Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
Vol.10 No.7 A joint publication of the Connecticut Department of Labor & the Connecticut Department of Economic and Community Development
July 2005
THE CONNECTICUT being recommended by the FAA. To make this new model effec-
ECONOMIC DIGEST
The Connecticut Economic Digest is
While these tools are capable of
capturing the indirect and induced
effects of operations and visitor
tive, baseline data needed to be
collected. Passenger flow between
regions, distance, and coupon
published monthly by the Connecticut spending at an airport by tracing (ticket price) data was obtained
Department of Labor, Office of Research and inter-industry transactions within from Campbell-Hill Aviation. Much
the Connecticut Department of Economic and an economy, they are not equipped of the data could not adequately
Community Development, Compliance Office
and Planning/Program Support. Its purpose is
to deal with transportation im- be obtained from secondary
to regularly provide users with a pacts. sources, however, meaning pri-
comprehensive source for the most current, up- Until recently, models capable mary data would need to be
to-date data available on the workforce and of estimating the economic conse- generated. The UCONN Center for
economy of the state, within perspectives of quences of transportation impacts Survey Research and Analysis
the region and nation.
were not widely available. Starting (CSRA) was contracted to collect
The annual subscription is $50. Send
subscription requests to: The Connecticut
with the 5.0 version of REMI Policy the necessary data through a
Economic Digest, Connecticut Department of Insight, the core structure of the survey conducted at the airport.
Labor, Office of Research, 200 Folly Brook model was revamped, and the Likewise, business-related data,
Boulevard, Wethersfield, CT 06109-1114. changes have made the first step including frequency of use, em-
Make checks payable to the Connecticut in bridging the gap between ployment, and cargo vs. passenger
Department of Labor. Back issues are $4 per
copy. The Digest can be accessed free of
transportation changes and use of the airport were collected
charge from the DOL Web site. Articles from economic impacts. In the context through a business survey of firms
The Connecticut Economic Digest may be of airports, the recent enhance- in Bradleys market area con-
reprinted if the source is credited. Please send ments allow for structural linkages ducted by CSRA.
copies of the reprinted material to the Managing that capture the time savings and The next step was to define
Editor. The views expressed by the authors are
theirs alone and may not reflect those of the
accessibility concepts that are scenarios that best illustrated the
DOL or DECD. missing in earlier analyses of different methods employed. In
Contributing Staff: Rob Damroth (CCT), airport economic impacts. all, three scenarios were run with
Cynthia L. DeLisa, Salvatore DiPillo, Lincoln Once the groundwork was laid the new TranSight/Airports model:
S. Dyer, Arthur Famiglietti, Daniel W. Kennedy, for more specific applications of Airport Operations, which dupli-
Ph.D., David F. Post, Mark Prisloe (DECD), economic models in transporta- cates the RIMS II approach, the
Joseph Slepski, Mark Stankiewicz and Kolie tion, DECD, at the request of the Tourism Effect scenario, which
Sun (DECD). Managing Editor: Jungmin
Charles Joo. We would also like to thank our
Bradley Board and Connecticut uses a more realistic treatment of
associates at the Connecticut Center for Department of Transportation visitor spending, and the Airport
Economic Analysis, University of Connecticut, (DOT), worked with REMI to Contribution scenario, which is a
for their contributions to the Digest. develop a first-of-its kind airport more comprehensive analysis of
model: REMI TranSight/Airports. airport impacts. Additionally, to
The model was tailor-built for the lend comparability to past studies,
Connecticut Bradley study, with regions de- an analysis using the RIMS II
Department of Labor fined, locally, along the I-91 multipliers and FAA methods was
Shaun B. Cashman, Commissioner corridor and the Bradley market added to the study.
Thomas E. Hutton, Deputy Commissioner
area, and nationally, including
Roger F. Therrien, Director major city destinations of the Study Results
Office of Research airport. With the model structure The first REMI scenario, Airport
200 Folly Brook Boulevard
Wethersfield, CT 06109-1114
and theory now in place, it became Operations, uses inputs identical
Phone: (860) 263-6275 increasingly clear that a wealth of to the RIMS II scenario. Not
Fax: (860) 263-6263 data would be required to populate surprisingly, the economic impacts
E-Mail: dol.econdigest@po.state.ct.us and calibrate the model. from the two analyses bear a
Website: http://www.ctdol.state.ct.us/lmi
strong resemblance. The total
Connecticut Department
of Economic and Table 1: Results and comparison between RIMS II and REMI - Airport Operations
Community Development REMI Airport Operations Scenario RIMS II Scenario
James F. Abromaitis, Commissioner
Ronald Angelo, Deputy Commissioner CT CTWMA CTNENY Northeast Reg
Jennifer Smith Turner, Deputy Commissioner
Compliance Office and Planning/Program 17,700 20,480 23,300 Employment (jobs) 22,140
Support
505 Hudson Street
Hartford, CT 06106-2502
Phone: (860) 270-8000 $1,772.4 $1,961.0 $2,485.7 Output (millions $) $2,037.5
Fax: (860) 270-8200
E-Mail: decd@po.state.ct.us
Website: http://www.decd.org $578.1 $643.3 $768.4 Earnings (millions $) $618.4
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2 THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST July 2005
Graph 1: Employment by region for RIMS II and REMI - Airport Operations
impacts. While this shows the
large contributions of out-of-state
visitors to the local economy in
terms of visitor spending, it com-
pletely ignores the tourism trade
balance that occurs when Con-
necticut residents take their
income out of the region when
they use the airport. The airport,
while a facilitator of visiting
travelers, actually allows more
wealth to escape the region due to
tourism travel than it actually
brings in from out-of-staters.
When comparing the results of
the first year of the Tourism Effect
scenario to the results of the
Airport Operations scenario, the
employment impact in Connecticut impact of Bradley in REMI draws difference in the size of the impact
from the RIMS II analysis is higher even closer comparisons in em- measurements is striking. The
than shown in the TranSight/ ployment impact to the RIMS II Airport Operations results are
Airports analysis by 4,440 jobs results. almost twice as large in each case;
(25%), while total output differs by The second REMI scenario, for output, Airport Operations
$265 million (15%), and earnings Tourism Effect, contains both the results are 168% of the output
differs by $40 million (7%). on-airport employment and visitor created in the Tourism Effect
When comparing the results of spending featured in the Airport scenario. Since the principle
these two approaches it is impor- Operations scenario. However, it difference between these two
tant to note the differences in treats visitor spending impacts scenarios is the recapturing of
regional capture of the models. more realistically. In economist Connecticut resident income, the
The RIMS II multipliers explicitly Joseph DeSalvos paper, The results point out the glaring
cover a geographic range, which Direct Impact of an Airport on contradiction in both the previous
includes, besides Connecticut, Travelers Expenditures: Method- interpretations of visitor-spending
New England and New York. ology and Application, he points impacts and the importance of
However, since the REMI model out that one of the shortcomings airports as economic generators
has more specific geographic of existing economic impact for the tourism industry.
controls than RIMS II, we can look studies is that it is assumed that The Airport Contribution
at results from specific states and the demand for travel into the scenario highlights DECDs new
even counties (in Connecticut). local area by visitors is perfectly approach, which includes both the
The second and third columns of elastic with respect to the time airport employment and visitor-
the REMI results in Table 1 show a and money costs of travel, while spending components as well as
more comparable set of impacts. the demand for travel by local quantifying the time savings and
The column labeled CTWMA residents is perfectly inelastic with accessibility concepts. This is
includes all of the State of Con- respect to these variables. This is accomplished through use of the
necticut as well as Hampshire and modeled by recapturing income regional capabilities of the
Berkshire counties in Massachu- from Connecticut residents that TranSight/Airports model, which
setts. The column labeled would have been lost from outgo- establishes baseline relationships
CTNENY includes Connecticut, ing air travel. between local industry and the
the rest of the New England states, In traditional airport studies, airport. Using a counterfactual
and New York. Using these visitor-spending impacts comprise approach, this scenario takes
broader geographic definitions, the a large portion of the economic Bradley (and all air transportation
services) out of the Bradley market
Table 2: REMI Scenarios: Airport Operations, Tourism Effect & Airport Contribution
area in Connecticut and Western
Massachusetts.
Airport Ops Tourism Eff
Airport
Contribution
Table 2 shows the first year
2004 2004 2004 10 yr AVG 20 yr AVG
impacts to be the largest of any of
17,700 11,140 Em ploym ent (jobs) 18,400 81,500 140,175
the REMI (and RIMSII) scenarios,
with over 18,000 jobs, almost four
$1,772 $1,055 Output (millions $) $3,876 $16,134 $34,605 billion in output, and over a billion
in personal income. The second
$578 $365 Earnings (millions $) $1,150 $5,286 $11,478
--Continued on page 5--
100 Peak
Tr ough
100 0 3/80
0 2 /9 2
90
Pea k Trough
Pe ak 0 5/74 0 1/8 3
90 12/69
80
80 70 Tr ough
Tr ough
1 1 /7 5
1 0 /7 1
70 60
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
The distance from peak to trough, indicated by the shaded areas, measures the duration of an employment cycle recession. The vertical scale in both
charts is an index with 1992=100.
l
4 THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST July 2005
--Continued from page 3--
representation of the airport as a
Graph 2: Employment comparison for REMI - Airport Contribution & Tourism Effect transportation infrastructure
asset. By providing crucial access
2 5 0 ,0 0 0 to markets, the airport allows
2 0 0 ,0 0 0
Connecticut businesses to con-
tinue to grow. By allowing a cost-
Employemnt
06
08
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
In the face of globalization and
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
interstate competition, the Con-
A ir p o r t C o n tr ib u tio n T o u r is m E ffe c t necticut economy continues to
become more reliant on its ability
to compete in national and inter-
national markets. As the stakes
and third columns show the Or, to look at it another way, it get higher, the comparative advan-
average annual impacts (i.e. represents the opportunity cost, or tages gained by a productive and
comparable to 2004) over the 10 potential loss of jobs that would educated labor force can only be
and 20 year forecast horizons. The occur if the airport didn't exist. optimized with the proper infra-
dynamic relationship between the From this perspective, the Airport structure in place. Bradley is the
airport and the economy shows the Contribution scenario shows the centerpiece of the I-91 transporta-
increasing importance of the deep connection that is already tion corridor, and the greatest
airport over time. established between the local opportunity for future economic
This is not to say, however, that economy and the airport and the growth in the State. The DECDs
the results of this scenario portray enormous future cost of not new TranSight/Airports model,
future job creation in the Con- continuing to develop and support with its ability to accurately
necticut economy by the airport this regional asset. estimate economic contribution of
(Table 2 & Graph 2) . In using a Graph 2 shows the difference airport development alternatives,
counterfactual approach, these between viewing the airport as an will certainly help guide invest-
results instead show jobs sup- isolated generator of economic ment decisions in order to meet
ported by the airport that already impacts, versus the more compre- expected demands for Bradley
exist in the Connecticut economy. hensive and interconnected Airport. n
Sources: *The Connecticut Economy, Connecticut Center for Economic Analysis, University of Connecticut
**Banknorth Bank
The Connecticut Economy's General Drift Indicators are composite measures of the four-quarter change in three coincident (Connecticut Manufac-
turing Production Index, nonfarm employment, and real personal income) and four leading (housing permits, manufacturing average weekly hours,
Hartford help-wanted advertising, and initial unemployment claims) economic variables, and are indexed so 1986 = 100.
The Banknorth Business Barometer is a measure of overall economic growth in the state of Connecticut that is derived from non-manufacturing
employment, real disposable personal income, and manufacturing production.
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6 THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST July 2005
ECONOMIC INDICATORS STATE
Sources: Connecticut Department of Economic and Community Development; U.S. Department of Energy, Energy
Information Administration; Connecticut Department of Revenue Services; F.W. Dodge; Connecticut
Department of Motor Vehicles; Connecticut Department of Transportation, Bureau of Aviation and Ports
30-year conventional
INTEREST RATES
mortgage rate fell to 5.72
MAY APR MAY
percent over the month.
1FSDFOU
2005 2005 2004
Prime 5.98 5.75 4.00
Federal Funds 3.00 2.79 1.00
3 Month Treasury Bill 2.90 2.84 1.04
6 Month Treasury Bill 3.17 3.14 1.33
1 Year Treasury Bill 3.33 3.32 1.78
3 Year Treasury Note 3.72 3.79 3.10
5 Year Treasury Note 3.85 4.00 3.85
7 Year Treasury Note 3.94 4.16 4.31
10 Year Treasury Note 4.14 4.34 4.72
20 Year Treasury Note 4.56 4.75 5.46
Conventional Mortgage 5.72 5.86 6.27
Sources: Federal Reserve; Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp.
l
8 THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST July 2005
COMPARATIVE REGIONAL DATA STATE
1,660
May 1,644.1 1,648.1 1,670.1
1,620 Jun 1,641.8 1,648.6
Jul 1,639.1 1,650.7
1,580
Aug 1,640.1 1,652.1
1,540 Sep 1,638.8 1,652.4
Oct 1,645.7 1,662.1
1,500
Nov 1,645.0 1,664.5
91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
Dec 1,641.1 1,664.6
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10 THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST July 2005
ECONOMIC INDICATOR TRENDS STATE
30
May 12 11 11
25
Jun 12 12
20
Jul 8 10
15
Aug 7 9
10
Sep 8 9
5
Oct 7 10
0
Nov 10 8
91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
Dec 10 11
Current months data are preliminary. Prior months data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 2004.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes. **Includes Indian tribal government employment.
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12 THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST July 2005
NONFARM EMPLOYMENT ESTIMATES LMA
For further information on the Bridgeport-Stamford Labor Market Area contact Arthur Famiglietti at (860) 263-6297.
For further information on the Danbury Labor Market Area contact Arthur Famiglietti at (860) 263-6297.
Current months data are preliminary. Prior months data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 2004.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes.
For further information on the Hartford Labor Market Area contact Arthur Famiglietti at (860) 263-6297.
Current months data are preliminary. Prior months data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 2004.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes.
Reflecting the downward trend in manufacturing employment as a whole, the proportions of both foreign-born and
native-born workers employed in production, transportation, and material moving occupations declined from 2000 to
2004. In 2000, 20.4 percent of foreign-born and 13.8 percent of native-born workers were employed in these occupa-
tions. In 2004, the proportions were 17.5 percent for the foreign born and 12.1 percent for the native born.
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14 THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST July 2005
NONFARM EMPLOYMENT ESTIMATES LMA
For further information on the New Haven Labor Market Area contact Joseph Slepski at (860) 263-6278.
Current months data are preliminary. Prior months data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 2004.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes. **Value less than 50
These data are from the Current Population Survey. Find more information in "Labor Force Characteristics of Foreign-
born Workers in 2004," news release USDL 05-834. (The Editor's Desk, Bureau of Labor Statistics, May 13, 2005)
These data are from the Occupational Employment Statistics program. More estimates of occupational employment
and wages of wage and salary workers in nonfarm industries are published in Occupational Employment and Wages,
May 2004, news release USDL 05-877. (The Editor's Desk, Bureau of Labor Statistics, May 27, 2005)
For further information on the Norwich-New London Labor Market Area contact Lincoln Dyer at (860) 263-6292.
For further information on the Waterbury Labor Market Area contact Joseph Slepski at (860) 263-6278.
Current months data are preliminary. Prior months data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 2004.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes. **Includes Indian tribal government employment.
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16 THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST July 2005
NONFARM EMPLOYMENT ESTIMATES LMA
NOTE: More industry detail data is available for the State and its nine labor market areas at: http://
www.ctdol.state.ct.us/lmi/202/covered.htm. The data published there differ from the data in the preced-
ing tables in that they are developed from a near-universe count of Connecticut employment covered by
the unemployment insurance (UI) program, while the data here is sample-based. The data drawn from
the UI program does not contain estimates of employment not covered by unemployment insurance,
and is lagged several months behind the current employment estimates presented here.
Current months data are preliminary. Prior months data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 2004.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes.
BRIDGEPORT - STAMFORD LMA Civilian Labor Force 460,300 472,400 -12,100 -2.6 456,500
Employed 437,400 451,100 -13,700 -3.0 436,100
Unemployed 22,900 21,300 1,600 7.5 20,400
Unemployment Rate 5.0 4.5 0.5 --- 4.5
DANBURY LMA Civilian Labor Force 89,300 90,100 -800 -0.9 88,800
Employed 85,600 86,700 -1,100 -1.3 85,600
Unemployed 3,700 3,400 300 8.8 3,200
Unemployment Rate 4.1 3.8 0.3 --- 3.6
ENFIELD LMA Civilian Labor Force 48,000 49,300 -1,300 -2.6 47,800
Employed 45,600 46,900 -1,300 -2.8 45,500
Unemployed 2,400 2,400 0 0.0 2,300
Unemployment Rate 5.0 4.9 0.1 --- 4.8
HARTFORD LMA Civilian Labor Force 568,100 547,900 20,200 3.7 565,300
Employed 536,800 518,300 18,500 3.6 536,700
Unemployed 31,300 29,600 1,700 5.7 28,600
Unemployment Rate 5.5 5.4 0.1 --- 5.1
NEW HAVEN LMA Civilian Labor Force 301,300 291,800 9,500 3.3 299,400
Employed 285,000 276,700 8,300 3.0 284,700
Unemployed 16,200 15,100 1,100 7.3 14,700
Unemployment Rate 5.4 5.2 0.2 --- 4.9
NORWICH - NEW LONDON LMA Civilian Labor Force 147,700 154,400 -6,700 -4.3 146,100
Employed 140,700 147,800 -7,100 -4.8 139,700
Unemployed 6,900 6,700 200 3.0 6,300
Unemployment Rate 4.7 4.3 0.4 --- 4.3
TORRINGTON LMA Civilian Labor Force 53,000 49,800 3,200 6.4 53,000
Employed 50,400 47,300 3,100 6.6 50,400
Unemployed 2,600 2,400 200 8.3 2,500
Unemployment Rate 4.9 4.9 0.0 --- 4.8
WATERBURY LMA Civilian Labor Force 100,300 97,800 2,500 2.6 99,600
Employed 93,700 91,400 2,300 2.5 93,200
Unemployed 6,600 6,400 200 3.1 6,400
Unemployment Rate 6.6 6.5 0.1 --- 6.4
WILLIMANTIC-DANIELSON LMA Civilian Labor Force 55,400 54,400 1,000 1.8 54,900
Employed 52,300 51,300 1,000 1.9 51,900
Unemployed 3,100 3,100 0 0.0 3,000
Unemployment Rate 5.7 5.7 0.0 --- 5.5
UNITED STATES Civilian Labor Force 148,878,000 146,659,000 2,219,000 1.5 148,274,000
Employed 141,591,000 138,867,000 2,724,000 2.0 140,939,000
Unemployed 7,287,000 7,792,000 -505,000 -6.5 7,335,000
Unemployment Rate 4.9 5.3 -0.4 --- 4.9
Current months data are preliminary. Prior months data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 2004.
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18 THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST July 2005
MANUFACTURING HOURS AND EARNINGS LMA
CONNECTICUT AVG WEEKLY EARNINGS AVG WEEKLY HOURS AVG HOURLY EARNINGS
MAY CHG APR MAY CHG APR MAY CHG APR
/PUTFBTPOBMMZBEKVTUFE
2005 2004 Y/Y 2005 2005 2004 Y/Y 2005 2005 2004 Y/Y 2005
MANUFACTURING $790.59 $760.75 $29.84 $789.74 42.3 42.1 0.2 42.3 $18.69 $18.07 $0.62 $18.67
DURABLE GOODS 820.02 788.05 31.97 816.20 42.4 42.3 0.1 42.4 19.34 18.63 0.71 19.25
Fabricated Metal 740.89 701.81 39.08 743.04 43.0 42.1 0.9 43.2 17.23 16.67 0.56 17.20
Machinery 790.63 763.16 27.47 774.11 40.4 40.4 0.0 39.8 19.57 18.89 0.68 19.45
Computer & Electronic 645.52 620.29 25.24 640.38 39.7 40.2 -0.5 39.8 16.26 15.43 0.83 16.09
Transport. Equipment 1,028.31 974.13 54.18 1,024.88 42.9 42.8 0.1 42.9 23.97 22.76 1.21 23.89
NON-DUR. GOODS 713.56 690.15 23.41 723.70 41.9 41.5 0.4 42.1 17.03 16.63 0.40 17.19
CONSTRUCTION 941.67 894.04 47.62 906.76 39.8 39.7 0.1 38.8 23.66 22.52 1.14 23.37
LMAs AVG WEEKLY EARNINGS AVG WEEKLY HOURS AVG HOURLY EARNINGS
MAY CHG APR MAY CHG APR MAY CHG APR
MANUFACTURING 2005 2004 Y/Y 2005 2005 2004 Y/Y 2005 2005 2004 Y/Y 2005
Bridgeport - Stamford $817.44 $870.69 -$53.25 $782.28 41.6 41.6 0.0 41.0 $19.65 $20.93 -$1.28 $19.08
Hartford 900.89 860.28 40.61 920.04 43.5 43.1 0.4 44.0 20.71 19.96 0.75 20.91
New Haven 699.55 613.91 85.64 657.31 42.5 40.9 1.6 40.6 16.46 15.01 1.45 16.19
Norwich - New London 784.37 757.55 26.82 793.05 41.9 41.9 0.0 42.5 18.72 18.08 0.64 18.66
Waterbury 737.16 735.50 1.66 740.61 37.9 39.8 -1.9 39.0 19.45 18.48 0.97 18.99
Current months data are preliminary. Prior months data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 2004.
n May 2005 had the announcement that Star Supply Co., a wholesaler of heating supplies, will expand by
moving to a new location in New Haven, creating a need for 12 new workers. Tower Laboratories, a maker
of effervescent products, has started an expansion of their operations in Clinton, with 25 new jobs being
added. A Taco Bell/Long John Silver’s restaurant will be built in Plainville with 20 employees being
needed. Retailers TJX Cos. and Whole Foods Market will open distribution centers in Waterbury and
Cheshire this fall, creating 315 jobs. UnitedHealth Group is hiring 100 new workers.
n May 2005 had the announcement that 43 employees will lose their jobs in August when Charlotte
Hungerford Hospital in Torrington closes its commercial laundry center. Even though the Department of
Defense has recommended the closing of the U.S. Naval Submarine Base in Groton, the final decision will
not be made until September.
Business & Employment Changes Announced in the News Media lists start-ups, expansions, staff reductions, and
layoffs reported by the media, both current and future. The report provides company name, the number of workers
involved, date of the action, the principal product or service of the company, a brief synopsis of the action, and the
source and date of the media article. This publication is available in both HTML and PDF formats at the Connecticut
Department of Labor Web site, http://www.ctdol.state.ct.us/lmi/busemp.htm.
MAY 2005
LMA/TOWNS LABOR FORCE EMPLOYED UNEMPLOYED % LMA/TOWNS LABOR FORCE EMPLOYED UNEMPLOYED %
BRIDGEPORT-STAMFORD HARTFORD cont....
460,278 437,351 22,927 5.0 Canton 5,274 5,084 190 3.6
Ansonia 9,841 9,205 636 6.5 Colchester 8,450 8,085 365 4.3
Bridgeport 61,967 56,965 5,002 8.1 Columbia 2,939 2,815 124 4.2
Darien 8,802 8,475 327 3.7 Coventry 6,841 6,531 310 4.5
Derby 6,784 6,378 406 6.0 Cromwell 7,585 7,281 304 4.0
Easton 3,679 3,551 128 3.5 East Granby 2,817 2,708 109 3.9
Fairfield 28,176 26,860 1,316 4.7 East Haddam 4,993 4,784 209 4.2
Greenwich 29,604 28,478 1,126 3.8 East Hampton 6,566 6,094 472 7.2
Milford 30,517 28,997 1,520 5.0 East Hartford 25,269 23,536 1,733 6.9
Monroe 10,414 9,988 426 4.1 Ellington 8,300 7,970 330 4.0
New Canaan 8,725 8,383 342 3.9 Farmington 12,479 11,929 550 4.4
Newtown 13,693 13,132 561 4.1 Glastonbury 17,795 17,054 741 4.2
Norwalk 47,496 45,383 2,113 4.4 Granby 6,035 5,793 242 4.0
Oxford 6,177 5,936 241 3.9 Haddam 4,614 4,411 203 4.4
Redding 4,430 4,274 156 3.5 Hartford 48,096 43,245 4,851 10.1
Ridgefield 11,526 11,089 437 3.8 Hartland 1,175 1,127 48 4.1
Seymour 8,891 8,466 425 4.8 Harwinton 3,051 2,925 126 4.1
Shelton 21,887 20,915 972 4.4 Hebron 5,301 5,081 220 4.2
Southbury 8,722 8,329 393 4.5 Lebanon 4,120 3,944 176 4.3
Stamford 65,584 62,514 3,070 4.7 Manchester 31,303 29,665 1,638 5.2
Stratford 25,734 24,318 1,416 5.5 Mansfield 12,142 11,561 581 4.8
Trumbull 17,495 16,727 768 4.4 Marlborough 3,438 3,296 142 4.1
Weston 4,821 4,647 174 3.6 Middlefield 2,353 2,249 104 4.4
Westport 12,324 11,850 474 3.8 Middletown 25,658 24,441 1,217 4.7
Wilton 8,174 7,872 302 3.7 New Britain 34,318 31,664 2,654 7.7
Woodbridge 4,815 4,620 195 4.0 New Hartford 3,611 3,462 149 4.1
Newington 16,365 15,607 758 4.6
DANBURY 89,327 85,641 3,686 4.1 Plainville 10,011 9,458 553 5.5
Bethel 10,716 10,289 427 4.0 Plymouth 6,685 6,294 391 5.8
Bridgewater 1,025 989 36 3.5 Portland 5,090 4,872 218 4.3
Brookfield 8,796 8,453 343 3.9 Rocky Hill 10,400 9,935 465 4.5
Danbury 43,135 41,281 1,854 4.3 Simsbury 11,841 11,351 490 4.1
New Fairfield 7,506 7,231 275 3.7 Southington 23,324 22,244 1,080 4.6
New Milford 16,041 15,369 672 4.2 South Windsor 14,145 13,548 597 4.2
Sherman 2,107 2,029 78 3.7 Stafford 6,692 6,319 373 5.6
Thomaston 4,513 4,279 234 5.2
ENFIELD 47,981 45,604 2,377 5.0 Tolland 7,991 7,694 297 3.7
East Windsor 5,886 5,577 309 5.2 Union 455 438 17 3.7
Enfield 23,688 22,479 1,209 5.1 Vernon 16,784 15,948 836 5.0
Somers 4,617 4,400 217 4.7 West Hartford 29,217 27,685 1,532 5.2
Suffield 6,961 6,641 320 4.6 Wethersfield 13,305 12,625 680 5.1
Windsor Locks 6,828 6,506 322 4.7 Willington 3,837 3,689 148 3.9
Windsor 15,765 14,959 806 5.1
HARTFORD 568,061 536,750 31,311 5.5
Andover 1,926 1,845 81 4.2
All Labor Market Areas(LMAs) in Connecticut except three are federally-designated areas for developing labor
Ashford 2,491 2,384 107 4.3
statistics. For the sake of simplicity, the federal Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk NECTA is referred to in Connecticut
Avon 8,737 8,417 320 3.7 DOL publications as the ’Bridgeport-Stamford LMA’, and the Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford NECTA is
Barkhamsted 2,155 2,061 94 4.4 referred to as the ’Hartford LMA’. The Bureau of Labor Statistics has identified 17 towns in the northwest part of
Berlin 10,710 10,202 508 4.7 the State as a separate area for reporting labor force data. For the convenience of our data users, these towns are
Bloomfield 9,597 8,926 671 7.0 included in the Torrington LMA. For the same purpuse, five towns which are part of the Springfield, MA area are
published as the ’Enfield LMA’. Similarly the towns of Putnam, Thompson and Woodstock (part of the Worcester,
Bolton 3,025 2,905 120 4.0 MA area), plus four towns estimated separately are included in the Willimantic-Danielson LMA.
Bristol 33,409 31,462 1,947 5.8
Burlington 5,068 4,868 200 3.9
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20 THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST July 2005
LABOR FORCE ESTIMATES BY TOWN Town
(By Place of Residence - Not Seasonally Adjusted)
MAY 2005
LMA/TOWNS LABOR FORCE EMPLOYED UNEMPLOYED % LMA/TOWNS LABOR FORCE EMPLOYED UNEMPLOYED %
NEW HAVEN 301,259 285,019 16,240 5.4 TORRINGTON 53,036 50,415 2,621 4.9
Bethany 2,939 2,812 127 4.3 Bethlehem 2,004 1,921 83 4.1
Branford 16,909 16,192 717 4.2 Canaan 602 576 26 4.3
Cheshire 14,402 13,761 641 4.5 Colebrook 821 791 30 3.7
Chester 2,209 2,138 71 3.2 Cornwall 808 782 26 3.2
Clinton 7,790 7,440 350 4.5 Goshen 1,494 1,431 63 4.2
Deep River 2,540 2,436 104 4.1 Kent 1,557 1,502 55 3.5
Durham 4,041 3,885 156 3.9 Litchfield 4,285 4,092 193 4.5
East Haven 15,702 14,839 863 5.5 Morris 1,294 1,238 56 4.3
Essex 3,713 3,563 150 4.0 Norfolk 944 904 40 4.2
Guilford 12,515 12,037 478 3.8 North Canaan 1,719 1,639 80 4.7
Hamden 30,433 28,870 1,563 5.1 Roxbury 1,335 1,288 47 3.5
Killingworth 3,482 3,345 137 3.9 Salisbury 1,964 1,888 76 3.9
Madison 9,761 9,422 339 3.5 Sharon 1,535 1,484 51 3.3
Meriden 30,531 28,665 1,866 6.1 Torrington 18,730 17,618 1,112 5.9
New Haven 54,289 50,090 4,199 7.7 Warren 705 675 30 4.3
North Branford 8,056 7,695 361 4.5 Washington 1,933 1,856 77 4.0
North Haven 12,664 12,056 608 4.8 Winchester 5,941 5,582 359 6.0
Old Saybrook 5,344 5,127 217 4.1 Woodbury 5,364 5,147 217 4.0
Orange 6,968 6,674 294 4.2
Wallingford 24,410 23,292 1,118 4.6 WATERBURY 100,304 93,725 6,579 6.6
Westbrook 3,580 3,419 161 4.5 Beacon Falls 3,194 3,026 168 5.3
West Haven 28,982 27,260 1,722 5.9 Middlebury 3,652 3,497 155 4.2
Naugatuck 16,945 16,037 908 5.4
*NORWICH-NEW LONDON Prospect 5,186 4,972 214 4.1
134,605 128,120 6,485 4.8 Waterbury 50,253 46,102 4,151 8.3
Bozrah 1,440 1,377 63 4.4 Watertown 12,271 11,673 598 4.9
Canterbury 3,048 2,903 145 4.8 Wolcott 8,802 8,417 385 4.4
East Lyme 9,536 9,146 390 4.1
Franklin 1,174 1,122 52 4.4 WILLIMANTIC-DANIELSON
Griswold 6,941 6,567 374 5.4 55,400 52,267 3,133 5.7
Groton 19,071 18,108 963 5.0 Brooklyn 3,681 3,496 185 5.0
Ledyard 8,379 8,038 341 4.1 Chaplin 1,342 1,287 55 4.1
Lisbon 2,532 2,420 112 4.4 Eastford 925 887 38 4.1
Lyme 1,132 1,096 36 3.2 Hampton 1,092 1,038 54 4.9
Montville 10,822 10,303 519 4.8 Killingly 9,105 8,522 583 6.4
New London 13,540 12,682 858 6.3 Plainfield 8,248 7,728 520 6.3
No. Stonington 3,183 3,075 108 3.4 Pomfret 2,181 2,087 94 4.3
Norwich 20,281 19,101 1,180 5.8 Putnam 4,998 4,727 271 5.4
Old Lyme 4,188 4,036 152 3.6 Scotland 946 912 34 3.6
Preston 2,757 2,653 104 3.8 Sterling 1,852 1,743 109 5.9
Salem 2,526 2,422 104 4.1 Thompson 5,182 4,916 266 5.1
Sprague 1,755 1,674 81 4.6 Windham 11,530 10,786 744 6.5
Stonington 10,318 9,941 377 3.7 Woodstock 4,319 4,138 181 4.2
Voluntown 1,574 1,502 72 4.6
Waterford 10,406 9,953 453 4.4
*Connecticut portion only. For whole NECTA, including Rhode Island town, see below. Not Seasonally Adjusted:
NORWICH-NEW LONDON CONNECTICUT 1,810,300 1,714,900 95,400 5.3
147,669 140,736 6,933 4.7 UNITED STATES 148,878,000 141,591,000 7,287,000 4.9
Westerly, RI 13,064 12,616 448 3.4
Labor Force estimates are prepared following statistical procedures developed Seasonally Adjusted:
by the U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. CONNECTICUT 1,813,100 1,716,300 96,800 5.3
UNITED STATES 149,122,000 141,475,000 7,647,000 5.1
For further information on the housing permit data, contact Kolie Sun of DECD at (860) 270-8167.
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22 THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST July 2005
TECHNICAL NOTES
BUSINESS STARTS AND TERMINATIONS
Registrations and terminations of business entities as recorded with the Secretary of the State and the Connecticut Department of Labor (DOL)
are an indication of new business formation and activity. DOL business starts include new employers which have become liable for unemploy-
ment insurance taxes during the quarter, as well as new establishments opened by existing employers. DOL business terminations are those
accounts discontinued due to inactivity (no employees) or business closure, and accounts for individual business establishments that are closed
by still active employers. The Secretary of the State registrations include limited liability companies, limited liability partnerships, and foreign-
owned (out-of-state) and domestic-owned (in-state) corporations.
INITIAL CLAIMS
Average weekly initial claims are calculated by dividing the total number of new claims for unemployment insurance received in the month by
the number of weeks in the month. A minor change in methodology took effect with data published in the March 1997 issue of the DIGEST.
Data have been revised back to January 1980.
UI COVERED WAGES
UI covered wages is the total amount paid to those employees who are covered under the Connecticuts Unemployment Insurance (UI) law for
services performed during the quarter. The fluctuations in the 1992-93 period reflect the effect of the changes in the tax law and the massive
restructuring in the states economy.
Leading Employment Index .......... +1.7 Business Activity Tourism and Travel
Coincident Employment Index ...... +1.3 New Housing Permits ...................... NA Info Center Visitors ....................... -12.5
Leading General Drift Indicator ..... +0.3 Electricity Sales .............................. +3.9 Attraction Visitors ............................ -3.4
Coincident General Drift Indicator +1.7 Retail Sales .................................... -0.6 Air Passenger Count .................... +14.5
Banknorth Business Barometer ... +3.0 Construction Contracts Index ....... +23.9 Indian Gaming Slots ........................ -1.0
New Auto Registrations .................. +1.1 Travel and Tourism Index ............... -3.6
Total Nonfarm Employment .......... +1.3 Air Cargo Tons ................................ -1.5
Exports .......................................... +6.9 Employment Cost Index (U.S.)
Unemployment Rate ...................... +0.3 Total .............................................. +3.4
Labor Force ................................... +0.8 Wages & Salaries .......................... +2.4
Employed ....................................... +0.4 Business Starts Benefit Costs ................................. +5.8
Unemployed .................................. +8.0 Secretary of the State .................. +14.1
Dept. of Labor ................................ +8.6 Consumer Prices
Average Weekly Initial Claims ........ -5.6 Connecticut ...................................... NA
Help Wanted Index -- Hartford ......... 0.0 Business Terminations U.S. City Average .......................... +2.8
Average Ins. Unempl. Rate .......... -0.61* Secretary of the State .................... +5.0 Northeast Region ........................... +3.2
Dept. of Labor ............................... -32.9 NY-NJ-Long Island ......................... +3.4
Average Weekly Hours, Mfg .......... +0.5 Boston-Brockton-Nashua ............... +2.8
Average Hourly Earnings, Mfg ...... +3.4 Consumer Confidence
Average Weekly Earnings, Mfg ..... +3.9 State Revenues ............................ +19.6 Connecticut ................................... -11.5
CT Mfg. Production Index .............. +0.4 Corporate Tax ................................ -36.7 New England ............................... +13.0
Production Worker Hours ............... +2.2 Personal Income Tax .................... +13.6 U.S. ............................................... +9.8
Industrial Electricity Sales ............... -3.5 Real Estate Conveyance Tax ........ +43.0
Sales & Use Tax ............................. +5.1 Interest Rates
Personal Income ............................ +6.1 Indian Gaming Payments ................ +4.8 Prime .......................................... +1.98*
UI Covered Wages ......................... +3.4 *Percentage point change; **Less than 0.05 percent;
Conventional Mortgage ................ -0.55*
NA = Not Available
THE CONNECTICUT
ECONOMIC DIGEST
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