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Commercial Banking
Asset Liability Management April 2008
Geographical spread of Bank branches Directed Investments / Credit Programs Administered Rates of Interest Accrual based accounting Problems of Recovery of Loans Deterioration in Quality of Assets /Loans Erosion of Profits No Computerisation Trade Union Issues
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L-P-G Policy of GOI since 1991 Technological Changes ATMs / Internet New Products and Services : Competition Narasimham Committee - I / II on Financial / Banking Sector Reforms (1991 & 1997) Capital Adequacy Ratio : IRAC Norms : NPAs Priority Sector Loans: Reduce from 40 to 10%? Reduce SLR (40%) and CRR (15%) Benchmark Prime Lending Rates Enactment / Amendments to various laws
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Market determined Rates of Interest No directed lending or investments Organisational Changes : Transparency 4 way classification of Loan Accounts / Assets Provisioning for Losses o/a NPAs & Std Assets ALM (1999) and Risk Management, KYC in Banks Non Performing Assets definition revised from 4 quarters (1993) dues in Principal & Interest to 3 (1994) to 2 (1995) quarters and now from April 01, 2004 just 90 days / 1 quarter ! Basel II norms for Bank Supervision from 2008!
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ALM - Introduction
Banks Economic Factors Economic Policies
Balance Sheet of a Bank Liabilities Capital Reserves and Surplus Deposits Borrowings Other Liabilities and Provisions Contingent Liabilities
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Assets Cash and Balances at RBI Balance with banks and money at call and short notice Investments Advances Fixed Assets Other Assets
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Risks
Various Risks
Interest Rate Risk Foreign Exchange Risk Liquidity Risk Credit Risk Contingency Risk
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Till the 1980s, a professional risk manager was unheard of Late 1980s, US Financial Firms started using VaR Basel I ;1988 Risk Metrics, 1995 Bank for International Settlement (BIS) - a series of risk management guidelines for Banks worldwide Market Risk Guidelines of Basel, 1996 Basel II process ( November 2005 Document)
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Risk Management
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WHAT IS ALM?
In terms of:
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Asset Liability Management Asset Management How Liquid are the assets of the Bank Liability Management How easily can the Bank generate loans from market
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ALM is an integral part of the financial management process of any bank. ALM is concerned with strategic balance sheet management involving risks caused by changes in the interest rates, exchange rates and the liquidity position of the bank. While managing these three risks forms the crux of ALM, credit risk and contingency risk also form a part of the ALM
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ALM can be termed as a risk management technique designed to earn an adequate return while maintaining a comfortable surplus of assets beyond liabilities. It takes into consideration interest rates, earning power, and degree of willingness to take on debt and hence is also known as Surplus Management
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ALM is all about efficient management of balance sheet dynamics with regard to its size, constituents and quality. It is the process of managing the Net Interest Margin (NIM) within the overall risk bearing ability of a bank ALM process depends on the understanding of the balance sheet; the availability, accuracy, adequacy and expediency of the data and the MIS system
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GAP Analysis
One way to measure the direction and extent of asset-liability mismatch is by using gap analysis. The analysis derives its name from the gap which is the difference between the amounts of Rate Sensitive Asset (RSA) and Rate Sensitive Liabilities (RSL).
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HISTORY OF ALM
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Definition of ALM
ALM is defined as, the process of decision making to control risks of existence, stability and growth of a system through the dynamic balances of its assets and liabilities. The text book definition of ALM is a risk management technique designed to earn an adequate return while maintaining a comfortable surplus of assets beyond liabilities. It takes into consideration interest rates, earning power and degree of willingness to take on debt. It is also called surplus- management.
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2.
3.
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Decision Support and Reporting Tool Comparison between different Branches Product Analysis Duration Gap Analysis Risk Planning and Management Flexible Design Strategic Planning of the Asset-Liability Mix Simulation Analysis Transfer- Pricing Mechanism
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2. ALM ORGANISATION
Strong Commitment of Senior Management ALCO should comprise the Senior Management ( including the CEO)
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Board of Directors
Management Committee
Treasury
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3. ALM PROCESS
The scope of ALM function can be described as follows: Liquidity Risk Management Management of Market Risks Trading Risk Management Funding and Capital Planning Profit Planning and Growth Projection
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Price Matching
(Rs. cr.)
*
Liabilities
Amount Rate (%) 15 25 30 30 0 5 12 13 10 20 50 20
Assets
Amount Rate (%) 0 12 15 18
Liabilities
Amount Rate (%) 10 5 15 10 30 10 20 0 0 5 5 12 13 13 8.75* 10 5 15 10 30 10 20 100
Assets
Amount Rate (%) 0 12 12 15 15 15 18 13.5* Spread (%) 0 12 7 10 3 2 5 4.75*
100
8.75*
100
13.5*
100
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Table II
Liabil ities
Assets
Gap
Cumulati ve Gap
10 5 8 4 45 20 8 100
1 3 6 12 24 36 >36
10 5 8 4 45 20 8 100
15 10 5 10 30 10 20 100
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-5 -5 3 -6 15 10 -12
-5 -10 -7 -13 2 12 0
>36
Risks in ALM
Interest Rate Risk: It is the risk of having a negative impact on a banks future earnings and on the market value of its equity due to changes in interest rates. Liquidity Risk: It is the risk of having insufficient liquid assets to meet the liabilities at a given time. Forex Risk: It is the risk of having losses in foreign exchange assets and liabilities due to exchanges in exchange rates among multicurrencies under consideration.
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Availability of funds as & when liabilities are due Liquidity through maturity & cash flow matching Maturity ladder & calculation of cumulative surplus/deficits at selected dates
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Main focus on Short Term mismatches Mismatches during 1-30 days < 20 % of cash outflows in the same bucket For higher limits, special sanction from the Board Statement of Structural Liquidity (maturity ladder)
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1. 2. 3. 4.
Impact on Net Interest Income (NII) Long term impact on market value/ net worth Techniques: Gap Analysis Duration Gap Analysis Simulation Value at Risk
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1. GAP ANALYSIS
Calculating Gap over different time intervals at a given date Mismatches between RSL and RSA GAP = RSA( i) - RSL( i) = NII( i) for each time bucket Positive GAP ( RSA > RSL ) Increasing Interest Rates would be beneficial for a Bank Negative GAP ( RSL > RSA ) Falling Interest Rates would be beneficial for a Bank
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1.
Strategic Framework
2.
Organizational Framework
3.
Operational Framework
Analytical Framework
5. Technology Framework
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Regulatory Environment
ALM Guidelines - February,1999 Operating Guidelines on Risk Management, October 7, 1999 covering broad contours for management of credit, liquidity, interest rate, foreign exchange and operational risks. December 2000 : Capital Adequacy Guidelines for Primary Dealers covering Credit and Market Risk On September 20, 2001, two Working Groups were constituted in Reserve Bank of India drawing experts from select banks and FIs for preparing detailed Guidance Notes on Credit Risk and Market Risk Management by banks.
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Identified further steps to be taken by banks for improving their existing risk management framework, suiting to Indian conditions
2005 Detailed Capital Adequacy guidelines for Banks to move towards Basel II, 2007- final guidelines 2006 April 17, the ALM framework of 1999 updated. 2007- Pillar II guidelines being issued
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Issued on Sept 05, 2007 Feb 10, 1999 guidelines covered Interest Rate and Liquidity Risk Management Cumulative mis-matches in first bucket to be reported in Statement of Structural Liquidity -ve Gap in 1-14 and 15-28 days buckets not to exceed 20 % of the cash flows Need for revising this position Hence revised the first bucket to 1, 2-7 & 8-14 days
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Cumulative negative mismatches / Gap in new buckets Next day, 2-7, 8-14 and 15-28 days not to exceed 5, 10, 15 and 20 % respectively of cash flow Format of Statement of Structural Liquidity has been revised accordingly Guidance instructions have been furnished Banks given time to fine-tune MIS by 1 Jan08 Reporting frequency to continue as monthly Supervision will be fortnightly April 01,2008 Financing of gaps above norms to be indicated
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