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131 Representatives of the Sixth Majles went on strike in January after council disqualified 80 of them for running again in the impending elections for the Seventh Majles. Reformists presented themselves as spokespersons for "the forces loyal to the Revolution and democracy" but the 'clarity' (shaffafiyyat) advocated with electrifying effect by President khomeini and his reformist followers was totally absent.
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20246018 Arjomand the Rise and Fall of President Khatami and the Reform Movement in Iran
131 Representatives of the Sixth Majles went on strike in January after council disqualified 80 of them for running again in the impending elections for the Seventh Majles. Reformists presented themselves as spokespersons for "the forces loyal to the Revolution and democracy" but the 'clarity' (shaffafiyyat) advocated with electrifying effect by President khomeini and his reformist followers was totally absent.
131 Representatives of the Sixth Majles went on strike in January after council disqualified 80 of them for running again in the impending elections for the Seventh Majles. Reformists presented themselves as spokespersons for "the forces loyal to the Revolution and democracy" but the 'clarity' (shaffafiyyat) advocated with electrifying effect by President khomeini and his reformist followers was totally absent.
Constellations Volume 12, No 4, 2005. Blackwell Publishing Ltd.
, 9600 Garsington Road, Oxford OX4 2DQ, UK
and 350 Main Street, Malden, MA 02148, USA. The Rise and Fall of President Kh1tami and the Reform Movement in Iran Sad Amir Arjomand We the protesting Representatives have had a share and role in the Revolution and have struggled for its victory and consolidation in various arenas, have learned the lessons of honor, truth-telling, piety, and freedom in the school of Imam Khomeini (Gods mercy be upon him), and consider his way and Tradition (sonnat) the path to the salvation and high standing of the Islamic Republic of Iran. So begins, after a perfunctory quotation from Ali b. Abi-Talib in Arabic, the last letter of protest of February 17, 2004, from the 131 Representatives of the Sixth Majles, who had gone on strike in January after the Council of Guardians had disqualified 80 of them for running again in the impending elections for the Seventh Majles. The reformists presented themselves as spokespersons for the forces loyal to the Revolution and democracy (mardom-s1l1ri), and complained that the forces faithful (momen) to the Revolution and the regime had no option but to retreat from political involvement. There was a reference to the rumor of the Supreme Leaders complicity in their disqualification, and oblique questioning of his authority to issue this particular governmental order (hokm hokumati), 1 but the clarity (shaffafiyyat) advocated with such electrifying effect by President Kh1tami and his reformist followers seven years earlier was totally absent. The reformists ended their letter with an admonition in the manner of the councilors to old kings: We are very worried about the future when our regime, with the nostalgia of its immense lost popular support, would be forced to submit to the open and hidden onslaught of foreigners. I shall treat this letter as the epitaph of the reform movement that began in 1997 and caused a tremendous burst of enthusiasm in Iran and throughout the world. Trapped in Their Own Rhetoric and Abandoned The revolutionary rhetoric of the reformists and their profession of faith to the line of the late Imam fell absolutely flat, except on the ears of the hard-liners who resented this futile attempt to appropriate the revolutionary heritage they considered theirs, and hastily closed two reformist newspapers for publishing it. In truth, this was on overreaction on their part. Anyone who still cared for the revolutionary rhetoric would infinitely prefer to hear it from the mouth of Kho- meinis true heir and successor. And the word was to come without delay. The Rise and Fall of Reform in Iran: Sad Amir Arjomand 503 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd. When casting his vote on February 20, Ayatollah Sayyed Ali Kh1manei said that he considered these elections particularly important since you can see how those who fight the Islamic Revolution and Iran, are trying to prevent the people from going to the polling booths. 2 After the withdrawal in protest of a further 1179 candidates and the foregone victory of his hard-line followers in the elections that left at least eight persons dead in two reported clashes, he obliquely retorted to the reformists admonition by saying that the losers were the United States, Zionism, and the enemies of the Iranian nation. 3 The reformists were thus hoist with their own petard. After four years of insults and humiliation, witnessing assassinations, near-assassinations, and imprisonment of their colleagues, they were still pathetically trapped in the net of their bombastic revolutionary discourse. The reformist strike had begun in January 2004 by the members of the Majles, who had been surprised by the rejection of their candidacy by the Council of Guardians despite their impeccable revolutionary credentials. In the last week of January the Majles passed a bill to solve the election crisis, 4 which was promptly rejected by the Council of Guardians. Interior Minister Musavi-L1ri announced that he was not willing to hold the elections on schedule under the circumstances. The high point of the protest came in the first days of February, after the Council of Guardians, while restoring just under a third of some 3600 (out of a total of 8200) candidates it had originally rejected, not only refused to reinstate the 80 striking reformists but instead barred seven more of them. 123 of 125 reformist Representatives handed in their resignations. Meanwhile, 12 minis- ters and some 28 governors and deputy-ministers, representing the lay, techno- cratic second stratum of the Islamic Republic, were also said to have submitted their resignations in sympathy. The main students organization, the Office for Consolidation of Unity (daftar-e tahkim-e vahdat), by contrast, kept its distance because the students had been badly let down by the President and the reformists during their prolonged sporadic protests through the summer of 2003, and only one group of students, in typical disarray and lack of coordination, decided to support the striking Majles reformists at the last minute on February 3. But that was too little and too late. On February 11, in the speech marking the twenty-fifth anniversary of the Islamic Revolution, President Kh1tami let down his Interior Ministry and Cabinet and capitulated to the Leader, confirming that the elections would take place on schedule. This was yet another instance of the Presidents caving in rather than standing firm and provoking a constitutional crisis which might have been resolved by some concession to the reformers, or by the dis- missal and jailing of the President and the Interior Minister. Musavi L1ri went along with the elections, and nothing further was heard of the resignation of the cabinet ministers and provincial governors. Only one representatives resignation was accepted, that of Ms. Fatema Haqiqatju; the rest were said to require case by case hearing and vote by the Majles. The rest of the reformists thus continue to receive their paychecks from the Majles. 504 Constellations Volume 12, Number 4, 2005 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd. If Marx and Weber could come out of their graves they would surely have hurled their contemptuous term petty bourgeois (Spieburger) at our uncouth reformist friends in their tieless white shirts and inelegant suits, with their shoes piled up in the corner of the carpet for an extra cozy sit-in. 5 President Kh1tami, in contrast, away from the medley in his elegant clerical attire, cut a truly tragic fig- ure. Mohsen Kadivar, the reformist cleric who had been jailed for over a year for writing an erudite refutation of Khomeinis theory of the Mandate of the Jurist (vel1yat-e faqih), called upon him to resign rather than accept an unfair election. More poignantly, in a letter urging the striking parliamentarians to push for a new constitution, the jailed reformist, H1shem Agh1-Jari, had aptly referred to the Tragedy of Kh1tami. 6 The stuff of the tragedy is of course the destruction of the smiling Sayyed (sayyed-e khand1n), who had been elected President in 1997 and 2001, by the ruthless Ayatollah who has been selected by his clerical colleagues as Khomeinis successor as the Supreme Leader (rahbar). This destruction was already complete in 2000, before Kh1tamis second landslide victory in June 2001. 7 I would place it in the spring and summer of 2000 and at the time of the astonishing defeat of the pro-clerical candidates in the national elections of the Sixth Majles. It came in the Supreme Leaders several deadly embraces after the almost successful assas- sination of the Presidents most important reformist aide, the clampdown on the pro-President reformist press, and the slap on the face of the newly elected reformist Majles. With each embrace came Kh1maneis affirmation that Kh1tami is one of us; the latter did not have the courage to push him away and say he was not one of them. From then on, Kh1manei knew he could do anything he wanted with the smiling Sayyed. Kh1tami was a defeated man. His maudlin speech for Nawruz (New Year) 1380/March 2001, read by many as expressing his intention to quit, surely reflected his sense that he did not have the strength to stand up to the Supreme Leader and the price of clinging to presidential power would be capitulation and further humiliation. Constitutional Politics of the Islamic Republic: The Revolutionary Power Struggle In what follows, I will attempt to put the rise and fall of Kh1tami and the reform movement in a twin conceptual frame that links what I have been calling consti- tutional politics to the sociology of revolution and post-revolutionary institution- building. Let me first say a few words about each of these terms. Constitutional politics is different from and superimposed upon the routine politics of give and take, of horse-trading, stealing, and being robbed. It is a struggle for the definition of order. Constitutional politics should not be confused with constitutionalism or democracy. The political struggle for the constitution of order takes place among groups and organizations aligned behind different principles of order by their material and ideal interests. 8 These principles of order are heterogeneous and The Rise and Fall of Reform in Iran: Sad Amir Arjomand 505 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd. potentially contradictory. In the process of constitutional politics, the contending groups and organizations are forced to reconcile the respective logics of these principles through compromise, concession, and reinterpretation. Some principles of order are clustered into ideologies, and may be incorporated into written constitutions. The principles of order amalgamated in fundamental laws set the parameters of constitutional politics. Constitutions can become the subject of intense public debate at the time of their promulgation or subsequent crises, and thus create a frame of reference for a variety of political groups and thereby struc- ture politics in ways that transcend their texts or legal effect. To anticipate the argument that follows, the contradictions among the hetero- geneous principles of the Constitution of 1979 namely, theocratic government, the rule of law, and participatory representative government can exhaustively account for the confrontation between the Supreme Leader, or clerical monarch, and the President. The Leader stood for the first principle; aligned behind him were the conservative clerics who came to power as a result of the Islamic revolu- tion and are in control of the revolution-generated system of collective rule by clerical councils, foundations (bony1ds), and foundation-supported unofficial groups, including the thuggish Helpers of the Party of God (ans1r hizb all1h), the judiciary, and the commanders of the Revolutionary Guards and its Mobilization Corps. The President stood for the last two principles, which were fused together in his new political discourse of the rule of law, democratic participation, and civil society; behind him were the technocrats for reconstruction, the reformist and excluded clerics, and the disenfranchised middle classes, whom I will not be able to cover directly. As for the sociology of revolution, the greatest change introduced by the Islamic revolution in Iran was the institution of theocratic government on the basis of the velay1t-e faqih, or the mandate of the religious jurist to rule. This novel idea clashed with the traditional system of clerical authority based on the marjaiyyat-e taqlid, or the authority of the so-called sources of imitation. The institutionalization of clerical rule was a difficult process and created a three-way contradiction among three principles of legitimate authority namely, the consti- tutional authority of the legislature, the new Sharia-based constitutional author- ity of the supreme jurist vali-ye faqih, and the old Sharia-based authority of the highest rank of mojtaheds the mar1je-e taqlid or sources of emulation. The mechanism devised by the constitution-makers of 1979 for overcoming the first set of contradictions was the inclusion of six clerical jurists in the Council of Guardians to veto any item of legislation passed by the Majles which was incon- sistent with the Sharia. The Council thus incorporated the 1907 idea of a com- mittee of mojtaheds into the model of a Conseil Constitutionnel adopted in Bazargans draft constitution from the 1958 Constitution of the French Fifth Republic. Khomeini himself intervened in the constitutional crisis that resulted from the clashes between the Majles and the Council of Guardians, and his solu- tion, which was duly incorporated into the constitutional amendments of 1989, 506 Constellations Volume 12, Number 4, 2005 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd. consisted in incorporating the long-rejected Sunni principle of maslahat or public interest into Shiism, and establishing the Maslahat Council. The Council was originally to arbitrate between the Council of Guardians and the Majles, but has since taken on the task of expanding legislation beyond matters specifically vetoed by the jurists of the Council of Guardians, and of setting up the general policies of the state as the advisory arm of the Leader (Supreme Jurist). The solu- tion proposed by the former head of the judiciary, Ayatollah Sayyed Mohammad Yazdi, in the early 1990s for the second set of contradictions was to force the recognition of the Supreme Jurist as the sole marja. It failed, as did the attempt to restrict the number of mar1ji to seven through semi-official designation by the Association of the Modarresin (professors) of Qom. Nevertheless, the clerical elite has ruled Iran for over two decades through a number of key councils, by controlling the judiciary and the Ministry of Intelligence, and by using a subservient bureaucratic-technocratic second stratum without sharing any significant power with it. Now, my account highlights two features of the Iranian political situation which may not be immediately evident. First, what I called clerical conciliar rule would appear as the typical form of collective government that emerges during the period of succession to the charismatic leader of a revolution and is gradually consolidated. But the clash of clerical conciliarism with the democratization espoused by the reform movement has also set in motion a non-institutional pro- cess of accumulation of power by the Supreme Leader. The result has been the recent consolidation of a system of personal rule that is increasingly, and perhaps misleadingly, referred to as clerical monarchy. The Islamic Revolution thus established a hybrid political regime, with an elected parliament and president subordinated to clerical authority a theocratic republic. As time went by, contrary to what one might expect, clerical authority enhanced its control over the state. After the death of Khomeini, the charismatic leader, the government of the Islamic Republic can be characterized as a system of collective rule by clerical assemblies or councils. 9 The country is divided into a small clerical elite of reli- gious jurists (mojtaheds), which maintains its power through the system of conciliar rule and is supported by a second stratum of lay civil servants in control of the administration, and a huge lay population which has no share of political power but votes once a year for the president, the Majles, or the local and municipal councils that confront and are often effectively neutralized by the structures of clerical domination. It should also be pointed out that a sizeable pro- portion of the second stratum come from clerical families. 10 Having an uncle who is or was a cleric helps enormously with becoming Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs or Industry. Second, the rift between the establishment clerics and the reformists can be seen as a delayed but typical pattern of revolutionary power struggle. This struggle is greatly complicated by the fact that the two-decade delay has caused a great (180-degree) ideological shift in the position of the radicals. Some observers The Rise and Fall of Reform in Iran: Sad Amir Arjomand 507 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd. wondered why Saturn did not devour his children in the case of the Iranian revolution, apart from the Mojahedin-e Khalq. The power struggle whose last round we have just witnessed may well be the result of Saturns unsatisfied appetite. What stands out in this analysis is that the reformists are very much the children of the revolution, as are the so-called religious-nationalist (melli-madhhabi) followers of Bazargan, Khomeinis revolutionary partner and the first prime minister of the Islamic Republic. 11 It is also instructive to compare the relation between the reform movement and the revolution in the Soviet Union less than a decade earlier. The reform move- ment under Gorbachev began with an opening (glasnost) and restructuring (perestroika) that led to the unexpected collapse of the Soviet Union. 12 The opening of the Iranian reform movement was as impressive, if not more so, but the impe- tus to restructuring was extremely weak. The reform movement consequently failed to restructure the regime, as it intended, or unintentionally to produce regime change, and the price of failure was its demise as a political force. Political Reform and the Non-ideological Reading of Islam Iranian glasnost came as a radical break with the totalitarian ideology of the Islamic Revolution. From a sociological point of view, Kh1tamis 1997 electoral campaign was the political edge of a deep cultural movement for the Shiite refor- mation that was well under way in the 1990s. This movement for the reform of Islam, too, was a product of the children of the revolution. Its leading figure since the early 1990s, Abdolkarim Sorush, is a philosopher of science who had been a member of the Commission for Cultural Revolution set up by Khomeini after the closure of the universities in 1980, and its most forceful theorist, Mohammad Mojtahed-Shabestari, a cleric who was elected to the first Majles after the revolu- tion. Mohsen Kadivar was a student of electrical engineering who went to the seminaries of Qom as an enthusiastic Islamic revolutionary, and Kh1tami himself had served as the revolutionary Minister of Culture and Islamic Guidance. What these clerical reformists shared with the lay intellectual, Sorush, was a keen inter- est in philosophy and rational theology, which they have used as a tool for the reconstruction of religious thought. 13 Nevertheless, Kh1tamis landslide victory was an unexpected and historically unprecedented event, and was instantly referred to as the epic of 2 Khord1d (23 May), the historic national event of 2 Khord1d, a date later chosen by the coalition of his supporters as their designation. It reopened the question of the fundamental principles of order in the Islamic Republic for the first time since 1979. His platform of civil society and the rule of law (hokumat-e q1nun) evoked an implicit contrast with hokumat-e esl1mi (Islamic government), the slogan of the revolution. 14 Ataoll1h Moh1jer1ni, his first reformist Minister of Culture and Islamic Guidance, removed many of the restrictions on the press, and a popular pro-Kh1tami press immediately flourished. Before long, a number of 508 Constellations Volume 12, Number 4, 2005 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd. these newspapers were closed down by the clerical judges seriatim, while their editorial staffs were given licenses by the Ministry of Culture to start new ones. This press spread Kh1tamis new political discourse and neologisms such as civil society (j1mea-ye madani), legality (q1nun-mandi), and citizens (shahrvand1n) used in his inaugural speech. 15 To these were soon added others: pluralism (plur1lizm, takkathur-gar1i) as opposed to monopolism, law-ori- entedness (q1nun-ger1i), and finally reading (qer1at) [of Islam]. Kh1tami showed firm determination in promoting the most basic aspect of the rule of law. Political murders committed by the secret services of the Islamic Republic constitute a blatant breach of the rule of law. In January 1999, Kh1tami insisted on the arrest of a number of officials in the Ministry of Information (read Intelligence), including a Deputy Minister, Said Em1mi (alias Esl1mi), for a chain of murders of writers and liberal politicians. Some of the conservative Ayatollahs were reliably said to have issued fatv1s (injunctions) justifying the killings. The reformist Ayatollah Musavi Arbadili declared any such fatv1s invalid. Hojjat al-Esl1m Mohsen Kadivar, a younger but prominent reformist cleric who had written a direct and detailed refutation of Khomeinis theory of theocratic government, delivered a speech in Isfahan in which he declared terror- ism forbidden by the Sacred Law. Kadivar was arrested at the end of February 1999, and his trial by the Special Court for Clerics became a cause clbre. The national press and student associations protested that the Court was unconstitu- tional, and that it was in contravention of the international human rights instru- ments signed by the government that disallow special courts for special classes of persons. The head of the judiciary defended the legitimacy of the Special Court for Clerics on grounds of its approval by the late Imam Khomeini as Supreme Jurist, and its jurisdiction with reference to Articles 110 and 112 of the Constitution, pertaining to Leadership. Disregarding the widespread public protest and Kadivars elaborate defense, the Special Court for Clerics sentenced him to 18 months in prison in April 1999. The spring of 1999 marked the height of Kh1tamis success in implementing his program of rule of law and democratization. In April 1999, he announced that the first step in political development is participation, and the most evident chan- nel for participation is the election of the Councils. The Councils were the local and municipal councils provided for in the Constitution of 1979, but never elected. Over half a million candidates competed for seats in 35,000 village and over 900 municipal councils. Some four-fifths of the popular vote (65 percent turnout) was reported cast for supporters of Kh1tamis reform movement, who won the great majority of the seats. On the second anniversary of his Presidential victory, Kh1tami addressed a gathering of some 107,000 elected members of the village and town councils in Tehran, again emphasizing the importance of polit- ical development and the need to struggle for the consolidation of Islamic demo- cracy and popular government (mardom-s1l1ri). He noted that sacred terms such as revolution, freedom, Islam, and Leadership are not the monopoly of The Rise and Fall of Reform in Iran: Sad Amir Arjomand 509 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd. any group. The Leader was pointedly absent, and his message was read by the director of this bureau. 16 The summer of 1999 was less glorious. On July 5, shortly after Em1mi/Esl1mi was said to have committed suicide in prison, the reformist newspaper, Sal1m, published a secret letter written by him with an outline of the restrictive press law with provisions for clerical censorship which was under discussion in the Majles. The Special Court for Clerics immediately banned Sal1m, presumably giving itself jurisdiction to do so because the newspapers editor was a cleric. Student riots in the University of Tehran broke out in protest against the closure of Sal1m on July 8 and spread to other Iranian universities. The Revolutionary Guards intervened, alongside the regular police and the hooligans of the Helpers of the Party of God, causing a few deaths, many casualties, and hundreds of arrests. The student riots of July 1999 marked a high point in questioning the principle of Leadership or theocratic government. The protesters slogans, for the first time, included Kh1menei must go! But they were also the first sign of discon- nect between the reformist President and the younger generation who had voted for him. A similar disconnection had become evident by Kh1tamis failure to appoint a female minister. Emboldened by the suppression of the student riots, the hardliners proceeded with the closure of the reformist newspaper, Khord 1d, and trial of its editor, former Interior Minister Abdoll1h Nuri. The trial of Nuri in November 1999 by the notorious Special Court for Clerics was remarkable in many ways. There was hardly any legal argument in the charges, whose nature was crudely political. The trial also provided the occasion for the widespread questioning of the legality of the Special Court for Clerics as well as the legiti- macy of theocratic rule and Leadership. The all-clerical jury turned in its verdict before receiving Nuris final written defense, and he was sentenced to five years in prison. Kh1tamis supporters in the reform movement were organized by Said Hajj1ri1n, Vice President of Tehrans newly elected municipal council, and by the Presidents younger brother by 16 years, Mohammad-Reza Kh1tami, into the Participation (Mosh1rekat) Front for the parliamentary elections of February 2000, and won by a landslide, with 69 percent of the electorate turning out, and dealt the clericalist groups a crushing defeat. They won a solid majority in the first round against the 17 other political groups that had competed for Majles seats. But the reaction of the Supreme Leader and the clerical establishment was swift and determined. Hajj1ri1n, the chief architect of the stunning reformist victory, was almost fatally shot in the head in front of the municipal council building in March 2000 just before the Nawruz, and the new Majles was in for its rudest awakening as soon as its doors were opened. In fact, signs of trouble multiplied before the new Majles was convened. In April 2000, the Council of Guardians postponed the second round of Majles elec- tions, annulled a number of elections won by reformists, and asserted its superior- ity over the Majles by virtue of its appointment by the Leader. The Maslahat 510 Constellations Volume 12, Number 4, 2005 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd. Council successfully preempted any Majles investigations into the breaches of the law by depriving it of the right to investigate not only the Special Court for Clerics, but also any other organization under the control of the Leadership, including the armed forces and national radio and television. The reformist Majles, when it eventually convened, was too docile to challenge this arrogation by the Maslahat Council. By May 2000, all but one or two of the reformist newspapers were closed down, and a number of leading journalists arrested and imprisoned. On August 6, 2000, the Leader told the Majles to stop its deliberations on the new press law, and clerical judges were emboldened to close down the last important reformist paper, Bah1r, and arrest more journalists. The reformist Majles lost the first and best (and probably the only) chance it had for confronting the Leader, who had clearly stepped beyond his ample consti- tutional jurisdiction by telling parliament to shut up, to stand up as the legislative power against the judiciary. It was too timid to challenge the authority of the Leader and took the slap in the face without any vigorous reaction. Furthermore, the grave mistake of electing a cleric, Mehdi Karrubi, as Majles Speaker became evident when he confirmed the authority of the Leader, as the vali-ye faqih, to issue a governmental order (hokm-e hokumati) to the Majles, and defended it as the constitutional exercise of the Absolute Mandate of the Jurist. Two days later, Karrubi reaffirmed the value of this prerogative by pointing out that another governmental order had solved the problem of recounting the votes in the second round of elections in Tehran. 17 In retrospect, this was the Majles second and last chance to challenge the surreptitiously expanding system of conciliar clerical ruler under Leadership by provoking a major constitutional crisis. It did not rise up to the admittedly daunting challenge, and was doomed to further humiliation. The Supreme Leader led the continuous assault with the use of the clerically controlled judiciary, using a group of former Ministry of Intelligence investiga- tors who had been appointed judges toward the end of Yazdis long tenure as the head of the judiciary. These judges now began harassing the Majles deputies, as they had done with journalists, by summoning them to courts for expressing their critical opinions in parliament. The closure of the press continued beyond the dai- lies, and on the eve of Nawruz 1380/2001, the most important of the remaining reformist magazines and monthlies were closed down. The political abuse of courts to harass and sentence a number of reformist Majles deputies continued unabated. 18 It was only in October 2001 (and not in August 2000) that President Kh1tami joined the fray of constitutional politics as the protector of the constitution according to its Article 113, and warned the head of the judiciary in a letter against the constitutional violation of the parliamentary immunity of several Majles deputies convicted by the politicized courts. But this warning was ignored and the political abuse of clerically-controlled judicial power against legislators continued. Some 60 reformist legislators were summoned to court in the ensuing The Rise and Fall of Reform in Iran: Sad Amir Arjomand 511 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd. months, and four were sentenced. Representative Loqm1nni1 began serving his sentence in January 2002, but was pardoned by the Supreme Leader after a few days when his reformist colleagues walked out of the Majles in protest. Kh1tami took the next few months to prepare for one final confrontation, and made his last important speech on the first anniversary of his reelection and the fifth year of his administration on August 28, 2002. He renewed his vow to the nation and affirmed that he was not only the head of the executive, but also the authority responsible for upholding the Constitution. He reaffirmed that religious democracy (mardom-s1l1ri-ye dini) and rights of the people were not empty slogans and that he was determined to realize the model of religious demo- cracy proposed to the world by the Islamic revolution. 19 This speech, followed by the introduction of two pieces of legislation to be discussed in the next section, finally provoked the constitutional crisis prefigured in the combination of the heterogeneous principles of theocracy and democracy in the Constitution of the Islamic Republic. While the Presidents resignation and a national referendum were being discussed by the reformists as ways to overcome the predictable recalcitrance of the Council of Guardians and the Maslahat Council, Rahim Safavi, Commander of the Revolutionary Guards, announced his readiness to unleash revolutionary violence against the reform movement. 20 Meanwhile, the political abuse of clerically controlled judiciary power had become more blatant. A number of reformists outside the Majles were arrested in the fall of 2002, and on November 6, one university lecturer, H1shem Agh1jari, was sentenced to death for his anti- clerical remarks which the judge considered as insults to the Prophet. The students joined the constitutional struggle with protests against judicial abuse. 21 Unrest continued into December, resulted in numerous arrests, and even a hard- line judicial spokesman resigned in protest against the gross miscarriage of justice in the Agh1jari case. 22 At this point, Agh1jari introduced a radically novel oppositional tactic into the constitutional politics of the Islamic Republic. Sensing the futility of the Presi- dent as the leader of the uncoordinated opposition within and outside parliament, Agh1jari refused to ask for the pardon hinted by the Supreme Leader and demanded instead that the unjust death sentence be carried out. His example was followed by the religious-nationalist dissident leader, Ezzatoll1h Sah1bi, who wrote an open letter to the heads of the three powers asking that he be executed rather than subjected to continued harassment after his release from jail. 23 The loss of the only serious constitutional struggle Kh1tami and the reformists had mounted against the Supreme Leader evidently led to widespread disaffection that manifested itself in the elections of the local and municipal councils in February 2003. The turnout outside of the major cities was not low (about 50 per- cent for all of Iran), partly because the Ministry of the Interior had stood its ground and the candidates were not vetted by the Council of Guardians, and quite a few reformists seem to have been elected in smaller places. But the drop in 512 Constellations Volume 12, Number 4, 2005 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd. participation in the big cities was sharp, and with less than a third of voters turn- ing out (the official breakdown of Tehran vote has apparently never been made public) the municipal council of Tehran went entirely to the pro-Kh1manei hard- liners, with Mahmud Ahmadinezh1d being elected Mayor. As several people told a researcher, what can we expect from local councilors, when even the President of the country is stymied from pursuing his agenda? 24 It cannot be said that the reformists have looked after the Councils. In fact, in their typical inattention and disarray, the reformist Majles passed the 2003 Tax Amalgamation Law, which removed what little financial autonomy the Councils had. The same general disaffection with Kh1tami was evident in the widespread and continuous student protests and youth unrest in a large number of cities through the summer of 2003. The Majles reformists, to their great discredit, disowned the students. This brief survey should suffice to show that the major problem of the political wing of the reform movement as the true children of the Islamic Revolution of 1979 and its undoing was a double disconnect: a disconnect between the President and the reformist members of the Majles at the organizational level, and a discon- nect of both Kh1tami and the reform movement from the people in general, and from the new generation, and the university students in particular. Nor was the reform movement able to build any bridges connecting to the urban poor. This double disconnect was the other side of the entrapment of the reformist children of the revolution as insiders (khodi) in the revolutionary discourse reflected in their final letter I began with. The empty slogans they clung to for salvation in their last moment of desperation were in fact the millstones that drowned them. The Council of Guardians versus the Majles More institutionalized struggles were taking place between the Majles and the Council of Guardians, on the one hand, and between the judiciary and the press and the Majles, on the other. The paradox of Kh1tamis rule of law became evi- dent when he and his supporters were seen powerless to either make laws or enfore them. Their law-making power was blocked by the Council of Guardians, and law enforcement by the clerically-controlled judiciary was unabashedly polit- icized by Kh1maneis hardliners and turned viciously against them. The Consti- tution gave the Majles very little to use against the Council of Guardians and absolutely nothing against the Maslahat Council. In 2001, the Majles had tried to use its power of confirmation of the lay members of the Council of Guardians proposed by the head of the judiciary. On August 8, 2001, however, with the backing of the Supreme Leader, the Maslahat Council ruled that if the judiciarys nominees failed to obtain confirmation in the Majles in the first round, those with the highest plurality of votes in the second round would be appointed to the Council of Guardians. The rejected candidates were confirmed retroactively on a plurality of votes, with many of the reformist deputies turning blank votes in pro- test; one candidate was considered confirmed with only two votes out of 290. The Rise and Fall of Reform in Iran: Sad Amir Arjomand 513 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd. Two years later, in November 2003, the head of the judiciary proposed two other candidates, including a notorious mobster of the Helpers of the Party of God, who were rejected by the Majles for failing to obtain a majority. (Majles Speaker Karrubi explained that the Supreme Leader had changed his mind on the subject.) The Council of Guardians did not insist on its newly acquired constitutional prerogative. As we shall see presently, it had chosen a different battlefield. Whatever the intention of its architects, it can be stated categorically that the Council of Guardians has made no contribution to institution-building in the Islamic Republic of Iran. I would argue that the main reason for this failure is the absence of a written jurisprudence remotely comparable to that of other constitu- tional courts (or the Supreme Court in the US), and the increasing politicization of judicial review, which preceded the politicization of the judiciary and the use of courts as an instrument of political repression. An incidental feature of its French model, supervision of elections, suggested the Council of Guardians as an instrument of political control to Irans ruling elite after the death of Khomeini and the end of his charismatic leadership. It interpreted its function of supervising elections as the power to reject the qualification of candidates for all elected offices, including the presidency, without giving reasons as is also the case when it vetoes legislation. This resulted in a serious overload of the functions of the Council of Guardians and overwhelmed its functions of judicial review and determination of the conformity of legislation with Islamic standards. In fact, it is quite clear that since 2000 the effect of the Council of Guardians on institution- building has been negative consisting in the paralysis of legislation and near- destruction of the Majles as an institution. This has been done by its blanket extension of inconsistency with the Sharia, which by the first year of the new century extended to the annual government budget! 25 In January 2002, the Coun- cil of Guardians vetoed as contrary to the Sharia bills that were at variance with the governmental orders of the Leader, the orders of the late Imam, and even the regulations of the Supreme Council for Cultural Revolution; 26 and in January 2003, it rejected a Majles bill against torture on the grounds that it contravened the internal regulations (1in-n1ma) of state prisons! 27 In February 1998, President Kh1tami appointed a Commission for the Imple- mentation of the Constitution and Constitutional Supervision, citing Article 113 of the Constitution, one of the few unchanged from the original draft modeled on 1958 constitution of the French Fifth Republic, which makes the protection of the Constitution one of his main duties. The Commission has so far displayed little energy. Despite losing repeated rounds to the Leader and the resourceful Ayatol- lahs, Kh1tami has made his presidential duty of safeguarding the Constitution a means for driving a wedge into the hitherto seamless edifice of monolithic Islamic-ideological interpretation of the law by clerical jurists. The power of the clerical jurists of the Council of Guardians to determine the qualification of candidates for all elected office, which was first effectively challenged by the disqualified clerical or clerically endorsed candidates, has now become widely 514 Constellations Volume 12, Number 4, 2005 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd. contested. Conformity with the standards of Islam has therefore become a contested axiom. This is particularly the case as regards human rights and freedom of the press. Kh1tami and the chairman of his Constitutional Commission, Hossein Mehrpur, avoided confronting the Council of Guardians and the judici- ary, which under a more assertive head, Ayatollah H1shemi-Sh1hrudi, was putting forward its own claim to constitutional interpretation. In January 2002, the judiciary even denied Mehrpurs request to visit dissident political prison- ers. 28 Finally, Kh1tami did not dare augment the power of the Commission in his last assertive endeavor. In September 2002, Kh1tami finally introduced the bill to increase the powers of the President as the guardian of the Constitution, announced in his second inaugural speech a year earlier. The bill was passed by the Majles but, needless to say, promptly rejected by the Council of Guardians. It was in any case ill-conceived and too timid to make a significant difference. It missed the opportunity to make the first step toward introducing a form of judicial review under the aegis of the President, which was technically possible, 29 by couching the bill in administrative rather than judicial terms. The proposed presidential commission was given the power of inspection to determine violations of the Constitution, and it was not explicitly given jurisdiction to hear cases of human rights violations. Obliquely and at the end, the President was given the power to provide a budget for compen- sating victims of human rights violations! The Council of Guardians, by contrast, did not show the slightest interest in avoiding confrontation. The Constitution of 1979 had given the Council of Guardians the power to supervise presidential and Majles elections. Ever since the trouble with the Republics first president, Abol-Hasan Bani-Sadr, the Coun- cil has assumed the function of political control as the gatekeeper to presidency; in 1997, it rejected 234 of the 238 candidates. The Council of Guardians also took its supervisory power to mean vetting the candidates for the Majles, about whose qualifications the Constitution was silent. It rejected between 12 and 17 percent of the candidates of the first three Majles, over a quarter of those for the fourth, and over a third of those for the fifth. 30 With such arbitrary and blatant use of its power, as one newspaper put it, running for elections was no longer a right but a privilege. 31 Be that as it may, the function of the Council of Guardian as the pro- tector of the ideological foundations of the regime by now required not only the filtering of legislation but also political control of elections. In 1991, the Council exercised its authority to interpret the constitution to assert that the supervision mentioned in Article 99 of the Constitution meant approbatory (estesv1bi) super- vision and applied to all stages of the electoral process, including the approval or rejection of the qualification of the candidates. The formula was adopted by an amendment to the electoral law in July 1995. 32 The reformist movement had so far not been the primary victim of the new power of political control, as it was of the negative legislative power of the Council, but turned against it because of its obvious anti-democratic nature and as its The Rise and Fall of Reform in Iran: Sad Amir Arjomand 515 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd. frustration with the Council of Guardians blockage of legislation mounted. On September 1 2002, the President introduced a bill to curb the Councils power of approbatory supervision, which was vetoed. In the beginning of March 2003, the Majles passed amendments to the electoral law with the same effect in March 2003. 33 Kh1tami threatened to resign or put the bills to referendum. But the Maslahat Council let its position be known by quadrupling the Councils budget at a meeting on March 15, which Kh1tami and Majles Speaker Karrubi walked out of. 34 That the Council of Guardians would reject these attempts to restrict its power was a foregone conclusion. What the reformists had not expected, however, was that the Council would also punish them by depriving them of their parliamentary seats. The multiplied budget was used, among other things, to increase the number of Council of Guardian inspectors in anticipation of the com- ing elections of February 2004. The Council let it be known that approbatory supervision would henceforth mean practicing continuous supervision or vetting a candidates competency at any time. President Kh1tami prepared to capitulate, telling the members of election supervisory boards on December 1, Even if some renowned candidates are not nominated or qualified, the people should not withdraw. In this case we should look for a candidate whose thoughts are closest to our ideas and vote for him. 35 A month later 3600 out of 8200 candidates were disqualified, including 80 members of the current Majles. Clerical Reaction and the Growth of the Personal Power of the Leader I have presented the rise and fall of Kh1tamis reform movement as a struggle against the Supreme Leader and clerical elite. Let me conclude with a few remarks on the growing domination of the regime by the Supreme Leader and the extension of clerical control over the political, judicial, and economic institutions as the counterpart of the decline and fall of reformism. Khomeini, as you may recall, dismissed his successor-designate, Ayatollah Hasan-Ali Montazeri, the year before his death, and his closest remaining associates, Kh1manei and Rafsanj1ni, were more junior. The former took over his position as Leader while the latter served as a powerful President for two terms. Toward the end of his second term, Moh1jerani, one of his several Vice Presidents, aired the idea that the constitution be amended to allow him to run for another term. The idea was vetoed by the Supreme Leader, who was slowly being called Imam and was less and less inclined to share power. He was under some pressure from the clerical Assembly of Leadership Experts, with a commission to monitor the conditions of the Leader as specified by the Constitution to consolidate the system of collective clerical rule, 36 and decided to revitalize the Maslahat Council in the spring of 1997, which would also provide a suitable job to ease Rafsanj1ni out of the presidency. This and other instances of institution-building toward the end of Rafsanj1nis pres- idency and throughout Kh1tamis was accompanied by a non-institutional, personal bid for power by the Leader, Ayatollah Kh1manei. While firmly retaining 516 Constellations Volume 12, Number 4, 2005 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd. his control over the Revolutionary Guards and its Mobilizational Corps (Basij), Kh1manei eliminated Rafsanj1nis men one by one, replacing some of them with his own men, such as the L1rijani brothers, but also putting his men, notably the cleric Ezhehi, in key positions in the judiciary. From this perspective, Rafsanj1nis inability to protect his protg, Tehran Mayor Karb1schi, was damaging to his reputation within the ruling elite, and was seen as capitulation to Kh1manei. Rafsanj1nis second stratum did quickly organize themselves into a party, the Technocrats for Construction (k1rgoz1r1n-e s1zamdehgi), mounted a vigorous campaign in the 1996 Majles elections, and appeared as partners in Kh1tamis reform administration, with Moh1jer1ni taking the key position of Minister of Culture and Islamic Guidance. Other lackluster Rafsanj1ni technocrats, too, con- tinued to serve under Kh1tami. Before long, however, Kh1manei forced Moh1jer1ni out, while Kh1tami gave him a non-political position as Director of the Dialogue for Civilization to pave his exit from politics into increasing obscu- rity. Rumors and complaints about his second and third wives resulted in his dis- missal, while the first, Jamileh Kadivar (sister of the dissident reformist cleric), was active as a Majles feminist reformer. Another key K1rgoz1r, Mehdi Nurba- khsh, who had managed the central bank for Rafsanj1ni, was eased out of power and died a private citizen in 2003. Meanwhile, the Supreme Leader had been replacing Rafsanj1nis men by his own. The constitutional theocracy has thus been imperceptibly turning into a system of personal rule by Kh1menei, with increasing politicization of the judiciary and ad hoc infiltration of a variety of govern- mental organs. In preparation for the ouster of Kh1tami and the reformists, Kh1namei now recruited his own team of technocrats to take over the economy, or more precisely the sectors of the economy that are not already under his loose control. All the banks and large industrial companies were expropriated. Khomeini did not allow the state to take them over, however, but treated them as booty in Islamic law and set them up as independent foundations, appointing mullahs Islamic clerics as their heads. 37 These economic foundations, known as Bony1ds, control an estimated 40 percent of the Iranian economy; their heads are not responsible to the state but only to Ayatollah Khamenei, whose official title is the Leader of the Islamic Revolution. 38 It was one of these mullahs who, a few years ago, put a price on Salman Rushdies head when the Iranian Foreign Ministry had agreed to drop Khomeinis fatwa in order to attract German invest- ment. The Bony1ds sustain their own network of contractors and suppliers. Once again, clerical families and their relatives are prominent among the beneficiaries and contractors of these foundations and among government contractors. 39 Nepotism is rife in the economy as it is in the appointment to governmental positions. Indeed, the term 1q1z1dehg1n (sons of masters) was coined to refer to the new politico-economic elite consisting of the families of the clerical upper stratum. Closely connected to the 1q1z1dehg1n in government and foundation business are a more numerous group of bazaaris (bazaar merchants and businessmen) The Rise and Fall of Reform in Iran: Sad Amir Arjomand 517 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd. and former revolutionaries turned businessmen through the foundations and as the mediators in the 1979 bazaar-Khomeini alliance that overthrew the Shah. The best representative of this group is the ruffian monopolist, Habiboll1h Asgar-awl1di. But it includes a large number of bazaar merchants and business- men who have made fortunes in Irans closed domestic markets through government concessions and licenses. There is little data on this group as they pay hardly any income tax and are much better at hiding their wealth than the Shahs ostentatious industrialists. In short, the nationalized economic founda- tions, mostly run by clerics who are not responsible to government but only to the Leader, who appoints them on a personal basis, and the bazaar, serve as a secondary basis for rising post-revolutionary inequality and social stratification. Neither basis, however, can be considered independent of political power; they need political ties to maintain their appropriation of economic opportunities. Irans foreign policy makers wish to join the World Trade Organization to improve the countrys international standing a move that is short-sightedly opposed by the United States. 40 If they succeed in doing so and are forced to open the domestic market to competition, a new independent economic basis for social stratification may emerge. With the expansion of the reach of the clerical conciliar system and the growth of the personal, extra-legal power of the Supreme Leader, both of which are typical modes of post-revolutionary concentration of power, the trend toward democratization initiated by Kh1tami has been reversed. The pro-clerical Developers, who include the newly-elected President and had the Seventh Majles elections won for them by the clericalist Council of Guardians last year, do have a plan of their own for perestroika. The plan, as unveiled by their leader Hadd1d-1del, proposes to make Iran into a new China or Japan by performing the economic miracle of combining political and religio-cultural conservatism with economic liberalization. I consider this policy impossible because it requires the destruction of the economic base of the Islamic Republic as I have just described it. But in the extremely unlikely event that they do succeed, they would dig their own graves, as did the Soviet Union after 1989. Meanwhile, the victory of the hardliners in the 2004 Majles elections, many of whom were the Supreme Leaders men in the security apparatus and mobiliza- tion, extended Ayatollah Kh1maneis agglomeration of personal power to the Majles. The election of Mahmud Ahmadinezh1d with the backing of the Leader-controlled security and mobilization apparatus in June 2005 can be seen as the culmination of this trend in accumulation of extra-constitutional power. But this could mark the end of the trend as well. The control of a personal system of power is difficult, and the hardliners, formerly Kh1maneis men, may well prove unruly, with the Majles and presidency as additional power bases, forcing the Leader to return to the clerical elite he has been dividing. In any event, the fragility of the regime increases with the greater preponderance of personal power. 518 Constellations Volume 12, Number 4, 2005 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd. The Ultimate Defeat of Reformism The final and most resounding popular defeat of the reformist movement came in the presidential elections of June 2005. The reformist candidate, Kh1tamis lack- luster Education Minister, Mostaf1 Moin, rejected by an unduly apprehensive Council of Guardians but shrewdly reinstated by the Leader, who is much better at taking of popular pulse, came fifth in the first round and was eliminated. 41 The hardliner Mahmud Ahmadinezh1d, who had become mayor of Tehran in the municipal elections of 2003, the first massive expression of disillusionment against the reformists with the lowest ever turnout, but whose career as a child of the Islamic revolution was otherwise the same as Moins, won the final round against H1shemi-Rafsanj1ni by a wide margin. It is interesting to note that quite a few students, presumably disillusioned with the reformists, joined his campaign. The ineffectiveness of the student and anti-regime boycott of the presidential elections was demonstrated by the larger than expected turnout, even though the official 60 percent figure should be discounted. Finally, the Ahmadinezh1d vote also demonstrated that the reformists had not only alienated the students by letting them down, but also failed to attract masses of the urban poor. Trapped in their insider rhetoric and narrow vision and refusing to use the huge reservoir of secular professionals in his administration, Kh1tami and his reform movement also came to naught because of its failure to build bridges to the significant and growing social forces that were their easy potential constituencies. NOTES 1. I discuss this term in Authority in Shiism and Constitutional Developments in the Islamic Republic of Iran, in W. Ende and R. Brunner, eds., The Twelver Shia in Modern Times: Religious Culture & Political History (Leiden: Brill, 2000), 31213. 2. Bill Samii, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty (RFE/RL) Iran Report 7, no. 8 (February 23, 2004). 3. The Economist, February 28, 2004, 10. 4. This was to be done by making being a Muslim in good standing to run attestable by neighbors and acquaintances according to custom (orf) rather that requiring the determination of the Council of Guardians. 5. See pictures in The New York Times, January 13, 2004, A8 and February 1, 2004, A6 6. BBC Persian website, February 15, 2004. 7. Kh1tami won 77 percent of the popular vote, running against nine other candidates. The turnout, however, was not as heavy as in 1997. It was 67 percent of eligible voters (aged over 16), as compared to 88 percent in May 23, 1997, when Kh1tami received 69 percent of the popular vote. 8. Arjomand, Constitutions and the Struggle for Political Order: A Study in the Moderniza- tion of Political Traditions, Archives europennes de sociologie/European Journal of Sociology 33, no. 4 (1992): 3982. 9. Arjomand, Democratization and the Constitutional Politics of Iran since 1997, Polish Sociological Review 136, no. 4 (2001): 34963. 10. Wilfried Buchta, Who Rules Iran?: The Structure of Power in the Islamic Republic (Washington, DC: Washington Institute for Near East Policy, 2000). The Rise and Fall of Reform in Iran: Sad Amir Arjomand 519 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd. 11. It is not an accident that, apart from the reformist children of the revolution, one of the most important dissident leaders, Ezzatoll1h Sah1bi, and most of the 42 persons arrested in April 2001, were members of Bazargans Islamic liberal nationalist movement and junior partners in the initial Islamic revolutionary coalition in 1979. 12. M. Lewin, The Gorbachev Phenomenon: A Historical Interpretation (Berkeley: Univer- sity of California Press, 1991). 13. Arjomand, Modernity, Tradition and the Shiite Reformation in Contemporary Iran, in G. Skapska, ed., The Moral Fabric in Contemporary Societies (Leiden: Brill, 2003). 14. Although he never disputed the principle of clerical supremacy as inscribed in the Consti- tution, the invidious contrast between the popular mandate of the President and the Mandate of the Jurist became evident. Once a legal matter becomes a contested issue in constitutional politics, the gates are wide open for debate over the fundamental principles of order. This is precisely what hap- pened, shortly after the presidential elections, in November 1997, when Ayatollah Hasan-Ali Mon- tazeri and some other disgruntled senior clerics, who had been pushed aside by the Supreme Leader after a very long association with the regime, openly challenged the Mandate of the Jurist. At this point, it was clerical dissent and the rift within the ruling clerical elite that gave secular political forces the chance to express their opposition to clericalism openly. 15. Arjomand, Civil Society and the Rule of Law in the Constitutional Politics of Iran under Kh1tami, Social Research 76, no. 2 (2000): 286. 16. Cited in ibid., 297, emphasis added. 17. The actual effect of the order was to save H1shemi-Rafsanj1ni some further embarrass- ment and to knock two reformists off the list to make room for two candidates favored by the con- servatives. 18. Arjomand, Democratization and the Constitutional Politics of Iran since 1997. 19. ISNA website, isnagency.com, August 30, 2002. 20. Financial Times, November 2, 2002. 21. Economist, November 16, 2002, 42 22. New York Times, December 11, 2002. 23. Emrooz website, February 12, 2003. 24. K. Tajbakhsh, Fate of Local Democracy under Kh1tami, Woodrow Wilson Center Web- site, Events, December 16, 2003, 2. 25. Arjomand, Democratization and the Constitutional Politics of Iran since 1997. 26. Ettel11t, January 11, 2002. 27. Emrooz website: emrooz.org/81-10-22. 28. New York Times, January 9, 2002. 29. I had urged the Office of the President, through Vice President Abtahi and a number of reformist members of the Majles, to do so. 30. Furthermore, the constitutional amendments of 1989 explicitly added the supervision of the elections for the Assembly of Leadership Experts to the functions of the Council of Guardians, while a law of 1990/1369 transferred the determination of the candidates requisite level of jurispru- dential competence (ejteh1d) to it. The Council used these powers to disqualify over one third and one half of the candidates for the Assembly in 1990 and 1998 elections, respectively. See Farshad Malekahmadi, The Sociological Intersection of Religion, Law and Politics in Iran: Judicial Review and Political Control in the Islamic Republic of Iran, PhD dissertation, Department of Sociology, State University of New York at Stony Brook, 1999. 31. Cited in A. Schirazi, The Constitution of Iran: Politics and the State in the Islamic Repub- lic, tr. J. OKane (London: I.B. Tauris, 1997), 89. 32. Arjomand, Authority in Shiism and Constitutional Developments in the Islamic Repub- lic of Iran, 31718. 33. Samii, RPE/RL Iran Report, 6.15 (April 7, 2003). 34. Financial Times, March 17, 2003. 35. Samii, RFE/RL, Iran Report, 6.49 (December 27, 2003). 36. Personal interview. 520 Constellations Volume 12, Number 4, 2005 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd. 37. S.A. Arjomand. The Turban for the Crown: The Islamic Revolution in Iran (New York: Oxford University Press, 1988), 136. 38. J. Amuzegar, Irans Economy under the Islamic Republic (London: I.B. Tauris, 1997). 39. Buchta, Who Rules Iran? 40. J. Amuzegar, Irans Crumbling Revolution, Foreign Affairs 84, no. 1 (Jan./Feb. 2003): 5355. 41. Former Majles Speaker Mehdi Karrubi, who belonged to the clerical wing of the reformist movement, came third in the first round partly by magnifying a leaf out of President Bushs book and promising every Iranian a substantial, monthly negative tax paycheck, and justifiably com- plained of electoral fraud. But the fact remains that the total hard-line vote in the first round was larger than the total reformist vote. Sad Amir Arjomand is Distinguished Service Professor of Sociology at the State University of New York, Stony Brook. He is the Co-Editor of Rethinking Civilizational Analysis (2004), and the author of The Turban for the Crown: The Islamic Revolution in Iran (1988) and The Shadow of God and the Hidden Imam: Religion, Political Organization, and Societal Change in Shiite Iran from the Beginning to l890 (l984). He is currently working on a constitutional history of the Islamic Middle East.