Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
MeasuringtheEconomicValue ofTripleBottomLineBusinesses
ServicesHempsteadProvides
BusinessAppraisals FairnessOpinions PurchasePriceAllocations IntangibleAssetAppraisals SolvencyAnalyses EconomicDamagesAnalyses FinancialConsultingandAdvisoryServices
WhyValueaBusiness?
Prudent: Benchmarking& Planning BuyingorSelling ObtainingFinancing DesigningPartnerships Buy&SellAgreements Required: Estate&GiftTaxes FinancialReporting (PublicCompanies) Divorce&Litigation IssuingStockOptions ESOPs
ValuationintheNews
PhiladelphiaNewspapers SalePrices($millions)
$600 $500
$400
$300
$200
$100
$ Apr06 Apr07 Apr08 Apr09 Apr10 Apr11 Apr12 Apr13 Jul06 Jul07 Jul08 Jul09 Jul10 Jul11 Jul12 Jul13 Oct06 Oct07 Oct08 Oct09 Oct10 Oct11 Oct12 Oct13 Jan06 Jan07 Jan08 Jan09 Jan10 Jan11 Jan12 Jan13 Jan14
DateofTransactions
MichaelJacksonEstate
IRSpresentedJacksonEstatewithabillfor$702million BiggestpointofcontentionwasovertherightstoMichaelJacksons imageandlikeness,anintangibleasset Estate $2,105vs.IRS $434million
HowtoValueaBusiness CaseStudy:ValuingaBrewery
Breweries&RelatedBusinessesin thePhiladelphiaRegion
MembersofSBN:PBC&Yards Newer:DoGoodBrewing&St.Benjamins BrewingCompany Upto20breweriesforecasttoopenin2014 throughoutthePhiladelphiaRegion(philly.com) DiscussionofformingaBrewingCoOp PhiladelphiaHomeBrewingClub
http://www.phillyhbc.org/ Mtgs.3rd Fridays,Monthly
ThreeApproaches toValuingaBusiness
AssetBasedApproach MarketBasedApproach
GuidelinePrivateTransactions GuidelinePubliclyTradedCompanyMethod IncomeBasedApproach
CapitalizationofEarnings DiscountedFutureNetCashFlows
AssetBased ApproachestoValue
Generallyfocusedonassetintensiveentities
Manufacturers,wholesalers
Generallynotforusewithassetlightentities
Technology,professionalservices
Generallyprovidesavaluefloor
ConsidersConditionandQualityof TangibleAssets
Questionforaudience:Whataresomeofthe assetsthatbrewerieshave? FixedAssets CurrentAssets OtherAssets Furnitureand Other Cash Fixtures Investments Receivables Machinery Non Inventory and Operating OtherCurrent Equipment Assets Assets RealEstate
MendocinoBrewing(BlueHeron) AdjustedNetAssetValue
($000) Actual Sept 30, 2013 Realization Pro forma January 1, 2014 ASSETS Current Assets Cash, Cash Equiv. and Short-term Invest. Total Receivables, Net Inventories, Net Deferred Income Taxes, Current Prepaid Expenses Total Current Assets Fixed Assets Property, Plant & Equipment, Net Total Assets Total Liabilities 11,834 $19,024 ($17,859) 100% Adjusted, per Appraisal 12,000 $18,434 ($17,859)
$575
MarketApproach TransactionMethod
Reviewtransactionsinvolvingcompaniessimilartosubject company Reviewpasttransactionsinsubjectcompanysstock Reviewsourcesofacquiredcompanytransactiondata. Transactionscanbefrombusinessbrokers,CPAs, investmentbankers,etc Privatesubscriptiondatabasesandnewsreports(consider reliabilityandcompletenessoftransactiondata)
EBITDA Definition
Earningsbeforeinterestexpense,taxes, depreciationandamortization Netincome +interestexpense +incometaxes +depreciationandamortization EBITDA
EnterpriseValue Definition
Enterprisevalueiscalculatedasmarketcap(or totalequity)plusdebtminuscash. EnterpriseValue=EquityValue+Debt Cash Thinkofenterprisevalueasthetheoretical takeoverprice.Intheeventofabuyout,an acquirerwouldhavetotakeonthecompany's debt,butwouldpocketitscash.
MarketApproach GuidelineCompanyMethod
SelectComparable(Guideline)Companies Developappropriatecomparablecriteria Industrycharacteristics Sizeofcompanies,profitability,growth Frequencytraded;Availabilityofinformation Questionforaudience: Whataresomepubliclytradedbeercompanies?
SearchBreweryCompanies PubliclyTraded
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) Company Anheuser Busch InBev Appalachian Mountain Brewery Boston Beer Co Craft Beer Alliance Diageo PLC Grupo Modelo Heineken N.V. Mendocino Molson Coors Brewing SABMiller Ticker Symbol BUD NCNE SAM BREW DEO GPMCF HINKY MENB TAP SBMRY Exchange ADR OTC NYSE NASDAQ ADR ADR ADR OTC NYSE ADR Comment Belgian/Brazilian New USA Start Up USA USA Start Up British Mexico Dutch USA USA South African Brands Stella Artois, Bud, Michelob Honey Badger, Black Gold Sam Adams Red Hook, Omission Guiness, Liquor Corona, Modelo Heineken, Amstel Blue Heron, Red Tail Ail Coors, Blue Moon, Molson Miller Lite, Grolsch
ADR
ReviewingGPCMultiples overtime
EV/Revenue Boston Beer Co Craft Beer Alliance Mendocino Molson Coors Brewing Dec 31, 2008 1x 0.6x 0.3x 1.4x Dec 31, 2008 15x -1.9x 7.1x 3.8x Dec 31, 2009 1.3x 0.5x 0.4x 2.1x Dec 31, 2009 5.6x 6.9x 21.7x 4x Dec 31, 2010 2.6x 1.3x 0.4x 3.1x Dec 31, 2010 13.2x 15.4x 23.4x 9.5x Dec 31, 2011 2.6x 0.8x 0.3x 2.5x Dec 31, 2011 11.8x 9.9x 5.1x 8.1x Dec 31, 2012 2.8x 0.8x 0.3x 3x Dec 31, 2012 15x 10.3x 6x 18.8x Dec 31, 2013 na na na 3.3x Dec 31, 2013 na na na 23.4x 2008-2012 Median 2.6x 0.8x 0.3x 3x 2008-2012 Median 13.2x 9.9x 7.1x 8.1x
EV/EBITDA Boston Beer Co Craft Beer Alliance Mendocino Molson Coors Brewing na = not available
MarketBasedApproach ResultsSummarized
MVIC/ Revenue (a) Guideline Transactions (b) Kona Brewing Co. (c) Guideline Publicly Traded Companies - 5 Yr. Medians (2008-2012) 0.8x 1.42x 0.3x - 2.6x MVIC/ EBITDA 6.1x 25x 7.1x - 13.2x
MarketBasedApproach SelectionofMultiples
Determineappropriatepricingmultiples Comparesubjectcompanytoguidelinegroup Size(Sales/TotalAssets) Growthrates Margins Applymultiplestosubjectentity
QualitativeFactorsCanImpact MultipleSelection
Relevanteconomicdata(Global,National,Local) Industryfactors Competition Regulation Supplierrelationships Marketposition Managementandemployees
25
MarketBasedApproachtoValue ApplicationofMultiples
Subject Brewing Company Revenue EBITDA $36,440,300 $1,051,200 Select Market Multiple 0.3x 10.9x Implied Enterprise Value $11,499,807 $11,499,807 $11,500,000
Preliminary Market-Based Indication of Value (Results Averaged) - calculation for discussion purposes only
EarningsBasedApproach CapitalizationofEarnings
Subjectvaluebasedonanticipatedfuturefinancial benefits
CapitalizationofEarnings
Singleestimateofearnings Maturecompanies,e.g.Manufacturing
DiscountedCashFlow
Multiperiodestimateofearnings Earlystage,fastgrowingcompanies,e.g.Technology, pharmaceuticals
EarningsBasedApproachtoValue CapitalizationofEarnings
Calculatingthecapitalizationfactor(e.g.multiple) (1+g)/(i g)
i =discountratetoreflectrisk g=growthrateinperpetuity E=FutureEarnings Value=FutureEarnings/CapitalizationRate
Value
E0 (1 + g) (i - g)
CashFlowiswhatmatters
Revenues EBIT(Op.Income) Less:CorporateTaxes TaxAffectOp.Income Add:Depreciation Deduct:CapEx Deduct:ChangeinNWC DebtFreeCashFlow Note: NetWorkingCap Dec31 2008 $36,735 401 5 396 Dec31 2009 $35,002 Dec31 2010 $34,976 Dec31 2011 $41,211 Dec31 2012 $40,336 935 3 933 5YearAvg. (478) (545) 492 7 10 7 (485) (554) 485 161 155
1,077 1,086 1,085 1,488 1,048 (770) (435) (394) (1,026) (1,503) 446 1,855 (8,610) 6,783 705 1,148 2,022 (8,473) 7,730 1,182 722
NetWorkingCapitalisoftencalculatedasCurrentAssetslessCurrentLiabilities
DeterminingaConstantGrowthRate
CompanyHistoricalFinancialData IndustryData U.S.orWorldEconomicData
DiscountRatesandCostofFinancing ReflectRisksofBusinessVenture
40.00% 35.00% 30.00% 25.00% 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% 5.00% 0.00%
CapitalizationofEarningsExample
Value = E0(1+g) (Ig) Value = $1,500,000 (1+4%) (20%4%) x 6.5
Value Value
= =
$1,500,000 $9,750,000
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis ($ in 000's) Discrete Projection Period (2014 - 2016) January 1, 2014 Total Revenues % Change Adjusted Earnings before Interest & Taxes (EBIT) Corporate Income Taxes (Imputed at 40%) After-Tax Income Add: Depreciation Less: Increase (Reduction) in Net Working Capital Less: Capital Expenditures Cash Flows Discount Interval (t) Present Value Factor = 1/(1 + i)^t Present Calue of Cash Flows Sum of Present Values (Discrete Projection Period) Terminal Value Calculation Long-Run Growth Rate Discount Rate (i) Capitalization Factor Terminal Cash Flow [5] Terminal Value [6] Present Value Factor Present Value of Terminal Value 20.0% 2014 $ 38,262 5.0% 765 306 459 1,148 1,455 (957) $ 1,108 0.50 0.91 1,012 4,146 1.2% 3.0% 3.8% (2.5%) 2.9% 100.0% 2015 $ 40,175 5.0% 804 321 482 1,205 918 (1,205) $ 1,974 1.50 0.76 1,502 1.2% 3.0% 2.3% (3.0%) 4.9% 100.0% 2016 $ 41,782 4.0% 836 334 501 1,253 643 (1,462) $ 2,574 2.50 0.63 1,632 1.2% 3.0% 1.5% (3.5%) 6.2% 100.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
Implied Multiples September 30, 2013 EBITDA $ 1,051 Implied MVIC/2013 EBITDA 7.7 Implied MVIC/2014 EBITDA 14.0
Total Present Value ( Enterprise Value) Total Interest Bearing Debt Total Equity Value, rounded [8] - this discounted cash flow model was developed for discussion purposes only.
SummaryofValuationApproaches
Finalconclusionofvalue
Reconciliationofapproaches
Whatindicationsofvaluesappearreasonable? Weightingofapproaches
QUESTIONS?