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The Consumerization of Rx Products Meeting the Category Pricing Challenge: Finding a Simple Path A Look at Global Megabrands Category Masters of the Year Trend Watch: Biotechnology
Understanding
CONSUMER INSIGHT:
ACNielsen U.S. 150 North Martingale Road Schaumburg, IL 60173 800.988.4ACN http://acnielsen.com/ci ACNielsen Canada 160 McNabb Street Markham, Ontario L3R 4B8, Canada http://www.acnielsen.ca
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Volume 3, No. 4 Publisher ACNielsen Editors Mark Chesney Art Massa Design & Layout Marina Quaranta Editorial Board Gary Binkoski Margaret James Kathy Mancini Elaine Noone Mark Puccetti ACNielsen Global Creative Services Laurel A. Kennedy Marketing/ Communications Slack Barshinger & Partners
Copyright 2002 ACNielsen. Printed in USA. All rights reserved. ACNielsen, the ACNielsen logo, ACNielsen Workstation InformationServer, Category Masters, Homescan, KnowledgeWorks, Priceman, Scantrack and Spaceman are trademarks or registered trademarks of A.C. Nielsen Company. Other brand, product or service names are trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective companies.
It is a time to continue the momentum of building your brand with existing consumers and key prospects.
n these unique and trying times, many of you have asked us about the impact of
whose growth rates increased in Q2 and Q3 included costeffective frozen unprepared foods and comfort foods such as frozen desserts, ice cream and pizza/snacks. The alcoholic beverages department ($15.7 billion) is another which has experienced a slowing growth rate. Beer, liquor and wine have all seen growth rate declines in Q2 and Q3. As for what happened as a result of the events of 9/11, we saw behavioral changes like stocking up on bottled water, canned goods, flashlights and batteries. Other categories that went up noticeably in the weeks following 9/11 included baby food, coffee, cookies, crackers, peanut butter, jelly, milk (fresh, powdered, shelf-stable and canned), and at least one product that had been in decline: prepared foods (both dry mixes and ready-to-serve). Among non-food products, those that spiked up included candles and food storage containers. The HBA department showed a decline, as people apparently took their attention off of personal care items and focused on essential food products. While some companies will continue to be hurt by the lingering effects of the terrorist attack
the weakening economy and the tragic events of September 11th. While some of the findings below are not surprising, I believe that such trends present the CPG industry with equal doses of challenges and opportunities. While the dollar sales growth rate in most departments went up during Q1, in seven of the 11 departments we monitor (representing 72% of total dollar sales), the growth rate declined in Q2 and Q3. Unit volume growth rates for nine of the 11 departments also declined in Q2 and Q3. Drilling down a bit further... The dry grocery department, ($145.6 billion across f/d/m combined), is one of the declining departments. Some of the categories that showed slower dollar volume growth rates in Q2 and Q3 included prepared foods, coffee, carbonated beverages, crackers, pet food, shortening/oil, soup and canned vegetables.
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The frozen department ($28.9 billion) is another of the seven decliners. Among the frozen categories that have declined were frozen prepared foods and frozen vegetables. Those
Continued on page 27
Cover Story
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Cover Story
consumer demographic, psychographic and economic blind spots of tracking data. Consumer panel information was added to fill the gaps left by traditional tracking information, and has been a step in the right direction. As of this writing, a group of thought leaders in the CPG However, something more integrated and holistic was needed to provide a ubiquitous understanding of on- and off-line consumer purchase behavior, attitudes and product usage. The answer: RFID (radio frequency identification) technology. world are putting pervasive commerce to the test. In the business-to-business venue, ACNielsen, along with Accenture, Philip Morris, Procter & Gamble and Wal-Mart, are part of a 36-company consortium called Auto ID Center, currently wiring the city of Tulsa, Oklahoma, with RFID equipment for tracking microchip-equipped packages. The objective is to tag everything that moves, and trace goods from plant to pallet to store shelf, in real time, without human intervention. telecommunications company, reports that it has slashed the cost of even the smallest purchase transaction by as much as 70%.
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one that offers the potential to connect consumer purchase to consumer usage across all classes of trade. RFID technology actually can enable tracking of a product through the entire life cycle, from the production line all the way to the recycling center. Each RFID tag is equipped with a digital memory chip bearing a unique electronic product code (EPC). As envisioned by the MIT Auto-ID Center, every smart label would contain up to 96 bits of information, including a 40 bit serial number. Conceptually, the RFID tag is an elegant combination of the UPC with an Internet IP address, allowing detailed information for each product. Products with RFID embedded in labels can continuously transmit information ranging from a unique EPC, to consumption status, to environmental conditions like temperature and moisture content that impact product freshness. In an industry first, RFID enables the linking of all this product information with a specific consumer identified by key demographic and psychographic markers.
Future Perfect
Fully implemented, a pervasive commerce network could work like this. Consumers armed with their personal digital assistant (e.g., Palm Pilot, Visor, Blackberry), electronically stroll the aisles of a virtual grocery store, downloading relevant pricing information, menu suggestions, product and ingredient specifics provided via wireless RFID transmissions. Ticking off desired items on an electronic shopping list, sell-downs are taken automatically, the order is placed via the Internet, along with payment authorization, delivery preference, address and driving directions. As each order moves out the door, a portal reader records purchased items, verifies accuracy, updates inventory at the retailer and manufacturer, and transmits replenishment data, all via satellite to Internet-resident databases. Once at the home, intelligent refrigerators and microwaves interpret smart labels to monitor storage requirements, maintain the appropriate temperature and humidity, determine cooking procedures and update the family shopping list based on actual consumption.
How It Works
The basic operating principles of pervasive commerce are pretty straightforward. In a typical RFID (radio frequency identification) system, each object is equipped with a small, inexpensive tag (the transponder) containing a digital memory chip that bears a unique electronic product code.The interrogator, an antenna packaged with a transceiver and decoder, emits a signal activating the RFID tag so it can read and write data to it, then transfer that information to the host computer for further processing. The market for RFID tags is growing explosively, projected to reach $10 billion annually within the decade, according to IDTechEx.
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RFID in car
One key to pervasive commerce success is the guarantee of 100% compliance after installation. After securing a consumer agreement to participate, the self-monitoring infrastructure is put in place and operates unsupervised. Much like the current ACNielsen NetRatings product, pervasive commerce deploys non-intrusive, passive technology. Today, ACNielsen Homescan panelists use a handheld scanner. Tomorrow, theyll simply have to load the mini-van, walk in the door, or open the refrigerator for purchases to be recorded.
The elegant enabler known as pervasive commerce requires a reference architecture robust enough to recognize and categorize every product and every retailer at every venue in the U.S. including shopping malls, convenience stores, mass merchandisers, food and drug stores. To realize the full capability of pervasive commerce, ACNielsen has invested in a multi-year effort toward this goal, developing in-depth massive product reference databases, called Product Reference, as well as the store-specific geographic database called Trade Dimension (TD) Linx. TD Linx captures more than 40 individual attributes per product, including supply side characteristics such as case and pallet, product characteristics such as weight and category, digital images of each product, a standard industry postal code and geographic availability data. While there may be some debate about the intelligence of objects, there is no debate that pervasive commerce, intelligently deployed, will redefine the competitive landscape for the CPG industry.
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For perspective, according to Nielsen Media Research, these two products spent $225 million in direct-toconsumer advertising in the year 2000. Moreover, the industry spent $2.2 billion in direct-to-consumer advertising last year.
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OTC Category Share 9.8 3.3 17.1 1.0 7.1
Share of Rxs 54 24 13 9
A Profound Impact
The switch from prescription (Rx) to OTC has a profound impact on the manufacturers that produce the drug, the manufacturers of competing drugs and the retailers that merchandise these products. Consider the introduction of non-prescription smoking cessation products. Their introduction in 1995 created a new over-the-counter category and caused a 41,000-percent dollar volume increase in 1996. Prior to their introduction, sales of OTC nicotine replacement generated just $300,000 in sales across all retail channels in 1995. In some cases, a prescription product may impact the sales of an existing OTC category. Consider the impact the new blockbuster prescription drugs Vioxx and Celebrex are having on the OTC analgesics category. Are the users switchers from existing analgesic products? Are they still purchasing OTC analgesics in addition to their prescription? These questions can be answered through additional research. What is known, however, is that the awareness of these prescription products is extraordinary. In Chart 1, Brand A maintained a 54 share of prescriptions as a prescription brand, but as a consumer brand, it now only delivers a 26.6 share of the OTC segment (prescription products) and a 9.8 share of the total category. Interestingly, Brand C went from a low 13 share of prescriptions to a whopping 42.5 share of the segment and 17.1 share of the total category. It is important to note that private label captured an 18.6 share of the previous prescription segment, nearly 2.5 times the private label share of the category.
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into a high degree of switch success. When validating a forecast, ACNielsen BASES re-runs the model with the actual executed marketing plan and then compares the results against actual sales. For switches, ACNielsen BASES has completed 11 validations and has been within their quoted confidence range 10 of those 11 times.
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Case in Point
Prescription remedies are globalizing and growing. As the world moves toward one big market, the policy differences on prescription medications become more apparent. Many prescription brands in the U.S. may be OTC in Canada or Mexico. In some cases, the opposite is true. To understand the magnitude of the consumerization and implications of prescription to OTC switching, ACNielsen BASES, the world leader in the simulated test marketing field, has tested virtually every Rx-to-OTC switch in the last 15 years. The benefits of testing products with consumers prior to a launch are significant. Not only are OTC usage patterns studied, but efficacy and safety perceptions are also analyzed. In addition, label compliance, price sensitivity and cannibalization are dissected. This translates
Source: BASES Validations
In addition to the extraordinary focus on media spending, two of these launches were characterized by multiple executions for each brand, often targeted to different demographic segments. Given the huge media budgets, this is not surprising. These media levels resulted in
enormously high awareness, with three of the brands approaching 90%. While two of the three brands started out with substantial awareness levels, one product built to 90% from virtually nothing. Further increasing awareness, one of these brands dropped more than one sample for every household in the U.S.
The Doctor Is In
Physician endorsement is another key marketing variable crucial to the success of a brand switch. Not only is it important and quantifiable, but it translates to a high degree of consumer acceptance. In three separate cases, the consumers intent to purchase was considerably higher after a doctor recommendation was given [See Chart 3].
Chart 3 Concept Purchase Intent with Doctor Recommendation
A Powerful Force
The ripple effect of Rx-to-OTC switching has a powerful impact on the channel dynamics, the distribution of the product and the total category. While one might think that prescription switches would be most impactful in the drug channel, ACNielsen research shows differently. In the examples studied, prescription switches established the largest proportion of total category sales in the mass merchandiser channel (43% of the new segment), followed by drug (39%) and food (33%). It is evident that consumers take advantage of the deeper discounts found in the mass channel. The impact of prescription switches on product distribution is also evident. Backed by millions of dollars of consumer advertising, it is not surprising that switch brands, the secondary alternative to the initial launched brand, achieve quick distribution. When comparing a switch brand to a leading product launch in OTC, ACNielsen found that two of four switch brands far surpassed a benchmark product launch distribution in the first four weeks of the introduction. On a channel-bychannel basis, the same is true. In drug, the blockbuster OTC product achieved an 84% ACV distribution during the first four-week period, while two switch brands hit
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Take Brand A, for example, which focused heavily on professional marketing. It captured 71% of all details directed against physicians for the category, dropped 80% of physician samples and was competitive on journal ads. The result: Brand A was highly successful, gaining the majority of doctor recommendations [See Chart 4].
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91% and 93% during the first four weeks. The same held true in the mass channel (86% distribution for leading product vs. 95% and 96% for switch brands). With OTC switches representing over 30% of the total category, the share of base brands changes dramatically. Switch brands have a tremendous impact on existing brands that may compete for similar consumers or that may be impacted by the prescription switch. In the example below, Base Private Label becomes stronger (156 index), while the second-leading Base Brand B was negatively impacted [See Chart 5].
Chart 5 What Happened to Major Base Brands?
Industry Implications
The growing importance of understanding the consumerization of prescription brands and the implications are far-reaching. ACNielsen and BASES research shows general observed trends: Base brands do not react to higher-priced switch products with price reductions. Switch brands receive very high in-store support early on in the switch, and continue strong for the first year. Private label has a higher-than-average share in the prescription switch segment. Successful brands add SKUs (sizes) over time and provide additional consumer benefits. The trends that currently drive the consumerization of prescription medications will continue. Consumers will become even more involved in their medication decisions both for prescription items as well as OTC products. Manufacturers and retailers need to better understand who their consumers are and what else they are purchasing as part of their medicine cabinet.
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Base A Base B Base C Private Label Base D Base E
$ Share to Total Category Index 20.9 19.2 13.5 10.7 11.8 9.6 Pre Introduction 15.1 6.9 8.5 16.7 5.4 4.4 Post Introduction 72 35 63 156 46 46
When switches occur in a category, manufacturers and retailers of the base products need to understand their base product consumer differentiation from the switch products and think about how to target to the new prescription switch consumer.
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John Porter VP, KnowledgeWorks ACNielsen Jeff Ritchie Director, KnowledgeWorks ACNielsen
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ear is one of the great motivators. It pushes us to go where we have not gone before, to do things we may not otherwise have done. However, fear often causes the opposite reaction an inability to act. One of the biggest issues with regard to category pricing is this rule of fear. The underlying reason? Call it The Great Unknown. Better to not change pricing, goes the thinking, than to change it and negatively impact sales. And in our high-stakes marketplace, this thinking is not totally unfounded. However, by using a strategic framework for item-level price management, we can reduce the fear and drive profitability for the category.
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Separate the Category
To address the first question, one needs to break the category into strategic groups of items. These groups can be used against any product category. Chart 1 shows that items with high velocity and price sensitivity should be given high pricing priority, since they will have the greatest tactical impact. Items such as snacks, cereals and carbonated beverages have high pricing priority and should be considered flagship in your pricing scheme with pricing that calls attention to the items. Likewise, those categories with more moderate velocity and sensitivity should be priced competitively, but not as loss leaders. Finally, items that have medium-to-low change at all, they have to be reduced (otherwise consumers will buy something else). And by reducing price, marketers are then faced with boosting volume to cover the differencea slippery slope if there ever was one.
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For any given category, the following variables must be considered when understanding and implementing pricing plans: Velocityhigh-velocity items move off the shelves more quickly. Typically, consumers are also more aware of pricing changes for these items Price Sensitivitythis metric refers to the
Marginthe revenue gained is different for different items based on purchase price, trade promotions, etc. It is generally accepted that revenue for high sensitivity items is strongly influenced by price, and that high-velocity items typically drive volume. These factors, combined with margin, can help determine pricing tactics to support category strategy
Velocity
Fear Rules
Since price is the driver of revenue and profit, it is no wonder that marketers are hesitant to change a product price once it is establishedthe aforementioned rule of fear. The corollary is the impression that if prices are to
decrease in revenue for the price change, and so on. Clearly, as the elasticity numbers grow larger, the item is defined as being more price sensitive. The important thing is to start by looking at facts, which helps to focus on fast moving, price-sensitive items as well as identify margin improvement items.
Benchmarking Elasticity
ACNielsen has been studying the relationship between price elasticity and channel for more than a decade. During the late 1980s, mass merchandisers had the highest overall elasticity, and drug the lowest of all the channels. This means that changes in price more drastically affected volume in mass than they did in drug. Perhaps not an earth-shattering discovery, but when combined with the fact that mass merchandisers had the lowest overall prices while drug had the highest, one can begin to see that higher pricing does not always negatively impact volume. Our latest look at the findings considered three channels, 50 categories and roughly 35 items per category that were sold in all three channels. What we found was that there are distinct differences between channels [See Chart 2, page 17]. While the median elasticity was near 1, the variation ranged significantly among mass, food and drug. Within each channel, the price elasticity also varied widely by category. All channels had categories that were quite elastic, as well as relatively inelastic categories [See Chart 3, page 17]. A Test: Put the following products in order of elasticity, starting with the most elastic and finishing with the most inelastic. Crest 6.4 oz Tube Toothpaste Pert Plus 13.5 oz Shampoo with Conditioner Yoplait 6 oz Strawberry/Banana Yogurt Motrin 50 count Regular Strength Gelcap General Mills 20 oz Cheerios Kibbles & Bits 20 Pound Dry Dog Food Dawn 28 oz Liquid Dishwasher Detergent
Answers on page 18.
Elasticity measures the impact of a one-percent change in shelf price (increase or decrease) on revenue.
There are also differences in elasticities within categories. Most categories show a range of item sensitivitiesmost have a mix of elastic and inelastic items. For example, in the light duty detergent category, the elasticity ranges from -0.7 (low sensitivity) to -1.6 (high sensitivity). Perhaps the most enlightening insight from the research is that consumers seem to shop in context. For example, while food products are fairly inelastic when purchased in a food channel store (changes in price caused less drastic changes in sales), these Food products were typically 30% to 40% more elastic when purchased in drug and mass. The reason for this? One theory is that since shoppers visit channels based on destination products (healthcare remedies in drug, bread and milk in food channel, etc.) they are not as likely to buy the impulse (i.e., non-context items) unless the price is attractive. More study is definitely necessary for the underlying reasons. But it is definitely important to consider when developing channel pricing strategy. Aside from this finding, however, the variations make it difficult to generalize rules of elasticity relative to channels or categories diversity in categories and channels is the rule. And that is why shelf price management must be a category/channel specific activity, focusing on the categorys role in the store and the competitive environment in addition to price sensitivity. Continued on page 17.
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A Case Study From Canada*
The Premium Foods Company was contemplating a price increase on their olive oils. They had two products, Virgin Olive Oil and Extra Virgin Olive Oil (the higher end of the two brands). Profitability was critical for each brand, and the company also wanted to maintain the premium image of the higher priced Extra Virgin oil. Premium Foods needed to understand: a) how much of a price increase they could profitably take; b) whether they could raise prices on both brands to maintain a premium positioning; and c) how their products should be priced relative to Private Label. In addition to analyzing price points, gaps and sales levels, ACNielsen looked at elasticity across brands for the two Premium Foods brands and Private Label. This allowed determination of the effect of price changes on any of the three brands.
Brands Premium Virgin Premium Extra Virgin Private Label Premium VirginRate -0.66 -0.77 -0.90 Premium Extra Virgin Private Label
For Premiums Extra Virgin brand, there was a price relationship with Private Label. Premiums Extra Virgin Olive Oil impacted Private Labels volume when Premium raised its price, but Private Label did not impact Extra Virgin when Private Label increased in price [See Chart 2]. This supported the hypothesis that some consumers might switch to Private Label following a price increase.
Char t 2 Rela tionships Betw een Brands Premium Extra Virigin affects itself and Priv ate Label
Elasticity -0.66
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Private Label was most often parity priced with Extra Virgin and had a higher sales rate than Extra Virgins. The Premium Virgin brand was typically priced around $2.00 less than the other two and had the highest overall sales rate. All three brands examined were shown to be inelastic (less price sensitive). Therefore, Premium Foods could raise prices and increase profitability without putting much volume at risk. In addition, since both Premium Foods product prices could increase, Extra Virgin could maintain its high-end positioning in the marketplace [See Chart 1].
-0.77 -0.90
So how was this good news for Premium? Using Price Simulator, Premium Foods simulated a 5% price increase on both their brands and Private Label. The modeled result showed Premium increasing
used these results to develop their annual pricing plan, and they were able to present to retailers the feasibility of the 5% price increase, which was then accepted and subsequently implemented [See Chart 3].
16
-0.66
10 14
-0.77 -0.90
The company also needed to understand the interaction between the Premium brands and Private Label in the face of a price increase, to show retailers that a price increase by Premium would not negatively affect either Private Label or the category as a whole. What the company discovered was good news for everyone. Premium Virgin Olive Oil sales were entirely a function of that products own price and did not interact with the other two brands. A price increase by Premiums Virgin Olive Oil would not affect the sales volume of either Extra Virgin or Private Label. In addition, Premium Virgin was not affected by either of the other two brands changing their price.
29.10%
$12.59 $12.59
-3.70% 0 -2.30%
5.80%
14% 19.20%
4.20
20.54%
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How does this look in the real world? Usually one needs to build pricing environment rules. These can be defined in different ways, according to the particular need. Sometimes, rules are set relative to competition. Typically, pricing rules are summarized in ways that support managers in making tactical pricing decisions: I will be within 5% of the lowest price in my trading area or Price Zone 1 will be priced above 75% of the other retailers in the area. [See Chart 4].
Total Food $9.33 Market Retailer A Total Drug Total Food 50%
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Chart 5 Price Threshold Checks For Key Items
45 40
35 30
25 20
15 10
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5 0 $6.40 to $6.49 $7.40 to $7.49 $8.40 to $8.49 $5.90 to $5.99 $6.00 to $6.09 $6.10 to $6.19 $6.20 to $6.29 $6.30 to $6.39 $6.50 to $6.59 $6.60 to $6.69 $6.70 to $6.79 $6.80 to $6.89 $6.90 to $6.99 $7.00 to $7.09 $7.10 to $7.19 $7.20 to $7.29 $7.30 to $7.39 $7.50 to $7.59 $7.60 to $7.69 $7.70 to $7.79 $7.80 to $7.89 $7.90 to $7.99 $8.00 to $8.09 $8.10 to $8.19 $8.20 to $8.29 $8.30 to $8.39 $8.50 to $8.59 $8.60 to $8.69 $8.70 to $8.79 $8.80 to $8.89
Elasticity -1.68 -1.53 -1.33 -0.98 -0.93 -0.86 -0.48
90
By using good environment summaries, one can provide a fact-based approach to setting competitive pricing metrics.
It is very important to determine the thresholds for key items. It should also be noted, however, that determining thresholds can be a very time-intensive analysis, and should therefore be used for key items only.
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Jane Perrin Managing Director ACNielsen Global Services Clare Nishikawa Manager, Global Reports and Communication ACNielsen Global Services
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hat does it mean to be global? Despite a proliferation of brands in the marketplace and a focus by major manufacturers on expanding into new territories, there are relatively few global megabrands in the consumer goods world today. ACNielsens Global Services group recently completed a study of top global CPG brands. Rather than providing a simple tally of shipment sales from a companys annual report, ACNielsen has measured actual retail sales from 30 countries that account for 90% of global GDP. The following is a rationale behind the choosing of the brands and a brief summary of the study.
Note: Due to the fact that no one measure can include all channels of consumer purchasing, this study is heavily weighted towards purchases from retail stores. The data in this study was sourced from local ACNielsen information. Products most often purchased within a retail store benefit from ACNielsens retail coverage. Purchases from kiosks, bars, restaurants and vending machines were not for the most part included. Although the list of brands may not be all-inclusive due to coverage limitations, it does provide a significant look into the globalization of our consumer brands.
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There were three main criteria that a brand had to meet to be included in the study. First, the cumulative sales for the 12 months ending with the first quarter of 2001 had to be equal to or exceed US$1 billion. Second, the brand had to have a measurable presence in each of the four major geographic regionsLatin America; Asia Pacific; North America; and Europe, Middle East and Africa. Finally, sales outside of the home market had to represent at least 5% of the global sales value. To define and determine a brand, we looked for consistency in terms of product packaging, marketing and consumer views of the brand. In addition, we segmented brands within their specific category. For example, Pampers wipes were not combined with Pampers diaChart 1 Billion Dollar Global Brands
Brand
Total Coke Coke (Regular)* Diet Coke/ Coke Light* Marlboro Marlboro (Regular)* Marlboro Lights* Total Pepsi Pepsi (Regular)* Diet Pepsi/ Pepsi Light* Budweiser Campbells Kelloggs Pampers Benson & Hedges Camel Danone Fanta Friskies Gillette Huggies Nescafe Sprite Tide Tropicana Wrigleys Colgate Duracell Heineken Kodak L&M Lays Pedigree Always Doritos Energizer Gatorade Guinness Kinder Kleenex LOreal Maxwell House Minute Maid Nivea Pantene Philadelphia Pringles Seven-Up/7-Up ) Tylenol Whiskas * Beer Soup Cereal Diapers Tabacco Tabacco Yogurt Carbonated Beverages Pet Food Blades & Razors Diapers Coffee Carbonated Beverages Laundry Detergent Still Beverages Chewing Gum Toothpaste Batteries Beer Consumer Films Tobacco Chips & Snacks Pet Food Sanitary Protection Chips & Snacks Batteries Sports Beverages Beer Chocolate Facial Tissue Colorants Coffee Still Beverages Moisturizers/Cleansers Shampoo/Conditioners Cheese Chips & Snacks Carbonated Beverages OTC Pain Remedies Cat Food 25 21 27 27 21 24 25 29 24 29 25 29 30 11 17 27 29 28 26 13 18 22 25 22 20 28 22 23 28 26 27 19 16 29 30 25 30 30 9 24
Segment
Carbonated Beverages
Tabacco
25
Carbonated Beverages
30
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pers. Brands also had to use a consistent name worldwide. For example, Lays and Walkers (Europe) were not combined as a single chips & snacks brand, nor were Always and Whisper (Asia) combined as a single sanitary protection brand. We looked at well over 200 brands in this study and although more than half had a global presence, they did not have more than $1 billion in sales. Of the total, only 43 actually met the criteria of having a global presence in each region and having over $1 billion in sales. The 43 brands on the list represent 23 global manufacturers and more than $125 billion in sales. Among the 43 brands, most had the largest concentration of sales in their region of origin. Additionally, most of the brands had a high concentration of sales in either North America or Europe (62% on average). For three brands (Gillette, Pedigree and Always), both North America and Europe had equal predominance [See Chart 1].
*Denote sub-brands which independently meet the global billion dollar mark but are included in the total for the brand
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by different product formulations distributed under the same brand name, essentially consumers around the world are all drinking variations of these same brands. The total Coke brand was number one among beverages at well over $15 billion in sales, with its two sub-brands, Coke and Diet Coke, having more than one billion dollars in sales in their own right. Pepsi, with its associated sub-brands, Pepsi and Diet Pepsi (including Pepsi Light, Pepsi Max and Pepsi One) ranked as the number-two beverage brand.
The Mega-Manufacturers
Of the 23 manufacturers that are responsible for marketing these billion-dollar global brands, eight had more than one brand on the list. PepsiCo had the most brands with six (when including 7-Up, which is distributed by Cadbury Schweppes in the U.S.). Procter & Gamble and Philip Morris (Kraft included) each had five, with the Coca-Cola Company having four brands. Kimberly-Clark, Gillette, Mars and Nestl each had two brands included. In the tobacco category, although Marlboro and L&M are definitely Philip Morris brands, the other two brands both have some type of multi-company relationship. British American Tobacco, Philip Morris and Gallaher, for example, all have an interest in Benson & Hedges,
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and both RJReynolds and Japan Tobacco distribute Camel (depending on the country). As mentioned earlier, the 43 brands reported in the study accounted for over $125 billion in sales. Nearly three-quarters of these sales were attributable to the eight manufacturers with multiple brands on the list. Eight of these brands have at least 70% of their sales within the region: Benson & Hedges, Guinness, Heineken, Kinder, L&M, Nivea, Whiskas and Camel. Guinness Beer (country of origin: Ireland) and Kinder Chocolate (country of origin: Italy), each had over 90% of their sales within Europe. On the opposite end of the spectrum, Tylenol is in only a handful of countries in Europe and plays a relatively minor role in the region.
Asia Pacific (Five countries)
Of the 43 brands that made the list, none originated in this region. As mentioned above, Nescaf had a strong presence in Asia Pacific as one the top five brands in the region. Over thirty percent of its sales are in this region. P&Gs Always product plays a fairly insignificant role in Asia Pacific as another similar P&G product is marketed under the brand name Whisper. L&M also has a fairly small presence in this region. In addition, as with Europe, Tylenol has a fairly insignificant presence in Asia Pacific.
Latin America (Three countries)
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Gillettes Razors and Blades brand has a strong presence in Latin America, and in fact, is one of the top five global brands in the region. Carbonated beverages rated high in this region. This is not surprising, since Mexico has one of the highest per capita consumption of carbonated beverages around the world. One of the most significant findings regarding Latin America is that a number of global brands (Maxwell House, Minute Maid and Tide) although present, were significantly under-developed. Although globally Benson & Hedges is larger than L&M tobacco products, in Latin America, L&M has a larger presence.
Regional Differences
Although the global findings are fairly consistent across the regions, there are a few regional variations:
Europe, Middle East & Africa (Twenty countries)
Of the brands on the list, Europe, Middle East and Africa is the dominant region for 16 of the global brands.
The study includes 30 of the worlds top markets divided into four geographical regions. These markets account for approximately 90% of the worlds consumer goods ACV:
Europe, Middle East and Africa Asia Pacific
Three brands had over 90% of their sales in North America: Campbells Soup, Tide Laundry Detergent, and Tylenol Pain Remedies. Within categories, there are some strong regional preferences. For example, Maxwell House ranks higher than Nescaf in North America. In Europe, Asia Pacific and Latin America, the picture is reversed. As detailed in the report, an element of the criteria to be included in the global report was that in addition to having a presence in each region, more than 5% of a brands value sales had to be outside of the home market. If this 5% criteria had not been included, several other strong North American brands would have made the list (e.g., Enfamil Infant Formula and Mountain Dew Carbonated Beverage). Kinder Chocolate and L&M are strongly European, and although they have a presence in North America, they do not play any major role in the market. Fanta Carbonated Beverage is somewhat unique. Although in three of the four regions the carbonated beverage has a strong presence (within the top five global brands), the brand does not have a significant presence in North America.
Germany United Kingdom France Italy Spain Russian Federation Netherlands Switzerland Belgium Sweden Austria Turkey Denmark Poland Norway Saudi Arabia South Africa Greece Portugal Ireland
Japan China Korea, Rep. (South Korea) Australia Hong Kong, China
Latin America
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North America is the dominant region for 24 of the global brands on the list. Eleven of these brands have at least 70% of their sales within the region: Budweiser, Campbells, Gatorade, Kodak, Kleenex, Lays, Maxwell House, Minute Maid, Tide, Tropicana, Tylenol.
Although there is a proliferation of brands on the market, this study illustrates that there are a relatively few brands that one can truly call global. Over the next few years, we expect the picture of global brands to change significantly. The number of brands considered truly global should increase as businesses work to develop and grow new markets.
The complete text of Reaching the Billion Dollar MarkA Review of Todays Global Brands is available online at http://acnielsen.com/billion or by contacting Matt Bell at 847-605-5686.
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Feature
The Coca-Cola Company, Publix Super Markets and Acosta Sales and Marketing Company are winners of the third annual Category Master of the Year awards, co-sponsored, with ACNielsen, by Brand Marketing magazine and its sister publication, Supermarket News. Presented at ACNielsens Category Masters conference, held in August in Boca Raton, Florida, the awards honor one manufacturer, one retailer and one sales agency (the last being a new category this year) in the consumer packaged goods industry that have achieved excellence in the field of category management. Winners were selected by polling a portion of the readership of Brand Marketing and Supermarket News. Retailers were asked to choose the manufacturer winner and manufacturers the retailer. Both manufacturers and retailers selected the sales agency. The common element to all the winners was a total management commitment to category management that included reorganizations of departments to address category management issues. Here are the profiles of this years winners and some examples of their category management expertise.
training. Including field-based managers, more than 600 associates are involved in the category-management team. The system has been successful for Coke. For example, at one retailer, the number of stock-keeping units was reduced 30%, while sales stayed the same in the category. But its not just about sales and efficiencies, Campbell added. Its about excitement. Consumers tastes are constantly changing, he said. Having the ability to create excitement in the category is a lot of why were in this.
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Feature
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Acosta
From the early days of category management, Acosta Sales and Marketing has been at the forefront, helping retailers and manufacturers increase sales and cut costs. The company provides category management expertise to major retailers like Kroger, Albertsons and Safeway, while also working closely with major brands, including Clorox and Dannon. Paul Price, vice president of marketing at Acosta, heads up an extensive category-management team that includes 400 associates across the country. Each division is geographically focused on a major retailer to ensure that customer demands are met. Acostas category management and merchandising skills were demonstrated with their recent introduction of the new line of Disney juice and drink items. Their first step was to execute a complete analysis of the aseptic and multi-serve juice and drink categories. For each retailer, Acosta business managers reviewed shares and trends by manufacturer, brand and package within the two categories. They also reviewed pre-schematic share of shelf and space-to-sales for all items. The next step was to execute an efficient product assortment analysis to help retailers optimize their product lines for the aseptic and multi-serve juice and drink categories and to justify the new Disney items. With the results of the analysis, Acosta made objective recommendations on
items to be discontinued, items that should be retained and items to be added. The recommendation to add items often included items that Acosta was not representing. Sales meetings were set up with all major accounts and the results of the category analyses were presented along with a strong sales pitch for the new Disney items. The Acosta business managers recommended the placement of the Disney line in a Disney Zone between the aseptic and multi-serve categories. The sales presentations leveraged not just the strength of the Disney juice and drink items and the strong merchandising program for the line, but also the strength of the entire Disney franchise. Apart from its vast experience with category management, Price noted that what sets Acosta apart from its competition is the fact that it continues to invest in its category-management resources. We have constantly invested in the best people and systems, and in training to get the job done, he said. Acosta utilizes all existing category management software, so that it is compatible with any retailers system. In addition, we take such a broad focus on so many categories, that we provide more coverage than anyone else in the business. One of our best assets is that we place precious knowledge at the business managers fingertips. It is not just dataits knowledge, Price added.
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film and camera companies are hurt when people vacation lessin most other categories purchasing levels seem to be getting back to pre-attack levels. Question marks still remain, however, about both the war on terrorism and the economy. Consumers are also eating out less often, a trend that could benefit food retailers. However, some retailers are noticing consumers trading downswitching from lunchmeats to peanut butter and jelly, for example, as they tighten their belts. This would be a good time to focus on helping consumers find easy and affordable meal solutions. But it is also a crucial time
to use the vast amount of consumer insights to build loyalty among your most valuable shoppers. Bottomline, its all about the consumer. To that end, I am excited to announce that we have just completed some groundbreaking work that aligns with the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in linking total consumer purchasing behavior with those all-important consumer attitudes. Shortly, we will be offering a new service that will track key attitudinal and economic driving forces effecting changes in the American consumers purchasing habits.
Trend Watch
Biotechnology
I
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Consumer Insight | Winter 2001 | n these times, anything with the prefix bio may cause great uncertainty, and even fear. Biowarfare. Bioterrorism. Biotechnology? What is it about Jurassic Park bear this message out. But what many consumers probably dont realize is that since ancient times, people have been combining different organisms to develop hybrids that serve human needs more beneficially. The difference is that today, much of this is being done on the molecular level. The FMI defines biotechnology as the use of genetic science to create new products from plants or animals. Now, everyone knows that it is not nice to fool with Mother Nature, and classic fables from Frankenstein to It would probably be surprising to many consumers how much biotechnology is already a part of our everyday lives. Currently, biotech is used in the area of agriculture biotechnology that raises concern among consumers, and what exactly is it?
to reduce reliance on pesticides and produce higher volumes of food in less space. Many vegetables and fruits, including corn, soybeans and tomatoes, are being developed to contain lower fat levels while tasting better. The GMA estimates that as much as 70% of all processed foods may contain biotech corn or soy. In the future, biotech foods could offer enhanced nutrition, higher vitamin levels, reduced fat and increased fiber. According to the Biotechnology Industry Organization (BIO), biotech even makes possible something called the edible vaccine, which are enhanced fruits and vegetables containing vaccines against deadly diseases such as hepatitis, cholera and malaria. Fruits and vegetables are also being modified to offer higher levels of anti-oxidant vitamins that help ward off cancer and heart disease, and Vitamin A to prevent blindness. While not a new concept, biotechnology has been a focus point in the consumer news media, and the focus is typically on the sensational. After all, the Starlink incident the modified corn that was FDA-approved for animal consumption but mistakenly found its way into human food productswas some consumers first introduction to biotech. More recently, gourmet chain Trader Joes announced it would be eliminating all genetically engineered foods from its private-label collection as a result of consumer pressure. Even with the hype, however, consumer awareness about biotechnology and genetically modified foods is relatively low. According to the International Food Information Council (IFIC), which recently conducted their fifth annual food biotechnology survey of American consumers, only 36% of consumers are aware of the presence of biotech food in grocery stores, a decrease from last years IFIC survey. What do consumers worry about in their foods? Not surprisingly, top concerns included things like fats, cholesterol, sugar and carbohydrates. Even when specifically asked about their concerns of food safety, consumers named packaging, food handling and disease/contamination before mentioning genetically engineered food (which only garnered a 2% response). A New York Times article that referenced the Trader Joes incident also interviewed specialty grocer Stew Leonard, who stated that although his stores carry foods that are certified organic (currently the only certification that ensures that food isn't genetically altered), they have sold poorly, because the organic crops lacked visual appeal and because customers expressed concern about a link between E. coli bacteria and organic produce. This enormous information gap among most consumers is an opportunity for both CPG manufacturers and retailers to educate the consumer in advance of negative or sensationalistic media reports. Providing consumers with accurate information about biotech food can create loyalty and trust, key to any long-term relationship. If the benefits and perceived issues are communicated honestly to consumers, they may see the advantages of biotech foods greatly outweighing any potential downsides. And there exists the potential to lead with positive news. For example, when asked in the IFIC survey how likely they would be to buy produce that was genetically modified to protect from insect damage (requiring fewer pesticides), 90% of consumers indicated totally or very likely. Over the next few years, biotech foods will most likely become a larger consumer issue. The current lack of information has given consumers a one-sided (and primarily negative) message. This presents a larger potential opportunity for retailers and manufacturers to become a trusted advisor to their constituents, since an informed consumer will be more confident in making sound decisions in choosing what to buy and eat.
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Wal-Mart Private Label Brand Impact Analysis allows manufacturers and retailers to better understand the impact of Wal-Mart private label on consumer brand and retailer loyalty. Wal-Mart Custom Category Cross OutletFacts Report delivers new insights into outlet loyalty among Wal-Mart core and occasional shoppers. Wal-Mart Supercenter Source of Business Analysis provides an assessment of volume gains from other retail outlets and retailers. Wal-Mart Key Item Report identifies key items purchased in Wal-Mart, providing both manufacturers and retailers with a unique opportunity to manage assortment more effectively to better serve Wal-Mart consumers. Wal-Mart Demo-Fit Analysis correlates key consumer segments in Wal-Mart to their product-purchasing behavior. Mirroring the landscape of the entire U.S. population, the ACNielsen Homescan panel is the foundation for insights that are unmatched in the industry. Notable facts include: Homescan panelists have shopped in more than 90% of all Wal-Mart stores over the past year. ACNielsen can report at both Division One and Supercenter granularity because of the high number of static panelists who shop in Wal-Mart. ACNielsen has very strong C and D County coverage, providing an advantage in tracking Wal-Mart sales given the chains rural concentration. Homescan is the only source for price paid and dollar volume in Wal-Mart.
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Shelves can have a positive slope and/or can be rotated at any angle between 0 and 359 degrees. Fixture assemblies can now be stored in and retrieved from the libraries for even more efficient replication of advanced merchandising situations. An easy-to-use Find Product/Fixture capability to locate a product or a fixture in any 2D planogram view and the Product List. The Renumber Fixture ID feature now supports flexible combinations of segment number, fixture number (total or by segment), user-selected separator, prefix and suffix to create unique Fixture IDs for all fixtures. The option to export only selected fields. You can import data for Fixtures and Positions. Direct import of ACNielsen data from ACNielsen Workstation InformationServer 2.x and Workstation Plus 4.1 and later.
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Available in Canada
Available in USA
Additional Retailers Sign On for the New, Industry-Leading Category Business Planner
The list of retailers continues to grow for Category Business Planner, the revolutionary, web-based business solution for collaborative category management. Retailers such as SUPERVALU, Albertsons, Brunos, Meijer, HE Butt, Walgreens, Wakefern, Eckerd, CVS and Hannaford have chosen Category Business Planner as their preferred method for performing category reviews. The one-number method for delivering category information supports collaboration among retailers and manufacturers, improves efficiency and enables both client groups to focus on growth initiatives.
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Consumer Insight | Winter 2001 |
Category Business Planner provides the common ground for a true meeting of the minds between retailers and manufacturers. How? By delivering category information in the retailers customized view. Powerful web-enabled tools let your drill down and do in minutes what once took weeks. Imagine, the hours you once spent on data compilation and analysis can now be spent working together to create thoughtful, effective category plans. Your productivity will be improved and your business partnerships strengthened. Finally, you can realize the full potential of category management. Category Business Planner presents insights in a manner that is intuitive for you to understand, quick to learn, fast to use and comprehensive in its ability to create actionable strategies and tactics. Accessed through the ACNielsen Answers web portal, Category Business Planner uses patented modeling technology, delivering alerts and headlines for drilling down into the data to understand what is going on with a given category and why. Visit http://acnielsen.com/cbp for a complete overview.
New Convenience Track Categories for 2002 Cookies Crackers Salty Snacks Nuts Current categories include: Beverage Beer Malternative Beverage Other Tobacco Bulk Ice Cream Frozen Novelties Energy Bars Meat Snacks Candy and Gum
New Convenience Track Account Level Services in 2002 BP/Amoco Crown Petroleum Kum N Go
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| Consumer Insight | Winter 2001
Market-level data allows a retailer and manufacturer to benchmark key elements such as sales, pricing, and assortment to a local convenience market. This helps identify top-selling items carried in markets but not carried by the retailers. With Convenience Tracks extensive list of market-level data, manufacturers can measure their performance, search for category opportunities, and help the retailers uncover new opportunities for the entire category in selected markets, cross outlet.
Available in Canada
Available in USA
Integrate these findings to create better brand management strategies. For more information, please contact Tim Hoddap at Tim.Hodapp@acnielsen.ca.
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Consumer Insight | Winter 2001 |
Category usage and attitudes Brand relationship, awareness, consideration and preference Brand associations Willingness to pay a premium price Advertising awareness and diagnostics Other marketing program awareness and diagnostics Corporate image And Winning Bands can be part of an on-going tracking program. Interviews are repeated at regular quarterly, semi-annual or annual intervals to monitor any changes in brand equity over time.
Building brand awareness Strengthening loyalty programs This annual study measures the attitudes and online behaviour of a representative sample of Canadians. Included is a comprehensive demographic section that profiles a wide range of target groups from adult females, youth, and seniors to home-based businesses. Core areas explored include: Effectiveness of web sitestailor your online advertising programs to suit the needs and preferences of your target market. E-commerce purchasing behaviour. Online Transactionsattitudes towards pricing and online security.
Usage and preferences with respect to advertising and permission marketing. Telecommunications, Portals and ISPsfocuses on emerging trends and opportunities. Financial Servicesexplores how online activity can be used to market greater use of services such as dayto-day banking, credit, investment and insurance. Government and Public Policyfocuses on trends and the potential for leveraging the Internet as a vehicle to enhance program delivery. Healthcareexamines the Internet as a source of health-related products, services and information. For more information, please contact Josie Cirasella at Josie.Cirasella@acnielsen.ca.
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January 1315 Food Marketing Institute Midwinter Executive Conference The Phoenician Scottsdale, Arizona January 1315 International Housewares Show McCormick Place Chicago, Illinois
February 35 Food Marketing Institute Marketechnics Convention ACNielsen Booth # 2033 Spectra Marketing Booth # 2133 San Diego Convention Center San Diego, CA February 1114 National Grocers Association 2002 Convention Paris Las Vegas Hotel Las Vegas, Nevada
do I target
Who
across channels
Compete ?
Emphasize e-commerce
HIGHEST QUALITY DATA | FASTEST DELIVERY SPEED | BEST CONSUMER COVERAGE | BEST RETAIL OUTLET COVERAGE
2002 ACNielsen. ACNielsen is a trademark of A.C. Nielsen Company.
real issues
Who can afford to waste time wading through information? You need consumer knowledge for action. ACNielsen Homescan gives you consumer share of mind, wallet, basket and stomach. Scantrack offers unparalleled insight into the retail marketplaceplus the tools you need to act. Contact your ACNielsen representative to learn more. Visit acnielsen.com. Or call 1.800.988.4ACN.