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MITSOB/AA/OM/Ch5/#31/271113
OBJECTIVES
StrategicCapacityPlanningDefined CapacityUtilization&BestOperatingLevel Economies&DiseconomiesofScale TheExperienceCurve CapacityFocus,Flexibility&Planning DeterminingCapacityRequirements DecisionTrees CapacityUtilization l &ServiceQuality l
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StrategicCapacityPlanning
Capacity canbedefinedastheabilityto
hold,receive,store,oraccommodate
Strategiccapacityplanning isan
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CapacityUtilization
Capacity used Capacity utilization rate Best operating level
Where Capacityused
rateofoutputactuallyachieved capacityforwhichtheprocesswasdesigned
Bestoperating p glevel
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BestOperatingLevel
Example: Engineers design engines and assembly lines to operate at an ideal or best operating level to maximize output and minimize ware
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Volume
ExampleofCapacityUtilization
Duringoneweekofproduction,aplant
produced d d83 8 units i of faproduct. d I Itshi historic i highestorbestutilizationrecordedwas120units perweek. pe wee .What atis st this sp plants a t scapac capacity ty utilizationrate?
Answer:
Capacity utilization rate = Capacity used . B Best operating i l level l = 83/120 =0.69 or 69%
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Economies&DiseconomiesofScale
Economies of Scale and the Experience p Curve working g
100-unit plant 200 unit 200-unit plant 300-unit plant 400-unit plant
Volume
TheExperience Curve
As plants produce more products, they gain experience in the best production methods and reduce their costs per unit
Yesterday
Today Tomorrow
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C i F Capacity Focus
The eco concept cepto ofthe t efocusedfacto factory y holds o ds
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CapacityFlexibility
Flexibleplants
Flexibleprocesses
Flexibleworkers
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CapacityPlanning:Balance
Unbalanced stages of production
Stage 1
Stage 2
Stage 3
6,000 5,000 7,000 Maintaining System Balance: Output of one stage is the exact input requirements for the next stage
Balanced stages of production
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CapacityPlanning
FrequencyofCapacityAdditions
ExternalSourcesofCapacity
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DeterminingCapacityRequirements
1.Forecastsaleswithineachindividual
requirementstomeettheforecasts
3.Project P j equipment i and dl labor b availability il bili
overtheplanninghorizon
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ExampleofCapacityRequirements
A manufacturer produces two lines of mustard, FancyFine and Generic line. Each is sold in small and family family-size size plastic bottles. The following table shows forecast demand for the next four years. years
Year: FancyFine Small (000s) Family (000s) Generic Small (000s) Family (000s) 1 50 35 100 80 2 60 50 110 90 3 80 70 120 100 4 100 90 140 110
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ExampleofCapacityRequirements(Continued):Productfroma CapacityViewpoint
Question:Arewereallyproducingtwo
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ExampleofCapacityRequirements(Continued): EquipmentandLaborRequirements
Year: Small (000s) Family (000s) 1 150 115 2 170 140 3 200 170 4 240 200
Three 100,000 units-per-year machines are available f small-bottle for ll b ttl production. d ti Two T operators t required i d per machine. Two 120,000 units-per-year machines are available for family-sized-bottle production. Three operators required per machine.
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Question: What are the Year 1 values for capacity, machine, and labor?
1 150 115
2 170 140
3 200 170
4 240 200
Small Mach. Cap. 300,000 Labor 6 Family-size Mach. Cap. 240,000 Labor 6 150,000/300,000=50% At 1 machine for 100,000, it Small takes 1.5 machines for 150,000 Percent capacity used 50.00% Machine requirement 1.50 Labor requirement 3.00 At 2 operators for Family-size 100,000, it takes 3 operators for 150,000 150 000 Percent capacity used 47 92% 47.92% Machine requirement 0.96 18 Labor requirement MITSOB/AA/OM/Ch5/#31/271113 2.88 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2004
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Question: What are the values for columns 2, 3 and 4 in the table below?
Year: Small (000s) Family (000s) Small Family-size Family size Small Percent capacity used Machine requirement Labor requirement Family-size Percent capacity used Machine requirement Labor requirement
4 240 200 6 6
50.00% 56.67% 1.50 1.70 3 00 3.40 3.00 47.92% 58.33% 1 17 0.96 1.17 2.88 3.50
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ExampleofaDecisionTreeProblem
A glass factory specializing in crystal is experiencing a substantial backlog, and the firm's management is considering three courses of action: A) Arrange for subcontracting B) Construct new facilities C) Do nothing (no change) The correct choice depends largely upon demand, which may be low low, medium medium, or high high. By consensus consensus, management estimates the respective demand probabilities as 0.1, 0.5, and 0.4.
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ExampleofaDecisionTreeProblem(Continued):The ffTable bl Payoff The management also estimates the profits when h choosing h i from f the th three th alternatives lt ti (A, (A B, and C) under the differing probable levels of demand These profits, demand. profits in thousands of dollars are presented in the table below:
A B C
0.5 Medium 50 25 40
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1 ExampleofaDecisionTreeProblem(Continued):Step1. Westartbydrawingthethreedecisions
A B C
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A B C
High demand (0.4) Medium demand (0.5) Low demand (0.1) High demand (0.4) Medium demand (0.5) Low demand (0.1)
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ExampleofDecisionTreeProblem(Continued):Step3.Determine theexpectedvalueofeachdecision
High demand (0.4) Medium demand (0.5)
$62k
A
EVA=0.4(90)+0.5(50)+0.1(10)=$62k
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$62k
A B C
Low demand (0.1) High demand (0.4) Medium demand (0.5) d d( ) Low demand (0.1) High demand (0.4)
$90k $50k $10k $200k $25k -$120k $120k $60k $40k $20k
$80.5k
$46k
Alternative B generates the greatest expected profit, so our choice is B or to construct a new facility
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PlanningServiceCapacityvs.Manufacturing Capacity
Time:Goodscannotbestoredforlateruseand
demandpointandcapacitymustbelocatednear thecustomer
VolatilityofDemand:Muchgreaterthanin
manufacturing g
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CapacityUtilization& ServiceQuality
Bestoperating p gp pointisnear7 70%of
capacity
From70%to100%ofservicecapacity,
whatdoyouthinkhappenstoservice quality?
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McGraw-Hill/Irwin