12/7/13

Dimitri Soudas and Stephen Harpers future - Capital Read, Inkless Wells, Uncategorized - Macleans.ca

Inkless Wells

Paul Wells on all the latest out of Ottawa. Follow Paul on Twitter: @InklessPW On Oct. 22, Random House Canada will publish his book, The Longer Im Prime Minister.
Cat egories: Capit al Read, Inkless Wells, Uncat egorized

Dimitri Soudas and Stephen Harpers future

by Paul Wells on Saturday , December 7 , 201 3 1 1 :45am - 43 Comments

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OTTAWA Jean Chretien, the Prime Minister, sent y et another signal y esterday that he intends to lead the Liberals into the nex t election by announcing the formation of the party s campaign committee. Mr. Chretien had been ex pected to announce the committee on Friday , at the party s biennial conv ention, but did so y esterday instead, a day after three Liberal backbenchers said their constituents want him to retire before the nex t election. The electoral team will be co-chaired by Dav id Smith, a prominent Ontario Liberal organizer, and Claudette Bradshaw, the Labour Minister who represents the New Brunswick riding of MonctonRiv erv iew-Dieppe. John Rae, a senior ex ecutiv e of Montreal-based Power Corp. and one of the prime ministers closest friends, will act as the national co-ordinator, while Gordon Ashworth, a former chief of staff to Dav id Peterson, the former Ontario premier, will direct the campaign. National Post, Wednesday , March 1 5, 2000 Welcome back, then, to Dimitri Soudas, who guided the communications for Canadas Oly mpic effort almost all
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the way to the Oly mpics, then announced he was launching his own PR firm a day before the PMO announced his appointment as Conserv ativ e Party ex ecutiv e director. Just as in 2000, one gets the impression that things hav e been hurried a bit, and for the same reason: unhelpful speculation about the leaders longev ity . The simple fact that Soudass appointment was publicly announced (by the PMs spox Jason MacDonald on Twitter) is a nov elty : if y ou dont know whom Soudas is replacing, y oure hardly alone. The answer is Dan Hilton, sort of: Hilton, who had been ex ecutiv e director of the party since 2009, was sent home with lov e in October, after a new election-readiness database called C-V ote imploded under the weight of its own, uh, cumbersome-osity . It fell to Dav e Forestell, former chief of staff to Joe Oliv er, lately a floater at party HQ (Senior Adv isor to the Leader at Conserv ativ e Party of Canada), and finally , acting ex ecutiv e director of the party , to announce takebacks on C-V ote. None of that was announced to reporters, although reporters hav e been able to piece much of it together. It has obv iously been a chaotic y ear in the Conserv ativ e Party as well as at PMO. Hilton, incidentally , knew about Nigel Wrights pay ment to Mike Duffy before the rest of the country did: after Wright told Irv ing Gerstein, Gerstein told Hilton. None of them, we are told, told Stephen Harper. This may help ex plain why Bob Fife and John Iv ison were told that Harper had personally interv ened to get Soudas back in Ottawa: it helps spread the joy ful news that sometimes, when things happen in Ottawa, Stephen Harper actually knows about them. Soudas will be busy : after y ears of effort and millions of dollars spent, the Conserv ativ es dont hav e the updated and functional database they wanted; they hav e 338 candidates to nominate; and they are not sure what their message for an election is supposed to be. There was speculation that Soudass arriv al signals the possibility of a snap spring election (the Harper-departure narrativ e has already v anished down the memory hole), but the party has a stunning amount of heav y lifting to do before it will be able to snap much of any thing. I hav e nev er been willing to bet that Harper would wait until October 201 5 for an election, no matter what the nev er-obey ed fix ed election date law might say ; my belief that he could well jump the gun play ed a big role in deciding when to publish my book about him. But neither does he seem to be in any shape to call an election in the nex t few months. Hav ing said that, before the Conserv ativ es opponents start to moonwalk and high-fiv e in celebration of the party s disarray , they should remind themselv es that in the summer of 2005, the party HQ was in a similar mess. Thats when Ian Brodie and Doug Finley swapped places at the leaders office and the party HQ, and six months later, Stephen Harper had defeated Paul Martin. T ags: Dan Hilton, Dav e Forestell, dimitri soudas, Maclean's Politics, Stephen Harper
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Oldest Community neurot ic dog 6
4 hours ago

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That trite old analogy to the rearranging of deck chairs comes to mind.
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root c anal

3 hours ago

In 2008, and 2011, the liberals brought back the old blood from the past to resuscitate its brand , and look what happened to them. Now the liberals can say, we are the new and improved liberal party, from the top down, from the executive to the leader to even new MPs, with a small mix from the past, the other guys just seem to love the hits from the past, always stepping back to try and move ahead.
4 1
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V ort er Jac k s on

3 hours ago

With all the corrupting going on in Ottawa I guess the Conservatives feel there's little need for pretense. Soudas was their chief operative for electioneering, vote fixing and anything else sort of illegal.
14 1
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ferret hous e

Vorter Jackson 2 hours ago

All the corruption? Some senators claimed too much in expenses totaling about $250,000. Hardly worthy of the moniker "scandal". Liberal mayor Fontana in London stole $8 million from charity. Now THAT is corruption!!!
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J. W . 3

ferrethouse 2 hours ago

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Is that true? 8 million? Stole? Fontana?

k c m2

J. W. 2 hours ago

I don't think the trial has happened yet, so there's the inconvenient fact of the burden of proof being on the state, innocent until proven guilty, all that sort of stuff...the kind of thing that doesn't matter to a true partisan...not much of a ferret
6 s _c _f 1 3 1
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J. W. 2 hours ago
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3/14

Yes, it's true. Fontana is also a former federal Liberal MP.

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appaulled

s_c_f 36 minutes ago

You say it is a fact, then please present your evidence. Thought so. You have none.
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S ean 1 S ean

appaulled 35 minutes ago

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http://www.sunnewsnetwork.ca/s...

Sean 30 minutes ago

to be fair, Fontana has only been directly implicated in 41K of that amount so far, but $1 is too much, and being part of a fraudulent group doesn't lessen culpability
1 appaulled
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Sean 18 minutes ago

Sun news network is your proof? LOLOLOLOL. Next you will quote Fox. Then what? National Enquirer? I read the article you sent but again it offered no evidence so I await YOUR evidence to back up YOUR claim.
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S ean

appaulled 3 minutes ago

It was the first link I found. "With respect to the Canadians Care promoted donation arrangement, the Organization issued tax receipts exceeding $7.8 million for leveraged cash contributions. The Organization invested over $7 million into investments held by corporations related to its directors." http://news.gc.ca/web/article-... If you think I rely on fluff sources, then you don't know me very well. EDIT: $10 sez appaulled doesn't have the guts to come back and admit he looks pretty dumb right now
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john g

J. W. an hour ago

That is the finding of the auditors. Imagine that. This story describes a sitting mayor and former Liberal MP of a large Canadian city is suspected of essentially embezzling $8M from a charity. It's from May 2013 and unless you read Sun Media you've never heard of it. Really gives you a warm fuzzy feeling about when the federal
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heard of it. Really gives you a warm fuzzy feeling about when the federal Liberals are returned to power doesn't it? Enjoy your Rob Ford stories.
1 Nit e_Owl
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john g 35 minutes ago

Enjoy your drunken crack-head street thug.

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appaulled

john g 30 minutes ago

Key word John, " suspected". As in I suspect you are a Conservative troll. I do not know that but you might be.....maybe not, but it looks like it to me.
1 S ean
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appaulled 20 minutes ago

John isn't a conservative, per se. He's got a serious bug up his arse about the media, which has begun to colour his assessment of issues a bit, IMO, but he's generally one to abhor BS and dishonour from any party.
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appaulled

ferrethouse 33 minutes ago

You do not think the senate matter is a scandal? Really? Is the Rob Ford story also just a side show. Millions of voters disagree with you!
3 rfaris

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3 hours ago

A snap election- when? The Ontario and Quebec provincial elections will likely be held in the spring of 2014.: so a federal in the summer or fall of 2014 at the earliest? A snap election will mean that Junior will be without any of the promised policies for 2015! LOL. And his BC and Nova Scotia Liberal gov'ts will continue to be increasingly unpopular brands. A snap election will leave it to the two heavy weights Harper and Tom Mulcair ready for the exhausting multi-month event -- and Junior rapidly writing his scripts: unless it is going to be another of those disastrous Justin "unplugged" events! Bringing back Soudas provides flashbacks of Robocalls and Montreal port authority corruption: but Harper - and his massive PMO - may think he will have no choice but to run his dirtiest campaign yet.
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S k ut erTras h

rfaris 3 hours ago

Whatever. Harper announced his policy how close to the last election? On a two page pamphlet I believe. Your disdain for Trudeau is not going to prevent his election.
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ex c it y boy

SkuterTrash 3 hours ago

I was going to say along the same line.. As for Soudas, well that will be another nail in Harper and the Conservative coffin.
13 ron
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SkuterTrash an hour ago

An unscripted Justin will walk into every cow pie in the field. His flip-flop on the long gun registry, his support for the export of oilresources and potential value-added jobs via the XL pipeline, and his admiration for a Chinese administration that puts workers in forced labour camps or prison for trying to organize free trade unions is appalling. Junior, himself, will prevent his election while an experienced, accomplished and able parliamentarian like Tom Mulcair will impress even more Canadians in the coming months with his emphasis on sound administration and policies - neither of which Justin has any experience in.
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jovis s

ron an hour ago

You forgot to mention his hair and that his mother had done some drugs at one time. Get with the talking points ffs.
3 k c m2
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rfaris 2 hours ago

You mean the same way an incompetently run ndp campaign in BC will hang around the federal parties neck? Actually that is more plausible since there are strong links between the parties - not so much with the BC libs and the LPC. Besides, calling the BC libs an increasingly unpopular brand is quite a reach. To the degree it matters at all, the party that's been getting the most of a butt kicking in recent days, both federally and provincially, is yours.
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ron

kcm2 an hour ago

If you live in BC you would know that Premier Photo-Op and her crew are directly and historically associated with the federal Liberals - and that with every recent move to increase ferry fares and decrease service, impose massive hydro tax hikes, and now to rank first in child poverty in Canada is losing her support - big time.
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s t ampeder

ron an hour ago

The BC Liberals www2.macleans.ca/2013/12/07/dimitri-soudas-and-stephen-harpers-future/

are a semi-brokerage party in that they include all the right 6/14

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The BC Liberals are a semi-brokerage party in that they include all the right wing partisans they can find into their supposedly centrist big tent. Any attempts to split off the true right into their own party or parties from the Liberal centre have been crushed. So, unlike the Saskatchewan and Wildrose Parties, BC will continue on with the Liberal-vs-NDP schema and no true right. Anyway, back on topic, the PMO is against its own party members.
1 jovis s 1
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stampeder an hour ago

"centrist big tent"?? Crustys BC "Liberals" are probably farther right than Dear Leaders ReformaCons!
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k c m2

ron an hour ago

Wrong!It's pretty widely known fact that the bc libs are a coalition of libs and cons.[ which explains a lot] The ties to the LPC has never been formal. There are almost as many ties to the CPC. Chretien and Campbell did not see eye to eye, and i doubt JT and Clark do either.[ i certainly hope not. I'm not a fan of Clark] You have a point, those events are not likely to make her any more popular, but if you're trying to hang that around JT's neck you're out to lunch on that one.
1 jovis s
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ron 34 minutes ago

"If you live in BC you would know that Premier Photo-Op and her crew are directly and historically associated with the federal Liberals" I have lived here all my life and can tell you that Crusty is no Liberal and either was her predecessor DUI Campbell who Dear Leader gave the gravy job in England to. They are as close to Harper and his ReformaCons as can be in their falling over each other in their gifts to Corporate Canada, whom they are both wholly owned subsidiaries of.
1 jovis s
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rfaris an hour ago

"And his BC and Nova Scotia Liberal gov'ts will continue to be increasingly unpopular brands" If you think for a moment that the B.C. Liberals are Liberals and not ReformaCons you either are not from B.C., have your head up your azz or both.
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k c m2 joviss 38 minutes www2.macleans.ca/2013/12/07/dimitri-soudas-and-stephen-harpers-future/

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k c m2

joviss 38 minutes ago

That's going too far.[ and i never liked the bc libs when i lived there in the 90s] Joyce Murray[ LPC] who's hardly a reformCon, served as environment minister at the time. But that party has far too many cons. I wish they had split off last time out so that BC politics might be a little less polarized.
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appaulled

rfaris 26 minutes ago

Do not worry, the Liberals will be ready. It will be a three way slugfest and my guess is a minority outcome.
1 K evin Milligan

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2 hours ago

A note on election timing. The 'fixed' election date is October 19, 2015. Budgets are typically released in late February. The timing is interesting. Here's why. Stephen Gordon, among others, has been quite skeptical about the feasibility of a balanced budget, given current trends. My own view is that the political advantages of announcing a balanced budget are so immense that I strongly expect the FinMin to announce a forward-looking balanced budget for 2015-16 on that cold February day in 2015. The only question in my mind is how much stretching of reality will be required to do so. If Stephen is right (and I have no reason to doubt his maths), it might require a lot of stretching. (By stretching, I mean things like asset sales, juiced revenue estimates, a dogged determination to squeeze out 'efficiencies' that were hiding in the corner, unnoticed over the previous 8 budgets, etc. Every government does this. Every economist winces. The question is the degree of wincing that will be induced, and whether that leads to widespread credibility-of-plan challenges.) Which brings us to the interesting part. We will have 6.5 months of the fiscal year behind us as we hit October 19th, 2015. If the February 2015 budget was put together with duct tape and crossed-fingers, it will be apparent in the data we will have in October 2015 from things like the Fiscal Monitor http://www.fin.gc.ca/pub/fm-rf.... Fiscal fudgeries, if a feature of the budget in February, will be hard to hide come October. What does this mean? I suggest that, to the extent budget reality stretching is necessary in February, an election on a post-budget 'high' (however full of helium that balloon may be) is likely preferable for the government compared to waiting around until October when the pin of reality may have pricked some of the budget predictions.
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Cawm

Kevin Milligan an hour ago

You make a lot of sense. But I don`t think it really matters if the government is showing a balanced budget for Spring 2015 or 2016. As long as the deficit curve is heading in the right direction, Harper
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will win easily. Now if voters thought that the NDP would not be devastating for the economy or if the Liberals had an adult in charge who was capable of critiquing the Conservative numbers and showing that he was the man who would do a better job of managing the country, then Harper would have something to worry about. But with the Liberals gambling on winning an election with the fluff factor, Harper will be PM as long as he wants to be.
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k c m2

Cawm 5 minutes ago

Do you really imagine the Liberals will go into the election merely on a "fluff factor"? Whatever you may think of JT, his team isn't a bunch of airheads and the party is able to call on considerable expertise from the academic polical and economic sector. Doesn't mean they might get it wrong, but you're basically whistling as you scurry by the graveyard. That bell you hears id likely tolling for you and your party.
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k c m2

2 hours ago

Maybe they can re-purpose all that C vote junk toward developing a winning personality for Harper? Along with soft ware that catches the involuntary lying and the:" it's not my job to know that stuff", reflex. Rumour is the early attempts have been a disappointment due To Harper's refusal to acknowledge to anyone that there is a problem. Soudas wont fix that.
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s ardonic us 3

kcm2 2 hours ago

Isn't that great. Stephen is his own worst enemy.

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k c m2

sardonicus 2 hours ago

I think he always has been. I'm only part way into Well's book, but i wouldn't be at all surprised if that isn't his conclusion too.
3 J. W .
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kcm2 2 hours ago

So far the smear attacks against Trudeau have been weak, amateurish and ineffective. Big changes coming there. What will be the theme, language, and overall look? Truth and facts don't matter. And will the election cheating blossom under Dimitri, or might he decide it's not worth the rewards and pull back?
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k c m2

J. W. an hour ago

Your opinion is as good as mine, but if i had to guess they'll just go for it. It doesn't look like JT will self implode in a major way and there isn't a lot of upside for Harper to reach for - nothing in the cupboard. He's never bothered to build trust across the board with the public, he didn't care about non Cons sorta thing, so why should we reciprocate now? His only option surely is to bring down others to a point they are trusted even less then he is; which is pretty much been his mo from the start. As Coyne likes to say, these are his principles, don't expect change, just more of the same. Soudas is likely simply more competent in that regard.
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J. W .

kcm2 an hour ago

The Ottawa press would know the answer to this, but I guess there's not much dirt in the Trudeau closet. But Soudas will need more than a revision of the Dion/Ignatieff campaigns. Looks like cruel and vicious times ahead. Would they use Margaret?
2 s ardonic us

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an hour ago

The PMO is like a septic tank that's never been emptied. And now it's just become even more redolent of sewage effluent. Happy as rats in the shitter.
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s t ampeder

an hour ago

Proof that the PMO cannot abide any dissention within party ranks, Dimitri Soudas has dropped back into the PMO effective immediately. After all, if you need to circle the wagons and fight*, you want someone who shoots first and asks questions later, so Soudas now leads the peparations for war against Chong's bill. Unelected and unencumbered by any concerns of constituents, local riding associations, or the nice folks in the coffee shops, Legion halls, or main streets across the country, Soudas has a job to do and it is not going to involve accomodation or mutual agreement. So, there you have the state of PMO thinking: confront and fight their own party's grass roots rank & file membership with the biggest whip they can find. * This is not about an impending Federal election. This is war in the trenches of the Conservative Party.
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k c m2

stampeder 27 minutes ago

So who's leading [or going to] the fight the other way? Kenney? Brad form SK or even Prentice? Does the bill really have a champion in the party? Not to wish the CPC well, but a switch to either Brad[ brain cramp, what's his name?That doesn't bode well] or Prentice might even get them back in with a certain amount of www2.macleans.ca/2013/12/07/dimitri-soudas-and-stephen-harpers-future/ 10/14

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doesn't bode well] or Prentice might even get them back in with a certain amount of remorse + incompetence from JT and Tom. But that would put the socons and true Conservatives back on the shelf - never going to happen, sadly
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S ean

36 minutes ago

How could Harper call a snap election - against his own law, and with no obvious reason to require a new mandate - and defend that decision? I'm not being cute or rhetorical here - it seems like poliitical suicide to me.
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k c m2

Sean 17 minutes ago

Look at the alternative - a kid with curls, who'll take us back to the bad olde days of his pappa; or angry bearded Tom, who's a secret commie with a French passport and can you really trust a guy who doesn't shave. And the world keeps on lap,lap, lapping at our shores. We need a skipper who's been there before. One who combs his hair with a concrete trowel and shaves with the sharp left overs of his press spokesman. Seriously, i don't know how he'd do it...beyond warning of the dire consequences of anyone but him tilling the ship. Oh, and by the way, i balanced the books and i got lots left over for bribes, er tax breaks for you all.
1
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S ean

kcm2 11 minutes ago

He still needs a crisis. Maybe he could claim that the Senate issue has crippled parliament and his ability to get anything done, or maybe use Senate reform as something that needs to be fast tracked via voter mandate? Or, like you suggest, he just counts on the Rovian strategy working one more time.
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DDon

10 minutes ago

Internal PC infighting could bring on an early election. The leader says, "We all hang together or we all hang separately". If the dissenters keep on annoying him...he calls an election and dissenters find that the party resources are directed elsewhere! If the Libs think this helps them...think again. A new leader who needs more experience...and a leash...can talk himself out of the running very quickly. And if he thinks he can win on the Pot issue...the PC's will just play back what both he and his mother said about Pot, mental health and brain cells! JuniorT is easy for the PC's to frame as immature and inexperienced...because he is.
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Mik e514

a minute ago

Crazy thought, but perhaps Harper is changing his style? Being a bit more conciliatory? I base this on only one fact : That he's invited all living former PMs to Mandela's funeral. I would imagine he'd want to be anywhere else than in the same plane for several hours as Chrtien or Clark (and I guess Turner to a lesser extent). www2.macleans.ca/2013/12/07/dimitri-soudas-and-stephen-harpers-future/ 11/14

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I guess Turner to a lesser extent). I know, it's crazy, but anything's possible...
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