Argentina Produccin de Soja 2012-2013 y Perspectivas 2013-2014

Eduardo Petazze
La produccin final de soja de Argentina para la campaa 2012/2013 alcanz los 49.3 millones de
toneladas para una superficie cosechada de 19.4 millones de hectreas (superficie sembrada de 20.0
millones de hectreas).
Nuestras primeras expectativas para la campaa 2013/2014 ubican la superficie a ser sembrada con un
crecimiento en torno al 4% sobre la campaa anterior y una expectativa de produccin de 56.6 millones
de toneladas (+14.8% Y/Y).
El siguiente es un resumen de los datos oficiales correspondientes a los ltimos cuatro ciclos y las
expectativas para el venidero.
Area Planted
BUENOS AIRES
CATAMARCA
CHACO
CORDOBA
CORRIENTES
ENTRE RIOS
FORMOSA
JUJUY
LA PAMPA
MISIONES
SALTA
SAN LUIS
SANTA FE
SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO
TUCUMAN
Argentina Soybean

2009/10
5,676,132
53,000
668,600
5,128,640
20,668
1,468,000
6,100
10,660
405,400
880
586,385
155,000
3,079,275
811,500
273,700
18,343,940

2010/11
5,935,442
53,000
700,800
5,054,390
16,795
1,468,000
6,100
12,150
402,300
930
599,515
171,400
3,107,737
1,100,000
254,870
18,883,429

2011/12
5,969,357
37,000
689,550
5,014,250
25,000
1,331,700
12,000
12,150
396,875
880
600,015
170,700
3,107,800
1,073,000
230,660
18,670,937

2012/13
6,734,155
24,300
548,230
5,349,312
15,000
1,418,600
10,000
9,220
447,400
1,095
557,760
398,790
3,173,500
1,148,210
200,000
20,035,572

2013/14
Annual chg.
7,135,300
6.0%
24,300
0.0%
548,200
-0.0%
5,514,600
3.1%
15,000
0.0%
1,461,900
3.1%
10,200
2.0%
9,600
4.1%
479,100
7.1%
1,000
-8.7%
573,800
2.9%
442,600
11.0%
3,173,500
0.0%
1,211,300
5.5%
200,000
0.0%
20,800,400
3.8%

Harvested (ha)
BUENOS AIRES
CATAMARCA
CHACO
CORDOBA
CORRIENTES
ENTRE RIOS
FORMOSA
JUJUY
LA PAMPA
MISIONES
SALTA
SAN LUIS
SANTA FE
SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO
TUCUMAN
Argentina Soybean

2009/10
5,609,544
53,000
642,450
5,033,690
19,895
1,462,200
3,100
10,660
397,800
850
586,385
155,000
3,074,975
808,400
272,850
18,130,799

2010/11
5,843,343
53,000
698,520
5,040,290
16,615
1,465,000
3,100
12,150
393,400
930
599,515
171,400
3,094,737
1,100,000
254,227
18,746,227

2011/12
5,795,495
37,000
386,150
4,857,850
25,000
1,325,200
12,000
12,150
384,175
636
528,374
170,700
3,007,800
807,400
227,390
17,577,320

2012/13
6,625,050
21,900
423,580
5,256,042
15,000
1,417,550
10,000
7,524
435,100
1,095
318,174
394,090
3,168,000
1,132,510
193,210
19,418,825

2013/14
% harvestable
6,988,200
97.9%
24,100
99.2%
515,400
94.0%
5,449,200
98.8%
14,300
95.3%
1,448,100
99.1%
9,000
88.2%
9,400
97.9%
464,000
96.8%
900
90.0%
558,300
97.3%
440,300
99.5%
3,151,000
99.3%
1,180,700
97.5%
198,600
99.3%
20,451,500
98.3%

Production (t)
BUENOS AIRES
CATAMARCA
CHACO
CORDOBA
CORRIENTES
ENTRE RIOS
FORMOSA
JUJUY
LA PAMPA
MISIONES
SALTA
SAN LUIS
SANTA FE
SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO
TUCUMAN
Argentina Soybean

2009/10
17,054,947
132,500
1,550,860
12,993,225
34,845
4,029,745
4,650
28,878
786,356
2,212
1,662,913
268,300
10,432,721
2,949,636
744,428
52,676,216

2010/11
15,465,223
116,600
1,655,117
12,252,266
29,068
3,597,310
4,650
34,635
599,900
2,284
1,775,489
402,420
9,741,349
2,467,800
734,660
48,878,771

2011/12
15,396,122
70,300
294,589
9,783,899
25,000
3,099,513
11,400
30,670
1,030,664
564
668,035
296,890
8,176,630
873,010
342,911
40,100,197

2012/13
17,812,808
24,075
553,794
13,080,804
18,000
3,528,855
12,000
11,564
765,350
2,842
267,607
678,444
10,509,390
1,768,179
272,490
49,306,202

2013/14
Annual chg.
20,895,900
17.31%
54,600
126.79%
992,000
79.13%
14,194,900
8.52%
25,200
40.00%
3,761,500
6.59%
19,000
58.33%
26,000
124.84%
971,400
26.92%
2,000
-29.63%
1,397,200
422.11%
999,700
47.35%
9,982,600
-5.01%
2,810,300
58.94%
456,600
67.57%
56,588,900
14.77%

Yield (kg / ha)

BUENOS AIRES
CATAMARCA
CHACO
CORDOBA
CORRIENTES
ENTRE RIOS
FORMOSA
JUJUY
LA PAMPA
MISIONES
SALTA
SAN LUIS
SANTA FE
SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO
TUCUMAN
Argentina Soybean
Own estimate

2009/10
3,040
2,500
2,414
2,581
1,751
2,756
1,500
2,709
1,977
2,602
2,836
1,731
3,393
3,649
2,728
2,905

2010/11
2,647
2,200
2,369
2,431
1,750
2,456
1,500
2,851
1,525
2,456
2,962
2,348
3,148
2,243
2,890
2,607

2011/12
2,657
1,900
763
2,014
1,000
2,339
950
2,524
2,683
887
1,264
1,739
2,718
1,081
1,508
2,281

2012/13
2,689
1,099
1,307
2,489
1,200
2,489
1,200
1,537
1,759
2,595
841
1,722
3,317
1,561
1,410
2,539

2013/14
Over LT Avg.
2,990
13.24%
2,266
-10.05%
1,925
5.45%
2,605
2.77%
1,762
7.94%
2,598
12.55%
2,111
11.53%
2,766
16.11%
2,094
6.40%
2,222
23.07%
2,503
7.75%
2,270
21.16%
3,168
8.74%
2,380
16.94%
2,299
-5.38%
2,767
9.30%

Ver Actualizacin: Argentina Soybean Production Forecast 2013-2014