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Instructions for using this work book This work book is structured in four worksheets 1.1. Instructions 1.2. Financial Analysis 1.3. MyCRA rating sheet 1.4. Rating Definition Please do not alter the formulae in any of the worsheet cells. This not a fully developed rating model. This is created only to illustrate the credit rating process for the students. 2.1 In financial analysis worksheet all cells with O as value or which have been darkened, have formulae and should not be overwritten. 2.2 In the MyCRA worksheet coloured cells have formulae and should not be overwritten. Complete financial analysis using the "Financial Analysis" sheet Refer to MyCRA Manual for detailed instructions on rating scores Refer to Rating Definition sheet to assign the letter grade In the comments cell mention its meaning from rating definition Remember this rating does not factor in discussions with management, which can lead to reassessment of scores and change in rating Credit ratings suffer from many limitations but are still found to be very useful in taking credit decisions if the limitations are kept in your mind while taking the credit decisions. Real test of any rating is seen only over years on the basis of rating stability and sensitivity to changes in fortunes. But a well thought out system gives fair indication of probability of default of a borrower.
Financial Analysis
FINANCIAL YEARS XYZ Ltd. CURRENT ASSETS Stocks - Raw Material - Work-in Progress - Finished Goods -Spares etc.
YEAR 0 2012
Projections 2013
Total - Stocks
Debtors - Trade Debtors - Bills Receivable
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Total - Debtors
Cash & Bank Balances Investments - Marketable Other Current Assets
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
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Financial Analysis
Page 5
Financial Analysis
Net Working Assets Total Cash Assets Net Cash Assets Net Current Assets
Page 6
Financial Analysis
Land & Buildings Plant & Machinery Motor Vehicles Furniture & Fixtures Investments - Subsidiary & Group Companies Other Fixed Assets Total - Fixed Assets
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
LONG TERM LIABILITIES Term Loans - Rupee Loans 1 to 3 years From Fand R) 3 to 5 years From GSFC Over 5 years Int free from DIC - Foreign Currency Loans(in INR)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
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Financial Analysis
SHAREHOLDERS FUNDS Equity Share Capital Preference Share Capital Reserves - General Reserve - Capital Reserve - Share Premium - Profit & Loss Account - Revaluation - Others P & L A/c
Total - Reserves
Intangibles - Goodwill - Preliminary Expenses Not Written Off - Others P & L A/c
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
Page 8
Financial Analysis
PROFIT AND LOSS STATEMENT Sales (Net of Excise Duty) Cost of Sales (Manufacturing Costs)
Gross Profit
Selling and Admn. Expenses Depreciation
0.000
Operating Profit
Interest Cost Other Income Non-Operating Expenses Profit / (loss) from Sale of F.Asset Income from Investments - Profit / (Loss) on Sale of Invts - Interest / Dividend Income
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
Page 9
Financial Analysis
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
Total - Appropriations
Page 10
Financial Analysis
Gross Profit / Sales Operating Profit / Sales PBT/ Sales PAT/ Sales Retained Profit / PAT Return on Capital Employed Return on Equity 2. Capital Structure Debt / Equity Total Liability / Net Worth PBIT / Interest Expense(Intr. cover)
Free cashflow from operations to total debt(PAT+Depreciation+Dividend+net CA of last year - Net CA of current years)/TL+ Bank Borrowings+Loan inst due in current year) Operating Income(PBDIT) to ST Borrowings
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Financial Analysis
Stock Days Debtor Days Creditor Days 4. Stability Ratios Current Ratio Acid Test Ratio 5. Break-Even Analysis Sales Variable Costs Contribution Margin (In %age) Fixed Costs Break-Even Point Operating Leverage Financial Leverage 6. Efficiency Ratios
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Financial Analysis
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DETAILS OF FIXED ASSETS Land and Building Gross Block Accumulated Depreciation
Net Block
Plant and Machinery Gross Block Accumulated Depreciation
0.00
Net Block
Furniture and Fixtures Gross Block Accumulated Depreciation
0.00
Net Block
Vehicles Gross Block Accumulated Depreciation
0.00
Net Block
Other Fixed Assets Gross Block Accumulated Depreciation
0.00
Net Block
0.00
Page 13
Financial Analysis
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
Profit after Tax add: Depreciation add: Non-Cash Expenses Wr. Off
Increase in Share Capital
0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0
- Term Loans - Debentures - Other Long Term Debt Decrease in Working Capital
Sale of Fixed Assets
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
Decrease in Invt. in Group Subs Co. Total - Sources of Funds Application of Funds Purchase of Fixed Assets Decrease in Long Term Liabilities - Term Loans - Debentures - Other Long Term Debt Redemption of Preference Capital Increase in Working Capital
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
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Financial Analysis
Page 15
Financial Analysis
Increase in Invt. in Group Subs. Co. Total - Application of Funds Diff of Source - Appl. CASH FLOW STATEMENT PBIT add: Depreciation add: Non-Cash Exp. written-off (Profit)/Loss on Sale of F.Assets Gross Cash Flow from Operation 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
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Financial Analysis
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Financial Analysis
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Financial Analysis
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Financial Analysis
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Financial Analysis
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Financial Analysis
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Financial Analysis
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Financial Analysis
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Financial Analysis
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Financial Analysis
#DIV/0! #DIV/0!
0.00 0.00
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Financial Analysis
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Financial Analysis
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Financial Analysis
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MyCRA
Name of the assessee Company XYZ Ltd. Group to which it belongs ABC Group Audited financials used for rating assessment Scoring Scale
1 1.1 1.1.1 1.1.2 1.1.3 1.2 1.2.1 1.2.2 1.3 1.3.1 1.4 1.4.1 1.4.2 1.4.3 2 2.1 2.1.1 2.1.2 2.1.3 2.1.4 2.1.5 2.1.6 2.1.7 2.1.8 21..9 2.2 2.2.1 2.2.2 2.2.3 2.2.4 2.2.5 2.2.6 2.2.7 2.3 2.3.1
Weight 25
10
5 2 3
Credibility
Ability to meet sales projections Ability to meet profit projections
5
2 3
Payment Record
Market reputation on meeting all obligation without fail
5
5
Other Factors
Management Proactiveness Strategic Initiatives Group Support
5
2 1 2
Financial Risk
EFP (Expected Financial Performance)
ROCE - EFP Operating Margin EFP Interest Coverage Total Outside Liabilities/Total Net Worth - EFP Operating Income/Short Term Borrowings Current Ratio DSCR - EFP Accounting Quality - EFP Free cashflow from operations/Total debt
40
20
4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
30
5 5 4 4 4 4 4
Financial Flexibility
Ability to raise Capital
5
5
Page 30
MyCRA
Business Risk
Operating Efficiency
Integration of operations Capacity utilisation Access to cost effective technology Bargaining power with suppliers
20
10
3 2 3 2
Market Position
Consistency of quality Customisation of Product Diversification of markets
10
3 2 3
3.2.4 4 4.1
Industry Risk
Choose appropriate score
15
15
5 Overall Score
6 Letter Grade assigned to the company
* **
*** ****
Refer to Rating Definition sheet to assign the letter grade In the comments cell mention its meaning Refer to MyCRA Manual for detailed instructions on rating Complete financial analysis using the "Financial Analysis" sheet Pick up appropriate industry rating score from the list below Score Auto Auto Ancillary Capital goods & gen engg Cement & non-metallic products Chemicals Construction & Real estate Consumer durables FMCG Food Processing Hotels Metals & minerals NBFC Others Paper & stationery Petroleum
Page 31
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
MyCRA
16 17 18 19 20 21
Page 32
MyCRA
Score level
0.00
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
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0.00
Page 33
MyCRA
0.00
0.00
0.00
4.00 4.00
4.00
#DIV/0!
A
Page 34
MyCRA
Page 35
MyCRA
Page 36
MyCRA
Investment Grade
Page 37
Rating Definition
Grade
Grade I
Very High
Grade II
High
Page 38
Rating Definition
Comments
Range of score From The fundamentally strong debt servicing capacity of such companies is most unlikely to be adversely affected by changes in circumstances. Adverse business conditions are unlikely to affect debt servicing capacity. Such companies differ in safety from those in Grade I only marginally. Changes in circumstances are more likely to affect debt servicing capacity than for higher grades. Debt servicing capacity could weaken in view of changing circumstances While such companies are less susceptible to default than those in lower grades, uncertainties faced by them could adversely affect debt servicing capacity. Uncertainties faced by issuer could lead to inadequate capacity to make timely debt repayments Debt servicing capacity is highly vulnerable to adverse changes in circumstances. Adverse business or economic conditions are likely to lead to lack of ability or willingness to service debt obligations. Timely payment of debt would continue only if favourable circumstances continue Debt servicing capacity is in default and returns from this may be realised only on reorganisation or liquidation To
5.5
<=6
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Rating Definition
Letter Grade
Rating Type Investment Grade Investment Grade Investment Grade Investment Grade Investment Grade Speculative Grade Speculative Grade Speculative Grade Speculative Grade Default Grade
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