Académique Documents
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CONTENTS
Page
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
ABSTRACT iv
LIST OF TABLES vii
LIST OF FIGURES ix
LIST OF ABBREVATIONS x
CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION 1
1.1 Background of study 1
1.2 Statement of the problem and importance of the study 3
1.3 Research question 4
1.4 Research objectives 4
CHAPTER II LITERATURE REVIEW 5
2.1 Theoretical and empirical discussion 5
2.1.1 Economic crisis and reproductive health access 5
2.1.2 Protecting access to reproductive health services. 7
2.2 Social Safety Net-Health Card Program In Indonesia 8
2.2.1 Program Design 8
2.2.2 Distribution and Implementation 9
2.3 Previous study 10
2.4 M&E framework and research conceptual framework 11
CHAPTER III DATA AND METHODOLOGY 13
3.1 Data 13
3.2 Operational Definitions 13
3.3 Methods 18
Fac. of Grad. Studies, Mahidol Univ. M.A. (Pop. & Repro. H. Res.)/vi
CONTENTS (CONT.)
Page
CHAPTER IV RESULT AND DISCUSSION 19
4.1 Descriptive analysis of health card ownership and utilization 19
4.2 Multivariate analysis 23
4.2.1 The Impact of health card ownership on antenatal care 26
4.2.2. Impact of health card ownership to place delivery 31
4.2.3. Impact of health card ownership to contraceptive use 36
CHAPTER V CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION 44
5.1 Conclusion 44
5.2 Discussion 45
BIBLIOGRAPHY 46
ANNEX 50
LIST OF TABLES
Page
Table 3.1 Dependent Variables 13
Table 3.2 Intervention Variables 14
Table 3.3 Control Variables 15
Table 4.1 Tabulation between wealth quintiles 20
and health card ownerships
Table 4.2 Tabulation between wealth quintiles 20
and health card utilization for inpatients
Table 4.3 Tabulation between wealth quintiles 21
and health card utilization for outpatients
Table 4.4 Tabulation between Health cards ownership 22
and health card utilization for inpatients
Table 4.5 Tabulation between health cards ownership 22
and health card utilization for outpatients
Table 4.6 Sampling Selection Bias Test for Each Data Set 24
Table 4.7 Sample characteristics of antenatal care dataset 27
Table 4.8 regression coefficients and standard errors from 29
multiple regression analysis of the impact of health card
ownership on antenatal care.
Table 4.9 Sample characteristics of place of delivery dataset 32
Table 4.10 regression coefficients and standard errors from 34
multiple regression analysis of the impact of health card
ownership on place delivery.
Table 4.11 Sample characteristics of place of contraceptive dataset 37
Fac. of Grad. Studies, Mahidol Univ. M.A. (Pop. & Repro. H. Res.)/viii
LIST OF TABLES (CONT.)
Page
Table 4.12 regression coefficients and standard errors from 39
multiple regression analysis of the impact of health card
ownership on utilization of modern contraceptive.
Table 4.14 Interaction effect between health cards Ownership 41
and year dummy
LIST OF FIGURES
Page
Figure 1.1 the Map of Indonesia 1
Figure 2.1 Effect the Economic Crisis to Reproductive Health Access 6
Figure 2.2 Monitoring and Evaluation Framework 11
Figure 2.3 Research Conceptual Framework 12
Figure 4.1 Interaction effect 42
Figure 4.2 Z-Statistics 43
LIST OF ABBREVATIONS
ie Interaction Effect
IFLS Indonesian Family Life Survey
Chi2 Chi Square
LR Likelihood Ratio
Std.dev Standard deviation
Min Minimum value
Max Maximum value
Fac. of Grad. Studies, Mahidol Univ. M.A. (Pop. & Repro. H. Res.)/1
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
1.1. Background of Study
The republic of Indonesia consists of approximately 17,000 islands. The
Indonesian archipelago located between Asia and Australia. Most of Indonesian areas
are covered by water. There are five major islands: Sumatra, J ava, Kalimantan,
Sulawesi and Papua. The remaining groups of island are Maluku (running from
Sulawesi to Papua) and Nusa Tenggara (running from Bali to Timor). The other
islands are small and mostly uninhabited. The large number of islands and dispersion
of them over wide areas have risen to be a diverse of culture and ethnic group which
mostly have their own language. This is basis of the national motto Bhineka Tunggal
Ika that means Unity in Diversity (BPS, 2003)
Figure 1.1 the Map of Indonesia
Source: United Nations, 2009
Erlangga Agustino Landiyanto Introduction/2
Administratively, Indonesia is divided into provinces. The numbers of
Indonesian provinces are 33. Each province subdivided as kota and kabupaten.
Altogether, there are 91 kota and 349 kabupaten. The next Indonesian lower
administrative unit is kecamatan and the lowest administrative unit is desa and
kelurahan. There are 5263 kecamatan, 7113 kelurahan and 62806 desa (Indonesian
Ministry of home affair, 2009).
Since independence in 1945, Although experienced several political shifts,
faced several political problems including the adoption of a multiparty system (which
resulted in political and economic instability) and rebellious uprisings caused by
ideological, ethnic, and racial differences, Indonesia was successful build national
identity and foundation of the nation during Old Order Government under President
Sukarno. The history of the Republic of Indonesia had a turning point after an aborted
coup by the Communist Party in September 1965. In 1966, President Suharto began a
new era with the establishment of the New Order Government, which was oriented
toward overall development (BPS, 2003).
After more than 30 years under the New Order Government, Indonesia has
made substantial progress, particularly in stabilizing political and economic
conditions. The stabilization and economic growth positively affected health
development in Indonesia. The community health centers reached rural area, wide
immunization coverage, successful of family planning program, substantial increase in
life expectancy and great progress in reducing infant mortality (World Bank, 2008;
AUSAID, 2002; BPS, 2003)
All of these successes ended in mid-1997 when the Asian economy collapsed.
The Indonesian economic crisis began in 1997 when the rupiah depreciated rapidly
and brought Indonesia into the economic crisis of 1998. The devaluation of the rupiah
increased levels of debt of private companies as well as increased operational cost
resulting in bankruptcies. These conditions stimulated a reduction in labor demand,
rising unemployment, and, indirectly, a loss of social security coverage. Prices of
goods and services increased greatly during the year, which decreased quality of life
the lower income population as well as pushed lower middle income population to be
below population line (Strauss et al, 2002; Frankenberg et al, 2002; Pritchett and
Suryahadi, 2002; Sparrow, 2006).
Fac. of Grad. Studies, Mahidol Univ. M.A. (Pop. & Repro. H. Res.)/3
The crisis negatively affected the health sector from both supply and demand
sides. For the supply side, WHO (1998) and AUSAID (2002) reported that the
Indonesian provinces and district health offices experienced a reduction in operating
budgets, which resulted in a cut in the budget for preventive programs. According
water et al (2003) and AUSAID (2002), health services providers faced the increasing
in operation costs, extraordinary increasing in pharmaceutical and medical supplies
costs, and reduced supplies of modern health services. On the demand side, the
severity of the crisis affected households health care utilization and expenditures.
Frankenberg et al. (2002) and AUSAID (2002) found that household consumption was
going down in 1998, with decreasing investments in human capital (health and
education) as well as decreasing utilization of modern health care services.
In response to the crisis, there were a series of publication about social safety
net programs that were initiated or reconfigured in Indonesia. Some of programs were
designed to reach all population and some were targeted to reach the poor only
(Strauss, 2002). The health component of the Indonesian Social Safety Net program,
the health card program, was started in September 1998 and initiated to protect the
poor from the effects of the economic crisis through a targeted price subsidy and a
public spending component. The health cards entitled all household members to the
price subsidy at public health care providers. (Saadah et al, 2001; AUSAID, 2002;
Sparrow, 2006; Somanathan 2008)
1.2. Statement of the Problem and Importance of the Study
Most of previous studies on the impact health cards for protecting the poor
during Indonesian economic crisis focus on targeting of health cards distribution
(Lanjauw et al 2001; Pritchett and Suryahadi, 2002; Sparrow, 2006; and Sparrow,
2008) and utilization of health cards and its impact to outpatient (Saadah et al, 2001;
Sparrow, 2006; Saadah et al, 2007). Other studies focus on the impact of health cards
on childrens health care (Somanathan, 2008) and health care consumption (J ohar,
2007).
Protecting access to reproductive health services, especially those related to
maternal care and contraceptive, were some of the purposes of the health card
Erlangga Agustino Landiyanto Introduction/4
program. This issue was rarely discussed in previous Indonesia cases studies.
Therefore, this thesis focus on the impact of the health card program on access to
reproductive health services like contraception, pre-natal care and assistance at birth.
Base on discussion above, we can hypothesize the health cards were distributed
accurately to targeted beneficiaries and used it as purposes. We also expect that who
received health cards should have better access to reproductive health services.
1.3. Research Question
My thesis will focus on to answer the following question:
Did the poor who had health card really have better access to reproductive health
services? If so why? If not, Why not
1.4. Research Objectives
From the research questions, we can identify the research objective as follow:
General Research objective: Evaluating the impact of the health card program
on access to reproductive health services like access to contraception, pre-natal
care and assistance at birth.
Specific Research Objectives:
o Measure the performance of health cards targeting and distribution.
o Exploring the utilization of health card for reproductive health services.
o Evaluating whether the poor who have health card have better access to
reproductive health services or not.
1.5 Research Hypothesis
o Health cards were received by the poor only.
o Health cards utilized by the poor as intended.
o The poor who have health card have better access to reproductive
health services.
Fac. of Grad. Studies, Mahidol Univ. M.A. (Pop. & Repro. H. Res.)/5
CHAPTER II
LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1. Theoretical and Empirical Discussion
2.1.1. Economic Crisis and Reproductive Health Access
According Water et al (2003) and Hotchkiss and J acobalis (1999), more than
half the pharmaceutical and raw materials of local drug manufactures were imported
from abroad. The depreciation of the rupiah directly increased the price of
pharmaceutical and medical supplies as well as the price of medical treatment at
Indonesian government health center.
The crisis decreased the purchasing power of households and access for health
services. Based on Indonesian National Socioeconomic Survey (Susenas) data, Water
et al (2003) found that households, particularly poorer households, who faced with
diminished purchasing power parity and allocated a smaller percentage of their total
budgets to heath related purposes. It decrease the proportion of households that
accessing care from a modern health care provider decreased. This decrease was
similar for males and females, which is occurred at all educational levels.
Health care utilizations also were affected by crisis. Strauss et al (2002) found
that during the economic crisis, health care utilization stayed nearly constant for
adults. For children, utilization of community health center (puskesmas) was
unchanged, but the use of integrated health post (posyandu) fell dramatically. Strauss
et al (2002) also have finding that consistent with the reduction in health services
utilization. According Strauss et al, (2002) service availability in posyandu and various
dimensions of service quality fell sharply by the end of this period.
The crisis also changed the demand pattern on health care provider for
accessing heath services. Achmad and Westley (1999) found that because of financial
constraints, young people were using the less-expensive government services or were
purchasing medications from pharmacies and treating themselves rather than using
Erlangga Agustino Landiyanto Literature Review/6
expensive private services. On the other hand, Frankenberg et al (1998) have different
findings. They found that users of health services were shifting away from the
community health center (Puskesmas) to private providers and traditional
practitioners.
Figure 2.1. Effect the Economic Crisis to Reproductive Health Access
Source: Adapted from Waters et al, 2003
An increase of the supply prices of health services affected to reproductive
health access. According Frankenberg et al, (2003), based on wealth status, women in
poorer households were considerably less likely to obtain their contraceptive pills from
government or private sources (relative to community health posts) than women from
wealthier households. Actually, it is happened because poorer household have lower
purchasing power than wealthier household. Under budget constraint, poorer
household is more likely to pay more attention on primary needs.
The price increase is also shift the demand of contraceptive. Frankenberg et al
(2003), Achmad and Westley (1999) and Straus et al (2002) that women switch the
sources of contraceptive to the cheaper providers. It is related with maximization of
utility under budget constraint on economic theory.
Related with relationship between contraceptive supply and utilization,
Frankenberg et al (2003), Achmad and Westley (1999) and Straus et al (2002) found
that family planning supplies at public providers declined over that period.
PrivateDebtIncrease
Bankruptcies
CapitalFlight/DecreaseForeignExchange
GovernmentDebtIncrease
PublicFinancingDecrease
Priceofreproductive
healthservices
increased
Unemployment
Decreasesocial
Protection
Decreasesupplyof
reproductivehealth
services
Decreasehousehold
purchasingpowerfor
accessing
reproductivehealth
services
Decreasereproductivehealthaccess
Fac. of Grad. Studies, Mahidol Univ. M.A. (Pop. & Repro. H. Res.)/7
increase in the overall use of outpatient medical services because of the health cards
intervention. Opposite with Sparrow (2006) and Fadiah et al (2001, 2007),
Somanathan (2008) found that there is no significant impact on use of private sector
services, especially children care case.
In children case, the use of public sector outpatient services declined less for
children with health cards (Somanathan 2008). The protective effect of the health card
on public sector use was concentrated among children aged 0-5 (Somanathan 2008).
2.4. M&E Framework and Research Conceptual Framework
Because this thesis is a evaluation research, the monitoring and evaluation
framework of the health card program (figure 2.2) is designed in order to develop
research conceptual framework for this thesis. There are four components of
monitoring and evaluation frameworks. First is programs input and process that
provide summary of program activities (more detail information about health card
program can be found at chapter 2.2), second is programs output, third is programs
outcomes and fourth is programs goal.
Figure 2.2. Monitoring and Evaluation Framework
Programs Input
and Process
Programs Output Programs
Outcome
Programs Goal
1.Established
districtslevel
committeeand
allocatedfundat
districtslevel.
2.Districtlevel
committee
allocatedfundto
healthcare
providerand
distributehealth
cardtovillage
committee.
3.Thecommittee
distributedthe
cardsbasedon
thecriteria
HealthCard
arereceived/
ownedbythe
poor
HealthCardare
utilizedbythe
poor(Inpatients
andOutpatients)
ThePoorwho
havehealth
cardhave
betteraccess
toreproductive
healthservices
BKKBN
Poverty
Criteria
InfluencingFactors:
EconomicFactors
Sociodemographic
Factors
Unobservable
Factor
Erlangga Agustino Landiyanto Literature Review/12
On the figure 2.2 can be seen that this thesis focus on evaluating whether the
health card program achieve the goal for improving access to reproductive health
services or not. This thesis is also investigating the program output (health card
targeting and distribution) and the program outcomes (health card utilization) as well
as the effect of the program output and program impact for achieving the program goal
controlling by some independent variables.
Figure 2.3. Research Conceptual Framework
Figure 2.3, research conceptual framework, shows the hypothetical relationship
between dependent variables (program goal), program variables (program outcomes
and program output) and independent variables.
Dependent Variables
Antenatal Care
Place for delivery
Using modern
contraceptives
Independent Variables
Health Card
Ownerships
Year Dummy
Interaction Variables
between health card
ownership and year
dummy
Control Variables
a. Socio-demographic Variables
Number of Household Members
Highest Grade Completed by head
of households
Highest Grade Completed by
spouse of head of households
b. Health facilities knowledge
c. Economic Variables
Drinking water sources
Sanitation
Economic Variables
House ownership status
Have Television
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CHAPTER III
DATA AND METHODOLOGY
3.1. Data
The major data source for this thesis is Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS)
from RAND Corporation in Santa Monica, USA. The data is longitudinal survey data
at household and community level. In this thesis, data at the household level is used
because this thesis focuses on analysis from side. To investigate the impact of the
health card, IFLS second wave (1997) is used as baseline data before intervention and
IFLS third wave (2000) is used as post-intervention year. The sample size of IFLS
second wave is 7619 Households and IFLS third wave is 10435 Households. For
multivariate analysis, panel data are constructed from the longitudinal data.
For analysis, there are four versions of datasets with different unit of analysis.
First is data set for descriptive analysis. The data is raw data set for univariate and
bivariate analysis. The first data set is exclusively work on IFLS third wave (2000).
The unit analysis of first data set is households. Second data set is panel data for
indentifying the effect of independent variables and control variables to antenatal care.
The second data set work on IFLS second wave (1997) and third wave (2000). The
unit analysis of third data set is women who had pregnancy three years prior second
wave (1995-1997) and three years prior third wave (1998-2000). Third is panel data
set for indentifying the effect of independent variables and control variables to place
delivery at public health facility or the others. The third data set work on IFLS second
wave (1997) and third wave (2000). The unit analysis of third data set is women who
deliver their baby three years prior second wave (1995-1997) and three years prior
third wave (1998-2000). The fourth is panel data set for indentifying the effect of
independent variables and control variables to utilization modern contraceptives. The
fourth data set work on IFLS second wave (1997) and third wave (2000). The unit
Erlangga Agustino Landiyanto Data and Methodology/14
analysis of fourth data set is married women more than 15 years old during the second
wave.
3.2. Operational Definition
To investigate the impact of health card program, we classify variables as
three. First are dependent variables, second are intervention variables and third are
independent variables
Table 3.1 Dependent Variables
Dependent
Variables
Description Level of Measurement
and Data
Management
Prenatal Care This variable identifies women
who get adequate prenatal care.
According Indonesian Bureau of
Statistics (BPS, 2003), adequate
prenatal care means that women
receive minimum four times of
prenatal care during pregnancy
which are one time prenatal in
first three month, one time
prenatal care in second three
month and two times prenatal
care in third three month. Total
prenatal care is calculated from
summation of prenatal care at
first three month, second three
month and third three month.
Nominal
1=at least one time or
more for each three
month during
pregnancy
0=less than three
Delivery Place This variable identifies whether
the women gave a birth at public
facility or at other facility. The
emphasis of this study is to
women give a birth at public
facility because the health card
provides access for the poor to
get free access for birth in public
facilities. Therefore, who give a
birth at public facility are denoted
as 1 and who give a birth at
private facility or at home are
denoted as 0
Nominal
1 =Public Facility
0= Private Facility or at
Home
Currently control
pregnancy using
modern
contraceptives
This variable investigates women
who are currently controlling for
pregnancy. The attributes were
classified as arent controlling
Nominal
1=Use modern
contraceptives for
control pregnancy
Fac. of Grad. Studies, Mahidol Univ. M.A. (Pop. & Repro. H. Res.)/15
CHAPTER IV
RESULT AND DISCUSSION
This chapter presents the interpretation and discussion from data analysis. Part
three is divided as two parts: 4.1 provide descriptive analysis of health card ownership
and utilization and 4.2 provide multivariate analysis of the impact of health card
ownership to antenatal care, place delivery and modern contraceptive.
4.1. Descriptive analysis of health card ownership and utilization
As discussed on chapter two, the health card program followed a semi
decentralized targeting process. Households that were categorized as vulnerable to
economic shocks were targeted to receive health cards. It means health card allocated
for the poor households to protect them from the effect of crisis (Saadah et al, 2001;
Sparrow, 2006).
Additionally, chapter two also mentions that health cards program is household
level intervention, which is targeted intervention for the poor households. Therefore,
this section focuses on post intervention analysis using Indonesian family life survey
data 2000 for evaluating the accuracy of targeting and allocation of health card
program. Based on the target recipient is household, the unit of analysis of this section
is also households.
Wealth quintiles are used to identify the poor and non poor households. The
poorest and second poorest quintiles are categorized as poor households, the rest
quintiles are non poor or wealthier households. Wealth quintile in this study was
constructed from economic variables such as using electricity, have television, own
house, access to improve water, access to improve sanitation, asset and expenditure.
Those variables were combined using principal component analysis.
Table 4.1 Tabulation between wealth quintiles
Erlangga Agustino Landiyanto Result and Discussion/20
and health card ownerships
Total
0.No 1.Yes
Poorest N 2159 272 2431
% 88.81 11.19 100
Second N 2011 420 2431
% 82.72 17.28 100
Middle N 1996 434 2430
% 82.14 17.86 100
Fourth N 2022 409 2431
% 83.18 16.82 100
Richest N 2075 356 2431
% 85.36 14.64 100
Total N 10263 1891 12154
% 84.44 15.56 100
WealthIndex
Quintiles
hhshavekartusehat
ChiSquare:Significantat0.001
Table 4.1 shows that only 11% of the poorest and 17% of second poorest got
the health cards. On the other hand, the table also shows mis-targeting that there is
significant part of health cards were distributed inaccurately to wealthier quintiles. The
mis-targeting might be happen in local level when head of village that have rights to
select who should receive health cards, gave health cards to head of villages relatives
or friends.
Table 4.2 Tabulation between wealth quintiles
and health card utilization for inpatients
Total
0.No 1.Yes
Poorest N 25 10 35
% 71.43 28.57 100
Second N 56 6 62
% 90.32 9.68 100
Middle N 72 3 75
% 96 4 100
Fourth N 128 1 129
% 99.22 0.78 100
Richest N 188 0 188
% 100 0 100
Total N 469 20 489
% 95.91 4.09 100
WealthIndex
Quintiles
UseHCforInpatient
ChiSquare:Significantat0.05
Fac. of Grad. Studies, Mahidol Univ. M.A. (Pop. & Repro. H. Res.)/21
Table 4.2 shows that only 28% of the poorest and 9% of the second poorest
households who have inpatients use health cards to get subsidy. Additionally, there are
some wealthier households, who dont have rights to use health cards, use health cards
for inpatients.
Table 4.3 Tabulation between wealth quintiles
and health card utilization for outpatients
Total
0.No 1.Yes
Poorest N 288 24 312
% 92.31 7.69 100
Second N 368 28 396
% 92.93 7.07 100
Middle N 442 16 458
% 96.51 3.49 100
Fourth N 494 20 514
% 96.11 3.89 100
Richest N 594 3 597
% 99.50 0.50 100
Total N 2186 91 2277
% 96.00 4.00 100
WealthIndex
Quintiles
UseHCforOutpatient
Chisquare:significantat0.01
Table 4.3 shows that about 8% of the poorest and 7% of the second poorest
households who have outpatients use health cards to get free services. Additionally,
can be seen there are some wealthier households, who dont have rights to use health
cards, use health cards for outpatient.
The mis-utilizations show that there is no good verification system on health
services providers, when the providers allow who have health card get the free
inpatient services even they are not the poor. Even if the program was designed very
well, the mis-targeting and mis-utilization will reduce the program effectiveness. The
impact of the program to the target beneficiaries will be very low or even not
significant without strong targeting.
To improve the effectiveness of the health card program, an appropriate
monitoring and evaluation system are very important. The system should be designed
well and supported with strong targeting process. It will be better to allocate more
budget and resources on targeting, monitoring and evaluation rather than implement
ineffective program with low impact.
Erlangga Agustino Landiyanto Result and Discussion/22
Table 4.4 Tabulation between Health cards ownership
and health card utilization for inpatients
Total
0.No 1.Yes
0.No N 398 4 402
% 99.00 1.00 100.00
1.Yes N 71 16 87
% 81.61 18.39 100.00
Total N 469 20 489
% 95.91 4.09 100.00
Havehealthcard
UseHCforintpatient
ChiSquare:Significantat0.001
From table 4.4 can be seen that only 18% from health card owner households,
those have family member who got in the last four week before survey, used health
cards for get free inpatient. It shows low utilization of health cards among the cards
owner. Additionally, there are some non health card owner households able to use
health card for inpatients. This is other kind of mis-utilization while someone who
borrow or take health cards from other households are successfully got inpatient
subsidy.
Table 4.5 Tabulation between health cards ownership
and health card utilization for outpatients
Total
0.No 1.Yes
0.No N 1839 23 1862
% 98.76 1.24 100.00
1.Yes N 347 68 415
% 83.61 16.39 100.00
Total N 2186 91 2277
% 96.00 4.00 100.00
Havehealthcard
UseHCforoutpatient
ChiSquare:Significantat0.001
From table 4.5 can be seen that only 16% from health card owner households,
who had family member who had outpatient during the last twelve months before
survey, used health cards for outpatient. Additionally, there were some non health card
owner households able to use health card for outpatients. It might happen when
someone who borrowed health cards from other households were successfully got
inpatient subsidy because of low verification system.
Fac. of Grad. Studies, Mahidol Univ. M.A. (Pop. & Repro. H. Res.)/23
Low utilization of the health cards is an interesting finding. Who had health
card, should be who had limited funding for access health services especially during
economic crisis. The health card owner did not use their health cards for accessing
health services because they might dont know how to use it, or might the health care
provider not allow him to use health card to get free access.
Demand side program without participation will be not effective. In this case,
health card only useful for who have and utilize them. Low utilization of the health
card means only small number of beneficiaries get benefit for the program. For future
intervention, social marketing and appropriate communication are very important to
improve the utilization and increase the programs effectiveness
According Angrist and Pischke (2008), after we have panel dataset, we can
identify the impact of the health card program with the simple difference-in-difference
approach on equation (1).
I
xt
={E[DV|t=1,i=1]-E[DV|t=1,i=0]}-{E[DV|t=0,i=1]-E[DV|t=0,i=0]}(1)
Where:
I
xt
=Impact of the health card program on reproductive health services
DV =Dependent Variables
E[DV|t=1,i=1] =Access to reproductive health services (expected value of dependent
variables) of who got health cards (i=1) at time t=1(after project)
E[DV|t=0,i=1] =Access to reproductive health services (expected value of dependent
variables) of who did not get health cards (i=0) at time t=1 (after
project)
E[DV|t=1,i=0] =Access to reproductive health services (expected value of dependent
variables) of who will get health cards (i=1) at time t=0 (before
project)
E[DV|t=0,i=0] =Access to reproductive health services (expected value of dependent
variables) of who will not get health cards (i=0) at time t=0 (before
project)
The simple difference-in-difference in equation (10) is not able to address the
effect of independent variables. To include the effect of independent variable in
difference-in-difference estimation, we can use panel regression model as explained by
Angrist and Pischke (2008) on equation (2). Because the dependent variable is
dichotomous, we will use binary logistic regression for the model.
DV
xt
=+X
xt
+t
xt
+i
xt
+I
xt
(t*i)+e
0
.(2)
Erlangga Agustino Landiyanto Result and Discussion/26
Where:
I
xt
=Impact of the health card program on reproductive health services
DV
xt
=Dependent variables
=Slope (Intercept)
=Coefficient of independent variables
X
xt
=control variables
=Coefficient of dummy time
t
xt
=dummy time
=Coefficient of dummy intervention
i
xt
=dummy intervention
t*i
xt
=Interaction variable
4.2.1. The Impact of health card ownership on antenatal care
Table 4.7 shows the descriptions of sample characteristics for each variable on
antenatal care dataset. The variables are classified as follow:
a. Dependent variables: antenatal care
b. Independent variables or control variables: health card ownership, year dummy
and interaction variable
c. Control variables (knowledge of health facilities): Know where is public
hospital, private hospital, public/ auxiliary health center, private clinic, private
physician, midwife, nurse, traditional birth attendant, traditional practitioner,
pharmacy and posyandu.
d. Control variables (economic): house ownership, using electricity, have
television, improve water sources and improve sanitation
e. Control variables (socio-demographic): household size, education of head of
household, education of spouse of head of household or eldest children (if head
of household are widowed).
The dataset is a panel dataset. Number of observation on the dataset is 440 that
consists two observation years of 210 women who were pregnant during 3 years of
observations (pregnant at 1995-1997 for 1997 and pregnant at 1998-2000 for 2000
data)
Fac. of Grad. Studies, Mahidol Univ. M.A. (Pop. & Repro. H. Res.)/27
Table 4.8 regression coefficients and standard errors from multiple regression analysis
of The impact of health card ownership on antenatal care.
Model 1
Coeficient
Model 2
Coeficient
Model 3
Coeficient
Model 4
Coeficient
Model 5
Coeficient
Model 6
Coeficient
Model 7
Coeficient
(Standard
Error)
(Standard
Error)
(Standard
Error)
(Standard
Error)
(Standard
Error)
(Standard
Error)
(Standard
Error)
health card ownership -0.2324 -0.4496 -0.6261 -0.6010 -0.4128 -0.5927 -0.5497
(-0.2587) (0.4441) 0.4636 (0.4547) (0.4594) (0.4788) (0.4617)
year dummy -0.0190 -0.0992 -0.5205* -0.1990 -0.6494* -0.5157*
(0.2236) (0.2335) (0.2617) (0.2445) (0.2869) (0.2598)
Interaction variable 0.3214 0.4585 0.6937 0.3445 0.6180 0.6286
(0.5515) (0.5735) (0.5721) (0.5712) (0.5964) (0.5803)
know where is public hospital. 0.2895 0.1565
(0.2508) (0.2598)
know where is private hospital 0.3395 0.0443
(0.2669) (0.2758)
know where is public/ auxiliary health center -0.7587 -0.8675 -0.7374
(0.4712) (0.4817) (0.4666)
know where is private clinic -0.2258 -0.3486
(0.3621) (0.3812)
know where is private physician 0.0622 -0.0130
(0.2456) (0.2557)
know where is midwife 0.5431* 0.5888* 0.7458**
(0.2515) (0.2645) (0.2467)
know where is nurse 0.1100 0.0799
(0.2339) (0.2436)
know where is traditional birth attendant -0.0039 0.1634
(0.2537) (0.2683)
know where is traditional practicioner -0.1673 0.0519
(0.2356) (0.24889)
know where is pharmacy 0.4012 0.2594
(0.2555) (0.2687)
know where is posyandu 0.5494 0.4888
(0.3003) (0.3109)
household size 0.1328** 0.1429** 0.1404**
(0.0455) (0.0488) (0.0462)
highest education hhh 0.6896 0.4374 0.8667**
(0.3614) (0.3827) (0.2963)
highest education shh 0.2672 0.3801
(0.3991) (0.4259)
house ownership 0.2929 0.2207
0.2585 (0.2758)
using electricity 0.5194 0.3793
0.3034 (0.3294)
have television 0.2620 0.1177
0.2338 (0.2572)
improve water source 0.3223 0.2873
0.2208 (0.2427)
improve sanitation -0.2191 -0.1609
(0.2311) (0.2468)
constant 0.5279*** 0.5366*** 0.0497 -0.3383 -0.2385 -1.3268 -0.2671
0.1114 0.1515 0.5366 0.3222 0.3755 0.7053 0.5632
Log Likelihood -278.7017 -278.5184 -267.1242 -269.4201 -272.1993 -256.7999 -263.9404
N 420 420 420 420 420 420 420
LR Chi2 0.80 1.17 23.96 19.36 13.81 44.60 30.32
Prob>Chi2 0.3709 0.7609 0.0464 0.0036 0.0870 0.0030 0.0001
Pseudo R2 0.0014 0.0021 0.0429 0.0347 0.0247 0.0799 0.0543
Independent Variables
*=Significantat0.05;**=Significantat0.01;***=Significantat0.001
Erlangga Agustino Landiyanto Result and Discussion/30
Model 1 show that there is no direct effect of health card ownership on
antenatal care without controlling for other factors. The model is also not significant
that shown by prob>chi2 more than 0.05. No direct effect of health cards ownership to
antenatal care might be happen because low utilization of the health cards as discussed
on previous part in this chapter.
Model 2 show that there is no effect of health card ownership and dummy of
program interventions periods as well as there is no combination effect between health
card ownership and program duration on antenatal care without controlling for other
factors. The model is also not significant that shown by prob>chi2 more than 0.05.
Model 3 show that there is no effect of health card ownership and dummy of
program interventions periods as well as there is no combination effect between health
card ownership and program duration on antenatal care controlling for knowledge of
health facilities. In this model, can be seen that knowledge of where is midwife have
significant effect on adequate antenatal care.
Model 4 show that there is no effect of health card ownership and dummy of
program interventions periods as well as there is no combination effect between health
card ownership and program duration on antenatal care controlling for socio-
demographic variables. In this model can be seen household size have significant
factor of antenatal care.
Model 5 show that there is no effect of health card ownership and dummy of
program interventions periods as well as there is no combination effect between health
card ownership and program duration on antenatal care controlling for economic
variables. Model 5 also shows that there is no effect of economic factor on antenatal
care.
Model 6 show that there is no effect of health card ownership as well as there
is no combination effect between health card ownership and program duration on
antenatal care controlling for all variables including knowledge of health facilities,
socio-demographic and economic variables. But there is significant effect of dummy
of program interventions periods (before and after). Consistent with model 3 and
model 4, there is positive effect of knowledge where is midwife and household size.
Model 7 show that there is no effect of health card ownership as well as there
is no combination effect between health card ownership and program duration on
Fac. of Grad. Studies, Mahidol Univ. M.A. (Pop. & Repro. H. Res.)/31
antenatal care controlling for selected knowledge of health facilities variables, socio-
demographic variables and economic variables. Consistent with model 6, there is
significant effect of dummy of program interventions periods (before and after).
Consistent with model 3, model 4 and model 6, there is positive effect of knowledge
where is midwife and household size.
Result from all models show that there is no significant impact of health care
program on access to antenatal care. This result might came because low utilization of
utilization of health card for this purposes. Low utilization is one of key issues of this
study
The other possible answer is significant role of private provider like midwife
on providing antenatal care. This positive effect of knowledge where is midwife is
consistent with Pitoyo (2009) who found increase access for nurse, midwife and
paramedic during the crisis which might provide a cheaper cost or might provide better
services.
Midwife play significant role in Indonesian rural society especially since
implementation of Indonesian rural midwife program. Rule of midwife is not only on
providing health care services but also someone who is trusted by and has strong
position in communities. It also can be justified that midwife is one of major health
care provider for antenatal care.
4.2.2. Impact of health card ownership to place delivery
Table 4.9 shows the descriptions of sample characteristics for each variable on
antenatal care dataset. The variables are classified as follow:
a. Dependent variables: place of delivery
b. Independent variables or control variables: health card ownership, year dummy
and interaction variable
c. Control variables (knowledge of health facilities): Know where is public
hospital, private hospital, public/ auxiliary health center, private clinic, private
physician, midwife, nurse, traditional birth attendant, traditional practitioner,
pharmacy and posyandu.
d. Control variables (economic): house ownership, using electricity, have
television, improve water sources and improve sanitation
Erlangga Agustino Landiyanto Result and Discussion/32
e. Control variables (socio-demographic): household size, education of head of
household, education of spouse of head of household or eldest children (if head
of household are widowed).
The dataset is a panel dataset. Number of observation on the dataset is 330 that
consists two observation yeas of 165 women who deliver the baby during 3 years of
observations (deliver the baby at 1995-1997 for 1997 data and deliver the baby at
1998-2000 for 2000 data)
Table 4.9 Sample characteristics of place of delivery dataset
Variables N Mean Std. Dev. Min Max
1 place delivery 330 0.1273 0.3338 0 1
2 health card ownership 330 0.1848 0.3888 0 1
3 year dummy 330 0.5000 0.5008 0 1
4 Interaction variable 330 0.1303 0.3371 0 1
5 know where is public hospital. 330 0.6424 0.4800 0 1
6 know where is private hospital 330 0.3152 0.4653 0 1
7 know where is public/ auxiliary health center 330 0.9394 0.2390 0 1
8 know where is private clinic 330 0.0909 0.2879 0 1
9 know where is private physician 330 0.3879 0.4880 0 1
10 know where is midwife 330 0.7697 0.4217 0 1
11 know where is nurse 330 0.3394 0.4742 0 1
12 know where is traditional birth attendant 330 0.7455 0.4363 0 1
13 know where is traditional practicioner 330 0.3121 0.4641 0 1
14 know where is pharmacy 330 0.4576 0.4990 0 1
15 know where is posyandu 330 0.8485 0.3591 0 1
16 house ownership 330 0.8212 0.3838 0 1
17 using electricity 330 0.8212 0.3838 0 1
18 have television 330 0.5152 0.5005 0 1
19 improve water source 330 0.4030 0.4913 0 1
20 improve sanitation 330 0.3909 0.4887 0 1
21 household size 330 7.5152 2.5291 2 21
22 highest education hhh 330 0.2030 0.4029 0 1
23 highest education shh 330 0.1424 0.3500 0 1
To explore the impact of health card ownership on place of delivery, seven
models of multiple regressions are used. Each model has different purposes that can be
seen at the following explanation. The result of logistic regression of the following
models can be seen at table 4.10.
Fac. of Grad. Studies, Mahidol Univ. M.A. (Pop. & Repro. H. Res.)/33
Model 1 is the simple regression that presents the real effect of having health
card on place delivery without controlling with knowledge of health facilities,
socio-demographic and economic context.
Model 2 is the multivariate regression that presents the combination effect of
having health card and program (before-after) periods on place of delivery
without controlling with knowledge of health facilities, socio-demographic and
economic context.
Model 3 is the multivariate regression that presents the combination effect of
having health card and program (before-after) periods on place of delivery
controlling with knowledge of health facilities.
Model 4 is the multivariate regression that presents the combination effect of
having health card and program (before-after) periods on place of delivery
controlling with socio-demographic.
Model 5 is the multivariate regression that presents the combination effect of
having health card and program (before-after) periods on place of delivery
controlling with economic variables.
Model 6 is the full multivariate regression that presents the combination effect
of having health card and program (before-after) periods on place of delivery
controlling with all knowledge of health facilities, socio-demographic and
economic variables.
Model 7 is selected multivariate regression model combination effect of having
health card and program (before-after) periods on place of delivery controlling
with selected knowledge of health facilities, socio-demographic and economic
variables based on likelihood ratio test. Likelihood ratio test is conducted to
select control variables with highest explanatory power to the model. The
selected variables that pass likelihood ratio test were used on model 7.
Before started the logistic regression analysis, the multicollinearity test was
conducted to test whether there is correlation among independent variables or not
(Table 2 Annex). With 0.5 as cut off point, the result shows that there is no
multicollinearity among independent and control variables that used in all models
(Table 5 Annex).
Erlangga Agustino Landiyanto Result and Discussion/34
Table 4.10 regression coefficients and standard errors from multiple regression
analysis of the impact of health card ownership on place delivery.
Model 1
Coeficient
Model 2
Coeficient
Model 3
Coeficient
Model 4
Coeficient
Model 5
Coeficient
Model 6
Coeficient
Model 7
Coeficient
(Standard
Error)
(Standard
Error)
(Standard
Error)
(Standard
Error)
(Standard
Error)
(Standard
Error)
(Standard
Error)
health card ownership 0.0424 0.0232 -0.8342 0.0440 -0.3945 0.7806 -0.6049
(0.4213) (0.7954) (0.8902) (0.8026) (0.8442) (0.9351) (0.8531)
year dummy 0.3486 0.3896 -0.0236 0.2484 0.3213 0.4831
(0.3678) (0.4173) (0.4267) (0.4345) (0.5734) (0.4451)
Interaction variable -0.0883 0.5042 0.0406 0.5282 0.3812 0.5562
(0.9442) (1.0641) (0.9716) (1.0082) (1.1445) (1.0491)
know where is public hospital. 2.2773** 2.1345** 2.3300**
(0.7720) (0.7944) (0.7537)
know where is private hospital 0.3339 0.3576
(0.4166) (0.4616)
know where is public/ auxiliary health center -0.1157 -0.2828
(0.7791) (0.8799)
know where is private clinic -0.5605 -1.0420
(0.6183) (0.6697)
know where is private physician -0.3669 -0.5995
(0.4087) (0.4509)
know where is midwife -0.4558 -0.2954
(0.4569) (0.5076)
know where is nurse -0.4844 -0.4415
(0.4528) (0.4738)
know where is traditional birth attendant -1.3987** -1.3506** -1.2259***
(0.4070) (0.4450) (0.3844)
know where is traditional practicioner 0.9254* 1.20741** 0.7666*
(0.4174) (0.4614) (0.3877)
know where is pharmacy 0.5207 0.2895
(0.4351) (0.4893)
know where is posyandu 1.1049 1.2418
(0.6522) (0.6988)
household size 0.0678 -0.0081
(0.0650) (0.0746)
highest education hhh -0.5524 -1.0147 -0.5232
(0.5611) (0.6286) (0.4913)
highest education shh 1.4414* 1.3266*
(0.5623) (0.6426)
house ownership 0.7112 1.0392
(0.5236) (0.5985)
using electricity 1.6348 1.0987
(1.0599) (1.1177)
have television 0.7474 0.7025 0.7400
(0.4117) (0.5035) (0.4171)
improve water source 0.8083* 0.5224
(0.3648) (0.4480)
improve sanitation 0.3706 0.2403
(0.4109) (0.5075)
constant -1.9332*** -2.1026*** -3.9553*** -2.6038*** -5.1959*** -6.4359*** -4.0059***
0.1835 0.2648 1.1710 0.5347 1.1707 1.7018 0.8412
Log Likelihood -125.7808 -125.2846 -99.3196 -121.3882 -112.9377 -90.9328 -99.6007
N 330 330 330 330 330 330 330
LR Chi2 0.01 1.00 52.93 8.80 25.70 69.71 52.37
Prob>Chi2 0.9202 0.8007 0.0000 0.1854 0.0012 0.0000 0.0000
Pseudo R2 0.0000 0.0040 0.2104 0.0350 0.1021 0.2771 0.2082
Independent Variables
*=Significantat0.05;**=Significantat0.01;***=Significantat0.001
Fac. of Grad. Studies, Mahidol Univ. M.A. (Pop. & Repro. H. Res.)/35
From table 4.10 can be seen that model 1 show that there is no direct effect of
health card ownership on place of delivery without controlling for other factors. The
model is also not significant that shown by prob>chi2 more than 0.05. No direct effect
of health cards ownership to delivery on public facilities might be happen because low
utilization of the health cards as discussed on 4.1.
Model 2 show that there is no effect of health card ownership and dummy of
program interventions periods as well as there is no combination effect between health
card ownership and program duration on place of delivery without controlling for
other factors. The model is also not significant that shown by prob>chi2 more than
0.05.
Model 3 show that there is no effect of health card ownership and dummy of
program interventions periods as well as there is no combination effect between health
card ownership and program duration on place of delivery controlling for knowledge
of health facilities. In this model, can be seen that knowledge of where is public
hospital have significant positive effect on delivery at public health facilities. In this
model also can be seen that knowledge of where traditional birth attendants are has
significant negative effect on delivery at public facilities. Interestingly, knowledge
where traditional practitioners are has significant effect to delivery at public health
facilities.
Model 4 show that there is no effect of health card ownership and dummy of
program interventions periods as well as there is no combination effect between health
card ownership and program duration on place of delivery controlling for socio-
demographic variables. In this model can be seen that there is no socio-demographic
variables have significant effect to delivery in public facilities.
Model 5 show that there is no effect of health card ownership and dummy of
program interventions periods as well as there is no combination effect between health
card ownership and program duration on place of delivery controlling for economic
variables. Model 5 also shows that there is no effect of economic factor on delivery in
public facilities.
Model 6 show that there is no effect of health card ownership and dummy of
program interventions periods as well as there is no combination effect between health
card ownership and program duration on place of delivery controlling for all variables
Erlangga Agustino Landiyanto Result and Discussion/36
including knowledge of health facilities, socio-demographic and economic variables.
Consistent with model 3, there is positive effect of knowledge of where is public
hospital and knowledge where traditional practitioners are as well as significant
negative effect of knowledge of where traditional birth attendant were on delivery in
public facility.
Model 7 show that there is no effect of health card ownership and dummy of
program interventions periods as well as there is no combination effect between health
card ownership and program duration on place of delivery controlling for selected
knowledge of health facilities variables, socio-demographic variables and economic
variables. Consistent with model 3 and model 6, model 7 shows that there is positive
effect of knowledge of where is public hospital and knowledge where traditional
practitioners as well as knowledge of where traditional birth attendant were negatively
affected on delivery in public facility.
Result from all models show that there is no significant impact of health care
program on delivery at public health facilities. This result might come because low
utilization of health cards for delivery on public facilities. The other reason is health
card ownership was not a consideration for place delivery decision because the
delivery process itself is emergency activities.
4.2.3. Impact of health card ownership to utilization of modern contraceptive
Table 4.11 shows the descriptions of sample characteristics for each variable on
antenatal care dataset. The variables are classified as follow:
a. Dependent variables: using modern contraceptive
b. Independent variables or control variables: health card ownership, year dummy
and interaction variable
c. Control variables (knowledge of health facilities): Know where is public
hospital, private hospital, public/ auxiliary health center, private clinic, private
physician, midwife, nurse, traditional birth attendant, traditional practitioner,
pharmacy and posyandu.
d. Control variables (economic): house ownership, using electricity, have
television, improve water sources and improve sanitation
Fac. of Grad. Studies, Mahidol Univ. M.A. (Pop. & Repro. H. Res.)/37
Fac. of Grad. Studies, Mahidol Univ. M.A. (Pop. & Repro. H. Res.)/39
Table 4.12 regression coefficients and standard errors from multiple regression
analysis of the impact of health card ownership on utilization of modern
contraceptive.
Model 1
Coeficient
Model 2
Coeficient
Model 3
Coeficient
Model 4
Coeficient
Model 5
Coeficient
Model 6
Coeficient
Model 7
Coeficient
(Standard
Error)
(Standard
Error)
(Standard
Error)
(Standard
Error)
(Standard
Error)
(Standard
Error)
(Standard
Error)
health card ownership 0.1947** 0.4325*** 0.3399** 0.4250*** 0.3461** 0.3128** 0.3174**
(0.0683) (0.1114) (0.1132) (0.1114) (0.1127) 0.1139 (0.1133)
year dummy -0.1042 -0.1756** -0.1697** -0.1538* -0.1793** -0.1907***
(0.0551) (0.0567) (0.0605) (0.0606) (0.0657) (0.0567)
Interaction variable -0.3530* -0.2798 -0.3246* -0.1961 -0.2068 -0.2036
(0.1420) (0.1441) (0.1426) (0.1440) (0.1453) (0.1447)
know where is public hospital. 0.1237* 0.0843
(0.0626) (0.0636)
know where is private hospital 0.0314 -0.0067
(0.0625) (0.0634)
know where is public/ auxiliary health center 0.1867 0.1850
(0.1098) (0.1105)
know where is private clinic 0.0266 -0.0139
(0.0780) (0.0794)
know where is private physician 0.0959 0.0534
(0.0597) (0.0608)
know where is midwife 0.1942** 0.1992** 0.2130***
(0.0625) (0.0629) (0.0620)
know where is nurse 0.0832 0.0755
(0.0551) (0.0554)
know where is traditional birth attendant -0.0866 -0.0133
(0.0595) (0.0617)
know where is traditional practicioner -0.2168*** -0.1956*** -0.1878***
(0.0570) (0.0574) (0.0566)
know where is pharmacy 0.0940 0.0241 0.0786
(0.0639) (0.0654) (0.0562)
know where is posyandu 0.4369*** 0.4366*** 0.4676***
(0.0710) (0.0714) (0.0683)
household size -0.0049 -0.0097
(0.0117) (0.0119)
highest education hhh 0.0938 -0.0669
(0.0795) (0.0832)
highest education shh 0.1404 0.0239
(0.0923) (0.0953)
house ownership -0.1263 -0.1159
(0.0734) (0.0758)
using electricity 0.0263 -0.0534
(0.0851) (0.0870)
have television 0.3906*** 0.3512*** 0.3531***
(0.0588) (0.0626) (0.0583)
improve water source 0.1410** 0.1406 0.1417**
(0.0548) (0.0575) (0.0549)
improve sanitation 0.0074 -0.0141
(0.0565) (0.0574)
constant 0.1258*** 0.1756*** -0.5620*** 0.1959** -0.0420 -0.5882*** -0.6045***
0.0275 0.0381 0.1202 0.0765 0.1086 0.1634 0.0825
Log Likelihood -4377.6903 -4369.7141 -4305.5943 -4365.5847 -4328.3262 -4282.4358 -4288.5722
N 6350 6350 6350 6350 6350 6350 6350
LR Chi2 8.18 24.13 152.37 32.39 106.91 198.69 186.41
Prob>Chi2 0.0042 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Pseudo R2 0.0009 0.0028 0.0174 0.0037 0.0122 0.0227 0.0213
Independent Variables
*=Significantat0.05;**=Significantat0.01;***=Significantat0.001
Erlangga Agustino Landiyanto Result and Discussion/40
Model 1 show direct effect of having health cards on using modern
contraceptives. People who have health card are more likely use modern contraceptive
without controlling for other factors.
Model 2 show that there is positive effect of health card ownership and
combination effect between health card ownership and program duration on utilization
of modern contraceptives without controlling for other factors. Consistent with model
1, household who have health cards are more likely have use modern contraceptive.
Model 3 show that there is positive effect of health card ownership and but
there is no combination effect between health card ownership and program duration on
utilization of modern contraceptives controlling for knowledge of health facilities.
Consistent with model 1 and 2, household who have health cards are more likely have
use modern contraceptive. But the periods variable show that household in 2000 are
less likely use modern contraceptive. The model also show positive effect of
knowledge of where is public hospital, midwife, traditional practitioners and posyandu
are on utilization modern contraceptives
Model 4 show that there is positive effect of health card ownership and there is
combination effect between health card ownership and program duration on utilization
of modern contraceptives controlling for socio-demographic variables. Consistent with
model 1, 2, and 3 household who have health cards are more likely have use modern
contraceptive. Consistent with model 3, the year dummy show that household in 2000
are less likely use modern contraceptive. In this model also can be seen that there is no
socio-demographic variables have significant effect to delivery in utilization of
modern contraceptives.
Model 5 show that there is positive effect of health card ownership and dummy
of program intervention periods, but there is no combination effect between health
card ownership and program duration on utilization of modern contraceptives
controlling for economic variables. Consistent with model 1, 2, 3 and 4, household
who have health cards are more likely have use modern contraceptive. Consistent with
model 3 and 4, the year dummy shows households in 2000 are less likely use modern
contraceptive. The model also shows positive effect of having television and access to
improve water on utilization modern contraceptives.
Fac. of Grad. Studies, Mahidol Univ. M.A. (Pop. & Repro. H. Res.)/41
Model 6 show that there is positive effect of health card ownership and dummy
of program intervention periods, but there is no combination effect between health
card ownership and program duration on utilization of modern contraceptives
controlling for all variables including knowledge of health facilities, socio-
demographic and economic variables. Consistent with model 3, the model also show
positive effect of knowledge of where is public hospital, midwife, traditional
practitioners and posyandu on utilization modern contraceptives. Consistent with
model 5, the model also shows positive effect of having television and access to
improve water on utilization modern contraceptives.
Model 7 show that there is effect of health card ownership and but there is no
combination effect between health card ownership and program duration on utilization
of modern contraceptives controlling for selected knowledge of health facilities
variables, socio-demographic variables and economic variables.
Table 4.13 Adjusted Probability of having Health card
to utilization of modern contraceptive
Have health card
Number of
Observation
Adjusted
Probability
Standar
Error
No (0) 5299 0.5334 0.0279
Yes (1) 1051 0.5730 0.0634
LR Chi2 5.37
Prob>Chi2 0.0205
Fac. of Grad. Studies, Mahidol Univ. M.A. (Pop. & Repro. H. Res.)/43
The other
possible answer why
the interaction effect
are not is significant
to contraceptive use
are stability of
contraceptive use in
Indonesia. This
argument is supported
by Strauss et al (2002) and Frankenberg et al (1999) who found that the economic
crisis did not affect a lot on the change of contraceptive uses. It means that neither
economic crisis nor health card program have significant effect to utilization modern
contraceptives.
Erlangga Agustino Landiyanto Conclusion and Recommendation/44
CHAPTER V
CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION
Chapter V is the conclusion of this study. There are two topic of this chapter,
finding of the study and implication of this study
5.1. Conclusion
This paper not only found that the effectiveness of the program should be increase
but also can detect some part of the program that need to be improved. Some
important point for the analysis as follow:
Health card program have less performance on targeting and distribution.
There are some misallocation and inappropriate utilization.
Health card program did not affect to secure adequate antennal care of
pregnant women.
Knowledge where midwives is very important in securing access to adequate
antenatal care.
Health card program did not affect giving more access on delivery to public
health facilities
Knowledge of where is public hospital is very important to improve access on
delivery in public facility.
Health card program have positive effect on modern contraceptive use but the
interaction impact between health card ownership and year dummy is not
significantly improve utilization modern contraceptive.
Knowledge where public hospital, midwife, traditional practitioners and
Posyandu is very important to improve the utilization of modern contraceptive.
Interestingly, economic factors are not major constraint for reproductive health
access. It is need more study to answer why it is happened.
5.2. Recommendation
Fac. of Grad. Studies, Mahidol Univ. M.A. (Pop. & Repro. H. Res.)/45
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