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Objectives
!fter completing this case students will understand" # $ ' ) + !sset allocation design %esign of overlay portfolios, also known as alpha transport or porta&le alpha strategies, to separate search from alpha from risk exposure The role of hedge funds in investors( portfolios *ortfolio undiversification The &enefits of speciali,ation versus the &enefits of portfolio diversification The use of geometric mean returns and arithmetic means returns as forecasts of expected returns al long hori,ons
Case Synopsis
This case examines the asset allocation decisions that the .illiam and /lora 0ewlett /oundation (0*) is considering in early $11+ !fter careful analysis of the financial challenges and investment opportunities the foundation is currently facing, the chief investment officer and his team are a&out to make three asset allocations proposals to the foundation committee which, if approved will su&stantially change the foundation(s investment portfolio /irst *roposal !dopt a new allocation policy to reduce considera&ly the foundation(s portfolio of domestic equities and instead increase the allocation to a&solute return (or hedge fund) strategies and 23 T4*3 (Treasury 4nflation *rotected 3ecurities) This recommendation is &ased on a detailed asset allocation study that includes a revaluation of 0/(s long-term pro5ections of capital market conditions $ 3econd *roposal 4mplement a return overlay program for the a&solute return portfolio This recommendation is &ased on a study of the historical performance and risk exposure of the
foundation(s long-standing a&solute return portfolio This study has concluded that returns on this portfolio have consistently exceeded the returns on a passive investment in Treasury &ills, with a risk exposure that is largely market neutral with respect to the equity market and the fixed income market The investment team at 0/ is asking the investment committee to consider enhancing the expected return on the foundation(s portfolio &y transforming this exposure into equities, nominal &onds, and T4*3 using return overlay strategies These strategies will allow 0/ to capture the excess return, or alpha, in the a&solute return portfolio and superimpose it on the expected return on a &alanced portfolio of equities and long-term &onds Third *roposal To commit up to +6 of assets to a glo&al distressed real state investment fund with which the foundation has invested in the past This represents an unusually large commitment to single investment manager for a non-profit institutional investor
!s a mem&er of the 0/(s 4nvestment 8ommittee would you make the +6 commitment to 3irius <7 :ou must provide arguments in favor and arguments against the proposal to support your decision >ive a summary of your recommendation for the three proposals
eam !eetin"s
!eetin" of !arch #$ %&#'( Issues to be discussed by the teams
# $ ' ) + 9 ; .hat are 0/(s o&5ectives as a foundation (?xhi&its #a and ?xhi&it $)7 .hat is the role of 0/(s @aurie 0oagland and his investment team7 0ow 0/(s philanthropic o&5ectives translate into specific o&5ectives for the endowment (?xhi&it 'a)7 .hat investment policy could 0/ adopt to achieve simultaneously its two o&5ectives of maintaining its asset &ased in real terms and avoid fluctuations in spending (?xhi&its 'a and )7 4s the volatility of the proposed portfolio too high or too low7 .hat alternatives can you offer7 3hould 0/ adopt highly levered mean-variance portfolios instead of the proposed portfolio7 Aeview of 0/(s capital market assumptions %oes 0/ think that returns are predicta&le7 >iven 0/(s views on capital markets, is +6 real spending rate compati&le with the proposed investment policy7 4f you were a mem&er of 0/(s investment committee would you approve the proposal to dou&le the allocation to a&solute return strategies (hedge funds) from #16 of assets (or a&out B-11 million) to $16 of assets (or a&out B# $ &illion (?xhi&its -, ;a, ;&, =a and =c)7 .hat additional questions would you ask @aurie 0oagland &efore approving (or re5ecting) the a&solute return strategy7 )
$ ' )
.hat is the impact on the expected return on the a&solute portfolio of the proposed overlay portfolio, which involves exposure not only to domestic equities &ut also to &onds and inflation indexed-&onds7 .hat are the risks7 0ow can 0/ implement the return overlay program (&ondi,e and equiti,e its a&solute return portfolio)7 3hould 0/ &ondi,e and equiti,e the a&solute return portfolio7 .hat are the advantages and disadvantages of investing in 3irius <, the glo&al distressed investment fund (?xhi&its #1, ##, #$a and #$&)7 3hould 0/ pledge up to +6 of the endowment to 3irius <7
!eetin" of +pril #* %&#'( eams, Oral Presentations- Written Presentations are due