Académique Documents
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of Capital
10 Budgeting
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
Define NPV profiles, and explain the rationale behind the NPV and IRR
methods, their reinvestment rate assumptions, and which method is
better when evaluating independent versus mutually exclusive projects.
Briefly explain the problem of multiple IRRs and when this situation
could occur.
Rate
of
Return
(MIRR)
for
given
Learning Objectives: 10 - 1
LECTURE SUGGESTIONS
Lecture Suggestions: 10 - 2
10-1
10-2
10-3
10-4
The NPV and IRR methods both involve compound interest, and the
mathematics of discounting requires an assumption about reinvestment
rates.
The NPV method assumes reinvestment at the cost of capital,
while the IRR method assumes reinvestment at the IRR.
MIRR is a
modified version of IRR that assumes reinvestment at the cost of
capital.
10-5
10-6
Yes, if the cash position of the firm is poor and if it has limited
access to additional outside financing it might be better off to choose
a machine with a rapid payback.
But even here, the relationship
between present value and cost would be a better decision tool.
10-7
10-9
Project X should be chosen over Project Y. Since the two projects are
mutually exclusive, only one project can be accepted.
The decision
rule that should be used is NPV. Since Project X has the higher NPV,
it should be chosen.
The cost of capital used in the NPV analysis
appropriately includes risk.
10-1
10-2
10-3
10-4
Annual
Cash Flows
($52,125)
12,000
12,000
12,000
12,000
12,000
12,000
12,000
12,000
Discounted @12%
Cash Flows
($52,125.00)
10,714.29
9,566.33
8,541.36
7,626.22
6,809.12
6,079.57
5,428.19
4,846.60
Cumulative
($52,125.00)
(41,410.71)
(31,844.38)
(23,303.02)
(15,676.80)
(8,867.68)
(2,788.11)
2,640.08
7,486.68
$2,788.11
years, or 6.51 years.
$5,428.19
Alternatively, since the annual cash flows are the same, one can divide
$12,000 by 1.12 (the discount rate = 12%) to arrive at CF 1 and then
continue to divide by 1.12 seven more times to obtain the discounted
cash flows (Column 3 values). The remainder of the analysis would be
the same.
10-5
MIRR:
PV Costs = $52,125.
FV Inflows:
PV
0
1
12%
|
|
12,000
2
|
12,000
3
|
12,000
4
|
12,000
5
|
12,000
6
|
12,000
(1.12)2
(1.12)
(1.12)4
(1.12)5
(1.12)
7
|
12,000
1.12
FV
8
|
12,000
13,440
15,053
16,859
18,882
21,148
23,686
26,528
MIRR
=
(1.12)7
52,125
147,596
Financial Calculator Solution: Obtain the FVA by inputting N = 8, I =
12, PV = 0, PMT = 12000, and then solve for FV = $147,596. The MIRR
can be obtained by inputting N = 8, PV = -52125, PMT = 0, FV = 147596,
and then solving for I = 13.89%.
13.89%
10-6
Project A:
Using a financial calculator, enter the following:
CF0
CF1
CF2
CF3
= -15000000
=
5000000
= 10000000
= 20000000
= -15000000
= 20000000
= 10000000
=
6000000
Truck:
Financial Calculator Solution: Input CF0 = -17100, CF1-5 = 5100, I = 14,
and then solve for NPV = $408.71 $409 and IRR = 1499% 15%.
MIRR:
PV Costs = $17,100.
FV Inflows:
PV
0 14%
|
1
|
5,100
2
|
5,100
3
|
5,100
4
|
5,100
1.14
(1.14)2
FV
5
|
5,100
5,814
6,628
7,556
8,614
17,100
MIRR = 14.54% (Accept)
33,712
Financial Calculator Solution: Obtain the FVA by inputting N = 5, I =
14, PV = 0, PMT = 5100, and then solve for FV = $33,712. The MIRR can
be obtained by inputting N = 5, PV = -17100, PMT = 0, FV = 33712, and
then solving for I = MIRR = 14.54%.
(1.14)3
(1.14)4
Pulley:
Financial Calculator Solution: Input CF0 = -22430, CF1-5 = 7500, I = 14,
and then solve for NPV = $3,318.11 $3,318 and IRR = 20%.
MIRR:
PV Costs = $22,430.
FV Inflows:
PV
0
14%
|
1
|
7,500
2
|
7,500
3
|
7,500
(1.14)2
4
|
7,500
1.14
(1.14)
(1.14)4
22,430
FV
5
|
7,500
8,550
9,747
11,112
12,667
49,576
10-9
10-10 Project X:
0 12%
|
-1,000
1
|
100
2
|
300
3
|
400
1.12
(1.12)2
(1.12)3
1,000
13.59% = MIRRX
4
|
700.00
448.00
376.32
140.49
1,664.81
0 12%
|
-1,000
1
|
1,000
2
|
100
3
|
50
1.12
(1.12)2
(1.12)3
1,000
13.10% = MIRRY
4
|
50.00
56.00
125.44
1,404.93
1,636.37
Project L:
Since Project
IRRL = 11.74%.
10-12 Step 1:
has
the
higher
NPV,
it
is
the
better
project.
0 12%
|
-1,000
1
|
PMT
10
|
PMT
2
|
176.98
9
|
176.98
1.10
(1.10)8
(1.10)9
1,000
10
|
176.98
194.68
.
.
.
379.37
417.31
10.93% = MIRR
900,000
165,000
$1,065,000
Sales
($20,000)
75,000
52,500
22,500
Royalties
Marketing
($5,000)
(3,500)
(1,500)
($10,000)
(10,000)
Net
($20,000)
60,000
39,000
21,000
1
|
-2,000
2
|
-2,000
1
|
0
59
|
-2,000
60
|
-2,000
10
|
-2,600
59
|
-2,600
60
|
-2,600
NPV
Sharon should not accept the new lease because the present value of
its cost is $94,611.45 - $89,910.08 = $4,701.37 greater than the old
lease.
b. 0 1%
|
1
|
-2,000
2
|
-2,000
9
|
-2,000
10
|
PMT
59
|
PMT
60
|
PMT
FV = $18,737.05.
PMT = $470.80.
Thus, the new lease payment that will make her indifferent is $2,000
+ $470.80 = $2,470.80.
Answers and Solutions: 10 - 10
Check:
0 1%
|
1
|
0
9
|
0
10
|
-2,470.80
59
|
-2,470.80
60
|
-2,470.80
NPV = -$89,909.99.
Except for rounding; the PV cost of this lease equals the PV cost of
the old lease.
c. Period
Old Lease
New Lease
Lease
0
0
0
0
1-9
-2,000
0
-2,000
10-60
-2,000
-2,600
600
CF0 = 0; CF1-9 = -2000; CF10-60 = 600; IRR = ? IRR = 1.9113%. This is
the periodic rate. To obtain the nominal cost of capital, multiply
by 12: 12(0.019113) = 22.94%.
Check:
PV = -$71,039.17.
Project A
Cash flows
Cumulative (A)
Project B
Cash flows
($400)
55
55
55
225
225
($400)
(345)
(290)
(235)
(10)
215
($600)
300
300
50
50
50
Cumulative
($600)
(300)
0
50
100
150
Period
(B)
0
1
2
3
4
5
Cash flows
Cumulative (A)
Cash flows
($400.00)
50.00
45.45
41.32
153.68
139.71
($400.00)
(350.00)
(304.55)
(263.22)
(109.55)
30.16
($600.00)
272.73
247.93
37.57
34.15
31.05
Cumulative
($600.00)
(327.27)
(79.34)
(41.77)
(7.62)
23.42
c. Finding net present values, use a financial calculator and enter the
following data:
Project A
CF0 = -400
CF1 =
55
CF2 =
55
CF3 =
55
CF4 = 225
CF5 = 225
Project B
CF0 = -600
CF1 = 300
CF2 = 300
CF3 =
50
CF4 =
50
CF5 =
50
I = 10
NPV = $30.16
I = 10
NPV = $23.42
Project B
CF0 = -600
CF1 = 300
CF2 = 300
CF3 =
50
CF4 =
50
CF5 =
50
IRR = 12.21%
IRR = 12.28%
A:
1
|
55
2
|
55
3
|
55
4
|
225
1.10
5
|
225
247.50
66.55
73.21
80.53
692.78
4
|
50
1.10
5
|
50
55.00
60.50
399.30
439.23
1,004.03
(1.10)2
(1.10)
(1.10)4
B:
1
|
300
2
|
300
3
|
50
(1.10)2
(1.10)3
(1.10)4
$65,002.11.
CF0 = -65002.11
CF1 = 7500
Nj = 10
CF1 = 10000
Nj = 10
I = 9; NPV = $10,239.20.
10-18 The MIRR can be solved with a financial calculator by finding the
terminal future value of the cash inflows and the initial present value
of cash outflows, and solving for the discount rate that equates these
two values. In this instance, the MIRR is given, but a cash outflow is
missing and must be solved for.
Therefore, if the terminal future
value of the cash inflows is found, it can be entered into a financial
calculator, along with the number of years the project lasts and the
MIRR, to solve for the initial present value of the cash outflows. One
of these cash outflows occurs in Year 0 and the remaining value must be
the present value of the missing cash outflow in Year 2.
Cash inflows
CF1 = 202
CF3 = 196
CF4 = 350
CF5 = 451
Compounding Rate
(1.10)4
(1.10)2
1.10
1.00
FV in Year 5 @ 10%
295.75
237.16
385.00
451.00
1368.91
Using the financial calculator to solve for the present value of cash
outflows:
N = 5
I = 14.14
PV = ?
PMT = 0
FV = 1368.91
The total present value of cash outflows is $706.62, and since the outflow
Answers and Solutions: 10 - 14
for Year 0 is $500, the present value of the Year 2 cash outflow is
$206.62. Therefore, the missing cash outflow for Year 2 is $206.62 (1.1)2
= $250.01.
10-19 a. At k = 12%, Project A has the greater NPV, specifically $200.41 as
compared to Project Bs NPV of $145.93.
Thus, Project A would be
selected.
At k = 18%, Project B has an NPV of $63.68 which is
higher than Project As NPV of $2.66. Thus, choose Project B if k =
18%.
b.
NPV
($)
1,0 00
90 0
80 0
70 0
60 0
50 0
Project A
40 0
30 0
20 0
10 0
-1 00
Pro ject B
Co st of
Ca pital (%)
10
15
20
25
30
-2 00
-3 00
k
0.0%
10.0
12.0
18.1
20.0
24.0
30.0
NPVA
$890
283
200
0
(49)
(138)
(238)
NPVB
$399
179
146
62
41
0
(51)
which is the
Project =
CFA - CFB
$ 105
(521)
(327)
(234)
466
466
716
(180)
NPV
(Million s of Do llars)
30
Plan B
24
18
12
IR R A = 20%
2.4
k (%)
0
10
15
IR RB = 16.7%
20
25
NPVB = $11,156,893.
IRRB = 22.26%.
b.
NPV
(Millions of Dollars)
80
60
40
Crossover Rate = 11.7%
20
0
-10
IRRS = 22.26%
10
15
20
25
k (%)
IRRA = 15.03%
NPV
(Million s of Do llars)
1.5
1.0
0.5
0
-0.5
-1.0
10 0
0%
10
50
80
100
200
300
400
410
420
430
450
20 0
30 0
40 0
50 0
k (%)
NPV
($1,000,000)
(99,174)
1,333,333
1,518,519
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
120,000
87,659
56,213
25,632
(33,058)
b. If k = 10%, reject the project since NPV < $0. Its NPV at k = 10%
is equal to -$99,174. But if k = 20%, accept the project because NPV
> $0. Its NPV at k = 20% is $500,000.
be
is
d. MIRR @ k = 10%:
PV costs = $2,000,000 + $12,000,000/(1.10)2 = $11,917,355.
FV inflows = $13,000,000 1.10 = $14,300,000.
MIRR = 9.54%. (Reject the project since MIRR < k.)
MIRR @ k = 20%:
PV costs = $2,000,000 + $12,000,000/(1.20)2 = $10,333,333.
FV inflows = $13,000,000 1.20 = $15,600,000.
MIRR = 22.87%. (Accept the project since MIRR > k.)
Looking at the results, this projects MIRR calculations lead to the
same decisions as the NPV calculations.
However, the MIRR method
will not always lead to the same accept/reject decision as the NPV
method. Decisions in which two mutually exclusive projects are
involved and differ in scale (size), MIRR can conflict with NPV. In
those situations, the NPV method should be used.
10-23 a. Payback A (cash flows in thousands):
Period
0
1
2
3
4
Annual
Cash Flows
($25,000)
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
Cumulative
($25,000)
(20,000)
(10,000)
5,000
25,000
Annual
Cash Flows
($25,000)
20,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
Cumulative
($25,000)
(5,000)
5,000
13,000
19,000
Annual
Cash Flows
($25,000)
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
Discounted @10%
Cash Flows
($25,000.00)
4,545.45
8,264.46
11,269.72
13,660.27
Cumulative
($25,000.00)
(20,454.55)
(12,190.09)
(920.37)
12,739.90
Annual
Cash Flows
($25,000)
20,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
Discounted @10%
Cash Flows
($25,000.00)
18,181.82
8,264.46
6,010.52
4,098.08
Cumulative
($25,000.00)
(6,818.18)
1,446.28
7,456.80
11,554.88
have
positive
NPVs,
so
both
projects
should
be
Year
Project =
CFA - CFB
1
2
3
4
(15)
0
7
14
$ 0
Step 2:
Step 3:
Step 2:
Step 3:
SPREADSHEET PROBLEM
10-24 The detailed solution for the spreadsheet problem is available both on the
instructors resource CD-ROM and on the instructors side of South-Westerns
web site, http://brigham.swlearning.com.
Spreadsheet Problem: 10 - 23
INTEGRATED CASE
ASSUME THAT YOU RECENTLY WENT TO WORK FOR ALLIED COMPONENTS COMPANY,
A
SUPPLIER
OF
AUTO
REPAIR
PARTS
USED
IN
THE
AFTER-MARKET
WITH
PRODUCTS FROM DAIMLER CHRYSLER, FORD, AND OTHER AUTO MAKERS. YOUR
BOSS, THE CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER (CFO), HAS JUST HANDED YOU THE
ESTIMATED CASH FLOWS FOR TWO PROPOSED PROJECTS. PROJECT L INVOLVES
ADDING A NEW ITEM TO THE FIRMS IGNITION SYSTEM LINE; IT WOULD TAKE
SOME TIME TO BUILD UP THE MARKET FOR THIS PRODUCT, SO THE CASH
INFLOWS WOULD INCREASE OVER TIME. PROJECT S INVOLVES AN ADD-ON TO AN
EXISTING LINE, AND ITS CASH FLOWS WOULD DECREASE OVER TIME. BOTH
PROJECTS HAVE 3-YEAR LIVES, BECAUSE ALLIED IS PLANNING TO INTRODUCE
ENTIRELY
NEW
MODELS
AFTER
3 YEARS.
HERE ARE THE PROJECTS NET CASH FLOWS (IN THOUSANDS OF DOLLARS):
YEAR
0
1
2
3
DEPRECIATION, SALVAGE VALUES, NET OPERATING WORKING CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS, AND TAX EFFECTS ARE ALL INCLUDED IN THESE CASH FLOWS.
THE CFO ALSO MADE SUBJECTIVE RISK ASSESSMENTS OF EACH PROJECT,
AND HE CONCLUDED THAT BOTH PROJECTS HAVE RISK CHARACTERISTICS THAT
ARE
SIMILAR
TO
THE
FIRMS
AVERAGE
PROJECT.
ALLIEDS
WEIGHTED
Integrated Case: 10 - 24
ANSWER:
ANALYZING
ADDITIONS
TO
FIXED
ASSETS.
CAPITAL
BUDGETING
IS
CONCEPTUALLY,
INVOLVED:
1. ESTIMATE THE CASH FLOWS--INTEREST AND MATURITY VALUE OR DIVIDENDS
IN THE CASE OF BONDS AND STOCKS, OPERATING CASH FLOWS IN THE CASE
OF CAPITAL PROJECTS.
2. ASSESS THE RISKINESS OF THE CASH FLOWS.
3. DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE DISCOUNT RATE, BASED ON THE RISKINESS
OF THE CASH FLOWS AND THE GENERAL LEVEL OF INTEREST RATES.
THIS
IS
HIGHER
THAN
THE
PROJECT
COST
OF
CAPITAL,
ACCEPT
THE
PROJECT.
B.
ANSWER:
FLOWS OF ONE ARE NOT AFFECTED BY THE ACCEPTANCE OF THE OTHER. CONVERSELY, TWO PROJECTS ARE MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE IF ACCEPTANCE OF ONE
IMPACTS ADVERSELY THE CASH FLOWS OF THE OTHER; THAT IS, AT MOST ONE
OF TWO OR MORE SUCH PROJECTS MAY BE ACCEPTED. PUT ANOTHER WAY, WHEN
PROJECTS ARE MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE IT MEANS THAT THEY DO THE SAME JOB.
FOR
EXAMPLE,
FORKLIFT
TRUCK
VERSUS
CONVEYOR
SYSTEM
TO
MOVE
Integrated Case: 10 - 25
Integrated Case: 10 - 26
NORMAL
INFLOW
0
-
NONNORMAL
C.
ANSWER:
+
+
+
+
+
-
+
+
WE CALCULATE
YEAR
0
1
2
ANNUAL
($100)
10
60
3
0
|
-100
1
|
10
-90
PAYBACK IS BETWEEN
50
t = 2
AND t = 3
2
|
60
-30
3
|
80
+50
IF WE ASSUME
THAT THE CASH FLOWS OCCUR EVENLY OVER THE YEAR, THEN THE INVESTMENT
IS RECOVERED $30/$80 = 0.375 0.4 INTO YEAR 3.
THEREFORE, PAYBACK L
C.
ACCORDING TO THE
Integrated Case: 10 - 27
ANSWER:
BREAKEVEN ANALYSIS:
THE PAYBACK
PERIOD TELLS US WHEN THE PROJECT WILL BREAK EVEN IN A CASH FLOW
SENSE.
C.
ANSWER:
OPTIONAL QUESTION
SETUP FOR PROJECT LS DISCOUNTED PAYBACK, ASSUMING A 10 PERCENT COST OF
CAPITAL:
YEAR
0
1
2
3
RAW
($100)
10
60
80
C.
IS THE PAYBACK
TIME VALUE OF MONEY, AND (2) IT IGNORES THE CASH FLOWS THAT OCCUR
AFTER THE PAYBACK PERIOD.
VALUE OF MONEY, BUT IT STILL FAILS TO CONSIDER CASH FLOWS AFTER THE
PAYBACK
PERIOD;
HENCE
IT
HAS
BASIC
FLAW.
IN
SPITE
OF
ITS
Integrated Case: 10 - 28
ANSWER:
CFt
(1 + k)
NPV =
t=0
1
|
10
2
|
60
3
|
80
THE
CASH
FLOWS
SEQUENTIALLY,
WITH
OUTFLOWS
ENTERED
AS
NEGATIVES; ENTER THE COST OF CAPITAL; AND THEN PRESS THE NPV BUTTON
TO
OBTAIN
THE
DIFFERENCE).
D.
PROJECTS
NPV,
$18.78
(NOTE
THE
ROUNDING
PENNY
PROJECT
OR
PROJECTS
SHOULD
BE
ACCORDING TO NPV,
ACCEPTED
IF
THEY
ARE
[SHOW
S10-13
HERE.]
STRAIGHTFORWARD:
IF
THE
A
RATIONALE
PROJECT
HAS
BEHIND
NPV
THE
$0,
NPV
THEN
METHOD
THE
IS
PROJECT
GENERATES EXACTLY ENOUGH CASH FLOWS (1) TO RECOVER THE COST OF THE
INVESTMENT AND (2) TO ENABLE INVESTORS TO EARN THEIR REQUIRED RATES
OF RETURN (THE OPPORTUNITY COST OF CAPITAL).
Integrated Case: 10 - 29
THEY ARE
WITH
THEIR
10
PERCENT
AGGREGATE
OPPORTUNITY
COST
OF
CAPITAL, AND (3) TO STILL HAVE $18.78 LEFT OVER ON A PRESENT VALUE
BASIS.
THIS
$18.78
EXCESS
PV
BELONGS
TO
THE
SHAREHOLDERS--THE
SIMILARLY, ALLIEDS
PROJECTS
AND
ARE
INDEPENDENT,
THEN
BOTH
SHOULD
BE
STOCK
PRICE.
IF
THE
PROJECTS
ARE
MUTUALLY
EXCLUSIVE,
THEN
D.
ANSWER:
THE
CHANGE.
E.
1. DEFINE
COST
OF
CAPITAL
CHANGED,
THE
NPV
OF
EACH
PROJECT
WOULD
THE
TERM
INTERNAL
RATE
OF
RETURN
(IRR).
WHAT
IS
EACH
PROJECTS IRR?
ANSWER:
1
|
CF1
2
|
CF2
IRR:
t= 0
Integrated Case: 10 - 30
CFt
(1 + IRR)
= $0 = NPV.
3
|
CF3
NOTE THAT THE IRR EQUATION IS THE SAME AS THE NPV EQUATION, EXCEPT
THAT TO FIND THE IRR THE EQUATION IS SOLVED FOR THE PARTICULAR
DISCOUNT RATE, IRR, WHICH FORCES THE PROJECTS NPV TO EQUAL ZERO
(THE
IRR)
RATHER
THAN
USING
THE
COST
OF
CAPITAL
(k)
IN
THE
DENOMINATOR AND FINDING NPV. THUS, THE TWO APPROACHES DIFFER IN ONLY
ONE RESPECT:
PROJECTS COST OF CAPITAL) AND THE EQUATION IS SOLVED FOR NPV, WHILE
IN THE IRR METHOD, THE NPV IS SPECIFIED TO EQUAL ZERO AND THE
DISCOUNT RATE (IRR) THAT FORCES THIS EQUALITY IS FOUND.
PROJECT LS IRR IS 18.1 PERCENT:
0
1
2
3
18.1%
|
|
|
|
-100.00
10
60
80
1/1.181
8.47
1/(1.181)2
43.02
1/(1.181)3
48.57
$ 0.06 $0 IF IRRL = 18.1% IS USED AS THE DISCOUNT RATE.
THEREFORE, IRRL 18.1%.
A FINANCIAL CALCULATOR IS EXTREMELY HELPFUL WHEN CALCULATING IRRs.
THE CASH FLOWS ARE ENTERED SEQUENTIALLY, AND THEN THE IRR BUTTON IS
PRESSED.
FOR
PROJECT
S,
IRRS
23.6%.
NOTE
THAT
WITH
MANY
CALCULATORS, YOU CAN ENTER THE CASH FLOWS INTO THE CASH FLOW REGISTER,
ALSO ENTER k = I, AND THEN CALCULATE BOTH NPV AND IRR BY PRESSING THE
APPROPRIATE BUTTONS.
E.
ANSWER:
E.
SHOULD
BE
ACCEPTED
IF
THEY
ARE
MUTUALLY
EXCLUSIVE?
Integrated Case: 10 - 31
ANSWER:
[SHOW
S10-16
AND
S10-17
HERE.]
IRR
MEASURES
PROJECTS
IF A PROJECTS IRR
EQUALS ITS COST OF CAPITAL, THEN ITS CASH FLOWS ARE JUST SUFFICIENT
TO PROVIDE INVESTORS WITH THEIR REQUIRED RATES OF RETURN.
AN IRR
SINCE
PROJECTS
AND
BOTH
HAVE
HURDLE
RATE
OF
10
PERCENT, AND SINCE BOTH HAVE IRRs GREATER THAN THAT HURDLE RATE,
BOTH SHOULD BE ACCEPTED IF THEY ARE INDEPENDENT. HOWEVER, IF THEY
ARE MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE, PROJECT S WOULD BE SELECTED, BECAUSE IT HAS
THE HIGHER IRR.
E.
ANSWER:
F.
FIGURE BELOW.
NOTE THE FOLLOWING POINTS:
1. THE Y-INTERCEPT IS THE PROJECTS NPV WHEN k = 0%.
THIS IS $50
Integrated Case: 10 - 32
3. NPV
k
NPV
($)
50
APPROACHES INFINITY.
Project L
40
4.
FROM
Crossover Rate = 8.7%
30
IS
TO SEE
Project S
THE
FIGURE
IRRS = 23.6%
10
10
15
20
25
IRRL = 18.1%
-10
IT
20
BELOW,
THE PRECISE
VALUE
IS
APPROXIMATELY
k (%)
PERCENT.
ONE
CALCULATE
THE
8.7
CROSSOVER
CAN
RATE
BY
(1) GOING BACK TO THE DATA ON THE PROBLEM, FINDING THE CASH FLOW
DIFFERENCE
FOR
EACH
YEAR,
(2) ENTERING THOSE DIFFERENCES INTO THE CASH FLOW REGISTERS, AND
(3) PRESSING THE IRR BUTTON TO GET THE CROSSOVER RATE, 8.68%
8.7%.
k
0%
5
10
15
20
NPVL
$50
33
19
7
(4)
NPVS
$40
29
20
12
5
Integrated Case: 10 - 33
F.
2. LOOK AT YOUR NPV PROFILE GRAPH WITHOUT REFERRING TO THE ACTUAL NPVs
AND IRRs.
INDE-PENDENT?
MUTUALLY
EXCLUSIVE?
EXPLAIN.
ARE
YOUR
ANSWERS
AND NPV CRITERIA LEAD TO THE SAME ACCEPT/REJECT DECISION FOR ANY
INDEPENDENT PROJECT.
AT
ITS
IRR,
18.1
CONSIDER PROJECT L.
PERCENT.
ACCORDING
TO
THE
IRR
RULE,
IS
18.1 PERCENT, LS NPV PROFILE WILL BE ABOVE THE X-AXIS, SO ITS NPV
WILL BE GREATER THAN $0.
IN THIS CASE, A
THE 8.7 PERCENT CROSSOVER RATE, SAY k = 7 PERCENT, THE NPV RULE SAYS
CHOOSE L, BUT THE IRR RULE SAYS CHOOSE S.
G.
ANSWER:
MUST
HAVE
HIGHER
VERTICAL
AXIS
INTERCEPT
AND
TYPICALLY DEPENDS ON (1) THE SIZE OF THE PROJECT AND (2) THE SIZE
AND TIMING PATTERN OF THE CASH FLOWS--LARGE PROJECTS, AND ONES WITH
LARGE
DISTANT
CASH
FLOWS,
WOULD
GENERALLY
BE
EXPECTED
TO
HAVE
PROFILE DEPENDS ENTIRELY ON THE TIMING PATTERN OF THE CASH FLOWS-LONG-TERM PROJECTS HAVE STEEPER NPV PROFILES THAN SHORT-TERM ONES.
THUS, WE CONCLUDE THAT NPV PROFILES CAN CROSS IN TWO SITUATIONS:
(1) WHEN MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE PROJECTS DIFFER IN SCALE (OR SIZE) AND
Integrated Case: 10 - 34
(2) WHEN THE PROJECTS CASH FLOWS DIFFER IN TERMS OF THE TIMING
PATTERN OF THEIR CASH FLOWS (AS FOR PROJECTS L AND S).
G.
ANSWER:
SINCE
COMPOUNDING
ASSUMES
REINVESTMENT,
SO
DOES
DISCOUNTING. NPV AND IRR ARE BOTH FOUND BY DISCOUNTING, SO THEY BOTH
IMPLICITLY
ASSUME
SOME
DISCOUNT
RATE.
INHERENT
IN
THE
NPV
Integrated Case: 10 - 35
G.
ANSWER:
WHY?
WHETHER NPV OR IRR GIVES BETTER RANKINGS DEPENDS ON WHICH HAS THE
BETTER REINVESTMENT RATE ASSUMPTION. NORMALLY, THE NPVS ASSUMPTION
IS BETTER. THE REASON IS AS FOLLOWS:
GENERALLY
OUTSIDE
USED
AS
SUBSTITUTES
FOR
CAPITAL,
THAT
IS,
PROJECTS CASH FLOWS REPLACE OUTSIDE CAPITAL AND, HENCE, SAVE THE
FIRM THE COST OF OUTSIDE CAPITAL.
HOWEVER,
THAT
NPV
AND
IRR
ALWAYS
GIVE
THE
SAME
NPV
VERSUS
IRR
CONFLICT
ARISES
ONLY
IF
MUTUALLY
EXCLUSIVE
H.
1. DEFINE THE TERM MODIFIED IRR (MIRR). FIND THE MIRRs FOR PROJECTS L AND
S.
ANSWER:
1
|
10
PV OF TV = 100.00
MIRR = ?
$100 =
2
|
60
1.10
3
|
80.00
66.00
(1.10)2
12.10
TV OF INFLOWS = 158.10
$158.10
(1 + MIRR)3
n
PV COSTS =
TV
=
(1 + MIRR)n
COFt
=
t
t = 0 (1 + k)
n
CIF (1 + k)
nt
t=1
(1 + MIRR)
Integrated Case: 10 - 36
WE COULD
H.
2. WHAT
ARE
THE
REGULAR IRR?
MIRRS
ADVANTAGES
AND
DISADVANTAGES
VIS-A-VIS
THE
THE PROBLEM OF MULTIPLE IRRs--THERE CAN BE ONLY ONE MIRR FOR A GIVEN
PROJECT.
MIRR
DOES
NOT
ALWAYS
LEAD
TO
THE
SAME
DECISION
AS
NPV
WHEN
IN PARTICULAR,
SMALL PROJECTS OFTEN HAVE A HIGHER MIRR, BUT A LOWER NPV, THAN
LARGER PROJECTS.
HOWEVER, MIRR IS
EXECUTIVES
AGREE.
AS
NOTED
IN
THE
TEXT,
BUSINESS
AS A RESULT, FINANCIAL
CORPORATE
EXECUTIVES.
THIS
FACT
WAS
BROUGHT
OUT
IN
THE
I.
AS
SEPARATE
PROJECT
(PROJECT
P),
THE
FIRM
IS
CONSIDERING
THE PAVILION
WOULD
THEN
TAKE
ANOTHER
YEAR,
AND
$5
MILLION
OF
HOWEVER,
COSTS,
TO
THUS,
PROJECT PS EXPECTED NET CASH FLOWS LOOK LIKE THIS (IN MILLIONS OF
DOLLARS):
YEAR
0
1
2
($0.8)
5.0
(5.0)
ANSWER:
ITS MIRR?
1
|
5,000,000
2
|
-5,000,000
NPVP = -$386,776.86.
WE CAN FIND THE NPV BY ENTERING THE CASH FLOWS INTO THE CASH FLOW
REGISTER,
ENTERING
10,
AND
THEN
PRESSING
THE
NPV
BUTTON.
HOWEVER, CALCULATING THE IRR PRESENTS A PROBLEM. WITH THE CASH FLOWS
IN
THE
REGISTER,
PRESS
THE
IRR
BUTTON.
AN
HP-10B
FINANCIAL
IF
IF YOU
GUESS A HIGH NUMBER, SUCH AS 200 PERCENT, IT WILL PRODUCE THE SECOND
IRR, 400 PERCENT1.
COMPUTING THE DISCOUNT RATE THAT EQUATES THE TERMINAL VALUE ($5.5
MILLION) TO THE PRESENT VALUE OF COSTS ($4.93 MILLION).
I.
2. DRAW
PROJECT
PS
NPV
PROFILE.
DOES
PROJECT
HAVE
NORMAL
OR
YOU COULD PUT THE CASH FLOWS IN YOUR CALCULATOR AND THEN ENTER A
SERIES OF I VALUES, GET AN NPV FOR EACH, AND THEN PLOT THE POINTS TO
CONSTRUCT THE NPV PROFILE.
1 Looking at the figure below, if you guess an IRR to the left of the peak NPV rate,
the lower IRR will appear.
appear.
Integrated Case: 10 - 38
If you guess IRR > peak NPV rate, the higher IRR will
CROSSES
THE
X-AXIS
TWICE,
AT
25
PERCENT
ARE--BOTH
PROJECTS
CAUSE
THE
NPV
TO
AND
AT
400
PERCENT,
EQUAL
ZERO.
HOWEVER,
IN
PROJECT
Ps
NPV
IS
NEGATIVE,
THE
PROJECT
SHOULD
BE
REJECTED, EVEN THOUGH BOTH IRRs (25 PERCENT AND 400 PERCENT) ARE
GREATER THAN THE PROJECTS 10 PERCENT COST OF CAPITAL.
THE MIRR OF
5.6 PERCENT ALSO SUPPORTS THE DECISION THAT THE PROJECT SHOULD BE
REJECTED.
NPV
(Thousands of Dollars)
500
375
250
125
100
200
300
400
500
k (%)
-125
-250
-375
Integrated Case: 10 - 39