Nr.

Tari
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

Variabila Y ( PIB )

Variabila X1 ( import )

Austria
259034.5
Belgia
318829
Bulgaria
26476.7
Cehia
118290.8
Cipru
14670.3
Denmark
218747.7
Estonia
13390.8
Finlanda
165765
France
1798115.3
Germany (including former2313900
GDR from 1991)
Greece
208622.3
Irlanda
177729.2
Islanda
13315.9
Italy
1493031.3
Letonia
15981.9
Lituania
24104.2
Luxembourg
33914.1
Malta
5206.7
Marea Britanie
1955549.9
Norvegia
271001.2
Olanda
540216
Polonia
272088.9
Portugalia
160855.4
Romania
97751
Serbia
23327.4
Slovacia
44501.7
Slovenia
31050.7
Spain
985547
Suedia
318170.8
Ungaria
89589.9

132886.7
245346

20826.6
75661.6
7602.4
106949.2
11107
67588
504713
923090
72163.9
123573.8
6718.4
424548.2
10646.8
16623.3
47165.8
4868.8
620760.4
76321
351669
114717.3
63685.2
43296.7
12025.1
39394.7
20821.9
321900
138245.7
70473.1

Variabila X2 ( rata somajului % )

8.3

10.3
7.3
7.5
7.1
16.9
13.7
12.6
20.1
9.7
8.4
6.4
19.8
17.8
4.6
11.2
9.9
4.5
4.4
9.6
12
7.3
7.3
14.5
8.4
8.4
7.8
4.10
4.6
9.2

1000000

900000
y = 0.3276x + 24702
R = 0.9356

800000
700000

Variabila X1 ( import )

600000
500000

Variabila X2 ( rata
somajului % )

400000

300000

Linear (Variabila X1 (
import ))

200000
100000
0
0

1000000

2000000

3000000

Variabila X1 ( import )

Linear (Variabila X1 (

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.996357972
R Square
0.992729208
Adjusted R Square
0.992190631
Standard Error
81292.10489
Observations
30
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
2 2.43618E+13 1.21809E+13
27 1.78427E+11 6608406317
29 2.45402E+13

Coefficients
St Error
t Stat
-381.7422089 18003.64466 -0.02120361
0.460037974 0.101788875 4.51953096
3.332161718 0.394943853 8.437051726

Intercept
X1
X2

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21

Predicted Y
361466.5932
40435.95066
168332.902
217003.8551
2309068.912
111161.1454
13331.57287
220257.629
1179862.216
1971885.748
1594046.616
18066.60767
25213.84578
89523.06083
553927.0632
290403.5966
351747.4405
182133.7777
134736.3498
37453.193
71705.95783

Residuals
-7088.59318
-4402.45066
-19019.702
18604.84492
167731.0881
44831.15461
973.7271321
7060.271027
-128520.216
-39084.248
-38018.0163
-92.3076748
2321.554215
7571.539172
34486.9368
-4206.29664
2565.259485
-9562.57768
-12793.9498
-2037.393
-5818.55783

F
Significance F
1843.244008
1.35E-29

P-value
0.983239162
0.000110735
4.75795E-09

Lower 95%
-37322.17
0.2511845
2.5218039

22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

177055.1997
312164.2888
1460918.745
291993.9957
392774.0693
48718.54748
6884.242435
803246.0334
4190981.045

3197.800349
34373.41118
239216.8551
23239.90435
6090.730722
-2819.14748
63.85756524
-250416.333
-68449.145

Tari

gnificance F

Variabila Y ( PIB )

Austria

259034.5

Belgia
Bulgaria
Cehia
Cipru
Denmark
Estonia

318829
26476.7
118290.8
14670.3
218747.7
13390.8

Finlanda
France

165765
1798115.3

Germany (including former GDR

2313900
from 1991)
Greece
208622.3
Irlanda
177729.2
ISLANDA
13315.9
Italy

Upper 95%
Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
36558.68532
-37322.17 36558.68532
0.668891495 0.25118445 0.668891495
4.142519568 2.52180387 4.142519568

Letonia
Lituania
Luxembourg
Malta
Marea Britanie
NORVEGIA
Olanda
Polonia
Portugalia
Romania
SERBIA
Slovacia
Slovenia
Spain
Suedia
Ungaria

1493031.3
15981.9
24104.2
33914.1
5206.7
1955549.9
271001.2
540216
272088.9
160855.4
97751
23327.4
44501.7
31050.7
985547
318170.8
89589.9

Variabila X1 ( import )

Variabila X2 ( rata somajului % )

132886.7

8.3

245346

10.3
7.3
7.5
7.1
16.9
13.7
12.6
20.1
9.7
8.4
6.4
19.8
17.8
4.6
11.2
9.9
4.5
4.4
9.6
12
7.3
7.3
14.5
8.4
8.4
7.8
4.10
4.6
9.2

20826.6
75661.6
7602.4
106949.2
11107
67588
504713
923090
72163.9
123573.8
6718.4
424548.2
10646.8
16623.3
47165.8
4868.8
620760.4
76321
351669
114717.3
63685.2
43296.7
12025.1
39394.7
20821.9
321900
138245.7
70473.1

y ajustat
201446.7333
154532.1667
53145.93333
117236.2667
82269.6
132634.5
659090.3667
1425926.767
1440212.533
900083.8333
133222.4667
561358.8
507443.0333
511039.1333
24666.73333
21075
664890.2333
743919.2667
922255.7
361102.0333
324386.7667
176898.4333
93977.93333
55193.36667
32959.93333
353699.8
444922.8333
464435.9
135920.2333

x1 cresc

x2

4868.8

109801.6

6718.4
7602.4
10646.8
11107
12025.1
16623.3

57616.7
9735.1
4621.5
259130
4293.3
393475

20821.9

20826.6

17022.8
1053140

39394.7
43296.7
47165.8
63685.2

122957.7
569443.9
145996.4
75413

67588

485914

70473.1
72163.9
76321

16206.2
7202.4
79225
31553.2

106949.2
114717.3
123573.8
132886.7
138245.7

48298
37559.4
14185.3
113901.4
162607.6

245346
321900
351669
424548.2
504713
620760.4
923090

257498
7328.5
20661.3
69653.3
412376.5
49712.6
7058.4

75661.6

y
367734.7788
194697.139
35554.57803
19915.77547
868190.9656
19456.23034
1318387.939
65919.84498
3518432.077
427456.2567
1917015.548
507799.9319
280204.1798
1649855.334
86040.23918
56815.9537
298415.9791
139869.1811
209755.6977
177546.5669
103734.612
440289.0708
605051.3493
970511.7127
172124.2288
230246.145
427022.6114
1605910.591
450842.0372
447794.4415

u
-108700
124131.9
-9077.88
98375.02
-853521
199291.5
-1304997
99845.16
-1720317
1886444
-1708393
-330071
-266888
-156824
-70058.3
-32711.8
-264502
-134662
1745794
93454.63
436481.4
-168200
-444196
-872761
-148797
-185744
-395972
-620364
-132671
-358205

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.92045
R Square
0.847228
Adjusted R Square
0.796304
Standard Error
472850.1
Observations
9
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
2 7.44E+12 3.72E+12
6 1.34E+12 2.24E+11
8 8.78E+12

F
Significance F
16.6371 0.003566

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95,0%
Upper 95,0%
Intercept
-666875 314200.7 -2.12245 0.078019 -1435696 101946.6 -1435696 101946.6
4868.8 64.33077 16.92145 3.80173 0.00895 22.92548 105.7361 22.92548 105.7361
109801.6 -2.52613 0.499603 -5.05627 0.002319 -3.74862 -1.30365 -3.74862 -1.30365

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
Predicted -108700,278796139
Residuals
1 -380222 504354.2
2 -202399 193320.9
3 6367.449 92007.58
4 -606949 -246571
5 95863.63 103427.8
6 -591454 -713543
7 629612.2 -529767
8 -1987453 267136.2
9 1556809 329634.4

Upper 95,0%

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.759853
R Square
0.577376
Adjusted R Square
0.436502
Standard Error
187984.5
Observations
9
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

2
6
8

SS
MS
F
Significance F
2.89668E+11 1.45E+11 4.098514 0.075485
2.12029E+11 3.53E+10
5.01697E+11

Coefficients Standard Error

Intercept
-163685
151527.6859
123573.8 -0.07923
0.27149038
14185.3 -1.42036
0.500178772

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
Predicted 436481,387993209
Residuals
1 -335994
167793.8951
2 -405599
-38597.11979
3 -548862
-323898.5758
4 -199597
50800.3089
5 -220893
35148.48845
6 -296253
-99718.96545
7 -789393
169029.7561
8 -283475
150803.7729
9 -246843
-111361.5604

t Stat
-1.08023
-0.29182
-2.8397

P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95,0%

Upper 95,0%
0.321534 -534460 207089.5 -534460 207089.5
0.780254 -0.74354 0.585088 -0.74354 0.585088
0.029579 -2.64425 -0.19646 -2.64425 -0.19646

Upper 95,0%

sp2
sp1
2.12E+11 1.34152E+12
6.327073571

Variabila Y ( Variabila
PIB )
X1 ( import
Variabila
) X2 ( rata
Y calculat
somajului % Ut
)
259034.5
132886.7
8.3
-387858.2871 646892.8
318829
245346
10.3
-757851.0358 1076680
26476.7
20826.6
7.3
-19172.37708 45649.08
118290.8
75661.6
7.5
-199585.4348 317876.2
14670.3
7602.4
7.1
24335.66671 -9665.37
218747.7
106949.2
16.9
-302463.8901 521211.6
13390.8
11107
13.7
12848.51203 542.288
165765
67588
12.6
-172988.6591 338753.7
1798115.3
504713
20.1
-1611138.132 3409253
2313900
923090
9.7
-2987722.032 5301622
208622.3
72163.9
8.4
-188071.6172 396693.9
177729.2
123573.8
6.4
-357230.125 534959.3
13315.9
6718.4
19.8
27327.73423 -14011.8
1493031.3
424548.2
17.8
-1347400.517 2840432
15981.9
10646.8
4.6
14302.7347 1679.165
24104.2
16623.3
11.2
-5317.296632 29421.5
33914.1
47165.8
9.9
-105814.7019 139728.8
5206.7
4868.8
4.5
33312.45771 -28105.8
1955549.9
620760.4
4.4
-1993052.703 3948603
271001.2
76321
9.6
-201741.1255 472742.3
540216
351669
12
-1107656.524 1647873
272088.9
114717.3
7.3
-328085.1494 600174
160855.4
63685.2
7.3
-160182.8174 321038.2
97751
43296.7
14.5
-93054.57613 190805.6
23327.4
12025.1
8.4
9792.957618 13534.44
44501.7
39394.7
8.4
-80256.63211 124758.3
31050.7
20821.9
7.8
-19153.62247 50204.32
985547
321900
4.10
-1009764.589 1995312
318170.8
138245.7
4.6
-405514.4564 723685.3
89589.9
70473.1
9.2
-182503.3969 272093.3

Ut-1
646892.8
1076680
45649.08
317876.2
-9665.37
521211.6
542.288
338753.7
3409253
5301622
396693.9
534959.3
-14011.8
2840432
1679.165
29421.5
139728.8
-28105.8
3948603
472742.3
1647873
600174
321038.2
190805.6
13534.44
124758.3
50204.32
1995312
723685.3

Ut-Ut-1
646892.8
429787.2
-1031031
272227.2
-327542
530877
-520669
338211.4
3070500
1892369
-4904928
138265.4
-548971
2854444
-2838753
27742.33
110307.3
-167835
3976708
-3475860
1175130
-1047698
-279136
-130233
-177271
111223.9
-74554
1945107
-1271626
-451592

(Ut-Ut-1)2
4.1847E+11
1.84717E+11
1.06302E+12
74107625377
1.07284E+11
2.8183E+11
2.71097E+11
1.14387E+11
9.42797E+12
3.58106E+12
2.40583E+13
19117322991
3.01369E+11
8.14785E+12
8.05852E+12
769636947.6
12167701602
28168439407
1.58142E+13
1.20816E+13
1.38093E+12
1.09767E+12
77916812746
16960540842
31425054859
12370753646
5558300352
3.78344E+12
1.61703E+12
2.03935E+11
9.22733E+13

Ut2
4.1847E+11
1.15924E+12
2083838238
1.01045E+11
93419313.59
2.71662E+11
294076.2414
1.14754E+11
1.1623E+13
2.81072E+13
1.57366E+11
2.86181E+11
196331498.6
8.06805E+12
2819596.111
865624464
19524138088
789933616.2
1.55915E+13
2.23485E+11
2.71548E+12
3.60209E+11
1.03066E+11
36406767881
183181130.6
15564641430
2520473995
3.98127E+12
5.2372E+11
74034762196
7.39579E+13

1.241987198