Statistics w1211 Fall 2013 Section 4

Assignment 1
( Due Thursday Sep 12th in class) Note: Refer to the course outline for the collaboration policy.

1. Section 1.3 Exercise 41. 2. A data set consists of the following numbers: 22.7 40.3 16.4 73.7 36.6 109.9 30.0 4.4 33.9 66.7 81.5. (a) Compute the sample mean and median. Why is the median so dierent from the mean? (b) Calculate a trimmed mean by deleting the smallest and largest observations. How does the trimmed mean compare to the mean and median? (c) Compute the sample variance s2 and sample standard deviation. 3. Chapter 1, Supplementary Exercises 68. 4. Chapter 1, Supplementary Exercises 69. 5. Chapter 1, Supplementary Exercises 79. 6. Section 2.1, Exercise 6. 7. Section 2.2, Exercise 13, parts d and f only . 8. Section 2.3, Exercise 33. 9. Section 2.3, Exercise 34. 10. Section 2.3, Exercise 38. 11. Section 2.3, Exercise 44.

Practice problems
You dont have to submit the solutions to these questions, but I suggest you go over them. 1. Section 2.1, Exercise 8. 2. Section 2.1, Exercise 9. 3. Section 2.2, Exercise 20. 4. We say that two or more events form a partition, when they are disjoint and their union is the whole sample space S . For part c,d, and g, you will need the denition of conditional probability (see Chapter 2.4). We will discuss it next week. The inhabitants of Planet Zog come in three dierent colors: red, orange, and green. (This diversity can be very useful: for example, dierent colored Zoglins can be employed three at a time as trac lights.) In the whole population, 40% of Zoglins are red, while 20% are orange and 40% are green. The sample space can be written as = {Zoglins}.

We can formulate events as follows: R = Zoglin is red O = Zoglin is orange G = Zoglin is green

From the information given, the events have probabilities P(R) = 0.4; P(O) = 0.2; P(G) = 0.4. (a) Do the events R, O, and G form a partition of the sample space? Explain why or why not.

Some Zoglins have two heads, and some have long noses. Of the red Zoglins, 50% have two heads, while 20% have long noses. Two-headed orange Zoglins constitute 6% of the population, while 2% of Zoglins are of the long-nosed orange variety. 60% of green Zoglins are two-headed, but only 5% have long noses. Let T be the event that a Zoglin has two heads, and L be the event that a Zoglin is long-nosed. (b) Do the events T and L form a partition of the sample space? Explain why or why not. (c) Write down all the information in the paragraph above as probability statements. Your answer should consist of 6 statements. [Hint: the rst statement is P (T |R) = 0.5. Be on the lookout for statements that are expressed in a dierent way.] (d) Write down the values of P (T |color) for each of the three colors R, O, and G. (e) Using the Partition Theorem, nd P (T ). (f) Find P (T R), and describe in words what this represents. (g) From the information given, is it possible to calculate P (T L|R) (the probability that a red Zoglin is both two-headed and long-nosed)? Explain why or why not. Zoglins can be either friendly, or crafty, or vicious. Red Zoglins are always friendly, but orange Zoglins are friendly only with probability 0.5; they are crafty with probability 0.4, and with probability 0.1 they are vicious. Green Zoglins are friendly with probability 0.3, crafty with probability 0.5, and vicious with probability 0.2. (h) Formulate events F, C, and V for the character types of Zoglins. Do the events F, C, and V form a partition of the sample space? Explain why or why not. (i) Write down probability statements corresponding to the information given above. Your answer should involve 9 statements, each linking one character type, F, C, or V , with one colour, R, O, or G. (j) Find the probability that a Zoglin is friendly.