THE 60-YEAR GREAT CYCLE APPEARS TO STILL BE PREEMINENT IN LIGHT OF THE RECENT TRADE, POTENTIAL RUNAWAY MOVES REMAIN

IN EFFECT

By James Flanagan

STUDY OF THE PAST

By studying past history and knowing that the future is but a repetition of the past, you can determine the cause according to the time and conditions. You cannot have too much information or too many records when you are going to risk your capital. Sometimes it is necessary to go a long way back to determine the cause, because you must study war, its effect, and the conditions before war and what follows. Nothing will help you more than going over the past history of markets, studying its actions under different periods. If you know what a market has done in the past, you have a better chance to determine what it will do in the future. When you learn the past history of a market, learn the way it is running, what cycle it is in, and then make a trade on definite knowledge, your chances for success are 100% greater. You should keep charts and records of past market movements because your memory is too short.

30-YEAR TREASURY YIELDS

S&P 500 CASH

S&P 500 CASH

S&P 500 CASH

PRICE MOVES INTO TERRITORY WHICH HAS NOT BEEN REACHED FOR YEARS

When a stock [or commodity] moves into new territory or to prices which it has not reached for months or years, it shows that the force or driving power is working in that direction. It is the same principle as any other force which has been restrained and breaks out. Water may be held back by a dam, but if it breaks through the dam, you would know that it would continue downward until it reached another dam, or some obstruction or resistance which would stop it. Therefore, it is very important to watch old levels of stocks. The longer the time that elapses between the breaking into new territory, the greater the move you can expect, because the accumulative energy over a long period naturally will produce a larger movement than if it only accumulated during a short period of time.

S&P 500 CASH WEEKLY

RUSSELL 3000 WEEKLY

DURATION OF TIME BETWEEN OLD HIGHS OR LOWS BEING TESTED

The longer the period of time that elapses before a previous high level is crossed or a previous low level is broken, the greater the advance or decline which follows.

S&P 500 CASH

TIME DURATION DISTRIBUTION OF EVERY LEG UP IN HISTORY SINCE 1886

SEP S&P 500

30-YEAR TREASURY YIELDS

30-YEAR TREASURY YIELDS

30-YEAR TREASURY YIELDS

BONDS NEAREST FUTURES

BONDS NEAREST FUTURES

BONDS NEAREST FUTURES

SEP BONDS

GOLD CASH

LOST MOTION

There is lost motion in every kind if machinery. There is also lost motion in the grain market or any other commodity due to momentum, which drives wheat and other commodities slightly above or below a resistance level.

SILVER CASH

GOLD CASH: LONGEST LEGS DOWN SINCE 1968

SILVER NF: LONGEST LEGS DOWN SINCE 1962

PLATINUM NF

GOLD/SILVER RATIO

XAU GOLD STOCK

MASSIVE # OF SELL STOPS HIT TODAY IN GOLD, SILVER AND PLATINUM

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CRB SPOT COMMODITY INDEX

CRB SPOT COMMODITY INDEX

CASH CRUDE OIL

JUNE EURO

CASH CRUDE OIL: SMALLEST LEGS UP IN HISTORY

CASH CRUDE OIL: SMALLEST LEGS DOWN IN HISTORY

GOLDMAN SACHS COMMDOITY INDEX

AUG CRUDE OIL

JUNE DOLLAR INDEX

JUNE EURO

CRUDE OIL NEAREST FUTURES

HEATING OIL NEAREST FUTURES

UNLEADED GAS NEAREST FUTURES

SELLING AGAINST OLD HIGHS

Remember, it is safe to sell short when a commodity reacts to old tops the first, second, or third time, but when it advances a fourth time, it is dangerous to sell, as it nearly always goes higher.

DURATION OF TIME BETWEEN OLD HIGHS OR LOWS BEING TESTED

The longer the period of time that elapses before a previous high level is crossed or a previous low level is broken, the greater the advance or decline which follows.

LEADER FROM ONE BULL MARKET TO THE NEXT

If the commodity has been a leader in a previous bull campaign or a leader in a previous bear campaign, the chances are that it may not be a leader in the next campaign, unless the chart distinctly shows that it is going to lead in an advance or decline.

UNLEADED GAS CASH

CRUDE OIL CASH