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March 2013
CLIMATE
NSW seasonal outlook
The national outlook for March to May 2013 indicates average autumn rainfall for NSW and wetter than normal autumn for western NSW (top left), cooler days (top right) and average to warmer nights (below right). The outlook is due mainly to warmer than normal waters in the Indian Ocean. The skill in predicting NSWs rainfall outlook is low at this time of year (bottom left), so caution is needed when using the outlook to make decisions.
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/?ref=ftr
Ocean temperatures
Ocean temperatures around most of Australia are warmer than average which may promote increased regional rainfall.
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/ocean/sst/anomaly/index.html
El Nino developments
Climate models indicate ENSO-neutral conditions are likely to persist through the southern hemisphere autumn. Sustained SOI values above +8 may indicate a La Nia event, sustained negative values below 8 may indicate an El Nio event. Values between +8 and 8 generally indicate neutral conditions.
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/
Soil moisture profiles from left: February topsoil, January topsoil, February subsoil, January subsoil. http://www.eoc.csiro.au/awap/cgi/awap2.pl?ser=Australia_2007monthly25a
Water storages
NSW water storages have dropped to 62.3% of their capacity, compared with 80.9% last year.
http://water.bom.gov.au/waterstorage/awris/#urn:bom.gov.au:awris:common:codelist: region.state:newsouthwales
MetEye trial
This month BoM will launch its new MetEye map viewer and local weather pages as an experimental trial service. It has similar features to Forecast Explorer.
http://www.bom.gov.au/weatherservices/announcements/general/meteye-dashboard.shtml
POAMA is coming
From May, BoM forecasts will be based on dynamic climate modelling rather than historical records. BoM will use its Predictive Ocean Atmosphere Model for Australia (POAMA) which uses ocean and atmosphere conditions to create forecasts. Presentations from a November workshop explaining the models capability, including a farmers perspective, are available online.
http://poama.bom.gov.au/poama_workshop.shtml
CLIMATE RESOURCES
Annual climate summary
BoMs 2012 climate summary provides a national overview of temperature, rainfall and significant events, and reports essential information for all climate-affected industries and anyone interested in Australias climate. The year included severe flooding and a significant heatwave. A two minute video summary is also available.
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/annual_sum/2012/index.shtml
Flood resilience
A study of the impacts of the 2010-11 floods found high levels of acceptance of catastrophe and stoic endurance, reflecting strong community resilience. That resilience can be built on to advance adaptive behaviour, but it needs to be nurtured and facilitated by external agencies.
http://www.nccarf.edu.au/publications/floods-household-adaptation-strategies
The Climate Commissions latest report, The angry summer, says the season was unusual for the record-breaking intensity and duration of the weather events, with one of the driest periods on record from July to December, an unusually long and widespread heatwave in December-January; and record-breaking rainfall on the east coast in January-February.
http://climatecommission.gov.au/wp-content/uploads/6868R-DCCEE-Angry-Summer-Report_lowres.pdf
EMISSIONS
Eleven CFI methodologies now approved
There are now 11 methodologies approved for Carbon Farming Initiative projects. Three relate to destruction of manure methane, four to vegetation, and four to landfill waste. Another 13 methodology proposals are under consideration by the Domestic Offsets Integrity Committee, and five proposals have not been endorsed.
http://www.climatechange.gov.au/government/initiatives/carbon-farming-initiative/methodology-development.aspx
WATER
WA catchments are drying
Runoff into the WA reservoirs is projected to reduce by about three times more than the reduction in rainfall. Catchments have dried so much since 1975 that a given rainfall amount now generates less runoff. Catchment water yields will only recover if there are decades of rainfall large enough to raise groundwater levels within the deeply weathered profiles. According to model projections, this is unlikely to happen.
http://www.clw.csiro.au/publications/waterforahealthycountry/swsy/pdf/SWSY-Factsheet-Overview.pdf
SOILS
Soil carbon paddock protocols
A protocol for assessing soil carbon levels in farm paddocks was developed by NSW DPI, Office of Environment and Heritage and Lachlan Catchment Management Authority as part of the CAMBI project, in which soil carbon levels in paddocks had to be assessed as part of farm contracts to increase soil carbon over five years.
http://www.dpi.nsw.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0010/457228/Soil-testing-protocols-at-the-paddock-scale-for-contracts-andaudits.pdf
ENERGY
NSW coal seam gas measures
The NSW Government has announced new measures for the states coal seam gas operations, including a two kilometre exclusion zone around residential zones and exclusion zones for viticulture and the equine industry. Exploration, assessment and production titles and activities will be required to hold an Environment Protection Licence, and an Office of CSG Regulation will be established within the Department of Trade and Investment. The Chief Scientist and Engineer will conduct an independent review of all CSG activities, including the potential impact on water catchments, management of risks arising from CSG activities, and management of the interface with residential properties in non-urban areas. A preliminary report is to be delivered to the government in July this year.
http://www.resources.nsw.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0008/458018/TOUGH-NEW-RULES-FOR-COAL-SEAM-GASACTIVITY.pdf
BIODIVERSITY
Pesticides and fertilisers impact amphibians
A review of the impact of pesticides and fertilisers on amphibians found that inorganic fertilisers, organophosphates, chloropyridinyl, phosphonoglycines, carbamates, and triazines negatively affected amphibian survival, while organophosphates and phosphonoglycines negatively affected amphibian growth. Best management practices in agroecosystems need to incorporate amphibian species-specific response to agrochemicals as well as life stage dependent susceptibility to best conserve amphibian biodiversity in agricultural landscapes.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23422494
FOOD
Climate change and food systems review
This review provides a critical literature review of the relationship between climate change and food systems. The impacts of global climate change on food systems are expected to be widespread, complex, geographically and temporally variable, and profoundly influenced by socioeconomic conditions.
http://www.annualreviews.org/eprint/EBIXxM7sNxrBJyuRYgki/full/10.1146/annurev-environ-020411-130608
LAND USE
Planning for healthy agriculture
Queensland Farmers Federation has published a guide to good practice land use planning for prosperous agriculture. The guide includes nine planning principles to support agriculture. QFF believes that if these nine principles were addressed in planning documents, strategies and regulations at the state, regional; and local levels, agriculture will be on a healthier footing for the future.
https://dl.dropbox.com/u/40874340/2013%20Qlinks/1303/Planning-for-HealthyAgriculture.pdf
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SUSTAINABILITY
NSW State of the Environment
The 2012 NSW State of the Environment report covers 22 different environmental issues and addresses 86 indicators: 20 are rated as good, 49 are fair, 14 are poor and the condition of three indicators is classed as unknown due to a lack of information. Right: NSW land use management. Green is sustainably managed, yellow at slight risk of degradation, and orange at moderate risk.
http://www.environment.nsw.gov.au/soe/soe2012/index.htm
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EVENTS
March 5-6 March 5-7 March 7-8 March 20 management-conference-1 March 20-21 March 22 April 7-12 April 10-11 May 22 June 24-27 September 2-6 September 3-5 September 14-19 October 8-11 October 16 December 5 24-27 March 2014 Outlook 2013: Future food, future farming, Canberra http://www.daff.gov.au/abares/outlook National water education conference, Sydney http://www.awa.asn.au/4th_NEC.aspx NSW soil science forum, Hunter Valley http://www.soilscienceaustralia.com.au Innovations in agriculture and NRM, Brisbane http://www.aginstitute.com.au/events/qld/innovations-in-agriculture-and-natural-resource3rd National Sustainable Food Summit, Melbourne http://www.3pillarsnetwork.com.au/p3_Events-Resources.html?&event=88 World Water Day http://www.unwater.org/watercooperation2013/ International Symposium on Soil and Plant Analysis, Queenstown NZ www.isspa2013.com National water congress, Sydney http://abcevents.net.au/water/ International day for biological diversity https://www.cbd.int/idb/ Climate adaptation 2013 http://www.nccarf.edu.au/conference2013/ InterDrought IV, Perth http://www.interdrought4.com/ NSW Landcare Forum, Newcastle http://www.landcarensw.org.au/node/1621 International Grasslands Congress, Sydney http://www.igc2013.com Greenhouse 2013: the science of climate change, Adelaide http://www.greenhouse2013.com/ World Food Day http://www.fao.org/getinvolved/worldfoodday/en/ World Soil Day http://www.iuss.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=405 Soil change matters symposium, Bendigo
MAILING LIST
To subscribe to NRM on farms, email Rebecca Lines-Kelly at rebecca.lines-kelly@dpi.nsw.gov.au.
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