Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
January 8, 2014
Market Outlook
Domestic Indices
Indices
Close
Change
Change%
20,693.2
6,162.3
-94.06
-29.20
-0.5
-0.5
Nifty future
6,195.9
-33.30
-0.5
S&PBSE 500
7,684.4
-39.32
-0.5
S&PBSE Midcap
6,657.6
-25.15
-0.4
S&PBSE Smallcap
6,639.1
24.08
0.4
Indices
Close
Dow Jones
16,530.9
Nasdaq
4,153.2
FTSE
6,755.5
DAX
9,506.2
Hang Seng
22,893.0
Nikkei
15,987.3
SGX Nifty
6,209.0
* Asian Market at 7:30 am.IST
Change
105.84
39.50
24.72
78.20
186.7
172.9
23.5
Change%
0.6
1.0
0.4
0.8
0.8
1.1
0.4
Global Indices
Sensex: We said, "weakness below 2-day lows would open -ve options ... " Initially 100 pts higher, Index later reacted 253 pts
lower. Breaking the 2-day lows, it finally settled with a loss of 94 pts or 0.4%. Most sectors ended flat to -ve. The Metal and
Realty Indexes lost 1.6% each, and the A/D ratio turned -ve 1:2.
The action formed a bigger Bear candle, indicating downward reaction after pulling back to the Blue line. With a lower high-low,
the bias is -ve. However, further weakness below the candle would be required to test Dec'13 lows. Holding either the low of the
candle or 'Dec low, on the other hand, could result in fall-arresting behavior.
Exhibit 1: Sensex Daily Candlestick Chart
Market Breadth
36
144
Unchg
NSE
BSE
544
Decline
1246
388
Advance
0
500
1289
1000
1500
Intraday
Short Term
Trend
Range bound
Range bound
Support
6130-6105
6130
Resistance
6195-6225
6500
Trend Reversal
20 Days EMA
6229
5956
6195.85
Action :
Targets :
6195/6175/Lower
Stop-loss :
6250.00
Page 2
Global Currencies
Trend Scanner
Spot
Close
Prev.close
% Chg
Rupee (|)
62.300
62.310
0.0
Dollar Index
80.861
80.665
0.2
Scrip Name
0.1
Euro
1.363
1.362
Positive Trends
British Pound
1.640
1.640
0.0
Japanese Yen
104.830
104.600
0.2
Mphasis Ltd
Australian ($)
0.892
0.893
0.0
Swiss Franc
0.908
0.909
-0.1
Candlestick Patterns
Close
792.83
61.21
Bearish Engulfing
172.6
1.71
170.65
52.88
Scrip Name
434.1
1.70
430.46
77.86
Adani Enterprises
1845.75
2.10
1788.30
58.09
Rolta India
Scrip Name
Close
8.78
69.75
-3.19
71.64
50.81
2.94
2.96
310.95
-3.70
317.08
76.25
EURO 10 Year
1.89
1.91
152.95
-3.17
161.17
38.2
GBP 10 Year
2.95
2.97
JPY 10 Year
0.70
0.73
India 10 year
8.79
US 10 Year
Commodities
US Dollar
Overbought Stocks
Stocks rising for 5 days & stochastic overbought
%Chg
1231.49
1237.59
-0.49
3.39
3.40
-0.29
107.39
107.00
0.36
FII
10.2
DII
-222.1
674.1
-189.8
3-Jan-14
-18.1
-280.8
Arvind
6-Jan-14
-318.9
-22.5
Havells
835
7-Jan-14
-567.0
59.4
Maruti
1849
Brent Crude
Oversold Stocks
Prev. Close
Copper
Bullish Engulfing
Close
241.15
Scrip Name
Mphasis
435.00
71.40
Bullish Candle
Bank of Baroda
616.10
Dabur India
Sesa Sterlite
193.95
Maruti
Ultratech Cement
Close
1687.00
172.45
1849.00
Cadila Healthcare
809.20
Evening Star
Close
Gold
Bearish Candle
Negative Trends
804.45
Scrip Name
Havells
Close
835
Close
Stochastic
1019
14.3
906.95
13.88
Oil India
464.40
Wipro
549.00
Note: For Candlestick pattern description refer towards the end of the
report.
Institutional Activity
Cash Segment (| Cr)
1-Jan-14
2-Jan-14
Rallis
Scrip Name
Close
NA
180.35
Page 3
173.25
Targets :
175.50/177/Higher
Stop-loss :
170.40
Page 4
Channel breakout with a gap up price action and price taking support at the
21days EMA in the daily chart
1860.70
Action :
Targets :
1885/1898/Higher
Stop-loss :
1849.00
21 days EMA
Page 5
154.15
Action :
Targets :
150.50/149/Lower
Stop-loss :
155.00
Page 6
Bearish double top in the daily chart and price closed below 34 days EMA in the
daily chart
195.85
Targets :
191.30/189.50/Lower
Stop-loss :
197.00
34 days EMA
14 periods RSI giving sell signal forming lower lows in the daily chart
Page 7
Product
Future
Future
Future
Future
Future
Strategy
Sell
Buy
Buy
Sell
Sell
Recommended Price
In the range of 6250-6255
above 592.50
above 318.00
below 640.50
below 51.70
Targets
6220/6200/602.5/607.5/+
324/327/+
630.5/625/50.5/49.80/-
SL
Gain/Loss %*
6270.00
51 points
587.50
1.60
315.00
-0.95
646.00
2.40
52.30
2.20
Comment
Target 2 achieved
Target 1 almost achieved
Stoploss triggered
Target 2 achieved
Target 1 almost achieved
NOTE: The follow-up and performance review table of the strategies indicates the profit opportunity that was available in the strategies. Individual profits may vary,
depending upon the entry and exit price and stop losses
Page 8
R2
R3
20693.24
20590.1
20542.15
20494.2
20716.75
20780.1
20843.4
-ve
NIFTY
6162.25
6130.85
6117.20
6103.60
6169.20
6188.40
6207.60
-ve
ACC
+ve
SENSEX
CLOSE
S1
S2
S3
R1
TREND
1085.20
1084.35
1078.60
1072.85
1095.85
1101.75
1107.60
ADANI ENTER.
241.95
237.00
234.45
231.90
243.95
247.40
250.90
-ve
ADANI POWER
36.00
35.45
35.00
34.60
36.20
36.60
37.00
-ve
ADITYA BIRLA
1199.85
1194.60
1186.65
1177.75
1210.50
1218.45
1227.35
ALLAHABAD BANK
92.75
91.10
90.30
89.45
93.00
93.95
94.85
ANDHRA BANK
62.10
61.25
60.95
60.65
62.15
62.60
63.10
APOLLO TYRES
106.35
107.05
105.40
103.80
110.30
111.00
111.70
+ve
ARVIND
153.65
152.55
151.35
149.00
154.95
156.10
158.50
Neutral
18.35
18.05
17.90
17.70
18.40
18.60
18.80
489.95
489.55
487.15
484.80
494.30
496.75
499.25
ASHOK LEYLAND
ASIAN PAINTS
AUROBINDO PHARMA
Neutral
-ve
-ve
-ve
+ve
407.75
402.25
396.50
390.75
408.90
412.25
415.55
1889.95
1885.00
1880.05
1873.80
1894.90
1899.85
1906.05
BOB
616.80
605.95
602.00
598.05
620.90
628.35
635.80
-ve
BOI
231.00
226.10
223.40
220.70
230.80
233.10
235.45
-ve
BAJAJ AUTO
BATA INDIA
-ve
Neutral
1024.55
1012.00
1006.50
1001.00
1024.75
1031.10
1037.45
BHARAT FORGE
338.15
338.45
336.50
334.50
342.40
346.65
350.90
BPCL
323.55
319.90
317.70
315.45
324.70
327.15
329.55
-ve
BHARTI AIRTEL
331.70
331.30
329.30
327.30
335.30
336.50
337.75
+ve
BHEL
165.00
165.60
163.95
162.25
169.00
170.10
171.20
+ve
CAIRNS INDIA
319.45
318.75
317.70
316.75
320.85
321.90
322.85
Neutral
CANARA BANK
268.50
263.65
260.55
257.40
269.20
272.00
274.75
-ve
CENTURY TEXT.
311.40
310.55
308.05
305.60
315.50
319.10
322.70
+ve
CESC
452.55
443.80
437.20
430.55
454.65
460.10
465.50
39.95
39.80
39.65
39.45
40.20
40.40
40.55
Neutral
CIPLA
390.85
389.75
388.25
386.20
392.70
394.15
396.25
Neutral
COAL INDIA
275.35
274.50
273.25
271.70
277.00
278.25
279.75
Neutral
COLGATE PALMOLIVE
1341.00
1326.60
1319.30
1312.00
1345.15
1354.45
1363.70
CROMPTON GREAVES
129.65
129.55
128.65
127.75
131.35
133.10
134.85
+ve
DABUR INDIA
172.60
172.35
171.40
170.45
174.25
175.35
176.45
+ve
56.20
55.05
54.60
54.15
56.45
57.15
57.90
-ve
1230.30
1217.90
1212.15
1206.40
1234.75
1243.20
1251.60
-ve
CHAMBAL FERT.
DISH TV
DIVI'S LAB.
-ve
+ve
-ve
-ve
Page 9
SCRIP
DLF
DR.REDDY'S LAB.
EXIDE IND.
FEDERAL BANK
FIN. TECH.
FUTURE RETAIL
GAIL
GMR INFRA.
GODREJ IND.
GRASIM
AMBUJA CEMENT
CLOSE
S1
S2
S3
R1
R2
R3
TREND
163.95
161.10
159.95
158.75
164.50
166.20
167.90
2491.25
2489.60
2478.75
2467.90
2511.30
2525.00
2538.65
+ve
118.25
118.30
117.60
116.90
119.70
120.50
121.25
+ve
82.10
80.55
79.40
78.25
82.60
83.65
84.65
271.45
266.45
258.90
251.40
281.50
291.35
301.20
81.30
78.55
76.95
75.40
81.35
82.75
84.15
338.00
337.55
335.40
333.20
341.85
343.40
344.95
-ve
-ve
+ve
-ve
+ve
22.65
22.25
22.10
22.00
22.80
23.10
23.40
-ve
274.05
270.25
267.45
264.65
275.45
278.05
280.65
-ve
2611.65
2593.55
2577.90
2562.25
2616.00
2627.25
2638.50
175.25
174.75
173.90
173.10
176.45
177.25
178.10
-ve
Neutral
GUJ.STATE PET.
57.60
57.00
56.75
56.50
57.75
58.15
58.55
HAVELL'S INDIA
833.20
834.65
830.90
827.15
842.15
846.85
851.55
1256.35
1255.85
1249.50
1243.15
1268.50
1273.95
1279.35
+ve
664.40
663.65
659.25
654.80
672.45
674.00
675.50
+ve
HCL TECH
HDFC BANK
HDFC
HERO MOTO
797.90
796.75
793.70
790.65
802.85
806.40
809.90
2069.00
2061.30
2051.30
2041.35
2081.20
2091.15
2101.15
-ve
+ve
+ve
Neutral
HEXAWARE TECH.
136.80
134.85
133.60
132.30
137.05
138.15
139.25
HINDALCO
116.05
114.40
113.80
113.20
116.35
117.35
118.35
-ve
-ve
HIND. UNILEVER
558.95
554.65
552.75
550.85
559.60
562.10
564.55
-ve
HPCL
221.65
219.05
217.00
215.00
222.25
223.85
225.50
-ve
HINDUSTAN ZINC
126.10
124.10
122.75
121.35
126.30
127.40
128.45
-ve
HDIL
ICICI BANK
IDBI
52.20
51.00
50.65
50.30
52.45
53.15
53.85
1050.00
1047.20
1038.35
1029.50
1064.85
1073.35
1081.80
-ve
+ve
64.25
63.35
63.05
62.70
64.50
65.05
65.65
IDEA CELLULAR
162.10
161.45
160.00
158.50
164.35
165.40
166.45
+ve
IDFC
103.75
102.90
102.45
101.95
103.95
104.45
105.00
-ve
25.10
24.65
24.55
24.45
25.10
25.35
25.60
-ve
3288.10
3263.25
3235.00
3206.75
3291.50
3305.60
3319.75
418.85
418.00
415.35
412.75
423.25
424.70
426.20
IFCI
ORACLE FIN.
INDUSIND BANK
INDIA CEMENTS
INDRAPRASTHA GAS
INDIAN HOTELS
IOC
-ve
-ve
+ve
59.10
58.75
58.30
58.00
59.65
60.15
60.45
268.50
267.35
264.85
262.35
272.35
275.15
277.95
Neutral
59.30
58.85
58.45
58.00
59.40
59.70
60.00
-ve
199.75
196.90
196.00
195.15
200.35
202.05
203.80
-ve
+ve
Page 10
SCRIP
CLOSE
S1
S2
S3
R1
R2
R3
TREND
IOB
49.90
49.05
48.80
48.50
49.90
50.35
50.75
IB REAL ESTATE
66.55
65.60
65.10
64.65
66.80
67.40
68.00
-ve
3457.15
3427.25
3399.30
3371.30
3466.85
3486.65
3506.45
-ve
INFOSYS
IRB INFRA.
-ve
92.20
91.30
90.60
89.85
92.50
93.10
93.65
316.70
316.15
315.00
313.85
318.50
319.30
320.10
IVRCL
15.85
15.55
15.40
15.20
15.95
16.15
16.35
-ve
JAIPRAKASH ASS.
50.60
49.80
49.40
48.95
50.85
51.40
51.90
-ve
JAIPRAKASH HYDRO
18.15
17.90
17.75
17.60
18.20
18.40
18.55
-ve
JAIN IRRIGATION
70.30
68.90
67.80
66.65
70.50
71.25
72.05
-ve
JINDAL ST&POW
256.80
253.85
252.00
250.15
257.50
259.30
261.15
-ve
51.45
50.35
49.90
49.40
51.70
52.40
53.05
-ve
1027.55
1012.30
1000.40
988.50
1028.40
1036.45
1044.50
-ve
JUBILANT FOOD
1242.40
1230.60
1223.60
1216.60
1246.35
1254.25
1262.10
-ve
-ve
ITC
JSW ENERGY
KARNATAKA BANK
108.05
106.30
105.70
105.05
108.25
109.20
110.20
KOTAK MAH.BANK
708.15
700.45
697.60
694.75
707.95
711.70
715.45
1019.50
1019.10
1014.00
1008.90
1029.35
1035.80
1042.30
L&T
-ve
+ve
-ve
+ve
LIC HOUSING
209.70
205.70
204.40
203.10
210.10
212.30
214.50
-ve
NSE LUPIN
932.90
923.35
918.85
914.35
934.70
940.40
946.05
-ve
M&M
903.10
901.75
897.25
892.80
910.75
915.10
919.50
+ve
MARUTI SUZUKI
1845.75
1842.90
1834.35
1825.80
1859.95
1869.80
1879.60
+ve
UNITED SPIRITS
2712.05
2672.05
2658.20
2644.40
2709.00
2727.50
2746.00
315.50
314.35
312.15
309.55
318.75
320.95
323.50
19120.35
18967.60
18869.15
18770.70
19164.60
19263.05
19361.55
145.95
143.45
142.55
141.70
146.90
148.60
150.35
18.70
18.60
18.55
18.45
18.80
18.90
18.95
Neutral
NMDC
136.15
135.40
134.35
133.50
137.55
138.65
139.45
Neutral
NSE NTPC
129.85
128.65
127.95
127.30
130.30
131.10
131.95
-ve
ONGC
276.25
273.25
271.00
268.75
277.15
279.10
281.10
-ve
MCLEOD RUSSEL
MRF
ADANI PORTS SEZ
NSE NHPC
OPTO CIRCUITS
-ve
Neutral
-ve
-ve
27.80
27.55
27.25
26.85
28.15
28.45
28.85
OBC
211.30
206.35
204.65
203.00
211.25
213.70
216.15
PETRONET LNG
121.15
119.90
118.95
118.05
121.55
122.40
123.20
-ve
POWER FINANCE
152.95
149.40
148.55
147.70
154.15
156.50
158.90
-ve
POWER GRID
98.80
98.25
97.75
97.30
98.95
99.30
99.70
-ve
POWER TRADING
60.30
59.30
58.35
57.45
60.60
61.25
61.90
-ve
Neutral
-ve
Page 11
SCRIP
PUNJ LLOYD
CLOSE
S1
S2
S3
R1
R2
R3
TREND
30.45
29.60
29.15
28.70
30.50
30.95
31.40
PNB
602.30
591.50
588.05
584.55
603.00
608.75
614.50
-ve
RANBAXY
480.40
471.20
468.35
465.50
480.45
485.05
489.70
-ve
RAYMOND
277.70
272.45
269.95
267.45
279.70
283.35
287.00
-ve
RCOM
129.65
127.85
126.80
125.75
129.75
130.65
131.60
-ve
REL. CAPITAL
354.70
350.50
347.05
343.60
355.70
358.30
360.90
-ve
RELIANCE INFRA.
404.60
399.45
397.35
395.25
406.15
409.50
412.80
-ve
RELIANCE
842.10
834.80
831.20
827.65
844.75
849.70
854.70
-ve
RELIANCE POWER
69.15
68.15
67.75
67.35
69.30
69.90
70.50
-ve
RENUKA SUGAR
21.85
21.60
21.00
20.35
22.85
23.15
23.45
+ve
203.00
200.35
198.95
197.55
204.10
205.95
207.85
69.75
68.70
68.00
67.25
70.10
70.85
71.55
-ve
SESA GOA
194.50
191.65
190.75
189.80
195.50
197.40
199.30
-ve
SHRIRAM TRANS.
634.65
619.55
613.40
607.25
637.95
647.15
656.40
-ve
SIEMENS
624.60
622.10
619.25
615.85
627.85
630.70
634.10
Neutral
REC
SAIL
SINTEX IND.
-ve
-ve
39.85
39.45
38.60
37.75
41.20
41.60
42.05
1661.40
1643.60
1633.10
1622.60
1667.10
1678.85
1690.60
SUN PHARMA
594.20
594.15
591.70
589.25
599.05
602.15
605.25
SUN TV
374.15
370.10
367.40
364.70
374.60
376.85
379.10
-ve
92.10
90.35
89.65
88.95
92.30
93.30
94.25
-ve
SBI
SYNDICATE BANK
+ve
-ve
+ve
TATA CHEMICALS
263.80
262.80
261.35
260.45
265.65
267.05
268.00
Neutral
188.15
187.35
186.45
185.50
189.05
189.90
190.90
Neutral
TATA MOTORS
365.10
362.55
360.60
358.65
365.70
367.25
368.80
-ve
79.55
78.45
77.70
77.00
80.05
80.85
81.65
156.50
155.80
155.05
154.20
157.30
158.05
158.95
TATA POWER
TATA TEA
-ve
Neutral
TCS
2206.15
2184.60
2172.85
2161.10
2213.35
2227.70
2242.05
-ve
TECH MAHINDRA
1804.05
1784.90
1776.55
1768.15
1804.60
1814.45
1824.25
-ve
TATA STEEL
394.70
387.55
384.75
382.00
397.20
402.05
406.90
-ve
TITAN IND.
226.05
223.60
222.40
221.25
226.65
228.15
229.70
-ve
UCO BANK
76.20
74.75
74.25
73.70
76.10
76.75
77.40
-ve
1690.20
1669.90
1663.45
1656.95
1696.25
1709.40
1722.55
-ve
ULTRATECH CEMENT
UBI
123.90
121.90
120.85
119.80
124.25
125.45
126.65
-ve
UNITED PHOSPH.
201.75
201.15
200.15
198.35
203.15
204.15
205.95
Neutral
14.90
14.70
14.60
14.55
14.95
15.10
15.25
UNITECH
-ve
Page 12
SCRIP
CLOSE
AXIS BANK
S1
S2
S3
R1
R2
R3
TREND
1234.25
1211.25
1206.15
1201.05
1236.40
1248.95
1261.55
TATA COMM.
314.40
310.60
307.45
304.95
317.00
320.20
322.65
Neutral
-ve
VOLTAS
120.80
120.10
119.15
116.95
121.95
122.85
125.05
Neutral
WIPRO
550.20
543.90
541.45
539.00
550.75
554.15
557.60
-ve
YES BANK
365.15
360.00
357.85
355.70
364.80
367.20
369.60
-ve
ZEE
285.70
281.75
277.65
273.60
286.15
288.35
290.55
-ve
NOTES:
Please execute the recommendation within the levels provided in the report
Once the recommendation is executed, it is advisable to keep strict stop loss as provided in the report
Avoid entering into the recommendation in the first 5 minutes of trade
If the recommendation opens near the target levels due to gap up/gap down opening, then the
recommendation is considered not initiated
The recommendations are valid only for the day and should be squared off by the end of the day
Only stocks in derivatives segment have been considered for daily trading
Medium to long-term prospects of a stock does not have any bearing on the daily view
It is recommended to spread out the trading corpus in a proportionate manner between the various technical
research products.
Please avoid allocating the entire trading corpus to a single stock or a single product segment
Within each product segment it is advisable to allocate equal amount to each recommendation.
For example: The Daily Calls product carries 3 to 4 intraday recommendations. It is advisable to allocate
equal amount to each recommendation
Page 13
Products
Allocations
Product wise
Max allocation
allocation
in 1 stock
Return Objective
Number of Calls
Frontline Stocks
Mid-cap stocks
Duration
Daily Calls
8%
2-3%
3-4 Stocks
0.50-1%
2-3%
Intraday
6%
3-5%
7-10 p.m
4-5%
7-10%
Opportunity based
Weekly Calls
8%
3-5%
1-2 Stocks
5-7%
7-10%
1 Week
Weekly Technical
8%
3-5%
1-2 Stocks
5-7%
7-10%
1 Week
Monthly Call
15%
5%
2-3 Stocks
7-10%
10-15%
1 Month
Monthly Technical
15%
2-4%
5-8 Stocks
7-10%
10-15%
1 Month
Techno Funda
15%
5-10%
1-2 Stocks
6 Months
Technical Breakout
15%
5-10%
1-2 Stocks
3-6 Months
Cash in Hand
10%
100%
Page 14
Candlesticks Glossary:
Candlestick patterns describe the market sentiment for the specified period. Some of the formations suggest reversal of
sentiment (trend) and, therefore, are important for a chart reader. By themselves, the patterns do not carry any price target but
only an indication of change in market behaviour. More importance needs to be given to the placement of the pattern within
larger trend
Bullish Engulfing Line: A potential bottom reversal pattern. This pattern typically appears at the culmination of a decline or
downtrend. The market falls, and a black candle forms (ideally a small black candle). Next, a white real body wraps around the
prior sessions black body. Low of the pattern becomes short term support for prices
Piercing Line: Potential bottom reversal pattern. A black body forms in the downtrend. The market continues moving south on
the next sessions open but that session culminates in a white real body that closes (e.g. pierces) than half way or more into the
prior black body. Lowest low between two candles is referred to as technical support for prices
Hammer: A candlestick line which, during a downtrend, has a very long lower shadow and small real body (black or white) at
the top end of the sessions range. There should be no, or a very small, upper shadow. Pattern suggests buying support during
declines and needs confirmation in terms of sustainability of prices above head of the Hammer in following session
Bearish Engulfing Line: Potential top reversal signal. This two candlestick pattern emerges during a rally. A black candle real
body wraps around a white real body (classically a small white candle) Highest high between two candles becomes resistance
level for prices for future reference
Dark Cloud cover: A dark cloud cover forms a top reversal pattern. The first session should be a strong, white real body. The
second sessions price opens over the prior sessions high (or above the prior sessions close). By the end of the second session,
it closes near the low of the session and should fall well into the prior sessions white body. Pattern suggests that market has a
poor chance of rising immediately
Shooting Star: A single candlestick line during a rally in which there is a small real body (white or black) at the bottom end of
the session's range and a very long upper shadow. The candle line should also have little or no lower shadow. Pattern suggest
the trouble for prices overhead
Page 15
Pankaj Pandey
Head Research
pankaj.pandey@icicisecurities.com
Disclaimer
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Page 16