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DAILY COMMODITY REPORT

17th FEBRUARY

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DAILY MARKET WRAPUP


17th FEBRUARY
COMMODITY GOLD SILVER CRUDE NATURAL GAS COPPER NICKEL LEAD ZINC ALUMINIUM CONTRACT OPEN PRICE HIGH LOW CLOSE PRICE %CHANGE OI (in lots)

05 APR 2014 05 MAR 2014 19 FEB 2014 25 FEB 2014 28 FEB 2014 28 FEB 2014 28 FEB 2014 28 FEB 2014 28 FEB 2014

29230.00 44999.00 6244.00 320.50 446.95 883.10 131.60 126.25 106.50

29426.00 46337.00 6244.00 333.90 447.50 886.80 132.50 127.25 107.00

20230.00 44999.00 6156.00 320.10 444.75 880.10 131.55 126.25 106.00

29184.00 44922.00 6253.00 318.70 446.30 881.80 131.55 126.30 106.45

0.58 3.00 -0.99 2.35 -0.08 -0.05 0.15 0.24 -0.33

10782 11311 10481 14089 10507 6201 3322 3346 3504

LME WAREHOUSE STOCKS (14-FEB- 2014) METAL


ALUMINIUM COPPER LEAD NICKEL ZINC
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TONNES IN STORAGE
-10575 -1550 -500 -276 -4150
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INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
17th FEBRUARY

PRECIOUS AND INDUSTRY METALS COMMODITY


COMEX GOLD GOLD SPOT COMEX SILVER COMEX COPPER PLATINUM SPOT

UNITS
USD/T OZ. USD/T OZ. USD/T OZ. USD/LB. USD/T OZ.

PRICE
1,329.60 1,329.89 21.95 328.45 1,431.56

CHANGE
+11.00 +11.23 +0.52 +2.00 +3.81

% CHANGE
+0.83% +0.85% +2.45% +0.61% +0.27%

CONTRACT
APR 14 N/A MAR 14 MAR 14 N/A

ENERGY COMMODITY FUTURES COMMODITY


CRUDE OIL (WTI) CRUDE OIL (BRENT) RBOB GASOLINE NYMEX NATURAL GAS NYMEX HEATING OIL

UNITS
USD/BBL. USD/BBL. USD/GAL. USD/MMBTU USD/GAL.

PRICE
100.59 109.27 281.01 5.40 308.22

CHANGE
+0.29 +0.19 +0.48 +0.19 +0.40

% CHANGE
+0.29% +0.17% +0.17% +3.62% +0.13%

CONTRACT
MAR 14 APR 14 MAR 14 MAR 14 MAR 14

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INTRADAY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE


17th FEBRUARY

COMMODITY

EXPIRY

SUP.3

SUP.2

SUP.1

PIVOT

RES.1

ALUMINIUM

28-FEB

104.38

105.12

105.53

106.27

106.68

COPPER

28-FEB

441.78

443.27

444.53

446.02

447.28

CRUDEOIL

19-MAR

6102

6139

6180

6217

6258

GOLD

5-APR

29067

29148

29262

29343

29457

LEAD

28-FEB

130.13

130.77

131.23

131.87

132.33

NATURALGAS

25-FEB

304.57

312.33

318.37

326.13

332.17

NICKEL

28-FEB

870.6

875.1

877.9

882.4

885.2

SILVER

5-MAR

43784

44392

45502

46110

47220

ZINC
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28-FEB

125.08

125.67

126.08

126.67

127.08
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MOST ACTIVE CONTRACTS


17th FEBRUARY

Symbol
NATURAL GAS SILVERMICRO SILVER M CRUDE OIL SILVER LEADMINI COPPER COPPERMINI NICKEL NICKELMINI

Expiry Date
25-02-2014 28-02-2014 28-02-2014 19-02-2014 05-03-2014 28-02-2014 28-02-2014 28-02-2014 28-02-2014 28-02-2014

LTP
326.20 46283.00 46295.00 6191.00 46270.00 131.80 445.95 446.00 881.40 881.70

Value (In Lacs)


4,24,02,085.60 4,82,52,34,165.00 2,30,40,55,855.00 29,73,97,067.00 1,30,09,73,590.00 22,00,005.60 72,90,390.60 59,67,034.00 1,13,90,332.20 1,07,18,826.90

Volume (In Lots)


1,29,988 1,04,255 49,769 48,037 28,117 16,692 16,348 13,379 12,923 12,157

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TODAY,S COMMODITY NEWS


17th FEBRUARY

COMMODITY HEADLINES Gold and silver value surges for the third day Gems and jewellery exports to rise Gold hits 3-1/2 month high on favourable US data Lead up 0.3% on spot demand, overseas cues Copper up 0.19% on global cues, spot demand India unlikely to benefit from metals' price fall Palm oil imports fall to lowest in 5 months Tea prices drop over poor grade Refined oil imports rise on inverse duty structure Oil prices down after lackluster US stockpiles Crude oil futures down 0.18% on weak Asian cues Oil prices down in Asian trade Commodities, securities norms to converge Rubber imports up by 41% in Apr-Jan

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COMMODITY BUZZ AND ECONOMIC EVENTS


17th FEBRUARY SPECIAL NEWS The Government on Friday raised the import tariff value on gold to $421 from $404 per 10 grams and silver tariff value to $663 per kg from $635, respectively, taking into account the volatility in the global prices The tariff value on imported brass scrap has reduced to $3913 per tonne from $3,959 per tonne, while on poppy seeds it has been kept unchanged at $3,195 per tonne.The tariff value of areca nuts has been raised to $1,872 per tonne from $1,816 per tone GDP rose by 0.3% in the euro area during the fourth quarter of2013, compared with the previous quarter, according to flash estimates publishedby Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In the third quarterof 2013, GDP grew by 0.1% in the euro area. Compared with the same quarter ofthe previous year, seasonally adjusted GDP rose by 0.5% in the euro area, after-0.3% in the previous quarter. Over the whole year 2013 3, GDP fell by 0.4%in the euro area. The total rabi sown area, as per reports received from States, during the week ending 14.2.2014 stands at 656.67 lakh hectare as compared to 621.39 lakh hectare at this time last year, up 5.70%. Total sown area under wheat, total pulses, total coarse cereals and rapeseed & mustard are final for rabi seaYOUR MINTVISORY

COMMODITY BUZZ
The Gold prices for April expiry settled at $ 1318.6 per troy ounce. This was the highest level for Gold since November last year. The rally in COMEX Gold for the week ending 14 February 2014 was phenomenal. The prices galloped by 4.4% after US economic data enthused confidence in Gold traders. The Commerce Department released a report on Thursday showing an unexpected drop in U.S. retail sales in the month of January. Comex Copper prices settled at $ 3.262 per pound on 14 February 2014 from $ 3.236 per pound on 7 February 2014. The buying sentiments of Copper got a setback during the weekend after the news that China is expected to show slower growth though the week still ended in green for the commodity. The exports targets of China are getting slower and expected to remain tugged at 7.5% in 2014. Light Sweet Crude Oil for March 2014 delivery settled at $ 100.3 per barrel on 14 February 2014, against $ 99.88 per barrel a week before. Weak Dollar resulted in offsetting the retail sales data thereby benefiting the prices of Light Sweet Crude Oil on a marginal basis. The retail sales of US declined after the auto sales showed a sharp decline. inventories of Crude Oil increased by 3.3 million barrels.
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EPIC RESEARCH ANALYST SPEAKS


17th FEBRUARY

SILVER

Finally Silver has broke its upper range 45850 level and made high of 46700. Due to positive nots on COMEX silver we expect MCX silver can move up to 47500, on the other side below 45850 level can take price to 45500-45200 level. BUY SILVER ABOVE 46850 TGTS 47100/47450 SL 46600 SELL SILVER BELOW 46500 TGTS 46250/45900 SL 46800

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EPIC RESEARCH ANALYST SPEAKS


17th FEBRUARY

GOLD

Gold prices moved higher as poor US Retail sales and Unemployment data raised safe haven appeal for gold and weaker dollar also helped Gold prices to move higher. We expect Gold prices may move more higher for the coming day's as poor US data and ETF buying could keep the prices in range to higher.

BUY GOLD(APR) ABOVE 29450 TGTS 29530/29630 SL 29350 SELL GOLD(APR) BELOW 29250 TGTS 29170/29070 SL 29350

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EPIC RESEARCH ANALYST SPEAKS


17th FEBRUARY

CASTORSEED

RESISTANCE 1

4298.70

RESISTANCE 2

4330.30

PIVOT

4278

SUPPORT 1

4246.70

SUPPORT 2

4226.30

Castorseed Mar looking sideways to bearish in daily chart. Momentum indicators also support bearishness, recommending sell on high. In Intraday basis having some bullishness but allover castorseed is in downside nearest support @ 4250 & nearest resistance @ 4310. BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 9430 TGT 9460,9510 SL 9380 SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 9250 TGT 9220,9170 SL 9290

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17th FEBRUARY

EPIC RESEARCH ANALYST SPEAKS


DHANIYA

RESISTANCE 1

9215.30

RESISTANCE 2

9352.70

PIVOT

9132.70

SUPPORT 1

8995.30

SUPPORT 2

8912.70

Castorseed Mar looking sideways to bearish in daily chart. Momentum indicators also support bearishness, recommending sell on high. In Intraday basis having some bullishness but allover castorseed is in downside nearest support @ 4250 & nearest resistance @ 4310. BUY DHANIYA APR ABOVE 9430 TGT 9460,9510 SL 9380 SELL DHANIYA APR BELOW 9250 TGT 9220,9170 SL 9290

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TODAYS ECONOMIC EVENTS


17th FEBRUARY

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 17 TIME


All Day All Day 03:30 09:00 09:00 09:00 10:30 16:00 16:00 19:30 Tentative EUR EUR EUR EUR CHF KRW KRW AUD JPY

COUNTRY

EVENT
United States - Washington's Birthday Canada - Family Day Spanish industrial New Orders (YoY) French 12-Month BTF Auction French 3-Month BTF Auction French 6-Month BTF Auction SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan speaks South Korean PPI (MoM) South Korean PPI (YoY) Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes Interest Rate Decision

ACTUAL FORECAST PREVIOUS

-3.0%

-5.1% 0.162% 0.151% 0.157%

0.2% -0.4%

0.10%

0.10%

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DISCLAIMER
17th FEBRUARY
The information and views in this report, our website & all the service we provide are believed to be reliable, but we do not accept any responsibility (or liability) for errors of fact or opinion. Users have the right to choose the product/s that suits them the most.

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