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14. a) Explain the different Orientation and Training methods used in industries. b) Estimate the sales forecast for the year 2013, using Exponential Smoothing forecaster. Take = 0.5 and forecast for the year 2008 as 160 x 105 units. Compare the forecast with Least Square method. P.T.O YEAR Sales Rs. (x105) 2008 180 2009 168 Module III 15. a) A company is manufacturing two products A and B. The net profit for these products are Rs 60 and Rs 50 respectively. These products require working in two departments C and D. The available hours per month in these departments are 150 each. Product A requires 2 hours in department C and 3 hours in department D. Product B requires 3 hours in department C and 2 hours in department D. The production of the products A and B cannot exceed 40 units each because of marketability constraints. Formulate the L.P. model and solve it by Simplex method. b) Write the step by step procedure for finding initial basic feasible solution of a transportation problem using Vogels approximation method. 16. a) The following table lists the jobs of a network along with their time estimates. Job i 1 1 2 2 3 4 6 5 7 j 2 6 3 4 5 5 7 8 8 Duration (Days) Optimistic Most Likely Pessimistic 3 6 15 2 5 14 6 12 30 2 5 8 5 11 17 3 6 15 3 9 27 1 4 7 4 19 28 2010 159 2011 170 2012 188
i. Construct the network diagram ii. Find the earliest and latest scheduling times of various activities. iii. Find the Critical path and project duration iv. What is the approximate probability that the jobs on the critical path will be completed in 41 days?
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b) Given below is the time (days) required when a particular programme is assigned to a particular programmer. Programmes 1 2 3 4 A 12 8 11 9 Programmers B C 10 8 9 11 14 12 9 8 D 9 7 10 9
Assign the programmers to the programmes in such a way that the total computing time is least. (3x20=60 marks)
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