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Weren't you the person who said that you don't trust us?
So, whenever I see people talking about risks, I always refer to the
concise Wikipedia article on SPOFs, or Single Points of Failure. In
any network system, a SPOF is where you have this node spontaneously
fail or do something terrible, which might be a cascading black swan,
completely unpredictable and turns everything upside down. For
instance, if you only have your very important document on one
computer, that's a SPOF, because if that point fails, then all of the
other things that you were going to do with that one document will now
be generally undoable.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Single_point_of_failure
"""
The strategy to prevent from total systems failure is
1) Reduced Complexity
Complex systems shall be designed according to principles decomposing
complexity to the required level.
2) Redundancy
Redundant systems include a double instance for any critical
component with an automatic and robust switch or handle to turn
control over to the other well functioning unit (failover)
3) Diversity
Diversity design is a special redundancy concept that cares for the
doubling of functionality in completely different design setups of
components to decrease the probability that redundant components might
fail both at the same time under identical conditions.
4) Transparency
Whatever systems design will deliver, long term reliability is based
on transparent and comprehensive documentation.
"""
So, I see DIYbio as implementing a few of these, especially #4 and #1.
But when it comes to risks of total system failure due to viruses, I
see we're completely failing at #3 with having only one single
atmosphere, and thus a possible medium for harmful biological agents.
I mean, it's just a bad idea. It's nice though. I really do like
everything, but I hardly think it's fair to play the blame game and
act like viruses are the cause for how much that possibility sucks-
it's also partly due to just the way that the world has historically
worked.
> The reason the boundaries and self-policing can't work anymore is
> that the multiple and reasonable connotations of the term "synthetic
> biology" naturally mean that anybody not of the ghetto will
> immediately associate it with the entirety of recombinant DNA work in
> general. And this is a time when discussions about recombinant DNA
> powered work are breaking surface again. For all sorts of reasons,
> including the ones above On November 18th, Kofi Annan of the UN
> called for a world discussion about the dangers arising from the
Global problems need global solutions- habitats are one way if you
want to do the environmental isolation from viruses gig. I mean, let's
be honest here. You're looking at the problem of viral infection, so
let's solve *that* problem. Viruses are easy to replicate. Habitats
aren't- that's where the actual effort needs to go into, if you really
are worried about these viral infections.
Because Uncle Ben really isn't a person. Now, if the government wants
to contribute, stay active in these matters, increase infrastructure
for new research and so on, that's fantastic and I am sure many people
on this list would find that a worthwhile use of their time.
> Responsibility to articulate and help bring about positive
> consequences. I suspect that most people who read this will share the
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Andrew More options Feb 4,
Hessel 4:28 pm
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William More options Feb 4,
Heath 5:23 pm
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Lora More options Feb 4,
6:10 pm
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Disclaimer: http://www.kuleuven.be/cwis/email_disclaimer.htm
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Mackenzie More options Feb 4,
Cowell 6:35 pm
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JonathanClin More options Feb 4,
e 10:34 pm
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Yea, well personally I'm more worried about upsetting the balance of
ecosystems by introducing new species that can out-compete the existing ones
than I am about human diseases. You can persuade humans line up for
vaccinations. Honey bees not so much.
> It should tell you something when we know without debate that those
> things are hazardous to life and humanity, and we have the technology
> in hand to fix those things, *yet we don't fix them anyway*.
Fair point, but when you're talking about replicating organisms, you're into
profoundly, qualitatively different ground. It's like comparing software
bugs with botnet viruses. It's linear vs exponential.
> I'd suggest that when it comes to making the world safer, we work on
> things we already are sure of, before going off half-cocked on the
> WhatIfs. We got enough problems, let's not go imagining more.
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Thank you. :-) Strategies for preventing total system failure are
important, and another aspect of it is a constructive or
creation-based approach. Anyway, check out this too:
http://constructal.org/ "According to the Constructal law, every
system is destined to remain imperfect, i.e. with flow resistances.
The natural constructal tendency then is to distribute the
imperfections of the system, and this distribution of imperfection
generates the shape and structure of the system."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Systemantics
"""
* The Primal Scenario or Basic Datum of Experience: Systems in general
work poorly or not at all. (Complicated systems seldom exceed five
percent efficiency.)
* The Fundamental Theorem: New systems generate new problems.
* The Law of Conservation of Anergy [sic]: The total amount of anergy
in the universe is constant. ("Anergy" = 'human energy')
* Laws of Growth: Systems tend to grow, and as they grow, they encroach.
* The Generalized Uncertainty Principle: Systems display antics.
(Complicated systems produce unexpected outcomes. The total behavior
of large systems cannot be predicted.)
* Le Chatelier's Principle: Complex systems tend to oppose their own
proper function. As systems grow in complexity, they tend to oppose
their stated function.
* Functionary's Falsity: People in systems do not actually do what the
system says they are doing.
* The Operational Fallacy: The system itself does not actually do what
it says it is doing.
* The Fundamental Law of Administrative Workings (F.L.A.W.): Things
are what they are reported to be. The real world is what it is
reported to be. (That is, the system takes as given that things are as
reported, regardless of the true state of affairs.)
* Systems attract systems-people. (For every human system, there is a
type of person adapted to thrive on it or in it.)
* The bigger the system, the narrower and more specialized the
interface with individuals.
* A complex system cannot be "made" to work. It either works or it doesn't.
* A simple system, designed from scratch, sometimes works.
* Some complex systems actually work.
* A complex system that works is invariably found to have evolved from
a simple system that works.
* A complex system designed from scratch never works and cannot be
patched up to make it work. You have to start over, beginning with a
working simple system.
* The Functional Indeterminacy Theorem (F.I.T.): In complex systems,
malfunction and even total non-function may not be detectable for long
periods, if ever.
* The Newtonian Law of Systems Inertia: A system that performs a
certain way will continue to operate in that way regardless of the
need or of changed conditions.
* Systems develop goals of their own the instant they come into being.
* Intrasystem [sic] goals come first.
* The Fundamental Failure-Mode Theorem (F.F.T.): Complex systems
usually operate in failure mode.
* A complex system can fail in an infinite number of ways. (If
anything can go wrong, it will.) (See Murphy's law.)
* The mode of failure of a complex system cannot ordinarily be
predicted from its structure.
* The crucial variables are discovered by accident.
* The larger the system, the greater the probability of unexpected failure.
* "Success" or "Function" in any system may be failure in the larger
or smaller systems to which the system is connected.
* The Fail-Safe Theorem: When a Fail-Safe system fails, it fails by
failing to fail safe.
* Complex systems tend to produce complex responses (not solutions) to problems.
* Great advances are not produced by systems designed to produce great advances.
* The Vector Theory of Systems: Systems run better when designed to
run downhill.
* Loose systems last longer and work better. (Efficient systems are
dangerous to themselves and to others.)
* As systems grow in size, they tend to lose basic functions.
* The larger the system, the less the variety in the product.
* Control of a system is exercised by the element with the greatest
variety of behavioral responses.
* Colossal systems foster colossal errors.
* Choose your systems with care.
"""
> I think I'd add something to that list... something that Jason's
> microbial-birdwatching addresses I think - I haven't quite put my finger on
> it yet, but it's got something to do with an network-based, over-arching
> awareness of what's going on. Everywhere.
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Roger More options Feb 5,
11:41 am
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Lora More options Feb 5,
5:10 pm
How is the Boy Scout Code Of Honor working out for Hwang Woo-suk, Jan
Henrik Schoen, Malcolm Pearce, Thereza Imanishi-Kari, Charles Dawson,
Luk van Parijs, Pons & Fleischmann...?
We've got the Geneva Convention of course, which already forbids
bioweapons, although I hear that's not working out so hot these days
either. I mean, if international treaties don't do the trick, what
other ideas did you have?
I'm sorry you're scared, but honestly, I don't know what to do for
you--I don't see that there's a whole lot more to be done. I already
vote for the "diplomacy first" hippie politicians when I can. I could
make you a nice cup of tea and give you a hug, that's about it.
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Lora More options Feb 7,
6:14 am
Roger, would you please reply to the efforts that people put into
replying to your last email before you continue? Otherwise I doubt
people are going to be interested in continuing to reply to you. I'm
kind of hesitant, since it seems my efforts are going nowhere with
you. But I'm willing to give the benefit of a doubt for the moment.
> Do you think people might be receptive to some measure of absolute
> prohibition, along the
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Roger More options Feb 5,
11:48 am
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Comeon, the answer to this question is really basic and has nothing to do
with biology :) A great majority of people would agree to this, and a small
minority won't.
That is a good and important question; however I'd just point out that the
reason this is an important question is because the
democratization/dissemination you mention is a reality, not just an idea we
are committed to.
-Josh
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rhdurland@yahoo.co More options Feb 5,
m 9:23 pm
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JonathanClin More options Feb 6,
e 9:34 am
No. Although I don't really know what "invasion" means, I assume it's
the same rationale as above. Is that a medical term?
> The idea is behind the second question is that the realistic prospect
> of such
> projects being of interest to and accessible to this community may be
> some time
> off,
Define "some time". I guess 9 months (1Q 2010). Anything iGEM can
do, people here can do better.
> and in the interim a community might be able to think through
> how or if it wanted to regulate these, whether it should submit such
> experiments for review, if so what kinds of review structures if any
> might be
> appropriate.