November 1927

21
PROSPECTIVE CARLOADINGS, FOURTH QUARTER OF 1927

The loadings of carload commodities by the railroads
for the fourth quarter of 1927 are estimated at almost
2 per cent below the corresponding loadings in the
fourth quarter of 1926 by the regional advisory boards
set up by the American Kailway Association. These
estimates are compiled from detailed reports of committees representing shippers of the various commodities, as described in the August issue of the SURVEY OF
CURRENT BUSINESS, page 20. The boundaries of the
various districts are shown in the accompanying chart.
The estimated decrease in total loadings is due
largely to the decline of 2 per cent in the estimated
coal loadings, as coal makes up about one-third of the
total. Large decreases are also estimated in loadings of
cotton, cottonseed and its products, fresh fruit and hay,
straw and alfalfa, all these groups showing an expected
falling off of from 12 to 25 per cent from a year ago.
The principal increases estimated over a year ago
occur in loadings of grains, while chemicals and explosives, though small in volume, were estimated to make
the greatest relative gain of 10 per cent over the last
quarter of 1926.
The districts estimated to make the greatest
increases over a year ago are the Northwest with 12.5
per cent, the Pacific coast with 9.3 per cent, and the
Pacific Northwest with 5.3 per cent. In the first of
these districts the gain was arrived at largely through
estimated increased loadings of grain; in the second
the loadings of clay, gravel, sand, and stone were
responsible; while in the third both grain and lumber
had a large part in the increased estimates. Small

increases were estimated over the fourth quarter of
1926 for the Atlantic States, Ohio Valley, and central
western districts, while the New England and transMissouri-Kansas districts are estimated to load almost
as many cars as a year ago.
The estimated decreases of from 5.2 to 7.5 per cent
in the Allegheny, Great Lakes, southeast, and midwest districts were thus responsible for the estimated
declines in the total loadings. In the Allegheny district the estimated decrease in coal loadings was the
principal factor in the estimated decrease; in the
Great Lakes district automobiles and clay, gravel,
sand, and stone were leading influences; in the southeast district cotton, cottonseed, and lumber made up
most of the decline and in the midwest district coal
and grain were the principal factors.
REGIONAL ADVISOEY BOARD DISTRICTS

PROSPECTIVE CARLOADINGS, FOURTH QUARTER OF 1927
COMPARED WITH ACTUAL LOADINGS SAME QUARTER OF 1936
(As reported by commodity committees, regional shippers' advisory boards, and compiled by American Railway Association)
Number of cars
COMMODITY GROUPS

Actual
1936

Estimated
1937

Per
Number of cars Per
Number
cent
cent
inc.
inc.
Esti(+)
(+)
or dec. Actual
mated or dec. Actual
1936
1936
1937
(-)
(-)
District No. 1%
NEW ENGLAND

ALL DISTRICTS

1 Grain, all

._
Flour, meal, and other mill products
Hay, straw, and alfalfa
Cotton
Cottonseed and products, except oil
Citrus fruits
._
Other fresh fruits
Potatoes
,. __
Other fresh vegetables
Livestock
Coal and coke
_.
..
Ore and concentrates
Clay, gravel, sand, and stone 1
Lumber and forest products __
Petroleum and petroleum products
Sugar, sirup, glucose, and molasses
Iron and steel
_
Castings machinery, and boilers
Cement
Brick and clay products
Lime and plaster
Agricultural implements and vehicles (other
than automobiles)
_ _ . . _ _ .
23 Automobiles, trucks, and parts
24 Fertilizers, all kinds
25 Paper, printed matter, and books
26 Chemicals and2 explosives-27 Canned goods .

401, 838
231, 226
95, 976
251 895
139, 874
29, 210
145, 080
93, 866
50, 661
443, 935
3, 343, 830
340, 421
906,098
964, 701
553, 090
52, 311
452, 041
62, 329
189, 235
175, 678
62, 895

431, 900
240, 252
84, 460
190, 483
109, 287
28, 336
121, 146
96, 543
50, 723
438, 039
3, 276, 612
320, 424
929, 427
939, 594
569, 409
54, 106
435, 263
57, 578
196, 545
168, 312
63, 277

+7.5
+3.9
-12.0
-24.4
-21.9
-3.0
-16.5
+2.9
+0.1
-1.3
—2 0
-5.9
+2.6
-2.6
+3.0
+3.4
-3.7
76
+3.9
-4.2
+0.6

2,823
2,539
2,450
1,036
28
83
4,197
13, 151
1,473
1,428
21, 924
93
15, 335
31, 153
23, 262
f 2, 544
3,500
6,944
2,345
4,228
3,938

2,960
2,710
2,400
1,040
30
80
4,190
13, 250
1,400
1,570
21, 900
90
14, 850
31, 150
23, 490
2,575
3,650
6,900
2,300
4,050
3,790

17, 966
167, 050
47, 620
75, 494
64, 600
47, 468

18,084
164, 298
48, 580
80, 479
71, 280
47, 916

+0.7
-1.6
+2.0
+6.6
+10.3
+0.9

669
1,226
1,189
12, 945
2,781
2,110

670
1,225
1,190
13, 050
2,750
2,050

Total, all commodities listed

9, 406, 388

9, 232, 353

-1.9

165,394

165,310

2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22

i Including crude and powdered gypsum.
Digitized for FRASER
http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

2

+4.9
+6.7
-2.0
+0.4
+7.1
36
-0.2
+0.8
-5.0
+10.0
-0.1
-3.2
-3.2

of cars
Estimated
1937

Per
Per
Number of cars
cent
cent
inc.
inc.
( }
Esti(+)
or dec. Actual
mated or dec.
1936
1937
(-)
(-)

i-

District No. 8
ATLANTIC STATES

436
532
1,087

445
540
1,274

+2.1
+1.5
+17.2

6,916
99
18
2,934
998, 590

6,833
123
18
2,629
924, 695

-1.2
+24.2

93, 820
11, 845
19, 735
12
190, 685
0,860
10, 947
32, 715
3,643

85, 845
11, 217
21, 116
12
181, 151
5,666
12, 228
33, 467tf
4,616

-8.5
-5.3
+7.0
-5.0
-17.4
+11.7
+2.3
+26.7

1,216
726
1,515
2,947
10, 144
950

+13.6
+7.1
+13.0
+4.0
+6.8
+13.4

+3.4 1, 397, 133 1, 309, 373

-6.3

33, 706
13, 954
11, 451

33, 700
13, 955
11, 450

35, 147
10, 434
10, 042

22, 846
11, 999
11, 247

-35.0
+15.0
+12.0

425, 083
27, 250
117, Oil
40, 230
84, 250
12, 442
92, 900
14, 980
65, 915
24, 113
18, 760

+2.0

+1.0
+1.2
+4.3
-0.6
-1.9
-4.2
-3.8

416, 749
27, 259
113, 054
40, 228
76, 591
11, 965
92, 901
14, 978
61, 603
26, 792
18, 755

+0.8
-1.1
-2.8

8,973
3,593
24, 130
14, 160
7,451

9,870
3,729
26, 543
14, 160
6,333

1, 073, 916 1, 088, 766

District No. 9
ALLEGHENY

+3.5
+10.0
+4.0

+7.6
-10.0

+10.0
+3.8
+10.0
-15.0

1,070
678
1,341
2,834
9,498
838

All canned food products, including catsups, jams, jellies, olives, pickles, preserves, etc.

-10.4
-7.4

November 1927

22

PROSPECTIVE CAR LOADINGS, FOURTH QUARTER OF 1927—Continued
COMPARED WITH ACTUAL LOADINGS, SAME QUARTER OF 1936
(As reported by commodity committees, regional shippers' advisory boards, and compiled by American Railway Association)
Number of
Number of
Number of
Number of
Per
Per
Per
Per
Per
cars
cars
cars
cars
cent
cent
cent
cent
cent
inc.
inc.
inc.
inc.
inc.
( }
Esti- or(+)
Esti- or(dec.
Esti- or dec. Actual Esti- or(+)
# Actual Esti- or(+)
dec. Actual mated
dec. Actual mated
Actual mated
dec.
mated
1926
1926
1926
1926 mated
1926
(-)
(-)
(-)
(-)
(-)
1927
1927
1927
1927
1927
Number of
cars

i

COMMODITY GROUPS

District No. 2
GREAT LAKES

1 Grain, all

2
3
4
5
6

__
_ _ _
Flour, meal, and other mill products _ _
Hay, straw, and alfalfa
Cotton . ._
Cottonseed and products, except oil
Citrus fruits

-11.7
-3.1
-36.9

7,456
19,096
4,026
101, 508
76. 096
15, 724

7, 839
+5. 1 41, 393
20,051 +5.0
3,596
4, 630 +15. 0
76, 131 i -25.0
60, 877 -20. 0
16,243; +3.3

-3. 6

—21 7 17, 966 13 079! —27 2
2,113
-4.0
-30. 9
2,201
3.365
-21.9
3,567
+6.0
-17.9 13, 386 14, 591
+9.0 25, 742 26, 410
-0.9 993, 018 1,034,499
-2.0 194, 529 192, 854
+2.9 37, 682 36, 154
-4.0

Clay, gravel, sand, and stone l
.._ _
Lumber and forest products
Petroleum and petroleum products
Sugar, sirup, glucose, and molasses
Iron and steel

92, 572
8, 457
16, 594
3,059
43, 077

83, 500
6,460
16,000
3,500
36, 600

-9.8 165, 184 171, 682
-23.6 339, 888 306,417
-3.6 58,614 65, 648
+14.4
8,541
8,114
-15.0 27, 271 25, 362

+3.9 102, 535
-9.8 2,952
+12.0
-5.0
-7.0 18, 989

Castings, machinerv, and boilers
Cement
.
._ _ .
Brick and clay products.
Lime and plaster
Agricultural implements and vehicles,
other than automobiles

13, 046
12, 288
10, 882
11, 564

10,000
15, 000
8,000
9,000

-23.3 3,481 2,924
+22.1 19, 661 21, 430
-26. 5 29, 196 29, 196
-22.2
6,151
6,766

-16.0
+9.0
+10.0

2,017

1,450

-28. 1

1,924

2,116

+10.0

112,314 103,407
1,125
1,110
14, 679 15,000
12, 624 16, 500
3,207
3,405

7 9
-1.3
+2.2
+30.7
-5.8

5,767
30, 818
1,828
11,918
5,411

5,767
31, 434
2,102
12, 514
5,952

13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22

5,108

___

.

Automobiles, trucks, and parts
Fertilizers, all kinds .
Paper, printed matter, and books
Chemicals and2 explosives
Canned goods
Total, all commodities listed

571, 470 528, 804

-7.5 1,208,688 1,145,553

District No. 5
TRANS-MISSOURIKANSAS
+0.3
-0.8
-12.7

7
8
9
10
11
12

Other fresh fruits
Potatoes.
Other fresh vegetables
Livestock
Coal and coke._.
Ore and concentrates

3,969
666
375
69, 512
(3)
8,675

1,732
500
378
68, 500
(3)
7,067

-56.4
-24.9
+0.9
-1.5

13
14
15
16
17

Clay, gravel, sand, and stone *_
Lumber and forest products
Petroleum and petroleum products
Sugar, sirup, glucose, and molasses
Iron and steel .__

45, 041
40, 420
72,006

49, 000
35, 902
77, 046

+8.8 53, 432 59, 844
-11.2 112,917 129, 855
+7.0 179, 348 170, 381

6,044

6,600

+9.2

18
19
20
21
22

Castings, machinery, and boilers
Cement
Brick and clay products
Lime and plaster
Agricultural implements and vehicles,
other than automobiles

1,148
14, 091
16, 000
3,600

1, 096
14, 100
16,400
4,000

+2.5
+11.1

972

1,000

+2.9

23
24
25
26
27

Automobiles, trucks, and parts
Fertilizers, all kinds
Paper, printed matter, and books
Chemicals and2 explosives
Canned goods _.
_.
__

9,496

9,500

Total, all commodities listed

402, 681 401, 821

-18.5

-4.5

+2.0
+15.0
+5.0
+10.0

19, 550

86, 661
31, 954
11,597
389
588
41

78, 000
34,000
12, 000
389
600
40

District No. 3
NORTHWEST

-10.0
+6.4
+3.5

-2.3
+6.8
+0.3
-13.3
-2.8

-20. 0 141, 842 135, 000
-9. 1 71,849 70, 000
24, 760 27, 000
6,860
6,800
+3. 0 52, 798 52, 000

-4.8
-2.6
+9.0
-0.9
-1.5

12,508
20,044
25, 312
8,545

-5.2
-13.1
+5.3

17, 504
13, 781

-0.8

6,397
5,480
8,657

9,146
5,382
7,707

+43.0
-1.8
-11.0

2.6

12, 500
19, 000
22,000
9,000

683
14, 172
1, 995
76, 935
71, 074
63, 983

683
14, 850
1,995
67, 703
92, 396
51, 187

-12.0
+30.0
-20.0

9,407
19,325

9,661
20,950

+2.7
+8.4

1,228
2,180

1,228
2,180

782
1,346
1,793
483

782
1,346
1,793
483

9,533

9,500

-0.3

977

12,912
2,387
5,374
7,621
11,469

15,720
2,500
5,100
7,800
12,000

+21.7
+4.7
-5.1
+2.3
+4.6

1,334
694
1,078
298
1,243

+2.0 1,206,643 1,129,649

District No. 10
CENTRAL-WESTERN

+70.0
+19.0
-63.1

+2.6
-2.4

6, 655
6,500
6,991
7,000
6,149
6,200
+2. 6 113. 710 114, 000
+4. 2 461, 194 400, 000
66, 900 65, 000

17,975
13, 888

61, 622 104, 750
39, 078 46, 500
8,135
3,000

+4.8

1,087

+11.3

1,334
694
1,155
298
1,243

+7.1

-6.4 379, 845 427, 298

+12.5

District No. 11
PACIFIC COAST

District No. 14
PACIFIC NORTHWEST

37, 567 18, 748
18, 875 16, 988
5,441
4,947
144, 830 108, 623
61, 626 46,220
473
473

50 1
-10.0
+10.0
-25.0
25.0

29, 043
11, 029
10, 838

37, 500
11, 500
10, 050

+29.1
+4.3
-7.3

6,285
6,798
8,312
4,132
1.536
12, 889

6,050
7,100
7,950
4,300
1,560
11,500

-3.7
+4.4
-4.4
+4.1
+1.6
-10.8

15, 557
8,235
4,775

22, 710
9,058
4,400

+46.0
+10.0
-7.9

4,388
2, 218
2,024
40, 275
29. 345
525

-10. 0
+5.0

4, 765 5,800
29,432 32, 100

+21.7
+9.1

+20.0 70, 450 68, 000
+10.0 107, 940 103, 500
-10.0 12,316 11, 100

-3.5
-4.1
-9.9

28, 169
2,325
19, 788
19, 451
10, 355
34, 530

29,050
1,800
18, 600
20, 300
10, 800
31,800

+3.1
-22.6
-6.0
+4.4
+4.3
-7.9

26, 630
5,483
2,230
3, 388
13, 471
4,007

22, 045
5,890
2,794
3,031
13, 790
3,411

-17.2
+7.4
+25.3
-10.5
+2.4
-14.9

4, 875
2. 113
2,024
33, 563
26, 678
583

7,018
8,548

7,719
8,975

+12.0
+15.0
-5.0
+10.0
+5.0

2,198
7,992
8,869
5,966

2,308
8,631
9,312
6, 562

+5.0
+8.0
+5.0
+10.0

804

1,045

+30.0

5,138
659
302
2,129
1,258

5,138
659
362
2,129
1,321

+20.0

-0.2 734, 732 689, 509

+5.0

14, 042
5, 746
28, 725
5,709
2,412

15, 500
5,600
27, 000
6,000
2, 500

+10.4
2 5

-e!o

+5.1
+3.6

55, 215 100, 200
82, 428 70, 559
45, 809 49,000
5,366
5,700
3,125
3,027

+81.5 4,619
5,305
14 4 197, 493 208, 570
+7.0
7,646 8,478
+6.2
16
9
+3.2
609
670

+14.9
+5.6
+10.9
+77.8
+10.0

3,415
1,302

3, 500
1,350

+2.5
+3.7

14, 273
3,135

12, 200
3,150

-14.5
+0.4

384
3,255
1,565
250

422
3,391
1,700
300

+9.9
+4.2
+8.6
+20.0

2,352

2,350

463
334
1,609
301
3,568

115
367
1,782
299
3,560

-75.2
+9.9
+10.8

+9.3 305, 881 322, 104

+5.3

1,014

1,200

-6. 2 338, 178 342, 200

12 Including crude and powdered gypsum.
All canned food products, including catsups, jams, jellies, olives, pickles, preserves, etc.
3 Np figures available, on account of suspension not possible to estimate car loadings,.

Digitized for FRASER
http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

82, 029
2, 684

-5.21,240,622 1,265,355

District No. 7
SOUTHWEST

Grain, all
49,833 50,000
Flour, meal, and other mill products. . 49, 378 49, 000
Hav, straw, and alfalfa
11,455 10,000
Cotton
Cottonseed and products, except oil__.
Citr us fruits
...

1
2
3
4
5
6

+4.4

3, 465

4,000
4,700
2,500
11, 030
27, 750
86, 840

Other fresh fruits
Potatoes
. _O ther fresh vegetables
Livestock
Coal and coke
Ore and concentrates

District No. 1
MID-WEST

43, 198

6,799
3,202
13, 436
28, 308
84, 393

7
8
9
10
11
12

23
24
25
26
27

29, 456 26, 000
29, 758 28, 850
13, 307 8,400

District No. 4
OHIO VALLEY

District No. 6
SOUTHEAST

+18.3

+1.2

2,058
3,270
9,701

4,731 +129.9
4, 686 +43. 3
10, 100
+4. 1

381, 205 416,611

-0.2

February 1928

21
PROSPECTIVE CARLOADINGS, FIRST QUARTER OF 1928
Commodity loadings by railroads in carload lots
for the first quarter of 1928 are estimated by the regional advisory boards set up by the American Railway Association at somewhat more than 2 per cent
below the corresponding loadings in the first quarter
of 1927. These estimates are compiled from detailed
reports of committees representing shippers of the
various commodities, as first described in the August,
1927, issue of the SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS,
page 20, and are comparable to similar data published
in the November, 1927, SURVEY, page 21. The boundaries of the various economic districts set up by these
boards are shown in the accompanying chart.
The estimated decline from a year ago in total loadings is largely due to the decrease of 6 per cent in
loadings of coal and coke, these items making up more
than one-third of the total. Large decreases are also
estimated in loadings of cotton and cottonseed, fruits,
both citrus and other, fresh vegetables, except potatoes, and hay, straw, and alfalfa, each of these groups
showing prospective declines of 5 per cent or more.
Loadings of livestock are estimates to run 2 per cent
lower than a year previous. Numbered among the
principal increases are flour and other mill products,
potatoes, petroleum and petroleum products, automobiles, and fertilizers.
Although a decline is estimated for the country at
large, increases are forecasted for the New England,
Atlantic States, the Great Lakes, Northwest, central
western, Pacific coast, and the Pacific northwest
districts, the estimated decline in the grand total
loadings, all other districts showing declines in prospective loadings.

Anticipated increases over a year ago of more than
2 per cent were reported for the Great Lakes, central
western, and Pacific coast districts. For the Great
Lakes district the estimated increase in loadings of
automobiles, trucks, and parts amounts to 14 per cent.
This groups represents about one-third of the total
loadings of the Great Lakes district. In the central
western district, grains and petroleum and petroleum
REGIONAL ADVISORY BOARD

'

N.OAK.

1

S.OAK.

•W.T.

/ ^

i ~, L
r-u\

I -*

1?
s. I 1

1 V ic

" ^

Y

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NESB.

i
KANSAS

;

DISTRICTS

\

\

C '—
|

a;i:/

OK

2.

products combined represent more than 25 per cent
of the total loadings of this district; the anticipated
increases in these groups are 47 per cent and 10 per
cent, respectively. All districts registering declines
show expected decreases of more than 2 per cent with
the greatest relative declines occurring in the Allegheny and the Ohio Valley districts, each showing an
estimated falling off of 6 per cent.

PROSPECTIVE CARLOADINGS, FIRST QUARTER OF 1928
COMPARED WITH ACTUAL LOADINGS SAME QUARTER OF 1927
(As reported by commodity committees, regional shippers' advisory boards, and compiled by American Railway Association)
Number of cars
COMMODITY G R O U P S

Actual
1937

Estimated
1938

Per
cent
inc.

ALL DISTRICTS

Number of cars

Per

cent
inc.

Number of cars

Esti(+)
Actual mated
or dec. Actual
1937
1927
1928
District No. 12
NEW ENGLAND

Estimated
1928

Per
cent
inc.

(

v

District No. 8or dec.
()
ATLANTIC STATES

Number of cars

Per
cent
inc.

Esti(+)
mated or dec
1928
()
District No. 9
ALLEGHENY

Actual
1927

Grain, all
346, 366
1,573
341, 068
1,560
2,521
+1.2 19, 732 19, 740
-1.5
2,550
Flour, meal, and other mill products
226, 741
878
17, 730
1,122
233, 530
+3.0
-1.6
17, 719
2,540
2,500
Hay, straw, and alfalfa
100,150
1,718
1,443
11,495
94, 255
11,494
+0.9
-5.9
2,557
2,580
105, 831
Cotton
_
73, 326 - 3 0 . 7
+8.9
1,295
1,410
103,477
Cottonseed and products, except oil
72,476 - 3 0 . 0
-11.8
30
34
40, 775
Citrus fruits
35,972 - 1 1 . 8
20 +17.6
17
46, 636
2,700
Other fresh fruits
38,582 - 1 7 . 3
1,995
7,618 - 4 2 . 0
+5.7
13,134
1,200
1,135
67, 794
+4.8 13,361 10, 780 - 1 9 . 3
116
111
Potatoes
8,883 +12.0
71,080
7,932
60, 510
-6.7
11
11
Other fresh vegetables
_
56,466
8,471
9,318 +10.0
+4.1
1,150
1,105
-2.0
378, 005
562
543
Livestock
.
_.
370, 305
+1.3
925
913
3,173, 078 2,980,428
-6.1
941,197
-1.0
Coal and coke
354,696 354,700
29,800
30, 087
-2.9
163, 515
-2.4
Ore and concentrates
158, 700
25,114
26,717
200
205
-6.0
+0.6
-8.6
587,146
590,459
59,315
Clay, gravel, sand, and stone i
65,614
69,280
69,280
5,350
5,853
+0.3 41,649 44, 565
+7.0
959, 385
962,467
Lumber and forest products
__.
13,151
43, 754
11,718
43, 754
+4.4
537,868
515, 096
Petroleum and petroleum products
69,015
27,980
28,343
65,729
19,480 +10.0
17, 712
+4.9
41,825
Sugar, sirup, glucose, and molasses
43, 862
10,610
225
225
10, 606
2,680
2,683
-1.4
472, 795
Iron and steel..
466, 363
86, 706
197, 210
186,167
86,706
+9.9
3,685
3,352
-0.9
61,311
Castings, machinery, and boilers
15,610
5,668
60, 736
4,483
15, 610
-4.7
5,292
5,540
+3.6
128, 698
Cement
_
133, 271
38, 390
5,363
6,007
+8.9
+5.0
744
810
+6.4
150, Oil
Brick and clay products
159, 540
21,339
31,189
-8.5
31,220
23, 321
-8.5
3,275
3,578
+0.8
Lime and plaster
59,463
59, 918
22, 514
1,673
-9.0
1,678
+5.0
2,913
2,652
21,442
Agricultural implements and vehicles (other
than automobiles)
30, 791
33,084
3,386
3,603
+7.4
652
650
Automobiles, trucks, and parts
195, 518
219, 950 +12.5
803
899
+0.5 12,011 12, 011
2,538
2,550
Fertilizers, all kinds
164,930
180,195
1,433
1,505
+9.3
+0.3 16, 774 18, 082 +7.8
6,679
6,700
Paper, printed matter, and books
64, 595
73, 557 +13.9
4,115
4,502
+3.6 23,902 26, 053 +9.0
2,914
3,020
Chemicals and2 explosives.
63,974
68, 662
9,841
9,772
+4.7 13,425
14, 767 +10.0
+7.3
2,349
2,460
Canned goods __
34,117
34, 751
829
-25.8
8,093
8,093
933
+1.9
1,092
810
Total,
all
commodities
listed
Digitized for FRASER
J, all commodities listed
8,342,533 8,150,871
- 2 . 3 155,770 157,372
+1.0
907,110
910,822
+ 0 . 4 1,317,235 1,
1,2c
238,116
http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/
Including crude and powdered gypsum.
2 All canned food products, including catsups, jams, jellies, olives, pickles, preserves, etc
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

-0.8

+27.8
-16.0
-26.1
-4.3

-3.4
-6.4
-9.6
-10.9

+1.3

-5.6
-20.9

+12.0
+0.1
+0.3
+6.4
+11.9
+5.0
+9.4
-0.7

+12.5

-6.0

February 1928

22
PROSPECTIVE CARLOADINGS, FIRST QUARTER OF 1928—Continued
COMPARED WITH ACTUAL LOADINGS, SAME QUARTER OF 1927
(As reported by commodity committees, regional shippers' advisory boards, and compiled by American Railway Association)
Number of
cars

COMMODITY GROUPS

Per
cent
inc.

Number of
cars

Per
cent
inc.

27,816
31, 768
12, 607

Other fresh fruits
Potatoes
Other fresh vegetablesLivestock
Coal and coke
Ore and concentrates...

1,483
4,527
2,248
11,281
19, 081
29, 248

1,250 -15.7
6,997
4, 758
4,000 -11.
3, 667i
4,034
2,100 -6.6 12, 259| 12, 749
10,165
-9.9 11, 9651 12, 563
17, 050 -10.6 175,046: 162,181
28,500
-2.6 38,7831 40,705

Clay, gravel, sand, and stone 1
Lumber and forest products
Petroleum and petroleum products..
Sugar, sirup, glucose, and molasses..
Iron and steel

22, 603
17, 244
15.078
2,885
55,401

20,442
17, 565 +1- 311, 355 305, 362
13, 500 -10.5 48,119 52, 931 +io!o
2,830 - 1 .
8,279 8,486 +2.5
56,000 +1.1 2 7 " " " 29,914 +8.0

Castings, machinery, and boilers
Cement
Brick and clay products
Lime and plaster
Agricultural implements and vehicles,
other than automobiles

12.079
5,247
8,342
10,170

12, 320 +2.0
5,200
-0.9
14,800 +77.4
9,320 -8.4

27,000
30,000
10,000

-2.9
-5.6
-20.7

7,030
17,378
4,515
46,125!
47,8531
19,846

Other fresh fruits
Potatoes
Other fresh vegetablesLivestock
Coal and coke
Ore and concentrates...

139, 537
2,386
11,913
15, 772
2,465

1,200
158, 863
2,000
14,400
17, 800
2,285

463, 257 478, 590

-42.2

+13.9
-16.2
+20.9
+12.9
-7.3

+7.0
+15.0

39,352i

31,479

-20.0

3,1071

3,150

+1.4

-25.0
-48.0
-21.0

cars

+3.2
-7.4

84, 583!
35, 258J
12,084

84, 583
37, 726
12, 084
347
535

1,623
1,623
8, 098|
3,204
„,_„3,204
122,569 122,569
447,327 3 400,000
5,111|
4,000

92, 280
3,950

-1.3 62, 2331 62, 233
+16.3 127, 685! 135, 200

23, 402

23, 850

+1.'

23,9171
6, 889
57,915;

17,
1
14, 718

18, 400
14,050

+4.5

93,542
3,397

-4.5

49,156
44,804
12, 657

-8.5
45,000
45,000 +0.4
11, 390 - 1 0 . 0

Clay, gravel, sand, and stone 1
Lumber and forest products
Petroleum and petroleum products..
Sugar, sirup, glucose, and molasses..
Iron and steel..

28,373
35, 717
53, 386

25, 536 - 1 0 . 0
32, 450 - 9 . 1
56, 586 +6.

Castings, machinery, and boilers
Cement
,
Brick and clay products
Lime and plaster
Agricultural implements and vehicle
other than automobiles..

1,425
9,032
8,118
3,847

25,113
6,889
58,000

+7.0

-10.6
-21.

+5.9
+5.0

13,129] 13,129

43, 424
33, 306
9, 317

45, 000!
35, 637^
9,3171

3,158
9,839
489
49,456
47, 595
3,165

3,158
.
12, 000; +22. 0
489
49,456 .
.
47,595!.
3,165!.

932;.
2,600!
1,082'

+10.0

2,330

2, 901

+17. 2

1,019

+4.9
+ 10.0
+5.2

1, 296!
267|
958i

10, 091
26,000
8,255

+11.2

17, 559

19, 314

18, 698
3,733
5,317
7,561
9,980

21, 920
3, 733;
5,577
8,317
10,500

+3. 6
+7. Q

3,706 1,000' - 7 3 . 0
50, 371 50,371L
4,401 4,621! +
684
753! +10.0
3,367 3,703: +10.0
932
2, 562!
1, 082
506

10, 091
23, 375
8,255

2,385

5,758

6,100

+5.9

1,085 - 2 3 . 9
9,032
11,080 +36.5
-9.0
3,500

1,796

2,065

+15.0

10,836

12,000

+10.7

444,330 433, 879

2,623

+10.0

2, 725 2, 725
118, 832 130, 715 +10.0
1,081
1,103 +2.0
10,246 10, 246
1,571
1,728 +10.0

943
514
766
624
317
559

26, 355
19,440
6,054
32,175
27, 452
838

2,403
1,382
7,411
20, 337
18, 532
573

2,523
1,451
7,781
21, 354
19, 458
545

46,846 51, 530
97, 393 102, 262
181, 775 187, 229
5, 348
4,457
6, 288,
7,530
7,233

4r~
607

1,891
3,996
172
1,556
551

1,457
8,433
7,594
5,048

-20.0

+5.0
+5.0
-40.0
-20.0
+50. 0
+5.0
+5.0
+5.0
+5.0
+5.0
-5.0

728

+20.0

+30.0
+30.0
+4.7
+4.9
+4.9
-2.0

+11.
+6.0

- 6 . 3 1,117,112 1,089,076:

District No. 10
CENTRAL-WESTERN

+1.5

550

6,621
6,597
7,852
3,516
1,016
17,! "

6,500
6,550
7,000
3,800
1,075
16,900

671
1,000
13, 278 15,000

+49.0
+13.0

60, 899 56,000
92, 630 9,000
11,419 10,500

-8.0
-2.8
-8.0

5,625
1,210
24,335
10, 348
8,359
34,023|

5,600
1,200
17,800
10,600
8,200
34, 050

6,100
3,900
30,000
3,000
1,900

+2.4
+5.6
+10.0
+41.4
-5.5

3,000
900

+10.4
+14.1

800

1,019
529,.
1,296:.
267 _
1,054j

-1.8
-0.7.
-10. 9

rlO.O
+1.7

District No. 14
PACIFIC NORTHWEST
7.065
7,609
5,099

+8.l'_
+5.8.
-5.5.
I
6, 52.=
-0.4
3,268
-0.8
612
-26. 9
+2.4J 1,667
-1.9!

13, 653
5,408

45,422 58, 850 - 2 9 . 6
45, 278 45,200
-0.2
43, 796 44,700 +2.1
2,980 3,023 +1.4
3,330 3,425 +2.9

3,555
6,022
16
657

8,271
8,441
4,550

+ 17.1
+10.9
-10. &

6,795
4.423
1, 614!
1,6241
13, 697!
4,82l!

+4. 1
+35. 3
+163. 7
-2.6
+0.3
-10.9

4, 250 +19. 5
-1.5
166,170
6,350 +5.4
18 +12.5
625
-4.9

13,000
2,875

+0.8
+1.5

414
3,8001
1, 597!
353

365
3,112
1. 600
355

-11.8
-18.1

5,050

5,100

1,836
2,633
+31.1 6,r~

4,323
3,081
6,840

+1.0
+135. 5
+17.0
+0.5

410
431!
1,839i
324!
1,162|

405
474
2,285
319
1,130

-1.2
+10.0
+24.3
-1.5
-2.8

2,833

293,345! 300, £

529i

+24. 5
!

- 2 . 5 273, 759j 278,495'

District No. 11
PACIFIC COAST

36,000 +46.6
10, 790 +4.1
10,000 -12.1
1,000 +8.2
18,500
-6.2
2,500 +2.9

24, 550'
10,370
11, 377
924
19, 722
2,429

+10.0
5,956
+5.0
3,693
+3.0 27,181
+20.0 2,121
+5.0
2,010
+5.0
2,718
+12.0
+5.0
+5.0

2,458
5,194
180
1,633
578

- 2 . 4 562, 553 551, 386

11, 263
10, 818

- 3 . 0 1,160,457,1,086,989

District No. 7
SOUTHWEST
32,
18,
5,
53,
34,

10,137
10, 210

+2.6

300, 254

309, 692

1
Including crude and powdered gypsum.
2
All canned food products, including catsups, jams, jellies, olives, pickles, preserves, etc.
* Production somewhat dependent upon outcome negotiations. Joint Wage Commission, report of which is expected in February.

Digitized for FRASER
http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Number of 1
cars
I Per
cent
inc.

District No. 3
NORTHWEST

District No. 1
MID-WEST

535|
36

26,174 27,000
918,810 850,749

Per
cent
inc.

(+)
Estimate^ «*«**
mated or dec. Actual
1927
)
1928
1928

347J

-32.0

2,656 2,815 +6.0
16,472 17, 2961 +5.0
24, 625 24, 625'
5,496 6,046 +10.0

+3.3 1,107,167 1,073,870

1,062 - 1 0 . 2
1,110 — 1.4
250 - 3 1 . 5
57, 506 - 7 . 0
106, 037
7,100 - 1 9 . 9

Total, all commodities listed

Number of

j

2,076

1,182
1,116
365
61, 834
106,065

Automobiles, trucks, and parts
Fertilizers, all kinds
Paper, printed matter, and books.
Chemicals and2 explosives
Canned goods

7,030
18, 594
5,192
34, 594
24,884
15, 678

+10.0
+4.0
+5.0
-7.3
+5.0
134,163 134, 293 +0.1

District No. 5
TRANS-MISSOURIKANSAS
Grain, all
Flour, meal, and other mill products __
Hay, straw, and alfalfa
Cotton
Cottonseed and products, except oil
Citrus fruits..

Per
cent
inc.

District No. 4
OHIO VALLEY

District No. 6
SOUTHWEST

Grain, all
Flour, meal, and other mill products..
Hay, straw, and alfalfa
Cotton
Cottonseed and products, except oil...
Citrus fruits

Total, all commodities listed

cars

Esti- or(+)dec. Actual Esti- or(+)dec. Actual Esti- or(+)dec.
Actual mated
mated
mated
1927
1927
1927
1928
1928
1928
District No. 2
GREAT LAKES

Automobiles, trucks, and parts
Fertilizers, all kinds
Paper, printed matter, and books
Chemicals and explosives
Canned goods 2

Number of

+3.1

240,184 241,694

+0.2
+0.6

+0.6

May 1928

18
PROSPECTIVE CAR LOADINGS SECOND QUARTER OF 1928
Commodity car loadings by railroads in carload lots
The greatest relative increase over the second
for the second quarter of 1928 are estimated by the quarter of 1927 is estimated for the mid-west district,
Eegional Advisoiy Boards set up by the American with almost 13 per cent and this increase is spread
Railway Association at 3.7 per cent above the cor- over practically all commodities. The Allegheny
responding loadings in the second quarter of 1927. district is expected to show the next-best increase,
These estimates are compiled from detailed reports of with almost 11 per cent, and this district also shows
commodities representing shippers of the various few declines. In the Great Lakes district, with an
commodities, as first described in the August, 1927, increase of 8 per cent, the feature is the large anticiissue of the SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS, page 20, pated movement of automobiles. The increase of
and are comparable to similar data published quarterly almost 7 per cent in the central-western district is
since that date. The boundaries of the various eco- due largely to an expected increase of 82 per cent in
nomic districts, set up by these boards, are shown in carloadings of grain, while lumber accounts for a large
the accompanying chart.
part of the expected increase of 4 ^ per cent in loadings
Outside of cotton, cottonseed, citrus fruits, hay and in the Pacific Northwest district. The other four
machinery, all groups are estimated to require more districts show estimated increases of less than 3 per
cars in the second quarter of 1928 than in the second cent over the corresponding period of 1927.
quarter of 1927. The largest numerical increase over
REGIONAL ADVISORY BOARD DISTRICTS
a year ago is estimated for the clay, gravel, sand, and
stone group, closely followed by automobiles and coal
and coke, but automobiles has the largest relative
increase, with a gain of 29 per cent. Agricultural
implements, paper and clay, gravel, sand and stone
come next in the order of relative increase.
The estimated car requirements by districts show
considerable variation over a year ago, as declines are
estimated to occur in the New England, Ohio Valley,
Trans-Missouri-Kansas, and Pacific coast districts.
The Ohio Valley decrease, amounting to 3 per cent, is
the largest, and is entirely due to expected lower coal
movement. The decreases in the other three districts
are spread out among various commodities.

PROSPECTIVE CARLOADINGS, SECOND QUARTER OF 1928
COMPARED WITH ACTUAL LOADINGS SAME QUARTER OF 1927
(As reported by commodity committees, regional shippers' advisory boards, and compiled by American Railway Association)
Number of cars
COMMODITY GROUPS

Actual
1927

Estimated
1928

Per
cent
inc.

Per
Number of cars j cent
i inc.
Esti- J (+)
or dec. Actual
mated \ or dec.
1927
1938

ALL DISTRICTS
294,683
310,875
Grain, all
_.
224,620
232,860
Flour, meal, and other mill products..
72,608
68,172
Hay, straw, and alfalfa
_
47,341
37, 283
Cotton
25,742
15, 708
Cottonseed and products, except oil. _.
34, 356
27,137
Citrus fruits
82,970
84,098
Other fresh fruits
..
59, 013
62,042
Potatoes
82, 272
84,992
Other fresh vegetables
359, 385
368,653
Livestock
38, 745
37,189
Poultry and Dairy products
2,481, 687 2, 545, 375
Coal and coke
..677,
429
675,190
Ore and concentrates
1, 021, 798 1,104,169
Clay, gravel, sand, and stone 2
11, 002
10, 981
Salt.
1, 008, 929 1, 028, 487
Lumber and forest products
538,675
513, 293
Petr oleum and petroleum products
50, 917
51, 926
Sugar, sirup, glucose, and molasses
467, 359
479, 533
Iron and steel
61,102
59, 977
Castings, machinery, and boilers
263, 931
249, 073
Cement
209, 506
204,106
Brick and clay products
68,154
66, 051
Lime and plaster
Agricultural implements and vehicles (other
I
42, 458 !
38, 530
than automobiles)
312, 777
242,566
Automobiles, trucks, and parts
137, 329
135, 854
Fertilizers, all kinds
78,672
71, 650
Paper, printed matter, and books
63,211
61, 431
Chemicals and3 explosives
32, 787
32, 013
Canned goods
Total, all commodities listed
8,712,709 9,035,963 i

Digitized for FRASER
http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ 1 New item; no figures avaiable.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

(-)

District No. 12
NEW ENGLAND
+5.5
+3.7

+6.0
+2.6
+3.2

3,192
2,424
1,767
1,643
14
42
2,319
7,485
544
1,084
108
24, 928
116
16, 732
50
30, 519
21,851
3,262
3,997
5,681
3,398
5,234
4,838

3,192
2,424
1,820
1,580
14
42
2,365
5,000
550
1,084
108
21,200
116
17, 234
50
32, 350
23, 599
3,300
3,997
5,567
3,738
6,240
4,838

+10.2
+28.9
+ 1.1
+9.8
+2.9
+2.4

762
2,818
7, 654
11,907
2,632
1,208

762
2,818
7,979
12, 205

-6.1
-21.3
-39.0
-21.0

+1.4
+5.1
+3.3
+2.6
+4.2
+2.6
+0.3
+8.1
+0.2
+1.9
+4.9
+2.0
+2.6
-1.8

2, 762
96S

+3.7 1 168,209 j 167,902

2 Including crude and powdered gypsum.

+3.0
-3.8
+2.0

-33.2

-15.0
+6.0
+8.0
+ 1.2
-2.0
+ 10.0
+19.2

Per
Per
Number of cars cent
cent
inc.
Estiinc.
Actual
Actual mated or dec.
Esti- ! (+)
1927
1928
1927
mated ! or dec.
1928 ! (-)
District No. 9
District No. 8
ALLEGHENY
ATLANTIC STATES
Number of cars

17,835 j
18,882 !
8,037 !

17,830 !
18,880 I
8,040

13,712 !
5,701
12,586 !

10, 284
6,271
12, 580

424,608 ! 424,600 i
27,185
27,184 I
142,287 ! 144,421

40,994
54, 231
15, 340
72, 546
12,330 ;
80,994! I
26.529
16^ 995 I

40, 990
58, 027
15, 340
67,105
10,480
85,043
27, 855
17,845

9,885 !
10, 379
20,014 ! 20, 814
21,275 ! 23,189
15,607
15,607 !
7,612
-20.0
6,920 !
- 0 . 2 I 1,064,492 [1,070,377

+4 2
+2.5
+5.0

-25.0

+10.0

+1.5

1,795
1,358
1,428

1,976
1,719
1,515

+10.1
+26.6
+6.1

3,315
29
18
1,530
(0
690,344

3,315
32
18
1,558

"+1.1

791,134

91, 804

98,964

+14.6
"+7.1

15, 458
15, 789
505

13,913
16, 846
505
204,
334
197,998
5, 635
6,020 ' 16,
284
14,697
43, 687
42,415
4.454
3, 977

-10.0
+6.7
+3.2
-6.4
+ 10.8
+3.0
+12.0

3,035

3,642 j. +20.0

+11.2

0)

+7.0
-7.5
-15.0
+5.0
+5.0
+5.0
+5.0
+4.0
+9.0

2,251
4,321
10,240
+10.0
1,022
+0.6 11,108,738 1,227,365 j

""2," 154*
4.163
9, 884
1,022

* Also includes catsups, jams jellies, olives, pickles, preserves, etc.

+4.5
+3.8
+3.6
+10.7

May 1928

19
PROSPECTIVE CAELOADINGS, SECOND QUARTER OF 1928—Continued
COMPARED WITH ACTUAL LOADINGS, SAME QUARTER OF 1927
(As reported by commodity committees, regional shippers' advisory boards, and compiled by American Railway Association)

Number of
cars

COMMODITY

GROUFS

Per
cent
inc.

23, 866
34,037
9,774

.

j

1 1 C i

|

Per
cent
inc.

20,250!
37,500|
10,275

+10.01
+10.1
+5.1

District No. i
OHIO VALLEY

District No. 6
SOUTHEAST
6,866! 7,553.
17,291 19,020,
3,007! 3,007
27 9021 22 322

15'482|

+ 10.0! 35,892) 34,016

+ 10.0^
!
-20.0
7^ 586 - 5 1 . 0

!
3,800!

4,200

2,100
450
10, 500

Poultry and dairy products.
Coal and coke
_._
Ore and concentrates
_
Clay, gravel, sand, and stone 2 .
Salt—'.
.... — .

18, 000!
156,000
109, 765!

Lumber and'forest products..
Petroleum and petroleum products
Sugar, sirup, glucose, and molasses
Iron and steel
Castings, machinery, and boilers

-13.5!
- 5 . 8j
+ 4 . 8|

-4-3. 01
+3.5!
+10.0|

iDC.

21,554
31,283
6,406

3,987!
4,400 +10.4
!
I
!
I
24,970| 30,000

+12.0!
-2. 0

22,410
15,800:

+15.01

+28.5 2,491 3,114
-4.1 92, 684 92, 684
+9.3 1,052 1,073
+3.0 8,682 8,682
+11.1 1,108 1,108

Total, all commodities listed

;

1937

District No. 1
MID-WEST

35,000!
10,400i

! 1928 '

District No. 8
NORTHWEST

+3. 01 39,384! 41,0001
+5.1; 31,084: 33,000!
3,000J
+ 10. 8! 2,945

+4.1
+6.2
+1.9

+50.0!
+2.0i
+2.81
+5.3!

143, 664j4 194,000!
105,7381 105,000
186,765 233,500|
210
210

+5.0,
+10. 0i
+2.3i
2.0!

25,800
18,170

|

Per
cent
inc.
(+)

(+)
Esti- or dec.
dec. Actual Ii mated

Olr

1,247;
1,870
5,149|
5,250
2, 626! 2, 700
107,34 113,000

20,500

Number of
cars

Per
cent

-5.2! 63,4201 65,300

- 8 . 7 ! 90I,091| 831,900
-1.2'
+4.91 115,580! 120,000

358,098 376,003
51,371 56, 508
8,700
8,900
30,652 30,039
3,146
3,681
+2.41
+5.9

158,099 203,190
5,2121 5,000

21,276
34, 777
12, 262

— -1
()
-1.41 150,705
37, 72G

16,000.
16,0001
1,950
57, 000
13, 7501

Cement
_
_.
Brick and clay products..
Lime and plaster
Agricultural implements and vehicles,
other than automobiles..

91,750
27,677
7,911

22,092
3,022
810
3,198
1,340

37,989
9,926

31,500
38,000
10,400

4,645
6,371
8,016
11,271

42,000! +27.
4,500 s —3. li
6,400[
+
-,---,
+9.8!
11,270

23,225!
3,324
950
3, 575
1,608

1,286
876
3,395
325
675

+ . 8 1,165,0281,130,758

District No. 5
TRANS-MISSOURIKANSAS

District No. 7
SOUTHWEST

Grain, all
Flour, meal, and other mill products.
Hay, straw, and alfalfa
Cotton...
_
Cottonseed and products, except oil..

38,043 35,000! -8.0 26,887 21, 510 - 2 0 . 0
46,934 44,600| -5.0 16, 538 17,364 +5.0
12,291 9,218 -25.0 4,458 4,547 +2.0
17,228 12, 921 - 2 5 . 0
9,797 7,838 - 2 0 . 0

Citrus fruits
Other fresh fruits
Potatoes
Other fresh vegetables..
Livestock

2,146
1,304
529
61,584

Poultry and dairy products
Coal and coke
Ore and concentrates
Clay, gravel, sand, and stone 2 .
Salt

10,237 10,240
19, 482 18,900
8,906 9,400
39, 882 37, T
5,850

Lumber and forest products
Petroleum and petroleum products..
Sugar, sirup, glucose, and molasses..
Iron and steel..
Castings, machinery, and boilers

37,150 39,350
53,902 56, 597

Cement
Brick and clay products
Lime and plaster
Agricultural implements and vehicles,
other than automobiles

17,654 18,700
11, 835 10,520
4,464 4,500

Automobiles, trucks, and parts
Fertilizers, all kinds..
Paper, printed matter, and books.
Chemicals and3 explosives
Canned goods

16,459 j 18,900

Total, all commodities listed

397,493 389,123

4,300
1,664

+25.0
1,450 +11.2
599 +13.2
55,584
-3.0

+6.0
-11.1

+.8

District No. 11
PACIFIC COAST

24, 784
10,237
3,709

6,005
6,446

45,000j + 8 1 .
ll,900j + 1 6 .
4,000
+7.

568
449
200

-20. •

4,750 +123. 0
52,000

4,192|
4,746
6,000
460
270

-30.2!
- 2 6 . 4|
-33.3!
-19.0;
-39.9

24, 744
16,536
1,335
18, 510
20,062

-5.0
23,5001
- 2 . 6l
16,100
2,000 +49. 8|
18,600
+ . 5|
20,000
- . 3!

709
7,082
30,309
64,360

700
8,598
31,500
65,000

District No. 14
PACIFIC NORTHWEST
6, 714
6,099
3,015

8,056
6,707
2,150

+20.0
+ 10.0
-28.7

2, 843
2,124

3,505
3,344
1,372
3,456

+23.3
+10.4
+20.2
-.2

1,141
3,463

1,300 1,430
10,286 10, 285
736
700
53, 542 61, 573
3,811 4,192

+10.0
-5.0
-5.0
+15.0
+10.0

3,478
54, 541
15,463
18,004
721

3,700
51,000
16,900
20,000
700

-2.5|
+6.4
-6.5
+9.3
+11.1
-3.0

84,406
192,519
5,753
5,280
1,842

-7.0
+5.0
+10.0
+5.0
+10.0

5,396
31,715
3,011
2,819

5,600
25,000
2,200
3,000

+3.8
-21.2
-26.9
+6.4

71,899
45, 646
4,379
3,975

63,300 -12.01 224,527 232,950 +3.7
9,225 +5.4
50, 530 +10.71 8,756
-1.2
4,328
20
0 -100.0
965
4,400 +10.7

+10.0
+5.0
+5.0

5,178
1,625

5,000
1,700

+4.6

16,756
3,473

17,000
3,475

5, 799|

6, C

1,697
2,766
5,402

3,039
2,903i
5,405

5,230
5,029
1,675
9,336
8,829
4,711

10,269;
9,2701
4,9461

1,836
2,316
354
1,356
620

2,019!
2,895;
389
1,423!
651!

830|

+10.0
+14.8

District No. 10
CENTRAL-WESTERN

75
82 +10. oj.
5,020 5,271 +5.0l
253
4,529 4,981 +10.0
2,130
10,860 11,946 +10.0
32,500 32,500
53,339

+5.5
-5.0
-5.5
+5.9 90,759
+5.0 183,352

5,338 +24.1
1,018 -38.8

2, 538| 2,791

1
New item; no figures available.
2
Including crude and powdered gypsum.
3
All canned food products, including catsups,
4

-2.1 514,202 519,632'

-1.3^
1,282
+21.41 11,075
+3. 9 4,714
+1.0 6,915

1,322 +3.1
11,060
-.1
5,184 +10.0
7,415 +7.2

546

+1.51
i
i

5,167
1,554
348!

5,757
1,570
36f

+ 11.4
+1.0
+4.9

+4.5:

378!
299
1, 676!
319i
1,098!

740
330
1,761
269
1,176

+95.8
+10.4
+5.1
+ 15.7

— 1. 6j 295,038! 308,225

+4.5

+20.0

+10.0
+25. 01
+10.0
+5.0
+5.0

438

400

-9.7

+1.1236,841253,050

+6.8!

jams, jellies, olives, pickles, preserves, etc.
Production dependent upon outcome negotiations between mine operators and workers for working agreement.

Digitized for FRASER
http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Number of
cars

! 33,290
+10.5! 9,388

, 495! 3, 513 -63.0
34, 3351 37, 425 +9.0

Citrus fruits
Other fresh fruits
Potatoes...
Other fresh vegetables..
Livestock

Automobiles, trucks, and parts..._
Fertilizers, all kinds
Paper, printed matter, and books
Chemicals and3explosives.
Canned goods

Number of
cars

Per
cent

Actual | ®lf"dj or dec. Actual Esti- or dec. Actual Esti- or dec. Actual! mated
! 1927 ™ g | | d | (-) | 1927
(-) ! 1937
1927 ! 1928
1928
1928
District No. 2
GREAT LAKES

Grain, all
..
Flour, meal, and other mill products..
Hay, straw, and alfalfa..
Cotton
Cottonseed and products, except oil-

Number of
cars

367,896 362,105!

+79. li

+4.9

-7.1

November 1928

15
tion showed declines from both the previous month
and the same month of 1927. Silver prices averaged
lower than in August, but were higher than a year ago.
Exchange on the principal foreign currencies showed
only small changes from August, with the exception of
an increase in the Japanese yen. Contrasted with
last year, the principal changes were downward, declines occurring in the Italian lira, the Swedish krone,
the Japanese yen, and the Argentine peso.

Ohio Valley district is estimated to show a decline of
9 per cent, the decrease of almost 120,000 cars for
poultry and dairy products being more than sufficient
to offset estimated increases in other lines. The
central western district shows an estimated decline
from a year ago of a little more than 2 per cent.
The greatest relative increase in loadings is estimated for the Allegheny district, with almost 16 per
cent, due largely to greater coal and coke loadings.
The next largest increase is shown for the southwest
district, where a relative gain of 12 per cent is anticipated. Gains of 3 per cent or more are expected in
New England, the Atlantic States, the Allegheny
district, the Great Lakes region, the southeast, the
mid-west, the northwest, Trans-Missouri-Kansas,
and the southwest districts.

PROSPECTIVE CAR LOADINGS, FOURTH QUARTER
OF 1928

Commodity loadings by railroads in carload lots for
the fourth quarter of 1928 are estimated by the
regional advisory boards set up by the American
Hailway Association at 4.9 per cent above the same
period of 1927. These estimates are compiled from
detailed reports obtained from shippers, as first described in the August, 1927, issue of the Survey of
Current Business, page 20, and are comparable to
similar data published quarterly since that time. The
^various economic districts set up by these boards are
shown in the accompanying chart.
Estimated loadings of all commodities for the last
quarter of 1928 will be greater than a year ago except
for potatotes, livestock, poultry and dairy products,
sugar and sirups, in each of which declines of about 3
per cent are estimated. The largest numerical increase
over a year ago was estimated for coal and coke, while
the greatest relative increase is seen for automobiles.
In only 2 out of the 13 districts are decreases estimated from the corresponding quarter of 1927. The

REGIONAL ADVISORY BOAKD DISTRICTS

PROSPECTIVE CAR LOADINGS, FOURTH QUARTER OF 1928
COMPARED WITH ACTUAL LOADINGS SAME QUARTER OF 1937
(As reported by commodity committees, regional shippers' advisory boards, and compiled by American Railway Association)
Number of cars
COMMODITY GROUPS

Actual
1937

Estimated
1938

Per
Number of cars Per
Number of cars Per 1 Number of cars Per
cent
cent !
cent
cent
inc.
inc.
inc.
inc. i
EstiEstiEsti)
(+)
(+)
<+>
Actual mated or(tdec.
i Actual mated
mated
or dec. Actual
or
dec.
or
dec.
1927
1927
1927
1938
1928
1928
(-)
(-)
(-) |
(-)
District No. 13
NEW ENGLAND

ALL DISTRICTS

11 Grain, all

468, 325

508, 544

249, 852
Flour, meal, and other mill products
_
266, 693
84, 687
Hay, straw, and alfalfa
85, 108
Cotton. _
150,092
181, 235
99, 107
Cottonseed and cottonseed products, except oil
107, 060
26,373
Citrus fruits
.
.
32, 569
124, 597
Other fresh fruits
141, 566
111,954
Potatoes
_
108, 732
Other fresh vegetables
55,806
56, 148
Livestock
_
441, 685
431, 183
26, 349
111 Poultry and dairy products
25, 657
3, 033, 956 3, 157, 032
112 Coal and coke
352,
274
.
__
385,
731
.13 Ore and concentrates __
859, 574
14 Clay, gravel, sand, and stone l
876, 980
115 Salt —
17,430
18,071
12
3
•4
,5
6
,7
8
9
710

il6
.17
,18
;19
:20
;21
:22
.23
.24
:25
:26
27
28
:29

Tjiimbftr and fnrp.st prndnnts

Petroleum and petroleum products
Sugar, sirup, glucose, and molasses
_.
Iron and steel ..
Castings, machinery, and boilers
.
Cement
Brick and 'day products
Lime and plaster
Agricultural implements and vehicles (other than
automobiles)
Automobiles, trucks, and parts ..
Fertilizers, all kinds...
_
Paper, printed matter, and books
Chemicals and2 explosives
Canned goods
Total, all commodities listed

880, 598
556, 717
52, 112
361, 805
55, 516
180, 894
166, 604
54, 824

901,029
595, 121
50, 619
388, 280
58,569
188,004
162, 120
56,053

30, 620
32, 825
152, 150
197, 116
61, 371
65, 267
78, 932
83, 475
62, 221
67, 220
51, 448
51, 465
8, 838, 477 9, 279, 472

* Including crude and powdered gypsum.
Digitized for FRASER
http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

+8.6
+6.7
+.5
+20.7
+8.0
+23.5
+13.6
-2.9
+.6
-2.4
-2.6
+4.1
+9.5
+2.C
+3.7
+2.3
+6.6
-2.9
+7.3
+5.5
+3.9
-2.7
+2.2

2,960
2,794
1,130
1,383
12
123
4,780
14, 582
544
1,349
139
24, 535
98
13, 979
63
32,697
22, 124
2,011
3,851
5,716
3,004
3,328
3,375

2,664
2,515
565
1,383
12
120
4,780
14,600
544
1,282
139
26, 989
100
13, 979
60
32,700
24, 778
2,000
4,236
6,002
3,304
2,829
3,038

+7.2
+29.6
+6.3
+5.8
+8.0

754
1,445
2,326
11, 906
2,408
2,095
165, 511

750
1,589
2,326
12, 501
2,450
2,095
170, 330

+4.9
2

-10.0
-10.0
-50.0

-5.0
+10.0

+12.0
+10.0
+5.0
+10.0
-15.0
-10.0
+10.0

+5.0
+1.7
+2. 9

District No. 8
ATLANTIC STATES
33, 965
14, 197
9,728

33, 960
14, 190
9,720

21, 991
14, 821
13, 113

27, 489
16, 674
11, 802

398, 264
24, 689
107, 164

434, 108
24, 680
107, 378

+9.0
+.2

33,983
75, 177
9,820
67,823
13,804
54,006
23, 856
17, 918

31,434
82, 695
10, 115
72, 910
15, 184
54,000
23,850
17, 201

-7.5
+10.0
+3.0
+7.5
+10.0

8,365
10, 038
7,302
10, 719
18,368
20,756
16,070
16,874
13,061
12,016
997,485 1,057,793

+25.

0;

+12. 51
-10.0

-4.0

District No. 9
ALLEGHENY
1,735
4,498
1,033

1,336
4,498
981

-23.0

5,530
680
830
3,346

5,143
714
747
3,346

-7.0
+5.0
-10.0

710,843

848, 036

+19.3

71, 705

75, 147

+4.8

13, 533
19, 376

14,453
20, 945

+6.8
+8.1

132, 151
7,236
8,478
31,437
3,303

144, 177
7,706
9,818
32, 537
4,327

+9.1
+6.5
+15.8
+3.5
+31.0

4,657

4,871

+4.6

+20.0
2,335
+46.8
2,316
2,682
+13.0
2,226
10, 265
+5.0
7,830
-8.0
1,757
1,794
+6.0 1, 034, 500 1,195,858

Also includes catsups, jams, jellies, olives, pickles, preserves, etc.

-5.0

4-. 8
+20.5
+31.1
+2.1
+15.6

November 1928

16
PROSPECTIVE CAR LOADINGS, FOURTH QUARTER OF 1928—Continued
COMPARED WITH ACTUAL LOADINGS, SAME QUARTER OF 1937
(As reported by commodity committees, regional shippers' advisory boards, and compiled by American Railway Association)
Number of
cars

Number of
Per
cars
cent
inc.
Esti- ori~
EstiEsti- or(+)
dec. Actual mated
dec. Actual mated
Actual mated
1927
1937
1927
(-)
(-)
1998
1938
1938

COMMODITY GROUPS

Per
cent
inc.
( }

District No. 2
GREAT LAKES

1

2
3
4
5

37,080 39,000 +5.2
32, 975 35, 760 +8.4
11, 265 12, 524 +11.2

Grain, all.Flour, meal, and other mill products
Hay, straw, and alfalfa.Cotton
Cottonseed and products, except oil

Citrus fruit
Other fresh fruits
_._
8 Potatoes
9 Other fresh vegetables
10 Livestock
6

6,244
3,329
4,904
13,892

+.9
6,300
4,000 +20.2
2,700 -45.0
13, 295 -4.3

Number of
cars

District No. 6
SOUTHEAST^
4,960
14, 670
2,709
63,062
53, 066

4,960
14, 670
2,709
69,368 ~+I6.o
61,026 +15.0

14, 869
6,489
1,617
4,441
12, 898

18, 586 +25.0
10, 577 +63.0
1,294 -20.0
4,508 +1.5
13, 543 +5.0

11
12
13
14
15

Poultry and dairy products
Coal and coke
Ore and concentrates
Clay, gravel, sand, and stone 2
Salt

19,014 20,000 +5.2 153, 091 148, 544
80, 186 106,000 +32.2 34, 532 36, 547
81, 820 85, 000 +3.9 142, 903 141, 639
10, 450 10, 880 +4.1

16
17
18
19
20

Lumber and forest products. . .
Petroleum and petroleum products
Sugar, sirup, glucose and molasses
Iron and steel
Castings, machinery, and boilers

16,237
18, 122
2,591
49, 144
9,212

16, 250
18, 465
2,409
49, 326
9,310

+.1 303, 702 313, 813 +3.3
+1.9 56, 093 61, 702 +10.0
-7.0
6,891
6,891
+.4 24,550 27,005 +10.0
2,492 +4.0
2,396
+1.1

21
22
23
24

Cement
Brick and clay products. _ _ _ .
Lime and plaster
Agricultural implements and vehicles,
other than automobiles

9,772
10, 385
8,469

10,000
10, 657
8,513

+2.3
+2.6
+.5

19,324
25, 453
5,376

20, 097
25,453
5,645

+4.0

6,612

6,714

+1.5

2,098

2,203

+5.0

25
26
27
28
29

Automobiles, trucks, and parts
Fertilizers, all kinds
Paper, printed matter, and books __
Chemicals and3 explosives
Canned goods

90, 492 111,615 +23.3
1,350 +1.5
1,330
9,600
9,586
+.1
11, 478 12,200 +6.3
3,550 +10.0
3,228

1,017
36, 198
2,376
9,204
2,216

Total, all commodities listed

District No. 5
TRANS-MISSOURIKANSAS
1
2
3
4
5

Grain, all. _
Flour, meal, and other mill products
Hay, straw, and alfalfa
Cotton. _.
Cottonseed and products, except oil

6
7
8
9
10

Citrus fruits
Other fresh fruits
Potatoes
Other fresh vegetables
Livestock.. .

11
12
13
14
15

Poultry and dairy products
Coal and coke
Ore and concentrates
Clay, gravel sand and stone 2
Salt

16
17
18
19
20

Lumber and forest products

Pp.t.rolanm and pftt.rolp.um prnrJiir.ts

51,004
51, 787
11, 176

75,000 +47.0
59, 555 +15.0
12,000 +7.4

2,162
755
328
67, 172

2,380 +10.1
1,200 +58.9
360 +9.8
66,700
—.7

5,351
61, 222
6,878
45, 709
5,885

5,085 -5.0
63, 750 +4.1
5,850 -14.9
45,000 -1.6
6,000 +2.0

_. 32, 300 31,500

Sugar, sirup, glucose, and molasses
Iron and steel
Castings, machinery, and boilers

21
22
23
24

Cement
._
_.
Brick and clay products
Lime and plaster
Agricultural implements and vehicles,
other th^n avttnmnbilfis

25
26
27
28
29

Automobiles, trucks, and parts
Fertilizers all kinds
Paper, printed matter, and books
Chemicals and explosives
Canned goods 3
Total, all commodities listed _
1
Account hurricane items 16,19, 21, 22, and
2
Including crude and powdered gypsum.
3

65, 541

5,821
1,420
14, 746
15,002
3,369

68,817

+5.0

30, 222 55, 910 +85.0
16, 916 18, 608 +10.0
4,315
4,315
82, 680 107,484 +30.0
44, 522 44, 522

23,388
1,143
62, 591

563 +30.0
3,132 +20.0
908 -20.0
1,150 +5.0
48, 405 +5.0
24, 557
1,143
62, 591

+5.0

-2.5 93, 703 103, 073 +10.0
+5.0 182, 667 191,800 +5.0
+1.4
-1.4

6,006
4,765
1,208

6,006
5,003
1,268

16, 515 +12.0
9,810 -34.6
4,000 +18.7

9,191
8,264
5,296

9,650 +5.0
9,503 +15.0
5,296

5,900
1,400

+5.0
+5.0

1,302

1,400

+7.5

524

576 +10.0

8,034

8,200

+2.1

239
682
234
1,842
1,070

311 +30.0
682
234
1,842
1,123 +5.0

456, 964 490, 422

49, 770 +18.0

3,380

2,800 -17.1

26, 012

25,000

District No. 1
MID-WEST
78, 695
45, 153
11,893

Per
cent
inc.
(
±>
order.
(-)

District No. 3
NORTHWEST

86,200 +9.5 113,468 102, 122 -10. 0
47,400 +5.0 40,400 43,000 +6.4
9,500 -20.1
5,881
5,881

3,674
8,000 +117. 7
6,070 11,000 +81.2
5,872
5,000 -14.9
-3.9 115, 900 106, 600 -8.0

3,197

3,250

+1.7

510
22, 541
2,339
64, 555

510
22,000
2,339
63, 264

-2.4
-2.0

18,012

19,000

+5.5

19, 565
12, 985

17, 665
6,800
10, 231

+9.9
+5.0

20,025
2,280
1,425
2,800
840

+6.3
+5. a
+8.0
+9.4

21, 255 +10.0
29,000 +1.2
7,420 +5.0

2,035
2,381
318

1,850
2,381
318

-9.0

13,208

14,700 +11.3

1,465

1,611

+10. 0

22, 582
3,554
18,000
9,589
11, 953

37,260 +65.0
3,500 -1.5
18,200 +1.1
9,700 +1.2
+.4
12,000

297
556
2,137
354
1,081

1,485 +400. a
556
1,781 -16. 6
354
1,103 +2.6

85,000
42,700
8,327
51,600
13, 937

21,000 +7.3
11, 200 -13.7

19, 323
28, 659
7,070

22, 661 +28.3
6,200 -8.8
9,838 -3.8

-9.1 1,278,383 1,366,449

District No. 10
CENTRAL- WESTERN
50, 032
12, 638
9,926

37, 200 -25.6
12, 600
10, 500 +5.8

9,042
40, 078

8,400 -7.1
30,000 -25.1

63, 994

64,000

+7.4
+9.9

18,836
2,171
1,320
2,560
840

79, 161
38,836
8,327
46, 947
13, 274

+6.9 480, 265 495, 569

District No. 11
PACIFIC COAST

+3.2

District No. U
PACIFIC NORTHWEST

4,760
7,032
6,842
2,967
1,507

5,425 +14.0
8,012 -13.9
8,000 +16.9
3,000 +1.1
1,500

10,948
39, 029
2,528
20, 459
22,580

13,300 +21.5
35, 550 -8.9
2,600 +2.8
23,280 +13.8
22,000 -2.6

3,229
3,380 +4.7
95, 138 107, 600 +13.1
13, 726 14, 000 +2.0
17, 110 16, 780 -1.9
721
820 +13.7

1,543
10,472
29, 882
54, 777

1,690
10,472
31,000
55,000

+9.5

6,000 +14.6
31,300 +9.2
7,200 -20.0
2,500 +2.8

61,287
39,915
6,096
3,156

62,000
41,000
6,200
3,200

+1.2 186, 726 181, 531 -2.8+2.7
8,639 +7.8
8,011
+1.7
43
46 +7.0
+1.4
593
623 +5.1
430 +4. &
410

-4.5
+1.2

14, 241
2,663

13, 000
2,640

-8.7
-.9

3,208
1,302
330

3,695 +15. 2
1,360 +4.5295 -10. 6

1,898

1,936

+2.0

1,054 +10.5

2,032
3,163
10, 451

2,200
3,200
10,451

+8.3
+1.2

116
307
1,836
283
3,582

750 +546. 6
315 +2.6
3,022 +64. 6
303 +7.1
3,952 +10. a

5,236
28, 684
9,007
2,432
4,001
889

954

3,820
900

+7.3 632,841 709, 655 +12.1 366,837 358,054

-2.4 360,228 366, 656

23 will probably increase slightly; items 4, 6, 7, 8, and 9 will probably decrease.

All canned-food products, including catsups, jams, jellies, olives, pickles, preserves, etc.

Digitized for FRASER
http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

42,165

+4.0 1,228,685 1,116,819

District No. 7
SOUTHWEST

433
2,610
1,135
1,095
46,100

District No. 4
OHIO VALLEY

Number of
Per
cars
cent
inc.
( }
t Actual Estior dec.
1937 mated
(-)
1938

12,400 11,400 -8.1
2,319
2,087 -10. 0
-3.0 968, 653 849, 500 -12.3 484, 000 520,000 +7.4 72, 541 90, 676 +25. 0
+5.8
46,296 44,000 -5.0 110, 433 115, 954 +5.0
-.9 100, 020 96,600 -3.4 147, 697 162, 500 +10.0
8,866
8,866
250
250
61
61

1,271 +25.0
37, 284 +3.0
2,66] +12.0
10,032 +9.0
2,327 +5.0

547, 817 605,418 +10.5 1,006,201 1,046,847

Number of
Per
cars
cent
inc.
( }
t Actual Estior dec.
1937 mated
(-)
1938

+3.7
+.4

+1.8

17, 279
6,792
5,409

14,997 -13.2
5,885 -13.4
5,613 +3.8.

22, 536
3,818
1,881
3,887

29,305 +30. 0
3,742 -2.0
3,718 +97.7
3,748 -3.6

1,368
12, 795
4,411
5,233

1,876 +37. 1
12,800
6,457 +46. 4
6,500 +24. 2

292, 156 299, 602

+2.5-

February 1929

20
PROSPECTIVE CARLOADINGS, FIRST QUARTER OF 1929
Loadings of commodities by railroads in carload
lots for the first quarter of 1929 are estimated by the
regional advisory boards set up by the American
Railway Association at 4.9 per cent above the same
period of 1928. These estimates are compiled from
detailed reports obtained from shippers, as first described in the August, 1927, issue of the SURVEY OF
CURRENT BUSINESS, page 20, and are comparable to
similar data published quarterly since that time.
The various economic districts set up by these boards
are shown in the accompanying map.
Estimated loadings of all commodities for the first
quarter of 1929 will be greater than a year ago, except
for grains, potatoes, other fresh vegetables, canned
goods, and hay, straw and alfalfa. The largest
numerical increase over a year ago was estimated for
coal and coke, while the greatest relative increase
was estimated for citrus fruit and automobiles at 33
and 28 per cent, respectively.
In only 3 out of the 13 districts are decreases estimated from the corresponding quarter of 1928—the
New England district, 1 per cent; the mid-west district, slightly more than 3 per cent, the central western district, something more than 7 per cent.
The greatest relative increase in loadings over 1928
is estimated for the Allegheny district, 14 per cent.

The next largest increase is for the Ohio Valley district,
where a relative gain of almost 12 per cent is anticipated. In both these districts the principal gain over
1928 is due to larger anticipated loadings of coal and
coke. Gains of 5 per cent or more are indicated for
the Atlantic States, the Allegheny district, the Great
Lakes region, the Ohio Valley, the northwest, and the
Pacific northwest district.
REGIONAL ADVISOKY BOARD DISTRICTS

PROSPECTIVE CARLOADINGS, FIRST QUARTER OF 1929
COMPARED WITH ACTUAL LOADINGS, SAME QUARTER OF 1928
(As reported by commodity committees, regional shippers' advisory boards, and compiled by American Railway Association)
Number of cars
Actual
1928

COMMODITY GROUPS

Estimated

1929

Per Number of cars Per Number of cars Per Number of cars Per
cent
cent
cent
cent
Inc.
inc.
inc.
inc.
EstiEstiEsti(+)
Actual mated or(+)
Actual mated or(+)
W
or dec. Actual
mated
or
dec.
dec.
dec*
1928
1928
1928
1929
1929
1929
(-)
(-)
(-)
(-)
District No. 12
NEW ENGLAND

ALL DISTRICTS

1

District No. 8
ATLANTIC STATES

Grain, all__.
Flour, meal, and other mill products
Hay, straw, and alfalfa
Cotton
Cottonseed and cottonseed products, except oil —

413,544
226, 602
81, 361
54,984
45, 147

409, 414
241, 410
81,097
62,847
53, 317

-1.0
+6.5
-0.3
+14.3
+18.1

2,950
2,900
1,479
1,804
9

2,655
2,610
1,331
1,830
9

-10.0
-10.0
-10.0
+1.4

17, 705
11, 429
9,937

17,700
11, 430
9,940

6
7
8
9
10

Citrus fruits
Other fresh fruits
Potatoes
Other fresh vegetables
Livestock

27,933
31, 159
69, 738
61, 140
402, 876

37,006
38, 895
65,448
55, 154
406, 451

+32.5
+24.8

48
1,319
12, 424
1,030
1,051

48
1,319
11, 182
1,050
998

-16.6

8,932
6,119
6,188

11, 166
6,730
6,190

+25.0

11
12
13
14
15

Poultry and dairy products
Coal and coke
Ore and concentrates
Gravel, sand, and stone
Salt

30,968
2, 805, 808
130, 770
454,286
22, 332

31, 111
2,953,917
135, 584
471,916
22,969

110
23,080
61
4,633
32

110
22, 620
61
4,257
32

2,323
320, 869
22,404
42, 658
4, 772

2,416
320, 870
22,400
60, 148
4,605

+4.0
+41.6
-3.5

16
17
18
19
20

Lumber and forest products
Petroleum and petroleum products
Sugar, sirup, glucose, and molasses
Iron and steel
Cast-ings, Tnachineryj q,rid boilers

44,006
19, 502
1,923
5,895
4,642

44,006
21,452 +10.0
1,923
6,308 +7.0
5,570 +20.0

34, 553
51, 374
8,015
79, 101
12,883

34, 5.50
57, 539
8,010
87, Oil
14, 171

+12.0
+10.0
+10.0

21
22
23
24

Cement
_
Brick and clay products
Lime and plaster __
Agricultural implements and vehicles, other than
automobiles

-30.0
-10.0
-5.0

30, 966
10, 675
14, 736

30, 960
10, 675
15, 178

+3.0

11, 159
19, 535
27,688
7,732
7,900

+5.0
+12.0
+11.0
+5.0
-10.0

805,703

2
3
4
5

25 Automobiles, trucks, and parts
26 Fertilizers, all kinds .
27 Paper, printed matter, and books
28 Chemicals and1 explosives
_. ...
29 Canned goods _

Total, all commodities listed

_
-_

--

_ _ ..

891, 984
468,081 '
63, 991
420, 199
45,832

917, 951
492,396
67, 625
442,844
49, 912

119, 401
133, 140
52, 267

122,684
137,473
53,457

28,923

31,418

234, 600
177, 521
98,253
42, 308
39,358

300,622
177, 532
102, 872
46, 087
38, 666

7, 674, 506

8, 048, 075

-6.2
-9.8
+0.9
+0.5
+5.3
+3.7
+3.9
+2.9
+2.9
+5.2
+5.7
+5.4
+8.9

-2.0
-8.1

+2.7
+3.3
+2.3
+8.6

1,546
2,544
2,885
245

245

+28. 1
+4.7
+8.9
-1.8

1,992
7,214
19,954
515
1,256

2,191
5,410
20,100
515
1,218

+10.0
-25.0
+0.7

-3.0

10, 628
17,442
24,944
7,364
8,777

+4.9

167, 049

165, 163

-1.1

764,794

i All canned-food products, including catsups, jams, jellies, olives, pickles, preserves, etc.

Digitized for FRASER
http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

+1.9
-5.0

1,082
2,290
2,741

+10.0

District No. 9
ALLEGHENY
990
1,644
1,261

940
1,644
1,261

-5.0

1,090
256
751
1,015

1,145
282
751
1,066

+5.0
+10.1
+5.0

705, 897

827, 311

31,963

39, 346

+17.2
+23.1

13,371
21,442

13,224
22,600

-1.1
+5.4

176, 754
5,207

185, 768
5,722

3,972
28,290
1,869

4,083
28, 743
1,934

204

215

+5.1
+9.9
+2.8
+1.6
+3.5
+5.4

2,607
4,018
6,872
1,566

3,087
4,364
8,109
1,602

+18.4

+ae

+18.0
+2.3

+5.3 1, Oil, 039 1, 153, 197 +14.1

February 1929

21
PROSPECTIVE CARLOADINGS, FIRST QUARTER OF 1929—Continued
COMPARED WITH ACTUAL LOADINGS, SAME QUARTER OP 1928
(As reported by commodity committees, regional shippers' advisory boards, and compiled by American Railway Association)
Number of
Number of
Number of
Per
Per
Per
Per
cars
cars
cars
cent
cent
cent
cent
inc.
inc.
inc.
inc.
(
Esti- or dec. Actual Esti- or(+)
Esti- or(+)
Esti- or dec. Actual Esti- or(+)
dec.
Actual mated
dec. Actual mated
dec. Actual mated
mated
1928 mated
1928
1928
1928
1928
(-)
(-)
(-)
(-)
(-)
1929
1929
1929
1929
1929
Number of
cars

Per
cent
inc.
(

District No. 2
GREAT LAKES

2
3
4
5

25,729
30,354
10, 195

Grain, all
.-..
Flour, meal, and other mill products
Hay, strawy and alfalfa
Cotton
.
Cottonseed and products, except oil

6
7
8
9
10

Citrus fruit
Other fresh fruits
Potatoes >
Other fresh vegetables
Livestock

11
12
13
14
15

Poultry and dairy products
Coal and coke__
Ore and concentrates
Gravel, sand, and stone
Salt

954
2,776
1,892
9,887

16 Lumber and forest products.
17 Petroleum and petroleum products
18 Sugar, sirup, glucose, and molasses
19 Iron and steel
20 Castings, machinery, and boilers

_

21 Cement
__
22 Brick and clay products
.
23 Lime and plaster
24 Agricultural implements and vehicles,
other than automobiles _

27,500
33,000
10,300

+6.9
+8.7
+1.0

950 -0.4
3,600 +29.7
1,925 +1.7
10,000 +1.1

Total, all commodities listed

11
12
13
14
15

Poultry and dairy products
Coal and coke .
__
Ore and concentrates
Gravel, sand, and stone.
Salt

_

_

16 Lumber and forest products.
17 Petroleum and petroleum products
18 Sugar, sirup, glucose, and molasses
19 Iron and steel.
20 Castings, machinery, and boilers
21
22
23
24

Cement.
Brick and clay products
Lime and plaster
Agricultural implements and vehicles,
other than automobiles
_

25
26
27
28
29

Automobiles, trucks, and parts
Fertilizers, all kinds
Paper, printed matter, and books.
Chemicals and explosives
Canned goods L
Total, all commodities listed
1

11, 551 16,864 +46.0
4,587 6,651 +45.0
1,643 1,397 -15.0
8,445 9,205 +9.0
14, 248 14, 248

14, 493
16, 672
2,069
57,647
8,458

14, 750 +1.8 265, 309 270, 348 +1.9
16,800 +0.8 44,588 49, 939 +12.0
2,000 -3.3
7,644 7,720 +1.0
61,000 +5.8 28, 022 28, 022
8,500 +0.5
1,909 2,558 +34.0

4,870
13, 865
12, 144

5,100
14,000
12, 250

+4.7
+1.0
+0.9

2,553

2,750

+7.7

59, 853

49,063

12, 631

720
1,178
358

61,929

6,173
57, 779

7,664

26, 021

6,332

60,000
52, 497
13, 262

14,806 15, 546 +5.0
22, 192 23, 302 +5.0
5,371 5,371

880

4,152
1,028

District No. 7
SOUTHWEST
29,019
17, 247
5,474
24,969
18, 514

33, 371 +15.0
18, 971 +10.0

5,474

29, 962 +20.0

700 -2.8
1,400 +18.8
268 -25.1
63,000 -M.7
6,282 +1.8
57,500 -0.5
7,889 +2.9
28,623 +10.0
6,700 +5.8

19,923 17, 931 -10.0
563
591 +5.0
51, 481 51, 481

+10.0

+5.0

-0.7 86, 183 86,183
+2.0 158, 836 158,836
4,710 5,416 +15.0
5,095 +22.7
4,414 4,634 +5.0
1,026 1, 077 +5.0
1,150 +11.9
+2.8
-4.4
+2.0

8,298
8,598
4,880

1,582

1,700

+7.5

391

430 +10.0

17, 453

18,300

+4.9

268
12, 454
2,033
727
734

1,608 +500.0

8,568
3,920

422, 569 433, 804

8,298
9,027
4,880

+5.0

+7.0

88, 373
36, 143
10, 392

90,140 +2.0
36, 143
8,314 -20.0

1,136
426 -62. 5
5,863 7,037 +20.0
4,272 2,450 -42.6
26, 752 33, 440 +25.0 130, 633 130,063 -0.4

+8.0 122, 608 126, 284 +3.0
28,035 32, 250 +15.0
6,345 6,500 +2.4
54, 861 54,861
9,500 9,975 +5.0

3,891

4,202

25, 116

27, 627

+16.6

15, 386
12, 978

16,616
13, 626

+8.0
+5.0

15,907 29, 751 +87.0
12,050 10, 845 -10.0
12,005 11, 229 -6.5

District No. 10
CENTRAL- WESTERN
61, 911
12, 103
9,134

42,000 -32.2
13,100 +8.2
8,900 -2.6

911 1,300 +42.7
19,450 15,500 -20.3

2,134
727
734

+2.7 495, 885 511, 386

District No. 3
NORTHWEST
69,996 80,000 +14.3
35, 192 39,000 +10.8
4,472 5,000 +11.8

2,200
12,729
366
52,936

2,200
12,729
366
51, 878

-2.0

3,551 3,200 -9.9
26, 822 29,504 +10.0
2,322 2,400 +3.4
2,439 2,439
230
230
41, 019 43,069 +5.0
2,740 2,877 +5.0
1,089 1,089
3,035 3,500 +15.3
750
750

9,173
19, 957
6,087

9,632 +5.0
21, 950 +10.0
6,696 +10.0

1,178
1,020
132

1,100
1,020
132

20, 130

21, 539

+7.0

2,835

3,544 +25.0

23,960 41,000 +71.1
5,000 -2.3
5,116
12, 891 13, 535 +5.0
3,355 3,500 +4.3
10, 662 9,600 -10.0

291
745
2,698
44
826

2,665

-1.2

-3.3 271, 657 290,607

+7.0

District No. 11
PACIFIC COAST
3,425 +0.4
7,525 +0.3
6,000 +8.8
1,960 +11.3
840 +9.5

300
745

44
826

-6.6

+3.1

District No. 14
PACIFIC NORTHWEST

11, 403
6,172
3,832

7,370 -35.4
7,800 +26.4
4,050 +5.7

-56.4
-21.5
+4.0

6,904
4,289
786
1,837

10, 633 +54.0

880 +0.3
8,400 +0.4
28,349 +1.9
39, 961 40,350 +1.0

988
12,508
5,333
2,987

3,412

7,507

5,517
1,761
767

15, 591
501

2,062
28,805

19,203
500
900
22,600
12,000

+23.2

3,742 -12.8
1,278 +62.6
1,623 —11.7

67, 755

66,000

-2.6

3,080
85, 018
14, 086
5,862
702

3,200
84,000
15,000
5,900
700

+3.9
— 1.2
+6.5
+0.6

4,758
24, 842
2,541
1,889

5,000
25,000
2,700
2,000

+5.1
+0.6
+6.3
+5.9

48,528

3,050
724

3,200
750

+4.9
+3.6

13,766

3,107

14,000
3,150

+1.7
+1.4

2,659
622
243

103

27 -73.8

4,607

5,000

+8.5

310
690
2,312
210
1,252

915 +195. 2
759 +10.0

12,454

+5.0

11, 534
877

8,363
27,833

1,100 +15.7

+3.1 318, 767 295,350

-7.3

1,259 +27.4

12,500

-0.1

6,148 +15.3

3,350 +12.2

50,950 +5.0 179, 521 191, 885 +6.9
42, 350 +7.7
8,036 9,010 +12.1
4,625 +2.4
23
15 -34.8
3,654 3,850 +5.4
775
795 +2.6
429
439 +2.3

39, 324
4,516

1,865

951

All canned-food products, including catsups, jams, jellies, olives, pickles, preserves, etc.

Digitized for FRASER
http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

+5.0

3,490

22,216 +20.0

743
891 +20.0
1,905 1,905
949
949
8,247 9,071 +10.0
23, 299 22, 135 -5.0

10,000
8,195
4,000

9,731

36,508

3,262

District No. 1
MID- WEST

+2.5 1,018,768 1,137,328 +11.6 1,252,244 1,210,681

33,500
52,690 53,743
33, 744

34,770

968 +10.0

+9.5 949, 381 973, 085

+0.2
+7.0
+5.0

District No. 4
OHIO VALLEY

12, 399 12, 150 -2.0
1,467 1,614 +10.0
178, 375 170, 5% -4.4 773, 530 875, 185 +13. 1 580,000 514,000 -11.4
30,294 30,294
2,952 2,952
99,213 99,213
83, 121 74,809
10 0 47, 156 44,500 -5.6
184 -24.9
243
243
245

13,500 -1.1
19,500 +13.0
17,500 +4.2
10, 275 +5.1

462, 414 506,509

Grain, all. __.._
Flour, meal, and other mill products
Hay, straw, and alfalfaCotton
Cottonseed and products, except oil
Citrus fruits
Other fresh fruits
Potatoes
Other fresh vegetables
Livestock

7,433 7,805 +5.0
16, 848 17, 690 +5.0
3,775 3,775
26, 450 29,095 +10.0
25, 857 30, 252 +17.0

13, 644
17, 258
16, 791
9,776

District No. 5
TRANS- MISSOURIKANSAS

6
7
8
9
10

District No. 6
SOUTHEAST 1

157, 075 187, 234 +19.2
2,109 3,164 +50.0
3,569 3,600 +0.9 115, 634 116, 097 +0.4
10, 156 10,500 +3.4
5,377 5,646 +5.0
17, 152 17,450 +1.7
3,507 3,858 +10.0
2,435 2,525 +3.7
1,604 1,604

25 Automobiles, trucks, and parts. .
26 Fertilizers, all kinds
27 Paper, printed matter, and books
28 Chemicals and explosives
29 Canned goods *

1
2
3
4
5

:P

COMMODITY GROUPS

1

Number of
cars

2,562
9,295

1,975 +5.9
3,853 +50.4
10,050 +8.1

285, 715 292, 735

3,067 +15.3
745 +19.8
275 +13.2

3,036 +31.3
299 +42.4
1,507 +20.4

+2.5 254,224 272, 527

+7.2;

May 1929

15
PROSPECTIVE CARLOADINGS, SECOND QUARTER OF 1929
Loadings of commodities by railroads in carload lots
for the second quarter of 1929 are estimated by the
regional advisory boards set up by the American Railway Association at 7.5 per cent above the same period
of 1928. These estimates are compiled from detailed
reports obtained from shippers, as first described in the
August, 1927, issue of the SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS, page 20, and are comparable to similar data
published quarterly since that time. The various economic districts set up by these boards are shown in
the accompanying map.
Estimated loadings of all commodities for the second
quarter of 1929 will be greater than a year ago, except
for hay, straw, alfalfa, cottonseed and products, potatoes, livestock, gravel, sand and stone, fertilizers, and
canned goods. The largest numerical increase over a
year ago is estimated for loadings of coal and coke,
while the greatest relative increase is estimated for
citrus fruits and automobiles at 48 and 18 per cent,
respectively. In only one out of the 13 districts is a
decrease estimated in the corresponding quarter of
1928, the southeast district, where the decrease is estimated at 1 per cent.
The greatest relative increase in loadings over 1928
is estimated for the midwest district, at 18 per cent.

The next largest increase is shown for the Allegheny
district, where the gain is expected to approximate 14
per cent. In both these districts the principal gains
over 1928 are due to larger anticipated loadings of
coal and coke. Gains of 5 per cent or more are indicated for the New England, Allegheny, Great Lakes,
Ohio Valley, midwest, southwest, and Pacific coast
districts.

REGIONAL ADVISORY BOARD DISTRICTS

PROSPECTIVE CARLOADINGS, SECOND QUARTER OF 1929
COMPARED WITH ACTUAL LOADINGS, SAME QUARTER OF 1928
(As reported by commodity committees, of the regional shippers' advisory boards, and compiled by The American Railway Association)
Number of cars
Actual
1928

COMMODITY

Estimated
1929

Per Number of cars Per Number of cars Per Number of cars Per
cent
cent
cent
cent
inc.
inc.
inc.
inc.
EstiEstiEstiActual
Actual
Actual
mated or dec.
or dec. 1928
mated
or
dec.
mated
or
dec.
1928
1928
1929

1929

1929

District No. 12
NEW ENGLAND

District No. 8
ATLANTIC STATES

District No. 9
ALLEGHENY

o*

ALL DISTRICTS

1 Grain, a l l

. .
Flour, meal, and other mill products
Hay, straw, and alfalfa.
Cotton
Cottonseed and products, except oil

2
3
4
5

.

294, 319
224, 383
71, 959
37, 858
14, 188

339, 544
230, 883
64, 120
40, 057
13, 391

+15.4
+2.9
-10.9
+5.8
-5.6

4,050
2,720
1,112
1,461
61

4,050
2,720
1,100
1,475
61

-1.6

24, 855
77, 888
70, 737
76, 161
346, 947

36, 664
83, 119
63, 050
80, 846
334, 233

+47.5
+6.7
-10.9
+6.2
-3.7

21
2,307
8,958
489
1,402

21
2,310
8,900
490
1,262

-0.6

46, 964
2, 305, 911
556, 575
879, 965
32, 214

49, 136
2, 645, 556
602, 841
874, 829
33, 664

+4.6
+14.7
+8.3
-0.6
+4.5

95
22, 764
67
15, 696
34

95
22. 760
67
17, 266
34

4,079
11, 427
10, 306

4,079
11,427
10, 306

14, 165
8,227
3,691

16, 998
7,569
3,986

1,695
375, 624
22, 733
91, 490
9,445

1,763
383, 136
22, 733
90, 301
9,445

983
1,635
1,691

885
1,553
1,691

-10.0
-5.0

+20.0
-8.0
+8.0

835
433
284
1,406

835
476
284
1,406

+10.0

+4.0
+2.0

664, 949

781, 980

+17.6

-1.3

49, 763

56, 033

+12.6

35, 091
60, 546
8,892
77, 224
12, 891

35, 091
66, 600 +10.0
12, 217 +37.4
84, 946 +10.0
15, 489 +20.0

14, 701
26, 982

15, 230
29, 275

+3.6
+8.5

196, 588
5,917

211, 135
6,568

+7.4
+11.0

+25.0
+1.0

64, 606
12, 783
16, 056

67, 190
13, 422
16, 056

+4.0
+5.0

13, 016
46, 474
3, 101

13, 771
48, 984
3,358

+5.8
+5.4
+8.3

196

212

+8.2

9,421
23, 959
25, 382
7,004
4,340

-33.4
-0.7
+14.0
+7.5
-50.0

4,909
4,877
6,770
1,778

5,061
5,355
7,684
2,005

+3.1
+9.8
+13.5
+12.8

942, 840

+2.9 1, 047, 288 1, 193, 781

+14.0

+1.0

8
9
10

Citrus fruits
..
Other fresh fruits
Potatoes
Other fresh vegetables
Livestock

11
12
13
14
15

Poultry and dairy products ._
Coal and coke
Ore and concentrates
__
Gravel, sand, and stone. ... _ .
Salt

16
17
18
19
20

Lumber and forest products. .
Petroleum and petroleum products
Sugar, sirup, and molasses .
Iron and steel
Machinery and boilers

924, 672
539, 972
42, 481
483, 033
56, 040

942, 527
579, 281
47, 097
531, 345
61, 385

+1.9
+7.3
+10.9
+10.0
+9.5

28, 336
21, 362
1,831
6,622
5, 023

28, 300
25, 207
1,830
7,284
5,776

21
22
23
24

Cement
Brick and clay products... .
Lime and plaster
Agricultural implements and vehicles, other than
automobiles

240, 923
186, 037
71, 937

253, 448
192, 984
72, 763

+5.2
+3.7
+1.1

*4, 303
4,792
4,404

*5, 379
4,839
4,404

35, 265

38, 979

+10.5

163

160

25
26
27
28
29

Automobiles, trucks, and parts. .
Fertilizers, all kinds
Paper, paper board, and prepared roofing
Chemicals andJ explosives
Canned goods

263, 260
155, 694
104, 251
24, 342
35, 039

309, 907
145, 627
110, 988
26, 317
32, 133

+17.7
-6.5
+6.5
+8.1
-8.3

1,821
8,724
20, 899
654
1, 279

2,185
8,720
21, 317
686
1,279

+20.0

+2.0
+4.9

14, 145
24, 127
22, 266
6,516
8,680

+7.5

171, 450

179, 977|

+5. 0

916, 705

6

Total, all commodities listed
1

_. _

8, 223, 870

8, 836, 714

All canned food products, including catsups, jams, jellies, olives, pickles, preserves, etc.
Digitized for FRASER
* Includes only loading within territory comprising New England Shippers' Advisory Board.
http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

-16.6

+10.0

+18.0
+10.0
+15.0

May 1929

16
PROSPECTIVE CARLOADINGS, SECOND QUARTER OF 1929—Continued
COMPARED WITH ACTUAL LOADINGS, SAME QUARTER OF 1928

|

(As reported by commodity committees, regional shippers' advisory boards, and compiled by American Railway Association)
Number of
cars

Number of
cars

Number of
cars

Per
cent

Per

cent

Number of
cars

Per

cent

Number of
cars

Per

cent

inc.
inc.
inc.
inc.
inc.
}
Esti- (t} Actual Esti- or(+)
Esti- .(+)
Esti. or(tdec.
Esti- or(t>
dec.
Actual
Actual mated or dec.
or
dec.
Actual
Actual
dec.
1928
1928 mated
1928 mated
1928 mated
1928 mated
(-)
(-)
(-)
(-)
(-)
1929
1929
1929
1929
1929

Item No.

COMMODITY

1
2
3
4
5

Per
cent

District No. 2
GREAT LAKES
Grain, all
_ Flour, meal, and other mill products
Hay straw and alfalfa
-- .
Cotton
-Cottonseed and products, except oil

22, 815
34, 154
8, 796

27, 500 +20.5
35, 500 +3.9
8,800

513
2,300
635
9,640

500 -J5
3,000 +30.4
500 -21.3
9,350 -3.0

District No. 4
OHIO VALLEY

District No. 6
SOUTHEAST
6,188
18, 637
1,963
21, 724
8,275

6,497 +5.0
19, 569 +5.0
1,767 -10.0 i
21, 724
7,447 -10.0

6,150
25, 839
21, 869
24, 141
10, 418

7,196 +17.0
28, 165 +9.0
19, 682 -10.0
26, 314 +9.0
10, 210 -2.0

6
7
8
9
10

Citrus fruits
__ _
Other fresh fruits
Potatoes
._
Other fresh vegetables
Livestock

11
12
13
14
15

Poultry and dairy products
Coal and coke
_
Ore and concentrates
Gravel, sand, and stone
Salt

16
17
18
19
20

Lumber and forest products
Petroleum and petroleum products
Sugar sirup, and molasses
Iron and steel
_
Machinery and boilers

13, 573
16, 902
1,737
57, 524
13, 833

13. 750
17, 500
1,850
59, 000
14, 000

+1.3 295, 310 297, 230 +0.7
+3.5 53, 539 56, 751 +6.0
+6.5
9,196
9,196
+2.6 31, 085 31, 085
+1.2
2,800
3,080 "+I6."6

21
22
23
24

Cement
Brick and clay products
Lime and plaster
Agric. implements and vehicles, other
than automobiles

13, 849
13, 070
16, 500

14, 000
13, 150
17, 000

+1.1
+0.6
+3.0

6,583

6,600

25
26
27
28
29

Automobiles trucks and parts
Fertilizers, all kinds
.
Paper, paper board and prepared roofingChemicals and1explosives
Canned goods
-

_ _
_

- -

Total, all commodities listed _

17, 499
120, 538
96, 660
9,121

3, 964

26, 413

35, 400 +10.0

4,281

28, 900

1,911
2,102 +10.0
17, 750 +1.4 141, 001 146, 862 +4.2 715,406 765,484
149, 000 +23.6 31, 639 31, 639
99, 000 +2.4 123, 326 106, 852 -Is. 4 115,681 126, 500
I!
10, 450 +14.6
139
139

2,900

664, 837 728, 591

22, 093
28, 006
12, 020

+0.3 . 537

168, 500 189, 791 +12.6
6,041 6,200 +2.6
11, 304 11, 500 +1.7
2,750

32, 182

+5.5

3,070
87, 408
5,662
3,407
1,541

21, 099 -4.5
30, 807 +10.0
12, 020

63, 025
30, 978
10, 844

69, 327 +10.0
27, 880 -10.0
8,674 -20.0

54, 687
34, 758
2,444

74,000 +35.3
35, 000 +0. 7
2, 500 +2. 3

+9.4

1,423
3,985
1,585
91, 448

626 -56.0
4,600 +15.4
1,000 -36.1
85, 050 -7.0

237
6,433
167
38,243

237
6,000
167
38, 000

+9.6 998, 894 989,162

4,367

+6.0

28,156

30,900

+9.7

26, 715
16, 803

27, 516
16, 000

+3.0
-4.8

25,485! +11.2
7, 700 +0. 7
11, 730 +7. 0

-1.0 1,010,969X084,263

-6.7
-0.6

17, 178 17, 700 +3.0
7,388
7,388
+7.0 240, 000 400, 000 +66.7 21, 798 22, 297 +2.3
86, 176 93,000 +7.9 233, 328 235, 000 +0.7
+9.4 177, 614 168, 734 —5 0 14, 207
7, 100 -50.0
329
329

4,120

22, 916
7,650
10, 963

District No. 3
NORTHWEST

+8.0

537

3,531 +15.0
76, 482 -12.5
6,172 +9.0
3,543 +4.0
1,464 -5.0

District No. 1
MID-WEST

82, 756
35, 271
5,979
65, 205
11,015

78, 100 -5.6
38, 800 +10.0
5,300 -11.4
85, 000 +30.4
11, 786 +7.0

23 523
3,' 474
799
3,632
1,183

33, 646
33, 786
9,000

37, 000 +10.0
34, 800 +3.0
9,135 +1.5

5,867
3,562
719

5,900
3,562
700

21, 595

23, 750 +10.0

3,306

4,447 +34.5

27, 759
7,591
17, 799
3, 123
10, 006

40, 665 +46.5
7,«00
18, 155 ! +2.0
3,200 +2.5
10. 000

747
1,022
3,631
69
648

2,340 +213. 3
920 -10.0
2,905 -20.0
69
648

24, 699 +5.0
3,821 +10.0
850 +6.4
3,500 -3.6
1,183

+7. 2 1,089,1161,280,211 +17.5 465, 872 483, 233

+0.6
-2.6

+3.7

i

District No 5
TRANS-MISSOURIKANSAS
1 Grain, all
_
2 Flour, meal, and other mill products
3 Hay straw, and alfalfa
4 Cotton
- - - - 5 Cottonseed and products, except oil

40, 736
45, 353
10, 872

43, 000; +5. 6
48, 981 +8. 0
10, 500 -3. 4

District No 1
SOUTHWEST
18, 945
19, 717
4,051
14,312
5,408

21, 788 +15.0
21, 688 +10.0
4, 051
16, 458 +15.0
5,408

District No 10
CENTRAL- WESTERN
33, 746
11,637
4,292

38, 000 +12.6
12,200 +4.8
3,800 -11.5

183
9, 553

200 +9.3
5,800 -39.3

District No 11
PACIFIC COAST
6,066
7,387
9,719
361
444

6,460 +6.5
7,940 +7.5
6,000 -38.3
400 +10.8
475 +7.0

18, 628
21, 391
1,730
29, 402
22, 434

6,817
5,980
1,905

8,560 +25.6
6,425! +7.4
650 -65.9

29, 375 +57.7
22, 587 +5.6
1,700 -1.7
31, 600 +7.5
23, 000 +2.5

4,558
2,448
1,480
4,060

3,615 —20.7
1,574 -35.7
1,511 +2.1
3,790 -6.7

1,276
9,356
4,773
6,616

1,380 +8.2
9,150 —2 2
5,500 +15.2
5,100 -22.9

6
7
8
9
10

Citrus fruits
Other fresh fruits
Potatoes
Other fresh vegetables
Livestock

2,885
869
578
51, 835

3,317 +15. 0
800 -7.9
600 +3.8i
46, 625 -10.0

56
3.552
3^932
13, 709
30, 140

72 +28. 6
3,729 +5.0
2,949 -25.0
14. 394 +5.0
30, 140

59, 508

56, 500

11
12
13
14
15

Poultry and dairy products
Coal and coke
Ore and concentrates
Gravel, sand, and stone
Salt

9,398
24, 609
8,566
52, 672
6,450

10, 205 +8.6
24, 764 +0.6!
8,045 -6.1
57, 939 +10.0
6,495 +0.7

3,094
12, 070
340
63, 804
6,052

3,403 +10.0
12, 673 +5.0|
357 +5.0
63, 804
6,052

3,932
54, 712
14, 504
18, 632
644

4,000 +1.7
53, 000 -3.1
15, 000 +3. 4!
19, 200 +3.0;
720 +11.8!

997
6,123
33,911
53, 804

1,100 +10.3
5,700 -6.9
42, 500 +25.3
57,000 +5.9

16
17
18
19
20

Lumber and forest products
Petroleum and petroleum products _ _ _
Sugar, sirup, and molasses
Iron and steel
Machinery and boilers

32. 221
57, 177
2, 120
4 520
1,369

33, 250 +3.2 87, 810 92, 200 +5.0
58, 892 +3.0 181, 931 194, 666 +7.0
3,744
5,054 +35.0
2,200 +3.8:
5,135 +13.6
4,350
4,785 +10.0
1,469
1,433
1,433

6,686
30, 056
3,690
2,492

6,800
31, 000
3,860
2,600

+1.7
+3.1
+4.6
+4.3

73, 060
40, 027
4,493
4,622

76, 715
42, 820
4,740
4,935

21
22
23
24

Cement.
_
Brick and clay products
Lime and plaster
Agricultural implements and vehicles,
other than automobiles

20, 117
10, 852
4,366

21, 350
10, 625
4,300

7, 200 +21.2
1,700 +27.5

15, 406
3,850

17, 000 +10.3
3,865 +0.4

2, 217i

2,549 +15. 0

25
26
27
28
29

Automobiles, trucks, and parts
Fertilizers, all kinds
Paper, paper board, and prepared roofing
Chemicals and explosives
Canned goods l

17, 453

24, 900 +42.7

Total, all commodities listed..
1

+8. o

407, 235 425,95li

9,756
9,491
5,460

+5. 0 i
+5.0!

+5.0 227, 485 236, 795
+7.0 12, 705 13, 949
+5.5
1,013
1,040
+6.8
611
576

+4. 1
+9. 8

+2.7
+6.1

5,606
1,235
311

5,800
1,265
330

151

155

+2.6

3,224 +700. 0
300
1, 200 +300. 0
5,562
584
6,040 +8.6
1, 125
8,360 +10. 0
622
625
2,556 +10. Oi
2,013
2,200 +9.3
2,513
3,716
_i
869 +5.0
165
165
2,533
2,735 +8.0
277
362
616
500
580 +16.0
1,254
5,987
6,900 +15.2
1,401
1
+4.6 515, 445J 546,964 +6.1 262,508 263,525 +0.4 369, 950 403, 787 +9.1 303,601 314,429

+92.6
+0.5
+47.9
+30.7
+11.7

+6.1
21
-1. 5

517

10, 243
9,965
5,460

569 +10.0

403
7,600
2,324
828
616

All canned-food products, including catsups. :ams. jellies, ol ves, pickle . preserves, etc.

Digitized for FRASER
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

5, 943
1,333

-5.1

District No 14
PACIFIC NORTHWEST

+3.5
+2.4
+6.1

+3.6

August 1929

20
PROSPECTIVE CARLOADINGS, THIRD QUARTER OF 1929
Loadings of commodities by railroads in carload
lots for the third quarter of 1929 are estimated by the
regional advisory boards set up by the American RailREGIONAL ADVISORY BOARD DISTRICTS

way Association at 7 per cent above the corresponding period of 1928. These estimates are based upon
detailed reports obtained from shippers as first described in the August, 1927, issue of the Survey of

Current Business, page 20, and are comparable to
similar data published quarterly since that time.
Estimated loadings of all commodities for the third
quarter of 1929 will be greater than a year ago except
for cottonseed and products, fresh fruits other than
citrus, potatoes, sugar, and chemicals and explosives,
for which declines are anticipated. The largest numerical increase over last year is estimated for loadings of
coal and coke, while the greatest relative increase is
anticipated for citrous fruits, where the gain is estimated at 51 per cent. In only 2 of the 13 districts
are declines estimated from the corresponding quarter
of 1928, the southeast and the Pacific northwest districts with declines of 1 per cent. The largest relative gain in loadings over 1928 is estimated for the
Alleghany district at 15 per cent. The next largest
relative gain is shown for the Ohio Valley district at
almost 12 per cent. In both these districts the principal gains over 1928 are to be found in larger anticipated loadings for coal and coke. Gains of 5 per cent
or more are indicated for the Alleghany, Ohio Valley,
midwest, northwest, trans-Missouri Kansas, and the
New England districts.

PROSPECTIVE CAR LOADINGS, THIRD QUARTER OF 1929
COMPARED WITH ACTUAL LOADINGS, SAME QUARTER OF 1928
(As reported by commodity committees, of the regional shippers' advisory boards, and compiled by The American Railway Association)
Number of cars
Actual
1928

COMMODITY GROUPS

o
£

Estimated
1939

Number of cars Per
Number of cars Per
Number of cars Per
Per
cent
cent
cent
cent
inc.
inc.
inc.
( } Actual Esti- inc.
Actual EstiActual Esti( }
(+)
(+•)
mated or dec.
1928
mated or tdec.
1938
or dec.
mated or dec.
1928
1929
1929
1939
(-)
(-)
(-)
«->

i-

District No. 13
NEW ENGLAND

ALL DISTRICTS

O
M

Grain, all _ __
Flour, meal, and other mill products
Hay, straw, and alfalfa
Cotton
... .
Cottonseed and products, except oil

503, 875
225, 993
73, 562
60, 324
27, 797

525, 115
247, 085
76, 552
65, 525
26, 484

+4.2
+8.9
+4.1
+8.6
-4.7

254
6, 514
979
1,544
10

254
6,514
979
1,544
10

6
7
8
9
10

Citrus fruits
Other fresh fruits
Potatoes
Other fresh vegetables
Livestock

13, 557
178, 382
60, 221
63, 738
357, 997

20, 484
164, 133
58, 069
66, 681
358, 382

+51.1
-8.0
-3.6
+4.6
+0.1

79
2,901
2,382
1,136
1,916

79
2,843
2,382
1,159
1,724

11
12
13
14
15

Poultry and dairy products
Coal and coke
Ore and concentrates . _ __ .. _
Gravel, sand, and stone
Salt

37, 645
2, 488, 545
849, 732
1, 052, 417
37, 543

38, 233
2, 852, 553
914, 863
1, 075, 257
37, 651

+1.6
+14.6
+7.7
+2.2
+0.3

116
22,015
152
24, 297
43

118
24, 216
152
24, 054
43

+1.7
+10.0

16
17
18
19
20

Lumber and forest products
Petroleum and petroleum products
?ugar, sirup, and molasses
Iron and steel
Machinery and boilers

902, 232
605, 281
58, 997
470, 873
59, 095

904, 423
644, 613
58, 779
519, 419
63, 375

+0.2
+6.5
-0.4
+10.3
+7.2

36, 173
25, 928
2,339
7,471
5,752

36, 535
29, 817
2,339
8, 218
6,471

+1.0
+15.0

21
22
23
24

Cement
_ _
.
Brick and clay products
Lime and plaster
Agricultural implements and vehicles, other than
automobiles

277, 007
180, 071
68, 398

280, 675
185, 466
70, 136

+1.3
+3.0
+2.5

*6, 757
4,402
5,199

*6, 757
4, 468
6,451

30, 101

31, 808

+5.7

170

170

25
26
27
28
29

Automobiles, trucks, and parts
Fertilizers, all kinds
Paper, paper board, and prepared roofing
Chemicals and explosives. ...
Canned goods *

253, 099
71, 052
102, 052
26, 079
47, 996

27S, 596
71, 868
106, 803
27, 387
46,533

+30.1
+1.1
+4.7
+5.0
-3.0

1,660
1,854
20,342
724
1, 654

9, 184, 661

9, 816, 948

+6.9

184, 763

1

2
3
4
5

__ _ ._ _ -. __ _ .

Total, all commodities listed
1

_ _.

__

All canned food products, including catsups, jams, jellies, olives, pickles, preserves, etc.
* Includes only loading within territory comprising New England Shippers' Advisory Board.

Digitized for FRASER
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

District No. 8
ATLANTIC STATES

District No. 9
ALLEGHENY

564
1, 335
1,016

592
1,335
1,016

+5. 0

1,639
116
304
2,024

1,557
116
304
2,024

-5.0

+5.0
+5.0

637, 389

771, 241

+21.0

-0.4

63, 838

69,264

+8.5

29,744
75, 596
12, 045
81, 857
13, 546

-8.0
+12. 0

15, 130
24, 023

15, 902
25, 609

+5.7
+6. 6

+8.0
+10.0

192, 039
5, 278

202, 409
5,732

+5.4
+8.6

69, 710
12,117
15,728

66, 225
12, 238
15, 099

-5.0
+1.0
-4.0

14, 421
45, 859
2,281

16, 613
45, 721
2,486

+15. 2
—0.3
+9.0

107

110

+2.8

+5.0

11, 404
11, 875
21, 400
7,175
12, 085

13, 114
12, 302
22, 470
7,533
11, 481

+15.0
+3.6
+5.0
+5.0
-5.0

2,897
3,801
5,984
1, 745

3,100
4,135
6,104
1, 783

+7.0
+8.8
+2.0
+2.2

+5.5

911, 287

938, 337

+3.0 1, 021, 790 1, 177, 243

+15.2

6,934
12,806
6,976

6, 934
12,810
6,980

16, 885
27, 875
12, 749

16,041
27, 875
13, 386

1, 777
317, 834
25, 384
110, 508
10, 024

1,780
333, 725
25, 385
110, 146
10, 025

+10. 0
+12.5

32, 330
67, 497
12, 045
75, 794
12, 315

+1.5
+24.1

1,660
1,854
21, 562
724
1,737

+6.0

194, 834

-2.0
+2.0
-10.0

-1.0

-5.0

August 1929

21
PROSPECTIVE CAR LOADINGS, THIRD QUARTER OF 1929—Continued
COMPARED WITH ACTUAL LOADINGS, SAME QUARTER OF 1928
(As reported by commodity committees, regional shippers' advisory boards, and compiled by American Railway Association)

i
Number of
Number of
Number of
Number of
Per
Per
Per
Per
Per
cars
cars
cars
cars
cent
cent
cent
cent
cent
inc.
inc.
inc.
inc.
inc.
Esti- or(+)
Esti- or(+)
Esti- or(+)
Esti- or(+)
Esti- or(+)
dec. Actual mated
dec.
dec. Actii al mated
dec. Actual mated
Actual mated
dec. Actual mated
1928
1928
1928
1928
(-)
1938
(-)
(-)
(-)
(-)
1929
1929
1929
1929
1929
Number of
cars

COMMODITY GROUPS
d
£

;i

-j—*
i

2
3
4
5

District No. 2
GREAT LAKES

District No, 3
NORTHWEST

i
Grain all
Flour, meal, and other mill products
Hay straw and alfalfa
Cotton
Cottonseed and products, except oil

17,817
37, 516
9,141

6
7
8
9
10

Citrus fruits
Other fresh fruits
Potatoes
_
Other fresh vegetables
Livestock . __
__

11
12
13
14
15

Poultry and dairy products
Coal and coke
Ore and concentrates
Gravel sand and stone
Salt

16
17
18
19
20

Lumber and forest products
Petroleum and petroleum products
Sugar, sirup, and molasses
Iron and steel
Machinery and boilers

21
22
23
24

Cement
__
Brick and clay products
Lime and plaster.
_ _ _ __ _
Agricultural implements arid vehicles,
other than automobiles

25
26
27
28
29

District No, 1
MID- WEST

District No. 4
OHIO VALLEY

District No. 6
SOUTHEAST

_ _

_

___

2,160
563
2,271
9,040

20, 500 +15.1
39, 000 +4.0
9,200 +0.6

2,375 +10.0
650 +15.5
2, 498 +10.0
8,450 -6.5

*60 -79.1
45, 090 -12.0
4,114 -30.0
4, 575 -8.0
16, 692 +5.0

1,062
135, 652
32, 481
121, 396
251

20, 987
13, 339
17, 702

22, 665
13, 499
18,000

+8.0
+1.2
+1.7

2,123

2,363 +11.3

+5.2
+9.0
+6.4
+9.6

21, 725 -16.0
27, 191
6,470

749

824 +10.0

5,358
26, 734
6,654
3, 777
2,143

5,465 +2.0
26, 200 -2.0
6,987 +5.0
4,306 +14.0
2,143

+4.2 941, 583 932, 237

101, 881
45, 768
13, 692

90, 000 -11.7
50, 800 +11.1
11,650 -14.9

6,158
6,742
783
62, 969

District No. 7
SOUTHWEST

49, 362 -5.0
21, 920 +20.0
5, 031 +5.0
37, 435 +5.0
15, 884 +5.0

6,100 -6.9
5, 384
20 0
700 -10.6
63, 500 +0.8

41
9,568
1,275
2,910
32, 497

45 +10.0
11, 960 +25.0
1,084
lr> 0
3,201 +10.0
32, 497

6,523
6,687 +2.5
39, 643 41, 953 +5.8
7, 263
7,000 -3.6
67, 954 100, 000 +47.2
7,801
7,000
10 3

1,644
18, 521
631
68, 562
7,935

1,808 +10.0
18, 891 +2.0
662 +5.0
75, 418 +10.0
7, 935

6
7
8
9
10

Citrus fruits
Other fresh fruits
Potatoes
Other fresh vegetables
Livestock ..

11
12
13
14
15

Poultry and dairy products

Coal and coke __ _
Ore and concentrates
Gravel, sand, and stone
Salt

16
17
18
19
20

Lumber and forest products
Petroleum and petroleum productsSugar, sirup, and molasses _ ... _
Iron and steel
_.
Machinery and boilers

37, 010
78, 617
1,648
5,058
1,543

36, 800 -0.6 92, 152 92, 152
80, 975 +3.0 189, 476 197, 055 +4.0
4,942
1,038 -37.0
6,177 +25.0
5,292 +4.6
4,297
4,726 +10.0
1,389 -10.0
1 362
1,362

21
22
23
24

Cement
Brick and clay products
__
Lime and plaster _ _ _
Agricultural implements and vehicles,
other than automobiles..

26, 068
10, 218
4,442

28, 000 +7.4
12, 640 +23.7
4,500 +1.3

9,974
9,411
6,446

+4.7

379

454 +20.0

25
26
27
28
29

Automobiles, trucks, and parts
Fertilizers, all kinds
Paper, paper board and prepared roofing.
Chemicals and explosives
Canned goods !

16, 920

25, 130 +48.5

784
4,319
2,382
934
896

3,920 +400. 0
4,319
2,144 -10.0
984
941 +5.0

...

Total, all commodities listed
1

2,196

2,300

550, 897 588, 848

10, 472 +5.0
10, 352 +10.0
6,768 +5.0

+6. 9 597, 245 625, 019

3,190

+8.8
*

24, 916

90, 500 108, 600 +20.0
27, 650 31,800 +15.0
14, 053 17, 566 +25.0

84, 162
33, 447
2,067

98, 000 +16. 4
37, 000 +10.6
2,067

+1.6
+9.7
+4.0
+2.0

375
2,015
1,037
40, 350

375
4,500 +123.3
1,037
40, 000 -0.9

1

28, 500 +14.4

3,150

3,241

+2.9

28, 760

32, 239 +12.1

24, 992
14, 231

27, 741 +11.0
15, 625 +9.8

21, 627
9,780
12, 382

26, 468 +22.4
10, 073 +3.0
13, 496 +9.0

District No. 10
CENTRAL-WESTERN

4,919
1,959
8,170
87, 163

5,000
2,150
8,500
88,900

20, 250 -9.4
4,600 +9.7
1,500 +31.0
3,500 +16.6
1, 450 +3.5

73, 300
44, 576
5,600
61, 900
11,000

75, 500 +3.0
49, 030 +10.0
5,040 -10.0
86, 500 +39.7
11, 880 +8.0

22, 347
4,193
1,145
3,002
1,401

42, 754
33, 000
9,202

45,000
33,000
9,432

+5.3

7,079
3,562
652

7,000
3,562
650

-1.1

+2.5

5,550

+4.9

3,657 +167. 5
520 -9.9
2,665 -20.8
73
950 -14.0

18,900

19, 844

+5.0

5,289

33, 550
7,400
16, 561
4,400
11, 800

30,000 -10.6
7,400
17,000 +2.7
4,400
10, 974 -7.0

1,367
577
3,363
73
1,105

District No. 11
PACIFIC COAST

+8.9

District No. 14
PACIFIC NORTHWEST

-8.0
-2.4
-0.4

15, 950
5,845
3,775

20, 300 +54.4
48, 000 -11.8
2,400 +7.9
23, 600 +6.0
15, 500 +1.0

20, 083
1,956
2,422
5,892

16, 492 -17.9
1,384 -29.2
2,721 +12.3
5,595 -5.0

653
6,432
32, 064
53, 653

700 +7.2
6,100 -5.2
3S, 000 +12.3
54, 100 +0.8

1,183
10, 715
5,548
6,977

1,463 +23.7
11,000 +2.7
5,983 +7.8
5,000 -28.3

7,320
38, 000 +3.1
7,000 -7.5
3,300 +20.2

75, 725
42, 152
11,510
4,527

76, 500 +1.0 197, 627 199, 108
46, 900 +11.3 14, 764 16, 212
11, 600 +0.8
1,072
1,125
5,375 +18.7
524
540

+0.7
+9.8

7,800 +11.9
1,600 +22.6

15, 809
3,893

15, 000
4,020

-5.1
+3.3

5,623
1,543
276

5,677
1,550
280

+1.0
+0.5
+2.2

188

193

+2.7

5, 394

5,825

+8.0

2,155
2,642
8,881

2,170 +0,7
2,910 +10.1
8,000 -9.9

758
285
2,989
320
3,422

995
290
3,510
353
3,935

+31.3
+1.8
+17.4
+10.3
+15.0

+3.3 311, 274 308, 976

-0.7

6,950 +0.8
7,650 +0.8
9,000 +11.1
290
500

13, 150
54, 430
2,224
26, 983
15, 346

3,500 +3.9
4 3
71, 600
15, 700 +12.5
36, 800 +62.6
1,050 -15.7

7 319
36, 859
7,564
2,746
6,970
1,305

80, 000
12, 150
3,950

-2.4
+3.9
+2.1

8,026
7,237

8,300
6,020

+3.4
16 8

59, 987

55, 000

-8.3

3,369
74, 812
13, 956
22, 636
1,245

972

-0.3

17, 328
5,987
3,792

6,897
7, 590
8,104
291
503

81, 960
11, 694
3,870

1,000

+4.7 352, 527 360, 090

All canned-food products, including catsup, jams, jellies, olives, pickles, preserves, etc.
* Decrease due to Mediterranean fruit fly in Florida.

Digitized for FRASER
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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

39, 550 +10.0

-1.0 1,040,919 1,160,149 +11.5 1,366,670 1,515,231 +10.9 713, 772 777, 480

51, 960
18, 267
4, 792
35, 710
15, 128

._

2,932

6,269
6,770 +8.0
15, 100 14, 345 -5.0
+5.0
-0.2 753, 976 843, 699 +11.9 380, 000 500, 000 +31.6 64,963 65, 948 +1.5
122, 843 129, 000 +5.0 408, 076 450, 000 +10.3
09
-5.0 108, 212 116,327 +7.5 240, 000 204, 000 —15 0 15, 856 15, 856
370
370

-8.7 296, 338 298, 835 +0.8
+4.0 53, 992 56, 692 +5.0
+0.3 11,157 10, 990 -1.5
+2.3 33, Oil 32, 516 -1.5
2,984
+3.9
3,402 +14.0
25, 863
27, 191
6,470

35, 961

+15.0
-17.0

12, 446
24, 127
1,050
52, 362
17, 603

District No. 5
TRANS-MISSOURIKANSAS

1 Grain, all _ _
2 Flour, meal, and other mill products
3 Hay, straw, and alfalfa
_.
4 Cotton
5 Cottonseed and products, except oil

*287
51, 238
5,877
4, 973
15, 897

+10. 0
+10.0

13, 631
23, 204
1,047
51, 196
16, 936

790, 926 824, 114

COMMODITY GROUPS

8,423
20, 261
2,148
26, 196
10, 090

1,011
26, 294 28, 528 +8.5 135, 951
201, 029 212, 500 +5.7 32, 786
142, 132 142, 896 +0.5 127, 732
9,874 10, 977 +11.2
251

Automobiles, trucks, and parts
154, 277 162, 362
Fertilizers, all kinds
5,331 5,810
Paper, paper board, and prepared roofing. 10, 023 10, 664
Chemicals and explosives
Canned goods i
3,293 3,589
Total, all commodities listed. _

7, 657
18, 419
2,148
22, 779
12, 156

+2.9

+2.1 401, 008 414, 390

+4.9
+3.0

November 1929

15
PROSPECTIVE CARLOADINGS FOR THE FOURTH QUARTER OF 1929
The regional advisory boards set up by the American
Railway Association estimate freight-car loadings for
REGIONAL ADVISORY BOARD DISTRICTS

the last quarter of 1929 at somewhat more than 2 per
cent larger than actual loadings reported for the corresponding period of 1928.

Estimated loadings of all commodities will be
greater than a year ago except grains, hay, citrus
fruits, other fresh fruits, potatoes, fresh vegetables,
livestock, poultry and dairy products, stone, sand
and gravel, salt, lumber and fertilizers, which, it is
estimated, will show declines.
The anticipated loadings in all districts are expected to be higher than a year ago except in the
Great Lakes, Northwestern, and the Pacific northwest districts, where declines are expected. Of the
anticipated increases, the largest gains are estimated
for the New England and Allegheny and Ohio Valley
districts, where increases of 5 per cent or more are
expected.
The expected increases in the New England district
are general in all types of commodities, while for the
Allegheny district all important commodity classes
showed gains except citrus and other fresh fruits,
which declined. For the Ohio Valley district, expected gains are general, except for livestock, lumber
and forest products, where declines are anticipated.

PROSPECTIVE CAR LOADINGS, FOURTH QUARTER OF 1929
COMPARED WITH ACTUAL LOADINGS, SAME QUARTER OF 1928
[As reported by commodity committees, of the regional shippers' advisory boards, and compiled by The American Railway Association]
Number of cars

COMMODITY GEOUPS

Actual
1928

Estimated
1929

Per Number of cars Per Number of cars Per Number of cars Per
cent
cent
cent
cent
inc.
inc.
inc.
inc.
EstiEstiEstiActual mated or dec. Actual mated or dec.
mated
or
dec.
or dec. Actual
1928
1928
1928

ALL DISTRICTS

1929

1929

1929

District No. 12
NEW ENGLAND

District No. 8
ATLANTIC STATES j;

District No. 9
ALLEGHENY

8,684
14, 013
11, 427

9,097
14, 713
11, 998

+5.0
+5.0
+5.0

471
1,045
1,408

509
1,129
1,408

+8.0
+8.0

18, 849
10, 799
11, 320

14, 137
9,179
10, 754

-25.6
-15.0
—5.0

4,119
262
128
1,890

3,295
210
128
1,890

-20.0
-19.8

1,778
412, 773
24, 273
78, 221
7,078

1,867
431, 347
24, 273
76, 657
6,009

+5.0
+4.5

682, 594

728, 328

—2 0
-15.1

56, 013

57, 133

+6.7
+2.0

30, 033
67, 310
13, 573
85, 916
13, 161

-5.0
+10.0
+17.5
+5.0
+3.0

17, 562
25, 457

18,300
26,246

+5.0
+5.0

31, 613
61, 191
11, 552
81, 825
12, 778

222, 976
7,441

236, 355
8,207

+40.0
+5.0
+10.0

56, 389
11, 672
11, 792

59, 208
12, 139
11, 792

+5.0
+4.0

8,312
44, 095
3,333

9,708
45, 727
3,563

73

86

1,416
2,639
21, 809
667
2,481

+5.0
+1.0
+7.0

6,821
7,186
20, 843
8,982
13, 779

8,185
6,036
22, 823
9,481
16, 535

+20.0
-16.0
+9.5
+5.6
+20.0

4.826
5, 057
7,308
1,222

4,918
5,821
7, 352
1,242

186, 565

+5.6

935, 618

966, 223

+d.3

Grain, all
Flour, meal, and other mill products
Hay, straw, and alfalfa
Cotton
Cottonseed and products, except oil

492, 802
245, 791
84, 122
181, 067
108, 238

424, 725
256, 780
83,911
188, 685
121, 815

-13.8
+4.5
-0.3
+4.2
+12.5

3,067
4,068
1,321
1,509
16

3,067
4,068
1,321
1,509
16

Citrus fruits
Other fresh fruits.
Potatoes
Other fresh vegetables.
Livestock

32, 163
132, 378
71, 106
56, 730
434, 730

30, 485
118, 400
65, 522
55, 275
415, 729

-5.2
-10.6
-7.9
-2.6
-4.4

117
3,567
12, 749
507
1,489

117
3,600
14, 024
507
1,489

35, 539
2, 902, 992
457, 741
754, 907
30, 327

34, 901
3, 079, 509
472, 053
744, 402
29, 528

-1.8
+6.1
+3.1
-1.4
-2.6

99
26, 094
60
13, 757
58

99
27, 399
60
13, 757
58

Lumber and forest products
Petroleum and petroleum products
Sugar, sirup, and molasses
Iron and steel
Machinery and boilers

877, 358
553,011
56, 613
496, 038
51, 485

866, 869
580, 623
58, 516
522, 943
54, 391

-1.2
+5.0
+3.4
+5.4
+5.6

28, 982
24, 922
2,094
7,527
5,794

29, 851
27, 414
2,094
7,903
6,084

+3.0
+10.0

Cement
Brick and clay products
.
Lime and plaster
Agricultural implements and vehicles, other than
automobiles

187, 607
154, 784
53, 277

196, 352
160, 265
54, 214

+4.7
+3.5
+1.8

*3, 840
3,918
3,164

*5, 376
4,114
3,480

18, 885

19, 592

+3.7

146

146

Automobiles, trucks, and parts
Fertilizers, all kinds
Paper, paper board, and prepared roofing
Chemicals and explosives
Canned goods i

195, 669
67, 477
10,4, 707
30, 370
57, 718

227, 593
65. 707
110. 907
32, 272
62. 059

+16.3
-2.6
+6.9
+6.3
+7.5

1,416
2,639
20, 770
661
2,319

8, 924, 632

9, 134, 023

+2.3

176, 670

Poultry and dairy products
Coal and coke
Ore and concentrates
Gravel, sand, and stone
Salt

_.

Total, all commodities listed

i All canned food products, includine; catsups, jams, jellies, olives, pickles, preserves, etc.
* Includes only loading within territory comprising New England Shippers' Advisory Board.

Digitized for FRASER
http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

+0.9
+10.0

+5.0

1, 095, 592 1, 161, 555

+4.2
+3.1
+6.0
+10.3
+16.8
+3.7
+6.9
+17.8
+1.9
+15.1
+0.6
+1.6
+6.0

November 1929

16
PROSPECTIVE CAR LOADINGS, FOURTH QUARTER OF 1929—Continued
COMPARED WITH ACTUAL LOADINGS, SAME QUARTER OF 1928

[As reported by commodity committees, regional shippers' advisory boards, and compiled by American Railway Association]
Number of
cars

Number of
Number of
Number of
Number of
Per
Per
Per
Per
Per
cars
cars
cars
cars
cent
cent
cent
cent
cent
inc.
inc.
inc.
inc.
inc.
( }
Esti- or(+)
Esti- or(dec.
Esti- or(40
t
t) Actual Esti- or(dec.
i° Actual Esti- or dec.
dec. Actual mated
Actual mated
Actual mated
dec.
mated
mated
1938
1938
1938
1938
1938
(-)
(-)
(-)
(-)
(-)
1939
1939
1939
1939
1939

COMMODITY GROUPS
d

a
s
I
2
3
4
5

District No. 3
GREAT LAKES
Grain, all
Flour, meal, and other mill products
Hay, straw, and alfalfa
Cotton
,
Cottonseed and products, except oil

46, 682
38, 922
9,751

41, 000 -12.2
40,000 +2.8
8,776 -10.0

6,228
4,855
3,258
13, 678

4,700
2,500
3,750
15, 250

District No. 6
SOUTHEAST
4,849
16, 443
2,734
72, 775
56, 283

5,091 +5.0
17, 265 +5.0
2, 597 -5.0
87, 330 +20.0
64,725 +15.0

17, 401
12, 475
1,059
2,550
15, 257

15, 000 -13.8
9,980 -20.0
985 -7.0
2,984 +17.0
14, 494 —5 0

6
7
8
9
10

Citrus fruits
- - - - _
Other fresh fruits
Potatoes
Other fresh vegetables
Livestock

11
12
13
14
15

Poultry and dairy products
Coal and coke
. _
Ore and concentrates
Gravel, sand, and stone
Salt

16
17
18
19
20

Lumber and forest products __
Petroleum and petroleum products
Sugar, sirup, and molasses
Iron and steel
Machinery and boilers

13,794
18, 773
2,612
54, 043
9,357

303, 013 289, 981 -4.3
13, 800
19, 400 +3.3 53, 594 56, 274 +5.0
7,222
7,294 +1.0
1,900 -27.3
56, 000 +3.6 24,681 28,630 +16.0
9,400 +0.5
1,987
2,305 +16.0

21
22
23
24

Cement
Brick and clay products _
Lime and plaster
-_
__
Agricultural implements and vehicles,
other than automobiles

10, 433
9,329
13, 337

10, 500
9,100
13, 350

+0.6
-2.5

912

950

+4.2

761

837 +10.0

25
26
27
28
29

129, 074 134, 444
Automobiles, trucks, and parts
1,875
1,950
Fertilizers, all kinds
Paper, paper board, and prepared roofing. 12, 833 13, 474
Chemicals and explosives
_.
4,142
4,200
Canned goods
-

+4.2
+4.0
+5.0

3,791
33, 147
5,802
3,917
2,351

4,170 +10.0
33, 147
6,440 +11.0
4,896 +25.0
2,351

_ ._

Total, all commodities listed

644, 032 633, 851

60, 728 60, 000
Grain, all
Flour, meal, and other mill products
51, 435 53, 390
13, 009 12, 684
Hay, straw, and alfalfa
Cotton
_. _
.Cottonseed and products, except oil .

6
7
8
9
10

Citrus fruit
O ther fresh fruits
Potatoes _.
Other fresh vegetables
Livestock..

11
12
13
14
15

Poultry and dairy products .
Coal and coke
Ore and concentrates _
Gravel, sand, and stone
Salt

16
17
18
19
20

+0.3
-5.4
-5.1
+1.2

+1.4
-1.6

District No. 5
TRANS-MISSOURIKANSAS

COMMODITY GROUPS

1
2
3
4
5

19, 943 20,000
122, 210 115, 750
87, 518 83, 057
10, 473 10, 600

-24.5
-48.5
+15.1
+11.5

-1.2
+3.8
-2.5

District No. 4
OHIO VALLEY

47, 099

49, 200

+4.5

3, 321

3, 460

+4.2

26, 592

24,306

862
862
127, 538 133, 915 +5.6 862, 802 927, 562
13, 562 14. 918 +10.0
109, 327 103; 861 -5.0 92, 170 96, 962
197
197

18, 879
22, 071
5,120

19, 917
22, 071
5, 120

939, 648 957, 637

+5.5

3,240

32, 510
10.0
22, 369 +20.0
4,384 -5.0
92, 196 -10.0
54, 524 +8.0

-5.0

22, 154 +10.0

19, 978
12, 420

21, 176
12, 618

21, 652
7,026
10, 497

27, 757 +28.2
7,264 +3.4
11, 336 +8.0

+6.0
+1.6

District No. 10
CENTRAL- WESTERN
44, 634
12, 926
10, 012

40, 180 -10.0
13, 400 +3.7
10,300 +2.9

8,810
17, 088

10, 000 +13.5
18, 000 +5.3

74, 376

72,400

429
2,227
474
925
41, 390

643
2,784
427
1,017
41, 390

5,497
61, 119
8,464
50, 799
5,809

5, 335 -2.9
67, 509 +10. 5
7,300 -13.8
58, 419 +15.0
6,075 +4.6

2,239
25, 273
685
56, 624
5,528

3,472
2,575 +15.0
3,700 +6.6
107, 977 109, 600 +1.5
25, 273
719 +5.0 16, 436 17, 360 +5.6
59, 455 +5.0 14, 708 20, 000 +36.0
5, 528
584 -17.4
707

Lumber and forest products
Petroleum and petroleum products..
Sugar, sirup, and molasses
Iron and steel.
Machinery and boilers

35, 238
57, 022
1,687
5,432
1,217

32, 261
58, 732
1,771
5,535
1,193

21
22
23
24

Cement
Brick and clay products
Lime and plaster
Agricultural implements and vehicles,
other than automobiles

16, 331
9,369
3,748

16, 658 +2.0
11, 055 +18.0
3,700 -1.3

25
26
27
28
29

Automobiles, trucks, and parts
Fertilizers, all kinds
Paper, paper board, and prepared roofing.
Chemicals and1explosives
Canned goods
_

6,746

Total, all commodities listed

642

625

-8.4
+3.0
+5.0
+1.9
-2.0

-2.6

14, 403 +113. 5

461, 779 472, 233

88, 449 91, 102 +3.0
190, 532 198, 153 +4.0
7,457 +10.0
6,779
4,625 +5.0
4,405
1,010 +10.0
918

8,121
8,989
5,132
287

1,500
4,424
2,518
1,505
1,178

8,527 +5.0
9,438 +5.0
5,645 +10.0

287

1,875 +25.0
4,424
2,518
1,580 +5.0
1,237 +5.0

+2.3 672, 834 683, 672

Digitized for FRASER
http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

984
11, 890
2,222
61, 977

82, 000 -36.7
42, 400 +3.5
4,500 -12.0

984
9,500 -20.1
1,800 -19.0
62,000

20,810
3,142
2,106
3,437
870

19, 950 -4.1
3,142
2,200 +4.5
3,000 -12.7
870

+4.3
+6.0

2,981
2,144
590

2,800 -6.1
1,887 -12.0
500 -15.3

+5.0

1,396

1,288

28,000 +49.3
4,014 -20.0
17,700 +3.0
5,326 +5.0
16, 100 +12.0

2,024
681
3,289
113
1,525

2,700 +33.4
650 -4.6
3,100 -5.7
113
1,450 -4.9

73, 014
37, 150
6,678
63, 711
10, 253

75, 058 +2.8
40, 865 +10.0
6,678
64, 412 +1.1
11, 278 +10.0

20, 137
25, 119
6,834

21,000
26, 626
6,834

13, 917

14, 613

18, 753
5,017
17, 185
5,072
14, 378

-2.7

+1.3

District No. 11
PACIFIC COAST

520,65li 486,360

-6.6

11, 094
7,052
5,800

9,880
6,175
5,300

-10.9
-12.4
-8.6

14, 725 +3.6
38, 200 +6.7
2,800 +10.0
24,800 -4.2
21,000 +3.7

31, 913
3,056
2,196
3,789

26, 572
3,065
2,118
3,750

— 16 7

681
7,915
37, 537
45, 938

690
7,150
39,800
46, 600

1,260
12, 860
5,902
4,401

1,283
13, 400
6,457
4,500

+1.8
+4.2
+9.4
+2.2
-0.5
+9.4
+16.7
+1.3
+2.3

4,924
8,143
6,619
4,343
1,454

4,930 +0.1
8,145
6,400 -3.3
7,650 +76.1
2,550 +75.4

14, 216
35, 801
2,546
25, 883
20, 253

+1.3
-9.7
+6.0
+1.4

5,800
25, 870
7,600
1,900
310

-5.0
-5.7
-6.7

56,163
41, 470
7,781
5,120

58, 970 +5.0 199, 507 198, 523
43, 500 +4.9 12, 533 13, 717
42
7,900 +1.5
49
704
713
5,800 +13.3
573
560

4,190
999

4,400
1,040

+5.0
+4.1

14, 598
3,523

14,000
3,500

670

670

910

910

2,060

1,315

2,151
2,592
-6.6 ! 10,207

1,408

-7.7

District No. 14
PACIFIC NORTHWEST

5, 803
27, 225
8,060
2,037
310

+1.6 362, 758 365, 339

i All canned-food products, including catsup, jams, jellies, olives, pickles, preserves, etc*

5,123
2,148 -58.1
4,938
4,276 -13.4
6,792 -3.9
7,067
110, 898 105, 353 -5.0

+7. 1 1,308,7251,325,727

2,000 -12.4
556 -60.0
625 -7.3
52, 407 -17.0

_ _ .

87, 261 -8.0 129, 570
33, 726 +5.0 40, 983
10, 783 +20.0
5,115

13, 793 12, 690 -8.0
5,858
5,800 -1.0
520, 000 551, 200 +6.0 36, 104 36, 826 +2.0
55, 416 55, 416
173, 196 190, 000 +9.7
+5.2 137, 986 117, 300 -15.0
7,445
6,701 -10.0
278
278
199
199

2,282
1,390
674
63, 141

+50.0
+25.0
-10.0
+10.0

94, 898
32,120
8,990

District No. 3
NORTHWEST

+7.5

20, 140

+1.9 1,127,107 1,207,035

District No. 7
SOUTHWEST

36, 122
18, 641
4,615
102, 440
50,485

3,410

-8.6

District No. 1
MID- WEST

-4.1
-0.7

3,418
1,136
227

2,675 +29.7
2,200
2,560
10, 700

+0.7 361, 920 377, 245

+0.3
-3.5
-1.0

3,082
950
230

-9.8
-16.4
+1.3

81

90

+11.1

920
656
2,762
220
5,209

1,058
665
3,686
297
4,448

+15.0
+1.4
+33.5
+35.0
-14.6

+4.2 317, 298 310, 581

-2.1

+2.3
-1.2
+4.8

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