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R
i
C
t
,
where R
n
i s the rate of hospi tal i zati on of nati ve-born
persons and C
t
i s the total annual charge for servi ces
reported by New York Ci ty hospi tal s. The val ue for R
f
was determi ned usi ng the si mpl i ed regressi on for-
mul a above and a val ue of 0.35 for P
f
.
We converted charges to costs usi ng cost-to-charge
rati os deri ved from the Heal th Care Fi nanci ng Admi n-
i strati ons Medpar data set [17,18]. Data l i mi tati ons
prevented us from exami ni ng the proporti on of forei gn-
born persons resi di ng i n a nei ghborhood as an i ndepen-
dent predi ctor of hospi tal charges. Therefore, i t was
necessary to assume that per capi ta hospi tal charges
were si mi l ar for U.S.-born and forei gn-born persons,
whi ch woul d not hol d true i f the severi ty of di sease
di ffered between the forei gn-born and U.S.-born per-
sons.
RESULTS
Summary measures of demographi c characteri sti cs
for New York Ci ty resi dents avai l abl e are presented i n
Tabl e 1. Approxi matel y 13% of the persons sampl ed i n
the HVS di d not report thei r country of bi rth.
Hospitalization among 18- to 45-Year-Olds
(Base-CaseAnalysis)
I n New York Ci ty nei ghborhoods, hospi tal i zati on
rates among 18- to 45-year-ol ds vari ed from approxi -
matel y 5.5 hospi tal i zati ons per 100 resi dents per year
(the Upper East Si de i n Manhattan) to 20 hospi tal i za-
ti ons per 100 resi dents per year (Morri sani a i n the
Bronx) i n 1996. Forei gn-born persons were represented
i n al l nei ghborhoods, compri si ng between just over
10% of the popul ati on of the Upper East Si de i n Man-
hattan to just under 80% of the popul ati on of Jackson
Hei ghts i n Queens. Fi gure 1 i l l ustrates the rel ati on-
shi p between the percentage of forei gn-born persons
l i vi ng i n a nei ghborhood (pi e chart) and the hospi tal -
i zati on rate (darker col ored nei ghborhoods have a
hi gher rate of hospi tal i zati on). Of the 27 nei ghbor-
hoods wi th l ower than average hospi tal i zati on rates,
20 had forei gn-born popul ati ons above the mean for
New York Ci ty.
I n uni vari ate anal yses, total househol d i ncome, gen-
der, race, ethni ci ty, country of ori gi n, and overcrowd-
i ng were al l si gni cantl y correl ated wi th hospi tal i za-
ti on rates (see Tabl e 2). I ncreasi ng percentages of
forei gn-born occupants i n a nei ghborhood predi cted
l ower rates of hospi tal i zati on for i nfecti ous di sease,
cancer, ci rcul atory condi ti ons, mental i l l ness, and ner-
vous system condi ti ons (data not shown). Hospi tal i za-
ti on rates for di gesti ve condi ti ons, however, were si m-
TABLE 1
Demographi c Characteri sti cs of New Yorkers
by Pl ace of Bi rth
a
Nati ve-born Forei gn-born New York Ci ty
Medi an age (years) 43 42 43
Medi an i ncome $37,070 $33,500 $34,920
Percentage femal e 56 47 51
Percentage Hi spani c 13 33 26
Percentage Bl ack 36 31 31
Percentage Whi te 63 48 59
Percentage Asi an 2 20 9
a
Does not i ncl ude not reported cases.
Source: Uni ted States Bureau of the Census, 1996 Housi ng and
Vacancy Survey.
227 HEALTH OF I MMI GRANTS
i l ar i n nei ghborhoods wi th hi gh and l ow proporti ons of
forei gn-born persons.
Tabl e 3 l i sts the resul ts of the mul ti vari ate anal yses.
After control l i ng for covari ates, U.S.-born persons and
Puerto Ri can-born persons were more l i kel y to be hos-
pi tal i zed than forei gn-born persons; however, hospi tal -
i zati on rates for Cari bbean persons from non-U.S. ter-
ri tori es were not si gni cantl y l ower than average.
When i ncome, gender, race, and ethni ci ty are not ac-
counted for, the ri sk of hospi tal i zati on for U.S.-born
persons was not stati sti cal l y si gni cant i n the base-
case anal ysi s. Thi s was true i n the subanal ysi s of 18- to
25-year-ol d persons but not i n the 25- to 45-year-ol d
subgroup, suggesti ng that younger forei gn-born per-
sons may be at greater ri sk of hospi tal i zati on than
ol der forei gn-born persons rel ati ve to nati ve-born per-
sons. Control l i ng for Asi an race had l i ttl e i mpact on the
associ ati on between the total number of forei gn-born
persons resi di ng i n a nei ghborhood and the hospi tal -
i zati on rate.
The factors we studi ed expl ai ned approxi matel y 69%
of the vari ati on i n the rate of hospi tal i zati on between
nei ghborhoods, wi th i ncome accounti ng for over 54% of
the hospi tal i zati on rate and the percentage of forei gn-
born persons expl ai ni ng al most 10% of the vari ati on.
Hospitalization among Persons Aged 45 to 65
I n uni vari ate anal yses, the di recti on, magni tude,
and si gni cance of the determi nants of hospi tal i zati on
TABLE 2
Si gni cant Predi ctors of Hospi tal i zati on i n New York Ci ty
Nei ghborhoods for 18- to 45-year-ol ds
Total fami l y i ncome r 0.65 (P 0.001)
Percentage femal e (i ncl udes
hospi tal i zati ons for normal bi rths) r 0.70 (P 0.001)
Percentage Whi te r 0.55 (P 0.01)
Percentage Hi spani c r 0.31 (P 0.01)
Percentage of househol ds wi th 1.5
persons per room r 0.25 (P 0.05)
Percentage of forei gn-born (excl udes
U.S. terri tori es)
18 to 45 years r 0.27 (P 0.05)
25 to 45 years r 0.35 (P 0.05)
FIG. 1. Hospi tal rates and the percentage forei gn-born i n New York Ci ty nei ghborhoods, 1996. (Source: Uni ted States Bureau of Census;
Housi ng and Vacancy Survey, 1996; and the Statewi de Pl anni ng and Research Cooperati ve System, 1996.)
228 MUENNI G AND FAHS
for persons aged 4565 were si mi l ar to those for the 18-
to 25- and 18- to 45-year-ol d groups. When control l i ng
for gender, i ncome, and race i n mul ti vari abl e model s,
the percentage of forei gn-born persons aged 45 to 65
was negati vel y associ ated wi th the rate of hospi tal i za-
ti on ( 0.082; P 0.0001). The ri sk factors we
exami ned accounted for approxi matel y 61% of the fac-
tors l eadi ng to hospi tal i zati on. As i n the base-case
anal ysi s, the percentage of Puerto Ri cans i n a nei gh-
borhood predi cted si gni cantl y hi gher hospi tal i zati on
rates ( 0.13; P 0.001), as di d the percentage of
persons born i n the conti nental Uni ted States (
0.067; P 0.003), when covari ates were i ncl uded i n the
model . After removi ng covari ates, the rel ati onshi p re-
mai ned si gni cant.
Hospitalizations among Persons Aged 65 and Over
There were no si gni cant di fferences i n hospi tal i za-
ti on rates between nei ghborhoods when onl y persons
over the age of 65 were exami ned. Thi s hel d true when
we attempted to control for race, i ncome, and gender
Costs
I n 1996, hospi tal i zati on charges for persons 18 to 45
were approxi matel y 3.5 bi l l i on dol l ars. Forei gn-born
persons may have reduced adjusted hospi tal costs by
$300 mi l l i on dol l ars i n 1996 (95% condence i nterval
$291 mi l l i on to $323 mi l l i on). Unadjusted savi ngs
(charges) were $720 mi l l i on dol l ars.
The di fferenti al i n hospi tal costs between U.S.-born
and forei gn-born hospi tal i zati on patterns of persons i n
the 45- to 65-year age group was greater than i n the 18-
to 45-year age group, amounti ng to $311 mi l l i on (95%
condence i nterval $219 mi l l i on to $382 mi l l i on) on
total charges of $3.2 bi l l i on. Unadjusted savi ngs were
$747 mi l l i on dol l ars. For persons 65 and over, no sav-
i ngs were predi cted. Total predi cted savi ngs i n soci etal
costs from reduced hospi tal i zati ons among the forei gn-
born for persons 18 to 65 years amounted to $611
mi l l i on dol l ars i n 1996.
Mortality Rates
Forei gn-born persons have l ower age-standardi zed
rates of death, a l onger l i fe expectancy, and fewer years
of l i fe l ost to di sease than U.S.-born persons (see Tabl e
4). I n 1990, forei gn-born persons l i ved approxi matel y 4
years l onger than U.S.-born persons and 6 years l onger
than Puerto Ri cans at 1 year of age. The mortal i ty rate
for forei gn-born persons between the ages of 1 and 25
years of age was not si gni cantl y di fferent from rates
reported for U.S.-born persons, however.
Persons born i n terri tori es of the Uni ted States re-
si di ng i n New York Ci ty appear to be at greater ri sk of
death than persons born i n the Uni ted States when al l
age groups are consi dered together. However, after the
age of 45, the ri sk of death i s roughl y comparabl e to
persons born i n the conti nental Uni ted States and Ha-
wai i .
DISCUSSION
Gi ven the l ower hospi tal i zati on and mortal i ty rates
among forei gn-born persons l i vi ng i n New York, the
forei gn-born appear to be i n better heal th than U.S.-
born New Yorkers. Hospi tal i zati on rates for cancer,
ci rcul atory di sorders, mental i l l ness, neurol ogi cal con-
TABLE 3
Determi nants of Hospi tal i zati on Rates for Nei ghborhoods
by Proporti on of Resi dents 1845 Years of Age Who Are
Forei gn-Born, Nati ve-Born, or Born i n Uni ted States Terri -
tori es
Sl ope () P val ue R
2
Model s usi ng onl y the fol l owi ng
vari abl es
Forei gn-born 0.06 0.02* 0.09
Born i n the conti nental Uni ted
States 0.04 0.12* 0.05
Born i n Puerto Ri co 0.37 0.0001* 0.40
Model s control l i ng for i ncome, gender,
race, and ethni ci ty and separatel y
addi ng the fol l owi ng vari abl es
Forei gn-born 0.08 0.0001* 0.69
Control l i ng for Asi an race 0.07 0.001* 0.64
Born i n non-U.S. Cari bbean 0.04 0.06 0.61
Born i n conti nental U.S. 0.61 0.008* 0.63
Born i n Puerto Ri co 0.23 0.0018* 0.65
* Stati sti cal l y si gni cant at P 0.05.
TABLE 4
1990 Mortal i ty Rates per 100,000 Persons
by Country of Bi rth, New York Ci ty
U.S. U.S. terri tory Forei gn
Age (years)
1 to 25 72 123 102
25 to 45 405 694* 197*
45 to 65 1086 1065 533*
65 to 75 2591 2465* 1853*
75 6865 6757* 8800*
ASR
a
965 1054* 841*
Ri sk rati o
1 to 25
b
1.71 1.42
25 to 45 1.71 0.49
45 to 65 0.99 0.49
65 to 75 0.95 0.72
75 0.98 1.28
ASR* 1.08 0.86
Li fe expectancy at
1 year of age
72 69 76
* Stati sti cal l y si gni cant (P 0.05).
a
Age-standardi zed rate usi ng the 1990 New York Ci ty popul ati on
as a standard popul ati on.
b
The ri sk of death for persons born i n Uni ted States terri tori es
and forei gn-born persons rel ati ve to nati ve-born persons.
229 HEALTH OF I MMI GRANTS
di ti ons, and i nfecti ous di sease al l decl i ne as the per-
centage of forei gn-born persons i n a nei ghborhood i n-
creases and thi s trend conti nues unti l at l east age 65.
Despi te l i mi ted access to ambul atory and preventi ve
care servi ces [3,4,911], whi ch may l ead to hi gher ad-
mi ssi on rates [3], hospi tal costs for the forei gn-born
were l ess than among the U.S.-born. Overal l cost sav-
i ngs from reduced hospi tal uti l i zati on amounted to
$611 mi l l i on.
The overal l soci etal savi ngs reect costs associ ated
wi th the producti on and del i very of medi cal products
and servi ces, but do not i ncl ude hospi tal prots. Si nce
federal payors excl ude prots when rei mbursi ng hos-
pi tal s, soci etal costs better reect the scal burden of
hospi tal costs i n the publ i c sector than hospi tal
charges.
The l ower hospi tal i zati on and mortal i ty rates among
forei gn-born groups may i n part be due to sel ecti on
factors among i mmi grant groups, si nce l egal i mmi -
grants must undergo a medi cal exami nati on (to rul e
out excl udabl e condi ti ons, mostl y acti ve i nfecti ous di s-
eases) pri or to entry i nto the Uni ted States, must be
heal thy enough to travel , and may al so come from
countri es wi th l ower rates of chroni c di sease [57,19].
Three di sti nct factors may contri bute to the hi gher
rates of mortal i ty and comparabl e rates of morbi di ty i n
forei gn-born persons over the age of 65 we observed.
Fi rst, forei gn-born persons may experi ence a decl i ne i n
heal th status as they become accul turated and are
exposed to ri sk factors for chroni c di sease, such as a
poor di et, poor housi ng condi ti ons, and cri me. Second,
there are cl ear demographi c di fferences i n the vari ous
age cohorts we studi ed wi th younger persons mostl y
havi ng arri ved from devel opi ng countri es and ol der
persons predomi nantl y havi ng arri ved from Western
Europe, where the rate of chroni c di sease i s general l y
hi gher [20]. Fi nal l y, because younger U.S.-born and
Puerto Ri co-born persons have hi gher mortal i ty rates
than forei gn-born persons, onl y the heal thi est mem-
bers of these two groups l i ve past age 75, resul ti ng i n
comparati vel y l ower mortal i ty rates i n l ater years.
Thi s survi vor effect i s frequentl y seen i n l ongi tudi nal
cohort studi es [21].
There were a number of l i mi tati ons to our study.
Fi rst, i n constructi ng l i fe tabl es, we assumed that l i fe
expectancy after age 75 woul d be si mi l ar across coun-
tri es of bi rth. Thi s assumpti on l i kel y resul ted i n a
sl i ght underesti mate of the l i fe expectancy of persons
born i n Uni ted States terri tori es and a sl i ght overesti -
mate of the l i fe expectancy of forei gn-born persons
because of the survi vor effect.
There i s evi dence that the provi si on of ambul atory
care servi ces reduces hospi tal i zati on rates [3]. Because
the forei gn-born appear to be heal thi er than U.S.-born
persons, the need for ambul atory care servi ces woul d
l i kel y be l ower. Though we were not abl e to esti mate
hospi tal i zati on costs or savi ngs associ ated wi th
forei gn-born popul ati ons for persons under the age of
18 or over the age of 65, i t i s not l i kel y that hospi tal
costs associ ated wi th ei ther age group di ffer greatl y
from U.S.-born persons si nce mortal i ty rates i n both of
these age groups were si mi l ar to U.S.-born persons.
The accuracy of our cost esti mates, however, was al so
l i mi ted by our i nabi l i ty to cal cul ate per capi ta hospi tal
charges by sub-borough area. Gi ven that the forei gn-
born may del ay seeki ng treatment for severe medi cal
condi ti ons l eadi ng to unavoi dabl e hospi tal i zati on, i t i s
possi bl e that the hospi tal charges for those forei gn-
born persons who are actual l y hospi tal i zed are hi gher
than for U.S.-born persons. These di fferences i n per
capi ta costs were not captured.
Fi nal l y, we empl oyed a smal l area anal ysi s, whi ch i s
subject to bi as. For i nstance, i mmi grants tend to l i ve i n
l ower i ncome nei ghborhoods. Nati ve-born persons re-
si di ng i n these nei ghborhoods are l i kel y much l ess
heal thy than forei gn-born persons, but have si mi l ar
i ncomes. The presence of l ow-i ncome nati ve-born per-
sons i n a predomi nantl y forei gn-born nei ghborhood
woul d reduce the magni tude of the observed di fference
i n hospi tal i zati on rates and costs rel ati ve to a noneco-
l ogi cal anal ysi s.
Heal th care i s the thi rd l argest economi c sector i n
New York Ci ty, accounti ng for more than 13% of al l
empl oyment and wages and i s an economi c sector
heavi l y dependent on publ i c funds [22]. The heal th
care sector, l i ke vi rtual l y al l segments of New Yorks
economy, i s dependent on forei gn-born workers that
must be heal thy to be producti ve [3,23]. We were not
abl e to add producti vi ty effects to our economi c anal y-
si s. Were we abl e to, the projected savi ngs may be
hi gher.
Both the HVS, whi ch was used to cal cul ate hospi tal -
i zati on rates, and the 1990 PUMS, whi ch was used to
cal cul ate mortal i ty rates, l i kel y underesti mated the
number of forei gn-born persons (especi al l y undocu-
mented persons), i mpoveri shed persons, and raci al mi -
nori ty groups [24]. We assumed that thi s underesti -
mate was consi stent across sub-borough areas. I f thi s
assumpti on i s correct, undercounti ng woul d have no
effect on the smal l area anal ysi s si nce onl y the propor-
ti on of forei gn-born persons resi di ng i n each sub-
borough area was entered i nto the mul ti pl e regressi on
model s. However, i t i s possi bl e that the mortal i ty rates
among the forei gn-born we observed represent a hi gh
esti mate si nce popul ati on data are used as the denom-
i nator of such rates.
On the other hand, i t i s possi bl e that l ower mortal i ty
rates reect emi grati on of very i l l persons to thei r
country of bi rth. I f severel y i l l persons return to thei r
homel and to di e, thi s mi ght al so l ower the overal l rate
of hospi tal i zati on i n predomi nantl y forei gn-born nei gh-
borhoods.
230 MUENNI G AND FAHS
The majori ty of forei gn-born persons are not el i gi bl e
to recei ve publ i cl y funded ambul atory or preventi ve
medi cal servi ces [3]. Therefore, i t i s l i kel y that some of
the hospi tal i zati ons and deaths counted i n predomi -
nantl y forei gn-born nei ghborhoods were preventabl e.
Our resul ts suggest that the forei gn-born resi di ng i n
New York Ci ty are heal thi er than U.S.-born persons
and are consumi ng fewer heal th system resources.
Arguments that the forei gn-born are overuti l i zi ng
medi cal servi ces and are thus unfai rl y and di spropor-
ti onatel y drai ni ng publ i cl y funded medi cal resources
appear to be unfounded, and l egi sl ati on based on such
arguments shoul d be reexami ned.
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231 HEALTH OF I MMI GRANTS