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Date: 09-September-2013
Base metals
LME base metals traded lower this week as instability in the Middle East managed to overshadow flow of positive macroeconomic numbers from China and Europe. On fundamental front, International Lead and Zinc Study reported that global zinc market was in surplus by 44,000 tons in the first six months of the year, while global lead market was in deficit by 40,000 tons respectively. On production front, International Aluminum Institute reported that total global production for July reached 2.099mn tons against 2.044mn tons in June. In China, total Production in July was 1.839mn tons, down from 1.843 million Tons in June. Non-ferrous metals may remain under pressure as concerns Loom large over Syria. High energy prices can adversely impact Metals consumption across the globe. Spiraling energy costs deflates consumer spending and derails economic growth. Markets will remain nervous until there is an end to the hostility regarding Syria.
Precious metals
Precious metals witnessed spectacular upside this week, with the Yellow metal hit a three-month high of US$1,434/oz and silver Prices approaching US$25/oz. Turbulence in the Middle East and Escalating probability of US initiating a military strike on Syria Has persuaded investors to flock for the safe haven assets. On macroeconomic front, US housing sales and durable orders Disappointed, however US preliminary Q2 GDP growth figures Came in better than expected. On investment front, The SPDR Gold Trust ETF has reported modest inflows for the past few days. It seems to be an encouraging sign, whereby hefty redemptions in the ETF have abated and now money seems to be flowing back. On sovereign front, central bank gold buying activity is also picking up, with Turkey, Russia and Azerbaijan all stepping up their gold purchases in July. In domestic markets, Indian rupee was worst hit, tumbling towards 69 levels and in the process giving a massive lift to gold prices Market participants will continue to focus on how US Federal Reserve will act on September 17th policy meeting. The Consensus is that the apex body might taper the stimulus During September or October; however the probability of an Attack on Syria can change the complexion of the game. Gold Prices are expected to trade steady during the course of next Few weeks, until we get more clarity from US Federal Reserve Meeting in September.
GOLD OCT
31014.00
31449.00
31999.00
32434.00
32984.00
SILVER DEC
59598
53351
64982
53063.33
59022.67
59310.33
65269.67
65557.33
7519
7015
7169
6730.33
6949.67
7234.33
7453.67
7738.33
COPPER NOV
510.5
473.8
476.25
450.15
463.20
486.85
499.90
523.55
NICKEL SEPT
949.7
899
905.8
867.47
886.63
918.17
937.33
968.87
257.1
228.8
230.1
210.37
220.23
238.67
248.53
266.97
ALUMINIUM SEPT
123.95
115
116.8
109.63
113.22
118.58
122.17
127.53
ZINC SEPT
130.5
121.35
122.4
115.60
119.00
124.75
128.15
133.90
LEAD SEPT
148.7
138.4
139.2
131.80
135.50
142.10
145.80
152.40
1. 2.
BUY SILVER ABOVE 55620 TGTS 55820/56150 SL 55320 SELL SILVER BELOW 54250 TGTS 54050/53700 SL 54550
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