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Industry Overview
The Indian equity market has widely been regarded as the best performing
amongst the emerging markets of the world. This has also been proved beyond
doubt across the financial world that the regulatory norms in place governing
the Indian Capital Market are one of the best in the world. Recently NSE has
been awarded “Derivative Exchange of the year” by Asia Risk Magazine.
Morgan Stanley research has estimated that trading volumes in the Indian
Markets is
expected to double to $ 3.2 trillion in 2010 from about $1.6 trillion currently
translating into 2530 percent annual growth. Morgan Stanley has also projects
the Indian brokerage business to grow to $3.9 billion by 2015. Hence lots of
international financial services major like Citigroup,Standard Chartered,
France’s Societe Generale, Kuwait based Global investment house,Duetche
Bank, ABN Amro, UBS, Fortis (European banking and insurance major), BNP
Paridas, E*Trade (Fourth largest online broking firm in US) have announced
their foray in the securities and wealth management business in India either
through joint ventured with leading Indian broking houses or plans to venture
in at their own in a big way.
The government of India’s increasing thrust too on use of derivatives for risk
management in the area of Commodity Prices, Foreign Currency and Interest
Rates also call for investigating the risk-return dynamics of investing/trading
with derivatives.
Over the decades, it has been a journey of progress to the Exchange from the
pith to the pinnacle, from the alcove to the acme and, has emerged as a premier
Exchange in India. The continuous change alone is the changeless law.
As the saying goes, to keep pace with the fast changing technology and
financial system, the Exchange went On-line in 1996. The Exchange has come
a long way since the launch of BEST (Bangalore Electronic Securities
Trading), its On-line trading system on 29th July 1996.
Empowerment of the investors in the market has been the focus of the
Exchange. Information needs of market participants are met through the
Service Centres established by the Exchange at various places in Karnataka. In
addition to this, Investment Education Centre at Bangalore plays a vital role in
enhancing the knowledge base of the participants through several short and
long duration programmes.
2.1.2 Listing
The securities listed at the Exchange includes a number of innovative and
seasoned corporates from different sectors of industry. As on 31st March 2006,
the number of companies listed on the Exchange are 384 consisting of 186
regional and 198 non regional companies.
Greater Convenience: Multiple services all under one roof thereby avoiding
the hassle of dealing with multiple agencies for different services.
Mission
Way2Wealth is a premier Investment Consultancy Firm, launched with
Philosophy
We believe that “our knowledge combined with our investors trust and
involvement will lead to the growth of wealth and make it an exciting
experience”.
Sivan Securities started in 1984, has a long and illustrious track record of being
amongst the premier Financial Intermediaries in the country as well as being an
incubator for IT start-up firms.
Mission:
To build reputation synonymous with quality, competitiveness, reliability,
fairness and transparency in business dealings and be a responsible corporate
citizen.
Asit C. Mehta investment Intermediates Ltd. currently provides most of the services
as follows:
Motilal Oswal Commodities Broker (P) Ltd. has been providing commodity
trading facilities and related products and services since 2004.
Motilal Oswal Venture Capital Advisors Private Limited has launched the
India Business Excellence Fund (IBEF), a US$100 mn India focused Private
EquityFund..
Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd. was founded in 1987 as a small sub-broking unit,
with just two people running the show. Focus on customer-first-attitude, ethical
and transparent business practices, respect for professionalism, research-based
value investing and implementation of cutting-edge technology have enabled
us to blossom into an almost two thousand-member team.
ARSIKERE
CHITRADURGA
DAVANGERE
HASSAN
DHARWAD
HUBLI
MADIKER
Rational investors wish to maximize the returns on their funds for a given level
of risk. All the investment decisions possess varying degree of risks. Returns
come in the form of income such as interest or dividends or through growth in
capital values (i.e. capital gains) short terms as well as long term.
The Indian equity market has widely been regarded as the best performing
amongst the emerging markets of the world. This has also been proved beyond
doubt across the financial world that the regulatory norms in place governing
the Indian Capital Market are one of the best in the world. Recently NSE has
been awarded “Derivative Exchange of the year” by Asia Risk Magazine.In
India, NSE has close to 95 percent market share in the total traded volume of
business transacted in India and more than 99.5 percent market share in the
total traded volume in the derivative segment. The derivative volumes has been
more than 80 percent of the combined traded volumes (Equity & Derivative
Segment) and are growing with an accelerated pace.
Trading volumes in the equity segment have grown rapidly with average daily
turnover increasing from Rs.17 crores during 1994-95 to Rs.6,253 crores
during 2005-06., where as in the derivative segment it has grown to Rs. 19,220
from merely Rs. 413 crores in the year 2001-02. As of now, for the month of
March 2007 average daily turnover was Rs. 7998 crores for equity segment and
Rs. 33,036 for derivative segment. The volumes in the derivatives have been
progressively more escalating in the case of index
based derivatives. In the month of December 2006, S&P CNX Nifty has 39
percent and 83 percent share in the traded volumes of futures segment and
options segment respectively (Derivatives Update, December 2006, NSE). The
Morgan Stanley research has estimated that trading volumes in the Indian
Markets is expected to double to $ 3.2 trillion in 2010 from about $1.6 trillion
currently translating into 25- 30 percent annual growth. Morgan Stanley has
also projects the Indian brokerage business to grow to $3.9 billion by 2015.
Hence lots of international financial services major like Citigroup, Standard
Chartered, France’s Societe Generale, Kuwait based Global investment house,
Duetche Bank, ABN Amro, UBS, Fortis (European banking and insurance
major), BNP Paridas, E*Trade (Fourth largest online broking firm in US) have
announced their foray in the securities and wealth management business in
India either through joint ventured with leading Indian broking houses or plans
to venture in at their own in a big way.
The government of India’s increasing thrust too on use of derivatives for risk
management in the area of Commodity Prices, Foreign Currency and Interest
Rates also call for investigating the risk-return dynamics of investing/trading
with derivatives. The growth of these markets has led to increasing
involvement by institutions, private equity, and international employee’s
pension/insurance/provident funds like CalPERS and individuals
for investment purposes. As a result, there is demand for academic research
considering advantages and disadvantages of including managed derivatives in
investors' portfolios. The proposed study imbibes to enrich the body of
knowledge in the field of managed stock futures that will have far-reaching
application.
The proposed study would go a long way in assisting/helping the large number
of market participants in designing and regulating the challenges and
opportunities posed by the use of derivative products as an integral part of the
investment strategy.
Rational investors wish to maximize the returns on their funds for a given level
of risk. All the investment decisions possess varying degree of risks. Returns
come in the form of income such as interest or dividends or through growth in
capital values (i.e. capital gains) short terms as well as long term.
The Indian equity market has widely been regarded as the best performing
amongst the emerging markets of the world. This has also been proved beyond
doubt across the financial world that the regulatory norms in place governing
the Indian Capital Market are one of the best in the world. Recently NSE has
been awarded “Derivative Exchange of the year” by Asia Risk Magazine.
Morgan Stanley research has estimated that trading volumes in the Indian
Markets is
expected to double to $ 3.2 trillion in 2010 from about $1.6 trillion currently
translating into 2530 percent annual growth. Morgan Stanley has also projects
the Indian brokerage business to grow to $3.9 billion by 2015. Hence lots of
international financial services major like Citigroup,Standard Chartered,
France’s Societe Generale, Kuwait based Global investment house,Duetche
Bank, ABN Amro, UBS, Fortis (European banking and insurance major), BNP
Paridas, E*Trade (Fourth largest online broking firm in US) have announced
their foray in the securities and wealth management business in India either
through joint ventured with leading Indian broking houses or plans to venture
in at their own in a big way.
The government of India’s increasing thrust too on use of derivatives for risk
management in the area of Commodity Prices, Foreign Currency and Interest
Rates also call for investigating the risk-return dynamics of investing/trading
with derivatives.
Hence, there is a need for the research to look into the derivative based
investment strategies in general and the index based derivatives in particular &
the company in which the project is undertaken has less volume of trading in
derivatives as compared to equites because the investors think there is more
risk involved entering in derivatives, so if the risk & returns are defined or
valuated then investors can plan their strategies before investing, this in turn
will benefit the company to increase the volume o derivative trading
7.1 Methodology
The daily data on futures and options for the period starting from 10th Dec
2007 to 3rd April 2008 would be used to calculate option greeks.
The success of the CBOT inspired others to create exchanges that would assist
the process of buying and selling futures contracts on other farm products. In
1874, merchants formed the Chicago Produce Exchange, later named the
Chicago Butter and Egg Board, and then in 1919 the CME (Chicago Mercantile
Exchange). The commodities traded at the exchange throughout these years
were butter and eggs. Later, CME began offering trading in hides, onions and
potatoes.During the 1950s, CME also began trading contracts on turkeys and
frozen eggs. And in
1961 CME introduced a new contract that really put the exchange on the map
— frozen pork belly futures. You’ve probably heard of pork bellies dozens of
times, and you’re more familiar with them than you realize. It is from pork
bellies that we get bacon, a necessary part of those BLTs In 1972, CME
introduced financial futures, with the launch of eight currency futures contracts.
9.6 Delivery
Only about 3% of all futures contracts actually result in physical delivery or
cash settlement of the commodity. The other 97% are simply offset. That
means that the majority of participants close out their positions prior to the
contract’s delivery date (sellers buy back the futures they sold, and buyers sell
back the futures they bought).
9.7 Hedge
If you “hedge,” you buy or sell a futures contract as a temporary substitute for a
cash market transaction to be made at a later date. Hedging usually involves
holding opposite positions in the cash market and futures market at the same
time. Hedging is a business management tool used to manage price risk.
9.10 Speculator
You would be considered a “speculator” if you bought and sold futures
contracts for the sole purpose of making a profit. Speculators attempt to
anticipate price changes. They do not use the futures markets in connection
with the production, processing, marketing or handling of a product, and have
no interest in making or taking delivery.
10.3 Delta
A by-product of the Black Scholes model is the calculation of delta: the degree
to which an option price will move given a change in the underlying stock
price, all else being equal. For example, an option with a delta of 0.5 will move
half a cent for every one cent movement in the underlying stock.
A far out-of-the-money call will have a delta very close to zero; an at-the-
money call a delta of 0.5; a deeply in-the-money call will have a delta close to
1.
Formula:
10.4 Gamma
Gamma is a measure of the change in delta for a change in the underlying stock
price. If you are hedging a portfolio using the delta-hedge technique described
above, then you will probably want to keep gamma as small as possible. The
smaller gamma is, the less often you will have to adjust the hedge to maintain a
delta neutral position. If gamma is too large a small change in stock price could
break your hedge. Adjusting gamma, however, can be tricky and is generally
done using options - unlike delta, it cannot be done by buying or selling the
underlying asset, as the gamma of the underlying asset is, by definition, always
zero so more or less of it will not affect the gamma of the total portfolio.
10.5 Vega
Vega (sometimes known as kappa) is the change in option price given a one
percentage point change in volatility. Vega is used for hedging volatility risk.
Long calls and long puts always have negative theta. Long calls and long puts
both always have positive vega. Short calls and short puts both always have
negative vega. Stock has zero vega – it's value is not affected by volatility.
Positive vega means that the value of an option position increases when
volatility increases, and decreases when volatility decreases. Negative vega
means that the value of an option position decreases when volatility increases,
and increases when volatility decreases.
10.6 Theta
Theta is the change in option price given a one day decrease in time to
expiration. It is a measure of time decay. Theta is generally regarded as a
descriptive statistic, used to gain an idea of how time decay is affecting your
portfolio, rather than as the basis of a hedge. Hedging a portfolio against time
decay, the effects of which are completely predictable, would be pointless.
Short calls and short puts always have positive theta. Stock has zero theta – its
value is not eroded by time. All other things being equal, an option with more
days to expiration will have more extrinsic value than an option with fewer
days to expiration
A put option is considered In The Money ( ITM ) when the put option's strike
price is higher than the prevailing market price of the underlying stock, thus
allowing its owner to sell the underlying stock at higher than the prevailing
market price by exercising the put option.
Example : If GOOG is trading at $300, it's $400 strike put options are In The
Money ( ITM ) as it allows one to sell GOOG at $400 when it is trading at
$300 now. The $400 strike call options therefore has an intrinsic value of $100.
The investor employing the protective put strategy owns shares of underlying
stock from a previous purchase, and generally has unrealized profits accrued
from an increase in value of those shares. He might have concerns about
unknown, downside market risks in the near term and wants some protection
for the gains in share value. Purchasing puts while holding shares of underlying
stock is a directional strategy, but a bullish one.
An options strategy with which the investor holds a position in both a call and
put with the same strike price and expiration date.
10.2.5 Strangles
An options strategy where the investor holds a position in both a call and put
with different strike prices but with the same maturity and underlying asset.
This option strategy is profitable only if there are large movements in the price
of the underlying asset.
This is a good strategy if you think there will be a large price movement in the
near future but are unsure of which way that price movement will be.
The strategy involves buying an out-of-the-money call and an out-of-the-
money put option. A strangle is generally less expensive than a straddle as the
contracts are purchased out of the money..
For example, imagine a stock currently trading at $50 a share. To employ the
strangle option strategy a trader enters into two option positions, one call and
one put. Say the call is for $55 and costs $300 ($3.00 per option x 100 shares)
and the put is for $45 and costs $285 ($2.85 per option x 100 shares). If the
price of the stock stays between $45 and $55 over the life of the option the loss
to the trader will be $585 (total cost of the two option contracts). The trader
will make money if the price of the stock starts to move outside of the range.
Say that the price of the stock ends up at $35. The call option will expire
worthless and the loss will be $300 to the trader. The put option however has
gained considerable value, it is worth $715 ($1,000 less the initial option value
of $285). So the total gain the trader has made is $415.
N(d1)
0.6
0.4
0.2
0 N(d1)
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
1 month put
Time to Expire
40
35
30
25
20 Time to Expire
15
10
5
0
-0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1 Series1
0
-0.1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
2-Month Put
70
60
50
40
Series1
30
20
10
0
-0.6 -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
Series1
0.1
0
-0.1 0 20 40 60 80 100
-0.2
-0.3
3-Month Put
0.6
0.4
0.2
0 Series1
0 20 40 60 80 100
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
2-Months
The analysis for this month option is completely opposite from the previous
one because there are hardly 3 options which are of deep OTM, so this is a very
safe bet for the traders because majority of the options are in the range of –0.5,
the hedging is effective in case of purchasing 2 month options of ABB
Company
3-Months
Only one option is deep OTM which is negative, so in this company as the
option’s time to expiry goes on increasing the effectiveness of hedging also
increases. But when we consider theta for analysis, the value of the option goes
on diminishing, but nevertheless the options of this company are turning into
pure OTM options. The hedging will be effective for these options which is
risk free.
1 Month
Around 17 options are deep OTM which are highly insignificant to exercise,
the same has been reflected from the 1 month call options, so the hedging is not
N(d1) 0.279131361
0.6
0.4
0.2
0 N(d1) 0.279131361
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
1-Month Put
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
Series1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
-0.5
-0.6
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3 Series1
0.2
0.1
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
2 month put
0.6
0.4
0.2
0 Series1
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3 Series1
0.2
0.1
0
0 20 40 60 80 100
3-Month Put
0.6
0.4
0.2
0 Series1
0 20 40 60 80 100
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
2-Month
This is one of the safest investment vehicle because from past 6 months, not
even one option is in negative delta which shows an active sign of hedging &
almost all the options are lying in the the range of 0.3 to 0.6 which are of ATM
options. So in all a risk less investment with effective hedging.
3-Month
The same trend has been followed as it was in the 2 month contracts, so it is a
carbon copy of the 2 month call options.
1-Month
The scatter diagram has been distributed in a very wide range, there are Deep
OTM Options, ATM Options but not ITM options. Sometimes it is very riskier
because of volatile sessions but only few numbers of options have behaved in
such a way, but the other options have behaved in great way as the highest
turnover providing scrip in F&O segment is supposed to be behaved.
2 & 3 Months
The options have been very very consistent in both these months, almost all the
options are of OTM Options which signifies a risk less investment in this
company scrip. The options which are of deep ITM are not showcased in delta
because it cannot sustain huge values & that part is taken care by gamma.
12.1.2 Gamma
As expected, gamma is positive & it is positively correlated with delta, so it
shows that any increase in the price will lead to increase in the value of the
option & as delta cannot withstand huge values, gamma is used to measure the
pace of change in the values of the delta, in other words it signifies an increase
in the delta will lead to increase in the value of gamma, which again is a
positive sign
1-Month
0.6
0.4
0.2
0 Series1
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
1- Month Put
0.1
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
-0.1
-0.2
Series1
-0.3
-0.4
-0.5
-0.6
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3 Series1
0.2
0.1
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
2-Month Put
0.6
0.4
0.2
0 Series1
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3 Series1
0.2
0.1
0
0 20 40 60 80 100
3-month put
0.6
0.4
0.2
0 Series1
0 20 40 60 80 100
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
The scatter diagram in this type of option has been wide spread in the range of
-0.5 to + 0.5 which is a combination of Deep OTM, Deep ATM options but
most of them are ATM options so it is a bit riskier investment because it is
spread all over graph, so the effectiveness of hedging may not be upto expected
extent, so exercising this option may prove insignificant sometimes.
2-Months
It is quiet consistent in not letting the traders going into loss for those who
think of investing in this scrip because not even one option has gone OTM,
each & every option has been consistent in proving itself as an effective
hedging tool for the traders with absolutely no risk.
3- Months
The same trend has been continued by these 3 month contracts as well because
it also has proved itself as a consistent performer with zero risk & as an
effective hedging tool.
3-Month
The same trend has been followed by the 3 month contracts also because of
some volatile sessions the delta is approaching to -0.3 as the time to expiry is
nearing, the reasons are same as are for the 2 month contracts
0.6
0.4
0.2
0 Series1
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
1-Month Put
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
-0.1 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
Series1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
-0.5
-0.6
0.600
0.500
0.400
0.300 Series1
0.200
0.100
0.000
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
2-Month Put
0.6
0.4
0.2
0 Series1
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3 Series1
0.2
0.1
0
0 20 40 60 80 100
3 month put
0.6
0.4
0.2
0 Series1
0 20 40 60 80 100
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
1-Month
Around 6 options are of deep OTM which are very insignificant to exercise the
option, almost all of the options are moving towards +0.4 which is a healthy
sign of exercising the option with hedging effectiveness, as analysed from the
previous diagram the high pace of change in delta has been measured by
gamma & also the values exceeding +0.6 which are fast changing are measured
by gamma.
2-Month
A cluster has been formed in the graph wherein it is representing or the data is
ranging between 0.3 & 0.6, this is sharply moving to 0.4 to 0.5 which is a clear
indication of effective hedging. This can also be said as one of the risk free
investment.
3-month
The same trend has been continued by these 3 month contracts as well because
it also has proved itself as a consistent performer with zero risk & as an
effective hedging tool.
14.2.2. Put options
1-Month
The options are being very consistent in behaving as a ATM options but there
is some amount of risk which can be expected because some of the options are
moving to OTM, which cautions the trader of taking some safe positions in the
market
14.2.3. Gamma
The change in pace of delta which is shown by gamma is bit fast as compared
to the other companies. As these are going to be ATM options with expiry time
nearing. Naturally the gamma will be higher, but the gamma has again taken a
slow pace of change in 2 month. It is very slowly.
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3 Series1
0.2
0.1
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
1-Month Put
0.6
0.4
0.2
0 Series1
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
0.6
0.4
0.2
0 Series1
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
2-Month Put
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3 Series1
-0.4
-0.5
-0.6
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3 Series1
0.2
0.1
0
0 20 40 60 80 100
3-month put
0.6
0.4
0.2
0 Series1
0 20 40 60 80 100
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
1-Month
A combo of all options has been showcased in this company scrip & it is
behaving very consistently, so as said from all the previous analysis it is quiet
consistent in all the way.
2-Month
A cluster has been formed in the graph wherein it is representing or the data is
ranging between 0.3 & 0.6, this is sharply moving to 0.4 to 0.5 which is a clear
indication of effective hedging. This can also be said as one of the risk free
investment.
3-Month
The same trend has been continued by these 3 month contracts as well because
it also has proved itself as a consistent performer with zero risk & as an
effective hedging tool.
15.2.2. Put Options
1-Month
The trend of 1 month option is not at all expected here, because according to
the analysis done it is the only company which is not at all volatile & is
behaving as one of the effective hedging tool for the traders, we can see from
the graph that the line is moving at the rate of -0.5. so traders gear up for this
one which has no intentions of causing harm.
2 & 3 Month
Absolute consistency has been maintained in both month contracts, as the
option is nearing its expiry date the delta has maintained the same line i.e in the
range of +0.4 to +0.6 in case of call options & -0.4 to -0.6 in case of put
options . So a risk less strategy can be considered for this company.
6. www.icfaipress.com
Reference Books
7. Financial Derivatives by SSS Kumar
8. Futures & Options by Vohra & Bagri
9. NCFM Module