Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
2
Key concepts in legislation
• A plan to achieve:
- Universal access
- Maximum utilization
3
Plan will accelerate innovation and investment across the
broadband ecosystem
Applications &
Content
Adoption &
Utilization
Fixed and mobile
Consumers,
business, and
government
Devices
Network
Services
4
Challenges remain to closing the gaps and exploiting the
opportunities broadband offers
Sources: http://www.mediabistro.com/fishbowlny/original/Glass-of-water.jpg 5
Broadband penetration has increased since 2000
63
24
57
54
45
36 14
29
19 7
14
9 4
4 2
1
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Sources: Pew Internet and American Life surveys; Gartner March 2009 forecasts, Census bureau 6
Some gaps we will cover
• Spectrum gap
• National purposes gaps
7
Broadband infrastructure availability gap
Low-tier broadband
.768-3 Mbps
1-4
million
HUs
4-10M
HUs
3-6
million
HUs
No broadband
<.768 Mbps
Sources: 2009 Form 477 data; service provider, equipment manufacturer, and trade association filings 8
and publications; analyst reports; OBI analysis
Middle mile gap: Costs much higher in rural areas
- Comment on Blogband
from rural WISP2
25x
Urban Rural
1 Does not include costs already incurred (e.g., spectrum, prior plant build-out). Assumptions made with regard to
penetration rate, upgrade path, cost of equipment, maintenance, operations, urban/rural mix, length of fiber run,
and discount rate. Sources: Service provider, equipment manufacturer, and trade association filings and
publications; analyst reports; OBI analysis
2 http://blog.broadband.gov/?entryId=10657#comments 9
Current USF unlikely to fill gaps due to structural
problems
1 Majority of USF funding targets deployment and adoption of voice, not broadband
2 The 4 USF support programs are not coordinated to support broadband gaps
4 High cost funding determined by characteristics of firm, not broadband needs of area
5 Current system unsustainable; the contribution factor more than doubled since 2000
10
Efficiency gaps exist in infrastructure placement including
trenches, pole attachments, and rights of way
45,000 58,000
78%
8,000
5,000 22%
Sources:http://www.mckimcreed.com/newsletter/2009/summer/Manatee%20SCADA/540%20SW%20FO%20Conduit%2 11
0Trench%201.jpg, OBI analysis
There is a gap in the amount of information consumers
have about actual performance of broadband service
Download Speed
Mbps
7.0 • Lack of transparency
- Consumers lack
information about actual
performance
-56%
- Consumers cannot
compare performance
3.1 across providers
- Application providers
lack knowledge of
performance
ILLUSTRATIVE ONLY
Number of Competitors
Number of Competitors
13
Sources: Preliminary OBI analysis based on Form 477 and Telogical data
A dramatic increase in demand is driving a spectrum gap
Devices 80
60
450X
40
20
0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
30X
Source: TIA, Wilkofsky Gruen Associates from “TIA’s 2009 ICT Market Review and Forecast”.
Source: Cisco
397
129%
Unprecedented Mobile CAGR
Telemedicine 91
Civic Engagement
41
6 17
OTA radio 9%
OTA radio
1,320
listeners increase million
Approximate
Band First Step Available for Use
Lag Time
16
Merging video and the Internet will increase adoption
and utilization
TV and PC penetration
Percent of U.S. HHs
99
• TV is becoming an Internet
access device
TVs PCs
Source: Pew (Dec 2007); SNL/Kagan 17
But set top box innovation gap could hinder convergence
42x
63x
0.4 14
Operator-leased STBs Retail devices Total STBs (excluding leased) Mobile devices in 2008
1Total certified set tops per CableLabs excludes leased boxes (a major portion of market share). Mobile device
certification per OET. 18
Sources: NCTA
Adoption levels vary across demographic groups
• 71% of teens say Internet has been • Students not online at growing
Education primary source for recent school project disadvantage
Financial
records
Social Location- • Increasingly, personal
networking based data data is being digitized
data and stored in the cloud
21
Becoming a data-driven agency will enhance the FCC’s
capabilities
22
Different institutions/functionalities require different
levels of connectivity to improve performance
National Purposes
Government
Energy/ Performance/ Economic
Health Care Education Public Safety
Environment Civic Opportunity
Engagement
• Hospitals • Substations • Research • Federal • Community • Police
• Clinics • Transmission institutions government centers and • Fire
INSTITUTIONS
23
A complete ecosystem, not just connectivity, is
necessary to advance national priorities.
National Purposes
Government
Energy/ Performance/ Economic
Health Care Education Public Safety
Environment Civic Opportunity
Engagement
• Digital skills • Consumer • Digital skills • Social media • Applications • Ubiquitous,
for doctors access to for students tools and for small reliable
and staff energy and teachers open business interoperable
information government network(s)
• Health • Devices for platforms • IT support for
information • Building and students and small • Public safety
exchange home energy teachers • Robust public businesses applications
management media and software
• IT support applications • Blended content and • Community
learning delivery hubs with • Mobile,
• Mobile • Management systems connectivity interoperable
monitoring and • Telecom- devices for
devices verification • Innovation muting • Devices for first
for energy and scaling of ecosystem low-income responders
efficiency best practices and populations
• Patient savings distributed
privacy to access • Digital skills
facilities services for first
protections • Online
communities responders
• Digital skills
for target
populations
24
Using broadband for national priorities requires aligning
incentives
National Purposes
Government
Energy/ Performance/ Economic
Health Care Education Public Safety
Environment Civic Opportunity
Engagement
• Reimburse- • Incentives for • Flexibility in • Incentives for • Individual • Incentives to
ment based on energy seat-time innovation in benefits and use network
meaningful use efficiency requirements efficiency and support
performance linked to use • Incentives to
• Cross-state • Dynamic • Incentives for of broadband purchase
certification pricing digital content • Incentives to applications interoperable
regimes development provide devices and
• Common transparent • Aggregated applications
standards for • Usage and • Common and machine- demand for
interoperabil- price standards for readable data small
ity transparency interoperability businesses
25
Other gaps and barriers we are investigating
• Cybersecurity
• Benchmarking
• Tribal issues
• Improving FCC collection of data
• Disadvantaged business
• Mobile payments
• Tax Policy
• Data roaming
• Institutional gaps
• Technology
26
The road ahead: Public notices
27
The road ahead
28