Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
Comentarios
• Los datos del PIB de ayer estuvieron en línea con las expectativas y la Confianza del Consumidor de la Conference Board fue mejor de lo esperado. Las actas del
FOMC por desgracia mostraron que la institución financiera más importante del mundo está confusa y navega por aguas completamente desconocidas. Por
ejemplo ¿Prevén una tasa de desempleo del 9,5%!? La curva de rendimientos cayó inmediatamente, porque todo el mundo sabe que eso no va a pasar. En otras
palabras, la Reserva Federal ha revelado que la política monetaria va a ser poco exigente durante todo 2010.
• Otro día cargado de datos: El USD va a bajar y los activos de riesgo (renta variable, alto rendimiento, AUD etc.) van a subir.
EE.UU. 13:30 Pedidos de Bienes Duraderos Intermens. (OCT) 0,5% 1,4% Saxo Bank: 0,3%
EE.UU. 15:00 Venta de Vivienda Nueva Intermens. (OCT) 0,4% -3,6% Saxo Bank: -1,5%
Publicaciones de ganancias
País Hora (GMT) Nombre GPA prevista GPA anterior Comentario
(G(GMT)(GMT)
Informe Diario de Mercado
2,5
120
100
1,5
1
80
0,5
60
0
-0,5
40
16-jul 16-sep 16-nov 16-jan 16-mar 16-maj 16-jul 16-sep 16-nov
26-11-2008 26-01-2009 26-03-2009 26-05-2009 26-07-2009 26-09-2009
US Breakeven 10 Year Saxo CDS Index
USD breakeven 10 Year – an expression for measuring Credit Default Swaps are expressions for the
inflation expectations. perceived default risk in a company. Now at 56.
AAA and BAA Corporate Bonds vs. 30yr US Treasuries
EURUSD Opt. Vol.
35 7
30 6
25 5
20 4
15 3
10 2
5 1
0
0
apr-08 jul-08 okt-08 jan-09 apr-09 jul-09 okt-09
nov-07 jan-08 mar-08 maj-08 jul-08 sep-08 nov-08 jan-09 mar-09 maj-09 jul-09 sep-09 nov-09
EUR-USD OPT VOL 1W EUR-USD OPT VOL 1M EUR-USD OPT VOL 1Y Moody BAA - US Generic Govt 30 Year Yield Moody AAA - US Generic Govt 30 Year Yield
Volatility at different time horizons. Too low, now? Spreads are easing, but still showing tight
corporate debt markets.
CEE-German Govt. Bond Spreads CBOE SPX VOLATILITY INDEX
12 40
35
10
30
8
25
6 20
15
4
10
2 5
0
0
maj-09 jun-09 jul-09 aug-09 sep-09 okt-09 nov-09
jan-09 feb-09 mar-09 apr-09 maj-09 jun-09 jul-09 aug-09 sep-09 okt-09
CBOE SPX VOLATILITY INDX
GDMA Hungarian - German Czech Republic - German Poland - German
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