Histopathologic indicators of recurrence in meningiomas:
correlation with clinical and genetic parameters Yoo-Jin Kim & Ralf Ketter & Wolfram Henn & Klaus D. Zang & Wolf-Ingo Steudel & Wolfgang Feiden Received: 11 July 2006 / Accepted: 26 July 2006 / Published online: 3 October 2006 # Springer-Verlag 2006 Abstract Meningiomas in general are circumscribed slow-growing tumors. However, despite gross total resec- tion, tumor relapse and patients outcome are still an issue. Risk stratification based on histomorphology alone remains problematic. This study explored the independent prognostic value of potential risk factors among 206 patients who underwent meningioma resection and fol- lowed-up until death or a median of 44 months. The statistical analysis considered clinical data, histomorpho- logic parameters, cytogenetic findings, Ki-67 immunore- activity, and activity of tissue non-specific alkaline phosphatase (ALPL). Recurrence-free survival estimates were computed and prognostic factors were identified using Cox proportional hazards model. Independent predictors of recurrence included (1) anaplasia; (2) mitotic index 20/10 high-power fields; (3) subtotal tumor resec- tion; (4) loss of short arm of chromosome 1 (1p); and (5) Ki-67 labeling index (LI) >12%. Among totally resected WHO grade I meningiomas, neither histopathologic nor clinical parameters were predictive, whereas 1p was the only independent prognostic factor. ALPL did not reach significance in the multivariate modeling, however, the fast and low-cost histochemical detection of ALPL expression could be proved as a highly sensitive screening method for 1p. In particular, biologically aggressive meningiomas of histologically benign or borderline phenotype could be therefore identified by ALPL detection followed by 1p in situ hybridization. Keywords Meningioma recurrence . Prognosis . Ki-67 . Alkaline phosphatase . Cytogenetics Introduction Meningiomas are tumors that arise from the leptomenin- geal covering of the brain and the spinal cord, accounting for 15% to 20% of all central nervous system tumors [26]. According to the current World Health Organization (WHO) histological grading system, three grades of meningiomas with increasing risk of recurrence are distinguished [14]. Benign or common-type tumors with a low rate of recurrence (7% to 20%) are assigned to Grade I. Grade II meningiomas include atypical meningi- omas as well as the rare chordoid and clear cell (intracranial) variants and exhibit a higher risk of recurrence (29% to 40%). Grade III meningiomas are anaplastic meningiomas with high mitotic activity (20/10 high-power fields) and/or obviously malignant cytology as well as the rare variants, papillary and rhabdoid meningi- omas. Recurrence rate of anaplastic meningiomas is suggested to be 50% to 78%. While the application of histomorphologic criteria can be considered as a means of risk stratification, the prognostic impact of the proposed criteriaparticularly the mitotic thresholds distinguishing Virchows Arch (2006) 449:529538 DOI 10.1007/s00428-006-0285-3 Y.-J. Kim (*) : W. Feiden School of Medicine, Institute of Neuropathology, Saarland University, Bldg. 90.3, 66421 Homburg-Saar, Germany e-mail: yoo.jin.kim@uniklinikum-saarland.de R. Ketter : W.-I. Steudel Department of Neurosurgery, School of Medicine, Saarland University, Homburg/Saar, Germany W. Henn : K. D. Zang School of Medicine, Institute of Human Genetics, Saarland University, Homburg/Saar, Germany between the three different gradesare not irrevocable in individual cases [25]. Regarding the recurrence rate of up to 20% in histologically benign meningiomas [8] on the one hand, and the variable recurrence rate among atypical meningiomas on the other, accurate risk estimation in individual cases based on histomorphologic criteria alone remains problematic. Apart from histomorphologic param- eters, incompleteness of tumor resection is known to be the major risk factor of recurrence. However, 720% of gross totally resected meningiomas tend to recureven phenotypically benign tumors. Therefore, an adequate prognosis of biological behavior and individual assess- ment of recurrence risk requires additional prognostic factors or markers. It is well-known, that high expression of immunohisto- chemically detectable markers of proliferative activity, e.g. Ki-67 antigen, indicates a more aggressive behavior and thus, a higher risk of recurrence. However, the determina- tion of the independent predictive value of Ki-67 as well as the appropriate quantitation method still needs to be cleared. Cytogenetically, meningiomas are characterized by monosomy 22 as a typical primary aberration [33] and progression-associated secondary aberrations, of which monosomy of the short arm of chromosome 1 (1p) is the most important. Monosomy 1 or loss of the distal part of the short arm of chromosome 1 was found to be correlated with higher histologic grade and with a higher recurrence rate in meningiomas [6, 10, 12, 18, 32]. The tissue non-specific isoform of alkaline phosphatase (ALPL), located on 1p36.1p34, is strongly active in normal arachnoid cells and in cells of common-type meningiomas, but in contrast, enzyme activity lacks in meningiomas with deletion of 1p. Since karyotyping by means of classic cytogenetics is laborious and not a routine part of tumor diagnostics, the histochemical detection of the loss of ALPL was introduced by Niedermayer et al. [20] as a fast and low-cost technique for the detection of 1p. The gene, encoding ALPL, is suggested as a putative and not yet identified tumor suppressor gene on chromo- some 1p. Beyond its role as enzyme marker for 1p, loss of ALPL activity could be applied as a predictor of recurrence, as it has been recently demonstratedat least in univariate mannerby Bouvier et al. [4]. However, neither the independent predictive value of 1p and loss of ALPL expression nor the correlation of ALPL to 1p has yet been clarified in a multivariate setting and among a large cohort. The presented study aims to identify independent prognostic factors and to reveal complex interrelationships among clinical data, histomorphologic parameters, prolifer- ative marker, histochemical expression of ALPL, and cytogenetic parameters in a multivariate approach. Materials and methods Patients and clinical data The retrospective cohort study is based on the data of 265 patients with initial diagnosis of meningioma operated on 19972002 at the Department of Neurosurgery, Saarland University. This subset consists of all meningioma patients within the given period where vital tumor tissue was available for histochemical detection of alkaline phosphatase. Mean age (SD; range) was 59 (13 years; 488 years). The cohort consisted of 186 females and 79 males (sex distribution 7:3). 13 patients (median age at diagnosis 61 years; SD 9.6; range 5178) died because of disease within a mean period of 11 months after surgery. Patients were followed-up for a mean period of 44 months (range 696 months). After 6 months, 59 patients were lost to follow-up and were not considered in the statistical analyses. Clinical data recorded included dates of birth and death, gender, tumor location, date of surgery for primary and recurrent tumor resections, date of recurrence/ regrowth as defined radiologically (CT or MRI), extent of resection, and grossly apparent invasion of adjacent struc- tures. The extent of resection was documented along the guidelines suggested by Simpson [28]. Complete surgical extirpation of the tumor (gross total resection: GTR) was defined as Simpson grade I or II, corresponding to macro- scopically determined complete tumor resection with bipolar coagulation of the dural insertion. Histomorphology All available slides from primary meningiomas as well as additional hematoxylin and eosin or specially stained slides in all cases were reviewed by two independent pathologists (Y.K. and W.F.) who were unaware of the patients outcomes. When there were discrepancies for parameters between the two investigators, the case was examined simultaneously by both observers and the results were recorded after an agreement was reached. According to the predominant feature or growth pattern, each tumor was assigned to a histologic prototypical guise (meningo- theliomatous, fibrous, transitional, microcystic, secretory, lymphoplasmocyte-rich, xanthomatous or otherwise meta- plasia, atypical, clear cell, chordoid, papillary, rhabdoid, and anaplastic) and graded according to the current WHO criteria [14]. Further histologic parameters, including hypercellularity, nuclear polymorphism, macronucleoli, small cell formation with high nuclear to cytoplasmic ratio, patternless architecture, inflammatory infiltrate, macro- phages/foamy cells, calcification, necrosis, brain invasion, invasion of structures other than the brain, and mitotic index were evaluated in each case. Brain invasion was defined as irregular projections of tumor or tumor cells into 530 Virchows Arch (2006) 449:529538 adjacent central nervous system parenchyma without an intervening layer of leptomeninges. Except for mitoses, all parameters were recorded as either absent or present. The mitotic index (MI) was defined as the highest count in 10 consecutive high-power fields (HPF; 1 HPF=0.16 mm 2 ). According to the mitotic thresholds as suggested by Perry et al. [22] and adopted by the WHO, a MI <4 was defined as 0, MI greater or equal to 4 and less than 20 as 1, and MI 20 as 2. Ki-67 immunohistochemical analysis For each case, formalin-fixed and paraffin-embedded speci- mens were sectioned at 3 m, deparaffinized, and treated with microwave antigen retrieval (210 min at 700 W and 350 W, respectively). Slides were incubated for 1 h in a humid chamber at 37C with a monoclonal antibody directed against Ki-67 (clone KiS5, 1:50; DakoCytomation, Glostrup, Denmark). Biotinylated secondary antibodies were detected using the streptavidin/horseradish peroxidase method and diaminobenzidine as chromogen. Percentage of immuno-positive tumor cells were determined in digital images of 5 HPF of the highest labeling in each case using an automated image analysis device as described by Kim et al. [11]. The computer-based method is described and provided for free at the morphometry section of http://www. uniklinikum-saarland.de/neuropathologie [11]. Histochemical reaction of ALPL For each case, histochemical detection of alkaline phosphatase was performed in cryostat sections and/or smear preparations Fig. 1 Histochemical expression patterns of ALPL (tissue non- specific alkaline phosphatase) in meningiomas. (a) Positive enzyme activity in meningothelial tumor cells. Cryostat section of a common- type meningothelial meningioma, objective 10. (b) Same tumor specimen, close up view of ALPL detection obtained in smear preparation, objective 40. Strong enzyme activity, in particular, in whorl formations. (c) Atypical meningioma with partial loss of ALPL activity, displaying an alternate pattern of ALPL expression, objective 10. Well-differentiated whorl formations exhibiting positive enzyme activity alternate with less differentiated tumor areas with loss of ALPL activity. (d) Meningioma with complete lack of ALPL activity. Only the endothelium of blood vessels serving as intrinsic positive control exhibit enzyme activity (objective 10) Virchows Arch (2006) 449:529538 531 as described previously by Niedermayer et al. [20]. Briefly, histochemical detection of ALPL was done at room temperature with hexazotized triamino-tritolyl-methane-chlo- ride (Neufuchsin; Merck, Darmstadt, Germany) and naph- thol-AS-MX phosphate (Sigma-Aldrich, Buchs, Switzerland) at a pH of 8.8. Staining reaction was stopped after 30 min. Positive reactions in the endothelium of the blood vessels served as intrinsic positive control. According to the staining pattern, meningiomas were assigned to (1) ALPL positive with uniform reaction in all tumor cells (Fig. 1a,b); (2) partial loss of ALPL expression with loss of enzyme activity in more than 50% of tumor cells in clearly identifiable tumor areas (Fig. 1c), as suggested by Bouvier et al. [4]; and (3) complete lack of ALPL expression in tumor cells (Fig. 1d). Karyotyping Tissue specimens from tumors were obtained freshly during surgery and processed according to previously described methods [13]. Briefly, the cell cultures were grown in Dulbeccos modified Eagles minimal essential medium supplemented with 10% fetal calf serum and antibiotics. Chromosome preparation from primary cultures, GTG- banding, and karyotyping followed standard procedures. In 197 meningiomas of our study group, cytogenetic findings were obtained. These cases, which represent a part of the cytogenetic meningioma database, founded and character- ized by Zang [31], and continuously investigated by Ketter et al. [10], were subdivided into five cytogenetic subgroups: (1) meningiomas with normal chromosome set; (2) with monosomy 22 as the sole cytogenetic aberration; (3) markedly hypodiploid meningiomas with loss of further autosomes in addition to monosomy 22, but with intact chromosome 1; (4) tumors with deletions of the short arm of a chromosome 1 (1p); and (5) the rare cyogenetic subtype of meningiomas with hyperdiploid chromosome set, with or without detectable loss of chromosome 22 or 1p. Statistical analysis Survival times and recurrence-free survival times were computed and distributions were estimated using the KaplanMeier method. Univariate correlation of each Table 1 Association of clinicopathological parameters, Ki-67 LI, ALPL expression, and cytogenetic findings with meningioma recurrence in 206 patients; univariate analysis, chi-square test Relative recurrence risk (%) p Clinical parameters Age >65 years 19 0.0011 Sex (female vs male) 11 vs 19 n.s. Convexity vs other locations 12 vs 9 (WHO I:8 vs 3) 0.02 (0.0152) GTR vs STR 12 vs 47 <0.001 Local infiltration 28 <0.001 STR and GTR GTR only Histopathologic parameters Hypercellularity 26 22 0.004 (<0.001) Small cell formation 25 23 0.003 (<.001) Macronucleoli 32 25 <0.001 Necrosis 33 29 <0.001 Brain invasion vs non-invasion 28 vs 10 0.03 WHO grade II vs I 18 vs 9 18 vs 5 0.09 (0.004) III vs I and II 75 vs 11 75 vs 8 <0.001 Mitotic index 4/10 HPF 38 39 <0.001 20/10 HPF 83 83 <0.001 Ki-67 LI >8% 29 27 0.006 (<0.001) >12% 42 42 0.0052 (<0.001) ALPL At least partial loss 21 18 0.004 (<0.001) Complete loss 27 25 0.003 (<0.001) Karyotype 1p vs others 45 45 <0.001 Ki-67 LI=Ki-67 labeling index; ALPL=tissue non-specific alkaline phosphatase; p=p value of chi-square test; n.s.=not significant; GTR=gross total resection; STR=subtotal resection; 1p=partial or complete deletion of the short arm of chromosome 1; p values calculated for the GTR subset only are put in parenthesis 532 Virchows Arch (2006) 449:529538 parameter regarding recurrence was analyzed by using the chi-square test (Table 1). For this purpose, all qualitative variables were dichotomized and recorded as either absent or present. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) was performed for Ki-67 LI, to define cut off values and for dichotomization. Threshold value for patients age was defined at 65 years (65 years=0; >65 years=1). Cox proportional hazard modeling techniques were used to identify independent predictors of recurrence. Age adjusted risk estimations were calculated for (1) the entire cohort and (2) only WHO grade I and II meningiomas, excluding anaplastic meningiomas. Results Based on strict histological criteria according to the current WHO grading system [14], 227 tumors were classified as WHO grade I, 30 tumors as WHO grade II, and 8 tumors as WHO grade III meningiomas. There were no significant differences in the follow-up periods for different WHO grades or brain-invasive meningi- omas: We revealed a mean follow-up period of 44 months in the cohort of WHO grade I meningiomas, 46 months in grade II meningiomas, and 44 months in grade III meningiomas. The mean follow-up period for the subset of brain-invasive meningiomas was 55 months and in detail, 57 months for WHO grade I brain-invasive meningiomas and 51 months for WHO grade II or III brain-invasive meningiomas. A gross total resection (GTR) was reached in 240 cases, in 25 tumors only a subtotal resection (STR) was achieved. Without exception, the latter were assigned to WHO grade I tumors. The majority of these tumors, which underwent STR was located at the base of the skull (18/25). The overall recurrence rate was 11% (n=31). The relative risk of recurrence (RR) was significantly higher for meningiomas with STR (9/25, RR=36%) than for those having undergone GTR (22/240, RR=9%). Relapses were evident after a mean period of 45 months; 48 months after GTR and 36 months after STR, respectively. Tumor location at convexity was significantly associated with loss of ALPL activity and with 1p or hyperdiploidy. In the subset of WHO grade I meningiomas, convexity meningi- omas exhibited a significantly higher risk of recurrence than meningiomas in other locations (p=0.0152). The recurrence rates in the WHO grade I meningiomas was 5% regarding only the GTR subset (11/204), 9% (20/ 229) regarding also the STR subset. Recurrences were recorded in 18% (5/28) of WHO grade II meningiomas and 75% (6/8) of anaplastic meningiomas. Brain invasions were observed in 14 tumors (9 WHO grade I, 2 grade II, and 3 grade III meningiomas) within 42 cases where central nervous system parenchyma was assessable. Recurrence rate among the few brain-invasive meningiomas was 28% (4/14). All of these recurrent brain-invasive tumors were either atypical or anaplastic. ROC revealed a Ki-67 LI >8% as a cut off point with a convenient sensitivity/specificity ratio (0.63 to 0.65), Fig. 2 Recurrence-free survival based on Ki-67 labeling index (LI) in the subset of gross totally resected meningiomas, n=181 Virchows Arch (2006) 449:529538 533 however, sufficient specificity was reached at a threshold value up to LI 12% (specificity >98%). The relative area under the ROC-curve was 0.708. The MannWhitney U test for testing the discriminatory power of Ki-67 LI was significant (p<0.05). The results of the univariate analyses of clinicopatho- logical parameters and cytogenetic findings are summarized in Table 1. Independent prognostic factors for recurrence-free sur- vival within the entire cohort (GTR and STR) as revealed by Cox regression included (1) anaplasia (p<0.001), (2) almost always in combination with MI 20/10 HPF (p=0.0062), (3) 1p (p=0.0077), (4) Ki-67 LI >12% (p=0.0181), and (5) STR (p=0.0037) as further indepen- dent predictors. These variables (excluding STR) provided prognostic information also within the subset of tumors that underwent GTR and adjusted for age, tumor site, and histomorphologic parameters. Ki-67 LI >8% was found to be univariately associated with recurrence, but did not reach significance in the multivariate modeling. However, signif- icance in the multivariate setting was reached when the cut off point was scaled up to 12%. Recurrence-free survival Fig. 3 Recurrence-free survival based on cytogenetic findings in the subset of gross totally resected meningiomas, n=179; part of the cytogenetic meningi- oma data base, Institute of Human Genetics, Saarland Uni- versity, described in detail by Zang [31] and Ketter et al. [10] Table 2 Karyotype and pathologic findings Cytogenetic subsets (n=197) a Normal (n=95) Monosomy 22 (n=45) Hypodiploid (n=19) 1p (n=31) Hyperdiploid (n=7) Tumorsite Convexity 32 (33%) 22 (48%) 11 (57%) 25 (80%) b 5 (71%) WHO grade I 87 (92%) 43 (96%) 15 (79%) 14 (45%) 5 (71%) II 8 (8%) 2 (4%) 4 (21%) 11 (35%) 1 (14%) III 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 6 (19%) 1 (14%) Histologic subtype Meningothelial 40 (41%) 8 (18%) 3 (16%) 3 (10%) 0 (0%) Fibroblastic 10 (10%) 26 (57%) b 7 (37%) 8 (26%) 2 (29%) Transitional 6 (6%) 8 (18%) 4 (21%) 1 (3%) 0 (0%) Median Ki-67 LI [%] range 3.5 (024) 4.8 (0.715.3) 5.8 (013.3) 6.9 (035) 4 (09.4) Recurrence c (recurrence rate) 3/71 (4%) 0/29 (0%) 2/18 (11%) 10/22 (45%) 1/5 (20%) Ki-67 LI=Ki-67 labeling index a Part of the cytogenetic meningioma data base, Institute of Human Genetics, Saarland University, founded and characterized by Zang [31] and described in detail by Ketter et al. [10] b Significant chi-square test statistics c Only cases followed-up at least 6 months after surgery, n=154 534 Virchows Arch (2006) 449:529538 based on Ki-67 LI is displayed in Fig. 2. Cox regression modeling regarding only the subset of totally resected WHO grade I meningiomas revealed 1p as the only independent predictor of recurrence (p=0.0077). Recur- rence-free survival based on cytogenetic findings is displayed in Fig. 3. Among specific histologic WHO grade I variants, there was no evidence of statistically significant associations with recurrence. Cytogenetically, fibroblastic meningiomas had a significantly higher rate of monosomy 22 as compared to the other subsets (p<0.05) (Table 2). Meningiomas with 1p showed a higher proliferative potential in terms of Ki- 67 LI as well as significantly higher rate of histologic dedifferentiation. Partial or complete loss of ALPL was strongly associated with a higher WHO grade (II or III) and higher Ki-67 LI (p<0.025). A partial or complete loss of ALPL expression indicated 1p with a sensitivity of 90% and a positive predictive value of 90%, however, speci- ficity was low (44%). Loss of enzyme activity was significantly associated with tumor recurrence in the univariate analysis (Table 1), whereas no significant contribution was assessable in the multivariate modeling. Associations of ALPL expression pattern to tumor site, histopathologic parameters, and cytogenetic findings are displayed in Table 3. Discussion The appropriate risk stratification in individual meningioma patients based on pathological features without overgrading or undergrading is difficult at best [5]. Among histologic parameters, high cellularity, invasion of the brain, large number of mitoses, prominent nucleoli and cell necrosis appear to correlate with aggressive behavior [9]. The three- step grading system of meningiomas, distinguishing well- differentiated, atypical, or anaplastic meningiomas along the guidelines suggested by Perry et al. [22] and adopted by the WHO [14] admits a risk estimation based on histo- morphologic criteria. However, the precise grading of meningiomas is not always possible and treatment planning will consider clinical variables [5] and likewise, the post- operative treatment regime will consider further prognostic factors, which may predict the individual clinical course. Among these potential risk factors, incomplete removal is well-known as a prognostic unfavorable finding, as it could be confirmed in the multivariate statistics presented here. Subtotal tumor resection was reported as a prognos- tic indicator, independent from the histologic grade already used by Simpson [28] and subsequently, by others [8, 15, 22]. However, on the other hand, independent from the extent of resection, meningiomas with histologic anaplasia and/or high mitotic activity (20/10 HPF) exhibit a very high risk of recurrence. The recurrence rate of 75% in our series of anaplastic meningiomas is comparable with the recurrence rates of 78% reported by Jskelinen et al. [8] or 72% by Maier et al. [15]. Brain invasion suggests a greater likelihood of recur- rence and as reported by Perry et al. [22], brain-invasive histologically common-type meningiomas behave similarly to atypical meningiomas in general. We also found a significantly higher rate of recurrence in brain-invasive Table 3 ALPL expression pattern and pathologic and genetic factors ALPL expression (n=265) Positive (n=97) Partial loss (n=98) Complete loss n=70) p Tumorsite Convexity 21 (21%) 62 (63%) 50 (71%) <0.001 a WHO grade I 94 (97%) 43 (96%) 15 (79%) <0.001 II 2 (2%) 2 (4%) 4 (21%) III 1 (1%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) Median Ki-67 LI [%] (range) 3 (0.218.1) 5 (0.525) 5 (0.424) Cases with Ki-67 LI >8% 8 (8%) 15 (15%) 17 (24%) <0.025 Cytogenetics (n=197) <0.001 Normal karyotype 54 (71%) 25 (35%) 16 (33%) Monosomy 22 16 (21%) 15 (15%) 7 (14%) Marked hypodiploid 3 (4%) 8 (11%) 8 (16%) 1p 3 (4%) 13 (18%) 15 (31%) Hyperdiploidy 0 (0%) 4 (6%) 3 (6%) ALPL=tissue non-specific alkaline phosphatase; Ki-67 LI=Ki-67 labeling index; 1p=partial or complete deletion of short arm of chromosome 1; p=p value of chi-square test a Partial or complete loss compared to positive ALPL cases, respectively Virchows Arch (2006) 449:529538 535 meningiomas (relative risk: 28%), but in contrast, all of the recurrent meningiomas with brain invasion were of atypical or anaplastic type whereas none of the brain-invasive WHO grade I meningiomas recurred. Due to the confound- ing in histologic grade, brain invasion did not reach significance in the multivariate modeling. It has to be mentioned, that the number of recorded brain invasion among the investigated cohort was small, thus, limiting the significance of these findings. However, in our series, atypical and anaplastic meningiomas are significantly over- represented in the subset of brain-invasive meningiomas, suggesting, that brain invasion rate may increase with the histologic grade of dedifferentiation. Patients age at diagnosis is another reported prognostic factor. Statistic analyses of over 9,000 patients with meningioma based on the National Cancer Data Base revealed patients age at diagnosis 65 years [16] as a multivariately significant negative prognostic factor. Con- cordantly, in our study, age at diagnosis showed a highly significant association with shorter recurrence-free survival in univariate analysis, although age did not reach signifi- cance in the multivariate modeling. Among the histologic features, mitotic activity is known to exhibit the most powerful prognostic impact. Perry et al. [22] have found a notable increase in the rate of recurrence among totally resected meningiomas with four or more mitoses per 10 high-power fields. This mitotic threshold is adopted as a grading criterion for atypical meningiomas in the current WHO classification. Despite a univariate association with recurrence, the multivariate analysis presented here did not reveal any independent predictive capability at a mitotic threshold 4/10 HPF. However, there was no doubt in the prognostic impact of apparently increased mitotic activity with the excess of MI 20. The overlap in the ranges of mitotic indices among different studies are well-known and may be due to different counting techniques, variation in field sizes, institutional bias, and inter-observer variability [5, 22]. Thus, these data reflect the need for careful interpretation of MI in meningioma grading, in particular, if mitotic thresholds are suggested as single grading criterion only. A quantitative approach in the assessment of cell proliferation is the determination of the Ki-67 LI. The prognostic impact of Ki-67 LI is indisputable, since many studies have demonstrated the correlation between prolif- eration index and tumor grade and/or tumor recurrence in meningiomas [1, 7, 12, 21] and finally, since the prognostic role of Ki-67 is advocated in the current WHO classification [14]. We have found a Ki-67 LI >12% as independent predictor of recurrence adjusted for age, tumor site, and histologic parameters, including mitotic index. The proposed threshold value is comparable with the threshold values of Ki-67 LI >10%, proposed by Ho et al. [7] and recently by Torp et al. [30] for distinguishing recurrent vs non-recurrent meningiomas. In atypical and anaplastic meningiomas, Ki-67 LI allows to identify meningiomas at high risk of recurrence independently from histomorphology or mitotic activity. However, since levels of Ki-67 LI exceeding 10% are implausible in meningiomas of conventional type, this criterion is not suited to distinguish recurrent vs non- recurrent WHO grade I meningiomas. This is supported by the findings of Roser et al. [24] who investigated the prognostic significance of Ki-67 LI in 600 meningiomas. They came to the same conclusion, that Ki-67 is not a statistically significant predictor of survival time in totally resected WHO grade I meningiomas. The determination of Ki-67 LI is a subjective task and the counting techniques vary, which leads to a remarkable overlap in the values recorded for typical, atypical, and anaplastic lesions, as well as for recurring vs non-recurring tumors among reported data [1, 7, 12, 19, 21, 30]. Therefore, it remains problematic to suggest universal Ki-67 LI values for determining recurrence risk [14]. The standardization of the Ki-67 LI assessment and computed image analysis approach may lead to more robust and comparable data. In contrast to the mentioned prognostic parameters, we found deletion of 1p as the only independent predictor of recurrence also among WHO grade I meningiomas. This is supported by Al-Mefty et al. [2] who demonstrated a complex karyotype, including loss of 1p present ab initio in histologically lower-grade tumors, which later on recurred and upgraded to a higher-grade tumor contradicting the popular model of stepwise clonal evolution. These and the presented data confirm our previously reported findings [10], which emphasize the prognostic evidence of loss of 1p independently from histologic grade. Our data also suggest, that the histochemical detection of ALPL expression is an appropriate, fast, and low-cost as well as specific and sensitive screening method for identification of those cases with 1p. We therefore could confirm our previously reported thesis [20] and the recent findings of Bouvier et al. [4], that ALPL, which is encoded in 1p36.1p34, could be applied as enzyme marker for 1p. Niedermayer et al. suggested one or more putative tumor suppressor genes located on the distal, ALPL encoding region of chromo- some 1 [20]. The strong correlation between ALPL activity loss and monosomy 1p led also to the presumption that the ALPL gene itself might act as a tumor suppressor gene, with one allele being deleted and the remaining ALPL allele inactivated by deletion, mutation, or genomic imprinting [18]. Updated genomic sequencing studies support the hypothesis of a two-step inactivation of the ALPL gene during progression of meningiomas by deletion plus promoter methylation [23]. Recent studies have 536 Virchows Arch (2006) 449:529538 demonstrated consistent regions of deletion on 1p36.21 [17] and on 1p33p34 [29] as well as on 1p34p32 [3], suggesting that putative suppressor genes are actually located on 1p36p32. Apart from the significant correlation to 1p, our data also suggest that loss of ALPL is associated with a higher histologic grade, higher prolifer- ation potential, and higher rate of recurrence. However, in contrast to the univariate modeling as mentioned by previous reports [4, 20], loss of ALPL activity did not contribute significantly to the prediction of recurrence in the multivariate modeling. On the one hand, this may be founded in the remarkable loss of histochemical reaction due to the susceptibility of this histochemical reaction to the state of preservation of tumor tissue, which leads to an inferior predictive potential compared to confounding predictors. On the other hand, equivocal representativeness of cells growing in cell culture, low percentage of cells with 1p and also small deletions on chromosome 1p cause low sensitivity of classic cytogenetic methods. This results in a misleading discrepancy between ALPL reaction and cyto- genetic findings and in individual cases the loss of ALPL activity do not correspond to a deletion of 1p, because the presumptive deletion was not detected by means of classic metaphase cytogenetic methods. Interphase techniques such as fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) are more sensitive and accurate in the detection of the deletion of 1p and may result in a higher concordance between ALPL expression and genetic findings. For the comparability of data, we applied the cut off point of at least 50% enzyme negative tumor cells for heterogenous pattern of ALPL expression (ALPL+/) as suggested by Bouvier et al. [4]. Regarding the arbitrary assessment of this cut off point on the one hand and the low sensitivity of the metaphase cytogentic method on the other, the moderate concordance between ALPL+/ and detectable loss of 1p has to be reconceived. Despite its minor role as independent risk factor itself, we suggest that ALPL expression keeps a key role as a sensitive screening method for 1p, in particular if the enzyme activity is lacking in a histologically common- type meningioma. Apart from 1p, allelic losses of other chromosomal arms, e.g. 10q or 14q, are further cytogenetic aberrations suggested to be progression-associated [27]. In the pre- sented study, these aberrations were subsumed in the group markedly hypodiploid meningiomas with intact 1p. A more detailed and differentiated analysis of specific chromosomal aberrations is given by Zang [31]. A multi- parametric analysis in more than 600 cytogenetically characterized cases is the subject of current studies and will provide a more instructive insight into the genetics and biology of meningiomas (Ketter et al., preliminary data presented at the Meeting of the Neurooncology Section of the German Society of Neurosurgery, October 2005). Conclusions Anaplasia, incomplete tumor resection, Ki-67 LI >12%, and 1p are independent predictors of recurrence in meningio- mas. Independent from mitotic activity, a Ki-67 LI >12% indicates a high risk of recurrence among atypical or anaplastic meningiomas. Deletion of the short arm of chromosome 1 also indicates histologically common-type meningiomas with higher risk of recurrence. The fast and low-cost histochemical detection of ALPL expression is suggested as a highly specific screening method for potential 1p. 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