1 BMJ Gary J Macfarlane 2 Quality Score Outcome of low back pain in general practice: a prospective study Prospective study design (ross! sectional survey" Journal #$e %pine Journal Brian R. Wateran! MD! "hili# J. Belont Jr.! MD! An$re% J. Schoenfel$! MD &ow back pain in t$e 'nited %tates: incidence and risk factors for presentation in t$e emergency setting ross! sectional study ( ) * + , - . 1/ 11 12 1( 1) 1* 1+ 1, 1- 1. 2/ 21 0isk 1merican Journal of 2pidemiology Dr. ". Do&'in! Dr. J. (anley! Dr. S. Woo$) Dau#hinee! Dr. J. *l+anna! an$ A. (aa'er 3actors for t$e 4evelopment of &ow Back Pain in 1dolescence (o$ort study" repeated! measures design 22 2( 2) ,ollo%)u# Sa#le Si-e Age Dro#)out ( mont$s 12 mont$s )./ 1-!,* 2, Duration.,re/u ency of Treatent Duration of Bac' "ain 1ppro5imately ) years 1ppro5imatel y t$e w$ole population of '%1 (Bimodal distribution" 2*!2.6 .*!.. 1 year -1/ 7o criteria (/- ( mont$s6 + mont$s6 12 mont$s 0nter+ention 1ointer+ention 2utcoe Measures ross!sectional study 1o#arison Treatents (N) Prospective study design (ross!sectional study" 0epeated!measures design (co$ort study" Result 4uring t$e 12 mont$ recruitment period )./ people (2/( men and 2-, women" consulted at least once because of pain in t$e lower back8 #$is represents an annual cumulative incidence in t$e adult practice populations of +8)98 3igures for t$e two study practices were similar (+8(9 and +8)9"8 :omen were more likely t$an men to consult because of low back pain6 and in bot$ se5es consultation rates were $ig$est in t$ose aged )*!*.8 Based on medical records6 )+( (.)9" of t$e )./ consulters $ad not visited t$eir general practitioner because of low back pain in t$e t$ree mont$s before t$eir inde5 consultation and were t$erefore considered to $ave a new consulting episode of low back pain8 #$e reasearc$ers e5cluded t$e remaining 2, patients from all furt$er analyses8 1n estimated 28/+ million episodes of low back pain occurred among a population at risk of over 18)- billion person!years for an incidence rate of 18(. per 16/// person!years in t$e 'nited %tates8 &ow back pain accounted for (81*9 of all emergency visits8 ;n<uries sustained at $ome (+*9" accounted for most patients presenting wit$ low back pain8 &ow back pain demonstrates a bimodal distribution wit$ peaks between 2* and 2. years of age (28*-=16/// person!years" and .* to .. years of age (18),=16///" wit$out differentiation by underlying etiology8 :$en compared wit$ females6 males s$owed no significant differences in t$e rates of low back pain8 >owever6 w$en analy?ed by *!year age group6 males aged 1/ to ). years and females aged +* to .) years $ad increased risk of low back pain t$an t$eir opposite se5 counterparts8 :$en compared wit$ 1sian race6 patients of black and w$ite race were found to $ave significantly $ig$er rates of low back pain8 Older patients were found to be at a greater risk of $ospital admission for low back pain8 1t inception (fall of 1..*"6 t$ere were .)- eligible sub<ects (all t$ose w$o attended t$e sc$ools in t$ose grades t$at were to be tested"8 Of t$ese6 -1/ (-* percent" agreed to participate and were present on t$e first day of testing8 1 total of */2 (+2 percent" of t$e -1/ completed all t$ree evaluations and were used in t$e analysis8 #$ose w$o were lost to follow!up after t$e first evaluation were slig$tly older6 $eavier6 and taller and worked and smoked more8 %ub<ects grew more in t$e second interval (i8e86 over t$e spring and summer mont$s" compared wit$ t$e first + mont$s (fall and winter mont$s"8 3le5ibility measures stayed stable for t$e most part over t$e t$ree measurement times6 wit$ sit and reac$ being slig$tly $ig$er at t$e +!mont$ evaluation8 %i5ty!t$ree percent of t$e sub<ects claimed to $ave worked at some point during t$e year of study6 w$ile .1 percent stated t$at t$ey were active in at least one e5tracurricular activity8 #$e incidence of substantial low back pain for t$e first +! mont$ interval was )- new cases among (,, sub<ects w$o did not $ave substantial low back pain at inception (128, percent"8 Of t$e (-. sub<ects w$o did not $ave low back pain at t$e +!mont$ evaluation6 (2 developed it by 12 mont$s6 for a cumulative +!mont$ incidence of -82 percent for t$e second interval8 #$e 1!year cumulative incidence of low back pain for t$e entire co$ort (i8e86 new cases of substantial low back pain over t$e 12 mont$s of follow!up" was +* of (,, (1,82 percent"8 #$e percentages for medication use for low back pain in eac$ +!mont$ interval were (8( and +826 respectively8 #$e percentage for disability due to low back pain (assessed only at t$e final evaluation at 12 mont$s" was 1(8*8