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Univ.-Doz.Dipl.-Ing.Dr.techn.
Christian Hofstadler
Associate Professor Institute of Construction Management and Economics Graz University of Technology, Austria hofstadler@tugraz.at
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
CASE STUDY
Construction time is of crucial importance when it comes to utilizing the production factors in an effective and efficient way. Construction periods that are too short usually result in higher cost, poorer quality and a larger number of disputes. This presentation sets out to demonstrate the calculation of construction time and cost whilst considering key construction management parameters. Beyond a simple, deterministic method, other options for calculation are shown that rely on probability calculus. The approaches described to determine construction time and cost are illustrated by a building project example.
Conclusion
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Production Factors
Construction Time/Cost
Work
Conclusion
Organisation
Equipment
Planning
Material
Direction
Monitoring
Source:
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Productivity [%]
100 %
Application: High-Rise Building
Conclusion
No go
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Duration: From the Rough Planning to Detailed Planning Construction Time/ Costs
Rough Planning
Detailed Planning
Conclusion
Entire construction
Component Assembly
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Rough Planning
Calculation Mode 3: Monte Carlo Method
Detailed Planning
Entire construction
Component Assembly
Conclusion
+
Accuracy
+
Processing effort
+
Certainty
Source: Hofstadler
_
6
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Calculation Mode 1
Application: High-Rise Building
Calculation Mode 2
Simplified Stochastic Approach
Calculation Mode 3
Application of Monte Carlo Method
Deterministic Approach
Conclusion
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Calculation Mode 1
Application: High-Rise Building
Calculation Mode 2
Simplified Stochastic Approach
Calculation Mode 3
Application of Monte Carlo Method
Deterministic Approach
Conclusion
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Conclusion
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Calculation Equation: Rough planning Calculation of Construction Time for Reinforced Concrete Works
Analysis of Situation Objective
Conclusion
..................... Maximum number of workers [wh/hr] ..................... Average number of workers [wh/hr] ..................... Total duration of reinforced concrete works [d] ..................... Duration of the starting period of reinforced concrete works [d] ..................... concrete works [d]
Duration of the main construction time of reinforced
DTOT DSP
DMCT
DFS
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Calculation Equation: Rough planning Calculation of Construction Time for Reinforced Concrete Works
Analysis of Situation Objective
Conclusion
DRCW, BU
BU T , RCW 100 %
DRCW, MIN
Source: Hofstadler
DRCW
DRCW, MAX
Palisade Risk Conference in London
Construction Management 11
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Calculation Equation: Rough planning Calculation of Construction Time for Reinforced Concrete Works
Analysis of Situation Objective
Conclusion
DRCW, BU RC A, FW
BU T , RCW 100 %
DRCW, MIN
Source: Hofstadler
DRCW
DRCW, MAX
Palisade Risk Conference in London
Construction Management 12
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
DRCW, BU
Analysis of Situation Objective
DRCW,BU
QC WRCW WTRCW
. Duration of the reinforced concrete works incl. Buffer [d] . Concrete quantity [m] . Average number of workers [wh/hr] . Average daily working time [hr/d] Average labor consumption rate for . formwork-related activities [wh/m] . Average formwork ratio for the entire building [m/m] . Average labor consumption rate for reinforcement works [wh/t] . Average reinforcement ratio for the entire building [t/m] . Average labor consumption rate for concrete works [wh/m] . Buffer for construction time [%]
Source: Hofstadler
Conclusion
RCA, FW
FRA, BD
RCA, RW
RRA, BD
RCA,CW BUT , RCW
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Conclusion
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Calculation Equation: Rough planning Calculation of Cost of Production for Reinforced Concrete Works
Analysis of Situation Objective
CPRCW , BU
QC
c A, EM , RCW
MU OHD 100 %
BU C , RCW 100 %
CRCW, BU
QC
TCRA,RCW
. Duration of the reinforced concrete works incl. Buffer [d] . Concrete quantity [m] Average total labor consumption rate for . reinforced concrete works [wh/m] . Average average wage for reinforced concrete works [/wh] Average equipment and materials costs for . reinforced concrete works [/m] . Mark-up for overhead costs [%] . Buffer for costs [%]
Source: Hofstadler
Conclusion
WAA, RCW
c A, EM, RCW
MU OHD
BUC , RCW
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Calculation Equation: Rough planning Calculation of Cost of Production for Reinforced Concrete Works
Analysis of Situation Objective
CPRCW , BU
QC
c A, EM , RCW
MU OHD 100 %
BU C , RCW 100 %
Conclusion
CPRCW, MIN
CPRCW
CPRCW, MAX
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
TCRA, RCW
TCRA,RCW
RCA, FW
Average total labor consumption rate for . reinforced concrete works [wh/m] Average labor consumption rate for . formwork-related activities [wh/m] . Average formwork ratio for the entire building [m/m] . Average labor consumption rate for reinforcement works [wh/t] . Average reinforcement ratio for the entire building [t/m] . Average labor consumption rate for concrete works [wh/m]
FRA, BD
RCA, RW
Conclusion
RRA, BD
RCA,CW
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
c A, EM, RCW
c A, EM, RCW
c A, EM , FW
Average equipment and materials costs for . reinforced concrete works [/m]
FRA, BD
c A, EM , RW
Conclusion
RRA, BD
c A, EM ,CW
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Conclusion
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Internal
General construction site conditions
Disruptive influences
Staff qualification
Labor productivity
Conclusion
Influences of the construction method
Production Rate
Practice
Number of workers
Specific structural conditions
Familiarization
General construction site conditions
Construction method
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
RCFW
FRBD
RCRW
RRBD
RCCW
TRCRCW
II
130
120
110
12.000 W = 10 wh/hr W = 15 wh/hr W = 20 wh/hr 11.500 11.000 W = 25 wh/hr W = 30 wh/hr W = 35 wh/hr 10.500 W = 40 wh/hr W = 45 wh/hr W = 50 wh/hr 10.000 W = 55 wh/hr W = 60 wh/hr W = 65 wh/hr 9.500 W = 70 wh/hr W = 75 wh/hr W = 80 wh/hr 9.000 8.500 8.000 7.500 7.000 6.500 6.000 5.500 5.000 4.500 4.000 3.500 3.000 2.500 2.000 1.500 1.000 0.500 0.000 5.00 5.25 5.50 5.75 6.00 6.25 6.50 6.75 7.00 7.25 7.50 7.75 8.00 8.25 8.50
Conclusion
III
91 d 107 d
IV
33,000 Std 38,500 Std
Christian HOFSTADLER
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
WRCW
WTRCW
RCFW
FRBD
RCRW
RRBD
RCCW
QC
BUT,RCW
TRCRCW
PRRCW,ML
DRCW
Conclusion
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
RCFW
FRBD
RCRW
RRBD
RCCW
cEM,FW
FRBD
cEM,RW
RRBD
cEM,CW
TRCRCW
WARCW
QC
cEM,RCW
QC
DCLC,RCW
DCEM,RCW
DCRCW
MUOHD
CPRCW
BURCW
CPRCW,BU
Application
Conclusion
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Conclusion
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Conclusion
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Conclusion
Components
1
Forming area
[m] 2 [%] 3
Reinforcement quantity
[t] 4 [%] 5
Concrete quantity
[m] 6 [%] 7 24.39 5.85 2.14 15.06 52.56 100
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
High-Rise Building Project - Key Details Input values to calculate the construction time
Analysis of Situation Objective
Construction method Working time scheme Working time regulations Type of construction project Location of the construction project External
Internal
General construction site conditions
Disruptive influences
Staff qualification
Labor productivity
Influences of the construction method
Production Rate
Practice
Number of workers
Familiarization
General construction site conditions
Work space
Construction method
Conclusion
MIN
EXP
MAX
Average labor consumption rate - formwork works Average formwork ratio for the entire building Average labor consumption rate - reinforcement works Average reinforcement ratio for the entire building Average labor consumption rate - concrete works Maximum number of workers Proportion of the average number of workers Daily working time Concrete Quanity Buffer
Source: Hofstadler
0.60 3.60 7.00 140.00 0.42 36.00 75.00 7.00 12,000 7.50
0.65 3.90 8.00 150.00 0.45 37.00 80.00 8.50 12,629 10.00
0.90 4.00 10.00 160.00 0.60 40.00 88.00 10.00 13,000 13.00
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
DRCW, BU
Calculation Mode 1: Deterministic Approach
BU T , RCW 100 %
Average labor consumption rate - formwork works Average formwork ratio for the entire building Average labor consumption rate - reinforcement works Average reinforcement ratio for the entire building Average labor consumption rate - concrete works Maximum number of workers Proportion of the average number of workers Daily working time Concrete Quanity Buffer
0.60 3.60 7.00 140.00 0.42 36.00 75.00 7.00 12,000 7.50
0.65 3.90 8.00 150.00 0.45 37.00 80.00 8.50 12,629 10.00
0.90 4.00 10.00 160.00 0.60 40.00 88.00 10.00 13,000 13.00
Conclusion
DRCW, BU
10 % 100 %
231 d
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
DRCW, BU
Analysis of Situation Objective
Productivity [%]
100 %
Conclusion
No go
231d
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
The values from this table are used for the input variables to calculate total labour consumption rate, daily production rate and duration (weighted triangular distribution).
MIN
Conclusion
EXP
MAX
Average labor consumption rate - formwork works Average formwork ratio for the entire building Average labor consumption rate - reinforcement works Average reinforcement ratio for the entire building Average labor consumption rate - concrete works Maximum number of workers Proportion of the average number of workers Daily working time Concrete Quanity Buffer
Source: Hofstadler
0.60 3.60 7.00 140.00 0.42 36.00 75.00 7.00 12,000 7.50
0.65 3.90 8.00 150.00 0.45 37.00 80.00 8.50 12,629 10.00
0.90 4.00 10.00 160.00 0.60 40.00 88.00 10.00 13,000 13.00
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Conclusion
5%
95 %
CT 1 = 202 d
CT 2 = 286 d
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Uniform Distribution
Beta Distribution
Conclusion
Consequences
?
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
0.018
Simulation 1 Isosceles Triangular Distribution
Simulation 2 Weighted Triangular Distribution
0.016
0.014
Calculation Mode 3: Monte Carlo Method
Simulation 3 Unif orm Distribution
0.012
0.010
Conclusion
0.008
0.006
0.004
0.002
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Productivity [%]
100 %
Conclusion
No go
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
High-Rise Building Project - Key Details Input values to calculate the construction time
Analysis of Situation Objective
Construction method Working time scheme Working time regulations Type of construction project Location of the construction project External
Internal
General construction site conditions
Disruptive influences
Staff qualification
Labor productivity
Influences of the construction method
Production Rate
Practice
Number of workers
Familiarization
General construction site conditions
Work space
Construction method
Conclusion
MIN
EXP
MAX
Equipment and materials costs - formwork Average formwork ratio for the entire building Equipment and materials costs - reinforcement Average reinforcement ratio for the entire building Equipment and materials costs - concrete Average wage Mark-up for overheads Buffer
Source: Hofstadler
5.00 /m 3.60 m/m 400.00 /t 140.00 kg/m 80.00 /m 27.00 /wh 10.00 % 5.00 %
6.00 /m 3.90 m/m 500.00 /t 150.00 kg/m 90.00 /m 30.00 /wh 14.00 % 10.00 %
8.00 /m 4.00 m/m 600.00 /t 160.00 kg/m 95.00 /m 31.00 /wh 17.00 % 15.00 %
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
MIN
EXP
MAX
Equipment and materials costs - formwork Average formwork ratio for the entire building Equipment and materials costs - reinforcement
5.00 /m 3.60 m/m 400.00 /t 140.00 kg/m 80.00 /m 27.00 /wh 10.00 % 5.00 %
6.00 /m 3.90 m/m 500.00 /t 150.00 kg/m 90.00 /m 30.00 /wh 14.00 % 10.00 %
8.00 /m 4.00 m/m 600.00 /t 160.00 kg/m 95.00 /m 31.00 /wh 17.00 % 15.00 %
CPRCW , BU
Calculation Mode 1: Deterministic Approach
QC
c A, EM , RCW
MU OHD 100 %
BU C , RCW 100 %
Average reinforcement ratio for the entire building Equipment and materials costs - concrete Average wage Mark-up for overheads Buffer
Conclusion
CPRCW , BU
QC
c A, EM , RCW
MU OHD 100 %
BU C , RCW 100 %
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
CPRCW , BU
QC
c A, EM , RCW
MU OHD 1 100 %
BU C , RCW 100 %
TCRA, RCW
Average labor consumption rate - formwork works Average formwork ratio for the entire building Equipment and materials costs - formwork Average formwork labor consumption rate - reinforcement works Average ratio for the entire building Average reinforcement ratio for the entire building Equipment and materials costs - reinforcement Average labor consumption rate - concrete works Average reinforcement ratio for the entire building Maximum number of workers Equipment and materials costs - concrete Proportion of the average number of workers Average wagetime Daily working Mark-up for overheads Concrete Quanity Buffer
0.60 wh/m MIN 3.60 /m m/m 5.00 7.00 m/m wh/t 3.60 140.00 kg/m 400.00 /t 0.42 wh/m 140.00 kg/m 36.00 wh/hr 80.00 /m 75.00 % 27.00 7.00 /wh hr/d 10.00 % 12,000 m 5.00 7.50 % %
0.65 wh/m EXP 3.90 /m m/m 6.00 8.00 m/m wh/t 3.90 150.00 kg/m 500.00 /t 0.45 wh/m 150.00 kg/m 37.00 wh/hr 90.00 /m 80.00 % 30.00 8.50 /wh hr/d 14.00 % 12,629 m 10.00 10.00 % %
0.90 wh/m MAX 4.00 /m m/m 8.00 10.00 wh/t 4.00 m/m 160.00 kg/m 600.00 /t 0.60 wh/m 160.00 kg/m 40.00 wh/hr 95.00 /m 88.00 % 31.00 10.00 /wh hr/d 17.00 % 13,000 m 15.00 13.00 % %
TCR A, RCW
Conclusion
Equipment and materials costs - formwork Average formwork ratio for the entire building Equipment and materials costs - reinforcement Average reinforcement ratio for the entire building Equipment and materials costs - concrete Average wage
5.00 /m 3.60 m/m 400.00 /t 140.00 kg/m 80.00 /m 27.00 /wh 10.00 % 5.00 %
6.00 /m 3.90 m/m 500.00 /t 150.00 kg/m 90.00 /m 30.00 /wh 14.00 % 10.00 %
8.00 /m 4.00 m/m 600.00 /t 160.00 kg/m 95.00 /m 31.00 /wh 17.00 % 15.00 %
c A, EM, RCW
c A, EM, RCW
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
MIN
EXP
MAX
Equipment and materials costs - formwork Average formwork ratio for the entire building Equipment and materials costs - reinforcement
5.00 /m 3.60 m/m 400.00 /t 140.00 kg/m 80.00 /m 27.00 /wh 10.00 % 5.00 %
6.00 /m 3.90 m/m 500.00 /t 150.00 kg/m 90.00 /m 30.00 /wh 14.00 % 10.00 %
8.00 /m 4.00 m/m 600.00 /t 160.00 kg/m 95.00 /m 31.00 /wh 17.00 % 15.00 %
CPRCW , BU
Calculation Mode 1: Deterministic Approach
QC
c A, EM , RCW
MU OHD 100 %
BU C , RCW 100 %
Average reinforcement ratio for the entire building Equipment and materials costs - concrete Average wage Mark-up for overheads Buffer
Conclusion
CPRCW , BU
12,629 m
4.19 wh / m 30 / wh 188.40 / m
14 % 100 %
10 % 100 %
4,974,328
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
The values from this table are used for the input variables to calculate cost of production (weighted triangular distribution).
Conclusion
MIN
EXP
MAX
Equipment and materials costs - formwork Average formwork ratio for the entire building Equipment and materials costs - reinforcement Average reinforcement ratio for the entire building Equipment and materials costs - concrete Average wage Mark-up for overheads Buffer
Source: Hofstadler
5.00 /m 3.60 m/m 400.00 /t 140.00 kg/m 80.00 /m 27.00 /wh 10.00 % 5.00 %
6.00 /m 3.90 m/m 500.00 /t 150.00 kg/m 90.00 /m 30.00 /wh 14.00 % 10.00 %
8.00 /m 4.00 m/m 600.00 /t 160.00 kg/m 95.00 /m 31.00 /wh 17.00 % 15.00 %
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Conclusion
5%
95 %
CP 1 = 4,64
CP 2 = 5,40
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Uniform Distribution
Beta Distribution
Conclusion
Consequences
?
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Conclusion
4,500,000
5,000,000
5,500,000
6,000,000
6,500,000
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
100 %
No go
Conclusion
The specification of a reasonable construction time makes a substantial contribution towards the economical use of elementary and discretionary production factors, or at least creates the preconditions to do so. Workers, equipment and materials can be used cost-efficiently. A realistic construction time can be calculated once construction management boundary conditions have been considered.
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010
Many Thanks!
Conclusion
Source: Hofstadler
ChristianHOFSTADLER2010