Enhancing Export and Domestic Market through Investment invest in 2013 byIndonesian Investment Coordinating Board. All rights reserved Mahendra Siregar Chairman Trade and Investment Seminar | Jakarta, 17 October 2013 The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 2 Source: Ministry of Trade RI, 2013. Trade Indonesia Trade Balance, 2008-2013 (USD Million) Description 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Trend(%) 2008-2012 Jan-Jul Change(%) 2013/2012 2012 2013 Export 137,020 116,510 157,779 203,497 190,020 12.9 113,044 106,177 -6.1 Oil & Gas 29,126 19,018 28,040 41,477 36,977 13.4 23,089 18,611 -19.4 Non Oil & Gas 107,894 97,492 129,740 162,020 153,043 12.8 89,955 87,567 -2.7 Import 129,197 96,829 135,663 177,436 191,690 15.0 112,804 111,828 -0.9 Oil & Gas 30,553 18,981 27,413 40,702 42,564 15.3 24,197 26,244 8.5 Non Oil & Gas 98,644 77,849 108,251 136,734 149,125 14.9 88,606 85,584 -3.4 Total Trade 266,218 213,339 293,442 380,932 381,710 13.9 225,848 218,006 -3.5 Oil & Gas 59,679 37,999 55,452 82,179 79,541 14.4 47,287 44,855 -5.1 Non Oil & Gas 206,539 175,340 237,990 298,754 302,168 13.8 178,561 173,151 -3.0 Balance of Trade 7,823 19,681 22,116 26,061 -1,669 0.0 241 -5,651 -2,447.9 Oil & Gas -1,427 38 627 776 -5,587 0.0 -1,108 -7,634 588.9 Non Oil & Gas 9,250 19,643 21,489 25,286 3,918 -13.6 1,349 1,983 47.0 The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 3 Trade Indonesias Exports, By Top-10 Products in 2011 (USD Million) Source: Ministry of Industry RI and Statistics Agency, 2013. Rank ManufacturingProducts 2008 2009 2010 2011 Trend 2010-2011 Share in 2011 1 Coconut/palm product 16,104,664 12,924,892 17,253,752 23,179,189 34.3% 19.0% 2 Rubber product 7,751,090 5,020,189 9,522,623 14,540,361 52.7% 11.9% 3 Textile 10,116,346 9,245,132 11,205,515 13,234,017 18.1% 10.8% 4 Metal, machinery and automotive 10,942,505 8,701,121 10,840,032 13,191,710 21.7% 10.8% 5 Electronics 7,677,048 7,899,592 9,254,563 9,536,136 3.0% 7.8% 6 Copper, tin product 5,654,641 4,241,502 6,505,973 7,500,962 15.3% 6.1% 7 Basic chemical 3,821,506 3,168,301 4,577,664 6,119,906 33.7% 5.0% 8 Pulp and paper 5,219,622 4,272,377 5,708,164 5,769,378 1.1% 4.7% 9 Food and beverage 3,202,403 2,569,307 3,219,558 4,505,240 39.9% 3.7% 10 Wood product 4,200,212 3,441,452 4,280,346 4,474,988 4.5% 3.7% Total (10Commodities) 74,690,037 61,483,865 82,368,190 102,051,888 23.9% 83.5% Total (All Commodities) 88,393,496 73,435,841 98,015,076 122,188,727 24.7% 100.0% The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 4 Trade Indonesias Imports, By Top-10 Products in 2011 (USD Million) Source: Ministry of Industry RI and Statistics Agency, 2013. Rank ManufacturingProducts 2008 2009 2010 2011 Trend 2010-2011 Share in 2011 1 Metal, machinery and automotive 39,924,821 31,683,822 43,218,635 52,471,706 21.4% 41.6% 2 Electronics 13,447,759 10,496,709 14,176,235 16,116,570 13.7% 12.8% 3 Basic chemical 10,554,556 8,095,116 11,431,492 15,413,280 34.8% 12.2% 4 Food and beverage 3,089,897 2,810,632 4,514,181 6,851,931 51.8% 5.4% 5 Textile 3,902,167 3,396,923 5,031,224 6,735,213 33.9% 5.3% 6 Electrical equipment 2,460,487 2,105,815 3,142,834 3,769,056 19.9% 3.0% 7 Pulp and paper 2,518,492 1,883,208 2,731,780 3,262,648 19.4% 2.6% 8 Fertilizer 2,548,704 929,141 1,509,190 2,706,978 79.4% 2.1% 9 Other chemical products 1,917,008 1,661,883 2,199,293 2,592,293 17.9% 2.1% 10 Forage 1,741,635 1,679,129 1,871,564 2,220,457 18.6% 1.8% Total (10Commodities) 82,105,526 64,742,378 89,826,428 112,140,132 24.8% 88.9% Total (All Commodities) 91,802,724 72,398,088 101,115,407 126,099,550 24.7% 100.0% The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 5 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (S1) World to World World to ASEAN World Investment Trendof WorldInvestment WorldInvestment 20032013(S1) (USDMillion) Excl. Financial sectors 327,163 239,709 192,451 184,482 168,947 Coal, Oil and Natural Gas Metals Real Estate Alternative/Renewable energy Communications 36,919 26,877 14,872 13,486 13,261 Metals Coal, Oil and Natural Gas Real Estate Transportation Chemicals Top-5 Sectors of Investment to the World 2010 2013 (S1) (USDMillion) Excl. Financial sectors Top-5 Sectors of Investment to ASEAN 2010 2013 (S1) (USDMillion) Excl. Financial sectors Source:fDi Intelligence,fromthe Financial TimesLtd2013. The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 6 World Investment DestinationofWorldInvestment By Region, Based on Capital Expenditure 2010 2013(S1) Excl. Financial sectors Asia Pacific includes ASEAN which covered 9.4% of the world investment. Source:fDi Intelligence,fromthe Financial TimesLtd2013. 10.5% 8.2% 5.5% 5.1% 4.1% 3.1% 2.8% 2.4% 2.3% 2.2% China United States Brazil India UK Russia Australia Indonesia Mexico Canada 33.3% 16.0% 12.4% 11.6% 10.5% 9.7% 6.6% Asia-Pacific Latin America & Caribbean Western Europe Rest of Europe North America Africa Middle East By Top-10 Countries, Based on Capital Expenditure 2010 2013(S1) Excl. Financial sectors The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 7 Total investment (Gross Fixed Capital Formation) required to achieve the target of economic growth of above 6%annually for 2010-2014 periods is USD 1.25 trillion (IDR 12,460 trillion). This investment will create new jobs to decrease the unemployment rate to 5-6 %as well as to decrease the poverty level to 8%. Projection 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Economic growth (%) 5.5-5.6 6.0-6.3 6.4-6.9 6.7-7.4 7.0-7.7 Investment growth (%) 7.2-7.3 7.9-10.9 8.4-11.5 10.2-12.0 11.7-12.1 Investment required (IDR Trillion) 1,894.1 2,111.1 2,144.5 2,348.8 -2,465.0 2,619.9 -2,788.4 2,939.2 -3,168.0 Government (IDR Trillion and %from total investment required) 220.0 (11,6%) 272.9 - 274.5 (12,8-12,9%) 329.9 - 336.6 (13,7-14%) 417.8 - 433.1 (15,5-15,9%) 525.6 - 552.5 (17,4-17,9%) Private sectors (IDR Trillion and %from total investment required) 1,674.1 (88.4%) 1,838.2 -1,870.0 (87.1-87.2%) 2,019.0 -2,128.4 (86.0-86.3%) 2,202.1 -2,355.3 (84.1-84.5%) 2,413.6 -2,615.5 (82.1-82.6%) Source: RPJMN 2010-2014 Notes: Total investment required: IDR12,460 Trillion Government contribution: IDR 1,816.7 Trillion (14,6%) Private contribution: IDR10,643.3 Trillion (85,4%) Private investment consists of large-scale FDI/DDI, investment in oil and gas, and mining sector, financial service investment, and SME and cooperative investment Indonesia Investment Plan National Medium Term Development Plan (RPJMN)2010-2014 The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 8 1-2 years 5 years 10-15 years Indonesia Investment Plan Roadmap of Indonesia Investment Quick wins and low hanging fruits Encouraging and facilitating ready- to-invest investors Knowledge-Based Economy Developing economy by innovation and high-technology Development of Big-Scale Industry Developing big-scale industrials through industry cluster (e.g. Petrochemical, transportation means, and national defense) Acceleration of Infrastructure Development Developing soft infrastucture (education and health facilities) and hard infrastructure (bridge, port, etc) through Private- Public Partnership Scheme More than 15 years Source: BKPM The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 9 21.4 22.5 21.9 22.5 23.7 23.4 23.9 24.4 25.2 5.0 5.7 5.5 6.3 6.1 4.5 6.1 6.5 6.2 - 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011* 2012** Private Consumption Expenditure Government Expenditure Investment Export Import GDP Growth Indonesia Investment Performance Distribution of GDP and GDP Growth at 2000 Constant Market Prices by Expenditure 2004-2012 (Percent) Source:Indonesia Statistics Agency, 2013 *) Preliminary figure **) Very preliminary figure The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 10 Total investment realizationin2012wasUSD34.8 billionor 10.5%abovethe2012target (USD31.5 billion),a24.6%increasefrom2011(USD27.9 billion). Indonesia Investment Performance Overall InvestmentRealizationtoIndonesia20062013(S1) Source:BKPM (USDBillion) Excl. oil, gas, and financial sectors. Total investment realizationinthe 1st semester 2013 wasUSD20.7billion or 49.4%of 2013target (USD42.0billion). It isa29.4%increasefrom the 1st semester 2012(USD16.0 billion). 2012Comparedto2011 2013(S1)Comparedto2012(S1) 2.3 3.9 2.3 4.2 6.8 8.4 10.2 6.5 6 10.3 14.9 10.8 16.6 19.5 24.6 14.2 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (S1) DDI FDI 8.3 14.2 17.1 15.0 23.4 27.9 34.8 20.7 The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 11 Indonesia Investment Performance Foreign Direct Investment toIndonesia Based on Origin Country 2010-2013(S1) (USDmillion) Excl. oil,gasandfinancial sectors Source: BKPM Total(77countries) USD74.5 billion FDI toIndonesia Based on Origin Country January - June 2013 (USDmillion) Excl. oil,gasandfinancial sectors 2,306 1,980 1,353 1,229 657 598 453 378 276 235 Japan Singapore US South Korea UK Netherlands Mauritius Malaysia Brazil Hong Kong 17,525 6,992 5,010 4,726 3,528 3,223 2,286 1,998 1,608 1,245 Singapore Japan US South Korea Netherland British Virgin Islands UK Malaysia Mauritius Hong Kong Total(65 countries) USD14.2billion The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 12 No. Country 2010 2011 2012 2013(S1) 2010-2013(S1) Project Capex Project Capex Project Capex Project Capex Project Capex 1 Singapore 418 5,565 559 5,123 805 4,856 674 1,980 2,456 17,525 2 Japan 321 713 350 1,516 405 2,457 379 2,306 1,455 6,992 3 US 100 931 103 1,488 97 1,238 94 1,353 394 5,010 4 South Korea 355 329 382 1,219 421 1,950 340 1,229 1,498 4,726 5 Netherlands 106 608 97 1,354 131 967 102 598 436 3,528 6 British Virgin Islands 99 1,616 121 517 168 856 124 234 512 3,223 7 UK 132 276 126 419 97 934 107 657 462 2,286 8 Malaysia 198 472 227 618 237 530 241 378 903 1,998 9 Mauritius 20 23 18 73 23 1,059 25 453 86 1,608 10 Hong Kong, PRC 62 566 90 135 105 310 84 235 341 1,245 Total (Top-10 Countries) 1,811 11,099 2,073 12,462 2,489 15,156 2,170 9,423 8,543 48,140 Total (77 Countries) 3,077 16,215 3,661 19,475 4,579 24,565 3,994 14,221 15,311 74,475 Indonesia Investment Performance FDI Realization toIndonesiaby Origin Country 20102013(S1) (Based on Capital Expenditure, USDmillion) Excl.oil, gasandfinancial sectors Source: BKPM The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 13 18% 13% 13% 12% 7% 37% Mining (Excl. Oil and gas) Transportation, storage and telecommunication Chemical and pharmaceutical industry Metal, machinery and electronic industry Food Industry Others 17% 17% 9% 9% 7% 41% Mining (Excl. Oil and gas) Transportation, storage and telecommunication Chemical and pharmaceutical industry Metal, machinery and electronic industry Electricity, gas and water supply Others Indonesia Investment Performance FDI toIndonesiaBasedonSectors Excl.oil,gasandfinancial sectors Source:BKPM January June 2013 (USDmillion) TotalUSD14.2billion 2,618 1,872 1,773 1,726 948 5,284 12.694 12.491 6.804 6.541 5.496 30.449 2010 2013 (S1) (USDmillion) TotalUSD74.5billion The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 14 No. Sector 2010 2011 2012 2013(S1) 2010-2013(S1) Project Capex Project Capex Project Capex Project Capex Project Capex 1 Mining(excl. oil and gas) 228 2,201 320 3,619 412 4,255 311 2,618 1,271 12,694 2 Transport, storage and telecommunication 87 5,072 70 3,799 93 2,808 84 812 334 12,491 3 Chemical and pharmaceutical industry 159 793 179 1,467 230 2,770 169 1,773 737 6,804 4 Metal, machinery and electronic industry 269 590 301 1,773 364 2,453 264 1,726 1,198 6,541 5 Electricity, gas and water supply 42 1,429 53 1,865 65 1,515 69 688 229 5,496 Total (5 Sectors) 785 10,084 923 12,523 1,164 13,801 897 7,618 3,769 44,026 Total (All sectors) 3,077 16,215 3,661 19,475 4,579 24,565 3,994 14,221 15,311 74,475 Indonesia Investment Performance FDI Realization toIndonesiaby Sector 20102013(S1) (Based on Total Capital Expenditure 2010-2013(S1), USDmillion) Excl.oil, gasandfinancial sectors Source: BKPM The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 15 21% 17% 10% 10% 9% 33% West Java Banten Jakarta East Java Papua Others 22% 17% 12% 9% 6% 34% Jakarta West Java Banten East Java East Kalimantan Others Indonesia Investment Performance FDI toIndonesiaBasedonLocation Excl.oil, gasandfinancial sectors 2010 2013 (S1) (USDmillion) TotalUSD74.5billion 16,799 12,735 8,805 6,798 4,332 25,005 January June 2013 (USDmillion) TotalUSD14.2 billion 2,993 2,373 1,438 1,418 1,347 4,652 INDONESIA The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 16 No. Location 2010 2011 2012 2013(S1) 2010-2013(S1) Project Capex Project Capex Project Capex Project Capex Project Capex 1 Jakarta 885 6,429 998 4,824 1,148 4,108 1,376 1,438 4,407 16,799 2 West Java 595 1,692 669 3,839 682 4,211 550 2,993 2,496 12,735 3 Banten 280 1,544 300 2,172 405 2,716 245 2,373 1,230 8,805 4 East Java 110 1,769 176 1,312 403 2,299 300 1,418 989 6,798 5 East Kalimantan 98 1,092 122 602 167 2,014 148 624 535 4,332 Total (Top-5Locations) 1,968 12,527 2,265 12,750 2,805 15,348 2,619 8,846 9,657 49,470 Total(33 Locations) 3,077 16,215 3,661 19,475 4,579 24,565 3,994 14,221 15,311 74,475 Source: BKPM Indonesia Investment Performance FDI Realization toIndonesiaby Location 20102013(S1) (Based on Total Capital Expenditure 2010-2013(S1), USDmillion) Excl.oil, gasandfinancial sectors The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 17 Remarkable Indonesia The Worlds 3 rd Largest Democratic and Decentralized Nation 251 million of populationin 2013 The Worlds Biggest Archipelagic Nation 17,508islands 81,000kmCoastal Line 1.9 million sq km Land Area 3.1 million sq km Sea Area 3time zones G-20 Member State USD1 trillionof GDP (PPP) in 2012 USD 4,540 of GDP per Capita (PPP) One of Asia Pacifics most vibrant democracies that has maintained political stability (The World Bank, 2013) The Worlds Most Stable Economy in the Last Five Years. (The Economist, 2012) The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 18 Why Indonesia Huge Population and Demographic Bonus: Big Market and Workforce In 2013, Indonesia ranks the 4 th most populous country in the world. Source: Central Intelligence Agency US, 2013 (Estimation) Indonesias population covers more than 39%of total population of 10Southeast Asian countries. Source: ASEAN Community in Figures 2011 1,350 1,221 317 251 201 China India US Indonesia Brazil Worlds Top-5 Population by Country (million people) In the periodof 2020-2030, the dependency index will reach its lowest point. More than 60% of the population is in the working age, providing a dynamic workforcewhich is one of the highest in the region. Source: Coordinating Ministry For Economic Affairs RI, 2011 Indonesias Demography The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 19 45 81 93 134 170 1999 2003 2009 2010 2015 Number of Indonesias Population in Middle Income per capita expenditure per day USD 2-20 (million people) In 2010, 56.5%of the total population is in the middle income class, growing from 37.7%in 2003. This figure is projected to increase to be 70%in 2015. Sources: Bank Indonesia and Indonesia Statistics Agency, 2012 (Projection) Note: Per capita expenditure per day is adjusted to the2005 purchasing power parity terms. Source: SUSENAS and World Bank staff calculations. Indonesias Proportion of the Population based on per capita expenditure per day 5.5% 18.0% Why Indonesia Growing Middle Class: Higher Demands for Better Services and Products 18%population in 2010 is equal to 40 million people or more than the total population of Malaysia and Singapore combined. The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 20 Why Indonesia Proximity to Markets: In the Heart of the Worlds Economic Growth Asia and World Population Source: Coordinating Ministry For Economic Affairs RI, 2011 Global Economic Growth for Each Decades (Average percent per year) Source: World Bank, 2011 The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 21 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 Brazil Korea Mexico Turkey Russia Argentina Saudi Arabia Indonesia India China 2017 2013 2012 Why Indonesia The Second Fastest Growing Economy among G20 Countries in 2012 Nominal GDP Growth Projection by IMF The IMF projects Indonesia will be at the top 3 fastest economic growths among G20 countries. International Monetary Fund; World Economic Outlook Database, April 2012. China 7.8 % India 5.5 % Indonesia 6.2 % Indonesias 2012 growth hits 6.2% The Financial Times, 5 February 2013 The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 22 Why Indonesia Abundant Natural Resources: The Key Indicators Indonesia is one of the worlds major producer of a broad range of commodities. Source: Coordinating Ministry For Economic Affairs RI, 2011 The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 23 McKinsey Global Institute September 2012 Investment Opportunity Indonesia Today and Indonesia in 2030 The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 24 Investment Opportunity Abundant Opportunity Growing Consuming Class Living in Cities The new wave of consuming class in Indonesia is huge opportunity. The population in cities will grow from 53%in 2011 to 71%in 2030, producing 86%of GDP. With an additional 90 million consumers expected in Indonesia, consumer spend in urban areas could increase at 7.7%a year to become a USD 1.1 trillion business opportunity by 2030. Urban Households Expenditure in 2011 and 2030 The Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia 25 Simplifying business start up and licensing procedures, including the one-stop shop (PTSP) licensing provision at BKPM, 60%reduction of application forms (from 38 to 15 forms). Establishing anInvestor Relation Unit at BKPM for information, facilitation and inqueries handling from existing and potential investors. Rolling-out the Electronic Information Services and Investment Licensing (SPIPISE) in 105 regions (PTSP) throughoutIndonesia. Helping contain various obstacles and giving consultationon problems investors face in the conduct of investments. Facilitating foreign workers permit. Launching theinvestment tracking system. Investment Policy and Facility BKPM The Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board Our services for investors www.bkpm.go.id THANK YOU | TERIMA KASIH invest in 2013 byIndonesian Investment Coordinating Board. All rights reserved Indonesia Investment Promotion Centre (IIPC) www.bkpm.go.id New York New York Taipei Taipei Seoul Seoul Tokyo Tokyo Sydney Sydney Singapore Singapore Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi London London Badan Koordinasi Penanaman Modal Badan Koordinasi Penanaman Modal ((BKPM BKPM)) Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board JalanJenderal Gatot Subroto No. 44, Jakarta 12190 P.O. Box 3186, Indonesia t : +62 21 5292 1334| f: +62 21 5264 211| e: info@bkpm.go.id