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Marist College Institute for Public Opinion

Poughkeepsie, NY 12601 Phone 845.575.5050 Fax 845.575.5111 www.maristpoll.marist.edu

POLL MUST BE SOURCED: NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll* McAuliffe Leads Cuccinelli by 8 Percentage Points In Virginia Governors Race
*** Complete Tables for Poll Appended *** For Immediate Release: Friday, October 18, 2013 Contact: Lee M. Miringoff Barbara L. Carvalho Mary E. Griffith Marist College 845.575.5050

This NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Reports: In the contest for Virginia governor, Democrat Terry McAuliffe receives the support of 46% of Virginia likely voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate and those who voted by absentee ballot compared with 38% for his Republican challenger, Ken Cuccinelli. Libertarian candidate Robert Sarvis garners 9% of the vote while 1% backs another candidate. Seven percent of Virginia likely voters are undecided. Just when Cuccinelli needed to start closing the gap against McAuliffe, the government shutdown became a huge roadblock, says Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. The big question is whether or not Cuccinelli can now overcome the damaged GOP brand and his own high negative rating to make the contest more competitive. When NBC4/NBC News/Marist last reported this question in September, McAuliffe -- 43% -edged Cuccinelli -- 38% -- among likely voters statewide. Sarvis had the support of 8% while 1% backed another candidate. 10%, at that time, were undecided. Key points: Party ID. A wide partisan divide exists. Most Democrats who are likely to vote -88% -- support McAuliffe while most Republicans likely to cast a ballot are for Cuccinelli -- 83%. This is little changed from last month when 89% of likely Democratic voters supported McAuliffe, and 83% of likely Republican voters were for Cuccinelli. Among independent voters who are likely to vote, 41% are for McAuliffe while 33% are for Cuccinelli. 15% support Sarvis. In September, the *All references to the survey must be sourced as NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

contest among independent voters was slightly closer. 36% of independent voters were behind McAuliffe while 34% backed Cuccinelli. 15%, at that time, supported Sarvis. Gender. A gender gap still exists. McAuliffe -- 52% -- leads Cuccinelli -- 32% -- by double digits among women who are likely to vote. However, among men who are likely to cast a ballot, Cuccinelli -- 44% -- edges McAuliffe -- 40%. Last month, McAuliffe -- 50% -- outpaced Cuccinelli -- 32% -- among women. Among men, Cuccinelli -- 44% -- led McAuliffe -- 36% -- by eight percentage points. Intensity of Support. 60% of likely voters with a candidate preference for Virginia governor say they strongly support their choice. 32% somewhat support their candidate, and 8% might vote differently. Only 1% is unsure. In NBC4/NBC News/Marists previous survey, similar proportions held these views. 59% of likely voters with a candidate preference for Virginia governor were firmly committed to their choice while 31% were somewhat behind him. Nine percent said they might vote differently, and 1% was unsure. Among Cucinellis supporters, 67% strongly support him while 57% of McAuliffes backers express a similar level of commitment to him. In September, 60% of Cuccinellis supporters and 59% of McAuliffes backers said they would not waver in their commitment to their choice of candidate.

Among registered voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate and those who voted by absentee ballot, McAuliffe still leads Cuccinelli. 44% are for McAuliffe while 36% are for Cuccinelli. Sarvis has the support of 10% while 1% is for another candidate. Nine percent are undecided. In NBC4/NBC News/Marists previous poll, 41% of registered voters were for McAuliffe while 35% supported Cuccinelli. Eight percent backed Sarvis, and 1% supported another candidate. 14%, at the time, were undecided. How would the contest look without Sarvis? Among Virginia likely voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate and those who voted by absentee ballot, 52% support McAuliffe compared with 43% for Cuccinelli. One percent is behind another candidate, and 4% are undecided. Tarnished Images? Voters Divide over McAuliffe Cuccinelli with High Negatives While 40% of Virginia residents have a positive view of McAuliffe, 39% have an unfavorable impression of him. 21% have either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him. Similar proportions of registered voters share these views. 42% think well of McAuliffe while 41% have a lesser opinion of the candidate. 17% have either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him. Last month, 38% of Virginia residents had a favorable view of McAuliffe. 32% had an unfavorable opinion of him, and a notable 30% had either never heard of him or were unsure how to rate him. Looking at registered voters, 41% had a positive opinion of McAuliffe while 34% had an unfavorable one. 26% had either never heard of him or were unsure how to rate McAuliffe. *All references to the survey must be sourced as NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

A majority of Virginia residents -- 51% -- has an unfavorable view of Cuccinelli. 34% have a positive opinion of him, and 15% have either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him. Comparable portions of registered voters have these opinions. 53% of registered voters have a negative view of Cuccinelli while 36% have a positive one. 12% have either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him. In last months survey, 45% of adults statewide had an unfavorable opinion of Cuccinelli while 31% had a favorable one. 23%, at that time, had either never heard of Cuccinelli or were unsure how to rate him. Among registered voters in Virginia, 47% had a lesser impression of Cuccinelli while 34% had a favorable view of him. 19% had either never heard of Cuccinelli or were unsure how to rate him. Sarvis has become somewhat better-known to Virginians, but a majority -- 56% -- still has either never heard of Sarvis or is unsure how to rate him. 23% have a favorable opinion of him, and 21% have an unfavorable view of him. Among registered voters, a similar 55% have either never heard of Sarvis or are unsure how to rate him. 23% of voters have a positive impression of the candidate while 22% have a negative one. Last month, 66% of Virginia residents had either never heard of Sarvis or were unsure how to rate him. 20% had a favorable view of the candidate while 15% had an unfavorable impression of him. Among registered voters, 63%, at that time, did not have a clear opinion of Sarvis. This compares with 21% who thought well of him and 16% who had an unfavorable opinion of the candidate. Majority Places Responsibility for Shutdown on Republicans When it comes to who is mostly to blame for the government shutdown, a majority of Virginia adults -- 53% -- say the Republicans in Congress are more at fault. This compares with 29% who put the onus on President Barack Obama. 15% think each is equally to blame while 3% are unsure. Similar proportions of registered voters in Virginia have these views. 54% say the Republican members in Congress are to blame while 29% think President Obama is mostly responsible for the shutdown. 14% think the Republicans in Congress and the president equally share the blame while 3% are unsure. By party, 88% of Democrats think the Republicans in Congress are mostly at fault. This compares with 60% of Republicans who point the finger at President Obama. 17% of Republicans blame the members of their own party in Congress, and one in five Republicans -- 20% -- says both Obama and the Congressional GOP are to blame. Tea Party support makes a difference among the GOP. Among Republicans who are Tea Party supporters, nearly eight in ten -- 78% -- believe President Obama is to blame. *All references to the survey must be sourced as NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

However, there is little consensus among Republicans who do not support the Tea Party. While a plurality -- 42% -- places the responsibility on the president, a notable 28% blame the Republicans in Congress, and 26% fault both the president and the GOP in Congress. Looking at independent voters, a majority -- 54% -- puts the onus on the GOP in Congress while 28% say President Obama is mostly to blame for the shutdown. 16% report both are equally responsible. 38% of Virginia registered voters say the government shutdown will have a major impact on their vote for governor while 21% think it will have a minor one. 39% say the shutdown is not an issue at all, and 2% are unsure. By party, a plurality of Democrats -- 44% -- says the government shutdown will be a major issue in determining their gubernatorial vote while half of Republicans -- 50% -- report the shutdown is not an issue at all when it comes to casting their ballot. But, Tea Party support again matters for Republicans. A majority of Republicans who support the Tea Party -- 55% -- says the government shutdown is no issue at all when it comes to their vote. This compares with a majority of Republicans who are not Tea Party supporters -- 56% -- who think the shutdown will be either a major or a minor issue when deciding for whom to vote. Among independent voters, 40% think the shutdown is not an issue when it comes to picking their candidate. This compares with 37% who say the shutdown is a major issue and 21% who believe it is a minor one. How many Virginians have been affected by the federal government shutdown? While 60% have not been impacted, a notable 39% say they or a member of their family have experienced changes to their employment status, services, or benefits. One percent is unsure. Identical proportions of registered voters in Virginia say the same. 60% have not been affected by the shutdown while 39% have felt the effects. One percent of registered voters in Virginia is unsure. Damaged Brand? The Republican Party is viewed negatively by many residents in Virginia. 61% of adults in the state have an unfavorable impression of the party. 32% have a favorable one, and 6% have either never heard of it or are unsure how to rate the Republican Party. Among registered voters in the state, 62% have a negative view of the GOP while 32% have a positive one. Five percent have either never heard of the GOP or are unsure how to rate it. 49% of Virginians view the Democratic Party unfavorably while 45% perceive it favorably. Six percent have either never heard of the Democratic Party or are unsure how to rate it. Looking at registered voters, 50% have a negative view of the Democratic Party while 45% have a positive one. Five percent have either never heard of the party or are unsure how to rate it. *All references to the survey must be sourced as NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

Northam Edges Jackson in Contest for Virginias Lieutenant Governor In the race for lieutenant governor, Democrat Ralph Northam receives the support of 48% of Virginia likely voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate and those who voted by absentee ballot. 42% support Republican E.W. Jackson, and 1% mentions another candidate. Nine percent are undecided. When NBC4/NBC News/Marist reported this question last month, likely voters in Virginia divided. 44% supported Northam while 41% backed Jackson. One percent was for another candidate, and 13% were undecided. How strongly are likely voters committed to their choice of candidate for lieutenant governor? Half of likely voters with a candidate preference -- 50% -- strongly support their choice. 38% are somewhat committed to their pick, and 12% might vote differently. Only 1% is unsure. In September, 46% of likely voters with a candidate preference for lieutenant governor said they were firmly committed to their choice. 41% were somewhat behind their pick, and 11% said they might change their minds before Election Day. Two percent, at that time, were unsure. Northam also has a six percentage point advantage among registered voters in Virginia including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate and those who voted by absentee ballot. 47% support Northam while 41% are behind Jackson. One percent supports another candidate, and 10% are undecided. Last month, Northam had the backing of 42% of registered voters while 40% were for Jackson. One percent supported another candidate, and 16% were undecided. McDonnell Approval Rating Status Quo A majority of adults in Virginia -- 53% -- approves of the job Governor Bob McDonnell is doing in office. 31% disapprove, and 16% are unsure. Among registered voters in Virginia, 55% give McDonnell high marks. 32% say his performance has fallen short, and 13% are unsure. There has been little change on this question since last month. At that time, 51% of adults thought well of McDonnells job performance. 33% disapproved, and 16% were unsure. A majority of registered voters in that previous survey -- 55% -- approved of McDonnells job performance. 33% disapproved, and 12% were unsure. Looking at McDonnells favorability, 48% of adults statewide have a positive impression of McDonnell while 35% have an unfavorable one. 17% have either never heard of McDonnell or are unsure how to rate him. Among registered voters, 49% view McDonnell favorably. *All references to the survey must be sourced as NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

37% perceive him unfavorably, and 14% have either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him. In September, 49% of Virginia residents thought well of McDonnell while 32% did not. 19%, at that time, were unsure. Among registered voters, 52% had a positive opinion of McDonnell while 33% had an unfavorable impression of the governor. 15%, then, had either never heard of McDonnell or were unsure how to rate him. A State on Track? While a majority of Virginians think the state is headed in the right direction, there has been a decline in the proportion of residents who have this opinion. 52% of adults statewide say the state is moving in the right direction while 42% think it is headed in the wrong one. Six percent are unsure. Registered voters reflect the views of residents overall. 53% of voters think Virginia is moving on the proper path while 41% say the state needs an alternate route. Six percent are unsure. In Septembers poll, nearly six in ten adults -- 58% -- reported the state was on course. This compares with 36% who said Virginia had fallen off the track. Six percent, then, were unsure. Among registered voters, 59% thought Virginia was on the correct path while 36% said it needed to be redirected. Five percent, at that time, were unsure. Majority Disapproves of Obamas Job Performance 52% of adults in Virginia disapprove of how President Obama is doing his job while 45% approve. Four percent are unsure. Among registered voters statewide, 53% disapprove of Mr. Obamas job performance while 45% approve. Three percent are unsure. Last month, 48% of adults in Virginia gave the president high marks while 46% said his performance was not satisfactory. Six percent, at that time, were unsure. Looking at registered voters, 48% in September praised the presidents job performance while 47% thought it was lacking. Five percent were unsure. Is President Obama viewed favorably in Virginia? He receives mixed reviews. 49% of residents have a positive opinion of the president while 48% have an unfavorable view of him. Three percent have either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him. The opinions of Virginia registered voters mirror those of residents, overall. 49% have a favorable view of President Obama while 49% have an unfavorable one. Two percent have either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate the president. When NBC4/NBC News/Marist last reported this question, 52% of Virginians thought well of Mr. Obama while 45% had a negative impression of him. Four percent had either never heard of him or were unsure how to rate him. At that time, 52% of registered voters *All references to the survey must be sourced as NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

perceived the president positively. 45% had an unfavorable impression of him, and 3% had either never heard of him or were unsure how to rate him. From Politics to FootballMore than Seven in Ten Want Redskins to Keep Name There has been much debate about whether or not the Washington Redskins should change their name. While more than one in five adults in Virginia -- 21% -- think the team should find a different name because Redskins is offensive to Native Americans, 73% believe the name should remain because it is a part of the teams tradition. Six percent are unsure. Fans of the team agree. One in five -- 20% -- says the name should be changed while 78% want it to remain. Two percent are unsure.

*All references to the survey must be sourced as NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

How the Survey was Conducted

Nature of the Sample: NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Survey of 1,212 Adults This survey of 1,212 Virginia adults was conducted October 13th through October 15th, 2013 by The Marist Poll sponsored in partnership with NBC4 and NBC News. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state of Virginia were interviewed by telephone using live interviewers. Landline telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state from ASDE Survey Sampler, Inc. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. To increase coverage, this landline sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers from Survey Sampling International. The two samples were then combined and balanced to reflect the 2010 Census results for age, gender, income, race, and borough. Interviews were conducted in English. Respondents in the household were selected by asking for the youngest male. Results for adults are statistically significant within 2.8 percentage points. There are 1,082 registered voters. Results for this subset are statistically significant within 3.0 percentage points. There are 596 likely voters defined by a probability turnout model. This model determines the likelihood respondents will vote in the 2013 election for governor based upon their chance of vote, interest in the election, and past election participation. The results for this subset are statistically significant within 4.0 percentage points. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations.

Nature of the Sample - Virginia Virginia Adults Col % Virginia Adults Virginia Registered Voters Virginia Likely Voters Party Identification Democrat Republican Independent Other Party Identification Strong Democrats Not strong Democrats Democratic leaning independents Just Independents Republican leaning independents Not strong Republicans Strong Republicans Other Political Ideology Very liberal-Liberal Moderate Conservative-Very conservative Past Participation** Yes No T ea Party Supporters Gender Men Women Age Under 45 45 or older Age 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Latino Other Region D.C. Suburbs Northern Virginia Exurbs Central/West Richmond/East T idewater Household Income Less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Education Not college graduate College graduate Evangelical Christian Yes No Interview T ype Landline Cell Phone 100% 89% 49% n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 48% 52% 49% 51% 22% 27% 28% 23% 67% 19% 7% 7% 18% 16% 23% 23% 20% 60% 40% 53% 47% 17% 83% 57% 43% 100% 55% 32% 28% 39% 1% 24% 8% 17% 8% 13% 9% 19% 1% 22% 40% 38% 79% 21% 24% 48% 52% 46% 54% 19% 27% 29% 26% 69% 18% 7% 6% 18% 16% 23% 24% 19% 58% 42% 52% 48% 18% 82% 60% 40% 100% 32% 27% 40% 1% 26% 6% 17% 8% 15% 7% 20% 1% 21% 39% 40% 88% 12% 27% 47% 53% 38% 62% 12% 26% 33% 29% 73% 16% 6% 5% 19% 16% 22% 25% 19% 54% 46% 46% 54% 18% 82% 64% 36% Virginia Registered Voters Col % Virginia Likely Voters Col %

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Adults. Interviews conducted October 13th through October 15th, 2013, n=1212 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. Virginia Registered Voters: n=1082 MOE +/- 3.0 percentage points. Virginia Likely Voters: n=596 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. **Past participation refers to previous participation in a gubernatorial election.

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Tables


Virginia Likely Voters Tossup for governor including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted absentee Terry McAuliffe, the Ken Cuccinelli, the Robert Sarvis, the Democrat Republican Libertarian Other Undecided Row % Virginia Likely Voters Party Identification Democrat Republican Independent Party Identification* Strong Democrats Soft Democrats Soft Republicans Strong Republicans Tea Party Supporters Republicans Political Ideology Support Tea Party Do Not Support Tea Party Very liberal-Liberal Moderate Conservative-Very conservative Intensity of Support Strongly support Somewhat support Might vote differently Past Participation** Affected by Government Shutdown Gender Age Age Yes No Yes No Men Women Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race Region White African American D.C. Suburbs Northern Virginia Exurbs Central/West Richmond/East Tidewater Household Income Education Interview Type Less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Landline Cell Phone 46% 88% 6% 41% 90% 79% 7% 4% 12% 4% 7% 88% 53% 16% 48% 56% 40% 46% 48% 50% 44% 40% 52% 46% 46% 53% 43% 44% 48% 40% 80% 56% 42% 36% 47% 50% 48% 46% 42% 50% 46% 47% Row % 38% 6% 83% 33% 6% 4% 68% 88% 74% 84% 71% 5% 24% 70% 46% 35% 30% 37% 42% 33% 41% 44% 32% 36% 39% 33% 37% 41% 38% 43% 11% 34% 42% 41% 38% 31% 36% 39% 40% 35% 40% 33% Row % 9% 4% 5% 15% 3% 12% 15% 4% 10% 8% 11% 5% 13% 6% 5% 10% 29% 9% 4% 9% 9% 9% 8% 10% 8% 9% 10% 8% 7% 10% 2% 4% 7% 14% 8% 10% 9% 8% 9% 8% 9% 8% Row % 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% Row % 7% 2% 6% 10% 1% 5% 9% 4% 4% 3% 10% 2% 9% 7% 0% 0% 0% 7% 6% 7% 6% 6% 8% 9% 6% 5% 10% 5% 6% 7% 6% 6% 9% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 7% 7% 5% 11%

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Likely Voters. Interviews conducted October 13th through October 15th, 2013, n=596 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. **Past participation refers to previous participation in a gubernatorial election. *Soft Democrats include Likely Voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those Likely Voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents.

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Tables

Virginia Likely Voters with a Candidate Preference for Governor Would you say you strongly support <candidate> somewhat support <candidate>, or do you think that you might vote differently on Election Day? Might vote Strongly support Somewhat support differently Unsure Row % Virginia Likely Voters with a Candidate Preference for Governor Party Identification Democrat Republican Independent Governor Choice Tea Party Supporters Political Ideology Very liberal-Liberal Moderate Conservative-Very conservative Gender Age Race Men Women Under 45 45 or older White African American Other Region D.C. Suburbs Northern Virginia Exurbs Central/West Richmond/East Tidewater Household Income Education Interview Type Less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Landline Cell Phone Terry McAuliffe Ken Cuccinelli 60% 65% 66% 49% 57% 67% 74% 68% 50% 64% 60% 59% 46% 66% 61% 54% 55% 57% 59% 63% 58% 59% 59% 58% 60% 60% 61% 56% Row % 32% 29% 26% 38% 35% 26% 19% 26% 39% 26% 32% 31% 40% 27% 31% 38% 27% 33% 33% 28% 32% 33% 30% 36% 28% 35% 31% 33% Row % 8% 5% 7% 10% 6% 6% 7% 6% 9% 8% 6% 10% 11% 6% 6% 7% 18% 8% 7% 8% 8% 7% 10% 5% 10% 5% 6% 11% Row % 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 2% 2% 0% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Likely Voters with Candidate Preference. Interviews conducted October 13th through October 15th, 2013, n=505 MOE +/- 4.4 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Tables


Virginia Registered Voters Tossup for governor including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted absentee Terry McAuliffe, the Ken Cuccinelli, the Robert Sarvis, the Democrat Republican Libertarian Other Undecided Row % Virginia Registered Voters Virginia Likely Voters Party Identification Democrat Republican Independent Party Identification* Strong Democrats Soft Democrats Just Independents Soft Republicans Strong Republicans Tea Party Supporters Republicans Political Ideology Support Tea Party Do Not Support Tea Party Very liberal-Liberal Moderate Conservative-Very conservative Intensity of Support Strongly support Somewhat support Might vote differently Past Participation** Affected by Government Shutdown Gender Age Age Yes No Yes No Men Women Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Other Region D.C. Suburbs Northern Virginia Exurbs Central/West Richmond/East Tidewater Household Income Education Interview Type Less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Landline Cell Phone 44% 46% 86% 5% 39% 90% 73% 24% 7% 4% 13% 4% 6% 83% 48% 18% 49% 52% 38% 45% 44% 48% 42% 39% 50% 44% 45% 48% 41% 44% 47% 37% 75% 43% 53% 42% 34% 47% 47% 46% 44% 42% 47% 45% 43% Row % 36% 38% 5% 81% 31% 4% 7% 26% 66% 86% 70% 83% 69% 7% 28% 63% 46% 37% 34% 35% 41% 31% 39% 42% 31% 35% 38% 36% 35% 39% 36% 43% 11% 37% 34% 39% 42% 35% 32% 35% 38% 37% 35% 37% 35% Row % 10% 9% 5% 7% 16% 3% 12% 15% 16% 5% 11% 9% 13% 7% 13% 8% 6% 11% 28% 11% 5% 10% 10% 10% 10% 11% 9% 11% 10% 10% 8% 11% 6% 11% 4% 10% 14% 10% 10% 10% 9% 11% 9% 11% 8% Row % 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 6% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 3% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Row % 9% 7% 4% 7% 13% 2% 7% 30% 11% 4% 6% 3% 11% 4% 10% 9% 0% 0% 0% 8% 10% 9% 8% 8% 9% 10% 7% 6% 13% 6% 8% 8% 7% 10% 9% 9% 7% 9% 10% 8% 7% 9% 9% 6% 12%

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Registered Voters. Interviews conducted October 13th through October 15th, 2013, n=1082 MOE +/- 3.0 percentage points. Virginia Likely Voters: n=596 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. **Past participation refers to previous participation in a gubernatorial election. **Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents.

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Tables

Virginia Registered Voters Tossup for governor without Sarvis including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted absentee Terry McAuliffe, the Ken Cuccinelli, the Democrat Republican Other Undecided Row % Virginia Registered Voters Virginia Likely Voters Party Identification Democrat Republican Independent Party Identification* Strong Democrats Soft Democrats Just Independents Soft Republicans Strong Republicans Tea Party Supporters Political Ideology Very liberal-Liberal Moderate Conservative-Very conservative Sarvis Supporters Affected by Government Shutdown Gender Age Age Yes No Men Women Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Other Region D.C. Suburbs Northern Virginia Exurbs Central/West Richmond/East Tidewater Household Income Education Interview Type Less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Landline Cell Phone 51% 52% 88% 8% 52% 91% 88% 37% 11% 5% 16% 86% 58% 23% 53% 56% 48% 44% 57% 51% 51% 53% 50% 50% 52% 44% 80% 47% 55% 49% 43% 56% 52% 53% 52% 50% 53% 52% 49% Row % 43% 43% 9% 87% 39% 7% 9% 33% 84% 90% 81% 13% 34% 71% 40% 37% 46% 49% 37% 43% 42% 42% 44% 43% 41% 49% 15% 46% 38% 44% 52% 39% 39% 42% 43% 46% 39% 43% 43% Row % 1% 1% 0% 1% 2% 0% 0% 7% 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 2% 5% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Row % 5% 4% 3% 4% 7% 2% 3% 23% 5% 4% 2% 1% 7% 5% 2% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 4% 6% 7% 5% 3% 5% 8% 4% 4% 4% 7% 4% 8%

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Registered Voters. Interviews conducted October 13th through October 15th, 2013, n=1082 MOE +/- 3.0 percentage points. Virginia Likely Voters: n=596 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents.

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Tables

Virginia Adults Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Terry McAuliffe? Favorable Row % Virginia Adults Virginia Registered Voters Virginia Likely Voters Party Identification^ Democrat Republican Independent Party Identification* Strong Democrats Soft Democrats Just Independents Soft Republicans Strong Republicans Tea Party Supporters^ Political Ideology^ Very liberal-Liberal Moderate Conservative-Very conservative Affected by Government Shutdown Gender Age Age Yes No Men Women Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Other Region D.C. Suburbs Northern Virginia Exurbs Central/West Richmond/East Tidewater Household Income Education Interview Type Less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Landline Cell Phone 40% 42% 44% 74% 16% 36% 82% 54% 30% 19% 11% 20% 72% 46% 21% 41% 41% 36% 44% 37% 43% 44% 32% 43% 43% 35% 60% 40% 43% 34% 36% 45% 41% 43% 40% 39% 42% 41% 39% Unfavorable Row % 39% 41% 43% 14% 65% 47% 10% 26% 52% 61% 71% 70% 18% 36% 61% 43% 37% 43% 36% 34% 45% 25% 41% 46% 43% 46% 18% 34% 37% 50% 40% 37% 36% 35% 44% 36% 43% 45% 31% Unsure-Never Heard Row % 21% 17% 14% 12% 20% 18% 8% 20% 18% 20% 17% 11% 10% 18% 18% 17% 22% 21% 20% 29% 12% 31% 28% 11% 14% 19% 22% 26% 20% 16% 24% 18% 24% 22% 16% 25% 15% 13% 30%

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Adults. Interviews conducted October 13th through October 15th, n=1212 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. ^Virginia Registered Voters: n=1082 MOE +/- 3.0 percentage points. Virginia Likely Voters: n=596 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents.

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Tables

Virginia Adults Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Ken Cuccinelli? Favorable Row % Virginia Adults Virginia Registered Voters Virginia Likely Voters Party Identification^ Democrat Republican Independent Party Identification* Strong Democrats Soft Democrats Just Independents Soft Republicans Strong Republicans Tea Party Supporters^ Political Ideology^ Very liberal-Liberal Moderate Conservative-Very conservative Affected by Government Shutdown Gender Age Age Yes No Men Women Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Other Region D.C. Suburbs Northern Virginia Exurbs Central/West Richmond/East Tidewater Household Income Education Interview Type Less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Landline Cell Phone 34% 36% 37% 12% 69% 31% 10% 13% 24% 61% 74% 70% 15% 27% 57% 33% 35% 40% 29% 33% 35% 36% 32% 34% 36% 39% 15% 37% 32% 40% 36% 34% 31% 33% 37% 36% 33% 35% 33% Unfavorable Row % 51% 53% 54% 73% 22% 59% 77% 74% 61% 29% 20% 24% 76% 61% 33% 53% 51% 45% 56% 46% 56% 42% 48% 58% 55% 49% 64% 43% 53% 48% 48% 51% 56% 51% 51% 46% 56% 57% 43% Unsure-Never Heard Row % 15% 12% 9% 15% 9% 10% 13% 13% 15% 10% 6% 6% 9% 12% 10% 14% 15% 15% 15% 21% 9% 22% 20% 8% 10% 12% 21% 20% 16% 13% 16% 15% 14% 16% 11% 18% 11% 7% 25%

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Adults. Interviews conducted October 13th through October 15th, n=1212 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. ^Virginia Registered Voters: n=1082 MOE +/- 3.0 percentage points. Virginia Likely Voters: n=596 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents.

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Tables

Virginia Adults Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Robert Sarvis? Favorable Row % Virginia Adults Virginia Registered Voters Virginia Likely Voters Party Identification^ Democrat Republican Independent Party Identification* Strong Democrats Soft Democrats Just Independents Soft Republicans Strong Republicans Tea Party Supporters^ Political Ideology^ Very liberal-Liberal Moderate Conservative-Very conservative Affected by Government Shutdown Gender Age Age Yes No Men Women Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Other Region D.C. Suburbs Northern Virginia Exurbs Central/West Richmond/East Tidewater Household Income Education Interview Type Less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Landline Cell Phone 23% 23% 24% 23% 19% 26% 22% 30% 18% 23% 18% 25% 24% 25% 20% 23% 23% 24% 22% 23% 23% 26% 20% 25% 19% 22% 20% 28% 18% 23% 23% 30% 20% 23% 24% 23% 23% 22% 24% Unfavorable Row % 21% 22% 21% 22% 21% 24% 23% 22% 26% 22% 21% 26% 20% 23% 24% 22% 21% 21% 21% 23% 19% 25% 21% 19% 20% 19% 30% 22% 17% 15% 20% 22% 28% 27% 15% 23% 19% 22% 19% Unsure-Never Heard Row % 56% 55% 56% 55% 59% 50% 55% 48% 56% 55% 60% 49% 56% 52% 56% 55% 56% 55% 57% 54% 58% 49% 59% 56% 60% 59% 50% 50% 65% 62% 57% 48% 52% 50% 61% 55% 58% 55% 57%

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Adults. Interviews conducted October 13th through October 15th, n=1212 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. ^Virginia Registered Voters: n=1082 MOE +/- 3.0 percentage points. Virginia Likely Voters: n=596 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents.

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Tables

Virginia Adults As you know, there has been a shutdown of the federal government for two weeks. Who do you think is more to blame for the shutdown: The Republicans in President Obama Congress Both equally Unsure Row % Virginia Adults Virginia Registered Voters Virginia Likely Voters Party Identification^ Democrat Republican Independent Party Identification* Strong Democrats Soft Democrats Just Independents Soft Republicans Strong Republicans Tea Party Supporters^ Republicans^ Political Ideology^ Support Tea Party Do Not Support Tea Party Very liberal-Liberal Moderate Conservative-Very conservative Affected by Government Shutdown Gender Age Age Yes No Men Women Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Other Region D.C. Suburbs Northern Virginia Exurbs Central/West Richmond/East Tidewater Household Income Education Interview Type Less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Landline Cell Phone 29% 29% 31% 3% 60% 28% 2% 4% 31% 50% 70% 69% 78% 42% 5% 23% 50% 27% 30% 31% 27% 25% 33% 18% 30% 33% 34% 36% 2% 26% 21% 33% 38% 24% 27% 25% 32% 28% 30% 34% 23% Row % 53% 54% 54% 88% 17% 54% 91% 85% 35% 27% 10% 19% 10% 28% 87% 61% 27% 57% 51% 50% 57% 55% 52% 59% 51% 52% 52% 46% 82% 56% 64% 50% 41% 58% 55% 56% 52% 53% 54% 52% 55% Row % 15% 14% 12% 7% 20% 16% 6% 9% 31% 18% 18% 9% 9% 26% 7% 13% 20% 16% 14% 17% 13% 16% 13% 16% 15% 14% 13% 15% 13% 17% 12% 17% 15% 14% 16% 16% 13% 15% 14% 12% 18% Row % 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 1% 2% 3% 5% 2% 3% 4% 3% 1% 3% 3% 1% 4% 2% 4% 5% 2% 6% 3% 2% 1% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 6% 4% 1% 3% 3% 4% 2% 2% 4%

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Adults. Interviews conducted October 13th through October 15th, n=1212 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. ^Virginia Registered Voters: n=1082 MOE +/- 3.0 percentage points. Virginia Likely Voters: n=596 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents.

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Tables

Virginia Adults Is the government shutdown a major issue, a minor issue, or no issue at all in determining your vote for governor this November? Major issue Row % Virginia Adults Virginia Registered Voters Virginia Likely Voters Party Identification^ Democrat Republican Independent Party Identification* Strong Democrats Soft Democrats Just Independents Soft Republicans Strong Republicans Tea Party Supporters^ Republicans^ Political Ideology^ Support Tea Party Do Not Support Tea Party Very liberal-Liberal Moderate Conservative-Very conservative Governor Choice Affected by Government Shutdown Gender Age Age Terry McAuliffe Ken Cuccinelli Yes No Men Women Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Other Region D.C. Suburbs Northern Virginia Exurbs Central/West Richmond/East Tidewater Household Income Education Interview Type Less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Landline Cell Phone 38% 38% 37% 44% 30% 37% 50% 41% 31% 29% 29% 29% 23% 34% 42% 40% 33% 44% 29% 17% 21% 33% 42% 35% 40% 34% 36% 38% 43% 37% 39% 44% 31% 43% 39% 35% 42% 40% 32% 42% 34% 40% 35% Minor issue Row % 22% 21% 20% 24% 18% 21% 21% 23% 15% 25% 17% 20% 21% 22% 21% 23% 18% 24% 19% 8% 14% 23% 20% 27% 17% 32% 23% 21% 12% 21% 27% 22% 23% 19% 20% 26% 21% 23% 22% 22% 21% 19% 25% No issue at all Row % 39% 39% 41% 31% 50% 40% 28% 36% 47% 44% 53% 49% 55% 43% 35% 36% 47% 31% 51% 14% 25% 42% 35% 36% 41% 33% 39% 40% 43% 41% 32% 34% 46% 38% 38% 37% 36% 34% 46% 33% 44% 39% 38% Unsure Row % 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 0% 7% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 0% 4% 2% 1% 2% 0% 2% 0% 1% 2%

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Adults. Interviews conducted October 13th through October 15th, n=1212 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. ^Virginia Registered Voters: n=1082 MOE +/- 3.0 percentage points. Virginia Likely Voters: n=596 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents.

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Tables

Virginia Adults Have you or anyone in your family been affected by the federal government shutdown, in terms of employment, services, or benefits? Yes Row % Virginia Adults Virginia Registered Voters Virginia Likely Voters Party Identification^ Democrat Republican Independent Party Identification* Strong Democrats Soft Democrats Just Independents Soft Republicans Strong Republicans Tea Party Supporters^ Political Ideology^ Very liberal-Liberal Moderate Conservative-Very conservative Gender Age Age Men Women Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Other Region D.C. Suburbs Northern Virginia Exurbs Central/West Richmond/East Tidewater Household Income Education Interview Type Less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Landline Cell Phone 39% 39% 39% 41% 31% 43% 43% 43% 43% 36% 31% 35% 45% 38% 35% 40% 38% 44% 33% 42% 45% 37% 29% 37% 43% 41% 40% 49% 29% 32% 49% 39% 40% 37% 41% 35% 44% No Row % 60% 60% 60% 59% 68% 57% 56% 57% 57% 63% 67% 63% 55% 61% 64% 58% 62% 55% 66% 56% 54% 62% 70% 61% 56% 59% 57% 50% 71% 68% 50% 61% 59% 61% 58% 64% 54% Unsure Row % 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 3% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Adults. Interviews conducted October 13th through October 15th, n=1212 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. ^Virginia Registered Voters: n=1082 MOE +/- 3.0 percentage points. Virginia Likely Voters: n=596 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents.

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NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Tables

Virginia Adults Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of the Republican Party? Favorable Row % Virginia Adults Virginia Registered Voters Virginia Likely Voters Party Identification^ Democrat Republican Independent Party Identification* Strong Democrats Soft Democrats Just Independents Soft Republicans Strong Republicans Tea Party Supporters^ Republicans^ Political Ideology^ Support Tea Party Do Not Support Tea Party Very liberal-Liberal Moderate Conservative-Very conservative Affected by Government Shutdown Gender Age Age Yes No Men Women Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Other Region D.C. Suburbs Northern Virginia Exurbs Central/West Richmond/East Tidewater Household Income Education Interview Type Less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Landline Cell Phone 32% 32% 33% 8% 73% 23% 7% 10% 18% 47% 83% 62% 69% 59% 11% 23% 55% 29% 34% 34% 31% 32% 32% 31% 32% 32% 33% 37% 13% 38% 25% 31% 38% 32% 36% 33% 32% 34% 30% 32% 34% Unfavorable Row % 61% 62% 62% 87% 24% 71% 88% 86% 66% 51% 14% 36% 30% 37% 88% 71% 39% 64% 59% 61% 61% 60% 63% 61% 60% 65% 60% 58% 77% 57% 70% 64% 55% 60% 59% 61% 63% 59% 65% 65% 57% Unsure-Never Heard Row % 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 6% 5% 4% 16% 2% 4% 2% 2% 4% 1% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 7% 8% 5% 8% 8% 3% 7% 5% 10% 6% 5% 5% 8% 8% 5% 6% 5% 7% 5% 4% 10%

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Adults. Interviews conducted October 13th through October 15th, n=1212 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. ^Virginia Registered Voters: n=1082 MOE +/- 3.0 percentage points. Virginia Likely Voters: n=596 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents.

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

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NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Tables

Virginia Adults Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of the Democratic Party? Favorable Row % Virginia Adults Virginia Registered Voters Virginia Likely Voters Party Identification^ Democrat Republican Independent Party Identification* Strong Democrats Soft Democrats Just Independents Soft Republicans Strong Republicans Tea Party Supporters^ Political Ideology^ Very liberal-Liberal Moderate Conservative-Very conservative Affected by Government Shutdown Gender Age Age Yes No Men Women Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Other Region D.C. Suburbs Northern Virginia Exurbs Central/West Richmond/East Tidewater Household Income Education Interview Type Less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Landline Cell Phone 45% 45% 45% 88% 7% 39% 93% 69% 25% 11% 5% 15% 82% 48% 20% 47% 43% 40% 49% 45% 44% 49% 41% 44% 45% 38% 73% 45% 51% 36% 36% 52% 47% 49% 41% 45% 45% 44% 46% Unfavorable Row % 49% 50% 50% 9% 88% 56% 5% 26% 60% 85% 91% 82% 17% 44% 76% 48% 50% 55% 44% 48% 51% 44% 51% 53% 49% 57% 19% 48% 43% 61% 55% 42% 48% 46% 52% 48% 51% 53% 44% Unsure-Never Heard Row % 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 5% 3% 4% 15% 3% 4% 2% 1% 7% 4% 5% 6% 5% 7% 8% 5% 8% 8% 3% 6% 5% 8% 7% 5% 3% 9% 6% 5% 5% 6% 7% 4% 3% 10%

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Adults. Interviews conducted October 13th through October 15th, n=1212 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. ^Virginia Registered Voters: n=1082 MOE +/- 3.0 percentage points. Virginia Likely Voters: n=596 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents.

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

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NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Tables

Virginia Likely Voters Tossup for lieutenant governor including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted absentee Ralph Northam, the E.W. Jackson, the Democrat Republican Other Undecided Row % Virginia Likely Voters Party Identification Democrat Republican Independent Party Identification* Strong Democrats Soft Democrats Just Independents Soft Republicans Strong Republicans Tea Party Supporters Political Ideology Very liberal-Liberal Moderate Conservative-Very conservative Intensity of Support Strongly support Somewhat support Might vote differently Gender Age Age Men Women Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race Region White African American D.C. Suburbs Northern Virginia Exurbs Central/West Richmond/East Tidewater Household Income Education Interview Type Less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Landline Cell Phone 48% 87% 6% 45% 89% 81% 32% 10% 5% 11% 84% 58% 16% 56% 54% 40% 42% 52% 44% 50% 46% 44% 48% 52% 43% 74% 54% 40% 39% 50% 53% 51% 48% 44% 51% 49% 45% Row % 42% 6% 86% 40% 7% 7% 33% 79% 89% 82% 9% 30% 73% 44% 46% 60% 48% 36% 43% 41% 46% 41% 43% 38% 46% 14% 39% 46% 51% 38% 35% 39% 42% 46% 37% 43% 40% Row % 1% 0% 1% 3% 0% 1% 8% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% Row % 9% 6% 7% 12% 4% 11% 27% 10% 5% 6% 5% 11% 9% 0% 0% 0% 9% 10% 13% 7% 8% 15% 7% 8% 10% 10% 6% 13% 9% 10% 9% 8% 9% 9% 10% 7% 14%

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Likely Voters. Interviews conducted October 13th through October 15th, 2013, n=596 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include Likely Voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those Likely Voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents.

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

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NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Tables

Virginia Likely Voters with a Candidate Preference for Lieutenant Governor Would you say you strongly support <candidate> somewhat support <candidate>, or do you think that you might vote differently on Election Day? Might vote Strongly support Somewhat support differently Unsure Row % Virginia Likely Voters with a Candidate Preference for Lieutenant Governor Party Identification Democrat Republican Independent Lieutenant Governor Choice Tea Party Supporters Political Ideology Very liberal-Liberal Moderate Conservative-Very conservative Gender Age Race Region Men Women Under 45 45 or older White African American D.C. Suburbs Northern Virginia Exurbs Central/West Richmond/East Tidewater Household Income Education Interview Type Less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Landline Cell Phone Ralph Northam E.W. Jackson 50% 60% 52% 38% 52% 47% 53% 65% 37% 51% 49% 50% 36% 57% 50% 54% 48% 44% 47% 54% 52% 48% 48% 47% 51% 52% 45% Row % 38% 35% 36% 41% 39% 37% 36% 29% 47% 35% 41% 35% 46% 34% 38% 37% 39% 44% 38% 36% 33% 37% 42% 37% 39% 36% 42% Row % 12% 5% 11% 20% 9% 15% 10% 6% 14% 13% 10% 14% 18% 9% 12% 10% 12% 11% 14% 9% 14% 15% 9% 16% 9% 12% 13% Row % 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0%

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Likely Voters with Candidate Preference. Interviews conducted October 13th through October 15th, 2013, n=489 MOE +/- 4.4 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

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NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Tables

Virginia Registered Voters Tossup for lieutenant governor including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted absentee Ralph Northam, the E.W. Jackson, the Democrat Republican Other Undecided Row % Virginia Registered Voters Virginia Likely Voters Party Identification Democrat Republican Independent Party Identification* Strong Democrats Soft Democrats Just Independents Soft Republicans Strong Republicans Tea Party Supporters Political Ideology Very liberal-Liberal Moderate Conservative-Very conservative Intensity of Support Strongly support Somewhat support Might vote differently Affected by Government Shutdown Gender Age Age Yes No Men Women Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Other Region D.C. Suburbs Northern Virginia Exurbs Central/West Richmond/East Tidewater Household Income Education Interview Type Less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Landline Cell Phone 47% 48% 86% 5% 46% 91% 76% 32% 10% 5% 12% 82% 53% 20% 56% 54% 41% 53% 43% 42% 51% 45% 49% 46% 44% 47% 51% 41% 73% 45% 52% 44% 39% 51% 49% 49% 47% 45% 49% 49% 44% Row % 41% 42% 6% 87% 38% 5% 11% 30% 79% 89% 80% 11% 33% 69% 44% 46% 59% 36% 44% 47% 36% 42% 41% 46% 40% 43% 37% 46% 18% 46% 38% 43% 52% 36% 37% 41% 41% 45% 38% 42% 41% Row % 1% 1% 0% 0% 3% 0% 1% 9% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 1% 2% 0% 2% 0% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% Row % 10% 9% 7% 8% 13% 4% 12% 29% 11% 5% 7% 6% 12% 10% 0% 0% 0% 9% 11% 9% 11% 12% 8% 8% 15% 7% 9% 11% 9% 7% 9% 11% 8% 12% 11% 9% 11% 10% 11% 8% 14%

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Registered Voters. Interviews conducted October 13th through October 15th, 2013, n=1082 MOE +/- 3.0 percentage points. Virginia Likely Voters: n=596 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents.

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

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NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Tables

Virginia Adults Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bob McDonnell is doing as governor? Approve Row % Virginia Adults Virginia Registered Voters Virginia Likely Voters Party Identification^ Democrat Republican Independent Party Identification* Strong Democrats Soft Democrats Just Independents Soft Republicans Strong Republicans Tea Party Supporters^ Political Ideology^ Very liberal-Liberal Moderate Conservative-Very conservative Affected by Government Shutdown Gender Age Age Yes No Men Women Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Other Region D.C. Suburbs Northern Virginia Exurbs Central/West Richmond/East Tidewater Household Income Education Interview Type Less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Landline Cell Phone 53% 55% 56% 42% 70% 54% 39% 45% 63% 62% 75% 66% 36% 57% 65% 52% 54% 55% 51% 49% 57% 51% 47% 56% 58% 56% 47% 48% 50% 54% 52% 56% 53% 54% 55% 53% 53% 54% 51% Disapprove Row % 31% 32% 34% 43% 19% 34% 46% 41% 20% 26% 16% 27% 52% 34% 20% 32% 30% 31% 31% 27% 34% 23% 30% 36% 32% 31% 31% 28% 33% 30% 38% 29% 25% 30% 30% 30% 32% 35% 25% Unsure Row % 16% 13% 10% 16% 12% 12% 16% 14% 17% 12% 9% 7% 12% 10% 14% 17% 16% 15% 18% 24% 9% 26% 23% 8% 10% 13% 22% 24% 18% 16% 11% 16% 22% 16% 15% 17% 15% 10% 24%

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Adults. Interviews conducted October 13th through October 15th, n=1212 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. ^Virginia Registered Voters: n=1082 MOE +/- 3.0 percentage points. Virginia Likely Voters: n=n=596 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents.

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NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Tables

Virginia Adults Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Bob McDonnell? Favorable Row % Virginia Adults Virginia Registered Voters Virginia Likely Voters Party Identification^ Democrat Republican Independent Party Identification* Strong Democrats Soft Democrats Just Independents Soft Republicans Strong Republicans Tea Party Supporters^ Political Ideology^ Very liberal-Liberal Moderate Conservative-Very conservative Affected by Government Shutdown Gender Age Age Yes No Men Women Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Other Region D.C. Suburbs Northern Virginia Exurbs Central/West Richmond/East Tidewater Household Income Education Interview Type Less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Landline Cell Phone 48% 49% 50% 37% 63% 49% 36% 41% 52% 57% 66% 65% 37% 44% 61% 46% 49% 49% 47% 44% 51% 42% 45% 47% 55% 49% 41% 46% 47% 46% 46% 52% 47% 45% 53% 48% 47% 50% 44% Unfavorable Row % 35% 37% 38% 49% 23% 39% 52% 47% 27% 31% 20% 26% 53% 41% 26% 39% 33% 36% 34% 34% 38% 32% 35% 42% 32% 37% 38% 27% 34% 37% 35% 35% 37% 36% 35% 33% 38% 38% 32% Unsure-Never Heard Row % 17% 14% 12% 14% 14% 12% 13% 12% 20% 12% 14% 9% 10% 16% 13% 15% 18% 15% 19% 23% 12% 26% 20% 10% 13% 14% 21% 27% 19% 18% 19% 14% 16% 18% 12% 19% 15% 12% 24%

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Adults. Interviews conducted October 13th through October 15th, n=1212 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. ^Virginia Registered Voters: n=1082 MOE +/- 3.0 percentage points. Virginia Likely Voters: n=596 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents.

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NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Tables

Virginia Adults All in all, do you think things in Virgina are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel things are off on the wrong track? Right direction Row % Virginia Adults Virginia Registered Voters Virginia Likely Voters Party Identification^ Democrat Republican Independent Party Identification* Strong Democrats Soft Democrats Just Independents Soft Republicans Strong Republicans Tea Party Supporters^ Political Ideology^ Very liberal-Liberal Moderate Conservative-Very conservative Affected by Government Shutdown Gender Age Age Yes No Men Women Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Other Region D.C. Suburbs Northern Virginia Exurbs Central/West Richmond/East Tidewater Household Income Education Interview Type Less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Landline Cell Phone 52% 53% 54% 52% 56% 52% 51% 53% 40% 58% 57% 56% 48% 54% 54% 49% 55% 57% 48% 52% 52% 52% 53% 50% 55% 54% 45% 56% 59% 53% 48% 53% 51% 48% 62% 47% 58% 53% 52% Wrong direction Row % 42% 41% 40% 41% 38% 44% 44% 42% 49% 39% 37% 39% 46% 40% 41% 46% 39% 38% 45% 41% 43% 41% 40% 46% 39% 40% 48% 39% 34% 42% 43% 41% 46% 46% 34% 46% 37% 44% 39% Unsure Row % 6% 6% 6% 7% 6% 4% 6% 5% 11% 3% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 7% 5% 7% 7% 5% 7% 7% 4% 6% 6% 7% 5% 6% 5% 9% 6% 3% 7% 5% 7% 5% 4% 9%

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Adults. Interviews conducted October 13th through October 15th, n=1212 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. ^Virginia Registered Voters: n=1082 MOE +/- 3.0 percentage points. Virginia Likely Voters: n=596 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents.

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

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NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Tables

Virginia Adults Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president? Approve Row % Virginia Adults Virginia Registered Voters Virginia Likely Voters Party Identification^ Democrat Republican Independent Party Identification* Strong Democrats Soft Democrats Just Independents Soft Republicans Strong Republicans Tea Party Supporters^ Political Ideology^ Very liberal-Liberal Moderate Conservative-Very conservative Affected by Government Shutdown Gender Age Age Yes No Men Women Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Other Region D.C. Suburbs Northern Virginia Exurbs Central/West Richmond/East Tidewater Household Income Education Interview Type Less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Landline Cell Phone 45% 45% 46% 86% 8% 38% 94% 65% 25% 10% 7% 10% 80% 49% 18% 49% 42% 41% 48% 42% 47% 43% 41% 47% 47% 35% 79% 47% 56% 41% 36% 46% 46% 46% 44% 41% 49% 45% 45% Disapprove Row % 52% 53% 51% 13% 91% 57% 6% 30% 66% 88% 91% 89% 19% 47% 79% 49% 54% 56% 48% 54% 51% 53% 55% 51% 51% 62% 15% 49% 40% 57% 60% 49% 51% 50% 53% 55% 48% 53% 50% Unsure Row % 4% 3% 3% 1% 2% 5% 0% 5% 9% 2% 2% 1% 1% 4% 2% 3% 4% 3% 4% 4% 2% 4% 5% 2% 3% 3% 6% 3% 4% 1% 4% 5% 3% 4% 3% 4% 3% 3% 5%

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Adults. Interviews conducted October 13th through October 15th, n=1212 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. ^Virginia Registered Voters: n=1082 MOE +/- 3.0 percentage points. Virginia Likely Voters: n=n=596 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents.

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

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NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Tables

Virginia Adults Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Barack Obama? Favorable Row % Virginia Adults Virginia Registered Voters Virginia Likely Voters Party Identification^ Democrat Republican Independent Party Identification* Strong Democrats Soft Democrats Just Independents Soft Republicans Strong Republicans Tea Party Supporters^ Political Ideology^ Very liberal-Liberal Moderate Conservative-Very conservative Affected by Government Shutdown Gender Age Age Yes No Men Women Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Other Region D.C. Suburbs Northern Virginia Exurbs Central/West Richmond/East Tidewater Household Income Education Interview Type Less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Landline Cell Phone 49% 49% 50% 90% 10% 45% 95% 76% 30% 13% 8% 12% 84% 55% 23% 52% 47% 45% 53% 48% 49% 48% 47% 49% 49% 38% 87% 53% 63% 41% 40% 53% 48% 50% 48% 47% 51% 49% 49% Unfavorable Row % 48% 49% 48% 8% 89% 53% 4% 21% 67% 86% 90% 87% 15% 42% 76% 46% 50% 54% 44% 48% 50% 46% 50% 50% 49% 60% 10% 44% 35% 57% 56% 45% 49% 47% 50% 50% 47% 51% 45% Unsure-Never Heard Row % 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 4% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 4% 4% 1% 5% 3% 2% 1% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 4% 3% 2% 3% 2% 1% 5%

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Adults. Interviews conducted October 13th through October 15th, n=1212 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. ^Virginia Registered Voters: n=1082 MOE +/- 3.0 percentage points. Virginia Likely Voters: n=596 MOE +/- 4.0 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *Soft Democrats include registered voters who identify as "not strong Democrats" or Democratic leaning independents. Soft Republicans include those registered voters who identify as "not strong Republicans" or Republican leaning independents.

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

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NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Tables

Virginia Adults Which comes closer to your opinion: The Washington The Washington Redskins should not change the name of Redskins should change the name of their football team their football team because it is part of the team's tradition because it is offensive to native and not intended to be offensive American Indians Row % Virginia Adults Washington Redskins Fans Gender Age Age Men Women Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Other Region D.C. Suburbs Northern Virginia Exurbs Central/West Richmond/East Tidewater Household Income Education Interview Type Less than $75,000 $75,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Landline Cell Phone 21% 20% 22% 20% 19% 22% 18% 21% 22% 22% 18% 30% 22% 36% 22% 13% 16% 21% 18% 27% 14% 29% 22% 19% Row % 73% 78% 72% 75% 76% 71% 77% 75% 71% 71% 77% 61% 75% 59% 72% 81% 76% 75% 77% 69% 80% 66% 73% 74%

Unsure Row % 6% 2% 6% 5% 4% 7% 5% 4% 7% 7% 5% 9% 3% 5% 6% 6% 8% 4% 5% 5% 7% 4% 5% 7%

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll Virginia Adults. Interviews conducted October 13th through October 15th, n=1212 MOE +/- 2.8 percentage points. Virginia Washington Redskins Fans: n=836 MOE +/- 3.4 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Poll

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