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This paper is a comprehensive financial review of the financial evaluation of the stock value of Lorillard Co. in comparison to both Industry averages and lead competitor Altria Group.
This paper is a comprehensive financial review of the financial evaluation of the stock value of Lorillard Co. in comparison to both Industry averages and lead competitor Altria Group.
This paper is a comprehensive financial review of the financial evaluation of the stock value of Lorillard Co. in comparison to both Industry averages and lead competitor Altria Group.
Lorillard (NYSE: LO) is the third largest tobacco company in the US and the oldest company on the New York Stock Exchange. Lorillard was founded in 1760, 15 years before the start of the Revolutionary War. The founder of Lorillard, Pierre Abraham Lorillard, was a staunch 2 anti-loyalist. He was killed by British troops in 1776, during Britains occupation of New York. Lorillard went on to help finance the Revolutionary War. Lorillard has existed in one form or another over the past 250 years. At one point, it was part of a trust known as the American Tobacco Company. The American Tobacco Company was indicted under the Sherman Antitrust Act in 1908. It was ordered to dissolve in 1911, the same day that Standard Oil was ordered to dissolve. Today, Lorillard is best known for producing Newport, Kent, and Old Gold cigarettes. The Newport brand makes up for 88.3% of Lorillard's cigarette sales and 85% of total sales. In 2012, Lorillard bought Blu eCigs for $135 million USD. At the time, this was the first acquisition of an e-cigarette company by a major tobacco company. It should be noted however that it is not unusual for cigarette companies to own subsidiaries that sell products to help consumers quit smoking, such as nicotine patches and nicotine gum. Lorillard has two major competitors and several smaller competitors. Its biggest competitor is Altria Group, which was formerly known as Philip Morris. They are the makers of Marlboro cigarettes and the largest tobacco company in the US. The next biggest competitor is RJ Philips. They are the makers of Camel cigarettes and the second largest tobacco company in the US. In addition to these competitors, there are several up and coming electronic cigarette companies coming up which pose a serious risk to everyone in the traditional cigarette industry. Part of the reason why Lorillard bought Blu eCigs, which currently holds 48% of the market, was to give them a major competitor against other electronic cigarette companies.
Management and Shareholders Six men make up the senior management team of Lorillard: Murray Kessler President and CEO David Taylor Executive Vice President, Finance, Planning, and Chief Financial Officer 3 Ronald Milstein Executive Vice President, Legal and External Affairs, General Counsel, and Secretary Charles Henninghausen Executive Vice President and Production Operations Randy Spell Executive Vice President, Marketing and Sales Anthony Petitt Vice President, Controller and Chief Accounting Officer Some of the men that make up the senior management team come from other cigarette companies such as Altria Group. Murray formerly served as vice chair for Altria Group and he was the CEO and president of US Smokeless Tobacco when they acquired Ste. Michelle Wine Estates. In addition to his experience in the cigarette industry, he has years of experience in the consumer goods industry. Another interesting name on the list of managers is Anthony Petitt. Pettit worked as a controller and financial/accounting officer for companies in many different industries. He was originally a CPA in Arthur Anderson, which is known for its role in the Waste Management and Enron scandals. There are nine people on the board of directors. The chairman of the board is Murray Kessler, who also serves as the president and CEO of Lorillard. Seven of the nine hold the title of director. The remaining one is the lead independent director. The lead independent director, Virgis Colbert, has years of experience in the consumer goods and banking industries. He is a member of the NAACP and served as an officer for several non-profits, which sought the advancement of minorities in society. There are 362 million shares of Lorillard outstanding currently. Only seven institutions own more than 2% of Lorillard. These companies Include: American Funds Capital, MFS Value, Vanguard Total Stock, Fidelity, SunAmerica, and Federated Strategic Value. Fidelity and Vanguard have multiple companies that invest in Lorillard. Altogether, there are just under 1,000 different investors in Lorillard.
Major Challenges
4 Tobacco Related Liability Litigation and difficulty estimating potential losses o Litigation seeking compensatory and punitive damages range in the billions of dollars (Pg. 41). Health Care Compensation o Lorillard has to pay 46 states currently to help with health care costs and other allegations that tobacco products have caused. "The State Settlement Agreements require us and the other Original Participating Manufacturers (Philip Morris, RJR Tobacco and Brown & Williamson Tobacco Corporation (now an affiliate of RJR Tobacco)) to make aggregate annual payments of $10.4 billion in perpetuity" (Pg. 52). Advertising Restriction o Lorillard ultimately lost a lawsuit that eventually made it all the way to the Supreme Court regarding bans on advertising, restriction on the placement of outdoor advertising, distribution of product samples, and other restrictions. According to Lorillard: "We believe our ability to compete even more effectively has been restrained in some marketing areas as a result of retail merchandising contracts offered by Philip Morris USA and RJR Tobacco which limit the retail shelf space available to our brands. As a result, in some retail locations we are limited in competitively supporting our promotional programs, which may constrain sales" (Page 44). Potential Ban of Menthol o The FDA has received permission to regulate the sales of cigarettes and have discussed a ban on menthol in cigarettes. One of Lorillards best-selling products are their Newport Cigarettes, specifically menthol's. Newport makes up 88.3% of Lorillard's cigarette sales and 85% of their total sales. Increasing tax rate 5 o Substantial tax rates are reflected in the increasing retail price of Lorillard's cigarettes. Cigarette prices have also steadily increased since 1998 due to the volume and discount of "deep discount cigarettes" (Pg. 41).
Major Opportunities E-Cigarette Market o Lorillard purchased E-Cigs and the fair value ascribed to the SKYCIG brand in connection with the acquisition of $33 million is being amortized over an estimated life of 18 months beginning October 1, 2013 after which amortization charges related to the brand will cease (Pg. 48). Not only will the amortization cease, but revenue associated with the brand could skyrocket as eCigs are gaining popularity over traditional cigarettes. Their current retail market share in the electronic cigarette market is 47%. Advertising Expenses will drop next year, as the E-Cig rollout campaign was extremely expensive. Lawsuit Victory o Lorillard won a lawsuit concerning regulations that reacquire specific graphic warning labels on all packaging and advertising after successfully arguing that those requirements were unconstitutional (Pg. 43).
Financial Statements Lorillard currently employs Deloitte and Touche LLP to perform the independent audit of their financial statements. Deloitte and Touche's objective is to certify that Lorillard's financial statements are "in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States." The audit they perform must be in accordance with the standards of the Public Accounting Oversight Board (PAOB). Deloitte is also responsible for evaluating Lorillards ability to continue for a reasonable time as a going concern. While it is the responsibility of management at Lorillard to prepare the financial statements, the certification of Deloitte 6 and Touche provides confidence to users in the capital markets that the financial statements are free of material misstatements. If Deloitte and Touche find material misstatements during the audit, they are responsible for bringing it to the attention of the appropriate level of Lorillard management. If the material misstatements are fraudulent in nature and they involve senior management, those responsible for corporate governance at Lorillard must be notified. In 2013, Deloitte and Touch certified the financial statements of Lorillard by expressing an unqualified opinion on the companys internal control over financial reporting. Murray S. Kessler serves as the Chairman of the Board (COB), President, and Chief Executive Officer (CEO) at Lorillard. David H. Taylor serves as Executive Vice President of Finance and Planning, as well as Chief Financial Officer (CFO) at Lorillard. Both are responsible for certifying that the annual report and the financial statements fully complies with the requirements of Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934. They also certify that the information contained in the Report fairly presents, in all material respects, the financial condition and results of operations of the company. The signing officers are also responsible for establishing and maintaining internal controls as is required by the Sarbanes- Oxley Act of 2002.
Financial Ratio Analysis
Profitability:
Based on table 1's profitability ratios, Lorillard is performing below one of their top competitors, Altria. The ROE ratio has been negative since 2011, but is showing steady improvement, reaching -57.17% in 2013. Based on this increase, Lorillard has improved its 7 return on investments over the past three years. However, while the ROE has improved, it is still a negative value. A firm needs both a positive ROE and ROA to grow. The return on assets has not shown consistent growth over the past three years, which is an indication of possible decline. Even with this possible decline, Lorillard was already in a strong position when it came to asset utilization, especially compared to Altria.
Liquidity:
According to table 2, Lorillard has liquidity ratios that are greater than one. This indicates that the firm is in good financial health and less likely to fall into financial struggle. Net working capital also indicates that Lorillard has sufficient working capital to meet its short-term obligations and liabilities. This ratio is also indicates that Lorillard has a substantial amount of capital safeguarding the company from any unpredictable major shifts in the market.
Solvency:
While examining table 3, the book debt-equity ratio of Lorillard appears to be extremely healthy, but it is not a viable indicator of the true solvency of the firm's debt-equity. Through examining the market debt-equity there are relatively similar ratios between Lorillard and the industry leader, Altria. It's important to note that in 2013 Lorillard spent $795 million to buy back stock resulting in a total cash return to shareholders in 2013 of $1.295 billion USD.
8
Asset Utilization:
Table 4 contains information about Lorillard's use of assets. Lorillard's ability to turn their inventory significantly faster than the competition is a good indication that they have strong management in place. The high asset utilization ratios means that Lorillard knows how to convert their assets into inventory, then into revenue, and turn it back into assets and inventory faster than their competitors. Lorillard also has an extremely high receivable turnover ratio, which means that they have no problem collecting funds. This ability is a strength indicator of the firms management and operations abilities.
Market Valuation:
Lorillards market to book ratio, while negative and lower in comparison to Altrias, the dramatic increase over the past three years indicates that value investors perceive stock as being undervalued in comparison to other stocks in its industry. Lorillards 3:1 stock split in January of 2013 was in attempt to broaden its potential investor market by lowering their stock price to align with the prices of industry leaders such as Altria.
Market Analysis Analyst Projections-Lorillard (Table: 6) End Year 2014 9 Source Yahoo! Nasdaq.com Bloomberg Earnings Per Share 3.03 3.44 3.451 Price to Earnings 18.82 16.56 16.4996 Projected Stock Price 57.0246 56.9664 56.9401196
In regards to investing in the tobacco industry market, an appealing attribute is consistent dividend payments. Lorillards historical dividend payouts are consistent with this trend. With overall cigarette market sales in a decline due to increased adversity as a result of a host of factors, firms such as Lorillard are actively in pursuit of alternative investment opportunities. Lorillard spotted opportunity in the electronic cigarette company blu eCig which holds a 48% market share of a rapidly growing industry. Financial ratios indicate that Lorillards management and investing operations in regards to asset utilization, solvency and liquidity indicate suitable management of operations and investing activities. However managements discussion and analysis in the 2013s annual report are aligned with our findings. While the cigarette market offers steady yields to investors, the price of such consistency comes at the cost of investing in a highly volatile market. This risk is repeatedly stated in the managements discussions portion of the annual report. The uncertainty relevant to the concerns addressed will ultimately have an effect on the company. However the level of impact of each of these concerns are currently indeterminable. At this point in time we do not recommend investing in Lorillard. This opinion is consistent with many other analyst reports that the stock will remain stagnant in the near-term. Growth potential is possible, however the current risk in purchasing stock today is not worth the reward, to this we recommended potential investors in Lorillard to take a wait and see approach until outcomes are decided. (Lorillard 2011, 2012 & 2013 Financial Statements) LORILLARD, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES 10 CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
December 31, (In millions, except per share data) 2011 2010 ASSETS:
Cash and cash equivalents $ 1,634 $ 2,063 Accounts receivable, less allowances of $2 and $3 10 9 Other receivables 83 68 Inventories 277 277 Deferred income taxes 535 503 Other current assets 25 15
Total current assets 2,564 2,935 Plant and equipment, net 262 243 Prepaid pension assets 66 Deferred income taxes 54 6 Other assets 128 46
Total assets $ 3,008 $ 3,296
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS DEFICIT:
Accounts and drafts payable $ 32 $ 27 Accrued liabilities 296 333 Settlement costs 1,151 1,060 Income taxes 6 6
Total current liabilities 1,485 1,426 Long-term debt 2,595 1,769 Postretirement pension, medical and life insurance benefits 388 284 Other liabilities 53 42
Total liabilities 4,521 3,521
Commitments and Contingent Liabilities
Shareholders Deficit:
Preferred stock, $0.01 par value, authorized 10 million shares Common stock:
Authorized 600 million shares; par value$.01 per share Issued 175 million and 174 million shares (outstanding 132 million and 147 million shares) 2 2 Additional paid-in capital 266 242 Retained earnings 2,059 1,666 Accumulated other comprehensive loss (228 ) (109 ) Treasury stock at cost, 43 million and 27 million shares (3,612 ) (2,026 )
Total shareholders deficit (1,513 ) (225 )
Total liabilities and shareholders deficit $ 3,008 $ 3,296
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Table of Contents LORILLARD, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
Year Ended December 31, (In millions, except per share data) 2011 2010 2009 Net sales (including excise taxes of $2,014, $1,879 and $1,547) $ 6,466 $ 5,932 $ 5,233 Cost of sales 4,123 3,809 3,327
Gross profit 2,343 2,123 1,906 Selling, general and administrative 451 398 365
Operating income 1,892 1,725 1,541 Investment income 3 4 5 Interest expense (125 ) (94 ) (27 )
Income before income taxes 1,770 1,635 1,519 Income taxes 654 606 571
Net income $ 1,116 $ 1,029 $ 948
Earnings per share:
Basic $ 8.00 $ 6.78 $ 5.76 Diluted $ 7.99 $ 6.78 $ 5.76 Weighted average number of shares outstanding:
12 LORILLARD, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
December 31, (In millions, except per share data) 2012 2011 ASSETS:
Cash and cash equivalents $ 1,720 $ 1,634 Accounts receivable, less allowances of $3 and $2 18 10 Other receivables 52 83 Inventories 410 277 Deferred income taxes 557 535 Other current assets 20 25
Total current assets 2,777 2,564 Plant and equipment, net 298 262 Goodwill 64 Intangible assets 57 Deferred income taxes 48 54 Other assets 152 128
Total assets $ 3,396 $ 3,008
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS DEFICIT:
Accounts and drafts payable $ 39 $ 32 Accrued liabilities 356 296 Settlement costs 1,183 1,151 Income taxes 23 6
Total current liabilities 1,601 1,485 Long-term debt 3,111 2,595 Postretirement pension, medical and life insurance benefits 409 388 Other liabilities 52 53
Total liabilities 5,173 4,521
Commitments and Contingent Liabilities
Shareholders Deficit:
Preferred stock, $0.01 par value, authorized 10 million shares Common stock:
Authorized 600 million shares; par value$.01 per share Issued 525 million and 525 million shares (outstanding 382 million and 396 million shares) 5 5 Additional paid-in capital 298 263 Retained earnings 2,351 2,059 Accumulated other comprehensive loss (241 ) (228 ) Treasury stock at cost, 143 million and 129 million shares (4,190 ) (3,612 )
Total shareholders deficit (1,777 ) (1,513 )
Total liabilities and shareholders deficit $ 3,396 $ 3,008
13
Table of Contents LORILLARD, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
Year Ended December 31, (In millions, except per share data) 2012 2011 2010 Net sales (including excise taxes of $1,987, $2,014 and $1,879) $ 6,623 $ 6,466 $ 5,932 Cost of sales (including excise taxes of $1,987, $2,014 and $1,879) 4,241 4,123 3,809
Gross profit 2,382 2,343 2,123 Selling, general and administrative 504 451 398
Operating income 1,878 1,892 1,725 Investment income 4 3 4 Interest expense (154 ) (125 ) (94 )
Income before income taxes 1,728 1,770 1,635 Income taxes 629 654 606
Net income $ 1,099 $ 1,116 $ 1,029
Earnings per share:
Basic $ 2.82 $ 2.67 $ 2.26 Diluted $ 2.81 $ 2.66 $ 2.25 Weighted average number of shares outstanding:
LORILLARD, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
Year Ended December 31, (In millions, except per share data) 2012 2011 2010 Net income $ 1,099 $ 1,116 $ 1,029
Other comprehensive income, net of tax:
Defined benefit retirement plans gain (loss), net of tax expense (benefit) of $(4), $(64) and $6 (13 ) (119 ) 12
Other comprehensive income (loss) (13 ) (119 ) 12
Comprehensive income $ 1,086 $ 997 $ 1,041
15 LORILLARD, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
December 31, (In millions, except share and per share data) 2013 2012 ASSETS:
Cash and cash equivalents $ 1,454 $ 1,720 Short-term investments 157 Accounts receivable, less allowances of $3 and $3 19 18 Other receivables 29 52 Inventories 499 410 Deferred income taxes 555 557 Other current assets 23 20
Total current assets 2,736 2,777 Plant and equipment, net 316 298 Long-term investments 93 Goodwill 102 64 Intangible assets, net 87 57 Deferred income taxes 51 48 Other assets 151 152
Total assets $ 3,536 $ 3,396
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS DEFICIT:
Accounts and drafts payable $ 42 $ 39 Accrued liabilities 377 356 Settlement costs 1,224 1,183 Income taxes 8 23
Total current liabilities 1,651 1,601 Long-term debt 3,560 3,111 Postretirement pension, medical and life insurance benefits 305 409 Other liabilities 84 52
Total liabilities 5,600 5,173
Commitments and Contingent Liabilities
Shareholders Deficit:
Preferred stock, $0.01 par value, authorized 10 million shares Common stock:
Authorized600 million shares; par value$.01 per share
Issued382 million and 525 million shares (outstanding 365 million and 382 million shares) 4 5 Additional paid-in capital 256 298 Retained earnings (deficit) (1,438 ) 2,351 Accumulated other comprehensive loss (130 ) (241 ) Treasury stock at cost, 17 million and 143 million shares (756 ) (4,190 )
Total shareholders deficit (2,064 ) (1,777 )
Total liabilities and shareholders deficit $ 3,536 $ 3,396
See Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements
58 16
Table of Contents LORILLARD, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
Year Ended December 31, (In millions, except per share data) 2013 2012 2011 Net sales (including excise taxes of $1,978, $1,987, and $2,014) $ 6,950 $ 6,623 $ 6,466 Cost of sales (including excise taxes of $1,978, $1,987, and $2,014) 4,231 4,241 4,123
Gross profit 2,719 2,382 2,343 Selling, general and administrative 665 504 451
Operating income 2,054 1,878 1,892 Investment income 2 4 3 Interest expense (172 ) (154 ) (125 )
Income before income taxes 1,884 1,728 1,770 Income taxes 704 629 654
Net income $ 1,180 $ 1,099 $ 1,116
Earnings per share:
Basic $ 3.15 $ 2.82 $ 2.67 Diluted $ 3.15 $ 2.81 $ 2.66 Weighted average number of shares outstanding:
LORILLARD, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
Year Ended December 31, (In millions, except per share data) 2013 2012 2011 Net income $ 1,180 $ 1,099 $ 1,116
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax:
Defined benefit retirement plans gain (loss), net of tax expense (benefit) of $41, $(4), and $(64) 110 (13 ) (119 ) Foreign currency translation adjustments, net of tax expense (benefit) of $-, $- and $- 1
Other comprehensive income (loss) 111 (13 ) (119 )
Comprehensive income $ 1,291 $ 1,086 $ 997
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