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Departamentos Futura

Numero de unidades a alquilar 35


alquiler por unidad $500.00
gastos mensuales $15,000.00
Ganancia o Prdida $2,500.00
Using Crystal Ball, cont.
This model also includes a Crystal Ball forecast, the Profit or Loss for the month, shown in light blue. Forecasts are equati
Using Crystal Ball, cont.
This model also includes a Crystal Ball forecast, the Profit or Loss for the month, shown in light blue. Forecasts are equati
or outputs, that you want to analyze after a simulation. During a simulation, Crystal Ball saves the values in the forecast c
and displays them in a forecast chart, which is a histogram of the simulated values. To view the forecast with Crystal Ball,
highlight the cell and either select Define Forecast from the Define menu or click on the Define Forecast button on the toolb

When you run a simulation, Crystal Ball generates a random number for each assumption (based on how the assumption has
been defined) and places that new value in the cell. Excel then recalculates the model. You can test this by selecting Single
Step from the Run menu or clicking on the Single Step button on the toolbar.

After you run a simulation, you will see the Profit or Loss forecast chart. You can view the statistics or percentile values
run, or you can enter values into the input fields on the frequency chart view. What is the chance that you will make at leas
$2500 per month? What is the chance you will lose money? (Hint: enter a number into the lower left field and use the Enter
button on your keyboard to accept the value.) Would you feel comfortable making an investment into Futura Apartments?

To view which of the two assumptions had the greatest impact on the forecast, use a sensitivity chart. Which variable causes
the most variation in the target forecast? Can you somehow reduce this source of uncertainty and improve your overall
forecast? Change the assumption parameters or the assumption types, run a new simulation (hint: don't forget to hit the reset
button before beginning a new simulation!), and compare the results. You can also generate a report by selecting Create
Report from the Analyze menu or clicking on the Create Report button on the toolbar.

Additional Resources
If you have Crystal Ball installed, you can run a simulation on this model. If you do not have a copy of Crystal Ball, you ca
download a free, time-limited evaluation version from the Crystal Ball Web site:

http://www.crystalball.com/downloadform.html

For other model resources and information, visit: http://models.crystalball.com.

Copyright and Contact Information
Copyright 2004, 2007, Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

Oracle is a registered trademark of Oracle Corporation and/or its affiliates. Other names
may be trademarks of their respective owners.

For questions concerning this model or the Crystal Ball software, contact the closest office listed on our Web site
(http://www.crystalball.com) or send an email to sales@crystalball.com. If you have a technical problem with this model, plea
contact our support Help Desk: helpdesk@crystalball.com.

This model also includes a Crystal Ball forecast, the Profit or Loss for the month, shown in light blue. Forecasts are equations,
This model also includes a Crystal Ball forecast, the Profit or Loss for the month, shown in light blue. Forecasts are equations,
or outputs, that you want to analyze after a simulation. During a simulation, Crystal Ball saves the values in the forecast cells
and displays them in a forecast chart, which is a histogram of the simulated values. To view the forecast with Crystal Ball,
highlight the cell and either select Define Forecast from the Define menu or click on the Define Forecast button on the toolbar.
When you run a simulation, Crystal Ball generates a random number for each assumption (based on how the assumption has
been defined) and places that new value in the cell. Excel then recalculates the model. You can test this by selecting Single
After you run a simulation, you will see the Profit or Loss forecast chart. You can view the statistics or percentile values of the
run, or you can enter values into the input fields on the frequency chart view. What is the chance that you will make at least
$2500 per month? What is the chance you will lose money? (Hint: enter a number into the lower left field and use the Enter
button on your keyboard to accept the value.) Would you feel comfortable making an investment into Futura Apartments?
To view which of the two assumptions had the greatest impact on the forecast, use a sensitivity chart. Which variable causes
the most variation in the target forecast? Can you somehow reduce this source of uncertainty and improve your overall
forecast? Change the assumption parameters or the assumption types, run a new simulation (hint: don't forget to hit the reset
button before beginning a new simulation!), and compare the results. You can also generate a report by selecting Create
If you have Crystal Ball installed, you can run a simulation on this model. If you do not have a copy of Crystal Ball, you can
For questions concerning this model or the Crystal Ball software, contact the closest office listed on our Web site
(http://www.crystalball.com) or send an email to sales@crystalball.com. If you have a technical problem with this model, please
230603774.xls.ms_office
Departamentos Futura
Numero de unidades a alquilar 35
alquiler por unidad $500.00
gastos mensuales $15,000.00
Ganancia o Prdida $2,500.00
Primer supuesto
Celda Pronstico
Segundo supuesto
Page 5