POMI simulations for 2005 and 2012

EMEP model results

Agnes Ny ri

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Modelling over the Po-Valley domain

EMEP model setup

Domain: Po-Valley, 66 km2 UTM WGS84 grid Meteorology: 1 hourly MM5 interpolated on the

66 km2 UTM WGS84 grid

Emissions: Aggregated to 66 km2 UTM WGS84 grid BC: Interpolated from 3030 km2 UTM (as delivered)

Output deliveries
No nal interpolation was necessary Some aerosol components missing
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MM5 meteorology in the EMEP model

Interpolation to 66 km2 UTM grid Interpolation of vertical levels to EMEP levels Missing meteorological variables calculated either in

the model or during interpolation

vertical wind velocity in coordinates 3D cloud cover 3D precipitation Surface stress ( ) Potential temperature Unit conversions

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Annual emission totals in 2005 and 2012

Po-Valley domain Year 2005 2012 SO2 181 128 NOx 798 670 VOC NH3 945 820 CO PM2.5 85 77 PMco 37 35

318 1898 312 1519

Units: Gg/year In the model

Same temporal distribution of emissions Same meteorology Differences in results due to magnitudes (and

spatial distribution) of emissions

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Yearly averaged O3 levels 2005

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Yearly averaged O3 levels 2012

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Difference in O3 levels between 2005 and 2012

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Yearly averaged PM2.5 levels 2005

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Yearly averaged PPM2.5 levels 2005

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Yearly averaged ne NO3 levels 2005

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Yearly averaged NH4 levels 2005

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Yearly averaged SO4 levels 2005

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Yearly averaged PM2.5 levels 2012

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Difference in PM2.5 levels between 2005 and 2012

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Yearly averaged PM10 levels 2005

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Yearly averaged PM10 levels 2012

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Difference in PM10 levels between 2005 and 2012

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Yearly averaged NO2 levels 2005

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Yearly averaged NO2 levels 2012

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Difference in NO2 levels between 2005 and 2012

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Validation for the EMEP site Ispra

Comparison of measured and modelled data for Ispra NO2 Obs Mod Units: g/m3 Generally
Model results are better than previous base case Still some peaks in ozone eld PM is signicantly underestimated

O3

PM2.5

PM10

18.47 43.41 29.79 37.89 (29.00) 19.27 40.90 12.25 14.30

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Model results

Improvements compared to previous base case

New emissions and meteorology New method to calculate EMEP model version changed

How to improve the results further?

Better interpolation of meteorology Check with other meteorology New ne scale landuse

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