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RIEF experienced modest, postive gains in May in all Series. Nonetheless,
the S&F 500 meaningfully cuspertoemed RIEF for the third month in a row,
RIEF is expected to underperform dramatic monthly gains in the index but its
isappointing that we did not capture a larger faction of the market gain,
RIEFs performance can again be understood in terms ofits risk aversion, The
recent, unusually large return differential between high and low beta stocks
continued butat sls pronounced pace in May, Consequently, RIEF continued
to underperform the index but experienced improved absalute and relative
performance campared to both March and, especially, Apri
RIEF helps investors control rsk through lower volatility and diversification
ancy from indes-lke investments, Such civersfication naturally leads beth to
Pio ofhamatc au performance, auch aalent yeu end ped of dramatic
erformance, such as this year. The patient RIEF investor has been and
continue 10 be rewarded with higher average return and lower risk than
s Sechevebie tre ‘conventional long-only investing,
Research was productive in May. We installed a new predictive signal of
unusually high statistial signficance and diseavered ancther promising signal
thet vill be explored further the coming weeks.
We are stiving to improve both the quantity and quality of the information
hired with ur ivastors. We understand that investors can adopt a lena
term view of RIEF only if they have sufficent information to understand that
shortterm disappointments do nct necessarily reflect fundamental probleens
twith the underiving evategy. Que first stp tana improved ranepareney ie aF
improved monthly investor letter, Along with increased disclosure of portfolio
statistics, you willfind = more in-depth and precise discussion of the drivers of
monthly performance.
May 2009 (page 1)
Gross Sector Allocation’
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Monthly Statisties
IEF Onstore LLC
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Risk/ Return Since Inception”
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Fhe arann Pra of BEF andthe SEPEQD since napsRenaissance |
The volatility and beta controls of RIEF favor lower
volatiltylower beta stocks in the long portfolio and
Fiigher volasity/highor beta stocks in tho short portfolio.
This feature has helped RIEF maintain low volatility
both in its live track record since inception and during
simulation since 1992. Honever, this very feature has
been a key driver of relative underperformance versus
the S&P 500 over the past 3 months. "
During the months of Mareh, April, snd May, high
beta stocks outperformed low beta stocks to an
Uuncharactoristic extent. Using Barra betas, we bucketed
all of the stocks in our trading universe into beta decries.
By taking cap-weighted average betas and multiplying
by actual SRP returns [demonstrated by the solid black
line on the graphs to the right, higher beta stocks
would have Been expected te outperform lower beta
stocks by roughly 405%. However, in these past three
months those same higherbeta stocks (dotted line}
have in fact outperformed by # margin of 120%. This
3efold difference indicates a short-term phenamenon
that we bolieve is unsustainable, Jat the same time, it gooy
makes RIEF's recent underpertarmance understandable.
A similar irend was evidert during calendar year 1799,
May 2009 ipage 2)
Returns by Beta Decile’
Period: March 2009 = May 2009"
°
same eines teens Actual Reta by Bats Dace
SS eegnot ange Eopscted Ronan
Period: January 1999 - December 1999"
another yoar in which RIEF' simulations dramatically
underperformed the index. Over the next year all of
those relative losses were recouped, om
(Gross Long/Short Return Attribution” ox
708
0m
rr
‘Quarterly Market Cap Exposure’
|
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Three-Year Rolling Empirical Beta’
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