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AL-01 Flash Poll

Republican Primary Special Election September 24, 2013

Conducted Tuesday, September 17 & Wednesday, September 18

n = 716 Likely Voters MoE = +/- 3.64% at 95% Confidence Interval

CLIENT: Internal; For Media Release

Head-to-Head (H2H)
Undecided 17.5% Young 12.1% Byrne 34.0%

Powe 1.1%

Thornton 0.3% James 0.7% Hillyer 9.1% Griffith 8.3% Fincher 14.9% Dyas 2.0%

H2H in Mobile Co.


Young 13.6% Thornton 0.6% Powe 0.7% James 0.5% Dyas 1.3% Fincher 19.5% Undecided 13.6% Byrne 31.3%

Hillyer 10.0% Griffith 9.0%

* Mobile County represents 52.4% of the district within the flash poll

H2H in Baldwin Co.


Undecided 17.1% Young 10.6% Powe 2.2% Thornton 0.0% James 0.8% Hillyer 11.3% Griffith 8.3% Byrne 42.3%

Dyas 2.5% Fincher 5.0%

* Baldwin County represents 32.8% of the district within the flash poll

H2H in Other Counties


Undecided 31.9% Byrne 25.1%

Young 10.5% James 1.2% Thornton Hillyer 0.0% 1.2%

Dyas 3.6% Fincher 20.6% Powe 0.0% Griffith 5.9%

* All other counties represent 14.8% of the district within the flash poll

nd 2

Choice Candidate
Byrne 27.1%

Undecided 22.1% Young 8.7%

Powe 1.0%

Thornton 0.2% James 2.3% Hillyer Griffith 9.8% 10.5%

Dyas 3.1%

Fincher 15.2%

Byrne Voters
Undecided Young Thornton Powe James Hillyer Griffith Fincher Dyas Byrne 5.2% 0.5% 0.7% 2.8%

nd 2
9.3%

Choice
18.8%

14.8% 15.5% 18.8% 13.6%

Fincher Voters
Undecided Young Thornton Powe James Hillyer Griffith Fincher Dyas Byrne 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 13.6% 9.8% 6.2% 14.9%

nd 2

Choice

44.9%

Griffith Voters
Undecided Young Thornton Powe James Hillyer Griffith Fincher Dyas Byrne 0.0% 9.2% 0.0% 0.0% 2.2% 7.1% 12.7%

nd 2

Choice

15.3% 15.6% 37.8%

Hillyer Voters
Undecided Young Thornton Powe James Hillyer Griffith Fincher Dyas Byrne 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 4.1% 5.5% 16.5% 14.5% 6.6% 9.2%

nd 2

Choice

42.7%

Young Voters
Undecided Young Thornton Powe James Hillyer Griffith Fincher Dyas Byrne 4.5% 0.0% 1.4% 1.3% 8.3% 5.9% 6.0% 8.4%

nd 2

Choice

21.9% 42.3%

Countrys Direction
Unsure, 2.0% Definitely Right, 4.2% Somewhat Right, 9.6%

Somewhat Wrong, 20.8% Definitely Wrong, 63.4%

Top Issues
Unsure, 9.3% Gov't Spending, 31.6% Others, 17.7%

Healthcare, 16.5%

Economy/Jobs, 24.9%

Demographic Info
Political Ideology
Very Conservative 44.7% Somewhat Conservative 34.6% Independent 17.2% Somewhat Liberal 2.6% Very Liberal 1.0%

Age Range
18 to 34 3.6% 35 to 49 18.1% 50 to 64 37.1% 65+ 41.1%

Gender
Male 48.9% Female 51.1%

Participation in Last 4 Primaries


1 2 3 4 of of of of 4 4 4 4 3.8% 8.1% 18.2% 69.9%

Counties
Mobile 52.4% Baldwin 32.8% Others 14.8%

For questions or comments related to this flash poll, please contact: Brent Buchanan, Managing Partner
brent@cygn.al

Cory Brown, Data Strategist


cory@cygn.al

www.cygn.al