26TH Feb 2014

MARKET DIARY
SGX NIFTY : 6202 ( 8 pts Down )

Quote of The Day

"The only time to buy that which you don't understand, is on the day with no 'y' in it." Warren Buffett

MARKET
Name Sensex Nifty DOW NASDAQ CAC DAX FTSE NIKKIE HANG SENG EW ALL SHARE Value 20852.47 6200.03 16179.66 4287.59 4414.55 9699.35 6830.5 15007.97 22397.01 9830.00 Change 41.03 13.95 (27.48) (5.38) (4.58) (9.59) (35.36) (43.63) 79.81 14.64

Chart of the Day Indian Bond Mkt & Sensex Trend

INSTITUTIONAL TURNOVER
FII Investor 25th,Feb, 14 Buy(Cr.) 2649.66 39767.88 105334.14 DII Investor 25th,Feb, 14 Feb,14 2014 Buy(Cr.) 790.52 17635.60 43324.01 Sale(Cr.) 1,079.64 17,108.76 44,252.64 Net(Cr.) (289.12) 526.84 (928.63) Sale(Cr.) 2,226.25 39,811.72 1,06,643.86 Net(Cr.) 423.41 (43.84) (1309.72)

Index Action-Nifty (25th, Feb, 14)

Feb,14 2014

Contents News Economic calendar Result Calendar

Index

Page 2 3 3

Coverage UPDATE UPDATE UPDATE

COMMODITY PRICE COMMODITY/CURRENCIES Value GOLD 30244.00 SILVER 47805.00 CRUDEOIL 109.65 COPPER NATURALGAS DOLLAR/RS. EURO/RS. POUND/RS. 444.60 289.60 61.94 85.16 103.32

Narnolia Securities Ltd.

124, 1st floor 7/1, Lords Sinha Road Kolkata -700071. Ph 033-22821500/01/02/03/04 Mob : 9830013196 email: research@narnolia.com, website : www.narnolia.com

Derivative Research
NIFTY SNAPSHOT Nifty Spot Nifty Feb 2013 Future Nifty Mar 2013 Future Nifty Feb 2013 Open Interest Nifty Mar 2013 Open Interest 7 DMA of Spot Nifty 21 DMA of Spot NIfty 50 DMA of Spot Nifty VOLATILITY INDEX (VIX) PUT CALL RATIO Nifty (Feb Series) Option OI Distribution: 6200.05(+16.95) 6205 6241 9777800 9123000 6140 6084 6180 13.95(-0.41) 1.12 GRAPH

Index Outlook

Activity of Nifty (Feb Series) Strike CALL OI % Chng 5800 134400 -46.6 5900 334600 -27.6 6000 1217550 -23.9 6100 1794850 -44.6 6200 4042000 -19.0 6300 4539450 -2.6 Fresh Long Seen In (Rising OI -Rising Price) Scrip OI OI ch% AUROPHARMA 158,58,000 33.2 BHEL 516,60,000 10.0 TITAN 109,95,000 8.3 HINDPETRO 63,70,000 8.2 ULTRACEMCO 11,67,500 7.9 PCR (OI) RISING STOCK T1 KTKBANK 0.42 TITAN 0.84 TATACOMM 0.25 WIPRO 0.77 AMBUJACEM 0.94

PUT OI 3002850 4019450 9230600 6114400 3406150 753500 CMP % Chng -3.1 -10.2 -11.4 -10.9 9.8 17.2 Ch%

FIIs Activity (Fig in Cr) Segment INDEX FUTURE INDEX OPTION STOCK FUTURE STOCK OPTION TOTAL

Buy 3,570 14,446 11,257 1,242 30,515

Sell 2,968 13,996 11,425 1,244 29,632

Net 602 450 (168) (1) 882

517.0 159.5 243.2 256.3 1860.0

T2 0.29 0.65 0.19 0.61 0.75

6.9 1.9 3.4 1.5 1.5

Fresh Shorts Seen In: (Rising OI -Falling Price) Scrip OI OI ch% TATAMTRDVR 137,50,000 18.1 SUNPHARMA 72,84,500 14.2 TATASTEEL 152,45,000 10.9 TATAPOWER 163,24,000 10.2 NMDC 87,54,000 9.2 PCR (OI) FALLING STOCK T1 SRTRANSFIN 0.23 MRF 0.08 SAIL 0.32 JPPOWER 0.36 GAIL 0.52

CMP

Ch%

194.9 618.6 360.9 81.0 131.7

T2 0.34 0.10 0.41 0.45 0.61

-0.6 -0.3 -2.2 -2.1 -2.6

Markets Snapshot
Top Price Performers Top Performers 1D DHANUS MAHINDFORG BLUESTINFO VIKASGLOB OILCOUNTUB Worst Price Performers Worst Performers 1D STRAUSIND SHRGLTR SUNDARAM CONFIPET BIRLAPOWER % Change (11.07) (10.81) (9.81) (8.77) (8.33) Worst Performers 1W SUNDARAM SOUISPAT WARRENTEA COROENGG GOENKA % Change (43.40) (32.00) (22.55) (22.43) (21.82) Worst Performers 1M WARRENTEA SUNDARAM MARG WESTE MONNETISPA % Change (48.67) (46.39) (41.13) (38.55) (38.25) % Change 16.67 15.14 14.72 12.49 12.07 Top Performers 1W LLOYDSTEEL DHARSUGAR GENESYS JAIBALAJI DCM % Change 46.59 44.57 39.98 32.51 28.42 Top Performers 1M RMCL GLOBOFFS AVANTI SPECTACLE KOTHARIPRO % Change 104.79 95.16 91.40 88.30 79.02

Top News :
NTPC Ltd has informed that a Memorandum of Understanding has been signed amongst Bihar State Power Generation Company Limited (BSPGCL), NTPC Limited and Lakhisarai Bijlee Company Private Limited (LBCPL), a wholly-owned subsidiary of BSPGCL, on February 22, 2014 to take over LBCPL by NTPC after contributing 74% of share of investment divested by BSPGCL for setting up Lakhisarai Thermal Power Project (2X660 MW) near village Kajra, District Lakhisarai, Bihar under joint venture route. Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (CERC) in exercise of powers conferred under section 178 of the Electricity Act, 2003 has issued CERC (Terms and conditions of tariff) Regulations, 2014 which shall come into force w.e.f. April 01, 2014 and shall remain in force for a period of 5 years from the date of commencement. Some of the important provisions of the regulations computation are as follows 1. Rate of return has been retained at 15.5% which will be grossed up with effective tax rate as per Regulation 25 of the said Regulations 2.Additional RoE of 0.5% subject to certain conditions 3. Rate of Depreciation as per Companies Act for the first 12 years 4 O&M charges have been increased based on past actual expenditure 5. Any generation beyond 85% PLF level will qualify for incentive @ Rs. 0.50 per kWh . 6.A copy of the regulations is available on the website of CERC i.e. at www.cercind.gov.in National Fertilizers Ltd has informed that National Fertilizers Limited (NFL), Nangal Unit (Punjab) is under shutdown for annual maintenance w.e.f. January 17, 2014. Plant is expected to resume production by 1st week of March, 2014. JSW Steel has increased prices of its products by up to Rs 750 per tonne, or about 1 percent, across the board for March, its third hike in three months. Other producers such as SAIL , Essar Steel, Rashtriya Ispat Nigam and Jindal Steel and Power are also expected to hike prices in the coming days due to rise in input costs, increasing international rates of steel and demand uptick in the current quarter The new gas price from April 1 is likely at USD 7.6-8/mmbtu, and not USD 8.4/mmbtu. The government had approved a new formula for calculating the price of gas in June, which was to take it to about USD 8.4 per million British thermal units from USD 4.2 Piccadily Agro Industries has purchased 89 percent shareholding of M/s. Nirvana Biosys (P) Ltd, which has become a subsidiary of Piccadily Agro Industries Limited. Kinetic Engineering (KEL) announced that it has sold its entire shareholding in Mahindra Two Wheelers Limited (MTWL) to Samena Capital, a Private Equity Investment Group focused on Asia and Middle east. U.S. consumer confidence Board, a market research group said its index of consumer confidence declined to 78.1 this month from a reading of 79.4 in January, whose figure was revised down from a previously reported 80.7. Analysts had expected the index to inch up to 80.0 in February. Standard & Poors with Case-Shiller said its house price index rose at an annualized rate of 13.4% in December from a year earlier, compared to forecasts for a 13.3 gain and following a rise of 13.7% in November. Italian National Institute of Statistics said that Italian Consumer Confidence rose to 97.5, from 98.0 in the preceding month. Analysts had expected Italian Consumer Confidence to rise 98.5 last month.

Management Tweets :
Heidelberg Cement Mgt Guideline : Company says the recent prices hikes that the company has undertaken, Rs 15-20 per cement bag, has been done over a period of time since January 2014. These hikes will not aid the cement majors margins . The higher pet coke (used as a fuel in manufacturing cement) prices will be restricting our EBITDA gains despite the price hikes . The company will see 100 percent capacity utilization in CY15 . Ashoka Buildcon Mgt Guideline : Company has emerged as the lowest bidder for Rs 292-crore road projects in Maharashtra by the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways (MoRTH) for upgrading two highway stretches in the state. The timeline of execution for the project is approximately two years, with an EBITDA expectation of 10-11 percent, which is lower than the margins they generally clock in. In the previous quarter, Ashoka Buildcon managed margins at 22 percent. Dhanuka Agritech Mgt Guideline : The commissioning of the new manufacturing plant in Rajasthan will be in fourth quarter of the next financial year that is in Jan-March 2015 . Once the production gets streamlined, the company expects Rs 500 crore revenue from the same . Commenting on the capex plans for FY15, he said around Rs 50 crore of expansion for Rajasthan facility is planned, from internal accruals. 30% of the capex will be invested in current financial year and the rest in the next financial year. The company as of now is debt-free except working capital requirements funded by banks Result Calendar Q3FY14 Date Bse Code 25-Feb-14 500530 25-Feb-14 502180 25-Feb-14 511371 26-Feb-14 517140 26-Feb-14 512205 26-Feb-14 513063 26-Feb-14 526299 26-Feb-14
Economic Calendar
Monday 24-Feb-14 Tuesday 25-Feb-14 Wednesday 26-Feb-14 Thursday 27-Feb-14 Friday 28-Feb-14

Bse Code 500674 504959 520113 532099 505744 500166 500339 513629

Company Name SANOFI Stovec Inds Vesuvius India Database Fin Federal Mogul Goodricke Group RAIN Tulsyan NEC-$

Company Name Bosch Shree Digvijay-$ Vatsa Corp Moser Baer Vatsa Edu Transfreight Co Mphasis

Date 27-Feb-14 27-Feb-14 27-Feb-14 28-Feb-14 28-Feb-14 12-Mar-14 13-Mar-14

US

S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y , HPI m/m , CB Consumer Confidence , Richmond Manufacturing Index .

New Home Sales , Crude Oil Inventories .

Core Durable Goods Orders m/m , Unemployment Claims , Durable Goods Orders m/m , Natural Gas Storage .

Chicago PMI , Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment , Revised UoM Inflation Expectations , Pending Home Sales m/m .

UK/EURO ZONE

German Retail Sales m/m , German GfK German Consumer Climate , German Import Prices m/m , Nationwide HPI m/m German Ifo Business Climate , CPI y/y Inflation Report Hearings , German Final Prelim CPI m/m , Second Estimate GDP q/q German Unemployment Change , M3 Money , French Consumer Spending m/m , , Core CPI y/y . GDP q/q . , Prelim Business Investment q/q , Index of Supply y/y , Private Loans y/y , Retail PMI . Italian Monthly Unemployment Rate , Net Services 3m/3m , Italian Prelim CPI m/m . Lending to Individuals m/m , CPI Flash Estimate y/y , Unemployment Rate .

INDIA

Foreign Reserves , GDP Growth Rate YoY.

N arnolia Securities Ltd

402, 4th floor 7/ 1, Lord s Sinha Road Kolkata 700071, Ph 033-32011233 Toll Free no : 1-800-345-4000 em ail: research@narnolia.com , w ebsite : w w w .narnolia.com

Risk Disclosure & Disclaimer: This report/message is for the personal information of
the authorized recipient and does not construe to be any investment, legal or taxation advice to you. Narnolia Securities Ltd. (Hereinafter referred as NSL) is not soliciting any action based upon it. This report/message is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and should not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person in any from. The report/message is based upon publicly available information, findings of our research wing East wind & information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and we do not provide any express or implied warranty of any kind, and also these are subject to change without notice. The recipients of this report should rely on their own investigations, should use their own judgment for taking any investment decisions keeping in mind that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance & that the the value of any investment or income are subject to market and other risks. Further it will be safe to assume that NSL and /or its Group or associate Companies, their Directors, affiliates and/or employees may have interests/ positions, financial or otherwise, individually or otherwise in the recommended/mentioned securities/mutual funds/ model funds and other investment products which may be added or disposed including & other mentioned in this report/message.