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TO: FROM: DATE: RE:

Interested Parties Brock McCleary, President February 6, 2014 Key Findings Virginia Survey

How Harmful Would Cuts To Medicare Advantage Be? Virginia voters have a positive opinion of the Medicare Advantage program (45% favorable, 20% unfavorable). This sentiment is consistent across party line as Republicans (45-21%), Democrats (4917%) and independents (39-21%) all rate the program favorably. Conversely, Virginia voters have a strongly negative opinion of the new health care law known as Obamacare (37% favorable, 52% unfavorable). Eighty-eight percent of Republicans have an unfavorable opinion of Obamacare while 72% of Democrats have a favorable opinion. By a margin of 58-32%, independents hold a negative view of Obamacare. There is strong disapproval among voters for cutting payment rates for Medicare Advantage in 2014 (22% approve, 52% disapprove). Ideologically, self-identified conservatives (-77%), moderates (-15%) and liberals (-9%) disapprove of cutting Medicare Advantage. In fact, voters are 44% less likely to support a candidate who supports further cuts to Medicare Advantage in the coming year. Additionally, 55% are less likely to support a candidate who supports cuts to Medicare Advantage that will lead to higher health care costs and fewer choices for seniors, including 64% of Hispanic or Latino voters. Moreover, 49% of voters are less likely to support a candidate who voted to cut Medicare to pass and fund Obamacare in 2010 and now supports additional cuts to Medicare Advantage. Only 16% are more likely. In a stereotypical choice between two candidates on the issue of Obamacare, 52% of voters prefer an opponent of Obamacare and is calling for repeal or major changes to the law while 39% prefer a supporter of President Obamas new health care law but wants modest changes to the law. Fifty-three percent of Virginia voters are less likely to support a candidate who voted for Obamacare and told his constituents, Im not going to support a health care reform plan that is going to take away health care that youve got. There is no gender gap on the issue as 52% of male voters and 54% of female voters are less likely to support this candidate. METHODOLOGY: The sample size for the survey is 936 likely 2014 voters and the margin of error is +/- 3.2 %. The Interactive Voice Response (IVR) automated telephone survey was conducted February 4-5, 2014 by Harper Polling on behalf of American Action Network. The total percentages for responses may not equal 100% due to rounding.

121 State Street Harrisburg, PA 17101

HarperPolling.com

Brock@HarperPolling.com

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