This Is Tomorrow

Equity Markets Update

16-20 June 2014
This Is Tomorrow, Equity Markets Update is a research based on new approach to
quantitative analysis in which the goal is to develop better understanding of market
movements and risk management. This is a practical solution and comprehensive
picture of certain security with a view to improve investment performance. It offers a
smart trading capability along with a disciplined approach.
This Is Tomorrow | Equity Markets Update

Page 2 | 16-20 June 2014
Table 1: Summary

SPX The short-term uptrend is headed toward to 1950. A short-term correction is likely to take place up to 1909.
The first sign of change in current up-trend is when SPXs closing price is below 1907.
NDX

ND

RUT The recent short-term uptrend is headed toward to 1200 during June; however a slight decrease in price may take place.

GOOGL

ND

AMZN


AAPL

Short-term up trend is over; however the long-term up-trend is underway.

FB A closing price below 63.2 suggests a recent rally will be halted.
The uptrend may be headed toward 71.4 over the next three months.
MSFT

An increase in price up to 44.3 is forecast over the coming weeks.
A daily close above 41.5 indicates the current up-trend will continue up to 44.3
HPQ Recent rise may be stretched up to 38.4 over the next three months. Strong demands and supplies are clustered around 34.9 and 37 respectively.
A closing price below 34.75 suggests a slowdown in the price appreciation.
WFC

A Short correction is expected up to 50.8.

BAC

The recent uptrend is headed toward 17.4 over the coming three months.

MO The long term bull market will likely be on course. A short-term correction may carry on within the next week. Strong demands are clustered
around 40 and 40.65.
MRK

JNJ

MMM




This Is Tomorrow | Equity Markets Update

Page 3 | 16-20 June 2014
Table 2: Strategy, Risk, Forecast


Recent Trend Favourable & Unfavourable Move Risk
Symbol Last
S
t
r
a
t
e
g
y

Low TN High %
Next
week
1-3
Weeks
1-3
Months
Unexpected
Move
Initial
Warning
Risk
Weekly
Risk
Daily
Worst
Case
Scenario
SPX 1936 CO 1803 1955 8.4 19101950 19101995 1850 17501900 1910 1900 1907 1850
NDX 3775 3414 3795 ND ND ND
RUT 1162 CO 1082 1179 8.9 1150 11501193 11151250 1037 1140 1137
GOOGL 560 511 577 ND ND ND 542
AMZN 326 TR 284 340 19.7 323335 323340 348 280315 313
AAPL 91.28 TR 73.05 95.05 30.1 9094.7 87.895.7 87.895.7 8287 93.8 94.7 88 86
FB 64.5 CO 56.3 66.47 18 63.366 62.566 71.4 5664 63.2 62.5 62 61.8
MSFT 41.23 BU 38.5 41.6 8 40.6 40.6 44 3941.5 41 40.3 40.5 40.3
HPQ 35.16 BU 31.2 35.2 12.8 34.935.8 34.936.7 3537 3134 34.8 34.1 33.1 33.1
WFC 51.9 CO 46.7 52.63 12.7 50.852.5 50.853 49.655 47.650 50.8 50 50 49.6
BAC 15.44 CO 14.37 15.95 10.9 15.0515.9 15.316.4 14.517.4 13.815.3 15.3 15.15 15.05 14.8
MO 41.45 CO 33.8 42.7 26.3 40.642.2 39.544.5 38.541.5 41.1 40 39.7 39.1
MRK
JNJ
MMM









This Is Tomorrow | Equity Markets Update

Page 4 | 16-20 June 2014
Table 3: Trend and cycle Analysis


UP TREND
(Short, Med, Long Term)
DOWN TREND
(Short, Med Term)
Pivot
Market
State
Trend
Strength %
Securitys cycle
Symbol Last MIN SEC INT PRI GRA CYC MIN SEC INT short Long Type Bias Short Long C G P I S M
SPX 1936 1950 1900 1700 1370 1576 SC 6 41.0 28.0 2 1 2 3 2 2
NDX 3775 3610 3722 3150
RUT 1162 1140 1190 1065 1065 TN 5
GOOGL 560 542 615 465
AMZN 326 330 315 337 SW 3
AAPL 91.28 92 85.6 82.2 100 SC 5 14.5 -5.2 2 0 2 2 2 2
FB 64.5 64.3 63.2 71.4 45 63.9 TN 6 -9.4 49.2 1 3 1 2
MSFT 41.23 40.5 41.6 39 33 31.5 60 40.3 41.3 SW 6 29.5 -17.9 2 2 1 2 1 2
HPQ 35.16 34.2 33.9 27.8 54.7 34.8 34 TN 6 25.7 -23.4 2 1 2 2 1 2
WFC 51.9 52 50 44.8 34 44.7 41.6 SC 5 46.2 22.6 2 1 2 3 2 2
BAC 15.44 15.6 15 18 19.9 55.1 15.05 14.5 BO 2 -20.2 -93.4 2 2 1 1 2
MO 41.45 41.6 38.5 36.3 14.4 41.1 39.1 SC 5 7.5 165 2 3 2 1 1 3
MRK
JNJ
MMM


This Is Tomorrow | Equity Markets Update

Page 5 | 16-20 June 2014
Table 4: Demand Supply Study, Probability Distribution

4 12 33 68 84 Last 84 68 33 12 4

SPX
2050 1995 1975 1955 1950 1936 1915 1910 1907 1900 1850
S S S P S D D2 B2 R P W D
NDX


RUT
1212 1208 1200 1182 1167 1162 1154 1144 1137 1125 1115
P S S S UT D D R D D
GOOGL


AMZN
340 337 335 332 329 326 323 316 313 310 305
S S R S3 S3 S P D3 B3 P D R D D
AAPL
96.7 95.3 94.7 93.8 92.2 91.28 90.9 90.4 90 89.2 88
S S S RW S3 S3 S D3 D D3 B3 D OS R
FB
71.4 69.8 69.2 66.5 65.7 64.5 63.8 63.3 62.5 61.9 59.8
S S S S S D D3 B3 D5 B5 R W D
MSFT
44.7 44.3 42.2 41.6 41.3 41.23 41 40.8 40.5 40.3 40
S S OB S P R P UT D D D R W
HPQ
37.7 37 36.6 35.8 35.5 35.15 34.9 34.75 34.1 33.7 33.1
S3 OB S3 S S2 D1 D2 B2 D3 B3 D3 P R D1 OS R
WFC
54.6 54 53 52.6 52 51.9 51.6 51.3 50.8 50.3 49.7
S S S S OB P P D1 B1 D2 R B2 D2 D10 OS
BAC
17.4 16.4 16.15 15.95 15.6 15.45 15.4 15.3 15.05 14.8 14.5
S S OB S P D P D D2 R D D
MO
43.5 42.7 42.6 42.15 41.6 41.55 41.1 40.6 40.2 39.8 39.6
S P S S OB UT P D2 R B2 D3 D D W OS
MRK


JNJ


MMM




This Is Tomorrow | Equity Markets Update

Page 6 | 16-20 June 2014
Table 5: Price Forecast
1W +1W 1M +1M 3M +3M 6M +6M 9M +9M 1Y +1Y 2Y +2Y 5Y +5Y High/Low Price Estimate
SPX
1910 1900 1900 1900 1840 1840 1800 1800 1800 1780 1780 1780 2000
1955 1995 2000 2000 2000 2050 2050 2150 2150 2150 2250 2250 2500 3000
NDX


RUT
1150 1115 1115
1180 1190 1190 1250 1250
GOOGL
558 535 580
590 615 615
AMZN
292.3 292.3 310
330 330 340
AAPL
88 88 85.6 83.5 83.5
94.7 95.7 95.7 95.7 95.7 95.7 100 100 100
FB
62.5 59.8 59.8
66 72 72 72 72 85 85 85 93
MSFT
40.5 40 40 40.35
44 44 44 47 47 47 47 47 47 48 52 75 0.026(t+100)+38.97
HPQ
34.8 34 34 34 35 35 35 36 37 37 38 38 0.0202(t+121)+30.11
37 37 37 39 39 42 42 42 42 47.8 54 54 0.0789(t+44)+28.74
WFC
50.8 49.6 49.6 49.6 50.6 51 51.3 51.6 52 52 53 55 57 63 69 0.0152(t+132)+46.95
52.6 53 53 53 54 55 56.4 56.4 56.4 56.4 58.3 60 66 80 150 180 0.0292(t+198)+44.83
BAC
15.05 14.8 14.8 15.6 15.6 16
16 16.5 16.5 17.4 17.4 18 18 18 20 20 20 20 22 24 39 52
MO
40 39.6 39.6 39.6
42.2 42.6 43.5 45 45 45 45 47 47 47 47 50 62 73 90 106
MRK
55 55 55 55 57.8
58.9 61 61 61 61 81
JNJ

110 115 130 140 270
MMM





This Is Tomorrow | Equity Markets Update

Page 7 | 16-20 June 2014
Table 6: Scenario Analysis
Cycle SPX NDX RUT GOOGL AMZN AAPL FB MSFT HPQ WFC BAC MO MRK JNJ MMM
Grand
More than
5 years
From 63.3 41 33.5 50.78 15.15 41.55 57.8 101.4
To 175 87 67 120 37 93 101 150
% 176.4 109.9 100 136 144.2 123.8 74.7 47.9
Primary
1 to 5 years

From 1923 1165 41 33.5 50.78 15.15 41.55 57.8 101.4
To 3000 1800 60 54 80 25 57 80 130
% 53.9 54.5 44.8 61.1 57.5 65 37.0 38.4 28.2
Intermediate
6-12 months
From 1923 3736 1165 90.4 63.3 41 33.5 50.78 15.15 41.55 57.8 101.4
To 2490 4150 1340 101.4 93 50 41.8 66 20 48 64.8 115
% 27.8 11.1 15.0 10.1 46.7 20.6 24.7 30 32 15.5 12.1 13.4
Secondary
1-6 months
From 1923 3736 1165 571 312.5 90.4 63.3 41 33.5 50.78 15.15 41.55 57.8 101.4
To 2130 3995 1200 609 337 96.7 71.4 47 37.7 60 17.4 44.5 61.1 109.5
% 9.2 6.9 3.0 6.7 7.8 5.0 12.8 13.4 12.5 18.1 14.8 2.4 5.7 8.0
Minor
1-3 weeks
From 1160 325 41 34.9 15.05
To 1200 337 44 36.7 16.5
% 3.4 3.7 7.3 5.1 9.6
Correction
1-3 months
From 4140 41.55
To 3500 40.1
% -15.5 -3.6
Correction
1-3 weeks
From 93.8 52 16.5 41.55
To 90 50.8 15.8 40.6
% -4 -2.3 -4.2 -2.4
Trading
1-8 weeks
From 1910 90.4 63.3 34.9 50.8 15.4 40.1
To 1950 94.7 66 36.7 52.6 16.4 41.4
% 2.0 4.7 4.2 5.1 3.5 6.5 3.2
Trading
1-8 weeks
From 62.5 35 15.8 40.6
To 71.4 37.7 17.4 42.1
% 14.2 7.7 10.1 3.7

This Is Tomorrow | Equity Markets Update

Page 8 | 16-20 June 2014
Appendix
Underway-Ongoing, the closing price above(Uptrend side)/below (Downtrend side) this level is forecast over next 3 months
Underway-Ongoing, the closing price above(Uptrend side)/below (Downtrend side) this level is forecast over next week
New Data is required
Already is ended
It is forecast that the trend will be triggered within the coming 3 weeks
It is forecast that the trend will be ended within the coming 3 weeks

1800: it is predicted that the security will fall up to the specified figure.
1800: it is predicted that the security will rise up to the specified figure.
1800: the closing price below this level is expected.
1800: the closing price above this level is expected.
18001900: the closing price between two figures is forecast.
18001900: the expected low and high that is expected over the period
19001800: the expected low and high that is expected over the period

Bias
+6 +5 +4 +3 +2 +1 0 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 -6
SU SD MU MD SU SD LU LD SU SD MU MD SU SD

Short-term: less than 3 weeks, Medium-term: less than 3 months, Long-term: less than 9 months
Trend=TN, Short-Correction=SC, Mid-Correction=MC, Side-way=SW, Top Out=TO, Bottom Out=BO
Bearish=BE, Bullish=BU, Correction=CO, Trading=TR, Hold=HD, Look to new Data=ND
UP-TREND=UT, DOWN-TREND=DT, RISK=R, Worst Case Scenario= W, Supply=S, Demand=D, Pivot=P,
Sell Limit=S, Sell Stop=S,Buy Limit=B,Buy Stop=B
Overbought=OB, Oversold=OS

This Is Tomorrow | Equity Markets Update

Page 9 | 16-20 June 2014







Research Analyst: Rayan Massah
Email Contact: rayan.massah@gmail.com




This Is Tomorrow, Financial Markets Updateis a research based on new approach to quantitative
analysis in which the goal is to develop better understanding of market movements and risk management.
This is a practical solution and comprehensive picture of certain security with a view to improve
investment performance. It offers a smart trading capability along with a disciplined approach.
This Is Tomorrow
FINANCIAL MARKETS UPDATE