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: Structure
12.1 Introduction
(Ibjectives
12.1 INTRODUCTION
A project is a set of activities related to the achievement of some planned objective, normally where the objective is unique or non-repetitive in nature. Thus, a project is usually distinguished frum repetitive or continuous production processes by the characteristic of uniqueness, or the "one shot" nature of the objective. Here, this will not be out of the p i n t to mention that in project to achieve the objectives planning and control are the major tools to combat the overruns, but to conceive a project rather before the start of construction activity, there are various activities involved to implement the project. The project development cycle comprises the pre-investment, the investment and the operational phases. Each of these three major phases is divisible into stages, many of which constitute important industrial activities. Several parallel activities take place within this phase and even overlap into succeeding investment phase. Thus, once the early stages of pre-investment studies have produced fairly dependable indications of a viable project, investment promotion and implementation planning are 'hitiated leaving, however, the main thrust to the final evaluation stage and investment phase. Feasibility study is one @fmost important activity during the.pre-investment phase. Complete and detailed feasibility studies covering all aspects of a project is a vital requirement for the success of the project. It should define and analyze the critical elements that relate to the production of a given product together with alternative approaches to such production. Such a study should provide a project of a defied production capacity at a selected location using a particular technology or technologies in relation to defined materials and inputs, at identified investment and production costs, and sales revenues yielding a defined return on investment. The feasibility study should describe the optimum process justify the assumptions made and the solution selected, and define the scope of the project as the integration of the selected partial alternatives, If;however, the project is not viable despite all alternatives reviewed, this should be stated and justified in the study. A feasibility study may be either market-orientedlorbased on material inputs, i.e. it derives its initiative from an assumed or existing demand or from available material inputs such as raw materials or energy. A feasibility study is not an end in itself, but, only a means to arrive at an investment decision that need not agree with the conclusions of the study. In fact, it would be rare to find investor.responseso flexible as to fully conform to the results of such a feasibility study.
Objectives
The major objective of this unit is to give a better understanding of the various 1;isks under the pre-investment phase of iul industrial project. However, after studing this unll, you should be able to describe various statutory requirement, prepare various reports and documents normally timished. and uite~act with various authorities for clearing the projecls.
1 1 1the Coal Sector Ihe Moonidih Underground Project of 2.1-million tonneslyear capaclty was seven years o i sclledule and seventeen years of overrbn, raising its cost from Rs. 15.49 crore to Rs. 158.38 crore. This record-breaking cIassic example of project failure 1s attributable to indecisio~l and lack of coord~nated efforts which led to delay in fmalmng technology and equipment, w ~ t h cont~llued changes in the scope of the project. and delay ui the supply of long wall face equ~pnlent. 1 1 1 Steel, the colossal overruns experienced by Vizag Steel Project with a time overrun ot 56 months and cost overrun of Rs. 6,093 crore are the result of wrong estimates, had fund flow, inordinate delay in civil work and equipnlent supplies by public sector enterprise, and failure on the part of the State Government to provide water on time. The root causes of all this failure is the consultant's inadequate exercises at the fornlulation stage, insufficient funding arrangenlents, and undeserved protection to the public sectors vendors and contractors. Thc four nill lion totune expmshn projects of botll Bokaro and Bll~lu have overrun by 8 years ;md 7 I l2years respectively, with cost overruns of Rs. 1,25 1 and Rs. 1.350 crore, rcspecl~vely, the11percentages being 132 and 144. In fact, simultaneously, Bokalo Steel's captive power plant work had ills(>overrun and wasted over Rs. 80 crorc add~t~onally. Non-treezlng of specifications. "go ahead" clearance without a final plan. ilel;~y 111 supplies, delayed despatches hy USSR and Poland and failure by puhlic sector constructlor1 conlraclors arc thtnlllilln factors rcspons~hle for lhis.
XL Niltural Gas, the delay of over 6 years and the cost overrun of 200 percent amoulitmg to Rs. 106 crore in the cor~truction of Polystaple Fibre Plant in Bongaigaon were caused by law aid order problems and infrastructural inadequacy. In the Power Sector, Dulhasti project in J & K, and Panchat I1 and Koel Karo, both in Bihar, all hydroeleclric projects, illustrate the inefficiency of power projects. Dulhasti with over 44 months delay and cost overrun of Rs. 1572 crore over the estimated cost of Rs. 183 crore: Panchnt I1 with 128 month delay and cost overrun of Rs. 47 crore over the estimated cost of Rs. 16 crore: ,uld Koel Karo with indefinite delay and cost overrun of Rs. 894 crore over Ule estin~ated cost of Rs. 445 crore, are among the bad examples of project nlanagenlent tailures. Admitted causes are : delay in land acquisition, adverse geological conditions, tunnel failure, law and order problems and contractors' failure. The lapses of the owner and project authorities and the lack of involvement of State Governments have not been examined.
I11 Pelroleurn
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Delay in land acquisition, forest clearance and environmental clearance. Delay in clearances from financiallregulatory bodies of the Government. Lack of infrastructural facilities. Failure in planning for important resources, facilities, tie-ins and inputs needed for tinlely construction and putting into operation. Selection of incompetent consultant.
inadequate project study, understatenlent o f scope and underestimate of cost .and resources, calling for subsequent changes in the scope of the project; non-freezing of specifications; and revision of budgets.
Evaluation Phase
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Political influences in site selection. Consultants' and project authorities' inadequacies, leading to wrong economic fund flow statements and projections, causing financial studies and l~lisleading ilnpediments. F'oor outdated technology acquisition. Technological tie-ups more on consideration of credit offered by the supplier rather than of technical necessitie;. Starting of detail engineering ancl preparation of shopping lists before finalising process flow-sheets and liue diagrams. Delay in completing detail engineering: lack of design data; delay in the freezing of design and specifications: absence of an engineering schedule, leading to delay in Ule release of drawings for procurement. .Illefficient procedures for scrutiny, approval and transmittance of drawings and specifications. Delays, slipshod preparatio~l of bid documents. Poor selection of ve~~dorsIm~~ufacturers/fabricators/suppliers and contractors and preferential treatment to public sector enterprises, on the basis of Govemn~ent's guidelines. Delayed placement of orders. The practice of accepting the lowest quotation, irrespective of the vendor qualities and/or contractor's comy~etency. Dclay in the issuanc'e ol'import licenses. pclrmits ant1 va~.ious clearances
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Delay in the opening of letters of credit and issuance of various gu;11;11iteeh to foreign suppliers. Time-consunung procedures concerning the procurement of i1nportt.d raw materials and high-tech components by Indian manufacturers of ec~uip~nrii~ Inadequate expediting actions. Lack of integrated action plans closely involving suppliers and contri~ctors Delay in the supply of critical equipment. Lack of prc>pperquality control arrangements - at various levels a ~ ur ~ tinill d stage, and consequent defects in equipment. Changes and inodifjcations without cost-benefit analysis. Poor logistics planning.
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Construction Phase * Very early starting of construction activities, before ensuring tlic 'r\.,ul;lhll~ty ot working drawings, storage and pre-assembly space, sequential \upply of equipment and n~aterials and adequate infrastructure.
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Delay andlor inadequacy in contractors' mobilisation. Poor planning by contractors. Lack of close co-ordination and owners' serious involveineirt Failure to assure contractors of law and order in the project area. Contractor's low productivity and consequent financial prohleiiis. Illefficiency of contractors, in both the public and private sectors Hold-up resulting from delays in interconnected activities. because of I h c absence of integrated management. Belated clearances. Indecision and delayed decision-making. Bad quality control. Lack of nlicro-level schedule control with reference to the nlilcrc) plan ot the project. Unfair treahnent to contractors and suppliers. Delay in replacement supply.
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An integrated project team, consisting of the representative of : - The owner andlor executing authority.
The consultant. The main contractors.
Suppliers of critical equipment. Fullding institution ant1 all agelicies wliicli have a major role in the projecl The celltrill and state yovemnient, where relevant.
An integraletl toli~l project plan. broken down into tasks and irctivities. with daily targets.
The necessary resources. An effective quick-hitting control systeln. Cormnitment o11 tlie part of tlie people involved.
SAQ 1 (4
(b) (c)
How the project is dislinguished from other type of production process ? What rue the different phases of project development cycle ? What is importance of feasibility study ? What are the plerill causes of overruns ? 'Why do you think pro-ject riianagernerit essential to achieve pro-ject success '?
(4
(e)
Pre-investment Phase
(a) Identiticalion of investment opportunity (Project Idea) (b) Preli~ninary selection stage (Pre-feasibility study). (c) Project forniulatio~i stage (Teclino-eco~rc>~ilic feasibility study).
(d) Evaluation and decision stage (Evaluation report and Detailed Pro-ject
Report).
(2)
Investment Phase
(;I) Negotiation and contracting stage. (h) Projecl desigri stage (c) Construction stage (d) Start-up stage
(3)
Clperational Phase
(a) Short-tenii views (b) Long-term views
;uid Regardless of tlie division made for the convenience of handling a large erigi~~ecring construction project goes through major activities of : (i) Analyzing social, financial. economic and technical cost-benefits and feasibility.
(ii) . (Ibtaining various cleararices and approvals. (iii) ~inancial arrarigements. (iv)
(v)
Engineering a i d Design. Procurement, contracting iuid construction. Co~nmissioning arid stabilizi~ig the operation and ~iiaintel~;uice.
(vi)
UNIDO's stage I (h). 1(c) and 1(d) coincitle with the Ciovemmcnt o f lntlia's practice of three stago prc!ject scrutiny, namely
(i) prc-leastbility study. (ii) tecli~io-eco~iolii~c teasibil~ty study ittitl (ill) dctililed project report.
Market den~iind for the projects' end-product ;u~d plant c;lp;rcll! Materials iuld inputs. Location and site. Prcyect engineering and inveslnicnl costs. Plant organisation a i d ovcrhe;ld costs. Manpower. Implcmentatioli schedule. Fin;ll~cial and Economic cvirluation.
Wliilc il is Lruc Lliat one should expect ;I pre-feasibility rcport to contain precihe tletails ;md accurale figures. it is liccessilry h a t attempts arc made to give even in tlie pre-fc;tsihility rcport the best avi~ilablc inforniation. Also, if any aspect, favourable or advcrst,. calls for special illtention in n~aking a decision. that aspecl sliould be liiglilighted ill suftic.icu1detail. Particularly lo be higliliglited is the cost lor iuiy foreign process/tech~iologyto be acquired: ;uid obsolescence ;ultl its Indiiuiisi~Lion plan. Si~nullaneously, with the subnlission of its PFR. you nlay go ;head with your action lo oblilin Lhc other clearances requirctl. which, tlependiiig 011 tlie type ;uid localion of Ihe projxt, ~nily i~iclude ill1 or most ol'the c.leauances.
A yross idea of cost conlponents arc also considered in pre-feasibility esti~nalt,~. The prillcipi~llypes oL'csti~ii;~Ies ;rrc ;IS (i)llows :
(I)
Order of magnitude estimate : Tliis 1s desired troin the cosl report\ of completed prolects. Prohablli~y 01 th15 erl~mate's accuracy 15 genc~;llly between (25 iuid 40 percenl). Prelimin:~rycontrol estimate : This is prepared geuerally atter (he completion 01' Ihe process design ;uid major equipment listiug. Accuracy of this dstilnate may he between ( I 5 and 25 percent). Definitive estimate : Tli~s 1s prepcaredas soon as the b a s ~ c cilglnccriny IS completed, and bulk ~ualer~al kc olf sheets are made. Accuracy 01 this nay range l r o ~ n (10 to 15 perceut) Detailed eqtimate : Tliis I \ prepared when dcslgn engineering ;md preparation 01 product~o~i d r a w ~ ~ i ;md g s tl~ial illater~al l~sts liave bee11co~upleted and prlces 01 all materials arcertalncd. Tll~s may iinprovc t l ~ e accuracy to 5 pcrccnl. , leaclln$ to revlrlon of provisional budgets.
(11)
(111)
(IV)
Proyct background and description. ' M i ~ k cand t p l a ~capacity. t PI4;rterials illid input. Loc;rtion and sites. and lnvestlnent cosl. Project c~igirieeri~ig Plan1 oryaiisation i u ~ t overlleatl l cost. Maipowcr. Iniplc~ncnlation schedule. Fin;rnc~;ll and e c o n t i ~ i ~ evaluation c
Estirnatilig the projccl cost is an imporlaut activity for prep'uilig tlie teclino-ecoiiolilic L'easihility rcporl. Altliouyli the estimale ill Lhis TEFR stage is still preliminary or prc-dct'initi\le 2nd suh.iect to further refinemenl ;11 tlie 1;ltcr dc'fiuitivc/tleli~ilctlcslimalion. care niust he ti~ken to keep down the level of uncertainly by making the best use of process l'low slicet and ollicr ;~vailable inforiliation sources. 111e usual practice to prep;crc capital coht eslin~atchi h as follows :
Prepare detailed schedules tor every cosl coniponenl, I~stlng llcni d c s c r ~ p t ~ o l ~ . quantltles. rate or prices assumed a i d total aniounts. Prepi~re a sunmlary sheet for every component. M'ake a top sheet covering all conipoiienls. providing separate cnlunms tor loleign cxcli;ulge, local cost aitl total cost.
offer incentives to The Industries ancl Commerce Dcpartnieut of skveral State Gover~ui~ents 11ie entrepreneurs for rapid i~iduslrial development. The incenlives may ilicluile Lhe following :
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Relief o f sales tax or octroi or entry tax. Laid for setting up new units and for expansion 01' existing units Contribution tow:utls the cost of feasibility and-project report. Subsidy on power. Financial assistwice in the form of term loan or working capital loai. Housing scheme. Supply of raw materials, etc.
Export oriented unils and unit set up in export processing zones which undertake to export their entire production of goods are eligible for the following incentives and concessions :
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Concessional rent for lease of industrial plots and standlard design factory buildings/sheds allotted for the first three years. The International Price Reimbursement Scheme (IPRS) on the purchase of iron arid steel, which will help the unit in pricing the end-product competitively in the international market, without being affected by higher domestic price paid for iron and steel. Tax holiday by exemption from p2yment of corporate income tax for a block of five years in the first eight years of operation.
C'luhhing of Net Foreign Exchange (NFE) earned by the unit wllll the YFE of the parentlassociate coulpany in the Domestic Tariff Area (DTA L 1 1 1 1 ~llc purpose of hccordin~'export house status' based on cxport t.;llnlllg
I
Before deciding on investment. the total finar~cial viability of the project 1s 10 he c x ; ~ ~ n ~ ~ i e d closely from tlie angles of : (i) (ii) (iii) Profitability or rate of return (ROR) Cash Flow Pay-back of investment.
Profitability, cash flow and repayment capacity shall be computed and ;~nitlyhi'tl; I I I ~ I reported from tlie angle of :
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Net prcsent vilue of cash flow (NPV) Internal rate of return (IRR) Pay-backperiod(PBP) Simple rate of retun] (SRR) Break-even point (BEP) Sensitivity analysis (SA)
breakdown all project components. time-phase iuid schedule them M ~ r l l accurate cost estimates, by way of deviarion from TEFR with explani~tlons giving the improved basis of assun~ptions and calculations, develop baselines for controlling time and cost during the impleliienti~llo~i oi the project, and prove your preparedness wlth all the techlucal ;uid resources rt'clulreuienls, lo lmplenient the project.
All Detailed Project Report niust indicate the parts components, etc. wlth apploxlmate annual quantities proposed to be procured from ,ancillary Industries 'around thc proltlct. for use in construction, operation a i d mnaintenance. This has to be supported by ;I clc,~riuice from the Development Conuissioner, Small Scale Industr~es of the area. While applying for grant of letters of intent and industrial license, where applic;~hlo. the items proposed to be procured from ruicillary industries around project be spell out. Following documents and data are necessary for preparation of DPR :
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ProcessISystem design. Raw Materialslfeedstock arid project specification. License fee for technology. Engineering plan and Engineering Manpower curves. Final Flow diagrams. Heat and illaterial ba1,ances.
Piping and instrumentation diagrams for process and utilities. Layout plans for buildings. equipnlent, utilities and off-sites. General Project Specification. Soil investigation report. Single Line Electrical Drawing. Construction Plan and Manpower Deployment Plan. Enviroiimental Pral Protection Plan. .Equipment List with specification and data sheet. Resource Schedules. Orgaiisational Charts and manpower curves. Water atid Power Supply Guarantee.
Phose~
Promoter group's contribution. State Government contribution. Public subscription. Seed capital assistance. Risk Capital and Technology Finance Corporation Ltd.'s assistance.
Technology Development and Information Company ot Intlla's assisttulce. Share subscription by financial institutions and mutual fundb. Share subscriptions by NRIs. Employees stock exchange. Preference shares or Preferred stock. Central and state capital subsidies, sales tax loan and development assistance. Retainedprofit. Depreciation.
Lease financing Public Sector Bonds Debentures Long-term rupee loans - From all-India development banks and investment institutions.
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Free foreign exchange from FE dealers and loans from development himks.
Assistance from International Finance Corporation Investment from Oil Exporting Developing Countries (OEDCs) Collaborator's equity participation in foreign exchange Share subscription by overseas investors NRI and OCB Share subscription in foreign exchange Short term rupee funds for worlung capital
SAQ 2
(a) What are the major activities, a long engineering and construction project goes through ? What are the three stages of projdct scrutiny which Govt. of India is adopting ? What are different factors for assessing the viability of a project ? What is Techno-economic Feasibility Report ?
. every technology transfer agreement should, in particular, be clear in regard to the nature
and s c q e of the technology transfer. It should place at your use the collaborationtechnology-owner's (i) Knowledge, (ii) Experience, and (iii) Skill necessary to : (a) (b) Set-up the sturdiest, but at the same time inexpensive, production which is easy to operate and maintain. Produce the planned goods or services in a nlanner capable of capturing the local and foreign markets within the shortest period of time keeping within the national economic parameters.
The level of sophistication of the technology should be determined with reference to the type of demand and the competition that your product is likely to face from others. The Government's Department of Industrial Development in the Ministry of Industry has a Technology Data Bank, which gives informatior1 on a wide choice of technologies and collaborators. The most appropriate technology should be chosen to suit your project in the bdian environment, which, for some more years to come will be labour-oriented and not 'ghly sophisticated nor substantially automated. The factor relevant to Indian conditions is l materials local infrastructure and other locally available inputs to ne need to use l t ~ araw the fullest possible extent. The environment in which the undertaking is set up and the type of equipment ,and production technique employed are inter-related. The national economic policy is also in favour of this inter-relation. Our developing economy has a certain level of technology absorption capacity. So it will be ideal if you choose a technology suited to that level, with the potential for improvement, keeping pace with the changes in our socio-economicenvironment. The,phases of Technology Transfer are sequentially as f6llows : Choosing +Source
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The principal forms of Technology Transfer are : Licensing. 'Outright Purchase. Joint venture with capital participation. Technology transfer with buy-back guarantee. Technology transfer with loan agreement. Technology transfer with plant operation and management contract. Technology transfer forming part of a consultancy contract. Technology transfer forming associated with equipment supply contract or turnkey contract.
The technology absorbed by an enterprise has to attain maturity and keep improving in the Indian environnient with continuous commercial exploitation, keeping pace with consumer demand. In a world faced with technology explosion, the challenge of avoiding the repetitive import of the same technology with all the latest development can he met only through continuous in-house R&D efforts. Foreign collaboration, envisage two types of participation by well established foreign companies in Indian projects in their specialized fields. 'They are : (a) Collaboration for technical participation under which an engineering and production technology passes onto the Indian side.
(b)
Collaboration for technical and financial participation in an 1iidi;ui project by a foreign party. Foreign collaboration is a complex part of the total project management spectrum.
Government's policy for foreign collaboration is based on national priorities. Forc~gn collaboration 1s permitted liberally in the certain groups of high priority industries and export-oriented units, and selectively in other cases. Foreign collaboration should generally aim at integrating our iildustry into globalleconomy. The policy is guided by the following objectives :
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Attaining technological competence and self-reliance, to reduce vulnerability, particularly in strategic and critical areas, making the maxiinu~n use of indigenous resourcgs. Providing maximum gainful and satisfying employment to all strata ot society with emphasis on employment of woman and weaker section of society. Using traditional skills and capabilities, making them commercially competitive. Ensuring maximum development with minimum capital outlay. Identifying obsolescence of technology in use and then arrange for moder~lisation of both equipment and technology. Developing technologies, which are internationally competitive. particularly those with export potential. Reducing demand in energy, particularly energy from non-re~lewirhlesources. Imploving production speedily through greater efficiency and fuller utilization of existing capabilities, 'and enhancing the quality and reliability of performance and output. Ensuring harnlony with the environment, preserving the ecological ha1:ulce and improving the quality of the habitat. Recycling waste material and making full utilization of byproducts:
The functional experts of various disciplines who are nlembers of the project team will have many other responsibilities, which are bound to divert their attention from the particular project. A multi-disciplinary consultant's deep knowledge, rich experie~ice zuld concentrated attention to all important aspects of a project will, no doubt, boost its efficiency, justifying the consultancy cost. An independent consultant will view all matters in an unbiased matmer
General issues concerning the appointment of a project consultant in the Indian conditions are the following : (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) Determination of the consultant's role in the project. Types of consultant. The role of domestic consultant. Selection and appointment. Terms of preference. Actual use of consultant. Co-ordination procedure. Professional liability. Determination of the consultant's role.
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(9
(g) (h)
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Determiriation of prequalification criteria. Estimation of the expc~idable consultancy cost. Short-listlng or pre-qualification of consultants. Determination of final selection criteria. Determination of selection procedurc and designing of forms for consultant's work proposals, bio-data arid consulting experience of his firm as a whole or of thc nieinbers individually proposed to be e~nployed on llle project. Invitation of work proposals and bids from the short-listed ones. Evaluation of capabilities on the basis of the work proposals, data and bids received.
Projert~ : C n ~ ~ c e and pt
Phases
Selection of one or more consulta ~ t for s the whole project or for different assignment or work package.
Nesotintion on terms of conditions. Appointment. Consulting firins retained by owners, wrth the lending mstitutc's approval, 'following the selection procedure prescribed or agreed to by the lending institute. Consulting finns retained by the lending institutes playing thc role of executing agency. Consulting firm engaged as Engineering firin, acting aloiic or in joint venture with one or more other agencics, to provide total turnkey packages comprising all services and supplies. Iildividual consultants retained by owners.
SAQ 3
(a) (b) (c) (d) What are thc iiicentives offered by thc Industries and Conunerce Department of several State Governments ? What are the other incentives for which export oriented units are eligible '? What arc the different project clearances which are necess'ary for project ' implementation ! .What are the main resources of project finance '! What are the objectives behind foreign collaboration ? Why does a project ownef feel the requirement of consultants in his project success ?
(e)
(
12.4 SUMMARY
Project is a set of activities related to the achievement of some plarltled ob-iective.I11 a and control are project object is nornially unique andlor non-repetitive in project p l m ~ i i i g the major tools to cornbat the overruns. The study of unit provides better understanding of the various tasks under the pre-investment pliase of ' a n industrial project. Unit also described some cases of monumental projects in India which are delayed and overruns. Root causes are analysed. For achieving project success, requirement of Project Management is felt. Components of Project Management are explained in detail. Unit tells about various pllases of the projects and Government of India's practice of their scrutiny. Pre-Investment, investment and operational phases are three phases of projects. Pre-feasibility study, Estimates and Techno-economic feasibility study and Detailed Project Report are three stages, Government of Iridia practices for scrutiny. Under Techno-economic feasibility a
detail description of various incentives and concessions for industry is given. Under Detailed Project Report a list of documents and data necessary for preparation of DPR is given. Various project clearances which are necessary for project implementation are listed. Unplanned and insufficient finance always results into project failure. Main source of project finance are given in the unit. The success of the end product of project depends on the quality of the production technology. In many cases, country is not technologically self-sufficient, therefore, one may use the collaboration with technology knowledge, experienceand skill. The principal ftjrms of Technology transfer are listed. The project owner always appoints a consultant to have use of deep knowledge, r1c11 experience and concentration attention of consultant. General issues concerning appointment of a project consultant in the Indian condition are pointed oukalong with selection process.