Quebec Election: Forum Research

MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President

lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603
FORIMMEDIATERELEASE
PQcontinuestoslideinQuebecelection
Liberalmajorityseen
TORONTO
March 31st, 2014
HIGHLIGHTS:
TORONTOMARCH31st,2014InarandomsamplingofpublicopiniontakenbyThe
ForumPollamong854Quebecvotersoneweekbeforetheprovincialelection,4
Morethan4in10willvote
in10willvoteLiberal(41%),comparedtofewerthan3in10whowillvoteParti
Liberal(42%),comparedto
Quebecois(29%).OnefifthwillvoteCAQ(19%),lessthanatenthwillvoteQS(7%)
fewerthan3in10whowill
andfewwillvoteGreen(2%),ON(1%)orforanyotherparty(1%).Thesefindings
votePartiQuebecois(29%).
representacontinuationofthedeclinewehaveseenforthePQ(March538%,
Iftheseresultsareprojected
March1932%,March3129%),whiletheLiberalshaveplateaued(March540%,
uptoseatsina125seat
March1945%,March3141%).TheCAQhasseenitsshareincreasesincewe
NationalAssembly,the
polledlast(March512%,March1913%,March3119%).
Liberalswouldcapturea2
seatmajorityof65seats,
Closeto4in10FrancophoneswillvoteLiberal(39%),while3in10willvotePQ
downfrom78thelasttime
(30%)andonefifthwillvoteCAQ(20%).AmongnonFrancophones,threequarters
wepolled,whilethePQ
willvoteLiberal(78%),comparedtofewerthanonetenthwhowillvotePQ(7%)or
wouldtake51seats,upfrom
CAQ(4%).TheLiberalscaptureclosetohalfthevotein"laCouronne"around
43onMarch19.
Montreal(48%).
FrancoisLegaulthasthe
TheLiberalvoteisthe"stickiest"inthatalmostallpastLiberalvoterswillvote
approvalofmorethanhalfof
Liberalagain(90%),whileaboutthreequartersofpastPQvoterswillvotetheir
Quebecvoters(54%),wellup
partyagain(75%)andjustmorethanhalfofCAQisteswillvoteCAQagain(56%).Of
fromthelasttimewepolled
note,3in10pastCAQisteswillvoteLiberalthistime(30%),andabouthalfthis
(48%),andhisnetfavourable
proportionwillvotePQ(14%).OnetenthofpastPquisteswillvoteCAQthistime
score(approveminus
around(11%).
disapprove)isashiny+27,
wellupfrom+16lasttime.
SlimLiberalmajorityseen
Iftheseresultsareprojecteduptoseatsina125seatNationalAssembly,the
Liberalswouldcapturea2seatmajorityof65seats,downfrom78thelasttimewe
polled,whilethePQwouldtake51seats,upfrom43onMarch19.TheCAQwould
take7seats,wellupfrom2,whiletheQSwouldtakejust2seats.
Legault'sapprovalsupsharplyafterdebate
FrancoisLegaulthastheapprovalofmorethanhalfofQuebecvoters(54%),wellup
fromthelasttimewepolled(48%),andhisnetfavourablescore(approveminus
disapprove)isashiny+27,wellupfrom+16lasttime.PhilippeCouillardenjoysthe
approvalofclosetohalf(45%,similarto44%onMarch19),andhisnetis3%,down
slightlyfrom+7.MmeMaroisenjoystheapprovalofonethird(31%,steadyfrom
32%)andhernetscoreisadismal32,downfrom28onMarch19.
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Veryfewwantreferendum
FewerthanonequarterofQuebecvoterswantareferendumonindependence
(23%),andmorethan7in10donotwantone(71%).Justaquarterof
Francophoneswanttogambleonthefuture(26%),whiletwothirdsdonot(69%).
AmongnonFrancophones,justatenthareinfavour(12%),andmorethan8in10
areagainsttheidea(82%).NoLiberalvoterstospeakofwantareferendum(1%),
andjust6in10PQsupportersdo(59%).
TORONTO
March 31st, 2014
HIGHLIGHTS:
Fewerthanonequarterof
CAQandQSarestrongsecondchoices
Quebecvoterswanta
referendumon
Intotal,aboutonequarterormoresayCAQistheirsecondchoice(28%),while
independence(23%),and
abouthalfthisproportionwouldoptforQS(16%).AmongLiberalsupporters,CAQis
morethan7in10donot
theonlypartythatmeritsmentionasasecondchoice(43%),andamongPquistes,
wantone(71%).
CAQ(31%)andQS(29%)areequallylikelytobeseenasgoodalternatives.Among
Intotal,aboutonequarteror
CAQistes,wheretheswingvotelies,thesecondchoiceistwiceaslikelytobethe
moresayCAQistheirsecond
Liberals(38%)asitisthePQ(19%).Francophonesaremostlikelytosaytheirsecond
choice(28%),whileabout
choiceistheCAQ(31%),followedbyQS(17%)andtheLiberals(10%).Non
halfthisproportionwould
FrancophonesaremostlikelytosaytheirsecondchoiceisCAQ(16%)ortheGreens
optforQS(16%).
(17%).
Intotal,morethan4in10
PQhashighestnegatives,followedbyLiberals
wouldnevervotePQ(44%),
followedbyonethirdwho
Intotal,morethan4in10wouldnevervotePQ(44%),followedbyonethirdwho
won'tsupporttheLiberals
won'tsupporttheLiberals(31%).Fewsaytheywouldnotsupportanyotherparty.
(31%).
AlmostallLiberalsupporterssaytheywillnevervotePQ(81%),whilesomewhat
Theprospectofa
fewerPquisteswouldnevervoteLiberal(73%).CAQistesaremorelikelytosay
referendumisananchor
theywillnotvotePQ(36%)thantheyaretosaythisoftheLiberals(26%),butmany
aroundthePQ'sneck,andit's
willnevervoteQS(19%).Francophonesareequallylikelytosaytheywillnevervote
goingtodrownthem.Noone
Liberal(35%)orPQ(38%),whilenonFrancophonesaremorelikelytosaytheywill
wantsone,not
nevervotePQ(71%)thanLiberal(15%)oranyotherparty.
Francophones,notthe
TheprospectofareferendumisananchoraroundthePQ'sneck,andit'sgoing
regions,nottheyoung.Even
todrownthem.Noonewantsone,notFrancophones,nottheregions,notthe
amongtheirownsupporters,
young.Evenamongtheirownsupporters,enthusiasmdoesn'treachtwothirds.
enthusiasmdoesn'treach
Itlookslike"lebeauprojet"willhavetobeshelvedagain,"saidForumResearch
twothirds.Itlookslike"le
President,Dr.LorneBozinoff.
beauprojet"willhavetobe
shelvedagain,"saidForum
LorneBozinoff,Ph.D.isthepresidentandfounderofForumResearch.Hecanbe
ResearchPresident,Dr.Lorne
reachedatlbozinoff@forumresearch.comorat(416)9609603.
Bozinoff.
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
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MEDIA INQUIRIES:
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Methodology
TheForumPollwasconductedbyForumResearchwiththeresultsbasedonan
interactivevoiceresponsetelephonesurveyof854randomlyselectedQuebecois
18yearsofageandolder.ThepollwasconductedonMarch31st,2014.
TORONTO
March 31st, 2014
Resultsbasedonthetotalsampleareconsideredaccurate+/3%,19timesoutof
20.Subsampleresultswillbelessaccurate.Marginsoferrorforsubsample(such
asage,gender)resultsareavailableatwww.forumresearch.com/samplestim.asp
Whereappropriate,thedatahasbeenstatisticallyweightedbyage,region,and
othervariablestoensurethatthesamplereflectstheactualpopulationaccording
tothelatestCensusdata.
Thisresearchisnotnecessarilypredictiveoffutureoutcomes,butrather,
capturesopinionatonepointintime.ForumResearchconductedthispollasa
publicserviceandtodemonstrateoursurveyresearchcapabilities.Forumhouses
itspollresultsintheDataLibraryoftheDepartmentofPoliticalScienceatthe
UniversityofToronto.
WithofficesacrossCanadaandaroundtheworld,100%CanadianownedForum
Researchisoneofthecountrysleadingsurveyresearchfirms.ThisForum
PollandotherpollsmaybefoundatForum'spollarchive
atwww.forumresearch.com/polls.asp
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ProvincialElectionVotingPreferenceTrending
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
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Liberal PQ CAQ QS Green ON Other
st
Mar31 ,2014(n=854)
Mar19th,2014(n=1650)
Mar5th,2014(n=951)
Oct.22nd,2013(n=1094)
Sept.13th,2013(n=1179)
2012Election
41
45
40
38
42
31
29
32
37
36
35
32
19
13
12
13
12
27
7
7
7
8
7
6
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
TORONTO
March 31st, 2014
SeatDistributionTrending
%
Mar31st,2014(n=854)
Mar19th,2014(n=1650)
Mar5th,2014(n=951)
Oct.22nd,2013(n=1094)
Sept.13th,2013(n=1179)
2012Election
Liberal PQ CAQ QS
65
78
58
56
64
50
51
43
63
63
55
54
7
2
2
4
4
19
2
2
2
2
2
2
QuebecIndependenceOpinionTrending
Sample
Yes
%
No
st
Mar31 ,2014
854
31
69
th
Mar19 ,2014
1650
32
68
Mar5th,2014
951
34
66
th
1758
19
81
Sep26 ,2012
QuebecProvincialPartyLeaderApprovalRatingTrending(%Approve)
%
Mar31st,2014
Mar19th,2014
Mar5th,2014
Marois
31
32
34
Sample
854
1650
951
Couillard
45
44
34
Legault
54
48
32
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VotePreference
Whichpartyareyoumostlikelytovotefor,orhaveyouvotedforalreadyin
theprovincialelectiononApril7?+Eventhoughyoumaynothavemade
upyourmind,whichpartyareyouleaningtowardsatthistime?
[Decided/Leaning]
Age/Gender
687
41
29
18
34
82
24
33
35
44
135
42
19
45
54
160
43
24
55
64
151
43
35
19
23
25
25
7
2
1
1
12
3
3
1
10
3
0
1
6
0
1
0
Total
Sample
Liberal,orPLQ
PartiQuebecois,orPQ
CoalitionAvenirQuebec,or
CAQ
QuebecSolidaire,orQS
GreenParty,orPVQ
OptionNationale,orON
Other
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
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TORONTO
March 31st, 2014
65+ Male Female

159
53
30
366
45
27
321
38
31
15
10
21
17
3
2
0
2
7
0
0
0
3
2
1
1
12
1
1
1
Region/Language
%
Sample
Liberal,orPLQ
PartiQuebecois,
orPQ
CoalitionAvenir
Quebec,orCAQ
Quebec
Solidaire,orQS
GreenParty,or
PVQ
Option
Nationale,or
ON
Other
687
41
343
48
114
47
230
32
N
Shore
111
34
561
39
Non
Francophone
126
78
29
28
17
35
41
30
30
19
14
27
21
16
25
20
10
Total Mon
QC
ROQ
S
Shore
119
31
Francophone
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HouseholdIncome
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
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687
41
57
47
$20
$40K
113
36
29
36
38
27
29
28
21
19
11
22
25
28
21
11
13
Total <$20K
Sample
Liberal,orPLQ
PartiQuebecois,or
PQ
CoalitionAvenir
Quebec,orCAQ
QuebecSolidaire,
orQS
GreenParty,or
PVQ
OptionNationale,
orON
Other
$40
$60K
110
40
$60
$80K
100
36
$80
$100K
95
28
$100
$250K
123
54
$250K+
19
87
TORONTO
March 31st, 2014
VotedinLastElection/PastVotePreference
%
Sample
Liberal,orPLQ
PartiQuebecois,orPQ
CAQ
GreenParty,orPVQ
Other
Total
Yes
No PLQ
PQ
CAQ QS PVQ ON Other
687
41
29
643
41
30
44
48
14
261
90
3
174
5
75
139
30
14
42
11
21
11
23
0
6
36
25
10
39
22
19
19
12
11
56
15
7
2
1
1
7
1
1
1
14
3
6
2
2
0
0
1
7
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
49
3
0
1
23
52
0
1
24
0
14
0
6
13
6
4
IndependentQuebec/Referendum
Total
Yes
Sample
Liberal,orPLQ
PartiQuebecois,orPQ
CoalitionAvenirQuebec,orCAQ
GreenParty,orPVQ
Other
687
41
29
19
7
2
1
1
191 496
3
59
70 10
10 23
13
5
1
2
3
0
1
1
No
Want Donotwant Don'tknow

139
1
71
7
15
1
3
1
521
56
14
24
5
2
0
1
27
25
49
9
11
4
3
0
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
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SecondChoiceVotePreference
%
Sample
Liberal,orPLQ
PartiQuebecois,orPQ
GreenParty,orPVQ
Other
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
Total PLQ PQ CAQ
QS
687
41
29
19
7
2
1
1
102
18
49
25
0
4
3
1
61
0
14
75
7
2
0
1
PVQ ON Other
47
19
0
47
29
3
2
1
213
67
29
0
3
0
0
1
55
39
12
15
32
0
2
1
22
2
70
10
17
0
0
0
Total PLQ
PQ
CAQ QS PVQ ON
687
41
29
19
7
2
1
1
327
77
0
16
3
2
0
1
27
44
20
17
4
12
0
4
TORONTO
March 31st, 2014
PartyWouldNeverVoteFor
%
Sample
Liberal,orPLQ
PartiQuebecois,orPQ
GreenParty,orPVQ
Other
192
0
66
16
14
1
2
1
21
18
50
0
24
5
2
0
51
41
14
43
0
0
0
1
25
28
39
22
11
0
0
0
37
28
27
40
2
4
0
0
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
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Whichpartywouldbeyoursecondchoice?
[Decided/Leaning]
Age/Gender

416.960.9603
TORONTO
March 31st, 2014
687
10
8
18
34
82
11
11
35
44
135
12
8
45
54
160
14
11
55
64
151
7
5
28
15
28
31
16
8
4
5
22
21
11
7
8
15
17
5
3
4
23
9
8
1
3
21
S
Shore
119
12
Total
Sample
Liberal,orPLQ
PartiQuebecois,orPQ
CAQ
GreenPartyorPVQ
OptionNationaleorON
OtherParties
Havenosecondchoice
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
65+ Male Female

159
4
1
366
9
7
321
11
8
28
42
35
21
18
11
2
7
22
11
5
7
0
30
15
6
3
7
19
16
11
5
2
25
Region/Language
%
Sample
Liberal,orPLQ
PartiQuebecois,
orPQ
CoalitionAvenir
Quebec,orCAQ
Quebec
Solidaire,orQS
GreenPartyor
PVQ
Option
NationaleorON
OtherParties
Havenosecond
choice
687
10
343
7
114
16
230
12
N
Shore
111
10
561
10
Non
Francophone
126
9
10
28
23
41
28
29
26
31
16
16
15
12
18
16
20
17
11
17
22
27
14
18
22
15
19
34
Total Mon
QC
ROQ
Francophone
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HouseholdIncome
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
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687
10
57
5
$20
$40K
113
7
10
10
15
28
22
30
28
27
19
36
43
16
20
11
17
19
20
18
15
24
21
22
34
19
21
23
17
19
Total <$20K
Sample
Liberal,orPLQ
PartiQuebecois,
orPQ
CoalitionAvenir
Quebec,orCAQ
QuebecSolidaire,
orQS
GreenPartyor
PVQ
OptionNationale
orON
OtherParties
Havenosecond
choice
$40
$60K
110
13
$60
$80K
100
9
$80
$100K
95
15
$100
$250K
123
13
$250K+
19
0
TORONTO
March 31st, 2014
VotePreference
%
Sample
Liberal,orPLQ
PartiQuebecois,orPQ
GreenPartyorPVQ
OptionNationaleorON
OtherParties
Havenosecondchoice
Total PLQ
PQ
CAQ QS PVQ ON Other
687
10
8
28
16
8
4
5
22
329
0
3
43
7
8
0
6
32
166
5
0
31
29
2
12
3
18
116
38
19
0
20
6
2
4
11
No
45
15
26
11
0
27
10
1
9
8
14
14
0
36
0
0
36
0
11
9
16
4
34
24
0
0
14
12
11
4
21
22
7
0
25
9
Total
Yes
Sample
Liberal,orPLQ
PartiQuebecois,orPQ
GreenPartyorPVQ
OptionNationaleorON
OtherParties
Havenosecondchoice
687
10
8
28
16
8
4
5
22
191 496
3
13
12
6
20 31
29 10
7
9
9
2
3
5
17 24
139
2
12
18
32
7
10
3
16
521
13
6
32
10
8
3
5
24
27
12
9
18
19
21
0
13
9
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
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%
Sample
Liberal,orPLQ
PartiQuebecois,orPQ
GreenPartyorPVQ
OptionNationaleorON
OtherParties
Havenosecondchoice
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
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Total PLQ
PQ
687
10
8
28
16
8
4
5
22
327
12
0
34
9
9
1
5
29
192
0
13
22
28
10
7
4
16
CAQ QS PVQ ON
21
10
15
0
23
15
7
4
26
51
24
21
33
0
1
5
5
11
25
26
10
22
13
0
14
5
11
37
12
7
31
27
5
0
2
15
TORONTO
March 31st, 2014
10
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Whichpartywouldyounevervotefor?
[AllRespondents]
Age/Gender
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
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TORONTO
March 31st, 2014
697
31
44
3
8
3
5
18
34
82
41
36
2
9
2
3
35
44
137
28
47
3
11
3
5
45
54
165
24
46
4
7
4
9
55
64
152
34
42
5
5
5
4
Total Mon
QC
ROQ
697
31
351
29
114
19
44
49
Total
Sample
Liberal,orPLQ
PartiQuebecois,orPQ
GreenPartyorPVQ
OptionNationaleorON
Thereisnopartyyouwould
nevervotefor
65+ Male Female

161
27
53
1
4
4
6
369
26
46
2
12
2
6
328
36
42
3
4
5
4
Region/Language
%
Sample
Liberal,orPLQ
PartiQuebecois,
orPQ
CoalitionAvenir
Quebec,orCAQ
Quebec
Solidaire,orQS
GreenPartyor
PVQ
OptionNationale
orON
Thereisnoparty
youwouldnever
votefor
232
39
N
Shore
111
32
S
Shore
121
45
570
35
Non
Francophone
127
15
45
37
38
37
38
71
17
Francophone
11
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HouseholdIncome
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
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697
31
58
33
$20
$40K
114
41
44
43
40
50
36
35
55
40
10
14
11
Total <$20K
Sample
Liberal,orPLQ
PartiQuebecois,or
PQ
CoalitionAvenir
Quebec,orCAQ
QuebecSolidaire,or
QS
GreenPartyorPVQ
OptionNationaleor
ON
Thereisnopartyyou
wouldnevervotefor
$40
$60K
112
35
$60
$80K
102
39
$80
$100K
95
32
$100
$250K
124
17
$250K+
19
29
TORONTO
March 31st, 2014
VotePreference
%
Sample
Liberal,orPLQ
PartiQuebecois,orPQ
GreenPartyorPVQ
OptionNationaleorON
Thereisnopartyyouwouldnevervote
for
Total PLQ
PQ
CAQ QS PVQ ON Other
697
31
44
3
8
3
5
329
0
81
1
7
2
4
166
73
0
5
4
5
5
116
26
36
0
19
4
11
45
56
24
10
0
5
1
8
14
60
11
0
0
14
11
79
5
3
0
0
0
12
33
41
6
11
0
0
13
Total
Yes
No
Want
Sample
Liberal,orPLQ
PartiQuebecois,orPQ
GreenPartyorPVQ
OptionNationaleorON
for
697
31
44
3
8
3
5
193 504
79 10
1
64
6
1
4
9
2
4
2
6
5
141
84
2
5
1
2
1
Donot
want
528
12
61
2
10
4
6
Don't
know
28
52
7
8
9
3
5
17
12
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
%
Sample
Liberal,orPLQ
PartiQuebecois,orPQ
GreenPartyorPVQ
OptionNationaleorON
for
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
Total PLQ PQ CAQ
QS
PVQ ON Other
697
31
44
3
8
3
5
61
0
55
3
18
9
6
47
52
0
6
21
4
5
213
24
55
0
9
3
6
102
56
25
4
0
3
9
55
37
49
5
1
0
3
22
51
13
5
9
11
0
27
25
50
2
8
3
2
12
11
10
TORONTO
March 31st, 2014
13
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
ApprovalofPaulineMarois
DoyouapproveordisapproveofthejobPaulineMaroisisdoingas
premier?
[AllRespondents]
Age/Gender
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
TORONTO
March 31st, 2014
Total 1834 3544 4554 5564 65+ Male Female

697
31
63
7
82
40
51
9
137
18
75
7
165
26
68
5
152
35
59
5
161
32
63
5
369
28
68
5
328
34
58
8
Region/Language
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don't
know
232
37
55
N
Shore
111
38
54
S
Shore
121
36
56
Total Mon
QC
ROQ
697
31
63
351
29
66
114
23
72
570
34
59
Non
Francophone
127
17
80
Francophone
HouseholdIncome
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don't
know
697
31
63
58
40
54
$20
$40K
114
41
54
Total <$20K
$40
$60K
112
29
63
$60
$80K
102
30
59
$80
$100K
95
34
60
$100
$250K
124
20
75
11
$250K+
19
29
71
0
VotePreference
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
Total PLQ
697
31
63
7
329
3
94
2
PQ
CAQ QS PVQ ON Other
166
90
6
4
116
18
75
7
45
22
65
13
8
0
86
14
11
55
9
36
12
21
64
15
14
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
Total
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
697
31
63
7
Yes
No
193 504
78 10
13 85
10
5
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603

141
74
18
8
528
14
81
5
28
69
10
21
TORONTO
March 31st, 2014
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
Total PLQ PQ CAQ

697
31
63
7
61
10
80
10
47
53
34
13
213
29
68
4
QS
102
52
38
10
PVQ ON Other
55
22
76
2
22
59
36
5
27
22
66
12
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
Total PLQ
697
31
63
7
198
72
19
9
PQ
327
2
97
1
CAQ QS PVQ ON
21
64
33
3
52
17
72
11
26
26
59
15
38
26
57
17
15
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
ApprovalofPhilippeCouillard
DoyouapproveordisapproveofthejobPhilippeCouillardisdoingas
LeaderoftheOpposition?
[AllRespondents]
Age/Gender
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
TORONTO
March 31st, 2014

697
45
42
13
82
29
53
17
137
52
36
13
165
50
39
11
152
48
44
8
161
53
34
13
369
51
40
9
328
39
44
17
Region/Language
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don't
know
232
40
51
N
Shore
111
43
47
S
Shore
121
37
54
10
Total Mon
QC
ROQ
697
45
42
351
49
37
114
46
38
13
15
16
570
41
47
Non
Francophone
127
63
20
12
17
Francophone
HouseholdIncome
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don't
know
697
45
42
58
45
32
$20
$40K
114
36
56
13
23
Total <$20K
$40
$60K
112
44
41
$60
$80K
102
39
50
$80
$100K
95
44
49
$100
$250K
124
56
29
16
11
14
$250K+
19
53
37
10
VotePreference
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
Total PLQ
697
45
42
13
329
83
3
14
PQ
CAQ QS PVQ ON Other
166
11
85
4
116
35
49
17
45
13
67
20
8
8
78
14
11
0
91
9
12
16
68
15
16
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
Total
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
697
45
42
13
Yes
No
193 504
6
63
89 21
5
17
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603

141
6
91
2
528
60
25
15
28
14
60
26
TORONTO
March 31st, 2014
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
Total PLQ PQ CAQ

697
45
42
13
61
50
19
31
47
20
67
13
213
59
30
11
QS
102
22
71
7
PVQ ON Other
55
46
48
6
22
13
78
9
27
46
36
18
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
Total PLQ
697
45
42
13
198
4
92
4
PQ
327
75
10
15
CAQ QS PVQ ON
21
17
77
6
52
60
23
17
26
46
35
19
38
39
33
28
17
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
ApprovalofFrancoisLegault
DoyouapproveordisapproveofthejobFrancoisLegaultisdoingasLeader
oftheCoalitionAvenirQuebecorCAQ?
[AllRespondents]
Age/Gender
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
TORONTO
March 31st, 2014

697
54
27
19
82
50
25
25
137
63
24
14
165
54
28
18
152
57
26
17
161
48
31
21
369
66
21
13
328
43
32
24
Region/Language
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don't
know
232
60
25
N
Shore
111
60
22
S
Shore
121
61
27
15
18
12
Total Mon
QC
ROQ
697
54
27
351
44
31
114
70
18
19
25
13
570
60
24
Non
Francophone
127
31
41
17
29
Francophone
HouseholdIncome
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don't
know
697
54
27
58
38
28
$20
$40K
114
45
33
19
33
22
Total <$20K
$40
$60K
112
50
28
$60
$80K
102
52
31
$80
$100K
95
64
28
$100
$250K
124
68
16
22
17
16
$250K+
19
47
47
6
VotePreference
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
Total PLQ
697
54
27
19
329
47
29
25
PQ
CAQ QS PVQ ON Other
166
55
31
13
116
97
1
3
45
26
38
36
8
24
25
51
11
27
60
13
12
24
61
15
18
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
Total
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
697
54
27
19
Yes
No
193 504
51 56
37 22
13 22
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603

141
46
38
16
528
58
23
19
28
34
28
39
TORONTO
March 31st, 2014
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
Total PLQ PQ CAQ

697
54
27
19
61
77
6
17
47
64
25
11
213
72
15
13
QS
102
49
33
18
PVQ ON Other
55
29
38
33
22
72
19
9
27
33
39
28
%
Sample
Approve
Disapprove
Don'tknow
Total PLQ
697
54
27
19
198
52
34
14
PQ
327
50
26
24
CAQ QS PVQ ON
21
23
55
22
52
82
11
7
26
66
15
19
38
60
21
19
19
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
QuebecIndependenceOpinion
DoyouagreeQuebecshouldbeanindependentcountry?
[AllRespondents]
Age/Gender
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
TORONTO
March 31st, 2014
Sample
Yes
No
697
31
69
82
44
56
137
27
73
165
22
78
152
31
69
161
26
74
369
29
71
328
33
67
Region/Language
%
Sample
Yes
No
Total Mon
QC
ROQ NShore SShore Francophone NonFrancophone
697
31
69
114
19
81
232
37
63
351
30
70
111
37
63
121
37
63
570
34
66
$40
$60K
112
26
74
$60
$80K
102
39
61
$80
$100K
95
35
65
127
16
84
HouseholdIncome
$20
$40K
114
39
61
Total <$20K
Sample
Yes
No
697
31
69
58
41
59
$100
$250K
124
17
83
$250K+
19
29
71
VotePreference
%
Sample
Yes
No
Total PLQ
PQ
CAQ QS PVQ ON Other
697
31
69
166
78
22
116
16
84
329
2
98
45
53
47
8
14
86
11
86
14
12
33
67
Referendum
Total Want Donotwant Don'tknow
Sample
Yes
No
697
31
69
141
91
9
528
9
91
28
61
39
20
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
%
Sample
Yes
No
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
Total PLQ PQ CAQ
QS
697
31
69
102
57
43
61
8
92
47
50
50
213
23
77
PVQ ON Other
55
26
74
22
64
36
27
23
77
TORONTO
March 31st, 2014
%
Sample
Yes
No
Total PLQ
PQ
697
31
69
327
1
99
198
78
22
CAQ QS PVQ ON
21
67
33
52
18
82
26
19
81
38
15
85
21
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
IndependenceReferendum
Doyouwantareferendumonindependenceornot?
[AllRespondents]
Age/Gender
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
TORONTO
March 31st, 2014
Sample
Wantareferendum
Donotwantareferendum
Don'tknow
697
23
71
5
82
34
55
11
137
19
77
4
165
18
78
4
152
24
71
4
161
17
81
2
369
22
74
4
328
24
68
7
Region/Language
697
351
114
232
N
Shore
111
23
21
13
31
28
71
72
85
64
Total Mon
Sample
Wanta
referendum
Donotwanta
referendum
Don'tknow
QC
ROQ
S
Shore
121
570
Non
Francophone
127
33
26
12
68
61
69
82
$40
$60K
112
$60
$80K
102
$80
$100K
95
$100
$250K
124
Francophone
HouseholdIncome
697
58
$20
$40K
114
23
32
33
23
30
24
12
71
57
59
77
69
73
84
76
11
24
Total <$20K
Sample
Wanta
referendum
Donotwanta
referendum
Don'tknow
$250K+
19
VotePreference
%
Sample
Wantareferendum
Don'tknow
Total PLQ
PQ
CAQ QS PVQ ON Other
697
23
71
5
166
59
33
9
116
9
89
2
329
1
96
3
45
46
48
6
8
14
75
11
11
58
9
33
12
39
61
0
22
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com
IndependentQuebec
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
416.960.9603
Total
Yes
Sample
Wantareferendum
Don'tknow
697
23
71
5
193 504
68
3
21 94
11
3
No
TORONTO
March 31st, 2014
%
Sample
Wantareferendum
Don'tknow
Total PLQ PQ CAQ
QS
697
23
71
5
102
47
46
7
61
5
89
6
PVQ ON Other
47
38
56
6
213
15
81
4
55
18
68
13
22
56
44
0
Total PLQ
PQ
CAQ QS PVQ ON
697
23
71
5
327
1
98
1
27
14
72
14
%
Sample
Wantareferendum
Don'tknow
198
63
28
9
21
41
44
15
52
3
91
6
26
13
83
4
38
6
89
5
Formoreinformation:
LorneBozinoff,Ph.D.
President
ForumResearchInc.
Tel:(416)9609603
Fax:(416)9609602
Email:lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
23
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com

Quebec Election: Forum Research

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Quebec Election: Forum Research

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MEDIA INQUIRIES:

Lorne Bozinoff, President

Lorne Bozinoff, President

Liberal PQ CAQ QS Green ON Other

65+ Male Female

CAQ QS PVQ ON Other

Want Donotwant Don'tknow

Total PLQ PQ CAQ

Lorne Bozinoff, President

65+ Male Female

CAQ QS PVQ ON Other

Want Donotwant Don'tknow

65+ Male Female

CAQ QS PVQ ON Other

Total PLQ PQ CAQ

Total 1834 3544 4554 5564 65+ Male Female

CAQ QS PVQ ON Other

Want Donotwant Don'tknow

Total PLQ PQ CAQ

Total 1834 3544 4554 5564 65+ Male Female

CAQ QS PVQ ON Other

Want Donotwant Don'tknow

Total PLQ PQ CAQ

Total 1834 3544 4554 5564 65+ Male Female

CAQ QS PVQ ON Other

Want Donotwant Don'tknow

Total PLQ PQ CAQ

Total 1834 3544 4554 5564 65+ Male Female

ROQ NShore SShore Francophone NonFrancophone

CAQ QS PVQ ON Other

Total Want Donotwant Don'tknow

Total PLQ PQ CAQ

Total 1834 3544 4554 5564 65+ Male Female

CAQ QS PVQ ON Other

Total PLQ PQ CAQ

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