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Applications of FEWS-HYMOS in

Indonesia
Ronald Vernimmen
15 June 2010
Outline
FEWS-HYMOS: Introduction
Example applications
F(D)EWS Flood (drought) forecasting shell
What is F(D)EWS?
F(D)EWS = Flood (Drought) Early Warning System
Philosophy
A framework for the organization of flood (drought) forecasting
process
Integration of data from several sources present single source to
forecaster
Provides general functional utilities
Open interface to models used for forecasting
Dissemination of results
Delft-FEWS is an open system joint development approach
FEWS model!
HYMOS
What is HYMOS?
HYMOS = HYdrological MOdel System
Information system for storage, processing and presentation of
hydrological time series
Includes powerful tools for validation, completion, analysis,
presentation
Additional application modules for simulation of hydrological
processes are available, such as Sacramento (Rainfall-Runoff
modelling)
Providing the forecaster an interface to data
Simple graphical user interface
Self explanatory
Key features
GIS Based
Overview of data & status
FEWS Scotland flood status in several catchments, January 2008
FEWS Donau (Austria) Graphs at key stations
Data visualisation and editing Graphical data
Powerful graphical tools for viewing
time series data
Point time series
Longitudinal profiles (animated)
Editing capabilities
copy to-from e.g. Excel
Historical event at Torwinny, Scotland
Longitudinal Display
Data visualisation GIS Data
Animate Flood Inundation Map
Integration of data
Interfaces to data sources
Supports standards in data exchange formats: GRIB, NetCDF etc.
Data exchange with HIMS (e.g. WISKI)
Plugin-technology to extend integration of data formats
Emerging standards: WaterML OpenGIS standard for exchange
of hydrological data (USGS, NWS, CUAHSI)
Modular approach
Models integrated
Wide range of models integrated
extending continuously
Hydrological (snow models,
rainfall-runoff, routing)
Hydraulic (1D, 2D)
Lookup models
Model Type Supplier/Owner Country
ISIS Hydrodynamic HR/Halcrow UK
PDM Rainfall-Runoff CEH UK
TCM Rainfall-Runoff CEH UK
KW Routing (kinematic wave) CEH UK
PACK Snow Melt CEH UK
ARMA Error Correction CEH UK
PRTF Event Based RR PlanB UK
TRITON Surge propagation/Overtopping PlanB UK
TWAM 2D Hydrodynamics PlanB UK
STF Transfer functions EA UK
DODO Routing (layered Muskingum) EA UK
MCRM Rainfall-Runoff EA UK
Modflow96/VKD 3D groundwater Deltares/Adam Taylor Netherlands/UK
Mike11 Hydrodynamics DHI Denmark
NAM Rainfall-Runoff DHI Denmark
TOPKAPI Rainfall-Runoff Univ. of Bologna Italy
HBV Rainfall-Runoff (inc snowmelt) SHMI Sweden
Vflo Distributed Rainfall-Runoff Vieux & Assiciates USA
SWMM Urban Rainfall-Runoff USGS USA
HEC-RAS Hydrodynamic USACE USA
HEC-ResSim Reservoir Simulation USACE USA
Snow17 Snow Melt NWS USA
SAC-SMA Rainfall-Runoff NWS USA
Unit-HG Unit-Hydrograph NWS USA
LAG/K Routing (hydrological) NWS USA
SARROUTE Routing (hydrological) NWS USA
SSARRESV Reservoir Simulation NWS USA
RESSNGL Reservoir Simulation NWS USA
RES-J (Multiple) Reservoir Simulation NWS USA
PRMS Rainfall-Runoff Univ. of Karlsruhre Germany
SynHP Hydrodynamics BfG Germany
Model Type Supplier/Owner Country
SOBEK Hydrodynamics, Water Quality, RR Deltares Netherlands
SOBEK-2d Linked 1d/2d inundation modelling Deltares Netherlands
DELFT-3D 2D-3D Hydrodynamics Deltares Netherlands
Sacramento Rainfall-Runoff Deltares Netherlands
RIBASIM Water distribution + Reservoir Deltares Netherlands
REW Distributed Rainfall-Runoff Deltares Netherlands
DELFT3D 2/3D Hydrodynamics/ Water quality Deltares Netherlands
Flux 1D Hydrodynamics Scietec Austria
URBS rainfall-runoff and hydrological routing Don Caroll Australia
Generating products
Overview Reports
Detailed Reports
HTML Web reports
Internal & External clients
Using and displaying probabilistic data
Delft FEWS database model is inherrently ensemble aware
Import ensemble data (e.g. ECMWF, COSMO-LEPS)
Run models for ensemble members
results
statistical summary
verification
FEWS-CH:
COSMO-LEPS Forecast for 31-05-2007 00:00 UTC
FEWS-CH:
SRNWP-PEPS Forecast for 31-05-2007 00:00 UTC
Some example applications
Drought Early Warning System Indonesia (pilot)
Hymos-FEWS 6 Cis
Hydrological Monitoring System Kalimantan
Drought Early Warning System - Indonesia
using global datasets in data scarce areas (SRTM, GlobCover,
TRMM, weather forecasts)
determine drought conditions
use crop drought indicators (still to be implemented)
use distributed hydrological model to simulate and predict reservoir
inflow
other applications: peat fire risk
1. (Land Use) Land Cover
GlobCover, MERIS instrument on board ENVISAT, December 2004 June
2006, global and regional sets, 300 m resolution, version 2.2, July 2009
Download: http://ionia1.esrin.esa.int/index.asp
2. DEM
SRTM, 2000, 90 m resolution (although 30 m is available for governments),
vertical 1 m resolution, vertical error 16 m, not DTM but DSM, version 4
(2008)
Download: http://srtm.csi.cgiar.org/
but also ASTER GDEM (2009) (for Indonesia not always good; clouds)
3. Precipitation
TRMM, 0.25 degree resolution, near real-time available, 3 hr temporal
resolution, since 2002
Download: http://precip.gsfc.nasa.gov/
GSMaP, 0.10 degree resolution, 1 hr temporal resolution, 2003-2006, since
2007 near real time
Download: http://sharaku.eorc.jaxa.jp/GSMaP/
but also PERSIANN, CMORPH
Important to validate these data against measurements when available!
Drought Early Warning System (pilot Indonesia)
Using satellite precipitation observations of TRMM
Bi-weekly rainfall total for each Indonesian watershed
Drought Early Warning System (pilot Indonesia)
30 day precipitation deficit
Drought Early Warning System (pilot Indonesia)
reporting
Drought Early Warning System (pilot Indonesia)
example of results from the hydrological and reservoir model.
Reservoir inflows, outflows, water levels and reservoir volume
Drought Early Warning System (pilot Indonesia)
example of results from the hydrological and reservoir model.
Reservoir inflows, outflows, water levels and reservoir volume
Drought Early Warning System (pilot Indonesia)
example of results from the hydrological and reservoir model.
Reservoir inflows, outflows, water levels and reservoir volume
Drought Early Warning System (pilot Indonesia)
HYMOS-FEWS 6 Cis
6 river basins in West Java
Use FEWS as hydrological database
Use HYMOS to validate the hydrological data
Use FEWS to perform data transformations: aggregation, spatial
interpolation (Thiessen, inverse distance), areal average
precipitation based on polygons (catchments), time series creation
for models (Sobek, Ribasim, )
system basis for further analysis, rainfall runoff modelling, effects
of spatial planning / urbanisation on water demand etc.

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