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AUDITED This presentation contains forward-looking statements, that is, GROUP RESULTS
statements related to future, not past, events. Like other businesses, AICO is subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause its actual results to differ materially from its projections or that could cause other forward-looking statements to prove incorrect. Reported results should not be considered as an indication of future performance.
CORPORATE PROFILE
Seed Co is Africa's Cottco is the largest Olivine is a dominant,
Zimbabwe-based manufacturer & marketer of fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) largest proprietary seed cotton processor and breeding, production, marketer in subprocessing and Saharan Africa distribution group, operating in 15 countries
Please refer to our Group corporate websites for generic corporate information:-
www.aicoafrica.com
www.thecottoncompany.com www.seedcogroup.co.zw www.olivine.co.zw
AGENDA
OVERVIEW OPERATIONS REVIEW AND OUTLOOK
FINANCIAL REVIEW
DISCUSSION
OVERVIEW
The year under review has not been good Salient Features for the Group Group Revenue Zimbabwean operations performed below expectation Regional economies are stable but flags are coming up in Zambia where economic Group Operating Profit policy changes are adversely affecting business The Malawian economy is moving in the right direction The Eastern African economies are EBITDA promising with the stability that came after the successful holding of elections in Kenya The West African market is risky but full of potential
500
USD million
120.7
162.9
0 FY2009
FY2010
FY2011
225.9
FY2012
293.3
50
USD million
26.9
33.2
38.5
24.2
12.8
FY2009
FY2010
FY2011
FY2012
FY2013
50
USD million
43.8
47.6
33.4
32.7
22.4
FY2009
FY2010
FY2011
FY2012
OPERATIONS REVIEW
FMCG
Olivines performance is improving but still loss making.
Salient Features
Sales volume 12,027 tonnes 2% up on LY Sales Revenue USD24.4 million 27% higher than LY
30 25
Working Capital and liquidity constraints continue to hinder sustainable good performance
Improved soya bean supplies and toll crushing arrangements has resulted in improved margins The Olivine Board together with its shareholders continue to explore avenues of improving the Companys liquidity situation.
Revenue
24.4 18.5 19.2
USD million
20 15
14.9
10 5 0 2.6
FY2009
FY2010
FY2011
FY2012
FY2013
COTTON
Cottco recorded an intake of 150 000 tonnes supported by a high inputs scheme The price impasse experienced resulted in a delayed and compressed buying season resulting in side marketing.
Salient Features
Revenue
200.0 150.0 170.9 138.0 100.0 119.0 78.8 77.8
USD million
50.0
FY2009
FY2010
FY2011
FY2012
FY2013
Revenue
COTTON (Continued)
Current season inputs scheme participants were thoroughly screened.
SEED
Salient Features Lower volume uptake by the Sales Volumes Government and NGOs reduced sales figures in Zimbabwe. 67241 55063 47898 Slower debt payment by 42344 Government affected the business liquidity resulting in higher borrowings. Revenue The Malawi factory is under 117.8 Construction. 97.8 77.0 53.9 Research has delivered some exciting new varieties. Newly acquired breeding Profit before tax technology will lead to faster USD12.4 million product development cycle
80000 60000 40000 20000
Tonnes
59406
FY2009
FY2010
FY2011
FY2012
FY2013
150.0
USD million
100.0
110.6
50.0
FY2009
FY2010
FY2011
FY2012
FY2013
PEOPLE
The Group has retained its key staff. Staff development and training at all levels continue to be the Groups priority.
OUTLOOK
The Group continues to focus on cost containment and right sizing initiatives. We expect a resurgent performance in Seed Co Need to strike a balance on key operating and strategic variables in Cottco
Intake volumes, buying prices, lint prices and input scheme
recoveries
Olivine, performance dependant on funding At Group level, the key issue is to get the balance sheet in shape
Get funding into the SBUs Negotiations with potential partners in progress
FINANCIAL REVIEW
BASIS OF PREPARATION
Accounting policies Consistent with those used in prior year Group financial statements Presentation Financial statements are presented in US$, which is the Groups functional currency Compliance with IAS/IFRS Compliant Audit opinion Clean, with emphasis of matter in respect of going concern issues in Olivine
SALIENT FEATURES
Sales volume: 18% up
Group Revenue
500
USD million
Gross profit: 5% up
USD million
26.9
33.2
38.5 24.2
12.8
0 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013
Group EBITDA
50
USD million
47.6
32.7
FY2012
FY2013
SALES VOLUME
Group Sales Volume
Sales Volumes (000 tonnes)
250.0 200.0 FMCG 12,027 6%
150.0
180.5
5 % 18 %
136.7
100.0
42 %
50.0
-
FY2009
FY2010
FY2011
FY2012
FY2013
Key Issues
High intake volumes in Cotton 45% higher to 150,000 tonnes, Sales 42% higher to 141,838 tonnes Lower sales volumes in Seed - 12% down especially in Zimbabwe 35% down on LY Higher factory throughput in FMCG Though still constrained by working capital challenges
FMCG 11,798 7%
REVENUE
Group Sales Revenue
Sales Revenue (USD million)
350
300
250 200 150 100 50 0
FMCG 24.4 9%
FY2013 Revenue
162.9
120.7
35 %
FY2009 FY2010
39 %
FY2011
FY2012
FY2013
FMCG 19.2 6%
FY2012 Revenue
Spinning 4.5 1%
Sales volumes
Revenue Operating profit Profit before tax Profit after tax EBITDA Attributable earnings EPS (US cents)
213.3
263.9 24.2 (0.5) (2.1) 32.7 (6.7) (1.26)
180.5
293.3 38.5 18.1 15.4 47.6 6.2 1.16
18
(10) (37) (103) (114) (31) (109) (109)
Firm prices during the year But lint prices 45% lower Working capital induced supply chain constraints Higher margins than LY Includes
Total impairment charges
impairments)
MARGINS
Group Cotton Gross margins (%) FY2013 FY2012 36 31 30 21 46 45 13 1 Seed FMCG
FMCG 3.1 3%
Key issues Cotton: cost reduction initiatives bearing fruit Seed: cost management and stable prices FMCG: higher efficiencies/better product mix
Group Cotton Gross profit FY2013 FY2012 Y-o-y growth (%) 94.4 89.9 5% 40.8 36.1 13% 50.9 53.0 3.1 0.3 Seed FMCG
Seed 53 59%
(4%) 1033%
sales
OVERHEADS
Group overheads were USD73.4 m (last year: USD56.7 m)
Group Overheads
80.0 70.0 USD millions 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 48.6 45.0 57.5 56.7 73.4
20.0
10.0 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013
Cotton
Seed
40% 28% 19% 25%
23%
FMCG
FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013
IMPAIRMENT
Cotton Seed PPE Inventories Trade and other receivables Input scheme receivables Total Last Year 1.7 0.5 12.0 14.2 1.8 0.7 3.1 3.8 2.4 FMCG 1.1 0.1 1.2 0.6 Total 0.7 2.8 3.6 12.1 19.2 4.8
INTEREST COST
Group interest costs were USD25.4 m (last year: USD24.4 m)
Group Interest Costs
30.0 25.0 USD million 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013
9.0
Cotton
Seed
12%
10% 8% 7%
12% 11%
8% 4%
FMCG
Seed FMCG
xx
12.8
PBT down 103% Lower profits in Seed and Cotton PAT down 114% Low PBT
Attributable earnings
FY2010
FY2013
PBT
Cotton Seed FMCG Spinning Other
% Cont
34% 130% (32%) (17%) (15%)
% Change
(225%) (47%) 52% n/a 4%
EBITDA
60.0 50.0 40.0 USD millions 33.4 30.0 20.0 10.0 Group 43.8 47.6 32.7
EBITDA Cotton
16.8 (2.7) 17.7 23.7 11.4 29.3 29.8 23.2
% FY2013 FY2012 Change 11.4 23.2 1.2 23.7 29.8 (1.8) (52%) (22%) 167%
Seed
0.1 3.6 (2.2) (1.8) 1.2
22.4
18.2 18.3
FMCG
Cotton FY2011
Seed FY2012
FMCG FY2013
(10.0)
FY2009 FY2010
EBITDA Margin
40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15%
33% 28%
21%
0% FY2009
-3% FY2010
FY2011 -12%
Group
Cotton
Seed
EBITDA softened to USD32.7 m dropped 31% over LY affected by high impairment charges and lower profits in Cotton/Seed Significant improvement in FMCG required Funding, raw material availability and supply chain efficiencies still an issue
USD millions
5.3 (71%) 201.6 (10%) 312.5 124.8 28.0 (8%) (9%) (6%)
Deferred tax assets grew 5% to USD10.1 m Deferred tax liabilities fell 9% to USD24.2 m Total borrowings fell by 9% to USD125.9 million
Total Assets
350.0 300.0 312.5 212.9 224.7 251.7 250.0 200.0 150.0 100.0 50.0 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013
288.3
TOTAL ASSETS
Asset category PPE Inventory Input Schemes Trade receivables Other Total Assets Mar-13 103.3 72.4 10.6 83.3 18.7 288.3 Mar-12 % change 105.0 81.6 29.2 70.2 26.5 312.5 (2%) (11%) (64%) 19% (29%) (8%)
Total Assets by SBU - 2012
FMCG 25 7% Spinning 1 0% Other 1.6 1% FMCG 27 9%
Total assets declined by 8% Spent USD10.9 m in capex Last year: USD17.8 m High inventories and trade receivables Slow debtors payments in Seed SBU Also, high input scheme impairment
BORROWINGS
Borrowings
160.0 140.0 120.0 USD million 11.7 55.0 8.8 48.5 59.7 11.8 51.6 FMCG 7.1 6%
100.0
80.0 60.0 40.0 20.0
66.3
62.5
35.0 FY2009
Short term
Overdrafts
FMCG 7.9 6%
9% lower than LY 91% is cheaper offshore loans High working capital requirements Does not include USD4.9 m of shareholder loans to FMCG
PERFORMANCE STATISTICS
FY2013 FY2012 FY2011
Interest cover (times) Equity/total assets Current ratio Quick ratio Return on total assets Return on equity Return on capital employed 0.96 0.39 1.23 0.61 8% (9%) 17% 1.61 0.40 1.30 0.52 13% 7% 26%
200.0
160.0
140.0
Borrowings vs EBITDA
3.9
137.7 125.9
4.5
4.0 3.5 2.5 2.0 1.5 USD million USD million 3.0
2.9
80.0
60.0 40.0 20.0 1.2
40.5 33.4 57.3 22.4
2.1
47.6
43.8
32.7
1.0 0.5
Gearing going up Interest cover weakening Equity/total assets ratio going down Working capital a concern low quick ratio: high inventory levels Financial returns are volatile Possible undervaluation of counter
180.0
114.6
(4.3)
60.0
FY2013
29.4
(6.7)
113.3
Seed
Raw material supply FMCG Margin improvement Funding and supply chain efficiencies
Group
Harness supply chain based synergies Fund raising and correction of capital structure Reduction of Groupwide debt and gearing levels
THANK YOU
DISCUSSION
28 June 2013