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IMPORTANT NOTICE! No representation is being made t at t e use o! t is strateg" or an" s"stem or trading met odo#og" wi## generate pro!its. Past per!ormance is not necessari#" indicati$e o! !uture resu#ts. T ere is substantia# ris% o! #oss associated wit trading securities and options on e&uities. On#" ris% capita# s ou#d be used to trade. Trading securities is not suitab#e !or e$er"one. 'isc#aimer( )utures* Options* and Currenc" trading a## a$e #arge potentia# rewards* but t e" a#so a$e #arge potentia# ris%. +ou must be aware o! t e ris%s and be wi##ing to accept t em in order to in$est in t ese mar%ets. 'on,t trade wit mone" "ou can,t a!!ord to #ose. T is website is neit er a so#icitation nor an o!!er to -u".Se## !utures* options* or currencies. No representation is being made t at an" account wi## or is #i%e#" to ac ie$e pro!its or #osses simi#ar to t ose discussed on t is web site. T e past per!ormance o! an" trading s"stem or met odo#og" is not necessari#" indicati$e o! !uture resu#ts. C)TC R/0E 1.12 3 H+POTHETICA0 OR SIM/0ATE' PER)ORMANCE RES/0TS HA4E CERTAIN 0IMITATIONS. /N0I5E AN ACT/A0 PER)ORMANCE RECOR'* SIM/0ATE' RES/0TS 'O NOT REPRESENT ACT/A0 TRA'IN6. A0SO* SINCE THE TRA'ES HA4E NOT -EEN E7EC/TE'* THE RES/0TS MA+ HA4E /N'ER8OR8O4ER COMPENSATE' )OR THE IMPACT* I) AN+* O) CERTAIN MAR5ET )ACTORS* S/CH AS 0AC5 O) 0I9/I'IT+. SIM/0ATE' TRA'IN6 PRO6RAMS IN 6ENERA0 ARE A0SO S/-:ECT TO THE )ACT THAT THE+ ARE 'ESI6NE' ;ITH THE -ENE)IT O) HIN'SI6HT. NO REPRESENTATION IS -EIN6 MA'E THAT AN+ ACCO/NT ;I00 OR IS 0I5E0+ TO ACHIE4E PRO)IT OR 0OSSES SIMI0AR TO THOSE SHO;N.
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Warning
We have a lot to
CO4ER
its going to be fun and hopefully profitable
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The S0uee1e
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The S0uee1e
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)ar2as )e4inition
A trading strateg" t at was de$e#oped in 2<=> b" !ormer ba##room dancer Nico#as 'ar$as. 'ar$as? trading tec ni&ue in$o#$ed bu"ing into stoc%s t at were trading at new =@8wee% ig s wit corresponding#" ig $o#umes. In 2<=>* 'ar$as was ab#e to turn an in$estment o! A2B*BBB into A@ mi##ion o$er an 2C8mont period. ; i#e tra$e#ing !or is dancing* 'ar$as wou#d obtain copies o! The Wall Street Journal and Barron's* but e wou#d on#" #oo% at t e stoc% prices to ma%e is decisions. It as been said t at 'ar$as was #ess app" about t e pro!its t at e made t an e was about t e ease and peace o! mind t at e got !rom imp#ementing is s"stem. Source: http://www.investopedia.com
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5ride
My pride did not let me act. The prestige of my theory was at stake. I just kept saying this stock cannot go down any further. I did not know what I learned later, that there is no such thing as cannot in the market. Any stock can do anything.-----Nicolas Darvas
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How it works
Range brea%out S"stem 0ong On#" 0ong Signa# D price o! stoc% eEceeds boE top S ort Signa# D price o! stoc% eEceeds to boE bottom 0ong Stops bottom o! t e current -oE S ort Stops top o! current boE
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Ye!!ow ( 5urp!e
+e##ow means t e Top 2st t en -ottom. Purp#e means -ottom 2st t en Top. +e##ow /p Trend Purp#e down Trend
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T*pes o4 Trades
-rea% outs -rea% Out wit Pu## bac% Re$ersa#s
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T*pes o4 Trades
-rea% outs -rea% Out wit Pu## bac% Re$ersa#s
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The % Horseman
ISR6 /T7 0MT /NP :N: /NH 6S beat rate o! beat rate o! beat rate o! beat rate o! beat rate o! beat rate o! beat rate o! <1F and re$enue beat rate o! <2F <>F and re$enue beat rate o! G>F <>F and re$enue beat rate o! GHF <2F and re$enue beat rate o! >CF <2F and re$enue beat o! >GF <2F and re$enue beat o! >GF C<F and re$enue beat o! G@F
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% Horseman Ru!es
)ind earing date -u" it @81 wee% out P#ace stop use ATR !or stop Se## 28@ da"s be!ore earnings or on earing da" I! "ou Ho#d t roug earnings a$e t e cus ion
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The 7ther #
:PM E-A+ '' AAP0 COP P6 O7+ beat rate o! C@F and re$enue beat rate o! >BF beat rate o! C>F and re$enue beat rate o! <HF beat rate o! C@F and re$enue beat rate o! >@F beat rate o! C1F and re$enue beat rate o! GCF beat rate o! CBF and re$enue beat o! =BF beat rate o! C@F and re$enue beat o! =HF beat rate o! CBF and re$enue beat o! GHF
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Ru!es
)ind earing date -u" it @81 wee%s be!ore earnings P#ace stop use ATR !or stop Se## 28@ da"s be!ore earnings or on earing da" I! "ou Ho#d t roug earnings a$e t e cus ion
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Aaps ( Earnings
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Aaps
I! it ain,t -ro%e don,t !iE it
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This is mportant
On a$erage G>F o! a## gaps c#ose at some point during t e same 'a". ; at does t is mean.
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2pts @pts Hpts 1pts =pts >pts Gpts 8pts 9pts 10pts 11pts 12pts
<HF <BF C@F C>F >BF GGF G2F 54% 55% 40% 45% 0%
2Hpts
@1pts
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:mbush
How to bu" on a pu## bac% =BF8>2.CF
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!9
80
81
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TradeT eMar%ets.com
9!
Ao!d Spec
6o#d ComeE 6C .B2* A2B* 2BBoI 6*:*M*9*4*S )ebruar"* Apri#* :une* August* October* and 'ecember Ta#% about Ro## O$er
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98
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99
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10*
http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/metals/precious/gold_quotes_settlements_futures.html
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104
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Ao!d @e2er
Ao!d @e2er ntrada* ( 72ernight .aution its ca!!ed Ao!d @e2er 4or a reason Think Ao!d Rush past '/$'# points )ai!* trend is not a 4i!ter but does he!p 9p or down '/ @rom the ':B0 5& EST 4 order 4!ow is there to support *ou go !ong with a tight stop o4 './ $ B points 7pen target donHt !ook awa* cou!d be a 4ast trade Sweet spot is B$ '0 points or './$2I :TR The high and !ow are ca!cu!ated 4rom the ;:00 5& EST 7pen
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Ao!d +ug
ntrada* or o2er night but ntrada* works better Trade in )irection o4 da* Trend Ao!d up or done B 4i!ter 9se 2a!ue .hart 4or entr* and e3it Stop './ $ B points +u* $# se!! G" or G# Se!! $# .o2er G " or G#
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Limit &o2e
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Bond Basics
&onths Time .aution S*mbo!s Tick 8a!ues )7&E &argins +ond 'st hour Trading Ru!es
Bond Months
H, &, 9, L H &arch & June 9 Sep L )ec
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Caution
nterest Rates :n* 7ther &aNor Econ <ews Econoday.com
Tick Values
B0 +ond '0 <ote / <ote Tick 2 <ote B'.2/ ' pit tick '/.;2/ O pit Tick %.#' P pit '/.;2/ O pit tick
Intrada" Ca## +our -ro%er -ut cou#d be as #ow as AHBB82BBB per Car -ut 'on,t recommend
Sneak Attack
Take the Range 4or the 4irst Hour %:20$#:20 am EST Range &ust be D or Less than 8a!ueQIR +u* ' tick high Se!! ' tick Low Target is the Range Stop is QYR
30 year bond
'6B2 D EB'.2/ '"B$'"B '6B2 D B'.2/ '% ticks or !ess +u* ' tick high or se!! ' tick !ow Stop " or / ticks Target is the 'st hour Range E3amp!e '/ tick range " tick stop '/ tick target
10 year note
131-131.5 = $15.62 131-132 = 31.25 7 ticks or less Buy 1 tick high or sell 1 tick low Stop 2 - 2.5 pit ticks (4 Ticks on Screen) Target is the 1st hour Range Example 5 tick range 2 tick stop (4 Ticks on Screen) 5 tick target
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