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Jolly for Congress Campaign Team Jim McLaughlin Latest Survey Findings January 20, 2014
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Survey Summary: After winning the Republican Primary in Floridas 13 Congressional District David Jolly is well-

positioned in the special election and clearly has momentum. Jolly currently leads Democrat Alex Sink by 5 points, 43% to 38%, with 4% supporting the Libertarian candidate, Lucas Overby, and another 15% undecided. Illustrating the strength of Jollys candidacy, he currently leads among voters who had formed an opinion of both Jolly and Sink, Jollys lead increases significantly to a 21 point advantage, 58% to 37%, with 1% for Overby and 5% undecided.
Q: If the election were held today, which one of the following best describes how you would vote in the special election for U.S. Congress between Alex Sink, the Democratic candidate, David Jolly, the Republican candidate or Lucas Overby, the Liberatarian candidate?

Special General Election Ballot: FL - U.S. House of Representatives 13th District David Jolly(R) Alex Sink(D) Lucas Overby(L) Undecided 43% 38% 4% 15%
President Obama is clearly hurting the Sink campaign as his disapproval rating within the district is at 57%, with the intensity focused on strongly disapprove at 46%. Furthermore, a majority of ticket-splitters, 53%, disapprove of the Presidents job performance. When voters were asked, Who you prefer to represent you in Congress? A Democratic Congressman who will help President Obama pass his agenda OR a Republican Congressman who will be a check and balance to President Obama , the majority, 52% of voters, want a Republican Congressman who will be a check and balance on President Obama as opposed to only 37% who want a Democratic Congressman who will help the President.
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Bottom Line: This survey confirms the publicly-released St. Pete Polls survey from Jan. 15 that showed David Jolly in the

lead after his GOP primary victory. The fundamentals in this survey favor a Jolly win, leaving the Democrats with one option: trying to buy this race with big money from Washington and outside groups. The Jolly Campaign can expect an onslaught of negative attacks from the Sink Campaign and her liberal, Democrat special interest allies. With the necessary resources, considering David Jollys lead, he should be in good shape for the special election.
Methodology: This survey of 400 likely special general election voters in Floridas 13 Congressional District was conducted from January 16 to th 19 , 2014. All interviews were conducted via telephone by professional interviewers. Interview selection was random within predetermined election units. To increase coverage, this sample was supplemented with 136 interviews of cell-phone users. These samples were then combined and structured to correlate with actual voter turnout in a special general election. This survey of 400 likely special general election voters has an accuracy of +/- 4.9% at a 95% confidence interval. Demographics: Party Registration: Republican 43%, Democrat 35%, Independent 16% Race: White 83%, Non-White 7%. Gender: Men 47%, Women 53%. Age: 17% Under 40, 19% 41-55, 21% 56-65, 40% Over 65. Area: 41% Southeast, 29% Coastal, 30% North Cell/Landline Usage: 44% Mostly Cell, 26% Cell/Landline Equally, 30% Mostly Landline. Sample: 66% Landline, 34% Cell
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