitor progress, providing timely information regarding the global state of safety Information sharing is essential to the implementation and measurement of many GSIs
3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

Proposed Global Safety Initiatives


GSI 1 - Implementation of International Standards and Recommended Practices GSI 2 - Establishment and Management of a Regulatory Oversight System GSI 3 - Maintaining Sufficient Number of Qualified Personnel GSI 4 - Establishment and Management of Accident and Incident Investigation Capabilities GSI 5 - Establishment and Management of a Safety Reporting System GSI 6 - Alignment and Coordination of Regional Programmes GSI 7 - Implementation of State Safety Programme (SSP) GSI 8 - Use of Technology to Enhance Safety GSI 9 - Continuous Monitoring and Improvement of States Aviation Safety System
3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

Current Safety SARPs for SSP / SMS


Safety Management SARPs for States Date Nov 2006 Nov 2010 Nov 2010 SSP SSP Framework (Attachment) Denomination Safety Programme Annex 6, 11,14 1, 8,13 1, 6, 8,11,13,14

Safety Management SARPs for Service Providers Date Nov 2001 Jan 2009 Nov 2010 Nov 2010 Nov 2013 SMS SMS SMS Framework (Appendix) SMS
3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

Denomination Safety Management Programme

Annex 11,14 6, 11,14 1 1, 6, 11,14 8

ICAO High-level Safety Conference 2010 RECOMMENDATION 2/5


ICAO should develop, in close collaboration with States, international and national organizations, a new Annex dedicated to safety management responsibilities and processes which would address the safety management responsibilities of States framed under the State Safety Programme (SSP) The new Safety Management Annex should facilitate the provision of State and air carrier safety information to the travelling public, in addition to specifying the high level safety responsibilities of States

3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

Related Council Decision Two phased development process:


19

Safety Management

Initial phase focused on the reorganization of existing SARPs and supporting guidance material. Concurrently, an in-depth review of SARPs will be initiated to assess whether they need to be amended or expanded.

3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

Safety Management Guidance Material


Safety Management Manual

Update planned for 2011 Detailed guidance to be developed for SMS / SSP implementation

3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

ICAO is Walking the Talk


Safety Analysis

Integrated Safety Trend Analysis & Reporting System (iSTARS) Analytical support for ICAO safety programmes and worldwide audits Leverages the benefits of data provided by multiple stakeholders

3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

iSTARS
www.icao.int (under Safety menu)

3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

The Benefits of Information Sharing


Aggregation The combination of multiple like data sources
Enhances data quality & increases sample sizes to identify emerging safety issues Enables comparative benchmarking analyses to determine best practices

3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

The Benefits of Information Sharing


Integration The combination of multiple disparate types of data
Provides comprehensive perspective to identify systemic hazards Essential to mitigate complex safety issues

3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

The Benefits of Information Sharing


Efficiency
Information sharing can reduce or eliminate duplication of effort Proven synergies related to safety audit practices Operational savings realized through proactive use of shared information

3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

An Important Distinction
Data or information?
Data consists of facts
May be sensitive or create liability

Information is the result of data analysis


May be more easily exchanged with external entities

Common taxonomies and interoperable data management systems are essential

3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

But, there are costs


Issue:
Information sharing requires investment of time & resources

Expected outcome:
ICAO is working with Member States & industry partners to facilitate exchange of safety information

3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

as well as risks
Issue:
Shared information has potential to create liability, or compromise organizational interests

Expected outcome:
ICAO multidisciplinary Task Force will enhance protective standards & recommended practices

3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

The Global Safety Information Exchange (GSIE)


Sharing aviation safety information among key players in the civil aviation community:
Initial partners are ICAO, IATA, the FAA and the EU. A steering group involving all participants has been established. First meetings have looked at information to be shared and how to harmonize shared data (ex: accident rates) and at safety outreach activities.

3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

ICAO Continuous Monitoring Approach (CMA) Online Framework


The applications within the online framework will facilitate the administration and management of:
State Aviation Activity Questionnaires ( SAAQs) Compliance Checklists (CCs) Protocol Questions (PQs) Mandatory Information Requests (MIRs) Finding and Recommendations (F&Rs) Significant Safety Concerns (SSCs) and Corrective Action Plans (CAPs)

This enhances the effectiveness and efficiency of the USOAP CMA in identifying deficiencies and associated safety risks.

3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

Online Safety Framework


Resources
Data Management Systems
USOAP Web Site eFOD iSTARS Air Navigation Plan AN Deficiencies ICAONET
RASG

Products

Customers
CAA and Council
Global Safety Awareness

Processes

Regional/State Safety Awareness Carry out Safety Oversight Responsibilities


File/Research Differences to ICAO SARPs Keep aircraft and air operators data up to date

Aircraft Registry System (ARS)


Air Operator Certificate System (AOC)

Inspectors
Look up Safety information on Aircraft
3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

Online Safety Framework


Resources
Data Management Systems
USOAP Web Site eFOD iSTARS Air Navigation Plan AN Deficiencies ICAONET
RASG

Products

Customers
CAA and Council
Global Safety Awareness

Processes

Regional/State Safety Awareness Carry out Safety Oversight Responsibilities


File/Research Differences to ICAO SARPs Keep aircraft and air operators data up to date

Aircraft Registry System (ARS)

CMA Online Framework

Inspectors
Look up Safety information on Aircraft

Air Operator Certificate System (AOC)

3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

Safety Monitoring
The Transition to CMA

Two-year transition to the CMA (2011-2012) CMA implementation will begin January 2013

3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

Implementation Creating Comprehensive Solutions

420 Participants convened to address our top safety issues related to runway safety A multidisciplinary approach, involving airlines, airport operators, ANSPs and other stakeholders
3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

GRSS Outcomes
One size does not fit all
Solutions need to account for local conditions yet be standardized and harmonized to ensure interoperability Runway incursions and excursions are the main issues but other aspects such as Bird Strike, FOD should not be overlooked

Collaborating at multiple levels

International organizations have committed to work together to compile and promote proven solutions and endorse best practices Runway Safety Teams should be established locally and hosted by the airports
3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

GRSS Outcomes
Improve Standardization / Harmonization
Develop guidance to define and launch Runway Safety Teams Harmonize Runway Safety definitions, taxonomies and reporting of runway conditions and other safety indicators Standardize and improve communication procedures ICAO to ensure that Standards and Guidance material are fit for purpose Implementation of ICAO Standards monitored through the Continuous Monitoring Approach

3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

GRSS Outcomes
All partners have committed to increasing the exchange of runway safety information

http://www2.icao.int/en/ism/iStars

ICAO Dedicated Runway Safety page Library of downloadable toolkits and documents Contributions from partner organizations Links to Skybrary and other runway safety partner sites

3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

Regional Runway Safety Seminars


All Runway Safety Programme Partners have committed to deliver Regional Runway Safety Seminars RRSS events will result in action plans to create runway safety teams and provide support to those already in place

3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

Proposed RRSS schedule


Proposed Date Location State Co-host

2011: 24 - 25 Oct 2011: 06 08 Dec 2012: 08 Mar 2012: Apr/May 2012: Jul 2012: Aug *2012: Oct/Nov 2013: Mar 2013: Jun 2013: Aug 2013: Sep 2013: Nov

Miami Delhi Amsterdam Middle East South America Philippines Cape Town Western Africa Europe Asia Pacific Europe Asia Pacific

FAA CAA, India Eurocontrol

IFATCA

International Organisation Co-host

IATA / FSF ATC Global / CANSO CANSO CANSO AAPA / IATA CANSO ACI

Eurocontrol Eurocontrol

IATA AAPA / IATA IATA FSF

3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

Thank you
T/O Henry Defalque hdefalque@icao.int
3rd Global Aviation Safety Conference, Acapulco 19-20 Sept 2011

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