Peter Brown, Assistant Director, Quinnipiac University Polling Institute (203) 535-6203 Rubenstein Associates, Inc.

Public Relations Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026

FOR RELEASE: OCTOBER 2, 2013

CLINTON SWEEPS DEMS, TOPS REPUBLICANS IN 2016 RACE, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; AMERICAN VOTERS SAY 3-1 KEEP GUNS OUT OF STARBUCKS
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton dominates the 2016 presidential field, winning the support of 61 percent of Democrats and holding double-digit leads over leading Republican contenders, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today. Among Democrats, Clinton tops Vice President Joseph Biden 61 11 percent, with 7 percent for U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts and 2 percent for New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo. No other candidate tops 1 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-peack) University poll finds. The Republican field is more mixed, with 17 percent for U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, 13 percent for New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie, 12 percent for U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, 11 percent for former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and 10 percent each for U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas and U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin. In womano-a-mano matchups, Clinton tops leading Republicans: 49 36 percent over Christie; 53 36 percent over Paul; 54 31 percent over Cruz. As she watches the hand-to-hand political combat in Washington, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton remains above the fray and the queen of the 2016 mountain, said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. Recent rumblings about a Vice President Joseph Biden candidacy aside, she is six times better among democrats than is he and in head-to-head matchups with Republicans she dominates. Weve got a long way to 2016, but at this point she looks very very strong. -more-

Quinnipiac University Poll/October 2, 2013 page 2 The race for the GOP nomination remains wide open with a handful of candidates bunched together in low double-digits, Brown added. Sen. Ted Cruz high-profile role opposing Obamacare has added him to that group, but he probably will have to find other ways to keep his star rising. Over the last several months, Sen. Marco Rubios star has fallen a bit and Sen. Rand Pauls has risen a bit, while Gov. Jeb Bush, Gov. Christopher Christie and Congressman Paul Ryan have essentially been flickering in place. Gun Control American voters support background checks for all gun-buyers 89 9 percent, basically unchanged from the results of several Quinnipiac University polls conducted in the months after the Sandy Hook massacre. Voters in households where there is a gun support background checks 88 11 percent, with no group falling below 80 percent on this measure. Voters support stricter gun control laws generally 54 41 percent, with voters in gun households opposed 56 40 percent. But voters say 61 32 percent that stricter gun laws would not have prevented the Washington Navy Yard massacre last month. Voters support 66 23 percent, including 52 35 percent in gun households, Starbucks request that customers not bring guns into their stores. Starbucks request makes them more likely to sip there, 15 percent say, while 11 percent say less likely and 72 percent say it wont make a difference in where they get their coffee. Americans somewhat favor more gun control but more than three in five say stricter gun control would not have stopped the Washington Navy Yard shooter, Brown said. Two-thirds of voters prefer their Starbucks coffee without a shot as they back the coffeesellers plea to keep guns out of the store. From September 23 29, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,497 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Iowa, Ohio, Colorado, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

2a. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Scott Walker, Chris Christie, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, and Ted Cruz, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS Tot Men Wom TeaParty Bush Rubio Ryan Walker Christie Jindal Paul Cruz SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 11% 12 10 4 13 3 17 10 1 19 13% 10 10 5 11 3 18 13 1 15 9% 13 10 2 15 3 17 7 1 2 22 7% 10 14 1 2 4 22 20 18

TREND: (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Scott Walker, Chris Christie, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul and Ted Cruz, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS Oct 02 Apr 03 2013 2013 Bush Rubio Ryan Walker Christie Jindal Paul Cruz McDonnell SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 11 12 10 4 13 3 17 10 na 1 19 10 19 17 2 14 3 15 na 1 1 18

2b. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Andrew Cuomo, Elizabeth Warren, Mark Warner and Martin O'Malley, for whom would you vote? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS Tot Men Wom Clinton Biden Cuomo Warren Warner O'Malley SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 61% 11 2 7 1 2 15 54% 15 4 9 1 1 2 14 66% 8 1 5 1 1 16

TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Andrew Cuomo, Elizabeth Warren, Mark Warner and Martin O'Malley, for whom would you vote? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS Oct 02 May 02 2013 2013 Clinton Biden Cuomo Warren Warner O'Malley Patrick SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 61 11 2 7 1 na 2 15 65 13 4 na 1 1 1 1 14

7. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Clinton Christie SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 49% 36 3 3 9 Rep 9% 77 3 4 7 Dem 88% 8 1 3 Ind 40% 38 6 5 11 Men 45% 39 5 5 7 Wom 52% 33 2 2 11 Wht 41% 42 3 4 10 Blk 85% 10 1 5 Hsp 59% 26 5 4 5

POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con Clinton Christie SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 79% 9 2 2 7 53% 33 3 3 9 24% 59 5 4 8

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 57% 29 3 3 8 45% 41 4 3 7 41% 44 3 5 7

AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 47% 31 7 2 13 51% 35 3 3 8 51% 35 3 5 6 46% 41 2 4 7

TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? (* Christopher Christie) Oct 02 2013 Clinton Christie SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 49 36 3 3 9 Jul 12 2013 46 40 3 3 8 Mar 07 2013* 45 37 3 4 12

8. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Clinton Paul SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 53% 36 2 3 6 Rep 13% 79 1 2 5 Dem 93% 4 1 1 2 Ind 43% 39 3 5 10 Men 47% 42 3 4 5 Wom 58% 30 2 2 8 Wht 45% 42 2 3 7 Blk 88% 4 3 1 4 Hsp 63% 29 1 3 3

POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con Clinton Paul SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 86% 9 1 2 1 60% 25 3 4 8 23% 66 2 1 7

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 58% 30 3 3 6 48% 45 1 2 4 52% 37 4 3 5

AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 57% 25 6 3 10 51% 38 2 3 6 56% 36 1 2 4 49% 40 2 3 6

TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? Oct 02 2013 Clinton Paul SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 53 36 2 3 6 Jul 12 2013 50 38 2 2 7 May 31 2013 49 41 2 2 6

9. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Clinton Cruz SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 54% 31 3 3 9 Rep 14% 76 1 1 7 Dem 92% 3 1 4 Ind 48% 29 4 5 14 Men 49% 36 4 4 7 Wom 58% 27 2 2 11 Wht 47% 37 3 3 10 Blk 87% 4 2 7 Hsp 66% 27 1 4 2

POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con Clinton Cruz SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA 89% 6 2 2 2 61% 20 4 3 12 25% 62 2 1 9

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 60% 26 3 3 8 51% 38 2 1 8 51% 35 4 3 7

AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 55% 21 7 2 15 53% 31 3 3 10 58% 32 2 2 6 51% 38 2 3 7

10. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Tot Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 56% 36 6 2 Rep 17% 74 8 2 Dem 90% 4 5 1 Ind 52% 39 7 3 Men 50% 42 7 2 Wom 62% 31 6 2 Wht 50% 43 5 2 Blk 85% 7 8 1 Hsp 68% 21 10 1

POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 90% 7 2 1 64% 26 7 3 25% 66 8 1

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 59% 31 8 2 53% 39 6 2 56% 41 2 1

AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 62% 25 10 3 56% 38 5 1 58% 35 5 2 51% 42 5 2

TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? FAVORABLE..... High Low Feb 08 May 03 2013 2007 61 34 4 1 44 46 7 3

Oct 02 2013 Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 56 36 6 2

Jul 12 2013 55 38 5 2

May 31 2013 52 40 7 1

Feb 08 2013 61 34 4 1

May 14 2008 47 44 7 2

11. Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 30% 33 37 1 Rep 56% 13 30 Dem 8% 54 38 1 Ind 32% 29 38 2 Men 36% 34 29 1 Wom 24% 32 43 1 Wht 34% 34 32 Blk 8% 35 56 1 Hsp 25% 22 48 4

POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 10% 64 24 2 21% 34 44 1 51% 13 35 1

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 24% 30 46 1 35% 32 31 2 36% 41 22 -

AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 31% 24 45 30% 33 37 1 29% 36 34 1 30% 35 35 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Oct 02 2013 Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 30 33 37 1 Jul 12 2013 31 28 39 1 May 31 2013 32 24 42 1

12. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 40% 22 36 2 Rep 43% 21 35 1 Dem 40% 21 37 2 Ind 44% 22 32 2 Men 38% 28 32 1 Wom 42% 17 40 2 Wht 45% 21 32 2 Blk 26% 28 44 2 Hsp 18% 22 58 1

POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 49% 28 21 2 46% 15 37 2 33% 25 41 1

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 32% 19 47 2 46% 24 28 2 55% 27 17 -

AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 30% 20 49 1 36% 25 38 1 45% 24 30 1 46% 18 32 4

TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Oct 02 Jul 12 Oct 05 2013 2013 2011 Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 40 22 36 2 45 18 34 2 23 17 59 1

13. Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 16% 25 58 1 37% 9 53 1 2% 39 58 1 15% 27 57 1 19% 30 50 1 14% 20 65 1 19% 26 54 1 2% 25 73 1 8% 21 69 1

POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 2% 54 43 1 7% 25 67 35% 7 57 1

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 11% 22 66 1 20% 25 54 1 21% 36 43 -

AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 6% 17 77 17% 24 59 1 17% 29 53 20% 28 49 2

14. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 48% 49 2 2 7% 89 3 1 85% 11 2 3 41% 55 2 2 45% 52 2 2 50% 45 2 2 40% 57 1 2 87% 9 2 1 48% 42 7 3

POLITICAL PHILSPHY Lib Mod Con Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 78% 18 3 55% 40 2 2 19% 78 3 -

ANNUAL HSHOLD INC <50K 50-100 >100K 52% 44 2 3 40% 58 1 1 51% 46 2 1

AGE IN YRS.............. 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ 46% 49 2 3 47% 50 2 1 50% 45 3 2 45% 50 1 3

TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Nov 12 Oct 05 2008 2011 67 19 11 3 42 53 3 3

Oct 02 2013 Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED 48 49 2 2

Jul 12 2013 47 49 2 3

May 30 2013 48 49 2 1

Feb 08 2013 51 46 2 2

Jul 11 2012 45 48 4 4

42. Do you support or oppose stricter gun control laws in the United States? Tot Support Oppose DK/NA 54% 41 5 Rep 28% 66 6 Dem 82% 13 4 Ind 47% 50 4 Men 46% 51 3 Wom 62% 32 6 GunHsHld 40% 56 4

REGION................... NEast MWest South West Support Oppose DK/NA 66% 30 4 50% 47 3 54% 41 5 47% 45 7

DENSITY............ Urban Suburb Rural 60% 37 3 56% 39 5 45% 49 7

TREND: Do you support or oppose stricter gun control laws in the United States? Oct 02 2013 Support Oppose DK/NA 54 41 5 Apr 04 2013 53 42 4 Mar 07 2013 51 42 7 Feb 07 2013 52 43 5 Jul 17 2008 54 40 5

43. Do you support or oppose requiring background checks for all gun buyers? Tot Support Oppose DK/NA 89% 9 1 Rep 82% 17 1 Dem 95% 4 2 Ind 89% 10 Men 87% 13 Wom 91% 7 2 GunHsHld 88% 11 1

REGION................... NEast MWest South West Support Oppose DK/NA 95% 4 1 87% 12 87% 12 1 90% 7 3

DENSITY............ Urban Suburb Rural 90% 9 1 93% 6 1 85% 13 2

TREND: Do you support or oppose requiring background checks for all gun buyers? Oct 02 2013 Support Oppose DK/NA 89 9 1 Apr 04 2013 91 8 1 Mar 07 2013 88 10 2 Feb 07 2013 92 7 1

44. Do you support or oppose laws to prevent people with mental illness from purchasing guns? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom GunHsHld Support Oppose DK/NA 88% 9 3 89% 7 4 88% 9 3 86% 10 4 88% 8 3 87% 9 3 89% 8 3

REGION................... NEast MWest South West Support Oppose DK/NA 89% 9 2 86% 9 5 89% 9 2 87% 8 5

DENSITY............ Urban Suburb Rural 86% 12 2 90% 6 4 88% 8 4

45. Do you think stricter gun control laws could have prevented the mass killing at the Washington Navy Yard or not? Tot Yes No DK/NA 32% 61 7 Rep 17% 80 3 Dem 48% 40 11 Ind 24% 68 8 Men 25% 68 6 Wom 37% 54 9 GunHsHld 19% 77 5

REGION................... NEast MWest South West Yes No DK/NA 40% 51 9 29% 64 6 32% 61 7 26% 65 9

DENSITY............ Urban Suburb Rural 36% 57 8 31% 62 7 26% 66 8

46. As you may know, Starbucks is asking customers to not bring guns into its stores. Do you think that is a good idea or a bad idea? Tot Good idea Bad idea DK/NA 66% 23 11 Rep 41% 44 15 Dem 85% 11 4 Ind 66% 19 14 Men 59% 30 12 Wom 73% 17 10 GunHsHld 52% 35 13

REGION................... NEast MWest South West Good idea Bad idea DK/NA 70% 18 12 64% 27 9 65% 24 11 66% 21 13

DENSITY............ Urban Suburb Rural 69% 20 11 67% 20 13 60% 30 9

47. Have you gone to Starbucks within the past year? Tot Yes No DK/NA 50% 49 1 Rep 51% 49 Dem 50% 48 2 Ind 50% 50 Men 50% 49 1 Wom 51% 48 1 GunHsHld 50% 50 -

REGION................... NEast MWest South West Yes No DK/NA 50% 49 1 45% 55 1 48% 51 60% 38 2

DENSITY............ Urban Suburb Rural 46% 54 1 64% 36 42% 57 1

48. Does Starbucks asking customers to not bring guns into its stores make you more likely to go to a Starbucks store, less likely to go to a Starbucks store, or doesn't it make a difference? Tot More likely Less likely No difference DK/NA 15% 11 72 1 Rep 5% 22 70 2 Dem 24% 3 72 1 Ind 12% 10 77 1 Men 10% 14 74 1 Wom 20% 9 70 1 GunHsHld 9% 17 73 1

REGION................... NEast MWest South West More likely Less likely No difference DK/NA 15% 9 75 2 13% 13 72 2 19% 11 70 1 12% 12 74 2

DENSITY............ Urban Suburb Rural 19% 11 70 1 14% 11 75 12% 13 72 4

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