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Objectives: 1. To be clear and understand the reasons for the dominance of USA as a global economic and political power.
1. Introduction The USA began in 1775 as a weak confederation of 13 sovereign states. As that minimal state failed to deal with worsening socioeconomic problems, a political consensus arose to create a more powerful state. In 1787, the USA adopted its current constitution, which created a federal system. The power and duties es of America's government have steadily risen since then to deal with new problems and public demands. Today, the national government consumes nearly a quarter of GNP and regulates directly or indirectly virtually all economic sectors. 2. Reasons for US dominance inance in the global economy
Military might
Political influence
Dollarisation
2.1. Rise of Keynesian Economics The early 1930s saw the US stock market crash and the subsequent Great Depression discredited classical economic theory that asserted that markets should be self self-regulated regulated rather than government regulated. Unbridled speculation had created and then popped a huge speculative stock bubble. The rising depression was deepened by President Hoover's classical classic liberal economic hands-off hands response. While the economy sunk further into depression, Hoover actually called for federal spending cuts to balance the budget. 2.1.1. The US economy during Roosevelt's time After Roosevelt became President in 1933, the government increasingly assumed more responsibility for managing the economy. In his first 100 days in office, Roosevelt pushed 15 bills through Congress that by a variety of means stimulated the economy with greater government spending and programmes. The represented the first time that the US had systematically attempted to smooth out economic boom and bust cycles. During WWII, the government shifted its policy from stimulating specific economic sectors to direct management of the economy for the war and targeted strategic industries for development.
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Case Study 3: Nike Nike is the largest sportswear supplier in the world, with 500 factories around the world and offices located in 45 countries outside the United States. Most of the factories are located in Asia, including China, Taiwan, India, Turkey, Thailand, Vietnam, Pakistan, Philippines, Malaysia, and Korea.
Nike has been criticized for contracting with factories that allegedly use sweatshop labour in countries such as China, Vietnam, Indonesia and Mexico. Vietnam Labour Watch, an activist group, has documented that Nike has violated minimum wage and overtime laws in Vietnam as late as 1996, although Nike claims that this practice has been halted. In the 90's, Nike faced criticism for its use of child labour in Cambodia and Pakistan in its production of soccer balls. Although Nike took action to curb or at least reduce the practice of child labour, they continue to contract their production to companies that operate in areas where inadequate regulation and monitoring make it hard to ensure that child labour is not being used. Despite these criticisms, Nike's annual revenues have increased from $6.4 billion in 1996 to $15 billion in 2006. Nike sells its products in international markets through independent distributors, licensees and subsidiaries.
Case Study 4: Hewlett Packard The Hewlett-Packard Company, commonly known as HP, is currently the world's largest information technology corporation (by revenue) and is known worldwide for its printers, personal computers and related services. Headquartered in Palo Alto, California, United States, it has a global presence in the fields of computing, printing, and digital imaging, and also provides software and services. HP is now the No. 1 ranking company in worldwide personal computer shipments, surpassing rival Dell.
2.5. Military might 2.5.1. Size and budget As the majority of World War II was fought far from its national boundaries, the United States did not suffer the industrial destruction or massive civilian casualties that marked the wartime situation of the countries in Europe or Asia. During the war, the United States had built up a strong industrial and technological infrastructure that had greatly advanced its military strength into a primary position on the global stage.
The United States and Soviet Union jockeyed for power after World War II during a new Cold War, dominating the military affairs of Europe through the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and the Warsaw Pact. The United States promoted liberal democracy and capitalism, while the Soviet Union promoted communism and a centrally planned economy, but both sides supported dictatorships when politically convenient and engaged in proxy wars, including the Korean War and the Soviet war in Afghanistan. The military budget of the United States in 2005, over $470 million, was estimated to be greater than the next fourteen largest national military budgets combined. However, the military budget was only about 4
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Military Might can be used as a leverage to influence the actions of another country and to boost one's own position, elevate its status as in the case of USA. This ability is a crucial element of a state's power in international relations. The ability of a state to project its forces into an area may serve as an effective diplomatic lever, influencing the decision-making process and acting as a potential deterrent on other states' behaviour. While a few long-range weapons such as the intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) and certain types of cruise missilesare capable of projecting deadly force in their own right, most discussion of power projection revolve around issues of military logistics. The ability to integrate naval and air forces with land armies as part of joint warfare is generally viewed as a key aspect of effective power projection; airlift and sealift capabilities allow a country to deploy units of soldiers or weapons to distant destinations not easily accessible by land forces. The aircraft carrier battle group, strategic bomber, Ballistic missile submarine, and C-5B Galaxy strategic airlifter are all examples of power projection platforms, as are military units designed to be light and mobile, such as airborne forces (paratroopers and air assault forces). Forward basing is another method of power projection, which by pre-positioning military units or stockpiles of arms at strategically located military bases outside a country's territory, reduces the time and distance needed to mobilize them for combat in a distant theatre of war.
2.5.4. US defense budget: the largest budget and most influential military power in the world The U.S defence budget is the largest in the world, and is almost equal to the combined military spending of all other nations. The U.S.A has the second largest stockpile of nuclear weapons and intercontinental ballistic missiles in the world. It also has more aircraft carriers and ballistic missile submarines than any other country, and is the only country apart from Russia that operates strategic bomber aircraft. The U.S.A is the most influential member in NATO. The military budget of the United States in 2005, over $470 billion was estimated to be greater than the next fourteen largest national military budgets combined. However, the military budget was only about 4 percent of GDP, a lower percentage than that of twenty-six other nations. 2.6. Political will and economic ability to promote international trade and economic development 2.6.1. Wealth of resources
HWA CHONG INSTITUTION (COLLEGE)/ARTS DEPARTMENT/HISTORY UNIT
Special Thanks to Mrs. Renee Low.
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Following WWII, the world was divided into two hostile camps, the western 'capitalist' and largelydemocratic countries led by the USA and the eastern 'socialist' countries dominated by the Soviet Union. From being allies, the two superpowers and their satellites or supporters saw each other with increasing suspicion from 1947 onwards. The Soviet Union expanded westward absorbing 3 Baltic States and parts of Poland, Germany and Romania; the Red Army was used to help install communist governments in a number of Eastern European states. The USA used its economic power to prevent countries in the rest of the world from following the same path and surrounded the Soviet Union with a ring of threatening military bases. Each of them tied their allies to themselves through tight military alliances, NATO and the Warsaw Pact. This period of the Cold War would see these two powers armed to the teeth with lethal weapons but not confronting each other directly but through a series of proxy armed conflicts, the Korean War (1950-53), the Vietnam Conflict (1965-75) and the Afghanistan war (1979-88). These political developments dominated world politics and would have an effect on economic developments as well. Due to the Cold War conflict, USA exercised their political will to promote international trade and economic activities in capitalist countries so as to prevent communism from infiltrating into these countries and gaining world dominance.
2.7. Political influence Having taken on the mantle of political leadership in the western world after 1945, USA saw itself as the leading military power, not merely in the struggle against communism in major wars such as Korea and Vietnam but also other conflicts like Africa and the western hemisphere the political presence of USA was immense and global. In addition, the US had an enormous armament programme as well as the Cold War had led to large expenditure on espionage or propping of weak governments to keep them within the western orbit.
USA also supported its allies in Europe through economic aid, e,g. Marshall Plan and was the leading contributor, directly and through international organizations, to the provision of aid and loans to the Third World. All these saw to USA asserting its political power and influence worldwide.
HWA CHONG INSTITUTION (COLLEGE)/ARTS DEPARTMENT/HISTORY UNIT
Special Thanks to Mrs. Renee Low.
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The election of Ronald Reagan as president in 1980 marked a significant rightward shift in American politics. In the late 1980s and 1990s, the Soviet Union's power diminished, leading to its collapse. The leadership role taken by the United States and its allies in the United Nations sanctioned Gulf War and the Yugoslav wars helped to preserve its position as the world's last remaining superpower and to expand NATO. The United States has vast economic, political, and military influence on a global scale, which makes its foreign policy a subject of great interest around the world. Isolationism became a thing of the past, however, when the United States took a lead role in founding the United Nations, becoming a permanent member of the Security Council, and host to the United Nations headquarters. The U.S. enjoys a special relationship with Britain, and close ties to Australia, Japan, Israel, and fellow NATO members. Additionally, they enjoy close ties to its neighbours through the Organization of American States and free trade agreements such as the trilateral North American Free Trade Agreement with Canada and Mexico.
2.8. Commitment to a liberal and multilateral international economic order 2.8.1. NAFTA The USA has attempted to increase its economic growth and bargaining power with other countries by forging a free trade association with its neighbours. In 1988, the USA, and Canada signed a free trade agreement whereby they would eliminate tariffs and non-tariff barriers towards most of each other's exports. In 1991, the USA, Mexico and Canada began negotiations to create a North American Free Trade Association (NAFTA), which that year unified 363 million consumers and $6.5 trillion in economic activities.
In his first year as President, Clinton negotiated his promised agreements with Mexico and after a major push managed to ratify NAFTA in 1993. The USA gained far more from NAFTA than Mexico, as US had already gained from the closer ties. In 1987, a trade agreement with Mexico nearly doubled bilateral trade and tripled American exports from $15 billion until the US enjoyed a trade surplus of $5.4 billion and $41 billion in exports in 1992. America's trade surplus has translated into 350,000 new jobs for the country. In 1992, 8.5% of total American exports went to Mexico, making that US' third largest trade partner after Canada and Japan. NAFTA is predicted will create for USA 325,000 new jobs over the next decade and overall, the US will enjoy not only more but better paying jobs because export-related jobs pay 17% more than non-export jobs. In this sense, US has not only strengthened itself internally economically but established itself to be a major economic influence and power regionally.
2.9. Dominance in the Bretton Woods system US invitation to representatives of 44 different countries was to create a new global order and economy. Diplomats signed agreements designed to end trade barriers and competitive currency devaluations that
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2.10.1. Dominance of the US dollar In the post-war years the US dollar had been the leading reserve currency; the currency in which central banks of other countries held their reserves to meet international obligations. It was also the key currency used within the IMF and the world's oil is traded in dollars. The dollar kept that status even after the relative economic power of the USA had been weakened as the central banks as well as citizens of other countries continued to be willing to hold and trade dollars. The U.S. dollar is the currency most used in international transactions.
Several countries use the U.S. dollar as their official currency, and many others allow it to be used in a de facto capacity. In 1995, over US $380 billion were in circulation, two-thirds of which was outside the United States. By 2005, that figure had doubled to nearly $760 billion, with an estimated half to twothirds being held overseas, representing an annual growth rate of about 7.6%. The dollar is also used as the standard unit of currency in international markets for commodities such as gold and petroleum. Even foreign companies with little direct presence in the United States, such as the European company Airbus, list and sell their products in dollars, although some argue this is attributed to the aerospace market being dominated by American companies. At the present time, the U.S. dollar remains the world's foremost reserve currency, primarily held in $100 denominations. The majority of U.S. notes are actually held outside the United States. The dollar is the most important international reserve currency.
2.10.2. Dollarisation Other nations besides the United States use the U.S. dollar as their official currency, a process known as official dollarisation. For instance, Panama has been using the dollar alongside the Panamanian balboa as the legal tender since 1904 with a rate of change of 1:1. Ecuador (2000), El Salvador (2001), and East Timor (2000) all adopted the currency independently. The former members of the US administered Trust Territory of the Pacific islands, which included Palau, the Federated States of Micronesia, and the Marshall Islands, chose not to issue their own currency after becoming independent, having all used the U.S. dollar since 1944.
Two British dependencies also use the U.S. dollar: the British Virgin Islands (1959) and Turks and Caicos Islands. Some other countries link their currency to U.S. dollar at a fixed exchange rate. The local currencies of Bermuda and the Bahamas can be freely exchanged at a 1:1 ratio for US 1. Argentina used a fixed 1:1 exchange rate between the Argentine peso and The U.S. dollar from 1991 until 2002.
HWA CHONG INSTITUTION (COLLEGE)/ARTS DEPARTMENT/HISTORY UNIT
Special Thanks to Mrs. Renee Low.
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The US uses the promise of aid or the threat of cutting it off as a leverage in political bargaining with recipients. For example, Pakistans nuclear weapons programme in the late 1980s, despite US warnings, resulted in the termination of a sizable flow of US aid. When Pakistan supported US military action in Afghanistan in 2001, US aid was restored. The US has sometimes cutoff foreign aid to protest human rights violations by a country's military.
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