Assignment on Foreign Direct Investment in Romania
For the course International Business & Strategy Chiriac Alexandra (MBA 2013-2014)
1. FDI evolution in Romania Romania is a post-communist country, which started its transition towards capitalism after 1990. In the first years of transition, the volume of FDI was very low in Romania, on one hand due to the slow pace of privatization and restructuring and on the other hand because there was no strategy towards attracting FDI. Over time, foreign investors have been able to valorize relatively large profit opportunities in Romania, either through the greenfield investments or through mergers and acquisitions. The graph presented below illustrates a very low amount of FDI until 1996. The level of inflows at that time was around $264 million. Afterward started a period with unstable legislation but the privatization offer increased significantly, so the amount of FDI inflows started growing. The amount of FDI in 1997 was 5 times higher than in the previous year. This indicate that the privatization process accelerated and Romania was more open to foreign investors. Joining NATO in 2004 and becoming a member of European Union in 2007, had a positive impact on FDI. Romania was forced to harmonize its legislation and economic practices with those of EU. This also convinced foreign investors that the country has a stable economy and the FDI inflows reached a level of $11.367 million in 2006.
It can be seen from Table 1. And Table 2. that there are big differences between the volume of FDI outflows and FDI inflows. The maximum values of FDI outflows were reached between 2006 and 2008. In 2002, was founded the Romanian Agency for Foreign Investment (ARIS). Its mission was to attract, retain and grow foreign direct investments in the domestic economy. From the graph below, we can conclude that ARIS Agency had a positive impact in attracting FDI. The FDI inflows reached a maximum level of almost $14 billion in 2008. The economic crisis had also affected the FDI inflows which started decreasing to only $4,8 billion in 2009. In 2009, ARIS stopped its activity. In the next years, foreign investments continue to register a slow decrease and in 2012 the volume of FDI was only $2,2 billion.
Table 2. FDI evolution in Romania (2002-2012) Source: adapted from UNCTADSTAT, FDI database (Measure US$ millions)
2. FDI distribution in Romania FDI is distributed uneven over the country, most of it being absorbed by Bucharest-Ilfov region, which represents the capital of Romania. This concentration of FDI is normal, given the fact that the capital concentrate an important percentage of the countrys population, represents the main economic center, the main research and education center and have the largest number of skilled labor in the country. Some of the regions presented in the diagram below that benefit also from FDI inflows are: the CENTRE region with 7.8 percent, followed by the WEST region with 7.6 percent and the SOUTH-MUNTENIA region with 7.2 percent. (NBR, FDI report 2013)
Chart 3. FDI distribution by Regions in 2012 Source: National Bank of Romania, FDI report 2012 1158 1141 2196 6436 6483 11367 9921 13909 4844 2940 2523 2242 0 5000 10000 15000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 FDI inflows 2001-2012 FDI inflows 60,6 7,8 7,6 7,2 5,5 4,8 3,5 3 FDI by Regions in 2012 (in percentages) Bucharest-Ilfov Centre West South-Muntenia South-East North-West South-West-Oltenia North-East 4
The graphic representation of FDI by economic activity, shows that the main flows were concentrated primarily to manufacturing with 31.3 percent of total, out of which the principal recipients were: oil processing, chemicals, rubber, plastic products, transport means, metallurgy food, beverages, tobacco, cement, glassware and ceramics. Further activities that have also attracted significant FDI are financial intermediation and insurance with 18.5 percent of total FDI, trade 11.4 percent, construction and real estate transactions 9.2 percent, information technology and communications only 4.8 percent. (NBR, FDI report 2012) Chart 4. FDI distribution by Sector of Activity 2012 Source: NBR, FDI report 2012 Foreign direct investments are spread out across all the sectors of the economy, and investors come mainly from Europe. Romania attracts foreign investors because of the low wage costs and well-trained workforce. Multinational companies can use their already formed links to import and export products in and from Romania, in this way the Romanian economy increases in the world economy. FDI inflows by country of origin shows that the major investors of Romania come from countries members of European Union. We can see from the chart that over 50% of the FDI inflows come from only 3 countries: Netherlands, Austria and Germany. The analyze of the FDI reports of NBR shows that these countries have been the main investors for the last five years. (NBR, FDI reports) Among the businesses that Netherlands own in Romania include ING Bank or insurance 31,3 5,5 9,7 18,5 11,4 2,4 9,2 1,5 0,6 4,8 4,7 0,4 FDI by Sector of Activity 2012 ( in percentages)
Manufacturing Mining Electricity, natural gas and water Financial intermediation Trade Agriculture Construction and Real Estate transaction Transportation Hotels and restaurants IT and Communications Professional and administrative services Other 5
company Aegon. Dutch investors have business in different areas such as transportation systems within enterprises or production of equipment for food industry. Austria has invested large amounts of money over the years by companies such as OMV Petrom, Baumax, kika, Vienna Insurance, AGRANA, UNIQA and Strabag. Austrians are very present also in the domestic banking institutions such as BCR (Erste Bank shareholder), Raiffeisen Bank and Volksbank. Germany has in Romania in particular businesses in automotive components. Examples of Businesses of Germans are Lidl, Allianz Tiriac, Siemens, Praktiker, Hornbach, Metro, Continental, Draxlmaier and Bosch. Chart 5. FDI in Romania by country of origin in 2012 Source: NBR, FDI report 2012 3. Romanias Investment Policy In Romania it doesnt exist anymore an investment promotion agency. In 2002, it was created the Romanian Agency for Foreign Investments which was responsible for providing foreign investors professional, free of charge consultative services and attract, retain and grow foreign direct investments in the domestic economy.(www.traderomania.net, 2014) The ARIS Agency was abolished in 2009, even that between 2002 and 2009 the FDI inflows registered a positive evolution. Activity of the institution was transferred to the Ministry of Economy. The main factors that attract FDI in Romania is relatively low cost of labor, the high level of skills, market size, the legal environment, non-discriminatory and attractive for foreign 22,4 18,5 11 8,9 5 4,5 4,3 3,7 3,1 18,6 FDI by country of origin 2012 (in percentages) Netherlands Austria Germany France Italy Cyprus Greece Switzerland USA Others 6
investment, the low cost of raw materials and utilities and the open attitude of local and central authorities towards the foreign investors.(Chirila E, 2011)
4. Mergers & Acquisitions market in Romania In 2012, the M&A market in Romania did not register an important evolution. The main progress was in sectors like Energy, TMT (Technology, Media and Telecommunication), Agriculture and Financial Services. The Energy sector, with a particular attention in both oil & gas and alternative energy source, had a positive growth and generated a considerable amount of M&A activity in 2012. One of the largest deals signed in Romania in 2012 for the energy sector was the acquisition of the EnergoBit Group, a Romanian supplier of electrical networks to the power sector, by Innova Capital a leading Central European private equity fund, along with EBRD. (www.innovacap.com, 2014) Other notable deals in 2012 included MetLifes acquisition of Aviva Romania Life and Pensions and the sale of 92.4% stake in MKB Nextebank, the Romania based commercial bank, to a consortium of investors led by PineBridge Investments LLC, the US based asset management firm. (CMS, Emerging Europe: M&A report 2012) Economists forecast state that agriculture and IT will be the main areas of interest for foreign investors in 2014. The main interest of foreign investment is to purchase land and farms and also cultivate them, because there are large areas of land that can be included in the bio culture, which would raise the price of the final products. In the past years there were registered several significant investments, which are related to the privatization of different huge state owned companies. One important acquisition was in 2001 when Mittal Steel Company based in Rotterdam bought the majority share in the SIDEX steel plant at Galati, which is the largest in South-East Europe. At the moment of acquisition, the plant recorded daily losses of one million dollars. After four years of privatization, Mittal Steel Galati became the largest private company in Romania. Plant turnover reached $ 2.1 billion in 2004.(www.wall-street.ro, 2014) 7
Another important transaction was the privatization of Romanian Commercial Bank the largest one in Romania. The privatization process started in 2002 and finished in 2006 when Austrian bank Erste Bank paid 3.75 billion euros for 61,88% of the shares, 5.8 times more than the accounting value of BCR, and 20 times more than the net prot of BCR. (Gaviletea Marius, 2007) In 2004 the Austrian company OMV acquired in a privatization process 51% of the Romanian national oil company Petrom.(Barsan M, Buiga A, 2008) Currently the OMV Petrom is the most valuable private company in Romania with a turnover of 4, 3 billion euros in 2012. (www.actmedia.eu, 2014) Bibliography : Birsan M, Buiga A, FDI in Romania: evolution and main types of large firms in the manufacturing sector, OECD Global Forum on International Investment, 2008 Chirila Donciu Elena, Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment Development, CES Working Papers Volume V, Issue 4, 2011 CMS, Emerging Europe: M&A Report, 2012 Gaviletea Marius, Short analysis of Romanian banking sector after BCR privatization, 2007 (181- 190) National Bank of Romania, FDI Annual Report, 2004-2012 UNCTADSTAT, Inward and Outward FDI flows, annual, 1990-2012 www.innovacap.com, 2014 www.wall-street.ro, 2014 www.actmedia.eu, 2014 www.traderomania.net, 2014